CNOTES MLB NEWS-NOTES-BEST BETS THRU THE WORLD SERIES !

Udog

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Cnotes53

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THURSDAY, AUGUST 15

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
SEA at DET01:10 PMSEA -129
U 8.0
+500 +500
OAK at NYM01:10 PMNYM -171
O 8.5
+500 +500
LAD at MIL02:10 PMMIL +124
O 8.0
+500 +500
ATL at SF03:45 PMSF -116
U 7.0
+500 +500
BOS at BAL06:35 PMBAL -132
O 8.5
+500 +500
WAS at PHI06:40 PMPHI -260
U 8.5
+500 +500
MIN at TEX08:05 PMMIN -110
O 8.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Friday’s 6-pack:
— Tigers 2, Mariners 1- Seattle got swept in Detroit, scoring 1-2-1 runs.
— Phillies 13, Nationals 3- Weston Wilson hit for the cycle.
— Orioles 5, Red Sox 1- Zach Eflin is 4-0, 2.13 since joining Baltimore.
— Giants 6, Braves 0- Logan Webb allowed 5 baserunners in 7.2 IP.
— Brewers OF Christian Yelich (back) is out for the year.
— A’s 7, Mets 6
- Spunky A’s are 22-14 in their last 36 games.

Tweet of the Day
“I want to vomit every time I hear ‘No. 1 receiver,’ to be honest with you. It drives me crazy. That’s something that you guys talk about. I feel like we’ve got a bunch of ’em.”
Green Bay Packers coach Matt LaFleur

Friday’s quiz
Of all the players would played their entire career for only one team, who hit the most career home runs?

Thursday’s quiz
Dave Winfield was the first San Diego Padre to be inducted into the Hall of Fame.

Wednesday’s quiz
In the great movie Leap of Faith, where Steve Martin plays a traveling preacher, Meat Loaf plays the keyboard during the preacher’s shows.

***************************************

Friday’s Den: NFC trends to ponder……..

Arizona
Last nine years, Cardinals are 7-19-1 ATS in NFC West home games.
Last eight years, Arizona is 5-13 as a favorite of 3 or fewer points.
Arizona opens in Buffalo; Cardinals are 3-2 SU/5-0 ATS in last five road openers.
Cardinals have Week 7 Monday night home game, then Week 8 they’ve got a cross-country trip to play the Dolphins in Miami.
Arizona’s two games with Seattle are in Weeks 12/14.

Atlanta
Kirk Cousins visits his old team, the Vikings, in Week 14 (December 8).
Last four years, Falcons are 4-16-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Last nine years, Atlanta is 27-42-1 ATS coming off a loss.
Falcons are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road openers, 5-2 ATS in last seven home openers.
Four of their first five games are at home (3 in row at home, weeks 3-5)

Carolina
Rookie coach Caneles faces Tampa Bay, his old team, in Weeks 13/17.
Since 2016, Panthers are 1-8 ATS as a home favorite vs NFC South rivals.
Last three years, under is 16-8 in Carolina home games.
Panthers lost four of last five home openers SU (1-3-1 ATS)
Carolina visits Denver in Week 8; Panthers’ DC Ejiro Evero was Denver’s DC two years ago.

Chicago
Bears open their season at home vs Tennessee; since 2003, QB’s drafted first in a draft are 0-14-1 SU/1-14 ATS in their first start.
Since 2018, Chicago is 1-7 ATS as a home underdog vs NFC North rivals.
Since 2015, Bears are 0-8 ATS as a double digit underdog.
Weeks 13-15, Chicago has three straight road games (Lions-49ers-Vikings)
Last 20 years, under is 15-5 in Bears’ road openers. Last seven years, under is 6-1 in Chicago’s home openers.

Dallas
Last three years, Cowboys are +32 in turnovers (+14/+10/+8).
Last three years, Dallas is 11-4 ATS as a road favorite.
Three of their first four road games (Giants-Steelers-49ers) are night games.
Over is 4-1 in their last five home openers.
Washington coach Dan Quinn was Dallas’ DC the last three years; Cowboy-Commander games are in Weeks 12/18.

Detroit
Detroit doesn’t play a game outdoors until Week 9 at Green Bay.
Under Campbell, Lions are 14-6 ATS as a favorite, 9-4 at home.
Last five years, over is 28-12-1 in Detroit home games.
Over is 7-2 in their last nine road openers.
Lions lost NFC title game 34-31 to San Francisco LY, blowing a 24-7 third quarter lead; they visit the 49ers on Monday night in Week 17.

Green Bay
Packers open season against the Eagles in Brazil; Green Bay hasn’t started a season at Lambeau since 2018, but they’ve also won their last 11 home openers (8-3 ATS)
Last three years, Green Bay is 2-9-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Last five years, Packers are 10-3-1 ATS as a home favorite vs NFC North opponents.
Over is 8-3 in their last 11 road openers.
Play consecutive Thursday games in Weeks 13-14: they host Miami on Thanksgiving night, then visit Detroit the next Thursday.

Famous birthdays, August 16th:
Julie Newmar, 91
Lesley Ann Warren, 78
James Donaldson, 67
Angela Bassett, 66
Madonna Louise Ciccone, 66 (Madonna)
Timothy Hutton, 64
Steve Carell, 62
Yu Darvish, 38
Tyler Stephenson, 28

LA Rams
Last three years, Rams are 7-2 ATS in NFC West road games.
Since 2018, over is 32-17 in Rams’ home games.
Rams lost in playoffs at Detroit LY; they open this year on Sunday night, also at Detroit, which will revive the Stafford-Goff trade drama.
Rams are in Chicago in Week 4; their next road game isn’t until Week 9, at Seattle.
Under Sean McVay, Rams are 7-0 SU/5-2 ATS in road openers.

Minnesota
In 2022, Vikings were 11-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points (+2 in turnovers)
Last year, Vikings were 6-8 in games decided by 8 or fewer points (-12 in turnovers)
Weeks 10-12, Vikings have 3 straight road games (Jaguars-Titans-Bears)
Under is 9-1 in Minnesota’s last ten home openers.
Vikings are 0-6-1 SU/0-7 ATS in their last seven road openers.

NJ Giants
Last 12 years, Giants are 1-11 ATS in their home opener.
Giants were 6-11 last year, despite a +12 turnover ratio.
Last six years, Giants are 13-5 ATS in NFC East road games.
Both their games with Dallas are on Thursdays, including a Thanksgiving game.
Eagles’ new RB Saquon Barkley plays against his old team in Weeks 7/18.

New Orleans
Saints missed playoffs the last three years (9-8/7-10/9-8).
Last ten years, New Orleans is 26-12-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Visit Giants/Packers in December, two cold-weather games for a dome team.
Last nine years, Saints are 3-6 SU/1-8 ATS in home openers.
Dennis Allen/Derek Carr’s old team (Raiders) visit New Orleans in Week 17.

