CNOTES MLB NEWS-NOTES-BEST BETS THRU THE WORLD SERIES !

[Cnotes53]

SEPT. BEST BET RECORD:

09/15/2024...................13 - 12 - 0.............................52.00%...................- 2.00
09/14/2024...................14 - 9 - 1...............................60.86%....................+ 26.95
09/13/2024...................14 - 12 - 0.............................53.84%....................+ 7.80
09/12/2024.....................4 - 10 - 0.............................28.57%.....................- 39.25
09/11/2024.....................7 - 15 - 1.............................31.81%......................- 53.40
09/10/2024...................11 - 12 - 1.............................47.82%......................- 5.25
09/09/2024......................8 - 4 - 1 .............................66.66%......................+ 25.45
09/08/2024....................13 - 13 - 0............................50.00%...................... - 5.40
09/07/2024......................14 - 8 - 1............................63.63%......................+ 26.35
09/06/2024....................13 - 10 - 1............................56.52%.......................+ 13.15
09/05/2024.........................8 - 7 - 1...........................53.33%......................- 2.25
09/04/2024........................7 - 12 - 0..........................36.84%......................- 40.45
09/03/2024....................... 9 - 11 - 2...........................45.00%.....................- 11.15
09/02/2024........................11 - 9 - 0...........................55.00%.....................+ 1.65
09/01/2024......................12 - 12 - 1...........................50.00%.....................+ 0.90
47.82
TOTALS.........................158 - 156 - 10.........................50.31%......................- 52.90

*************************************************************

BEST BET TOTALS:

Mar - April : TOTALS................292 - 260 - 7...............52.98%..................+ 96.45
May.........: TOTALS....................336 - 300 - 18.............52.83%..................+143.50
June..........TOTALS...................289 - 313 - 12..............48.00%................. -186.21
July...........TOTALS.....................275 - 259 - 8...............51.98%..................- 2.98
Aug...........TOTALS....................331 - 301 - 12.............52.37.....................+ 9.96

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:
NFL spreads for Week 2:
— Patriots @ NJ Jets (-7)
— Chargers @ Pittsburgh (-1.5)
— Bears @ Indianapolis (-2.5)
— Texans (-4) @ Minnesota
— Giants @ Cleveland (-6.5)
— Eagles (-3.5) @ New Orleans

Quote of the Day
“It doesn’t feel great losing.”
Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, what actor played A’s manager Art Howe?

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie A Star is Born, Andrew Dice Clay played Lady Gaga’s father.

Saturday’s quiz
In the old Batman TV series, Vincent Price played the Egghead.

************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Chiefs 26, Bengals 25
Butker kicked 51-yard FG with 0:03 left for a dramatic win.
Bengals led 16-10 at halftime.
Chiefs turned ball over three times (-2), were only 1-8 on third down.
Last 4+ years, KC is 15-18 ATS as a home favorite.

In two games, Bengals have only three TD’s on 17 drives.
Cincinnati is only 8-24 on third down conversions.
WR Chase (in a contract dispute), has caught 10 balls for 97 yards in 2 games.
Last 4+ years, Cincinnati is 18-10-1 ATS coming off a loss.

Steelers 13, Broncos 6
Steelers held first two opponents to 226/295 yards in two road wins.
Pittsburgh was +3 in turnovers last week, +2 this week.
First two opponents converted 4-21 third down plays.
Steelers are 18-9-1 ATS in last 28 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Rookie QB Nix does NOT look ready to play in the NFL.
Denver was held to 231/295 TY in two games; they’re 7-30 on third down.
In this game, Broncos ran ball 19 times for only 64 yards.
Broncos are 9-18-1 ATS in last 28 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Cardinals 41, Rams 10
Arizona’s first three drives: 20 plays, 219 yards, 21 points.
Cardinals led 24-3 at halftime.
Cardinals ran for 231 yards, outgained LA, 489-245.
Arizona averaged 11.7 yards/pass attempt.

Arizona was 7-11 on third down, Rams were 2-11.
Last 2+ years, LA is 4-8-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Rams had won their previous nine visits to Arizona.
Rookie WR Harrison had 130 RY, all in first quarter.

