Cnotes NL 2024-2025 Schedule, Best Bets, Opinons, News !
- Thread starter Cnotes53
- Start date
SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 3
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| NO at CAR | 01:00 PM | CAR +7.0 U 43.5 | +500 +500 |
| MIA at BUF | 01:00 PM | MIA +6.0 O 49.0 | +500 +500 |
| WAS at NYG | 01:00 PM | WAS -4.0 U 44.0 | +500 +500 |
| DAL at ATL | 01:00 PM | DAL +3.5 O 52.0 | +500 +500 |
| LAC at CLE | 01:00 PM | LAC -1.5 U 42.0 | +500 +500 |
| DEN at BAL | 01:00 PM | BAL -9.0 U 46.5 | +500 +500 |
| NE at TEN | 01:00 PM | TEN -3.5 U 38.5 | +500 +500 |
| LV at CIN | 01:00 PM | LV +8.0 O 45.0 | +500 +500 |
| JAC at PHI | 04:05 PM | JAC +7.5 O 45.5 | +500 +500 |
| CHI at ARI | 04:05 PM | ARI -2.0 U 44.5 | +500 +500 |
| LA at SEA | 04:25 PM | LA -1.0 O 48.0 | +500 +500 |
| DET at GB | 04:25 PM | GB +2.5 U 48.0 | +500 +500 |
| IND at MIN | 08:20 PM | IND +5.0 O 47.0 | +500 +500 |
NFL BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !
11/03/2024...................9 - 5 - 1......................64.28%......................+ 17.50
TOTALS.........................9 - 5 - 1......................64.28%......................+ 17.50
11/03/2024...................9 - 5 - 1......................64.28%......................+ 17.50
TOTALS.........................9 - 5 - 1......................64.28%......................+ 17.50
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,270
- 16
- 38
Armadillo Sports
Monday’s 6-pack:
Week 10 NFL spreads:
— Bengals @ Baltimore (-6)
— Giants (-5) vs Carolina (@ Munich, Germany)
— Broncos @ Kansas City (-9)
— Steelers @ Washington (-2.5)
— Falcons (-3.5) @ New Orleans
— 49ers (-6) @ Tampa Bay
Quote of the Day
“What a unique, weird game that was. What a job by our group to come away with the win.”
Rams coach Sean McVay
Monday’s quiz
Who was the Miami Dolphins’ QB, last time they won a game in Buffalo?
Sunday’s quiz
Gerrit Cole broke into the major leagues with the Pittsburgh Pirates, in 2013.
Saturday’s quiz
In the TV show The West Wing, when President Bartlet’s daughter is kidnapped, the president steps aside until she is found. John Goodman’s character took over as president in those two episodes.
******************************************************
Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..
Rams 26, Seahawks 20 OT
Seattle’s first five drives: 24 plays, 44 yards, 4 punts and an INT
Seattle’s next two drives: 2 TD’s 0:46 apart at end of first half.
Seahawks led 13-3 at halftime.
Seattle for rest of game: 37 plays, 185 yards, 7 points.
Seattle is 0-5 when it gives up more than 20 points.
Smith threw two INTs in red zone; one was run back 102 yards for a TD.
Stafford threw a 39-yard walk-off TD pass to Robinson in overtime.
Rams are 3-0 scoring 26+ points, 1-3 scoring 20 or fewer points.
Six of their eight games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
Last five games, opponents are 13-54 on third down.
Bills 30, Dolphins 27
Tyler Bass kicked a 61-yard FG with 0:10 left for the win.
Bass had previously missed a PAT, banked in another off an upright.
Dolphins had tied game on a TD with 1:38 left.
Miami lost six of its last seven games, last three by 1-5-3 points.
Dolphins led 10-6 at halftime.
Bills in 2nd half: four drives- 32 plays, 231 yards, 24 points.
Last four Buffalo games went over the total.
Bills won 15 of last 17 games vs Miami.
Buffalo outscored last five opponents 88-33 in second half.
Panthers 23, Saints 22
Carolina drove 64 yards, scored game-winning TD with 2:18 left.
Panthers’ win snapped their 5-game losing skid.
QB Young got his third win in 20 career NFL starts.
Saints had 10 penalties for 109 yards, Carolina six for 55.
Saints outgained Carolina 427-246, were +1 in turnovers but still lost.
New Orleans is 0-7 SU/1-6 ATS in its last seven games.
Last four games, New Orleans was outscored 84-22 in second half.
Saints are 1-6-1 ATS last eight games as a road favorite.
Ravens 41, Broncos 10
Ravens scored five TDs, kicked FG on their first seven drives.
WR Flowers caught five passes for 127 yards, two TD’s.
Baltimore is 6-1 SU/ATS in its last seven games.
Ravens scored 28+ points in their wins, 20-23-24 in losses.
Baltimore led this game 24-10 at halftime.
Denver had four drives of 44+ yards that ended with 4th down failures. Denver is 4-0 if they score more than 20 points, 1-4 if they score 20 or less.
Broncos’ last five games went over the total.
Chargers 27, Browns 10
Chargers led 20-3 at halftime.
Browns in first half: 28 plays, 52 yards, 5 punts, 3 points.
Chargers scored 22-26-23-26-27 points in wins, 10-10-15 in losses.
Last seven games, Chargers outscored foes 95-29 in 1st half.
Winston threw three INT’s, averaged only 4.1 yards/attempt.
Chargers are 8-4-2 ATS last 14 games as road favorites.
Under is 7-1 in Chargers’ first eight games.
AFC West favorites are 8-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
Bengals 41, Raiders 24
Bengals’ first five drives: 44 plays, 295 yards, 31 points.
Cincinnati outgained the Raiders, 373-217.
Burrow was 27-39/251 passing, with five TD’s.
Cincinnati is 21-10-1 ATS in last 32 games coming off a loss.
Bengals were 8-15 on third down, Raiders 5-13.
Raiders lost their last five games, by 16-19-5-7-7 points.
Las Vegas has 19 turnovers in nine games (minus-14).
Last six games, Raiders averaged 5.6 or fewer yards/pass attempt.
Commanders 27, Giants 22
Washington is 7-2 for the first time since 1996.
Commanders’ first 4 drives: 29 plays, 193 yards, 21 points.
Commanders are 5-1 ATS last six games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Washington converted 43 of last 85 third down plays.
Giants are 0-5 at home (1-4 ATS), scoring 4 TD’s on 48 drives.
Offense improved some in this game (3 TD’s on 7 drives).
QB Jones is 25-44-1 as an NFL starter.
Washington averaged 9.5 yards/pass attempt.
Famous birthdays, November 4th:
Loretta Swit, 87
Ralph Macchio, 63
Eric Karros, 57
Carlos Baerga, 56
Matthew McConaughey, 55
Orlando Pace, 49
Devin Hester, 42
Jared Verse, 24
Tyrese Maxey, 24
Falcons 27, Cowboys 21
Cousins threw 3 TD passes, averaged 8.1 yards/attempt.
Atlanta won five of its last six games SU.
Falcons were held to 10-17-14 points in their losses.
6-3 Atlanta leads NFC South by 1.5 games over Tampa Bay.
Dallas lost its last three games, giving up 47-30-27 points.
Cowboys ran ball for 137 yards, their most YR this season.
Cowboys outgained Atlanta, 378-310.
Dallas converted only once in five 4th down tries.
QB Prescott left with a hamstring injury.
Titans 20, Patriots 17 OT
NE QB Maye threw 5-yard TD pass on last play of regulation to force OT.
Titans drive 72 yards, kicked FG in OT, taking 7:28 off clock.
Tennessee outgained Patriots 400-295, were +2 in turnovers.
Titans converted 7-16 on third down, New England 3-11.
Patriots in first half: 27 plays, 109 yards, 3 points.
Patriots in 2nd half/OT: 40 plays, 152 yards, 14 points.
New England lost seven of its last eight games.
Patriots are 31-46 since Tom Brady left town.
Cardinals 29, Bears 9
3rd-string RB Demercado ran 53 yards for TD with 0:04 left in 1st half.
Cardinals have won three in a row, lead NFC West by a half-game.
Arizona ran ball for 213 yards, outgained Chicago 350-241.
Cardinals are 5-1 when they allow fewer than 34 points.
Bears averaged only 3.7 yards/pass attempt.
Chicago is 0-4 when they score less than 24 points.
Under Eberflus, Bears are 6-10-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
Last five games, Bears are 17 of 57 on third down.
Eagles 28, Jaguars 23
Eagles led this game 22-0 with 6:00 left in third quarter.
Down 28-23, Jaguars had ball on Philly 13 with 1:40 left, but Nakobe Dean picked off a pass in the end zone to seal the win.
Jaguars are 7-2 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
Six of their last seven games went over the total.
RB Barkley had 30 touches for 199 yards, two TD’s.
Eagles have won won four games in a row.
Philly outgained Jaguars 447-215, were 0-3 on 2-point conversions.
Eagles are 2-9-1 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.
Lions 24, Packers 14
Lions’ first four drives: 36 plays, 205 yards, 17 points.
QB Love threw an awful pick-6 with 0:32 left in 1st half.
Detroit led 17-3 at halftime, on a rainy day in Green Bay.
Under Campbell, Lions are 8-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Detroit is 7-1 ATS last eight NFC North road games.
Loss snaps Green Bay’s four-game winning streak.
Lions are 5-3 SU/6-2 ATS in last eight visits to Lambeau.
This was Detroit’s first game outdoors this season.
Last four games, Packers were outscored 40-9 in last 2:00 of half.
Green Bay outgained Lions 411-261; they were only 3-12 on 3rd down,
Vikings 21, Colts 13
Vikings in 1st half: 39 plays, 189 yards, 2 TO’s, 2 MFG’s.
Vikings in 2nd half: 33 plays, 232 yards, 21 points.
WR Jefferson caught seven passes for 137 yards.
NFC North home teams are 11-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
Colts led 7-0 at halftime, with only score a defensive TD.
Colts were outgained 415-227; they were 3-11 on 3rd down (Vikings 6-12)
Colts/Bears were only teams Sunday that didn’t score an offensive TD.
Vikings missed two field goals, 53 and 31 yard attempts.
Monday’s 6-pack:
Week 10 NFL spreads:
— Bengals @ Baltimore (-6)
— Giants (-5) vs Carolina (@ Munich, Germany)
— Broncos @ Kansas City (-9)
— Steelers @ Washington (-2.5)
— Falcons (-3.5) @ New Orleans
— 49ers (-6) @ Tampa Bay
Quote of the Day
“What a unique, weird game that was. What a job by our group to come away with the win.”
Rams coach Sean McVay
Monday’s quiz
Who was the Miami Dolphins’ QB, last time they won a game in Buffalo?
Sunday’s quiz
Gerrit Cole broke into the major leagues with the Pittsburgh Pirates, in 2013.
Saturday’s quiz
In the TV show The West Wing, when President Bartlet’s daughter is kidnapped, the president steps aside until she is found. John Goodman’s character took over as president in those two episodes.
******************************************************
Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..
Rams 26, Seahawks 20 OT
Seattle’s first five drives: 24 plays, 44 yards, 4 punts and an INT
Seattle’s next two drives: 2 TD’s 0:46 apart at end of first half.
Seahawks led 13-3 at halftime.
Seattle for rest of game: 37 plays, 185 yards, 7 points.
Seattle is 0-5 when it gives up more than 20 points.
Smith threw two INTs in red zone; one was run back 102 yards for a TD.
Stafford threw a 39-yard walk-off TD pass to Robinson in overtime.
Rams are 3-0 scoring 26+ points, 1-3 scoring 20 or fewer points.
Six of their eight games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
Last five games, opponents are 13-54 on third down.
Bills 30, Dolphins 27
Tyler Bass kicked a 61-yard FG with 0:10 left for the win.
Bass had previously missed a PAT, banked in another off an upright.
Dolphins had tied game on a TD with 1:38 left.
Miami lost six of its last seven games, last three by 1-5-3 points.
Dolphins led 10-6 at halftime.
Bills in 2nd half: four drives- 32 plays, 231 yards, 24 points.
Last four Buffalo games went over the total.
Bills won 15 of last 17 games vs Miami.
Buffalo outscored last five opponents 88-33 in second half.
Panthers 23, Saints 22
Carolina drove 64 yards, scored game-winning TD with 2:18 left.
Panthers’ win snapped their 5-game losing skid.
QB Young got his third win in 20 career NFL starts.
Saints had 10 penalties for 109 yards, Carolina six for 55.
Saints outgained Carolina 427-246, were +1 in turnovers but still lost.
New Orleans is 0-7 SU/1-6 ATS in its last seven games.
Last four games, New Orleans was outscored 84-22 in second half.
Saints are 1-6-1 ATS last eight games as a road favorite.
Ravens 41, Broncos 10
Ravens scored five TDs, kicked FG on their first seven drives.
WR Flowers caught five passes for 127 yards, two TD’s.
Baltimore is 6-1 SU/ATS in its last seven games.
Ravens scored 28+ points in their wins, 20-23-24 in losses.
Baltimore led this game 24-10 at halftime.
Denver had four drives of 44+ yards that ended with 4th down failures. Denver is 4-0 if they score more than 20 points, 1-4 if they score 20 or less.
Broncos’ last five games went over the total.
Chargers 27, Browns 10
Chargers led 20-3 at halftime.
Browns in first half: 28 plays, 52 yards, 5 punts, 3 points.
Chargers scored 22-26-23-26-27 points in wins, 10-10-15 in losses.
Last seven games, Chargers outscored foes 95-29 in 1st half.
Winston threw three INT’s, averaged only 4.1 yards/attempt.