Philadelphia
Open season against the Packers in Brazil; in Week 3, they go to Tampa, Week 4, they go to New Orleans, then they have an early bye in Week 5.
Eagles started last year 10-1, then lost six of their last seven games.
Last four years, Philly is 7-13-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Last 15 years, Eagles are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 home openers.
New OC Kellen Moore got run out of Dallas couple years ago; Eagles’ games with the Cowboys are in Weeks 10/17.

San Francisco
Over last 21 years, teams that lost Super Bowl are 5-16 ATS in Week 1 the next year; 49ers host the Jets in Week 1.
Last two years, San Francisco was +14/+12 in turnovers.
Last ten years, underdogs are 20-9-1 ATS in 49ers’ NFC West home games.
Under is 8-2 in their last ten home openers.
Weeks 12-13, they visit Packers/Bills, two cold weather games; the game in Buffalo is at night.

Seattle
Last seven years, Seattle is 1-4 in playoff games, which is why they fired Pete Carroll.
Last ten years, underdogs are 21-7-1 ATS in their NFC West road games.
Seahawks won four of their last five road openers.
Week 17 Thursday night road game is long travel/short week, plus a cold weather game.
Their two games with the Cardinals are in Weeks 12/14.

Tampa Bay
Last two years, Tampa Bay is 4-10-2 ATS coming off a loss.
Five of their eight road games this season are in domes.
Buccaneers made playoffs the last four years (6-3 in playoff games)
Last ten years, Bucs are 20-31-6 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last nine years, Tampa Bay is 11-15-1 ATS in NFC South home games.

Washington
Dan Quinn was 46-44 SU in 5+ years coaching Atlanta, winning NFC in 2016.
Last ten years, Washington is 10-19-1 ATS in NFC East home games.
Commanders play three of first four games on the road.
Washington is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 home openers.
Kliff Kingsbury is the new OC; Washington visits his old team (Arizona) in Week 4.
 

Cnotes53

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AUGUST BEST BET RECORD:

08/15/2024.......................7 - 4 - 0............................63.63%.....................+ 11.15
08/14/2024.......................8 - 18 - 1.........................30.76%......................- 50.35
08/13/2024.....................12 - 11 - 1.........................52.17%......................+ 7.90
08/12/2024.....................10 - 6 - 0...........................62.50%.......................+ 17.25
08/11/2024.....................13 - 9 - 1...........................59.09%.......................+ 30.30
08/10/2024.....................10 - 16 - 0.........................38.46%........................- 35.74
08/09/2024.....................11 - 10 - 0.........................52.38%........................+ 1.85
08/08/2024.......................12 - 6 - 0.........................66.66%........................+ 20.80
08/07/2024.......................18 - 9 - 0.........................66.66%........................+ 49.25
08/06/2024........................8 - 12 - 0........................40.00%.........................- 23.70
08/05/2024........................5 - 6 - 0...........................45.45%.........................- 6.50
08/04/2024......................13 - 11 - 0........................54.16%..........................+ 12.55
08/03/2024........................11 - 8 - 1........................57.89%..........................+ 4.75
08/02/2024........................16 - 6 - 0........................72.72%..........................+ 45.75
08/01/2024..........................3 - 5 - 0........................37.50%..........................- 12.50

TOTALS:..........................157 -137 - 4........ ..............53.40%......................... +79.76

*************************************************************

BEST BET TOTALS:

Mar - April : TOTALS................292 - 260 - 7...............52.98%..................+ 96.45
May.........: TOTALS....................336 - 300 - 18.............52.83%..................+143.50
June..........TOTALS...................289 - 313 - 12..............48.00%................. -186.21
July...........TOTALS.....................275 - 259 - 8...............51.98%..................- 2.98
 

Udog

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, August 16

National League
Washington
(55-67) @ Philadelphia (71-50)
— Corbin is 0-3, 9.90 in his last four starts.
— Washington is 3-11 in his last 14 starts.
— over 4-2 last six road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-24
— record in first 5 innings: 6-17-1
— He is 6-10, 4.81 in 21 starts vs Philly.


— Nationals split their last 12 games.
— They’re 27-35 on road.
— over 13-6 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 23-122
— record in first 5 innings: 47-62-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-5


— Nola is 0-2, 4.88 in his last five starts.
— Phillies lost his last five starts.
— over 8-3 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-24
— record in first 5 innings: 15-5-4
— He is 9-8, 3.70 in 31 starts vs Washington.


— Phillies are 10-18 in their last 28 games.
— They’re 40-22 at home.
— over 12-4 last sixteen games
— scored run in first inning: 45-121
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 69-41-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4.2-3


Miami (45-76) @ @ NY Mets (62-59)
— Munoz is 1-1, 7.24 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 4-10 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 1-14
— record in first 5 innings: 5-9
— He is 0-1, 0.82 in two starts against the Mets.


— Marlins are 6-10 in their last 16 games.
— Miami is 21-37 on road.
— Marlins are 5-14 in road series openers.
— over 7-2 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-121
— record in first 5 innings: 42-67-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-x

— Manaea is 2-1, 1.59 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 7-2 in his last nine starts.
— under 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-23
— record in first 5 innings: 12-7-4
— He is 1-2, 5.85 in four starts vs Miami.


— New York is 4-8 in its last dozen games.
— Mets are 31-31 at home.
— Mets are 7-1 in last eight home series openers.
— over 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 29-121
— record in first 5 innings: 52-51-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2.2-5


Los Angeles (71-51) @ St Louis (60-61)
— Dodgers haven’t named a starter.


— Dodgers are 8-4 in their last dozen games.
— Dodgers are 6-13 in last 19 road games.
— Dodgers are 13-9 in road series openers.
— over 13-7 last 20 games.
— scored run in first inning: 44-122
— record in first 5 innings: 63-47-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.2-3


— Mikolas is 0-1, 7.71 in his last three starts.
— Cardinals are 4-6 in his home starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-24
— record in first 5 innings: 6-15-3
— He is 1-1, 5.06 in five starts vs Los Angeles.


— Cardinals are 1-5 in last six games.
— They’re 31-27 at home.
— Cardinals are 1-6 in last seven home series openers.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 28-121
— record in first 5 innings: 45-57-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-x


San Diego (69-53) @ Colorado (44-78)
— Waldron is 2-0, 6.30 in his last four starts.
— San Diego won his last four starts.
— over 6-3 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 10-24
— record in first 5 innings: 7-14-3
— He is 2-0, 1.54 in two starts vs Colorado.


— Padres won 19 of last 22 games.
— They’re 36-24 on road.
— Padres are 12-6 in last 18 road series openers.
— over 7-2 last nine road games
— scored run in first inning: 34-122
— record in first 5 innings: 54-51-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.2-x


— Quantrill is 1-1, 7.20 in his last four starts.
— Colorado is 10-7 in his last 17 starts.
— over 8-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 3-23
— record in first 5 innings: 9-10-4
— He is 1-1, 3.48 in two starts vs San Diego TY.