Texans 19, Bears 13
In two games, Chicago has one offensive TD on 21 drives.
In two games, Bears gained 148/205 yards, on 119 plays.
Bears have converted 8-30 third down plays.
This week, the 3 rookie QB’s combined for one offensive TD on 30 drives.

Houston’s first three drives: 24 plays, 158 yards, 13 points,
Texans overcame 12 penalties for 115 yards.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 12-7 as an NFL starter.
Houston is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.

Vikings 23, 49ers 17
49ers had 15-play, 83-yard drive that took 9:18, but they were stopped on downs
Darnold then threw a 97-yard TD pass to Justin Jefferson.
Vikings averaged 8.6 yards/pass attempt.
Ty Chandler ran ball 10 times for 82 yards.

Minnesota was 7-12 on third down, 49ers 2-10.
RB Mason ran ball 20 times for 100 yards and a TD.
Both teams turned ball over twice.
49ers are 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS in last five visits to Minnesota.

Saints 44, Cowboys 19
Saints’ first six drives: 39 plays, 379 yards, six TD’s.
New Orleans led this game 35-16 at halftime.
RB Kamara ran for 115 yards, three TD’s.
In their two games, Saints are 12-21 on third down.

Dallas scored on five of first six drives, but only one TD, four FG’s.
Zimmer’s defense allowed 14.2 yards/pass attempt.
In their two games, Cowboys are only 10-32 on third down.
Over is 32-17 in last 49 Dallas home games.

Buccaneers 20, Lions 16
Lions ran 83 plays for 463 yards.
Tampa Bay ran 47 plays for 216 yards.
With 0:53 left, Lions were stopped on downs on Bucs’ 6-yard line.
With 0:02 left, Lions were stopped on downs on Bucs’ 26-yard line.

Bucs were 2-10 on third down, Detroit 7-13.
Under Bowles, Tampa Bay is 8-3 ATS as a road underdog.
QB Mayfield is 44-48 as an NFL starter, 12-9 with Buccaneers.
Last 3+ years, under is 17-9 in Tampa Bay road games.

Famous birthdays, September 16th:
Mickey Rourke, 72
Lenny Clarke, 71
Wilbert Montgomery, 70

Robin Yount, 69
Eric Hipple, 67
Orel Hershiser, 66

Jennifer Tilly, 66
Tim Raines, 65
Sam Howell, 24

Chargers 26, Panthers 3
Chargers ran for 176 yards last week, 219 yards in this game.
Chargers were 9-16 on third down, Carolina 1-12.
Bolts are 2-0 for the first time since 2012.
Charger defense has allowed one TD on 23 drives this season.

Panthers lost their first two games by a combined 73-13.
Carolina was outgained 728-352 in those two games.
2nd year QB Young is 2-16 as an NFL starter.
Panthers averaged only 2.5 yards/pass attempt.

Raiders 26, Ravens 23
Raiders outscored Baltimore 13-0 over final 9:24 of game.
Raiders’ first 7 drives: 34 plays, 113 yards, six points.
Raiders’ last 4 drives: 29 plays, 206 yards, 20 points.
Since 2019, Las Vegas is 20-12 ATS as a road underdog.

Baltimore is 0-2 for first time since 2015.
Ravens led 9-6 at halftime; five field goals.
Ravens ran for 151 yards, were only 3-11 on third down.
Since 2021, Ravens are 9-14 ATS as a home favorite.

Browns 18, Jaguars 13
Cleveland’s first three drives: 36 plays, 182 yards, 13 points.
Cleveland’s last four drives: 29 plays, 115 yards, 3 points.
In two games, Browns are 4-29 on 3rd down, 6-8 on 4th down.
QB Watson is 37-32 as an NFL starter, 8-5 with Browns.

Jaguars’ first five drives: 33 plays, 124 yards, three points.
Jaguars are now 0-7 against Deshaun Watson.
In two games, Jaguars are 5-19 on 3rd down conversions.
QB Lawrence is 21-33 as an NFL starter.

Seahawks 23, Patriots 20 OT
Seattle kicked 38-yard FG with 0:58 left, to force OT.
Seahawks drove 51 yards, kicked walk-off 31-yard FG in OT.
Seattle scored TD’s on 2 of first 3 drives, led 17-13 at halftime.
QB Smith is 32-37 as an NFL starter, 20-18 with Seattle.