Chargers are 8-4-2 ATS last 14 games as road favorites.
Under is 7-1 in Chargers’ first eight games.
AFC West favorites are 8-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
Bengals 41, Raiders 24
Bengals’ first five drives: 44 plays, 295 yards, 31 points.
Cincinnati outgained the Raiders, 373-217.
Burrow was 27-39/251 passing, with five TD’s.
Cincinnati is 21-10-1 ATS in last 32 games coming off a loss.
Bengals were 8-15 on third down, Raiders 5-13.
Raiders lost their last five games, by 16-19-5-7-7 points.
Las Vegas has 19 turnovers in nine games (minus-14).
Last six games, Raiders averaged 5.6 or fewer yards/pass attempt.
Commanders 27, Giants 22
Washington is 7-2 for the first time since 1996.
Commanders’ first 4 drives: 29 plays, 193 yards, 21 points.
Commanders are 5-1 ATS last six games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Washington converted 43 of last 85 third down plays.
Giants are 0-5 at home (1-4 ATS), scoring 4 TD’s on 48 drives.
Offense improved some in this game (3 TD’s on 7 drives).
QB Jones is 25-44-1 as an NFL starter.
Washington averaged 9.5 yards/pass attempt.
Famous birthdays, November 4th:
Loretta Swit, 87
Ralph Macchio, 63
Eric Karros, 57
Carlos Baerga, 56
Matthew McConaughey, 55
Orlando Pace, 49
Devin Hester, 42
Jared Verse, 24
Tyrese Maxey, 24
Falcons 27, Cowboys 21
Cousins threw 3 TD passes, averaged 8.1 yards/attempt.
Atlanta won five of its last six games SU.
Falcons were held to 10-17-14 points in their losses.
6-3 Atlanta leads NFC South by 1.5 games over Tampa Bay.
Dallas lost its last three games, giving up 47-30-27 points.
Cowboys ran ball for 137 yards, their most YR this season.
Cowboys outgained Atlanta, 378-310.
Dallas converted only once in five 4th down tries.
QB Prescott left with a hamstring injury.
Titans 20, Patriots 17 OT
NE QB Maye threw 5-yard TD pass on last play of regulation to force OT.
Titans drive 72 yards, kicked FG in OT, taking 7:28 off clock.
Tennessee outgained Patriots 400-295, were +2 in turnovers.
Titans converted 7-16 on third down, New England 3-11.
Patriots in first half: 27 plays, 109 yards, 3 points.
Patriots in 2nd half/OT: 40 plays, 152 yards, 14 points.
New England lost seven of its last eight games.
Patriots are 31-46 since Tom Brady left town.
Cardinals 29, Bears 9
3rd-string RB Demercado ran 53 yards for TD with 0:04 left in 1st half.
Cardinals have won three in a row, lead NFC West by a half-game.
Arizona ran ball for 213 yards, outgained Chicago 350-241.
Cardinals are 5-1 when they allow fewer than 34 points.
Bears averaged only 3.7 yards/pass attempt.
Chicago is 0-4 when they score less than 24 points.
Under Eberflus, Bears are 6-10-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
Last five games, Bears are 17 of 57 on third down.
Eagles 28, Jaguars 23
Eagles led this game 22-0 with 6:00 left in third quarter.
Down 28-23, Jaguars had ball on Philly 13 with 1:40 left, but Nakobe Dean picked off a pass in the end zone to seal the win.
Jaguars are 7-2 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
Six of their last seven games went over the total.
RB Barkley had 30 touches for 199 yards, two TD’s.
Eagles have won won four games in a row.
Philly outgained Jaguars 447-215, were 0-3 on 2-point conversions.
Eagles are 2-9-1 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.
Lions 24, Packers 14
Lions’ first four drives: 36 plays, 205 yards, 17 points.
QB Love threw an awful pick-6 with 0:32 left in 1st half.
Detroit led 17-3 at halftime, on a rainy day in Green Bay.
Under Campbell, Lions are 8-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Detroit is 7-1 ATS last eight NFC North road games.
Loss snaps Green Bay’s four-game winning streak.
Lions are 5-3 SU/6-2 ATS in last eight visits to Lambeau.
This was Detroit’s first game outdoors this season.
Last four games, Packers were outscored 40-9 in last 2:00 of half.
Green Bay outgained Lions 411-261; they were only 3-12 on 3rd down,
Vikings 21, Colts 13
Vikings in 1st half: 39 plays, 189 yards, 2 TO’s, 2 MFG’s.
Vikings in 2nd half: 33 plays, 232 yards, 21 points.
WR Jefferson caught seven passes for 137 yards.
NFC North home teams are 11-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
Colts led 7-0 at halftime, with only score a defensive TD.
Colts were outgained 415-227; they were 3-11 on 3rd down (Vikings 6-12)
Colts/Bears were only teams Sunday that didn’t score an offensive TD.
Vikings missed two field goals, 53 and 31 yard attempts.
NFL BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !
11/04/2024...................1 - 1 - 0.....................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/03/2024...................9 - 5 - 1.....................64.28%......................+ 17.50
TOTALS.......................10 - 6 - 1.....................62.50%......................+ 17.00
11/04/2024...................1 - 1 - 0.....................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/03/2024...................9 - 5 - 1.....................64.28%......................+ 17.50
TOTALS.......................10 - 6 - 1.....................62.50%......................+ 17.00
Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Week 10 college football spreads:
— Georgia (-2.5) @ Ole Miss
— Michigan @ Indiana (-14)
— Iowa State (-3) @ Kansas
— Clemson (-6.5) @ Virginia Tech
— Alabama (-2.5) @ LSU
— BYU (-4) @ Utah
Quote of the Day
“What’s important for all the Oklahoma State fans to know is that we’re very aware of what’s going on, and at some point in life, we all have to put trust into somebody. And I think they need to trust that we have a good plan for what’s going on here in the big picture, and we have answers. Sometimes they’re not short term. Sometimes they might be long-term answers.”
Oklahoma State football coach Mike Gundy; his team is 3-6, 0-6 in Big X games
Tuesday’s quiz
In The Hangover movies, what well-known actor played Alan’s father?
Monday’s quiz
Matt Moore was the Miami Dolphins’ QB, last time they won a game in Buffalo, which was way back in 2016. Adam Gase was Miami’s coach.
Sunday’s quiz
Gerrit Cole broke into the major leagues with the Pittsburgh Pirates, in 2013.
***********************************
There are six D-I teams with no returning players from last year, none. Players transfer at an alarming rate, so the pre-Christmas games are used to figure things out. We’ll be watching a boatload of games as we gather knowledge. November used to be a fun time to pick games; the more experienced teams cleaned up. It ain’t so easy anymore.
There are 364 Division I teams now; the Final Four is in San Antonio this year. Here are some notes from the first night of the road to the Alamo.
— FS1 did an unusual thing and cut in/out of all the Big East teams playing Monday; none of them were playing anyone good, but all the teams got some TV exposure.
Big East teams went 8-0, but four of the wins were by 7 or less points. It takes teams time to develop chemistry and you really can’t measure how that happens.
— Gonzaga 101, Baylor 63- Zags bamboozled Baylor; they made 13-31 on the arc- they looked so good they’re overrated now. Baylor was 3-21 on the arc; they beat Gonzaga in the national title game four years ago. This game was their comeuppance for that.
— Ohio State 80, Texas 72- High-level game in Las Vegas; Buckeyes made 14-28 on the arc, Texas was 7-28. Ohio State’s subs outscored the Texas bench, 33-10.
— MAC/Sun Belt Challenge
Sun Belt teams were all home; they went 8-4 in these games, with favorites going 7-5 ATS.
— Oklahoma State 89, Green Bay 76— Doug Gottlieb played his college ball at Oklahoma State, then became a TV/radio personality. Now he’s coaching Green Bay and his first game with the Phoenix was in his old college arena.
74-possession game, fast pace. Both teams shot over 45% on the arc.
— They had a tripleheader of games at Sanford Pentagon in Sioux Falls, South Dakota:
Santa Clara 85, Saint Louis 78
Billikens’ best player, Robbie Avila, hurt his ankle, played only 29:00.
Both teams took more 3-point shots than 2-point shots.
Charleston 90, Southern Illinois 80
Chris Mack’s Cougars shot 62.9% inside the arc.
SIU was +8 in turnovers, but shot only 5-21 on the arc.
South Dakota State 80, McNeese State 73
Jackrabbits were a 10-point underdog in their home state.
Game was 33-33 at halftime.
McNeese started five seniors; this will hurt their seeding in March, assuming they win the Southland title.
Lot of information to go thru; we’ll do some more tomorrow.
Famous birthdays, November 5th:
Kellen Winslow, 67
Lloyd Moseby, 65
Tatum O’Neal, 61
Famke Janssen, 60
Todd Collins, 53
Johnny Damon, 51
Jerry Stackhouse, 50
Jason Kelce, 37
Jon Gray, 33
Odell Beckham, 32
— Chiefs 30, Buccaneers 24 OT
Kansas City converted 12-18 third down plays.
Chiefs ran 83 plays for 384 yards, Bucs 52 for 284.
TE Kelce caught 14 passes for 100 yards.
Chiefs are 8-0, but they’re 4-3-1 against the spread.
Tampa Bay lost for fourth time in last five games.
Bucs drove 81 yards, forced OT on a TD with 0:27 left.
Tampa Bay’s last six games went over the total.
Bucs are 9-2 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog.
— NFC teams are 25-20 against AFC teams this season.
— New Orleans Saints fired coach Dennis Allen Monday; Saints lost their last seven games, after winning 47-10/44-19 in Weeks 1-2. Losing to Carolina gets you fired.
Allen was 18-25 in 2.5 years with the Saints; teen years ago, when the Raiders fired him after an 0-4 start, Derek Carr was the QB for that team, too.
— Las Vegas Raiders fired OC Luke Getsy and two other assistant coaches; Raiders have lost five games in a row, using three different QB’s. They also fired their offensive line coach and their QB coach. Getsy was in his first year with Las Vegas; not a lot of patience there.
— Cowboys QB Dak Prescott has a hamstring injury that is said to be worse than first feared; he is expected to miss multiple games, maybe even go on IR, which would mean missing 4+ games. Dallas is 3-5 and coach Mike McCarthy’s job is in jeopardy.
— NFL flexed the Jets-Colts game off of Sunday night in Week 11, replacing it with Bengals-Chargers. Good news for Jets fans; it’ll be lot warmer for the 1:00 game than a night game.
— Bears, Steelers are only two NFL teams that hasn’t played a divisional game yet.
— We mentioned yesterday that Detroit played its first seven games indoors, before they won in Green Bay Sunday. Last NFL team to play their first seven games indoors? The 1998 Saints, coached by Mike Ditka. Saints were 4-3 in the indoor games, but wound up with a 6-10 record.
— Tennessee Titans (16-1) scored the first touchdown Sunday; yes, you can bet on that.
Week 10 college football spreads:
— Georgia (-2.5) @ Ole Miss
— Michigan @ Indiana (-14)
— Iowa State (-3) @ Kansas
— Clemson (-6.5) @ Virginia Tech
— Alabama (-2.5) @ LSU
— BYU (-4) @ Utah
Quote of the Day
“What’s important for all the Oklahoma State fans to know is that we’re very aware of what’s going on, and at some point in life, we all have to put trust into somebody. And I think they need to trust that we have a good plan for what’s going on here in the big picture, and we have answers. Sometimes they’re not short term. Sometimes they might be long-term answers.”
Oklahoma State football coach Mike Gundy; his team is 3-6, 0-6 in Big X games
Tuesday’s quiz
In The Hangover movies, what well-known actor played Alan’s father?
Monday’s quiz
Matt Moore was the Miami Dolphins’ QB, last time they won a game in Buffalo, which was way back in 2016. Adam Gase was Miami’s coach.
Sunday’s quiz
Gerrit Cole broke into the major leagues with the Pittsburgh Pirates, in 2013.
***********************************
Tuesday’s Den: The first night of college basketball and other things……..
College basketball started Monday with an avalanche of games; no one and I emphasize NO ONE knows very much right now, and that includes the coaches, so I’ll watch a ton of games and we’ll gradually learn stuff.There are six D-I teams with no returning players from last year, none. Players transfer at an alarming rate, so the pre-Christmas games are used to figure things out. We’ll be watching a boatload of games as we gather knowledge. November used to be a fun time to pick games; the more experienced teams cleaned up. It ain’t so easy anymore.
There are 364 Division I teams now; the Final Four is in San Antonio this year. Here are some notes from the first night of the road to the Alamo.
— FS1 did an unusual thing and cut in/out of all the Big East teams playing Monday; none of them were playing anyone good, but all the teams got some TV exposure.
Big East teams went 8-0, but four of the wins were by 7 or less points. It takes teams time to develop chemistry and you really can’t measure how that happens.
— Gonzaga 101, Baylor 63- Zags bamboozled Baylor; they made 13-31 on the arc- they looked so good they’re overrated now. Baylor was 3-21 on the arc; they beat Gonzaga in the national title game four years ago. This game was their comeuppance for that.
— Ohio State 80, Texas 72- High-level game in Las Vegas; Buckeyes made 14-28 on the arc, Texas was 7-28. Ohio State’s subs outscored the Texas bench, 33-10.
— MAC/Sun Belt Challenge
Sun Belt teams were all home; they went 8-4 in these games, with favorites going 7-5 ATS.
— Oklahoma State 89, Green Bay 76— Doug Gottlieb played his college ball at Oklahoma State, then became a TV/radio personality. Now he’s coaching Green Bay and his first game with the Phoenix was in his old college arena.
74-possession game, fast pace. Both teams shot over 45% on the arc.