— Rockies are 6-13 in their last 19 games.
— They’re 27-32 at home.
— Rockies won their last six home series openers.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 31-122
— record in first 5 innings: 44-61-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-7.1-x


Interleague Games
Toronto
(57-64) @ Cubs (59-63)
— Rodriguez is 0-2, 3.78 in his last four starts.
— Toronto is 5-7 in his starts.
— under 7-5
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Cubs.


— Toronto is 7-4 in its last 11 games.
— Blue Jays are 28-33 on road.
— Blue Jays are 9-11 in road series openers.
— over 34-12 last 46 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-121
— record in first 5 innings: 52-53-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-2


— Hendricks is 1-3, 6.00 in his last four starts.
— Chicago is 5-11 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 5-11
— He is 0-1, 5.40 in two starts vs Toronto.


— Cubs lost their last three games.
— They’re 32-27 at home.
— Cubs are 5-10 in last 15 home series openers.
— over 5-2 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-122
— record in first 5 innings: 49-53-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3


Kansas City (66-55) @ Cincinnati (60-61)
— Lorenzen is 0-0, 3.60 in two starts for KC.
— Overall, he is 5-6, 3.79 in 20 starts TY.
— Royals are 0-2 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He gave up five runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Cincinnati.
— He played for the Reds from 2015-21


— Royals are 3-5 in last eight games.
— Royals are 28-30 on road
— Royals are 8-11 in road series openers.
— over 14-5 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-121
— record in first 5 innings: 56-46-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-x


— Martinez is 1-0, 0.00 in his last four games (20.1 IP).
— Reds are 3-4 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-2
— He is 0-0, 2.08 in five games (2 starts) against the Royals


— Reds are 7-3 in their last ten games.
— They’re 31-31 at home.
— Reds are 10-3 in last 13 home series openers.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 33-121
— record in first 5 innings: 56-48-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-7-x


Seattle (63-59) @ Pittsburgh (56-64)
— Gilbert is 1-1, 0.69 in his last two starts.
— Seattle is 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— under 6-2 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-24
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Pittsburgh.


— Seattle lost its last three games.
— Mariners are 26-33 on the road.
— Mariners are 8-11 in road series openers.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 33-122
— record in first 5 innings: 56-50-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3-2


— Skenes is 0-2, 3.51 in his last four starts.
— Pittsburgh is 9-6 in his starts.
— under 7-3 last 10 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-3-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.


— Pirates lost their last 10 games.
— They’re 27-31 at home.
— Pirates are 11-8 in home series openers.
— over 11-6 last seventeen games
— scored run in first inning: 23-120
— record in first 5 innings: 47-51-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-x


Arizona (69-53) @ Tampa Bay (59-61)
— Nelson is 3-0, 3.02 in his last seven starts.
— Arizona won his last seven starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 2-23
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.


— Arizona is 24-6 in its last 30 games.
— Diamondbacks are 32-27 on road.
— Arizona is 7-12 in road series openers.
— over 15-3 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-122
— record in first 5 innings: 58-44-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-3


— Pepiot is 2-0, 0.77 in his last two starts.
— His last start was July 14th.
— Rays are 9-8 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-1
— He is 2-0, 2.20 in three starts vs Arizona.


— Tampa Bay is 4-9 in its last 13 games.
— Rays are 31-34 at home.
— Rays are 2-6 in last eight series openers.
— under 13-4 last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-120
— record in first 5 innings: 41-62-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-x


Cleveland (72-49) @ Milwaukee (69-52)
— Williams is 2-1, 3.94 in his last three starts.
— Cleveland is 3-5 in his starts.
— under 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.


— Cleveland won its last five games.
— Guardians are 34-29 on road.
— Guardians are 10-10 in road series openers.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 31-121
— record in first 5 innings: 56-48-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3.1-x


— Civale is 1-2, 5.46 in six starts for Milwaukee.
— Brewers are 2-4 in his starts.
— over 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He gave up 4 runs in 5 IP, in his one start against the Dodgers.
— Civale pitched for Cleveland from 2019-23.


— Brewers are 7-3 in their last ten games.
— They’re 35-24 at home.
— Brewers are 11-8 in home series openers.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 33-121
— record in first 5 innings: 54-50-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3.1


Atlanta (64-57) @ LA Angels (52-69)
— Schwellenbach is 1-0, 2.25 in his last three starts.
— Atlanta is 5-7 in his starts.
— under 10-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6
— He hasn’t pitched against the Angels.


— Braves won three of last four games.
— They’re 32-31 on road.
— Braves are 11-10 in road series openers.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 34-121
— record in first 5 innings: 56-48-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-2.2


— Soriano is 2-0, 2.86 in his last five starts.
— Angels are 6-3 in his last nine starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-1
— This is his first start vs Atlanta


— Angels are 1-5 in their last six games.
— They’re 26-38 at home.
— Angels are 2-10 in last 12 series openers.
— under 5-1 last six home games
— scored run in first inning: 26-121
— record in first 5 innings: 43-66-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-6-3.1


American League
Bronx
(72-50) @ Detroit (59-63)
— Cole is 1-1, 4.03 in his last four starts.
— New York is 5-4 in his starts.
— over 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-1
— He is 9-1, 1.99 in 13 starts vs Detroit.


— New York is 4-4 in its last eight games.
— They’re 40-23 on road.
— New York is 2-5 in last seven road series openers.
— over 34-13 last 47 games
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— scored run in first inning: 44-122
— record in first 5 innings: 61-47-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-x


— Detroit hasn’t named a starter.


— Detroit won its last four games.
— Tigers are 29-31 at home.
— Tigers are 7-12 in home series openers.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 37-122
— record in first 5 innings: 49-54-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.1-3.1


Boston (63-57) @ Baltimore (72-50)
— Red Sox haven’t named a starter.


— Red Sox lost six of last eight games.
— They’re 34-25 on road.
— over 20-4 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 36-120
— record in first 5 innings: 63-43-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3.1-3


— Burnes is 3-0, 4.06 in his last five starts.
— Orioles are 12-3 in his last 15 starts.
— over 11-4 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 5-24
— record in first 5 innings: 17-5-2
— He is 2-0, 1.42 in three starts vs Boston.


— Baltimore is 7-4 in its last 11 games.
— Orioles are 36-26 at home.
— over 20-7 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-122
— record in first 5 innings: 66-44-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-3


Minnesota (67-53) @ Texas (56-65)
— Woods-Richardson is 0-2, 4.87 in his last four starts.
— Minnesota is 13-7 in his starts.
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-20
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-6
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.