Patriots held Bengals to 224 TY in LW’s 16-10 upset win.
First two games, NE ran ball for 355 yards, threw for only 245
Last 2+ years, New England is 1-8-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Patriots QB Brissett is 19-31 as an NFL starter.

Packers 16, Colts 10
Colts in first half: 15 plays, 78 yards, zero points.
Colts gained 237 yards on last five drives, but threw 2 INTs, missed a FG.
Indy was 2-9 on third down, Packers were 10-17.
2nd-year QB Richardson is 2-4 as an NFL starter.

Packers’ first two drives: 19 plays, 124 yards, 10 points.
Green Bay’s only TD drive was 82 yards on 11 plays.
Green Bay is 20-9 ATS in last 29 games as an underdog.
Packers ran ball for 261 yards (4.9 yards/carry).

Jets 24, Titans 17
RB Allen scored game-winning TD on 20-yard run with 4:31 left.
Jets’ first three drives: 12 plays, 20 yards, three punts.
Jets rest of game: 44 plays, 245 yards, 24 points.
Rodgers is 160-86-1 as an NFL starter.

In its first two games, Tennessee was outscored 38-7 in second half.
Titans are first team since 2012 to have punt blocked in each of their first two games.
QB Levis is 3-8 as an NFL starter.
Titans slip to 13-8-1 ATS in last 22 games as a home underdog.

Commanders 21, Giants 18
Washington had seven drives, kicked seven field goals.
Commanders ran for 215 yards, outgained Giants, 425-304.
Rookie QB Daniels threw for 226 yards, ran for 44 more.
Washington is 15-9-2 ATS in last 26 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Giants’ kicker got hurt on opening kickoff, missed rest of game.
Giants scored 3 TD’s, were 0-2 on 2-point plays, 0-1 on PAT’s.
Only eight of the Giants’ 51 plays came on third down (4-8).
QB Jones is 23-39-1 as an NFL starter.

 

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Monday, September 16

 

[Udog]

MLB

Monday, September 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Minnesota vs Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games

Washington vs NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Washington is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
NY Mets is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Washington
NY Mets is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

LA Dodgers vs Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Atlanta's last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 13 games

Oakland vs Chi Cubs
Oakland is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Oakland's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
Chi Cubs is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Oakland

Detroit vs Kansas City
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit

Philadelphia vs Milwaukee
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Pittsburgh vs St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games

Arizona vs Colorado
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games at home

Chi White Sox vs LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing LA Angels
Chi White Sox is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games at home
LA Angels is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

Houston vs San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Houston


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, September 16

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 16​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
MIN at CLE	06:40 PM	CLE +102 O 7.5	+500 +500
WAS at NYM	07:10 PM	NYM -183 U 7.5	+500 +500
LAD at ATL	07:20 PM	ATL +106 O 7.5	+500 +500
PHI at MIL	07:40 PM	PHI -107 O 8.0	+500 +500
OAK at CHC	07:40 PM	CHC -193 O 7.5	+500 +500
DET at KC	07:40 PM	KC -139 O 8.0	+500 +500
PIT at STL	07:45 PM	PIT -134 U 7.0	+500 +500
AZ at COL	08:40 PM	AZ -171 O 11.5	+500 +500
CHW at LAA	09:38 PM	LAA -177 O 8.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

SEPT. BEST BET RECORD:

09/16/2024.....................5 - 7 - 1................................41.66%...................- 18.55
09/15/2024...................13 - 12 - 0.............................52.00%...................- 2.00
09/14/2024...................14 - 9 - 1...............................60.86%....................+ 26.95
09/13/2024...................14 - 12 - 0.............................53.84%....................+ 7.80
09/12/2024.....................4 - 10 - 0.............................28.57%.....................- 39.25
09/11/2024.....................7 - 15 - 1.............................31.81%......................- 53.40
09/10/2024...................11 - 12 - 1.............................47.82%......................- 5.25
09/09/2024......................8 - 4 - 1 .............................66.66%......................+ 25.45
09/08/2024....................13 - 13 - 0............................50.00%...................... - 5.40
09/07/2024......................14 - 8 - 1............................63.63%......................+ 26.35
09/06/2024....................13 - 10 - 1............................56.52%.......................+ 13.15
09/05/2024.........................8 - 7 - 1...........................53.33%......................- 2.25
09/04/2024........................7 - 12 - 0..........................36.84%......................- 40.45
09/03/2024....................... 9 - 11 - 2...........................45.00%.....................- 11.15
09/02/2024........................11 - 9 - 0...........................55.00%.....................+ 1.65
09/01/2024......................12 - 12 - 1...........................50.00%.....................+ 0.90
47.82
TOTALS.........................163 - 163 - 10.........................50.00%......................-71.45