— They had a tripleheader of games at Sanford Pentagon in Sioux Falls, South Dakota:
Santa Clara 85, Saint Louis 78
Billikens’ best player, Robbie Avila, hurt his ankle, played only 29:00.
Both teams took more 3-point shots than 2-point shots.
Charleston 90, Southern Illinois 80
Chris Mack’s Cougars shot 62.9% inside the arc.
SIU was +8 in turnovers, but shot only 5-21 on the arc.
South Dakota State 80, McNeese State 73
Jackrabbits were a 10-point underdog in their home state.
Game was 33-33 at halftime.
McNeese started five seniors; this will hurt their seeding in March, assuming they win the Southland title.
Lot of information to go thru; we’ll do some more tomorrow.
Famous birthdays, November 5th:
Kellen Winslow, 67
Lloyd Moseby, 65
Tatum O’Neal, 61
Famke Janssen, 60
Todd Collins, 53
Johnny Damon, 51
Jerry Stackhouse, 50
Jason Kelce, 37
Jon Gray, 33
Odell Beckham, 32
— Chiefs 30, Buccaneers 24 OT
Kansas City converted 12-18 third down plays.
Chiefs ran 83 plays for 384 yards, Bucs 52 for 284.
TE Kelce caught 14 passes for 100 yards.
Chiefs are 8-0, but they’re 4-3-1 against the spread.
Tampa Bay lost for fourth time in last five games.
Bucs drove 81 yards, forced OT on a TD with 0:27 left.
Tampa Bay’s last six games went over the total.
Bucs are 9-2 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog.
— NFC teams are 25-20 against AFC teams this season.
— New Orleans Saints fired coach Dennis Allen Monday; Saints lost their last seven games, after winning 47-10/44-19 in Weeks 1-2. Losing to Carolina gets you fired.
Allen was 18-25 in 2.5 years with the Saints; teen years ago, when the Raiders fired him after an 0-4 start, Derek Carr was the QB for that team, too.
— Las Vegas Raiders fired OC Luke Getsy and two other assistant coaches; Raiders have lost five games in a row, using three different QB’s. They also fired their offensive line coach and their QB coach. Getsy was in his first year with Las Vegas; not a lot of patience there.
— Cowboys QB Dak Prescott has a hamstring injury that is said to be worse than first feared; he is expected to miss multiple games, maybe even go on IR, which would mean missing 4+ games. Dallas is 3-5 and coach Mike McCarthy’s job is in jeopardy.
— NFL flexed the Jets-Colts game off of Sunday night in Week 11, replacing it with Bengals-Chargers. Good news for Jets fans; it’ll be lot warmer for the 1:00 game than a night game.
— Bears, Steelers are only two NFL teams that hasn’t played a divisional game yet.
— We mentioned yesterday that Detroit played its first seven games indoors, before they won in Green Bay Sunday. Last NFL team to play their first seven games indoors? The 1998 Saints, coached by Mike Ditka. Saints were 4-3 in the indoor games, but wound up with a 6-10 record.
— Tennessee Titans (16-1) scored the first touchdown Sunday; yes, you can bet on that.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,270
- 16
- 38
NFL
Week 10
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Trend Report
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Cincinnati vs Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
NY Giants vs Carolina
NY Giants is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Giants's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing NY Giants
New England vs Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 7 games when playing Chicago
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver vs Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Atlanta vs New Orleans
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Buffalo vs Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Indianapolis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Minnesota vs Jacksonville
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
Jacksonville is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco vs Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Pittsburgh vs Washington
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Tennessee vs LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games
LA Chargers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Chargers's last 10 games
NY Jets vs Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing Arizona
NY Jets is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia vs Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Detroit vs Houston
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games
Miami vs LA Rams
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
LA Rams is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing Miami
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Week 10
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Cincinnati vs Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
NY Giants vs Carolina
NY Giants is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Giants's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing NY Giants
New England vs Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 7 games when playing Chicago
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver vs Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Atlanta vs New Orleans
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Buffalo vs Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Indianapolis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Minnesota vs Jacksonville
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
Jacksonville is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco vs Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Pittsburgh vs Washington
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Tennessee vs LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games
LA Chargers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Chargers's last 10 games
NY Jets vs Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing Arizona
NY Jets is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia vs Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Detroit vs Houston
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games
Miami vs LA Rams
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
LA Rams is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing Miami
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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
— Arizona State 55, Idaho State 48- ASU survived shooting 30.8% from floor.
— San Francisco 86, Cal Poly 78- Mustangs lost, but they’re a much-improved team.
— Rice 77, FIU 70- Owls shot 64.3% inside the arc.
— North Texas 80, Evansville 63- UNT out-rebounded the Aces, 39-22.
— Washington 79, Cal-Davis 73- Huskies survived shooting 21-38 on foul line.
— Kansas State 89, New Orleans 65- N’Guessan had 21 points, 15 rebounds.
Quote of the Day
“Maybe I could have not let my emotions show quite as much, but it’s also something that I’ve tried to do more and I know people in the locker room have wanted me to do a little more, whether good or bad. But I can’t show my emotion positively and then when things don’t go well, not let that be known as well.”
Bengals QB Joe Burrow
Wednesday’s quiz
Which president’s picture is on the $2 bill?
Tuesday’s quiz
In The Hangover movies, Jeffrey Tambor played Alan’s father.
Monday’s quiz
Matt Moore was the Miami Dolphins’ QB, last time they won a game in Buffalo, which was way back in 2016. Adam Gase was Miami’s coach.
*******************************************
Hawks (3-5):
— 1-5 SU in their last six games.
— 0-3 ATS as an underdog.
— Over 7-1
Celtics (7-1):
— won last three games, by 15-10-30 points.
— 2-0 ATS as a home favorite, 3-3 as road favorite.
— under 3-1-1 last five games.
Nets (4-4):
— won three of their last four games SU.
— 5-1 ATS last six games.
— 5-1 ATS as an underdog.
— under 3-1 last four games
Hornets (2-5):
— lost five of last six games SU; 1-4 ATS last five.
— 1-3 ATS at home.
— under 3-1-1 last five games.
Bulls (3-4)
— lost last two games, by 8-9 points.
— allowed 120+ points in three of last four games.
— over 5-2
Cavaliers (8-0):
— 8-0 SU/7-1 ATS this season.
— 5-1 ATS as a favorite, 2-0 as underdog.
— over 3-1 last four games.
Mavericks (4-3):
— lost two of last three games, all at home.
— 2-4 ATS as a favorite.
— under 4-2 last six games.
Nuggets (4-3):
— 4-1 SU last five games.
— 1-5 ATS as a favorite, 1-0 as an underdog.
— over 5-0 last five games.
Pistons (3-5):
— won three of last four games SU.
— 3-1 ATS as road underdogs, 2-2 as a home dog.
— under 6-2
Warriors (6-1):
— won last four games SU, scoring 120 ppg.
— 4-0 ATS on the road.
— 2-0 ATS as an underdog.
— over 3-1 last four games
Rockets (4-3):
— won three of last four games SU
— 2-3 ATS as a favorite, 2-0 as an underdog.
— under 5-2
Pacers (3-4):
— 1-5 SU if they score less than 134 points.
— 1-2 ATS as a favorite, 3-1 ATS as an underdog.
— over 5-0 last five games.
Clippers (3-4):
— lost three of last four games
— 2-3 ATS at home, 2-0 on road.
— over 3-2 at home, under 2-0 on road.
Lakers (4-3):
— lost three of last four games SU
— 3-0 ATS at home, 1-3 ATS on road.
— over 4-2 last six games.
Grizzlies (4-4):
— 2-3 ATS last five games.
— 1-4 ATS as a favorite.
— under 3-1 last four games
Famous birthdays, November 6th:
Sally Field, 78
Charlie Criss, 76
Gerald Riggs, 64
Ethan Hawke, 54
Lamar Odom, 45
Luke Jackson, 43
James Paxton, 36
Alejandro Kirk, 26
Heat (3-3):
— 1-3 SU at home, 2-0 on road.
— road team covered all six of their games.
— under 4-1 last five games.
Bucks (1-6):
— lost last six games, last two by 1-2 points.
— 1-4 ATS as a favorite.
— under 4-1 last five games.
Timberwolves (4-3)
— won four of last six games SU.
— 2-5 ATS, all as a favorite.
— over 3-1 last four games.
Pelicans (3-5):
— lost five of last six games SU
— 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS on the road.
— over 4-2 last six games.
Knicks (3-3):
— 0-3 SU if they score less than 116 points.
— 3-2 ATS as a favorite.
— under 2-0 at home, over 3-1 on road.
Thunder (7-0):
— 7-0 SU/6-1 ATS this season.
— 4-0 ATS on road, 2-1 at home.
— under 5-2
Magic (3-5):
— lost last four games, last three by 11-23-16 points.
— 1-4 ATS as road underdog.
— under 3-1 last four games.
76ers (1-5):
— lost last three games, by 10-17-2 points.
— 0-3 ATS as favorite, 2-1 as underdog.
— over 5-1
Suns (6-1):
— won their last five games SU
— last four wins were all by 6 or fewer points.
— under 3-1 at home, 3-0 on road
Trailblazers (3-5):
— split last six games SU, after an 0-2 start.
— 3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— under 4-1 last five games
Kings (4-3):
— 4-1 SU/ATS in last five games.
— 3-1 ATS as a favorite.
— over 4-3
Spurs (3-4):
— 2-3 SU in last five games
— 1-0 ATS as favorite, 3-3 as an underdog.
— under 2-1 on road (2-2 at home)
Raptors (2-6):
— 1-5 SU in last six games.
— 7-1 ATS, all as an underdog.
— over 7-1
Jazz (1-6):
— lost six of seven games SU
— 1-3 ATS as home underdog, 2-1 as road dog.
— under 3-1 home games.
Wizards (2-4):
— all four of their losses were by 13+ points.
— 1-4 ATS as a home underdog.
— over 4-1 last five games.
— Arizona State 55, Idaho State 48- ASU survived shooting 30.8% from floor.
— San Francisco 86, Cal Poly 78- Mustangs lost, but they’re a much-improved team.
— Rice 77, FIU 70- Owls shot 64.3% inside the arc.
— North Texas 80, Evansville 63- UNT out-rebounded the Aces, 39-22.
— Washington 79, Cal-Davis 73- Huskies survived shooting 21-38 on foul line.
— Kansas State 89, New Orleans 65- N’Guessan had 21 points, 15 rebounds.
Quote of the Day
“Maybe I could have not let my emotions show quite as much, but it’s also something that I’ve tried to do more and I know people in the locker room have wanted me to do a little more, whether good or bad. But I can’t show my emotion positively and then when things don’t go well, not let that be known as well.”
Bengals QB Joe Burrow
Wednesday’s quiz
Which president’s picture is on the $2 bill?
Tuesday’s quiz
In The Hangover movies, Jeffrey Tambor played Alan’s father.
Monday’s quiz
Matt Moore was the Miami Dolphins’ QB, last time they won a game in Buffalo, which was way back in 2016. Adam Gase was Miami’s coach.
*******************************************
Wednesday’s Den: Early season NBA trends……..
NBA trends (thru Tuesday, November 5)Hawks (3-5):
— 1-5 SU in their last six games.
— 0-3 ATS as an underdog.
— Over 7-1
Celtics (7-1):
— won last three games, by 15-10-30 points.
— 2-0 ATS as a home favorite, 3-3 as road favorite.
— under 3-1-1 last five games.
Nets (4-4):
— won three of their last four games SU.
— 5-1 ATS last six games.
— 5-1 ATS as an underdog.
— under 3-1 last four games
Hornets (2-5):
— lost five of last six games SU; 1-4 ATS last five.
— 1-3 ATS at home.
— under 3-1-1 last five games.
Bulls (3-4)
— lost last two games, by 8-9 points.
— allowed 120+ points in three of last four games.
— over 5-2
Cavaliers (8-0):
— 8-0 SU/7-1 ATS this season.
— 5-1 ATS as a favorite, 2-0 as underdog.
— over 3-1 last four games.
Mavericks (4-3):
— lost two of last three games, all at home.
— 2-4 ATS as a favorite.
— under 4-2 last six games.
Nuggets (4-3):
— 4-1 SU last five games.
— 1-5 ATS as a favorite, 1-0 as an underdog.
— over 5-0 last five games.
Pistons (3-5):
— won three of last four games SU.
— 3-1 ATS as road underdogs, 2-2 as a home dog.
— under 6-2
Warriors (6-1):
— won last four games SU, scoring 120 ppg.
— 4-0 ATS on the road.
— 2-0 ATS as an underdog.
— over 3-1 last four games
Rockets (4-3):
— won three of last four games SU
— 2-3 ATS as a favorite, 2-0 as an underdog.
— under 5-2
Pacers (3-4):
— 1-5 SU if they score less than 134 points.
— 1-2 ATS as a favorite, 3-1 ATS as an underdog.
— over 5-0 last five games.
Clippers (3-4):
— lost three of last four games
— 2-3 ATS at home, 2-0 on road.
— over 3-2 at home, under 2-0 on road.
Lakers (4-3):
— lost three of last four games SU
— 3-0 ATS at home, 1-3 ATS on road.
— over 4-2 last six games.
Grizzlies (4-4):
— 2-3 ATS last five games.
— 1-4 ATS as a favorite.
— under 3-1 last four games
Famous birthdays, November 6th:
Sally Field, 78
Charlie Criss, 76
Gerald Riggs, 64
Ethan Hawke, 54
Lamar Odom, 45
Luke Jackson, 43
James Paxton, 36
Alejandro Kirk, 26
Heat (3-3):
— 1-3 SU at home, 2-0 on road.