— Twins are 10-5 in their last 15 games.
— Twins are 32-29 on road.
— over 6-4 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-121
— record in first 5 innings: 55-51-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-3

— Heaney is 0-2, 6.75 in his last four starts.
— Rangers are 7-16 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 7-23
— record in first 5 innings: 6-14-3
— He is 1-0, 2.83 in five starts vs Minnesota


— Rangers are 6-13 in last 19 games.
— Texas is 31-28 at home.
— over 16-5 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-122
— record in first 5 innings: 48-54-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-3


White Sox (29-93) @ Houston (65-55)
— Crochet is 0-3, 10.13 in his last four starts.
— Chicago lost his last nine starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-24
— record in first 5 innings: 7-12-5
— He is 0-2, 5.68 in two games (1 start) vs Houston.


— White Sox lost 26 of last 28 games.
— Chicago is 11-49 on road.
— White Sox are 1-18 in road series openers.
— under 11-5 last 16 road games
— scored run in first inning: 23-122
— record in first 5 innings: 47-59-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3.1-x


— Arrighetti is 1-2, 2.84 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 1-6 in his last seven starts.
— under 6-0 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 8-21
— record in first 5 innings: 4-13-4
— He gave up 3 runs in 4.1 IP at Chicago June 20th.


— Houston won its last eight games.
— Astros are 32-26 at home.
— Astros are 12-3 in last 15 home series openers.
— under 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-120
— record in first 5 innings: 56-49-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-x
 

Udog

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MLB

Friday, August 16


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Toronto vs Chi Cubs
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Toronto's last 15 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games at home

Kansas City vs Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City

NY Yankees vs Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Yankees's last 10 games on the road
NY Yankees is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games

Washington vs Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 16 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington

Seattle vs Pittsburgh
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing Seattle

Arizona vs Tampa Bay
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games

Boston vs Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Boston's last 20 games
Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston

Miami vs NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games

Minnesota vs Texas
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Texas's last 19 games

Chi White Sox vs Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chi White Sox's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Cleveland vs Milwaukee
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Milwaukee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland

LA Dodgers vs St. Louis
LA Dodgers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 9 of St. Louis's last 13 games at home

San Diego vs Colorado
San Diego is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
San Diego is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Colorado is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Diego
Colorado is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games when playing at home against San Diego

Atlanta vs LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing LA Angels
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Angels's last 11 games when playing Atlanta
LA Angels is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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FRIDAY, AUGUST 16

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
TOR at CHC02:20 PMCHC -122
O 9.5
+500 +500
WAS at PHI06:40 PMPHI -265
O 9.0
+500 +500
SEA at PIT06:40 PMPIT -114
O 7.0
+500 +500
KC at CIN06:40 PMCIN -131
O 9.5
+500 +500
AZ at TB06:50 PMAZ -104
U 7.5
+500 +500
BOS at BAL07:05 PMBAL -166
U 8.5
+500 +500
MIA at NYM07:10 PMMIA +215
U 8.5
+500 +500
MIN at TEX08:05 PMMIN +106
O 8.5
+500 +500
CLE at MIL08:10 PMMIL -101
U 8.5
+500 +500
CHW at HOU08:10 PMHOU -252
O 7.5
+500 +500
SD at COL08:40 PMCOL +149
U 11.5
+500 +500
ATL at LAA09:38 PMLAA +139
U 8.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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AUGUST BEST BET RECORD:

08/16/2024.......................9 - 9 - 0............................50.00%.....................- 6.10
08/15/2024.......................7 - 4 - 0............................63.63%.....................+ 11.15
08/14/2024.......................8 - 18 - 1.........................30.76%......................- 50.35
08/13/2024.....................12 - 11 - 1.........................52.17%......................+ 7.90
08/12/2024.....................10 - 6 - 0...........................62.50%.......................+ 17.25
08/11/2024.....................13 - 9 - 1...........................59.09%.......................+ 30.30
08/10/2024.....................10 - 16 - 0.........................38.46%........................- 35.74
08/09/2024.....................11 - 10 - 0.........................52.38%........................+ 1.85
08/08/2024.......................12 - 6 - 0.........................66.66%........................+ 20.80
08/07/2024.......................18 - 9 - 0.........................66.66%........................+ 49.25
08/06/2024........................8 - 12 - 0........................40.00%.........................- 23.70
08/05/2024........................5 - 6 - 0...........................45.45%.........................- 6.50
08/04/2024......................13 - 11 - 0........................54.16%..........................+ 12.55
08/03/2024........................11 - 8 - 1........................57.89%..........................+ 4.75
08/02/2024........................16 - 6 - 0........................72.72%..........................+ 45.75
08/01/2024..........................3 - 5 - 0........................37.50%..........................- 12.50

TOTALS:..........................166 -146 - 4........ ..............53.20%......................... +73.66

*************************************************************

BEST BET TOTALS:

Mar - April : TOTALS................292 - 260 - 7...............52.98%..................+ 96.45
May.........: TOTALS....................336 - 300 - 18.............52.83%..................+143.50
June..........TOTALS...................289 - 313 - 12..............48.00%................. -186.21
July...........TOTALS.....................275 - 259 - 8...............51.98%..................- 2.98
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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Saturday’s 6-pack:
— Red Sox 12, Orioles 10- Masataka Yoshida homered, had four RBI
— Twins 4, Rangers 3- Ryan Jeffers homered with a bat painted like a pencil.
— White Sox 5, Astros 4- Loss snaps Houston’s 8-game win streak.
— Cubs 6, Toronto 5 (10)- Seiya Suzuki had the walk-off single.
— Mets 7, Marlins 3- Brandon Nimmo hit a 3-run homer.
— Brewers 5, Guardians 3- Aaron Civale blanked his old team for 6 IP.

Quote of the Day
“It’s supposed to be hard. If it wasn’t hard, everyone would do it. The hard……is what makes it great.”
Tom Hanks in A League of Their Own

Saturday’s quiz
Who played QB for the Seattle Seahawks, the first time they played in a Super Bowl?

Friday’s quiz
Of all the players would played their entire career for only one team, Mike Schmidt hit the most home runs (548).

Thursday’s quiz
Dave Winfield was the first San Diego Padre to be inducted into the Hall of Fame.

*******************************************

Saturday’s Den: AFC trends………

AFC
Baltimore
Ravens visit Arrowhead in Week 1; they lost AFC title game at home to the Chiefs last year.
Last six years, over is 34-16 in Baltimore home games.
Since 2016, Ravens are 8-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Harbaugh brothers face each other in Week 12, on a Monday night at SoFi.
Baltimore won/covered seven of last eight Week 1 games.

Buffalo
Last ten years, Buffalo is 26-15-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Last eight years, Bills are 21-12-1 ATS vs NFC teams.
Bills visit old friend, WR Stefon Diggs, in Week 5 at Houston.
Last five years, over is 58-24 in Buffalo games, but under is 6-2 in their last eight road openers.
Bills’ games with Dolphins are early in season; they visit Miami on a Thursday nite in Week 2; Dolphins come to Buffalo in Week 9.

