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Cnotes53

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Six highest-rated leagues in college basketball:
— SEC
— Big X
— Big 18
— Big East
— ACC
— Mountain West

Quote of the Day
“I mean, we just hold ourselves to such a high standard. We don’t feel like we’re playing our best football. We have to find a way to build up to play great (as) a full, entire team. It’s awesome that we’re finding ways to get wins. That’s what you’re going for. But our goal is to get to the Super Bowl.”
Patrick Mahomes

Saturday’s quiz
USC basketball coach Eric Musselman was also head coach for which two NBA teams?

Friday’s quiz
Arizona State coach Bobby Hurley scored 3.8 ppg in his five-year NBA career; he played most of his career with the Sacramento Kings.

Thursday’s quiz
Hall of Fame QB Johnny Unitas played 18 years in the NFL, the first 17 for the Baltimore Colts; he played for the Chargers in his last season.

*************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy couple days……..

— Does winning the Maui Classic help you in the NCAA Tournament? Winning three games in three days in November; obviously, it helps your seeding, but how have the teams who have done well in Maui done in March?
I looked at the teams who played in the finals at Maui since 2000……..
4 teams who won the Maui Classic also won the national title, but North Carolina was three of those four teams (2005, 2009, 2017). UConn was the 4th team, in 2011.
Three other teams won the Maui Classic but lost in the Final Four; Arizona (2001), UCLA (2007), Purdue (last year).
2017-18 Notre Dame team is only Maui Classic champ that missed the NCAA’s; of the last 23 Maui champs, 18 won at least one NCAA Tourney game- those 18 teams went 12-6 in their second round game, so 12 of 23 Maui champs made the Sweet 16.

— Of the last 23 teams to lose the final at Maui, only two (Kentucky 2010/Kansas 2011) made it to the Final Four- neither won the national title.
The last 13 Maui runner-ups made the NCAA’s; those teams went 10-3 in their first round NCAA game, 7-3 in their second round game.
Auburn beat Memphis in this year’s Maui final; expect to hear a lot from those teams in March.

Lions 23, Bears 20
Bears in first half: 19 plays, 38 yards, trailed 16-0 at halftime.
Bears in second half: 40 plays, 259 yards, 20 points.
Chicago had ball on Lions’ 25-yard line on last drive, but didn’t score.
Bears lost last six games, four of then by 3 or fewer points.
Detroit’s first five drives: 61 plays, 352 yards, 2 TD’s, 3 FG’s.
Lions ran ball for 194 yards, outgained Chicago 405-301.
Detroit won its last ten games (8-2 ATS).
Detroit snapped a 7-game losing streak on Thanksgiving Day.

— Bears fired their offensive coordinator two weeks ago; Friday, they fired head coach Matt Eberflus, despite the improvement shown by rookie QB Caleb Williams. Eberflus was 14-32 as coach of the Bears, 4-7 this season, but Williams hasn’t thrown an INT in his last 232 passes.
This is the first time ever that the Bears fired their coach during a season.

Cowboys 27, Giants 20
Cowboys won their first home game in six tries this season.
Dallas was 7-15 on third down, Giants 3-12
Cowboys are 9-0 SU/7-2 ATS in last nine games against the Giants.
Backup QB Cooper Rush is 7-3 as an NFL starter.
Giants are 0-7 SU/ATS in their last seven games.
Last seven games, Giants were outscored 97-29 in first half.
Giants averaged only 3.4 yards/pass attempt.
Dallas outgained the Giants, 317-247.

Packers 30, Dolphins 17
Green Bay led this game 24-3 at halftime.
Miami is 0-6 when it gives up 20+ points, 5-1 if they allow less.
Tagovailoa threw for 365 yards; they ran 14 times for only 39 yards.
Loss snaps Miami’s four-game-winning streak.
Green Bay in first half: 34 plays, 203 yards, 24 points.
Packers won seven of last eight games (2-4 ATS in last six).
Green Bay is 8-0 when they allow less than 24 points.
Packers are 21-15-1 ATS in last 37 games coming off a win.