— road team covered all six of their games.
— under 4-1 last five games.
Bucks (1-6):
— lost last six games, last two by 1-2 points.
— 1-4 ATS as a favorite.
— under 4-1 last five games.
Timberwolves (4-3)
— won four of last six games SU.
— 2-5 ATS, all as a favorite.
— over 3-1 last four games.
Pelicans (3-5):
— lost five of last six games SU
— 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS on the road.
— over 4-2 last six games.
Knicks (3-3):
— 0-3 SU if they score less than 116 points.
— 3-2 ATS as a favorite.
— under 2-0 at home, over 3-1 on road.
Thunder (7-0):
— 7-0 SU/6-1 ATS this season.
— 4-0 ATS on road, 2-1 at home.
— under 5-2
Magic (3-5):
— lost last four games, last three by 11-23-16 points.
— 1-4 ATS as road underdog.
— under 3-1 last four games.
76ers (1-5):
— lost last three games, by 10-17-2 points.
— 0-3 ATS as favorite, 2-1 as underdog.
— over 5-1
Suns (6-1):
— won their last five games SU
— last four wins were all by 6 or fewer points.
— under 3-1 at home, 3-0 on road
Trailblazers (3-5):
— split last six games SU, after an 0-2 start.
— 3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— under 4-1 last five games
Kings (4-3):
— 4-1 SU/ATS in last five games.
— 3-1 ATS as a favorite.
— over 4-3
Spurs (3-4):
— 2-3 SU in last five games
— 1-0 ATS as favorite, 3-3 as an underdog.
— under 2-1 on road (2-2 at home)
Raptors (2-6):
— 1-5 SU in last six games.
— 7-1 ATS, all as an underdog.
— over 7-1
Jazz (1-6):
— lost six of seven games SU
— 1-3 ATS as home underdog, 2-1 as road dog.
— under 3-1 home games.
Wizards (2-4):
— all four of their losses were by 13+ points.
— 1-4 ATS as a home underdog.
— over 4-1 last five games.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,270
- 16
- 38
NFL
Weather Report
Thursday, November 7
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 10
Thursday’s game
Bengals @ Ravens (-6)
Bengals (4-5)
Bengals won three of last four games, after a 1-4 start.
Bengals are 4-1 if they allow 24 or fewer points, 0-4 if they allow more than 24.
Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Team total: over 5-4
Opponents’ team total: over 5-3-1
Bengals are 7-3-1 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog.
Bengals won their last three road games SU.
Cincinnati is 14-6-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a lwin.
Cincinnati is 0-4 SU in games decided by fewer than 7 points.
QB Burrow is 38-29-1 as an NFL starter.
Ravens (6-3)
Baltimore is 6-1 SU/ATS in its last seven games.
Baltimore is 6-0 if they score 28+ points, 0-3 if they score less than 28
Ravens scored 30 touchdowns on their last 68 drives.
Ravens allowed 320 PY in three of last five games.
Team total: over 6-3
Opponents’ team total: over 7-2
Ravens are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.
Over is 8-1 in Baltimore’s games this year.
QB Jackson is 67-26 as an NFL starter.
Ravens are 3-3 when they run for less than 200 yards.
Last three games, Ravens allowed 8 TD’s on 29 drives.
Last 4 weeks, Ravens threw for 11+ yards/pass attempt three times.
Ravens (-2.5) won 41-38 in OT at Cincinnati in Week 5.
Baltimore outgained the Bengals, 520-442
Ravens won last four meetings, by 4-14-2-3 points.
Over is 7-1 in last eight series games.
Weather Report
Thursday, November 7
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 10
Thursday’s game
Bengals @ Ravens (-6)
Bengals (4-5)
Bengals won three of last four games, after a 1-4 start.
Bengals are 4-1 if they allow 24 or fewer points, 0-4 if they allow more than 24.
Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Team total: over 5-4
Opponents’ team total: over 5-3-1
Bengals are 7-3-1 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog.
Bengals won their last three road games SU.
Cincinnati is 14-6-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a lwin.
Cincinnati is 0-4 SU in games decided by fewer than 7 points.
QB Burrow is 38-29-1 as an NFL starter.
Ravens (6-3)
Baltimore is 6-1 SU/ATS in its last seven games.
Baltimore is 6-0 if they score 28+ points, 0-3 if they score less than 28
Ravens scored 30 touchdowns on their last 68 drives.
Ravens allowed 320 PY in three of last five games.
Team total: over 6-3
Opponents’ team total: over 7-2
Ravens are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.
Over is 8-1 in Baltimore’s games this year.
QB Jackson is 67-26 as an NFL starter.
Ravens are 3-3 when they run for less than 200 yards.
Last three games, Ravens allowed 8 TD’s on 29 drives.
Last 4 weeks, Ravens threw for 11+ yards/pass attempt three times.
Ravens (-2.5) won 41-38 in OT at Cincinnati in Week 5.
Baltimore outgained the Bengals, 520-442
Ravens won last four meetings, by 4-14-2-3 points.
Over is 7-1 in last eight series games.
NFL BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !
11/07/2024...................2 - 0 - 0...................100.00%......................+ 10.00
11/04/2024...................1 - 1 - 0.....................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/03/2024...................9 - 5 - 1.....................64.28%......................+ 17.50
TOTALS.......................12 - 6 - 1.....................66.66%......................+ 27.00
11/07/2024...................2 - 0 - 0...................100.00%......................+ 10.00
11/04/2024...................1 - 1 - 0.....................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/03/2024...................9 - 5 - 1.....................64.28%......................+ 17.50
TOTALS.......................12 - 6 - 1.....................66.66%......................+ 27.00
Friday’s 6-pack:
Leading scorers in the NBA:
32.6— Anthony Davis, LAL
31.0— Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw
30.2— Jayson Tatum, Bos
28.8— Nikola Jokic, Den
28.6— Luka Doncic, Dal
28.1— LaMelo Ball, Char
Quote of the Day
“Really our focus with Deshaun (Watson), I would say for any player with a season-ending injury and a major injury, is first and foremost and to make sure that he gets healthy from the Achilles injury. Everything else, we’ll deal with at a later moment.”
Cleveland Browns GM Andrew Berry
Friday’s quiz
Steelers’ QB Russell Wilson played college football at which two schools?
Thursday’s quiz
Who was coach of the Baltimore Ravens, before John Harbaugh?
Wednesday’s quiz
Thomas Jefferson’s picture is on the $2 bill.
*******************************************
Bengals scored TD with 0:38 left, went for 2 points/win, but failed.
Burrow threw for 428 yards, four TD’s.
Bengals outgained Baltimore, 470-389
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in games decided by fewer than 7 points.
Bengals are 8-3-1 ATS in last 12 games as a road underdog.
Ravens’ first six drives: 31 plays, 107 yards, 7 points.
Ravens’ last four drives: 26 plays, 258 yards, 28 points.
Baltimore is 7-1 SU/6-2 ATS in its last eight games.
Ravens scored 35 touchdowns on their last 78 drives.
Opponents’ team total: over 8-2
College basketball notes from the season’s first week:
— Columbia 90, Villanova 80
Columbia shot 70% inside arc, against a Big East team.
Lions haven’t had a winning season since 2016.
Villanova started five seniors; they were favored by 17.5 points.
— Gonzaga 102, Baylor 63
Zags scored 1.44 points/possession, bringing their A game.
Gonzaga also started five seniors; they raised expectations…..a lot.
— North Florida 74, South Carolina 71
Ospreys of the A-SUN pull a big upset- they were 19-point dogs.
South Carolina led by 8 with 14:10 left in game.
Gamecocks were only 14-25 on the foul line.
— Creighton 99, Rio Grande Valley 86
Ryan Kalkbrenner was 20-22 from floor, scored 49 points.
Senior PG Ashworth was 17-17 on foul line.
Red flag: Creighton gave up 86 points to a Southland team.
— Central Florida 64, Texas A&M 61
Knights were down 11 with 6:24 left in game.
UCF was 22-31 on foul line, Aggies were 8-14.
Knights won despite shooting 34% from the floor.
— Ivy League went 3-1 against the MAAC this week, with only loss Siena’s 72-71 OT win over Brown, a game Brown led by 6 with 1:41 left in regulation.
— Famous birthdays, November 8th:
Mary Hart, 74
Alfre Woodard, 72
Jimmy Giles, 70
Chuck Cecil, 60
Courtney Thorne-Smith, 57
Brevin Knight, 49
Sam Bradford, 37
Yasmani Grandal, 36
Giancarlo Stanton, 35
— Oklahoma State 89, Green Bay 76
OSU alum Doug Gottlieb is coaching Green Bay now, plus he is still a radio personality. This was a 74-possession game, fast pace. OSU led 39-38 at halftime, which is a good sign for Green Bay’s chances of being a contender in the Horizon League.
— South Dakota State 80, McNeese State 73
Upset here; McNeese starts five seniors, is being touted as a potential Cinderella in March. Jackrabbits started two freshmen and a sophomore; they made 12-35 on the arc.
— Arizona State 55, Idaho State 48
Was reading an article that inferred how Bobby Hurley isn’t enjoying the NIL era; this game was like watching paint dry, really bad paint. 0.83 points/possession against a Big Sky team doesn’t bode well for a Sun Devil squad that is moving up to the Big X this season.
— San Diego State 63, Cal-San Diego 58
Underdog Tritons led by 6 with 9:09 left; they start three seniors, two juniors in their fifth year as a D-I team. Cal-San Diego shot 28.6% inside arc, 38.5% on the arc. Aztecs’ next four D-I games are all against top 40 teams, which will be interesting.
— Rider 68, San Diego 67
Kid on USD scored 24 points and he didn’t start; this is a good win for the MAAC against Steve Lavin’s Toreros, who started three sophomores. Rider starts four seniors, always a good thing.
— Vermont started the season with a trip to Alabama:
Vermont 67, UAB 62- Great win for America East; UAB was 0-10 on the arc.
Auburn 94, Vermont 43- Reality set in here; this game was 84-27 at one point.
— Top 5 teams in country in experience:
Xavier
Ole Miss
Nevada
Oklahoma State
Memphis
Leading scorers in the NBA:
32.6— Anthony Davis, LAL
31.0— Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw
30.2— Jayson Tatum, Bos
28.8— Nikola Jokic, Den
28.6— Luka Doncic, Dal
28.1— LaMelo Ball, Char
Quote of the Day
“Really our focus with Deshaun (Watson), I would say for any player with a season-ending injury and a major injury, is first and foremost and to make sure that he gets healthy from the Achilles injury. Everything else, we’ll deal with at a later moment.”
Cleveland Browns GM Andrew Berry
Friday’s quiz
Steelers’ QB Russell Wilson played college football at which two schools?
Thursday’s quiz
Who was coach of the Baltimore Ravens, before John Harbaugh?
Wednesday’s quiz
Thomas Jefferson’s picture is on the $2 bill.
*******************************************
Friday’s Den: College basketball notes from the first week…….
— Ravens 35, Bengals 34Bengals scored TD with 0:38 left, went for 2 points/win, but failed.
Burrow threw for 428 yards, four TD’s.
Bengals outgained Baltimore, 470-389
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in games decided by fewer than 7 points.
Bengals are 8-3-1 ATS in last 12 games as a road underdog.
Ravens’ first six drives: 31 plays, 107 yards, 7 points.
Ravens’ last four drives: 26 plays, 258 yards, 28 points.
Baltimore is 7-1 SU/6-2 ATS in its last eight games.
Ravens scored 35 touchdowns on their last 78 drives.
Opponents’ team total: over 8-2
College basketball notes from the season’s first week:
— Columbia 90, Villanova 80
Columbia shot 70% inside arc, against a Big East team.
Lions haven’t had a winning season since 2016.
Villanova started five seniors; they were favored by 17.5 points.
— Gonzaga 102, Baylor 63
Zags scored 1.44 points/possession, bringing their A game.
Gonzaga also started five seniors; they raised expectations…..a lot.
— North Florida 74, South Carolina 71
Ospreys of the A-SUN pull a big upset- they were 19-point dogs.
South Carolina led by 8 with 14:10 left in game.
Gamecocks were only 14-25 on the foul line.
— Creighton 99, Rio Grande Valley 86
Ryan Kalkbrenner was 20-22 from floor, scored 49 points.
Senior PG Ashworth was 17-17 on foul line.
Red flag: Creighton gave up 86 points to a Southland team.
— Central Florida 64, Texas A&M 61
Knights were down 11 with 6:24 left in game.
UCF was 22-31 on foul line, Aggies were 8-14.
Knights won despite shooting 34% from the floor.
— Ivy League went 3-1 against the MAAC this week, with only loss Siena’s 72-71 OT win over Brown, a game Brown led by 6 with 1:41 left in regulation.
— Famous birthdays, November 8th:
Mary Hart, 74
Alfre Woodard, 72
Jimmy Giles, 70
Chuck Cecil, 60
Courtney Thorne-Smith, 57
Brevin Knight, 49
Sam Bradford, 37
Yasmani Grandal, 36
Giancarlo Stanton, 35
— Oklahoma State 89, Green Bay 76
OSU alum Doug Gottlieb is coaching Green Bay now, plus he is still a radio personality. This was a 74-possession game, fast pace. OSU led 39-38 at halftime, which is a good sign for Green Bay’s chances of being a contender in the Horizon League.
— South Dakota State 80, McNeese State 73
Upset here; McNeese starts five seniors, is being touted as a potential Cinderella in March. Jackrabbits started two freshmen and a sophomore; they made 12-35 on the arc.