Cincinnati
Last two years, Cincinnati is 9-3-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Bengals are 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs NFC opponents,
Bengals’ games with Baltimore are fairly early (weeks 5/10); their games with Pittsburgh are later on (weeks 13/18)
Cincinnati is 2-6 ATS in its last eight home openers.
Bengals play a Thursday game in Week 10, have a bye in Week 12, so from November 8-30, they have only one game, Week 11 at the Chargers.
But in Week 14, Bengals have a Monday night game in Dallas, a short week game at Tennessee, then a Thursday home game, another short week game, against the Browns.

Cleveland
Browns were 6-0 ATS as a home favorite LY; from 2020-22, they were 7-12-1
Last five years, Cleveland is 9-14-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Four of their first six games are against NFC East opponents.
Since 2010, Browns are 5-1 ATS as an underdog in their home opener.
Browns visit Philadelphia in Week 6; Cleveland DC Schwartz was DC of the Eagles from 2016-20.

Denver
Sean Payton’s Broncos visit Payton’s old team in New Orleans in Week 7.
Since 2017, Denver is 9-20-3 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2017, under is 41-16 in Bronco road games.
Week 4, Broncos visit the Jets; will Zach Wilson be playing QB against his old team? At what point does rookie QB Bo Nix get the nod?
Denver’s last five home openers stayed under the total.

Houston
They don’t play an outdoor game until Week 6 at New England.
Texans were 10-7 LY (+12 in turnovers) making playoffs for first time since 2019.
Since 2018, Houston is 6-14-3 ATS against NFC opponents.
Under is 7-2 in their last nine road openers.
Texans play in Kansas City in Week 16, then host the Ravens on Christmas Day, which is on a Wednesday this year.

Indianapolis
Last nine years, Colts are 7-15-1 ATS in home games vs AFC South opponents.
QB Gardner Minshew started Indy’s last 12 games LY; they were 6-6, but Colts let him walk. Now Joe Flacco backs up young QB Richardson.
Three of their first four games are at home; four of their next five games are on road.
Colts are 2-6-1 ATS in last nine road openers.
Their two games with Houston are before Halloween (weeks 1/8).

Jacksonville
Jaguars visit Philadelphia in Week 9; Doug Pederson won a Super Bowl coaching the Eagles.
Jaguars were 9-8/9-8 the last two years; they were 15-50 the four years before Pederson came to Jacksonville.
Last ten years, Jaguars are 24-32-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Jacksonville is 5-2 ATS in last seven road openers, last four of which went over the total.
Jaguars are playing Bears/Patriots in England in Weeks 6-7; the games are in different stadiums.

Famous birthdays, August 17:
Robert DeNiro, 81
Ed McCaffrey, 56
Christian Laettner, 55
Jorge Posada, 54
Antwaan Randle El, 45
Dustin Pedroia, 41
Rudy Gay, 38
Jesse Winker, 31
Yoshinobu Yamamoto, 26
On the TV show CSI, Gil Grissom’s birthday was August 17, but William Petersen’s birthday is in February.

Kansas City
Over last 21 seasons, Super Bowl champs are 11-7-3 ATS in Week 1 the next year, although they’re 0-3 ATS the last three years.
Last five years, over is 33-8 in Kansas City’s road games.
Last ten years, Kansas City is 20-10-1 ATS in games where spread was 3 or fewer points.
Last 7 years, Chiefs are 6-1 SU/5-2 ATS in road openers.
Chiefs have cold weather games in Cleveland (Week 15), Pittsburgh (Week 17), Denver (Week 18).

Las Vegas
Last two years, Raiders are 9-3 ATS as a home favorite, 0-5 as a road favorite.
Last nine years, Raiders are 7-16 ATS on artificial turf.
Weeks 11-14, Raiders have three games in four weeks east of the Mississippi, visiting Miami, Chiefs and Tampa Bay.
Two of their first seven games are on road at SoFi: Week 1 @ Chargers, Week 7 @ Rams.
Raiders are 7-2 ATS in last nine road openers.

LA Chargers
Jim Harbaugh was 49-22-1 in four years coaching the 49ers, 5-3 in playoffs, winning the NFC title in 2012, before losing Super Bowl to his brother’s team.
Chargers host John Harbaugh and the Ravens in a Week 12 Monday night game.
Host the Raiders in Week 1; the rematch is in the season finale at Las Vegas.
Chargers are 8-3-1 ATS in last dozen road openers.
Chargers have an early (Week 5) bye, which isn’t ideal.

Miami
Dolphins made playoffs the last two years (lost 34-31/26-7) but they haven’t won a playoff game since 2000.
Since 2017, Miami is 19-7-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Thanksgiving night in Green Bay should be fun, then they finish the season with a couple more cold weather games in Cleveland, New Jersey (Jets) in Weeks 17-18.
Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in last eight road openers.
Play three of first four games at home, with two of the home games at night.

New England
Patriots won Super Bowl after 2018 season; since then, they’re 41-42 in regular season, 0-2 in playoffs, and they just told Bill Belichick to take a hike. Go figure.
Last two years, New England is 1-8 ATS as a home underdog.
Three of their first four games are on the road.
Games with Buffalo are very late in season, Weeks 16/18.
Their over/under win total is 4.5 wins, tied with Carolina for lowest in league.

NJ Jets
First seven weeks, they have four night games, and a morning game from England.
Since 2017, Jets are 4-15-1 ATS as a favorite.
Last four years, under is 24-11 in Jet home games.
Jets are 1-5 SU/ATS in last six home openers.
TV people like Aaron Rodgers; Jets have six night games scheduled, which is a lot for a team that hasn’t been in the playoffs since 2010.

Pittsburgh
Last six years, Steelers are 57-40-2 in regular season games, 0-3 in playoffs.
Last ten years, Pittsburgh is 39-23-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Weeks 12-16, they play 4 road games in 5 weeks; 3 of the 4 games are divisional games.
Russell Wilson visits his old team/coach in Denver in Week 2. Broncos are paying Wilson $37.8M of his $39M salary this season.
Visit the Ravens in Week 16 on a Saturday, host Chiefs on Christmas four days later.

Tennessee
Last two years, Tennessee went 6-11/7-10; they told coach Vrabel to take a hike (he was 41-24 the four years before that).
Last ten years, Titans are 28-39-4 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Titans host Cincinnati in Week 15; Tennessee coach Callahan was the Bengals’ OC the last five years (head coach Zac Taylor is really the OC).
Titans are 3-9 ATS in last 12 home openers.
Play only one divisional game in first 11 weeks of the season; 5 of their last 7 games are against AFC South rivals.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, August 17

National League
Washington
(55-68) @ Philadelphia (72-50)
— Gore is 1-2, 8.16 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 3-6 in his road starts.
— over 12-2 last 14 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-24
— record in first 5 innings: 10-13-1
— He is 1-3, 5.35 in six starts vs Philly.