*************************************************************

BEST BET TOTALS:

Mar - April : TOTALS................292 - 260 - 7...............52.98%..................+ 96.45
May.........: TOTALS....................336 - 300 - 18.............52.83%..................+143.50
June..........TOTALS...................289 - 313 - 12..............48.00%................. -186.21
July...........TOTALS.....................275 - 259 - 8...............51.98%..................- 2.98
Aug...........TOTALS....................331 - 301 - 12.............52.37.....................+ 9.96

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
— Padres 3, Astros 1- Yu Darvish tossed six shutout IP.
— White Sox 8, Angels 4- Chicago (36-115) has won three in a row
— Royals 7, Tigers 6- Detroit led 5-1 after four innings.
— Cardinals 4, Pirates 0- Andre Pallante struck out nine in 7 IP.
— Rockies 3, Arizona 2- Winning run scored on a throwing error.
— Falcons 22, Eagles 21- Cousins threw 7-yard TD pass with 0:34 left.

Quote of the Day
“I think everything’s on the table. Ultimately, my goal is to be in that batter’s box, in the field every single day. Whether that’s moving to a corner or DHing more, I’ll leave it up to the front office to come up with a plan. Where I’m at and what’s happened the last few years, I’m definitely going to try to explore every option that can keep me out there.”
Mike Trout

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Kirk Cousins play his college football?

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie A Star is Born, Andrew Dice Clay played Lady Gaga’s father.

****************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Trends all for 30 MLB teams…….​

Trends for all 30 MLB teams…….(thru Sunday’s games)

— Arizona is 57-37 vs righty starters, 26-29 vs lefties.
Over is 20-7 in Diamondbacks’ last 27 games.

— Atlanta is 9-4 in its last 13 home games.
Under is 13-3 in their last 16 home games.

— Cubs won 11 of their last 15 road games.
Over is 12-3 in their last 15 road games.

— Cincinnati is 9-5 in its last fourteen games.
Reds are 14-27 in one-run games.

— Colorado is 9-1 in last ten home series openers.
Under is 7-2 in Rockies’ last nine road games.

— Dodgers lost four of their last six games.
Dodgers are 33-17 against lefty starting pitchers.

— Miami lost six of its last seven games.
Marlins are 10-44 against lefty starting pitchers, 45-51 vs righties.

— Under is 7-3 in Brewers’ last ten games.
Milwaukee is 19-23 against lefty starting pitchers, 67-40 vs righties.

— Mets are 9-3 in their last 12 home games.
Mets are 11-1 in their last 12 home series openers.

— Phillies won 11 of their last 14 games.
Phillies are 26-25 in day games, 64-34 in night games.

— Pirates are 2-9 in last 11 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.
Under is 6-3 in their last nine road games.

— Cardinals are 1-11 in their last dozen home series openers.
Under is 7-1 in their last eight home games.

— San Diego is 9-1 in extra-inning games.
Padres are 8-1 in last nine road series openers.

— San Francisco is 33-30 in day games, 39-48 in night games.
Giants are 2-8 in last 12 ten home games.

— Washington is 10-8 in its last 18 home games.
Under is 8-4 in their last 12 road games.

Famous birthdays, September 17th
Phil Jackson, 79
Junior Bridgeman, 72
Mark Brunell, 54
Dan Haren, 44
Alexander Ovechkin, 39
Marcus Semien, 34
Jose Ramirez, 32
Patrick Mahomes, 29
James Wood, 22

— Orioles are 2-7 in game after their last nine wins.
Last five Baltimore games stayed under.

— Red Sox lost eight of their last nine road games.
Boston is 58-49 vs righty starters, 17-26 vs lefties; last two years, they were 47-31 vs lefties.