— Arizona State 55, Idaho State 48
Was reading an article that inferred how Bobby Hurley isn’t enjoying the NIL era; this game was like watching paint dry, really bad paint. 0.83 points/possession against a Big Sky team doesn’t bode well for a Sun Devil squad that is moving up to the Big X this season.
— San Diego State 63, Cal-San Diego 58
Underdog Tritons led by 6 with 9:09 left; they start three seniors, two juniors in their fifth year as a D-I team. Cal-San Diego shot 28.6% inside arc, 38.5% on the arc. Aztecs’ next four D-I games are all against top 40 teams, which will be interesting.
— Rider 68, San Diego 67
Kid on USD scored 24 points and he didn’t start; this is a good win for the MAAC against Steve Lavin’s Toreros, who started three sophomores. Rider starts four seniors, always a good thing.
— Vermont started the season with a trip to Alabama:
Vermont 67, UAB 62- Great win for America East; UAB was 0-10 on the arc.
Auburn 94, Vermont 43- Reality set in here; this game was 84-27 at one point.
— Top 5 teams in country in experience:
Xavier
Ole Miss
Nevada
Oklahoma State
Memphis
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,270
- 16
- 38
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 10
Sunday’s games
Panthers vs Giants (-5.5) (@ Munich, Germany)
Panthers (2-7)
Carolina is 1-5 SU/ATS in its last five games.
Carolina is 1-4 SU/ATS away from home this year.
Last five games, Panthers are minus-7 in turnovers.
QB Young lis 3-17 as an NFL starter.
Team total: under 5-3-1
Opponents’ team total: over 7-2
Carolina is 5-6 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
Panthers were outgained 427-246 in LW’s 23-22 over the Saints.
Over is 7-2 in Carolina games this year.
Panthers opponents are 57-118 on third down.
Carolina is 5-10-1 ATS last 16 NFC South home games.
Last four games, Carolina was outscored 54-33 in 2nd half.
NFC South underdogs are 6-9 ATS in non-divisional games.
Giants (2-7)
Giants lost last four games, scoring five TD’s on 40 drives.
Giants are 2-2 away from home, winning at Seattle/Cleveland.
Last three games, Giants were outscored 44-19 in first half.
Team total: under 5-3
Opponents’ team total: over 3-0 last three
Giants are favored for first time this season.
Under Daboll, Giants are 4-3 ATS as a favorite.
Under Daboll, Giants are 14-9-1 ATS coming off a loss.
QB Jones is 25-44-1 as an NFL starter.
Under is 6-3 in their games this season.
NFC East favorites are 4-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
Giants won last two series games, 19-16/25-3
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Broncos @ Chiefs (-8)
Broncos (5-4)
Denver won/covered five of its last seven games.
Last two weeks, Broncos converted 17-31 third down plays.
Denver is 4-0 if they score more than 20 points, 1-4 if they score 20 or less.
Team total: over 5-3-1
Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
Denver is 3-1 ATS as a road underdog this year.
Denver is 21-17-1 ATS in last 39 games as a road underdog
In wins, Broncos are +5 in turnovers; in losses, minus-6.
Under Payton, Denver is 5-6 ATS coming off a loss.
Broncos’ last five games went over the total.
Denver is 3-6 ATS in last nine AFC West road games.
Chiefs (8-0)
Short week for Chiefs after their OT win Monday night.
Chiefs won their first eight games, going 4-4 ATS.
Kansas City is 8-0 despite being minus-6 in turnovers.
Team total: over 4-0 last four
Opponents’ team total: under 5-3
Chiefs are 17-18 ATS in last 35 games as a home favorite.
Chiefs are 4-8 ATS in last 12 AFC West home games.
QB Mahomes is 98-25 as an NFL starter.
Last six games, Chiefs are 53-92 on third down.
Chiefs have outscored opponents 103-67 in second half.
Four of Chiefs’ last six games stayed under the total.
Chiefs won 15 of last 16 meetings with Denver.
Broncos are 0-8 SU/3-5 ATS in last eight visits to Arrowhead.
Over is 4-3 in last seven series games.
Steelers @ Commanders (-3)
Steelers (6-2)
Steelers averaged 8.7/8.1 yards/pass attempt in Wilson’s first two starts.
Wilson is 126-79-1 as an NFL starter, 19-27 since 2021.
Steelers are 16-10 ATS last six games as a road underdog.
Team total: over 3-0 last three
Opponents’ team total: under 6-2
Steelers allowed 18 or fewer points in wins, 27-20 in losses.
Pittsburgh is 13-7-1 in its last 21 games coming off a win.
Pittsburgh gained 409-426 yards the last two weeks.
Steelers are 9-4 ATS in last 13 games vs NFC teams.
Steelers are 16-7-1 ATS in last 24 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
AFC North underdogs are 6-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
Commanders (7-2)
Washington is 7-1 SU/ATS in its last eight games.
Rookie QB Daniels is 7-2 as an NFL starter.
Commanders are 4-0 in games decided by less than 7 points.
Last four games, Commanders are +5 in turnovers.
Team total: over 7-2
Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
Washington allowed 37-30 points in their two losses.
Washington converted 43 of last 86 third down plays.
Commanders are 10-5-1 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Commanders are 5-1 ATS in last six games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last three games, Washington averaged 8.0/7.8/9.5 yards/pass attempt.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Pittsburgh won five of last six series games.
Steelers won 38-16/23-6 in last two visits to Washington.
Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.
Vikings (-4) @ Jaguars
Vikings (6-2)
Minnesota lost two of last three games, after a 5-0 start.
Vikings allowed 31-30 points in their two losses.
Last three games, Vikings were outscored 42-24 in first half.
Vikings are 9-2-1 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
Team total: over 6-2
Opponents’ team total: under 5-3
QB Darnold is 27-37 as an NFL starter, 6-2 with Vikings.
Minnesota is 6-1-2 ATS in last nine games as road favorite.
Minnesota has 17 takeaways in eight games (+4 turnovers).
Vikings are 11-5-2 ATS in last 18 games vs AFC opponents.
NFC North favorites are 14-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Vikings are 3-0 SU/ATS in outdoor games this season.
Jaguars (2-7)
Jaguars lost last two games, by 3-5 points.
Under Pederson, Jaguars are 11-12 ATS coming off a loss.
Jaguars have nine turnovers in last five games (minus-5)
Team total: over 3-0 last three
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1 last five
Jaguars are 5-3 ATS last 8 games as a home underdog.
Last seven games, Jaguars gave up 27 TD’s on 71 drives.
QB Lawrence is 23-38 as an NFL starter.
Five of their last six games went over the total.
Jaguars are 11-31 ATS in last 41 games vs NFC opponents.
AFC South underdogs are 5-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
Minnesota is 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS in last five series games.
Vikings won 25-16/30-12 in last two visits to Jacksonville.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Falcons (-3.5) @ Saints
Falcons (6-3)
Atlanta won five of its last six games SU.
Falcons were held to 10-17-14 points in their losses.
Four of Falcons’ last six games went over the total.
Team total: over 5-4
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1-1 last six
Atlanta is 3-0 SU/ATS on road this season.
Falcons are 6-4 ATS in last 10 games as a road favorite.
Falcons are 10-14-1 ATS last 25 games coming off a win.
QB Cousins is 82-74-2 as an NFL starter.
Falcons are 7-4 ATS in last 11 NFC South road games.
NFC South home teams are 2-9 ATS in non-divisional games.
Saints (2-7)
New Orleans lost its last six games; they fired their coach Monday.
Saints are 1-6 against spread in last seven games.
Last four games, New Orleans was outscored 84-22 in second half.
Team total: over 5-4
Opponents’ team total: over 6-0 last six
Saints are 1-3 SU at home TY, losing by 3-14-13 points.
Saints are 4-8 ATS last 12 games as a home underdog.
Last 5+ years, New Orleans is 20-17-1 ATS coming off a loss (1-5 TY).
Saints are 9-11 ATS in last 20 NFC South home games.
QB Carr is 74-92 as an NFL starter.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
Saints (+2.5) lost 26-24 at Atlanta in Week 4
Koo kicked a 58-yard FG with 0:02 left for the win.
Falcons’ two TD’s were scored on defense/special teams.
Falcons are 2-5 SU/3-4 ATS in last seven visits to New Orleans.
Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.
49ers (-3.5) @ Buccaneers
49ers (4-4)
49ers have losses by 1-3-6-10 points, wins by 13-17-12-6 points.
49ers are 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS in last five post-bye games.
49ers scored 32-30-36-30 points in wins, 17-24-23-18 in losses.
Team total: under 4-4
Opponents’ team total: over 6-1-1
49ers are 7-4-1 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.
49ers are 1-4 when they run ball for less than 180 yards.
QB Purdy is 25-9 as an NFL starter.
San Francisco is +8 in turnovers in wins, minus-4 in losses.
Over is 6-2 in their games this season.
NFC West favorites are 4-5-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
Buccaneers (4-5)
Short week for Tampa Bay after its overtime loss Monday.
Buccaneers are 2-4 in last six games, despite scoring 32.5 ppg.
Bucs scored 23 TD’s on their last 61 drives.
Team total: over 7-2
Opponents’ team total: over 7-2
Bucs are 2-6 ATS last eight games as a home underdog.
QB Mayfield is 46-53 as an NFL starter, 14-14 with Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay’s last six games went over the total.
Bucs are 7-3-1 ATS in last eleven games coming off a loss.
Bucs turned ball over 8 times in last four games (minus-3).
San Francisco is 7-3 in last ten series games..
49ers won/covered two of last three visits to Tampa Bay.
Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Bills (-4) @ Colts
Bills (7-2)
Bills won their last four games (3-1 ATS)
Buffalo gave up 35-23 points in its two losses (6-0 allow less than 23).
Buffalo outscored last five opponents 88-33 in second half.
Last five games, Bills are +6 in turnovers (8-2).
Team total: over 7-2
Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
Buffalo is 17-12 ATS in last 29 games as a road favorite.
Bills are 27-20-1 ATS in last 48 games coming off a win.
QB Allen is 75-37 as NFL starter.
Buffalo trailed at halftime in four of last six games.
Last four Buffalo games went over the total.
AFC East favorites are 5-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Colts (4-5)
Indy lost last two games, by 3-8 points (5-1-1 ATS last seven)
All eight Colts games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
Underdogs are 6-2-1 ATS in Colt games this season.
Team total: under 4-3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 6-3
Colts were outgained 415-227 LW; their one TD was scored on defense.
Colts are 6-4 ATS last 10 games as a home underdog.
Indy is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
QB Flacco is 114-90 as an NFL starter, 1-2 with Colts.
Last four Colt games stayed under the total.
AFC South underdogs are 5-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
These teams haven’t met since 2021.
Buffalo is 5-3 SU in last eight meetings.
Bills are 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS in last five visits to Indianapolis.
Under is 4-2 in last six series games.
Patriots @ Bears (-6)
Patriots (2-7)
Patriots lost seven of their last eight games.
Last seven games, New England was outscored 110-53 in first half.
Patriots were held under 300 TY in eight of nine games.
Team total: under 5-2 last seven
Opponents’ team total: over 5-4
NE is 9-20-1 ATS in last 30 games as an underdog.
Patriots are 31-46 since Tom Brady left town.
Patriots are 5-13 ATS in last 18 games coming off a loss
Rookie QB Maye is 1-3 as an NFL starter.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
AFC East road underdogs are 3-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
Bears (4-4)
Bears are 3-0 at home, scoring 24-24-36 points.
Bears scored 24-24-36-35 points in their wins, 13-16-15-9 in losses.
Bears have outscored opponents 99-62 in second half.
Team total: under 4-3-1
Opponents’ team total: under 7-1
Under Eberflus, Bears are 11-7-1 ATS at home.
Bears are 8-3-1 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
Chicago is 7-5 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
Last four games, Chicago was +7 in turnovers (9-2).
Last five games, Bears are 17 of 57 on third down.
NFC North home favorites are 8-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
New England won five of last six series games.
Patriots are 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS in last three visits to Chicago.
Under is 6-1 in last seven meetings.
Titans @ Chargers (-7)
Titans (2-6)
Titans scored 17 or fewer points in their losses; 31-20 points in wins.
Tennessee is minus-11 in turnovers, with six takeaways.
Titans gained 416-400 TY last two games, their best games this year.
Team total: under 7-1
Opponents’ team total: over 3-3-2
Tennessee is 3-7 ATS in last ten games as a road dog (1-3 TY).
Titans has trailed in only two of their eight games at halftime.
Tennessee has been outscored 125-56 in second half.
QB Rudolph is 9-7-1 as an NFL starter.
Tennessee is 0-7 ATS in last seven games coming off a win.
AFC South road underdogs are 3-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
Chargers (5-3)
Chargers scored 22-26-23-26-27 points in wins, 10-10-15 in losses.
Last six games, Chargers outscored foes 95-29 in 1st half.
Last four games, opponents are 13-51 on third down.
Team total: over 5-3
Opponents’ team total: under 6-1-1
Chargers are 10-9-1 ATS last 20 games as home favorites.
Last two games, Chargers were just 8-26 on third down.
Chargers are 15-18-4 ATS in last 36 games coming off a win.
QB Herbert is 35-36 as an NFL starter.
Under is 7-1 in their first eight games.
AFC West favorites are 7-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
Home team won last eight meetings.
Titans are 0-8 SU/1-6-1 ATS in last eight road series games.
Over is 7-3 in last ten meetings.
Eagles (-7.5) @ Cowboys
Eagles (6-2)
Eagles won last four games, scoring 28-37-28 points in last three.
Last four games, Eagles allowed 4 TD’s on 38 drives.
Philly outgained last four opponents, 1,454-858.