Chiefs 19, Raiders 17
Chiefs scored only one TD, were outgained 434-329.
Chiefs were 7-16 on third down, Las Vegas 3-12.
Raiders are now 0-8 SU/3-5 ATS in last eight games.
Rookie TE Bowers caught 10 passes for 140 yards and a TD.
Chiefs are 11-1; they’re also 0-6 ATS last six games.
Raiders have 23 turnovers in 12 games (minus-18).
Chiefs are 16-21 ATS in last 37 games as a home favorite.
Kansas City’s new kicker Wright made four field goals.

— LA Dodgers signed utility guy Tommy Edman to a 5-year, $74M deal; Edman hit .328 in the postseason for LA this past year, scoring 12 runs with 13 RBI in 16 games.
His career hitting stats are very ordinary, but he’s versatile defensively and that is important in modern baseball.

— Tomorrow’s den will be all about college football, but this game was notable:

Georgia 44, Georgia Tech 42 OT
17-point underdog Tech led this game 17-0 at halftime.
Georgia scored two TD’s in last 3:39 to force overtime.
Dawgs are now 20-3 in their last 23 games against Tech; Yellow Jackets covered last three.

Famous birthdays, November 29:
Jim Chones, 75
Bo Jackson, 62
Ben Stiller, 59
Marcellus Wiley, 50
Andrés Nocioni, 45
Shane Victorino, 44
Rich Harden, 43
Elisha Cuthbert, 42
Kaley Cuoco, 39

— Oklahoma 69, Louisville 64
Oklahoma wins Battle for Atlantis, winning by 2-5-5 points.
Sooners start four seniors; experience matters.
Cardinals shot 7-32 on the arc, 9-16 on foul line.

— West Virginia 83, Arizona 76 OT
Mountaineers win 3rd place game at Atlantis; all three games they played there this week went to overtime.
Mountaineers are #73 in experience, #356 in continuity- lot of transfers. One of their best players is the coach’s son, who came with his dad from Drake, which was 59-17 in the MVC the last four years.

— Pitt 91, Ohio State 90 OT
Panthers hit a 3-pointer in transition at the buzzer for the walk-off win.
Ohio State led by 12 early in second half.
Buckeyes shot 11-20 on the arc; Pitt was 8-24.

— Purdue 80, Ole Miss 78
Purdue led by 17 with 6:00 left in first half.
Ole Miss led by 7 with 4:18 left in game.
Rebels were 15-36 on the arc, Purdue 10-22. Lot of offense.

— Butler 87, Mississippi State 77
Bulldogs made 12-22 shots on the arc, Miss State 7-27
Butler was +11 on the boards.

— Arizona State 68, Saint Mary’s 64
Sanon scored 19 points for ASU; he didn’t start.
Sun Devils are off to a 7-1 start.

Modern college basketball: Arizona State was 14-18 last year, missing NCAAs for third time in four years. Something had to change; coach Bobby Hurley went to some boosters and asked them to open their wallets. As a result, the Sun Devils added………
Alston Mason, who scored 17.5 ppg at Missouri State
BJ Freeman, who scored 21.1 ppg at Milwaukee
Basheer Jihad, who scored 18.6 ppg at Ball State
ASU also added two five-star freshmen, who don’t come cheap.
This sounds like the script from the movie Blue Chips, where Nick Nolte pays off three recruits to play for his Western U Dolphins, except that now, it is all within the rules.
 

Cnotes53

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Conference championship games next week:
— Sun Belt: Western Kentucky @ Jacksonville State
— Mountain West: UNLV @ Boise State
— American: Tulane @ Army
— MAC: Miami vs Ohio (@ Detroit)
— SEC: Georgia vs Texas (@ Atlanta)
— Big 18: Penn State vs Oregon (@ Indianapolis)
— ACC: Clemson vs SMU (@ Charlotte, NC)

Quote of the Day

“It’s hard for me to say we’re not one of the 12 best teams in the country. If the committee’s job is to pick the 12 best teams, you tell me.”
South Carolina coach Shane Beamer

Sunday’s quiz
Miami Hurricanes lost their last five bowl games; who did they beat the last time they won a bowl?