— Nationals are 3-6 in their last nine games.
— They’re 27-36 on road.
— over 13-7 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 23-123
— record in first 5 innings: 47-63-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-3.2


— Sanchez is 1-3, 6.18 in his last five starts.
— Phillies are 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— under 6-3 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 10-12-1
— He is 0-1, 3.97 in two starts vs Washington TY.


— Phillies won their last three games.
— They’re 41-22 at home.
— over 12-5 last seventeen games
— scored run in first inning: 45-122
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 70-41-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3-2.1


Miami (45-77) @ @ NY Mets (63-59)
— Meyer is 1-2, 8.22 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 4-3 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3
— He hasn’t pitched against the Mets.


— Marlins are 6-11 in their last 17 games.
— Miami is 21-38 on road.
— over 8-2 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-122
— record in first 5 innings: 42-68-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-4.2

— Severino is 0-3, 8.50 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 3-5 in his last eight starts.
— under 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-23
— record in first 5 innings: 12-9-2
— He is 2-0, 2.19 in four starts vs Miami.


— New York is 5-8 in its last 13 games.
— Mets are 32-31 at home.
— over 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 30-122
— record in first 5 innings: 53-51-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-5-2


Los Angeles (72-51) @ St Louis (60-62)
— Dodgers haven’t named a starter.


— Dodgers are 9-4 in their last 13 games.
— Dodgers are 7-13 in last 20 road games.
— over 14-7 last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 44-123
— record in first 5 innings: 63-48-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3-4


— Pallante is 0-3, 4.88 in his last five starts.
— Cardinals lost his last five starts.
— under 7-5
— allowed run in first inning: 1-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-3
— This is his first start vs Los Angeles.


— Cardinals are 1-6 in last seven games.
— They’re 31-28 at home.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 28-122
— record in first 5 innings: 46-57-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-x-3.1


San Diego (69-54) @ Colorado (45-78)
— Cease is 1-1, 4.63 in three starts since his no-hitter.
— San Diego is 5-1 in his last six starts.
— under 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 10-25
— record in first 5 innings: 12-10-3
— He is 1-1, 2.84 in two starts vs Colorado TY.


— Padres won 19 of last 23 games.
— They’re 36-25 on road.
— over 7-3 last ten road games
— scored run in first inning: 34-123
— record in first 5 innings: 54-52-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-x-2.1


— Freeland is 1-1, 6.16 in his last four starts.
— Colorado is 7-1 in his last eight starts.
— under 4-2 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-1
— He is 7-7, 4.37 in 21 starts vs San Diego.


— Rockies are 7-13 in their last 20 games.
— They’re 28-32 at home.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 32-123
— record in first 5 innings: 45-61-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.1-x-4


American League
Bronx
(73-50) @ Detroit (59-64)
— Rodon is 4-0, 2.22 in his last four starts.
— New York is 16-8 in his starts.
— over 15-4 last 19
— allowed run in first inning: 9-24
— record in first 5 innings: 13-9-2
— He is 6-3, 5.21 in 12 starts vs Detroit.


— New York is 5-4 in its last nine games.
— They’re 41-23 on road.
— over 34-14 last 48 games
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— scored run in first inning: 45-123
— record in first 5 innings: 62-47-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-3


— Montero is 2-2, 5.87 in his last four starts.
— Detroit is 5-4 in his starts.
— over 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 5-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against New York


— Detroit won four of last five games.
— Tigers are 29-32 at home.
— under 8-3 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-123
— record in first 5 innings: 49-55-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3.1-3


Boston (64-57) @ Baltimore (72-51)
— Bello is 0-0, 3.86 in his last five starts.
— Red Sox are 7-1 in his last eight starts.
— over 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 7-22
— record in first 5 innings: 14-7-1
— He is 1-1, 4.76 in two starts vs Baltimore TY.


— Red Sox lost six of last nine games.
— They’re 35-25 on road.
— over 21-4 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-121
— record in first 5 innings: 64-43-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-9


— Povich is 0-3, 13.91 in his last three starts.
— Orioles are 3-5 in his starts.
— over 15-3
— allowed run in first inning: 5-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston.


— Baltimore is 7-5 in its last 12 games.
— Orioles are 36-27 at home.
— over 21-7 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-123
— record in first 5 innings: 66-45-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-5


Minnesota (68-53) @ Texas (56-66)
— Festa is 1-1, 2.03 in his last three starts.
— Minnesota is 2-3 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.


— Twins are 11-5 in their last 16 games.
— Twins are 33-29 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-122
— record in first 5 innings: 56-51-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-4

— Eovaldi is 2-3, 6.58 in his last five starts.
— Rangers are 9-3 in his home starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-6
— He is 4-3, 4.89 in eight starts vs Minnesota


— Rangers are 6-14 in last 20 games.
— Texas is 31-29 at home.
— over 16-6 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-123
— record in first 5 innings: 48-55-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-4.2


White Sox (30-93) @ Houston (65-56)
— Flexen is 0-4, 7.33 in his last six starts.
— Chicago lost his last 17 starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 8-23
— record in first 5 innings: 6-12-5
— He is 1-6, 4.37 in ten starts vs Houston.


— White Sox lost 26 of last 29 games.
— Chicago is 12-49 on road.
— under 11-6 last 17 road games
— scored run in first inning: 23-123
— record in first 5 innings: 48-59-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-x-5


— Brown is 4-1, 2.80 in his last six starts.
— Astros are 9-3 in his last 12 starts.
— under 11-4 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 7-23
— record in first 5 innings: 13-8-2
— He is 2-0, 3.09 in two starts vs Chicago.


— Houston won eight of its last nine games.
— Astros are 32-27 at home.
— under 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-121
— record in first 5 innings: 56-50-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-3.1


Interleague Games
Toronto
(57-65) @ Cubs (60-63)
— Bassitt is 1-4, 7.42 in his last five starts.
— Toronto is 3-9 in his last 12 starts.
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 8-24
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-7
— He is 0-1, 6.32 in three starts against the Cubs.


— Toronto is 7-5 in its last 12 games.
— Blue Jays are 28-34 on road.
— over 35-12 last 47 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-122
— record in first 5 innings: 52-54-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-4


— Steele is 1-1, 3.91 in his last four starts.
— Chicago is 5-3 in his last eight starts.
— under 7-0 last seven starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-7
— He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Toronto.


— Cubs lost three of last four games.
— They’re 33-27 at home.
— over 6-2 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 28-123
— record in first 5 innings: 50-53-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-5


Kansas City (67-55) @ Cincinnati (60-62)
— Wacha is 5-0, 2.95 in his last seven starts.
— Royals are 7-1 in his last eight starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-21
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10-4
— He is 13-3, 2.54 in 22 starts vs Cincinnati.