— White Sox are 6-43 since the All-Star break.
Chicago is 2-17 in its last 19 series openers.

— Guardians are 22-11 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.
Cleveland is 29-12 vs lefty starting pitchers; LY, they were 24-35.

— Detroit is 7-3 in its last ten games.
Under is 14-3 in their last 17 home games.

— Houston won its last four games.
Last two years, Houston was 70-33 vs lefty starters; this year, they’re 21-21.

— Royals lost eight of their last eleven road games.
Royals are 69-50 vs righty starters, 13-18 vs lefties.

— Angels lost seven of their last eight games.
They’re 2-11 in their last 13 series openers.

— Minnesota is 8-17 in its last 25 games.
Over is 6-0 in their last six games.

— New York is 7-3 in its last ten games.
Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games.

— A’s are 9-7 in their last 16 games.
Oakland is 9-1 in its last ten series openers.

— Mariners are 13-9 since they changed managers,
Seattle is 7-19 in last 26 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Tampa Bay is 4-7 in its last 11 games.
Under is 20-6 in their last 26 road games.

— Texas lost five of its last six games.
Rangers are 16-22 vs lefty starting pitchers.

— Toronto is 4-1 in its last five games.
Under is 10-3 in their last 13 road games.

 

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Tuesday, September 17

 

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, September 17

 

[Udog]

MLB

Tuesday, September 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

San Francisco vs Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing San Francisco

Minnesota vs Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Minnesota's last 24 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games at home

Atlanta vs Cincinnati
Atlanta is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

LA Dodgers vs Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games

Boston vs Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Washington vs NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
NY Mets is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Oakland vs Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Oakland's last 17 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland

Detroit vs Kansas City
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

Philadelphia vs Milwaukee
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home

Pittsburgh vs St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Toronto vs Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Texas
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Texas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto

Arizona vs Colorado
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games on the road
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Chi White Sox vs LA Angels
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 8 games when playing Chi White Sox
LA Angels is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

Houston vs San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
San Diego is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston
San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston

NY Yankees vs Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 17​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
SF at BAL	06:35 PM	BAL +103 O 7.5	+500 +500
ATL at CIN	06:40 PM	ATL -133 U 8.5	+500 +500
MIN at CLE	06:40 PM	CLE -122 O 8.5	+500 +500
LAD at MIA	06:40 PM	LAD -204 U 9.5	+500 +500
BOS at TB	06:50 PM	TB -102 O 7.5	+500 +500
WAS at NYM	07:10 PM	NYM -156 O 8.0	+500 +500
PHI at MIL	07:40 PM	PHI -138 U 7.5	+500 +500
DET at KC	07:40 PM	DET +152 O 8.0	+500 +500
OAK at CHC	07:40 PM	CHC -157 U 8.0	+500 +500
PIT at STL	07:45 PM	STL -133 U 8.0	+500 +500
TOR at TEX	08:05 PM	TEX -129 O 7.5	+500 +500
AZ at COL	08:40 PM	AZ -150 U 11.5	+500 +500
CHW at LAA	09:38 PM	CHW +145 O 8.0	+500 +500
NYY at SEA	09:40 PM	SEA +107 O 7.0	+500 +500
HOU at SD	09:40 PM	HOU +104 U 7.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

SEPT. BEST BET RECORD:

09/17/2024..................13 - 11 - 1..............................54.16%...................- 1.60
09/16/2024.....................5 - 7 - 1..............................41.66%...................- 18.55
09/15/2024...................13 - 12 - 0.............................52.00%...................- 2.00
09/14/2024...................14 - 9 - 1...............................60.86%....................+ 26.95
09/13/2024...................14 - 12 - 0.............................53.84%....................+ 7.80
09/12/2024.....................4 - 10 - 0.............................28.57%.....................- 39.25
09/11/2024.....................7 - 15 - 1.............................31.81%......................- 53.40
09/10/2024...................11 - 12 - 1.............................47.82%......................- 5.25
09/09/2024......................8 - 4 - 1 .............................66.66%......................+ 25.45
09/08/2024....................13 - 13 - 0............................50.00%...................... - 5.40
09/07/2024......................14 - 8 - 1............................63.63%......................+ 26.35
09/06/2024....................13 - 10 - 1............................56.52%.......................+ 13.15
09/05/2024.........................8 - 7 - 1...........................53.33%......................- 2.25
09/04/2024........................7 - 12 - 0..........................36.84%......................- 40.45
09/03/2024....................... 9 - 11 - 2...........................45.00%.....................- 11.15
09/02/2024........................11 - 9 - 0...........................55.00%.....................+ 1.65
09/01/2024......................12 - 12 - 1...........................50.00%.....................+ 0.90
47.82
TOTALS.........................176 - 174 - 11.........................50.28%......................-73.05