Saturday’s quiz
USC basketball coach Eric Musselman was also head coach for the Golden State Warriors and the Sacramento Kings.

Friday’s quiz
Arizona State coach Bobby Hurley scored 3.8 ppg in his five-year NBA career; he played most of his career with the Sacramento Kings.

****************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..

— Marshall 35, James Madison 33 OT
James Madison led this game 17-0 at halftime.
Marshall tied game on a TD with 5:04 left.
Marshall-Louisiana is the Sun Belt title game next week.

— Texas 17, Texas A&M 7
Texas outgained A&M 458-248; they led 17-0 at halftime.
A&M’s only score was a 93-yard pick-6 in third quarter.
Longhorns ran ball 50 times for 240 yards (4.8 yards/carry)

— Iowa State 29, Kansas State 21
Cyclones are 10-2, program’s first-ever 10-win season.
Teams combined to convert 7-29 third down plays.
K-State completed only 12-29 passes, was minus-2 in turnovers.

— Syracuse 42, Miami 38
10-2 Hurricanes led this game 21-0 early in second quarter.
This score means SMU-Clemson is the ACC title game next week.

— Michigan 13, Ohio State 10
Wolverines beat Ohio State for 4th year in a row.
Buckeyes were a 20-point favorite in this game.
Underdogs are 8-2 ATS in last ten series games.

— South Carolina 17, Clemson 14
QB Sellers ran 20 yards for game-winning TD with 1:08 left.
South Carolina ran ball for 267 yards (6.4 yards/carry)
Both teams finish regular season 9-3.

— Georgia 44, Georgia Tech 42 OT
Tech led 17-0 at halftime.
Dawgs scored two TD’s in last 3:39 of regulation to force OT.
Yellow Jackets outgained Georgia, 563-405.
The college overtime system is strange; liked the old format better.

— College football upsets of the week:
Michigan (+20.5) 13, Ohio State 10
Memphis (+12) 34, Tulane 24
Syracuse (+11) 42, Miami 38
Utah (+9.5) 28, Central Florida 14
Rice (+5.5) 35, South Florida 28

College basketball
notes:
— Monmouth 63, Seton Hall 51
Big East teams aren’t supposed to lose to CAA teams.
Monmouth shot 10-21 on the arc, Seton Hall 5-21.

— Creighton 80, Notre Dame 76
Bluejays shot 11-24 on the arc.
Notre Dame lost its last four games; they’re 1-3 vs top 100 teams.

— San Diego State 73, Houston 70 OT
Aztecs scored 25 points in first half, 40 in second half.
Houston shot 11-24 on arc, only 12-38 inside arc.
7 of the 10 starters in this game played 36+ minutes.

— Oregon 83, Alabama 81
Ducks put in a rebound with 0:04.4 left for the win.
Oregon is 8-0; they win the Players’ Era tournament.
Barthelemy scored 22 points for Oregon; he didn’t start.

Famous birthdays, December 1st:
Bette Midler, 79
Charlene Tilton, 66
Larry Walker, 58
Steve Walsh, 58
DeSean Jackson, 38
Dan Straily, 36
Gary Payton II, 32
Christian Encarnacion-Strand, 25

— UConn 47, UMass 42
Huskies are quietly 8-4 under Jim Mora Jr, who was an NFL head coach for four years.
UMass led this game 28-27 at halftime.
UConn ran for 253 yards, outgained the Minutemen, 434-390.

— Utah 28, Central Florida 14
UCF finishes season 4-8, its worst record since 2015.
Coach Gus Malzahn is going to resign and become offensive coordinator at Florida State.
Utes’ win snaps their 7-game losing skid.

— Rice 35, South Florida 28
EJ Warner threw for 430 yards, three touchdowns.
Rice overcame 12 penalties for 93 yards; they averaged 10.2 yards/pass attempt.
Owls led 27-7 at halftime.