Team total: over 3-0 last three
Opponents’ team total: under 3-1 last four
Eagles outscored last three opponents 40-13 in first half.
Philly is 6-9-1 ATS in last 16 games as a road favorite.
Eagles are 4-1 ATS away from home TY.
QB Hurts is 42-22 as an NFL starter.
Eagles are 3-9-1 ATS in last 13 NFC East road games.
Over is 3-2 in their road games TY.
Cowboys (3-5)
Dallas lost last three games, giving up 47-30-27 points.
Cowboys are 0-5 when they allow more than 17 points.
Last three games, Cowboys gave up 12 TD’s on 30 drives.
Dallas is 11-7 ATS in last 18 games coming off a loss.
Team total: under 4-1 last five
Opponents’ team total: over 4-4
Since 2021, Dallas is 1-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Backup QB Rush is 5-1 as an NFL starter (last start, 2022).
Cowboys allowed 8.1+ yards/pass attempt in their losses.
Cowboys allowed 2.7/6.8/4.3 yards/pass attempt in their wins.
Over is 3-0 in Dallas home games this season.
Dallas is 8-1 ATS in last nine NFC East home games.
Cowboys are 8-4 SU in last 12 series games.
Eagles are 0-6 SU/ATS in last six visits to Dallas.
Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.
Jets (-2) @ Cardinals
Jets (3-6)
Jets are 1-5 SU/ATS in last six games.
Jets are 3-1 if they allow 17 or less points, 0-5 if they allow 23+.
Jets are 0-5 scoring less than 21 points.
Team total: under 5-1 last six
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1 last five
Jets are 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.
Jets are 6-12-1 ATS last 19 games coming off a win.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
Jets are 5-15-1 ATS last 21 games vs NFC opponents.
Jets are 6-12-1 ATS last 19 games with spread of 3 or fewer points..
Jets converted only 25 of last 78 third down plays.
AFC East road teams are 5-9 ATS in non-divisional games.
Cardinals (5-4)
Arizona is 4-1 SU/ATS last five games, scoring 28-28 points last two games.
Cardinals are 4-7 ATS last eleven games coming off a win.
In its five wins, Arizona outscored foes 70-30 in second half.
Team total: over 5-4
Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
QB Murray is 33-41-1 SU as an NFL starter.
Cardinals scored 8 TD’s on their last 28 drives.
Arizona is 12-9 ATS in last 21 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Cardinals are 6-2 ATS last eight games vs AFC opponents.
Cardinals trailed at halftime in five of last seven games.
NFC West home teams are 6-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
Cardinals won last two meetings, 30-10/28-3
Teams split their last two meetings in Arizona.
Under is 4-1 in last five series games.
Lions (-3.5) @ Texans
Lions (7-1)
Detroit won/covered its last six games.
Lions are 6-1 SU/ATS in domed stadiums this year.
Last three games, Detroit converted only 10 of 31 third down plays.
Opponents have converted 13 of last 46 third down plays.
Team total: over 4-1 last five
Opponents’ team total: under 6-2
Under Campbell, Lions are 7-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Detroit is 11-5 ATS in last 16 games vs AFC opponents.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 19-8 ATS in games coming off a win.
Lions outscored last six opponents 141-50 in first half.
Lions have outscored opponents 44-6 in last 2:00 of each half.
QB Goff is 77-55-1 as an NFL starter, 33-25-1 with Detroit.
NFC North favorites are 14-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Texans (6-3)
Houston lost two of last three games, after a 5-1 start.
Texans have five wins by 6 or fewer points.
Last four games, Texans are +7 in turnovers.
Team total: under 7-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-1-1 last five
Texans are 4-0 SU at home this year (under 4-0)
Houston is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 16-10 as an NFL starter.
Last three weeks, Texans were outscored 41-19 in second half.
Texans are 6-15-2 ATS in last 23 games vs NFC opponents.
AFC South underdogs are 5-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
Texans are 4-0 SU/2-1-1 ATS in last four meetings.
Lions lost 20-13/28-21 in last two visits to Houston.
Over is 5-1 in last six series games.
Monday’s game
Dolphins @ Rams (-2.5)
Dolphins (2-6)
Dolphins lost three in row, six of last seven games.
Miami allowed 17-10 points in its wins, 31-24-16-31-28-30 in losses.
Miami threw for 227-224 yards last 2 games, with Tagovailoa back in lineup.
Tagovailoa is 33-23 as an NFL starter.
Team total: under 6-2
Opponents’ team total: over 4-4
Miami is 2-5 ATS in last seven games as a road underdog.
Last three weeks, Dolphins were outscored 58-31 in 2nd half.
Dolphins are 5-7 ATS in last 12 games vs NFC opponents.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 8-9 ATS in games coming off a loss
Over is 3-2 in their last five games.
AFC East road underdogs are 3-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
Rams (4-4)
Rams won last three games, scoring 20-30-26 points.
Rams are 1-4 scoring less than 26 points.
Six of their eight games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
Last two weeks, LA outscored foes 39-13 in second half.
Team total: under 5-3
Opponents’ team total: under 4-0 last four
Rams are 8-10 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.
Last three games, Rams are +4 in turnovers.
Rams are 4-8-1 ATS in last 13 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last five games, opponents are 13-54 on third down.
Under McVay, Rams are 38-46-2 ATS coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
NFC West favorites are 4-5-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
Miami won last five series games.
Rams’ last series win was in 2001.
Last three meetings stayed under the total.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 10
Sunday’s games
Panthers vs Giants (-5.5) (@ Munich, Germany)
Panthers (2-7)
Carolina is 1-5 SU/ATS in its last five games.
Carolina is 1-4 SU/ATS away from home this year.
Last five games, Panthers are minus-7 in turnovers.
QB Young lis 3-17 as an NFL starter.
Team total: under 5-3-1
Opponents’ team total: over 7-2
Carolina is 5-6 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
Panthers were outgained 427-246 in LW’s 23-22 over the Saints.
Over is 7-2 in Carolina games this year.
Panthers opponents are 57-118 on third down.
Carolina is 5-10-1 ATS last 16 NFC South home games.
Last four games, Carolina was outscored 54-33 in 2nd half.
NFC South underdogs are 6-9 ATS in non-divisional games.
Giants (2-7)
Giants lost last four games, scoring five TD’s on 40 drives.
Giants are 2-2 away from home, winning at Seattle/Cleveland.
Last three games, Giants were outscored 44-19 in first half.
Team total: under 5-3
Opponents’ team total: over 3-0 last three
Giants are favored for first time this season.
Under Daboll, Giants are 4-3 ATS as a favorite.
Under Daboll, Giants are 14-9-1 ATS coming off a loss.
QB Jones is 25-44-1 as an NFL starter.
Under is 6-3 in their games this season.
NFC East favorites are 4-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
Giants won last two series games, 19-16/25-3
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Broncos @ Chiefs (-8)
Broncos (5-4)
Denver won/covered five of its last seven games.
Last two weeks, Broncos converted 17-31 third down plays.
Denver is 4-0 if they score more than 20 points, 1-4 if they score 20 or less.
Team total: over 5-3-1
Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
Denver is 3-1 ATS as a road underdog this year.
Denver is 21-17-1 ATS in last 39 games as a road underdog
In wins, Broncos are +5 in turnovers; in losses, minus-6.
Under Payton, Denver is 5-6 ATS coming off a loss.
Broncos’ last five games went over the total.
Denver is 3-6 ATS in last nine AFC West road games.
Chiefs (8-0)
Short week for Chiefs after their OT win Monday night.
Chiefs won their first eight games, going 4-4 ATS.
Kansas City is 8-0 despite being minus-6 in turnovers.
Team total: over 4-0 last four
Opponents’ team total: under 5-3
Chiefs are 17-18 ATS in last 35 games as a home favorite.
Chiefs are 4-8 ATS in last 12 AFC West home games.
QB Mahomes is 98-25 as an NFL starter.
Last six games, Chiefs are 53-92 on third down.
Chiefs have outscored opponents 103-67 in second half.
Four of Chiefs’ last six games stayed under the total.
Chiefs won 15 of last 16 meetings with Denver.
Broncos are 0-8 SU/3-5 ATS in last eight visits to Arrowhead.
Over is 4-3 in last seven series games.
Steelers @ Commanders (-3)
Steelers (6-2)
Steelers averaged 8.7/8.1 yards/pass attempt in Wilson’s first two starts.
Wilson is 126-79-1 as an NFL starter, 19-27 since 2021.
Steelers are 16-10 ATS last six games as a road underdog.
Team total: over 3-0 last three
Opponents’ team total: under 6-2
Steelers allowed 18 or fewer points in wins, 27-20 in losses.
Pittsburgh is 13-7-1 in its last 21 games coming off a win.
Pittsburgh gained 409-426 yards the last two weeks.
Steelers are 9-4 ATS in last 13 games vs NFC teams.
Steelers are 16-7-1 ATS in last 24 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
AFC North underdogs are 6-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
Commanders (7-2)
Washington is 7-1 SU/ATS in its last eight games.
Rookie QB Daniels is 7-2 as an NFL starter.
Commanders are 4-0 in games decided by less than 7 points.
Last four games, Commanders are +5 in turnovers.
Team total: over 7-2
Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
Washington allowed 37-30 points in their two losses.
Washington converted 43 of last 86 third down plays.
Commanders are 10-5-1 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Commanders are 5-1 ATS in last six games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last three games, Washington averaged 8.0/7.8/9.5 yards/pass attempt.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Pittsburgh won five of last six series games.
Steelers won 38-16/23-6 in last two visits to Washington.
Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.
Vikings (-4) @ Jaguars
Vikings (6-2)
Minnesota lost two of last three games, after a 5-0 start.
Vikings allowed 31-30 points in their two losses.
Last three games, Vikings were outscored 42-24 in first half.
Vikings are 9-2-1 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
Team total: over 6-2
Opponents’ team total: under 5-3
QB Darnold is 27-37 as an NFL starter, 6-2 with Vikings.
Minnesota is 6-1-2 ATS in last nine games as road favorite.
Minnesota has 17 takeaways in eight games (+4 turnovers).
Vikings are 11-5-2 ATS in last 18 games vs AFC opponents.
NFC North favorites are 14-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Vikings are 3-0 SU/ATS in outdoor games this season.
Jaguars (2-7)
Jaguars lost last two games, by 3-5 points.
Under Pederson, Jaguars are 11-12 ATS coming off a loss.
Jaguars have nine turnovers in last five games (minus-5)
Team total: over 3-0 last three
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1 last five
Jaguars are 5-3 ATS last 8 games as a home underdog.
Last seven games, Jaguars gave up 27 TD’s on 71 drives.
QB Lawrence is 23-38 as an NFL starter.
Five of their last six games went over the total.
Jaguars are 11-31 ATS in last 41 games vs NFC opponents.
AFC South underdogs are 5-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
Minnesota is 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS in last five series games.
Vikings won 25-16/30-12 in last two visits to Jacksonville.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Falcons (-3.5) @ Saints
Falcons (6-3)
Atlanta won five of its last six games SU.
Falcons were held to 10-17-14 points in their losses.
Four of Falcons’ last six games went over the total.
Team total: over 5-4
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1-1 last six
Atlanta is 3-0 SU/ATS on road this season.
Falcons are 6-4 ATS in last 10 games as a road favorite.
Falcons are 10-14-1 ATS last 25 games coming off a win.
QB Cousins is 82-74-2 as an NFL starter.
Falcons are 7-4 ATS in last 11 NFC South road games.
NFC South home teams are 2-9 ATS in non-divisional games.
Saints (2-7)
New Orleans lost its last six games; they fired their coach Monday.
Saints are 1-6 against spread in last seven games.
Last four games, New Orleans was outscored 84-22 in second half.
Team total: over 5-4
Opponents’ team total: over 6-0 last six
Saints are 1-3 SU at home TY, losing by 3-14-13 points.
Saints are 4-8 ATS last 12 games as a home underdog.
Last 5+ years, New Orleans is 20-17-1 ATS coming off a loss (1-5 TY).
Saints are 9-11 ATS in last 20 NFC South home games.
QB Carr is 74-92 as an NFL starter.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
Saints (+2.5) lost 26-24 at Atlanta in Week 4
Koo kicked a 58-yard FG with 0:02 left for the win.
Falcons’ two TD’s were scored on defense/special teams.
Falcons are 2-5 SU/3-4 ATS in last seven visits to New Orleans.
Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.
49ers (-3.5) @ Buccaneers
49ers (4-4)
49ers have losses by 1-3-6-10 points, wins by 13-17-12-6 points.
49ers are 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS in last five post-bye games.
49ers scored 32-30-36-30 points in wins, 17-24-23-18 in losses.
Team total: under 4-4
Opponents’ team total: over 6-1-1
49ers are 7-4-1 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.
49ers are 1-4 when they run ball for less than 180 yards.
QB Purdy is 25-9 as an NFL starter.
San Francisco is +8 in turnovers in wins, minus-4 in losses.
Over is 6-2 in their games this season.
NFC West favorites are 4-5-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
Buccaneers (4-5)
Short week for Tampa Bay after its overtime loss Monday.
Buccaneers are 2-4 in last six games, despite scoring 32.5 ppg.
Bucs scored 23 TD’s on their last 61 drives.
Team total: over 7-2
Opponents’ team total: over 7-2
Bucs are 2-6 ATS last eight games as a home underdog.
QB Mayfield is 46-53 as an NFL starter, 14-14 with Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay’s last six games went over the total.
Bucs are 7-3-1 ATS in last eleven games coming off a loss.
Bucs turned ball over 8 times in last four games (minus-3).
San Francisco is 7-3 in last ten series games..