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BEST BET TOTALS:

Mar - April : TOTALS................292 - 260 - 7...............52.98%..................+ 96.45
May.........: TOTALS....................336 - 300 - 18.............52.83%..................+143.50
June..........TOTALS...................289 - 313 - 12..............48.00%................. -186.21
July...........TOTALS.....................275 - 259 - 8...............51.98%..................- 2.98
Aug...........TOTALS....................331 - 301 - 12.............52.37.....................+ 9.96

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting college football spreads this week:
— USC (-5.5) @ Michigan
— Utah @ Oklahoma State (-2)
— Tennessee (-7) @ Oklahoma
— Kansas State (-6.5) @ BYU
— Florida (-6) @ Mississippi State
— Arkansas @ Auburn (-3)

Quote of the Day
“I’ve kind of been in every scenario. I’ve come up as a rookie, I’ve had some success. I’ve been a veteran who’s been more of a leader, and I’ve kind of been a guy who’s struggled with injuries and seen his play decline. I’ve gone through the whole gauntlet of what a player could go through. So I feel like I can understand where all the guys are at mentally and what they’re thinking.”
White Sox interim manager Grady Sizemore

Wednesday’s quiz
In the history of the NFL’s Chargers, who caught the most passes?

Tuesday’s quiz
Kirk Cousins played his college football at Michigan State.

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.

***************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….​

— Falcons 22, Eagles 21- Atlanta QB Kirk Cousins makes $45M a year; Monday night, he showed why he’s worth that much.
He drove the Falcons 70 yards in six plays, throwing the game-winning TD pass against the Eagles with 0:34 left in a 22-21 Atlanta win in Philadelphia Monday night.
Cousins was 20-29/241 passing, with two TD’s. Very clutch performance

— Miami Dolphins put QB Tua Tagovailoa (concussion) on IR; he is out until at least Week 8- they signed QB Tyler Huntley off of Baltimore’s practice squad.

— There are 16 games on the Week 3 NFL schedule; 10 of the 16 games are AFC-NFC matchups, which seems like a lot. NFL likes to hoard the glitzier divisional games until later in the season, or into their Amazon package.
There are also two Monday night games this week, which is unusual; no idea why, but Jaguars-Bills, Commanders-Bengals are on the docket Monday.

— Weeks 2-6, the Thursday night Amazon NFL game is a divisional rivalry; then in Week 7, it is Denver at New Orleans, Sean Payton’s return to Bourbon Street.

— Carolina Panthers are benching 2nd-year QB Bryce Young, will start veteran Andy Dalton this week in Las Vegas against the Raiders.
Young is 2-16 as an NFL starter; he needs to sit-watch-learn for a while. Carolina hasn’t led in the 4th quarter in any of its last 20 games, the 2nd-longest streak ever.
Dalton is 36 years old, is 83-78-2 as an NFL starter; he started once for Carolina last year. His glory days were with the Bengals, where he played for coach Marvin Lewis, who is now an assistant coach with the Raiders, Carolina’s opponent this week.

— Let’s review the 2023 trade between the Bears/Panthers:
Carolina got:
The #1 pick in the draft- they took QB Bryce Young
Chicago got:
WR DJ Moore
1st round pick in 2023 (OL Darnell Wright)
2nd round pick in 2023 (CB Tyrique Stevenson
2024 1st round pick (QB Caleb Williams)
2025 2nd round pick
Carolina Panthers are owned by hedge fund trader David Tepper, the wealthiest owner in the NFL. Tepper sent the Panthers’ GM packing last year; we’ll see how fast they can clean up the mess that guy left behind.

— Not only are the Tennessee Titans off to an 0-2 start, they’re first team since 2012 to have a punt blocked in each of their first two games. Tennessee is also minus-4 in turnovers; they’ve been outscored 38-7 in the second half of their games.