— NC State 35, North Carolina 30
Wolfpack scored game-winning TD with 0:25 left.
UNC had taken lead on a 47-yard TD pass with 1:51 left.
Teams converted only 5-23 third down plays.
NC State is 6-6; both teams are bowl eligible.

— Notre Dame 49, USC 35
Trojans are 6-6 this year, 8-10 in last 18 games overall.
Notre Dame had two pick-6’s in 4th quarter, 99 and 100 yards.
Notre Dame beats USC for sixth time in last seven meetings.

— Western Kentucky 19, Jacksonville State 17
WKU kicked a 50-yard field goal with 0:03 left for the win.
These teams meet again next week, in the C-USA championship game.
WKU was 7-20 on third down, Gamecocks were 2-13.
 

Udog

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Sunday, December 1


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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 13

Sunday’s games
Colts
(-2.5) @ Patriots
Colts (5-7)
Indy lost 4 of last 5 games, are 1-3 ATS in last four games,
Colts are 2-6 giving up 20+ points.
Colts have played ten games (5-5) decided by 8 or fewer points.
Team total: under 6-4-2
Opponents’ team total: under 5-2 last seven


QB Richardson (6-6 as NFL starter) is back as the starter.
Colts are 8-5 ATS last 14 games as a road favorite.
Indy is 8-5 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
Colts are 2-4 SU on road, with wins by 1-3 points.
Under is 4-2 in Colts road games.
AFC South road teams are 7-11 ATS in non-divisional games.


Patriots (3-9)
Patriots lost three of their last four games, are 1-3-1 ATS on road.
Last five games, New England outscored foes 65-36 in 2nd half.
Patriots are 1-9 when they allow more than 10 points.
Team total: under 6-4-1
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2 last five


NE is 10-22-1 ATS in last 33 games as an underdog.
Patriots are 32-48 since Tom Brady left town.
Patriots are 6-14 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Rookie QB Maye is 2-5 as an NFL starter.
Over is 4-1 in their home games.
AFC East home teams are 5-8-1 ATS in non-divisional games.


New England won seven of last nine meetings.
Colts are 1-5 SU/3-3 ATS in last six visits to Foxboro.
Under is 3-0 in last three series games.


Steelers @ Bengals (-3)
Steelers (8-3)
Steelers won/covered five of their last six games.
Pittsburgh’s last three games were decided by total of 8 points.
Steelers are 10-5 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog.
Team total: over 4-2 last six
Opponents’ team total: under 7-4


Steelers are 7-3 in its last 10 games coming off a loss.
Pittsburgh is 8-5 ATS in last 13 AFC North road games.
Last seven games, Steelers are +11 in turnovers.
Last six games, Pittsburgh outscored opponents 100-48 in 2nd half.
Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Steelers are 19-7-1 ATS in last 27 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last two games, Steelers have only two TD’s on 22 drives.


Bengals (4-7)
Bengals gave up 34+ points in their last five losses.
Bengals are 4-1 if they allow 24 or fewer points, 0-6 if they allow more than 24.
Over is 8-2 in their last ten games.
Team total: over 7-4
Opponents’ team total: over 7-3-1


Bengals are 1-3 ATS as a home favorite TY.
Since 2022, Bengals are 10-6-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Cincinnati is 9-7 ATS in last 16 AFC North home games.
Bengals are 4-8-1 ATS in last 13 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Cincinnati is 0-6 SU in games decided by fewer than 7 points.
QB Burrow is 38-31-1 as an NFL starter.
Bengals won/covered their last three post-bye games.


Pittsburgh won three in row, 12 of last 16 series games.
Steelers are 8-2 SU/6-4 ATS in last 10 visits to Cincinnati.
Over is 5-3 in last eight meetings.


Chargers (-1) @ Falcons
Chargers (7-4)
Chargers won/covered four of last five games.
LA is 2-4 scoring 23 or fewer points, 5-0 scoring 24+.
Last eight games, Chargers outscored foes 145-56 in 1st half.
Team total: over 7-4
Opponents’ team total: under 6-4-1


Chargers are 8-4-2 ATS last 14 games as road favorites.
Bolts are 11-8-2 ATS last 21 games vs NFC opponents.
Chargers are 18-26-2 ATS in last 46 games coming off a loss.
QB Herbert is 37-37 as an NFL starter.
Over is 3-0 in their last three games.
Chargers are 5-13 ATS in last 18 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
AFC West road teams are 10-7 ATS in non-divisional games.