49ers won/covered two of last three visits to Tampa Bay.
Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Bills (-4) @ Colts
Bills (7-2)
Bills won their last four games (3-1 ATS)
Buffalo gave up 35-23 points in its two losses (6-0 allow less than 23).
Buffalo outscored last five opponents 88-33 in second half.
Last five games, Bills are +6 in turnovers (8-2).
Team total: over 7-2
Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
Buffalo is 17-12 ATS in last 29 games as a road favorite.
Bills are 27-20-1 ATS in last 48 games coming off a win.
QB Allen is 75-37 as NFL starter.
Buffalo trailed at halftime in four of last six games.
Last four Buffalo games went over the total.
AFC East favorites are 5-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Colts (4-5)
Indy lost last two games, by 3-8 points (5-1-1 ATS last seven)
All eight Colts games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
Underdogs are 6-2-1 ATS in Colt games this season.
Team total: under 4-3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 6-3
Colts were outgained 415-227 LW; their one TD was scored on defense.
Colts are 6-4 ATS last 10 games as a home underdog.
Indy is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
QB Flacco is 114-90 as an NFL starter, 1-2 with Colts.
Last four Colt games stayed under the total.
AFC South underdogs are 5-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
These teams haven’t met since 2021.
Buffalo is 5-3 SU in last eight meetings.
Bills are 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS in last five visits to Indianapolis.
Under is 4-2 in last six series games.
Patriots @ Bears (-6)
Patriots (2-7)
Patriots lost seven of their last eight games.
Last seven games, New England was outscored 110-53 in first half.
Patriots were held under 300 TY in eight of nine games.
Team total: under 5-2 last seven
Opponents’ team total: over 5-4
NE is 9-20-1 ATS in last 30 games as an underdog.
Patriots are 31-46 since Tom Brady left town.
Patriots are 5-13 ATS in last 18 games coming off a loss
Rookie QB Maye is 1-3 as an NFL starter.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
AFC East road underdogs are 3-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
Bears (4-4)
Bears are 3-0 at home, scoring 24-24-36 points.
Bears scored 24-24-36-35 points in their wins, 13-16-15-9 in losses.
Bears have outscored opponents 99-62 in second half.
Team total: under 4-3-1
Opponents’ team total: under 7-1
Under Eberflus, Bears are 11-7-1 ATS at home.
Bears are 8-3-1 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
Chicago is 7-5 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
Last four games, Chicago was +7 in turnovers (9-2).
Last five games, Bears are 17 of 57 on third down.
NFC North home favorites are 8-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
New England won five of last six series games.
Patriots are 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS in last three visits to Chicago.
Under is 6-1 in last seven meetings.
Titans @ Chargers (-7)
Titans (2-6)
Titans scored 17 or fewer points in their losses; 31-20 points in wins.
Tennessee is minus-11 in turnovers, with six takeaways.
Titans gained 416-400 TY last two games, their best games this year.
Team total: under 7-1
Opponents’ team total: over 3-3-2
Tennessee is 3-7 ATS in last ten games as a road dog (1-3 TY).
Titans has trailed in only two of their eight games at halftime.
Tennessee has been outscored 125-56 in second half.
QB Rudolph is 9-7-1 as an NFL starter.
Tennessee is 0-7 ATS in last seven games coming off a win.
AFC South road underdogs are 3-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
Chargers (5-3)
Chargers scored 22-26-23-26-27 points in wins, 10-10-15 in losses.
Last six games, Chargers outscored foes 95-29 in 1st half.
Last four games, opponents are 13-51 on third down.
Team total: over 5-3
Opponents’ team total: under 6-1-1
Chargers are 10-9-1 ATS last 20 games as home favorites.
Last two games, Chargers were just 8-26 on third down.
Chargers are 15-18-4 ATS in last 36 games coming off a win.
QB Herbert is 35-36 as an NFL starter.
Under is 7-1 in their first eight games.
AFC West favorites are 7-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
Home team won last eight meetings.
Titans are 0-8 SU/1-6-1 ATS in last eight road series games.
Over is 7-3 in last ten meetings.
Eagles (-7.5) @ Cowboys
Eagles (6-2)
Eagles won last four games, scoring 28-37-28 points in last three.
Last four games, Eagles allowed 4 TD’s on 38 drives.
Philly outgained last four opponents, 1,454-858.
Team total: over 3-0 last three
Opponents’ team total: under 3-1 last four
Eagles outscored last three opponents 40-13 in first half.
Philly is 6-9-1 ATS in last 16 games as a road favorite.
Eagles are 4-1 ATS away from home TY.
QB Hurts is 42-22 as an NFL starter.
Eagles are 3-9-1 ATS in last 13 NFC East road games.
Over is 3-2 in their road games TY.
Cowboys (3-5)
Dallas lost last three games, giving up 47-30-27 points.
Cowboys are 0-5 when they allow more than 17 points.
Last three games, Cowboys gave up 12 TD’s on 30 drives.
Dallas is 11-7 ATS in last 18 games coming off a loss.
Team total: under 4-1 last five
Opponents’ team total: over 4-4
Since 2021, Dallas is 1-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Backup QB Rush is 5-1 as an NFL starter (last start, 2022).
Cowboys allowed 8.1+ yards/pass attempt in their losses.
Cowboys allowed 2.7/6.8/4.3 yards/pass attempt in their wins.
Over is 3-0 in Dallas home games this season.
Dallas is 8-1 ATS in last nine NFC East home games.
Cowboys are 8-4 SU in last 12 series games.
Eagles are 0-6 SU/ATS in last six visits to Dallas.
Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.
Jets (-2) @ Cardinals
Jets (3-6)
Jets are 1-5 SU/ATS in last six games.
Jets are 3-1 if they allow 17 or less points, 0-5 if they allow 23+.
Jets are 0-5 scoring less than 21 points.
Team total: under 5-1 last six
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1 last five
Jets are 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.
Jets are 6-12-1 ATS last 19 games coming off a win.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
Jets are 5-15-1 ATS last 21 games vs NFC opponents.
Jets are 6-12-1 ATS last 19 games with spread of 3 or fewer points..
Jets converted only 25 of last 78 third down plays.
AFC East road teams are 5-9 ATS in non-divisional games.
Cardinals (5-4)
Arizona is 4-1 SU/ATS last five games, scoring 28-28 points last two games.
Cardinals are 4-7 ATS last eleven games coming off a win.
In its five wins, Arizona outscored foes 70-30 in second half.
Team total: over 5-4
Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
QB Murray is 33-41-1 SU as an NFL starter.
Cardinals scored 8 TD’s on their last 28 drives.
Arizona is 12-9 ATS in last 21 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Cardinals are 6-2 ATS last eight games vs AFC opponents.
Cardinals trailed at halftime in five of last seven games.
NFC West home teams are 6-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
Cardinals won last two meetings, 30-10/28-3
Teams split their last two meetings in Arizona.
Under is 4-1 in last five series games.
Lions (-3.5) @ Texans
Lions (7-1)
Detroit won/covered its last six games.
Lions are 6-1 SU/ATS in domed stadiums this year.
Last three games, Detroit converted only 10 of 31 third down plays.
Opponents have converted 13 of last 46 third down plays.
Team total: over 4-1 last five
Opponents’ team total: under 6-2
Under Campbell, Lions are 7-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Detroit is 11-5 ATS in last 16 games vs AFC opponents.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 19-8 ATS in games coming off a win.
Lions outscored last six opponents 141-50 in first half.
Lions have outscored opponents 44-6 in last 2:00 of each half.
QB Goff is 77-55-1 as an NFL starter, 33-25-1 with Detroit.
NFC North favorites are 14-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Texans (6-3)
Houston lost two of last three games, after a 5-1 start.
Texans have five wins by 6 or fewer points.
Last four games, Texans are +7 in turnovers.
Team total: under 7-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-1-1 last five
Texans are 4-0 SU at home this year (under 4-0)
Houston is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 16-10 as an NFL starter.
Last three weeks, Texans were outscored 41-19 in second half.
Texans are 6-15-2 ATS in last 23 games vs NFC opponents.
AFC South underdogs are 5-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
Texans are 4-0 SU/2-1-1 ATS in last four meetings.
Lions lost 20-13/28-21 in last two visits to Houston.
Over is 5-1 in last six series games.
Monday’s game
Dolphins @ Rams (-2.5)
Dolphins (2-6)
Dolphins lost three in row, six of last seven games.
Miami allowed 17-10 points in its wins, 31-24-16-31-28-30 in losses.
Miami threw for 227-224 yards last 2 games, with Tagovailoa back in lineup.
Tagovailoa is 33-23 as an NFL starter.
Team total: under 6-2
Opponents’ team total: over 4-4
Miami is 2-5 ATS in last seven games as a road underdog.
Last three weeks, Dolphins were outscored 58-31 in 2nd half.
Dolphins are 5-7 ATS in last 12 games vs NFC opponents.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 8-9 ATS in games coming off a loss
Over is 3-2 in their last five games.
AFC East road underdogs are 3-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
Rams (4-4)
Rams won last three games, scoring 20-30-26 points.
Rams are 1-4 scoring less than 26 points.
Six of their eight games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
Last two weeks, LA outscored foes 39-13 in second half.
Team total: under 5-3
Opponents’ team total: under 4-0 last four
Rams are 8-10 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.
Last three games, Rams are +4 in turnovers.
Rams are 4-8-1 ATS in last 13 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last five games, opponents are 13-54 on third down.
Under McVay, Rams are 38-46-2 ATS coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
NFC West favorites are 4-5-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
Miami won last five series games.
Rams’ last series win was in 2001.
Last three meetings stayed under the total.
Saturday’s 6-pack:
— Celtics 108, Nets 104 OT- Jayson Tatum had 33 points, nine rebounds.
— Suns 114, Mavericks 113- Nurkic made game-winning FT with 0:00.8 left.
— Pistons 122, Hawks 121- Cunningham had his third straight triple-double.
— Cavaliers 136, Warriors 117- Cleveland led 83-42 at halftime.
— Knicks 116, Bucks 94- Milwaukee is off to a 2-7 start.
— Thunder 126, Rockets 107- Holngren, Gilgeous-Alexander both had 29 points.
Quote of the Day
“I feel like I’ve never really got those calls, so I don’t really expect that.”
Bengals QB Joe Burrow
Saturday’s quiz
Who was starting QB for the Patriots, the first time they played in a Super Bowl?
Friday’s quiz
Steelers’ QB Russell Wilson played college football at NC State, Wisconsin.
Thursday’s quiz
Brian Billick was coach of the Baltimore Ravens, before John Harbaugh.
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Jayhawks led by 15 at halftime; they trailed for while in 2nd half.
UNC was 28-31 on foul line, Kansas 12-17.
Kansas had only four turnovers, in a 77-possession game.
— The airplane carrying Auburn’s basketball team to Saturday’s game in Houston turned around shortly after takeoff and returned to the airport Friday afternoon when activity on the plane prompted the pilot to abandon the flight plan. No bueno.
Air Traffic Control got a message from the plane that said “a bunch of basketball players were fighting” The team was expected to try and fly to Houston Friday night.
— Alabama 88, Arkansas State 79
Lot of fouls; Bama was 28-44 on line, Ark State 23-38.
Teams combined to go 12-59 on the arc. Brickfest.
— Austin Peay 68, Butler 66
Not good when a Big East team loses to an Atlantic Sun squad.
— VCU 80, Boston College 55
VCU starts five seniors; they held BC to 29.3% from floor.
— Charleston 86, South Florida 71
6-10 senior Brzovic had 34 points, nine rebounds.
Chris Mack’s Cougars are 2-0, scoring 90-86 points.
— Furman 76, Belmont 74
Paladins made 16-35 shots on the arc, 12-24 inside arc.
— Famous birthdays, November 9th:
Bruce Gossett, 83
Virgil Carter, 79
Robert David Hall, 76
Teddy Higuera, 67
Adam Dunn, 45
Michael Busch, 27
Baseball notes……..
— St Louis Cardinals are moving Willson Contreras from catcher to 1B/DH next year; he has three years left on his 5-year, $87M contract. This should keep the 32-year old Contreras a little healthier— he played in only 84 games last year, 33 of them as the Cardinals’ DH.
— Angels’ SS Zach Neto had surgery on his right (throwing) shoulder, might miss the start of next season. 23-year old Neto hit 23 HR’s last year, knocked in 77 runs.
— Former Marlins’ manager Skip Schumaker signed on with the Texas Rangers as a senior advisor to club president Chris Young, fueling speculation that he’ll be the eventual successor to Bruce Bochy as manager of the Rangers.
— Mets’ OF Tyrone Taylor has had two surgeries since the season ended, one to fix a hernia, the other one on his elbow. He is expected to be ready for the start of spring training.
— Dodgers are expected to move to Mookie Betts to an infield position next year; they said they haven’t decided whether it will be 2B or shortstop.
— Free agent 3B Alex Bregman had surgery to clean up some bone chips in his right (throwing) elbow; Bregman hit .260 last year, with 26 homers, 75 RBI.
— Bronx Bombers announced that manager Aaron Boone will be back next year; Boone has a 603-429 regular season record in seven years as a manager, 22-23 in playoff games.
— Cleveland Guardians re-signed C Austin Hedges for one year, $4M; he is a highly-regarded defensive catcher.
Guardians’ David Fry had surgery to fix a ligament in his elbow; he hit 14 homers in 122 games this past season, with an .804 OPS while playing five different positions.
— A’s re-signed reliever TJ McFarland for one year, $1.8M; he appeared in 79 games for the A’s this past season.
— Celtics 108, Nets 104 OT- Jayson Tatum had 33 points, nine rebounds.