— Famous birthdays, September 18th
Frankie Avalon, 84
Billy Gambrell, 83
Billy Sims, 69
Ryne Sandberg, 65
Holly Robinson Peete, 60
Toni Kukoc, 56
Jason Sudeikis, 49
Kevin Dotson, 28
Andre Pallante, 26

— From 2005-23, Pitt Panthers trailed 72 games by 10+ points in the 4th quarter; they lost all 72 of those games.
So far this season, Pitt trailed both Cincinnati/West Virginia by 10+ points in the 4th quarter, but won both games, behind QB Eli Holstein, whose thrown for 939 yards in three games.

— In Week 1, Cincinnati was the most popular pick in the Circa survivor pool in Las Vegas; they lost. 4,895 of the 14,206 people in the pool got KO’d when the Bengals lost
In Week 2, Baltimore was the most popular pick; they lost too. 2,304 people got knocked out when the Ravens lost. After two weeks, half the people are out of the pool already.
Handicapping the NFL is difficult; underdogs were 8-7 SU/10-4-1 ATS in Week 2.

— Packers at Tennessee game this week has an unexpected interesting subplot; QB Mailk Willis was a 3rd round pick by the Titans in the 2022 draft, out of Liberty (he had been a backup at Auburn before that).
Willis played in 11 games for the Titans, starting three (1-2); he completed 53% of his passes, with no TD’s, 3 INT’s. He ran the ball 32 times for 144 yards and a TD.
Last month, Willis was traded to Green Bay for a 7th round draft pick; 27 days after the trade, he is starting against his old team. Should be interesting.

— Kansas City Chiefs are bringing back RB Kareem Hunt; he spent the last five years with the Browns, after running for 1,327/824 yards in his first two NFL seasons, with the Chiefs. With Isiah Pacheco out injured for a while, Chiefs needed another RB.

— Astros 4, Padres 3
Jose Altuve fouled a ball off his toe, but the umpire called the ball fair and Altuve was out. He took his shoe/sock off to show the umpire that his toe was hurt— he got ejected.
Josh Hader got four outs for Houston; he never pitched more than an inning for San Diego.
This was San Diego’s 52nd sellout this season.

— Reds 6, Braves 5
Atlanta led 5-1 in 4th inning, 5-2 in 6th inning.
Reds used seven pitchers to get 27 outs.

— Marlins 11, Dodgers 9
Jesus Sanchez was 5-5 with three RBI.
Shohei Ohtani hit his 48th home run.
Dodgers lead in NL West is down to 3.5 games.

— A’s 4, Cubs 3
Shea Langeliers homered twice, has 28 for the season.
A’s were 50-112 last year; they’re 66-86 this year.

— Tigers 3, Royals 1 (10)
Detroit is 24-10 in its last 34 games.
Royals were 56-106 last year; they’re 82-70 this year.

— Rockies 8, Diamondbacks 2
Ezequiel Tovar was 3-5, with two runs, 2 RBI
Arizona lost four of its last five games.

— If the baseball playoffs starter today (they don’t):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Padres-Diamonfbacks-Mets
AL: New York, Guardians, Houston. Wild Cards: Orioles-Royals-Twins
Mets lead Atlanta by two games for the last NL playoff spot.
Twins lead Detroit by 1.5 games for the last AL playoff spot.

 

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Tuesday, September 17

 

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, September 17

 

[Udog]

MLB

Tuesday, September 17

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Trend Report
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Oakland vs Chi Cubs
Oakland is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Oakland's last 18 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
Chi Cubs is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland

Arizona vs Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Arizona is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Chi White Sox vs LA Angels
Chi White Sox is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Chi White Sox is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 9 games when playing Chi White Sox

San Francisco vs Baltimore
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
San Francisco is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco

Minnesota vs Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games at home
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Atlanta vs Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

LA Dodgers vs Miami
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

Houston vs San Diego
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games

Boston vs Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games

Washington vs NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

Detroit vs Kansas City
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

Philadelphia vs Milwaukee
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games at home

Pittsburgh vs St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Toronto vs Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Texas
Toronto is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

NY Yankees vs Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Seattle
NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games


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[Udog]