— Royals are 4-3 in last seven games.
— Royals are 29-30 on road
— over 14-6 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-122
— record in first 5 innings: 57-46-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-3.1


— Lodolo is 1-1, 5.79 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 9-4 in his last 13 starts.
— under 12-7
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City


— Reds are 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— They’re 31-32 at home.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 33-122
— record in first 5 innings: 56-49-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-x-3


Seattle (63-59) @ Pittsburgh (57-64)
— Castillo is 4-2, 2.47 in his last seven starts.
— Seattle is 5-7 in his last 12 starts.
— over 4-0 last four road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-25
— record in first 5 innings: 11-13-1
— He is 6-4, 2.32 in 14 starts vs Pittsburgh.


— Seattle lost its last four games.
— Mariners are 26-34 on the road.
— under 4-3 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 33-123
— record in first 5 innings: 56-51-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-1.2


— Falter is 1-1, 5.93 in his last four starts.
— Pittsburgh is 3-10 in his last 13 starts.
— under 6-2 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 7-12-1
— He is 0-1, 3.38 in two starts vs Seattle.


— Pirates lost 10 of their last 11 games.
— They’re 28-31 at home.
— over 12-6 last eighteen games
— scored run in first inning: 23-121
— record in first 5 innings: 48-51-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-3


Arizona (69-54) @ Tampa Bay (60-61)
— Gallen is 3-0, 3.18 in his last five starts.
— He left his last start early, with cramping in his legs.
— Arizona won his last five starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-3
— He gave up four runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Tampa Bay.


— Arizona is 24-7 in its last 31 games.
— Diamondbacks are 32-28 on road.
— over 16-3 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 41-123
— record in first 5 innings: 59-44-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-2


— Springs is 0-1, 4.61 in three starts.
— Rays are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— This is his first start vs Arizona.


— Tampa Bay is 5-9 in its last 14 games.
— Rays are 32-34 at home.
— under 13-5 last 18 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-121
— record in first 5 innings: 41-63-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-3.2


Cleveland (72-50) @ Milwaukee (70-52)
— Bibee is 3-0, 1.61 in his last four starts.
— Cleveland is 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 7-23
— record in first 5 innings: 13-5-5
— He gave up two runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Milwaukee.


— Cleveland won five of its last six games.
— Guardians are 34-30 on road.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 31-122
— record in first 5 innings: 56-49-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-x-4


— Peralta is 1-1, 5.29 in his last three starts.
— Brewers are 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— over 17-7
— allowed run in first inning: 8-24
— record in first 5 innings: 9-14-1
— He is 0-1, 4.05 in two games (1 start) vs Cleveland.


— Brewers are 8-3 in their last 11 games.
— They’re 36-24 at home.
— under 4-3 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 34-122
— record in first 5 innings: 55-50-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.1-3


Atlanta (64-58) @ LA Angels (53-69)
— Sale is 0-0, 2.55 in his last four starts.
— Atlanta is 7-3 in his last 10 starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 9-22
— record in first 5 innings: 16-4-2
— He is 7-0, 1.06 in eight starts vs Anaheim.


— Braves are 3-2 in their last five games.
— They’re 32-32 on road.
— over 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-122
— record in first 5 innings: 56-48-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2.2-3


— Canning is 1-1, 6.49 in his last five starts.
— Angels are 6-3 in his last nine starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 12-24
— record in first 5 innings: 10-13-1
— This is his first start vs Atlanta


— Angels are 2-5 in their last seven games.
— They’re 27-38 at home.
— under 6-1 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 26-122
— record in first 5 innings: 43-66-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-3.1-5.2


San Francisco (62-62) @ Oakland (52-70)
— Birdsong is 0-2, 17.06 in his last two starts.
— Giants are 4-4 in his starts.
— under 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Oakland.


— Giants lost four of last five games.
— Giants are 26-35 on road.
— Giants are 8-4 in last 12 road series openers.
— over 5-1 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 30-124
— record in first 5 innings: 50-55-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8.1-1.1-x


— Bido is 1-1, 2.25 in his last two starts.
— Oakland is 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He gave up 3 runs in 2.2 IP, in his one start against the Giants.


— A’s are 15-9 since All-Star break.
— Oakland is 14-10 in last 24 home games.
— A’s are 8-1 in last nine series openers.
— over 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 27-122
— record in first 5 innings: 45-70-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-2.2-6.1-x


Umpires
— Wsh-Phil- Under is 14-9 in Marquez games.
— Mia-NY- Home teams are 17-7 in Rehak games.
— LA-StL- Over is 12-9 in Hanahan games.
— SD-Colo- Underdogs are 7-6 in Riggs games.


— NY-Det- Over is 12-7 in Ceja games.
— Bos-Balt- Under is 13-9 in May games.
— Minn-Tex- Under is 12-9 in Morales games.
— Chi-Hst- Under is 13-7 in Estabrook games.


— Tor-Chi- Over is 14-9 in Blakney games
— KC-Cin- Over is 12-7 in Thomas games.
— Sea-Pitt- Over is 14-8 in Baker games.
— Ariz-TB- Home teams are 16-7 in Cuzzi games
— Clev-Milw- Under is 12-8 in O’Nora games
— Atl-LAA- Underdogs are 18-9 in Ramos games
 

Udog

Registered
Forum Member
Sep 10, 2018
17,028
16
38
MLB

Saturday, August 17


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Seattle vs Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Seattle is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Seattle

NY Yankees vs Detroit
NY Yankees is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
NY Yankees is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Detroit is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

Toronto vs Chi Cubs
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Chi Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto

Miami vs NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games at home

Arizona vs Tampa Bay
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games

Washington vs Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 12 games on the road
Washington is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

Kansas City vs Cincinnati
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Boston vs Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Boston's last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Baltimore's last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Baltimore's last 24 games

Minnesota vs Texas
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Minnesota

San Francisco vs Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games at home

Chi White Sox vs Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox

Cleveland vs Milwaukee
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 13 games on the road
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Milwaukee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cleveland

LA Dodgers vs St. Louis
LA Dodgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers

San Diego vs Colorado
San Diego is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
San Diego is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Colorado is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Diego
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Atlanta vs LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
LA Angels is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
29,620
25
48

SATURDAY, AUGUST 17

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
SEA at PIT01:05 PMSEA -140
O 8.5
+500 +500
NYY at DET01:10 PMNYY -209
U 9.0
+500 +500
TOR at CHC02:20 PMTOR +144
O 8.0
+500 +500
AZ at TB04:10 PMAZ -108
U 7.0
+500 +500
MIA at NYM04:10 PMMIA +166
O 8.5
+500 +500
WAS at PHI06:05 PMPHI -195
O 9.0
+500 +500
KC at CIN06:40 PMKC +111
U 9.5
+500 +500
MIN at TEX07:05 PMTEX -132
U 8.5
+500 +500
BOS at BAL07:05 PMBOS +112
O 9.5
+500 +500
SF at OAK07:07 PMOAK +106
O 8.0
+500 +500
CHW at HOU07:10 PMCHW +310
O 8.5
+500 +500
CLE at MIL07:15 PMCLE +118
U 7.5
+500 +500
LAD at STL07:15 PMSTL +119
U 9.0
+500 +500
SD at COL08:10 PMSD -192
U 10.5
+500 +500
ATL at LAA09:38 PMLAA +187
U 8.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
29,620
25
48
AUGUST BEST BET RECORD:

08/17/2024......................9 - 16 - 1...........................36.00%....................- 39.50
08/16/2024.......................9 - 9 - 0............................50.00%.....................- 6.10
08/15/2024.......................7 - 4 - 0............................63.63%.....................+ 11.15
08/14/2024.......................8 - 18 - 1.........................30.76%......................- 50.35
08/13/2024.....................12 - 11 - 1.........................52.17%......................+ 7.90
08/12/2024.....................10 - 6 - 0...........................62.50%.......................+ 17.25
08/11/2024.....................13 - 9 - 1...........................59.09%.......................+ 30.30
08/10/2024.....................10 - 16 - 0.........................38.46%........................- 35.74
08/09/2024.....................11 - 10 - 0.........................52.38%........................+ 1.85
08/08/2024.......................12 - 6 - 0.........................66.66%........................+ 20.80
08/07/2024.......................18 - 9 - 0.........................66.66%........................+ 49.25
08/06/2024........................8 - 12 - 0........................40.00%.........................- 23.70
08/05/2024........................5 - 6 - 0...........................45.45%.........................- 6.50
08/04/2024......................13 - 11 - 0........................54.16%..........................+ 12.55
08/03/2024........................11 - 8 - 1........................57.89%..........................+ 4.75
08/02/2024........................16 - 6 - 0........................72.72%..........................+ 45.75
08/01/2024..........................3 - 5 - 0........................37.50%..........................- 12.50

TOTALS:..........................175 -162 - 5........ ..............51.92%......................... + 34.16

*************************************************************

BEST BET TOTALS:

Mar - April : TOTALS................292 - 260 - 7...............52.98%..................+ 96.45
May.........: TOTALS....................336 - 300 - 18.............52.83%..................+143.50
June..........TOTALS...................289 - 313 - 12..............48.00%................. -186.21
July...........TOTALS.....................275 - 259 - 8...............51.98%..................- 2.98
 

Udog

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Forum Member
Sep 10, 2018
17,028
16
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Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack:

Phillies 6, Nationals 1- Cristopher Sanchez tossed a complete game.
Mets 4, Marlins 0- Luis Severino also threw a complete game.
Astros 6, White Sox 1- Jose Altuve knocked in 2 runs, scored 2 more.
Brewers 2, Guardians 1- Milwaukee has won four games in a row.
A’s 2, Giants 0- Oakland is 16-9 since the All-Star break.
Cardinals 5, Dodgers 2- St Louis breaks a 5-game skid.

Quote of the Day
“I think everybody wants to see a player just take it and say, ‘Hey, I’m your guy.’ Obviously, probably not the case, so we’re going to have to make a decision and we’re going to live with it and we’re going to support whoever that quarterback is for the Raiders going forward.”
Raiders coach Antonio Pierce

Sunday’s quiz
Who was the Raiders’ QB, the last time they played in a Super Bowl?

Saturday’s quiz
Matt Hasselbeck played QB for the Seattle Seahawks, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

Friday’s quiz
Of all the players would played their entire career for only one team, Mike Schmidt hit the most home runs (548).

*******************************************************

Sunday’s Den: Football notes……..

— There are 32 teams in the NFL; on Rams-Chiefs-49ers-Packers, the head coach is really the offensive coordinator, so that leaves 28 OC’s in the league right now. Of those 28 OC’s, 16 of them are in their current job for the first season in 2024.

That makes handicapping early season games a lot harder, with so much turnover in the coaching ranks. 17 of 32 defensive coordinators are also in their first year in this job.

Notes from NFL preseason games:
Rams 13, Chargers 9
Game-winning TD was caught by rookie WR JJ Laap, who won a national title last year playing Division III football at Cortland State in central New York.

Hall of Fame QB Dan Fouts was the TV analyst for this game; he was not complimentary when analyzing Rams’ backup Stetson Bennett, who has taken every snap every center for the Rams so far this summer.

Cowboys 27, Raiders 12
Raiders have a QB dilemma, as in, neither guy has played very well this summer.
Kicker on Dallas made a 66-yard field goal at the end of the first half.

Ravens 13, Falcons 12
Atlanta failed on a 2-point conversion in the last minute.
Not sure why, but rookie QB Michael Penix didn’t play for the Falcons.

Texans 28, Giants 10
Daniel Jones threw a God-awful pick-6 for the first score of the game.
Giants turned ball over five times on 11 drives, were outgained 369-279.

Lions 24, Chiefs 23
Detroit kicked a 43-yard FG as time expired for the win.
Carson Wentz is the Chiefs’ backup QB now, his 5th NFL team in nine years.

— Famous birthdays, August 18th:
Robert Redford, 88
Greg Pruitt, 73
Denis Leary, 67

Lafayette Lever, 64
Jim Les, 61
Edward Norton, 55

Christian Slater, 55
Bogdan Bogdanović, 32
Seiya Suzuki, 30

Vikings 27, Browns 12
Part of the reason starters play less now in preseason games is that they get lot of work in during the week, when the teams practice against each other. I’ve read where coaches say they just get more reps in during those practices, which makes them more beneficial.

Browns QB Deshaun Watson is scheduled to play against Seattle next week.

Bears 27, Bengals 3
Rookie QB Williams was 6-13 for 75 yards passing.
Backup QB Bagent was 7-8 for 87 yards passing, but the media only talks about Williams.

Bills 9, Steelers 3
Russell Wilson played five series, during which the Steelers didn’t score.
Buffalo scored total of 15 points in splitting two games this month.

Colts 21, Cardinals 13
Gus Bradley is the Colts’ defensive coordinator; right now his son Carter is the 4th string QB for the Las Vegas Raiders- he is fighting for a job on an NFL roster.

Colts backup QB Kedon Slovis was 8-11/79 passing; he played for three different colleges- the offensive coordinator for his high school team was Hall of Fame QB Kurt Warner, whose son was a receiver on that team.

Dolphins 13, Commanders 6
Tua Tagovailoa led Miami to a TD on the only series he played.
Rookie QB Jayden Daniels played two series for Washington- they drove 46-52 yards on the two drives, splitting pair of field goal tries.

Titans 16, Seahawks 15
Rookie kicker who wasn’t expected to make Tennessee’s roster kicked three FG’s in the 4th quarter, including a 59-yarder. If he doesn’t wind up in Tennessee, he’ll be on somebody’s roster.

Former Commanders QB Sam Howell was 11-14 for 153 yards passing for Seattle.
 
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