— Suns 114, Mavericks 113- Nurkic made game-winning FT with 0:00.8 left.
— Pistons 122, Hawks 121- Cunningham had his third straight triple-double.
— Cavaliers 136, Warriors 117- Cleveland led 83-42 at halftime.
— Knicks 116, Bucks 94- Milwaukee is off to a 2-7 start.
— Thunder 126, Rockets 107- Holngren, Gilgeous-Alexander both had 29 points.
Quote of the Day
“I feel like I’ve never really got those calls, so I don’t really expect that.”
Bengals QB Joe Burrow
Saturday’s quiz
Who was starting QB for the Patriots, the first time they played in a Super Bowl?
Friday’s quiz
Steelers’ QB Russell Wilson played college football at NC State, Wisconsin.
Thursday’s quiz
Brian Billick was coach of the Baltimore Ravens, before John Harbaugh.
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Saturday’s Den: College basketball and baseball notes……..
— Kansas 92, North Carolina 89Jayhawks led by 15 at halftime; they trailed for while in 2nd half.
UNC was 28-31 on foul line, Kansas 12-17.
Kansas had only four turnovers, in a 77-possession game.
— The airplane carrying Auburn’s basketball team to Saturday’s game in Houston turned around shortly after takeoff and returned to the airport Friday afternoon when activity on the plane prompted the pilot to abandon the flight plan. No bueno.
Air Traffic Control got a message from the plane that said “a bunch of basketball players were fighting” The team was expected to try and fly to Houston Friday night.
— Alabama 88, Arkansas State 79
Lot of fouls; Bama was 28-44 on line, Ark State 23-38.
Teams combined to go 12-59 on the arc. Brickfest.
— Austin Peay 68, Butler 66
Not good when a Big East team loses to an Atlantic Sun squad.
— VCU 80, Boston College 55
VCU starts five seniors; they held BC to 29.3% from floor.
— Charleston 86, South Florida 71
6-10 senior Brzovic had 34 points, nine rebounds.
Chris Mack’s Cougars are 2-0, scoring 90-86 points.
— Furman 76, Belmont 74
Paladins made 16-35 shots on the arc, 12-24 inside arc.
— Famous birthdays, November 9th:
Bruce Gossett, 83
Virgil Carter, 79
Robert David Hall, 76
Teddy Higuera, 67
Adam Dunn, 45
Michael Busch, 27
Baseball notes……..
— St Louis Cardinals are moving Willson Contreras from catcher to 1B/DH next year; he has three years left on his 5-year, $87M contract. This should keep the 32-year old Contreras a little healthier— he played in only 84 games last year, 33 of them as the Cardinals’ DH.
— Angels’ SS Zach Neto had surgery on his right (throwing) shoulder, might miss the start of next season. 23-year old Neto hit 23 HR’s last year, knocked in 77 runs.
— Former Marlins’ manager Skip Schumaker signed on with the Texas Rangers as a senior advisor to club president Chris Young, fueling speculation that he’ll be the eventual successor to Bruce Bochy as manager of the Rangers.
— Mets’ OF Tyrone Taylor has had two surgeries since the season ended, one to fix a hernia, the other one on his elbow. He is expected to be ready for the start of spring training.
— Dodgers are expected to move to Mookie Betts to an infield position next year; they said they haven’t decided whether it will be 2B or shortstop.
— Free agent 3B Alex Bregman had surgery to clean up some bone chips in his right (throwing) elbow; Bregman hit .260 last year, with 26 homers, 75 RBI.
— Bronx Bombers announced that manager Aaron Boone will be back next year; Boone has a 603-429 regular season record in seven years as a manager, 22-23 in playoff games.
— Cleveland Guardians re-signed C Austin Hedges for one year, $4M; he is a highly-regarded defensive catcher.
Guardians’ David Fry had surgery to fix a ligament in his elbow; he hit 14 homers in 122 games this past season, with an .804 OPS while playing five different positions.
— A’s re-signed reliever TJ McFarland for one year, $1.8M; he appeared in 79 games for the A’s this past season.
Sunday’s 6-pack:
Top 6 teams in America, in roster continuity:
— Columbia
— Towson
— Texas A&M
— Fort Wayne
— Troy
— Gonzaga
Quote of the Day
“What are we, 10-0? … Not bad.”
Indiana football coach Curt Cignetti
Sunday’s quiz
What was the last Pac-12 team to win the Rose Bowl?
Hint: The team’s QB that day is currently a starter in the NFL
Saturday’s quiz
Tony Eason was starting QB for the Patriots, first time they played in a Super Bowl, after the 1985 season.
Friday’s quiz
Steelers’ QB Russell Wilson played college football at NC State, Wisconsin.
****************************************
Game was 16-16 with 3:00 left
Oklahoma scored a defensive TD with 2:00 left, led 23-16
Mizzou tied game 23-23 on a TD with 1:03 left.
Mizzou then won game on a defensive TD with 0:22 left.
— Indiana 20, Michigan 15
10-0 Hoosiers have 10 wins for first time in program history.
From 2021-23, Indiana won a combined nine games.
Indiana has a bye next week, then visits Ohio State. Big game.
— Ole Miss 28, Georgia 10
Caden Davis kicked five FG’s on a rainy day in Oxford.
Georgia’s only TD came with 10:32 left in first quarter.
Rebels outgained Georgia, 397-245; Dawgs had 3 turnovers.
— Georgia Tech 28, Miami 23
9-1 Miami’s first loss; they trailed by double digits in three other games.
Tech ran ball for 271 yards (5.6 yards/carry)
Yellow Jackets were 9-14 on third down, Miami 3-10.
— Colorado 41, Texas Tech 27
Red Raiders led 13-0 after the first quarter.
Tech was 10-20 on third down, Buffaloes 2-13.
Colorado had 14 penalties for 106 yards; they were +3 in turnovers.
— Kansas 45, Iowa State 36
Underdog Jayhawks led 31-13 at halftime.
Iowa State lost second game in a row, after a 7-0 start.
Kansas was 7-13 on third down, Cyclones 4-11.
— Upsets of the Week:
Georgia Tech (+11) 28, Miami 23
Air Force (+10.5) 36, Fresno State 28
Virginia (+7.5) 24, Pittsburgh 19
UCLA (+6.5) 20, Iowa 17
Rutgers (+6) 26, Minnesota 19
West Virginia (+4.5) 31, Cincinnati 24
— California 46, Wake Forest 36
This is the Golden Bears’ first-ever win in an ACC game.
Cal QB Mendoza was 40-56/385 passing, with two TD’s.
Cal outgained Wake, 500-386; they led 29-14 at halftime.
— Arizona State 35, Central Florida 31
Sun Devils scored game-winning TD with 4:55 left.
UCF’s freshman QB threw a horrific 9-yard pick-6 0:47 before halftime.
UCF outgained Sun Devils 406-260, but ASU is a surprising 7-2.
— UNLV 29, Hawai’i 27
#25 on Hawai’i was ejected for targeting in their last game; he had to sit out the first half of this game. On the opening kickoff of the 3rd quarter, his first play back from suspension, #25 was called for targeting again, and was ejected from this game too, which means he has to sit out the first half of their next game.
That has to be some kind of a record, not a good one.
UNLV is 7-2 this year, after going 9-5 last year. Barry Odom is a good coach.
— San Jose State 24, Oregon State 13
Spartans are 6-3 and bowl eligible for third year in a row.
San Jose State threw for 395 yards (11.3 yards/attempt)
— Famous birthdays, November 10th:
Barry Kramer, 82
Larry Parrish, 71
Steve Pisarkiewicz, 71
Jack Clark, 69
Mackenzie Phillips, 65
Kenny Rogers, 60 (the pitcher, not the singer)
Isaac Bruce, 52
Shawn Green, 52
Zach Ertz, 34
Tony Snell, 33
Teddy Bridgewater, 32
JJ Bleday, 27
College basketball from Saturday…….
— Baylor 72, Arkansas 67
Bears shot 58.8% inside arc, bouncing back from Monday’s loss to Gonzaga.
Arkansas starts two sophs and a freshman; they’re #314 in continuity.
— Auburn 74, Houston 69
If the games at the Final Four are this good, it’ll be fun.
Auburn shot 71.4% inside the arc.
Auburn used 9 guys in this game: 8 seniors and a freshman.
— Memphis 80, UNLV 74
Rebels led by 12 late in first half.
Memphis scored 30 points in first half, 50 points in second.
Tigers shot 59% inside the arc.
— Grand Canyon 74, Western Kentucky 72
Rayshon Harrison hit game-winning jumper with 0:06 left.
Antelopes were 22-29 on foul line, WKU was 8-13.
— Fordham 57, Seton Hall 56
A-15’s Rams were an 11-point underdog.
Fordham outscored Seton Hall 5-0 over the final 0:22.
Pirates were only 8-16 on the foul line.
Top 6 teams in America, in roster continuity:
— Columbia
— Towson
— Texas A&M
— Fort Wayne
— Troy
— Gonzaga
Quote of the Day
“What are we, 10-0? … Not bad.”
Indiana football coach Curt Cignetti
Sunday’s quiz
What was the last Pac-12 team to win the Rose Bowl?
Hint: The team’s QB that day is currently a starter in the NFL
Saturday’s quiz
Tony Eason was starting QB for the Patriots, first time they played in a Super Bowl, after the 1985 season.
Friday’s quiz
Steelers’ QB Russell Wilson played college football at NC State, Wisconsin.
****************************************
Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..
— Missouri 30, Oklahoma 23Game was 16-16 with 3:00 left
Oklahoma scored a defensive TD with 2:00 left, led 23-16
Mizzou tied game 23-23 on a TD with 1:03 left.
Mizzou then won game on a defensive TD with 0:22 left.
— Indiana 20, Michigan 15
10-0 Hoosiers have 10 wins for first time in program history.
From 2021-23, Indiana won a combined nine games.
Indiana has a bye next week, then visits Ohio State. Big game.
— Ole Miss 28, Georgia 10
Caden Davis kicked five FG’s on a rainy day in Oxford.
Georgia’s only TD came with 10:32 left in first quarter.
Rebels outgained Georgia, 397-245; Dawgs had 3 turnovers.
— Georgia Tech 28, Miami 23
9-1 Miami’s first loss; they trailed by double digits in three other games.
Tech ran ball for 271 yards (5.6 yards/carry)
Yellow Jackets were 9-14 on third down, Miami 3-10.
— Colorado 41, Texas Tech 27
Red Raiders led 13-0 after the first quarter.
Tech was 10-20 on third down, Buffaloes 2-13.
Colorado had 14 penalties for 106 yards; they were +3 in turnovers.
— Kansas 45, Iowa State 36
Underdog Jayhawks led 31-13 at halftime.
Iowa State lost second game in a row, after a 7-0 start.
Kansas was 7-13 on third down, Cyclones 4-11.
— Upsets of the Week:
Georgia Tech (+11) 28, Miami 23
Air Force (+10.5) 36, Fresno State 28
Virginia (+7.5) 24, Pittsburgh 19
UCLA (+6.5) 20, Iowa 17
Rutgers (+6) 26, Minnesota 19
West Virginia (+4.5) 31, Cincinnati 24
— California 46, Wake Forest 36
This is the Golden Bears’ first-ever win in an ACC game.
Cal QB Mendoza was 40-56/385 passing, with two TD’s.
Cal outgained Wake, 500-386; they led 29-14 at halftime.
— Arizona State 35, Central Florida 31
Sun Devils scored game-winning TD with 4:55 left.
UCF’s freshman QB threw a horrific 9-yard pick-6 0:47 before halftime.
UCF outgained Sun Devils 406-260, but ASU is a surprising 7-2.
— UNLV 29, Hawai’i 27
#25 on Hawai’i was ejected for targeting in their last game; he had to sit out the first half of this game. On the opening kickoff of the 3rd quarter, his first play back from suspension, #25 was called for targeting again, and was ejected from this game too, which means he has to sit out the first half of their next game.
That has to be some kind of a record, not a good one.
UNLV is 7-2 this year, after going 9-5 last year. Barry Odom is a good coach.
— San Jose State 24, Oregon State 13
Spartans are 6-3 and bowl eligible for third year in a row.
San Jose State threw for 395 yards (11.3 yards/attempt)
— Famous birthdays, November 10th:
Barry Kramer, 82
Larry Parrish, 71
Steve Pisarkiewicz, 71
Jack Clark, 69
Mackenzie Phillips, 65
Kenny Rogers, 60 (the pitcher, not the singer)
Isaac Bruce, 52
Shawn Green, 52
Zach Ertz, 34
Tony Snell, 33
Teddy Bridgewater, 32
JJ Bleday, 27
College basketball from Saturday…….
— Baylor 72, Arkansas 67
Bears shot 58.8% inside arc, bouncing back from Monday’s loss to Gonzaga.
Arkansas starts two sophs and a freshman; they’re #314 in continuity.
— Auburn 74, Houston 69
If the games at the Final Four are this good, it’ll be fun.
Auburn shot 71.4% inside the arc.
Auburn used 9 guys in this game: 8 seniors and a freshman.
— Memphis 80, UNLV 74
Rebels led by 12 late in first half.
Memphis scored 30 points in first half, 50 points in second.
Tigers shot 59% inside the arc.
— Grand Canyon 74, Western Kentucky 72
Rayshon Harrison hit game-winning jumper with 0:06 left.
Antelopes were 22-29 on foul line, WKU was 8-13.
— Fordham 57, Seton Hall 56
A-15’s Rams were an 11-point underdog.
Fordham outscored Seton Hall 5-0 over the final 0:22.
Pirates were only 8-16 on the foul line.