Falcons (6-5)
Atlanta lost its last two games SU, scoring 2 TD’s on 19 drives.
Falcons were held to 17 or fewer points in all five losses.
Four of Falcons’ last five games stayed under the total.
Team total: under 4-1 last five
Opponents’ team total: over 5-2-1 last eight


Atlanta is 3-3 SU/2-4 ATS at home this season.
Falcons are 6-16-1 ATS in last 23 games as a home favorite.
Falcons are 10-3 ATS last 13 post-bye games.
Falcons are 7-15 ATS last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
QB Cousins is 82-76-2 as an NFL starter.
Falcons are 3-9 ATS in last 12 games vs AFC teams.
NFC South home teams are 6-9 ATS in non-divisional games.


Chargers won last three series games, by 3-3-3 points.
Underdogs are 4-0-1 ATS in last five meetings (one pick ‘em)
Under is 5-1 in last six series games.


Seahawks (-1) @ Jets
Seahawks (6-5)
Seahawks are 2-0 since their bye, giving up 17-6 points.
Seattle allowed 26+ points in losses, 20 or less in wins.
Seahawks are 1-5-3 ATS last nine games vs AFC opponents.
Team total: over 7-4
Opponents’ team total: over 7-4


QB Smith is 36-42 as an NFL starter, 24-23 with Seattle.
Seahawks are 9-10-1 in last 20 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Seattle was held under 300 TY in three of last four games.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Seattle is 3-1 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.


Jets (3-8)
Jets are 1-7 SU/ATS in last eight games.
Jets are 3-1 if they allow 17 or less points, 0-7 if they allow 23+.
Jets are 0-6 scoring less than 21 points.
Team total: under 6-2 last eight
Opponents’ team total: over 6-1 last seven


Jets are 9-14 ATS last 23 games as a home underdog.
Jets are 1-6 ATS last seven post-bye games.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
Jets are 1-5 SU/ATS since their coaching change.
Last three games, Jets averaged only 251 yards/game.
AFC East home teams are 5-8-1 ATS in non-divisional games.


Seattle won/covered last five series games.
Teams split their last two meetings in New Jersey.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.


Texans (-3.5) @ Jaguars
Texans (7-5)
Houston is 2-4 in last six games, after a 5-1 start.
Texans have five wins by 6 or fewer points.
Last seven games, Texans are 3-4, despite being +12 in turnovers.
Houston is 2-5 when it gives up more than 20 points.
Team total: under 7-5
Opponents’ team total: under 5-2-1 last eight


Texans are 2-5 if they allow 21+ points.
Texans are 4-6 ATS last 10 games as a road favorite.
Houston is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 17-12 as an NFL starter.
Texans are 8-2 ATS in last ten AFC South road games.
Texans are 5-4 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.


Jaguars (2-8)
Jaguars lost last four games, by 3-5-5-46 points.
Jaguars covered four of their last five games.
Last two games, Jaguars have one TD on 18 drives.
Team total: over 3-2 last four
Opponents’ team total: over 5-2 last seven


Jaguars are 6-3 ATS last nine games as a home underdog.
Jaguars were held under 100 rushing yards in last four games.
Backup QB Jones is 18-27 as an NFL starter.
Six of their last seven games went over the total.
Jaguars have 12 turnovers in last seven games (minus-5)
Jaguars are 1-5 SU/2-3-1 ATS in last six post-bye games.


Texans outgained Jaguars 435-313, beat Jags 24-20 (-6) at hone in Week 4
Houston won 11 of last 13 series games.
Texans are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS last six visits to Jacksonville.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.


Cardinals @ Vikings (-3.5)
Cardinals (6-5)
Arizona won/covered four of last five games.
Cardinals are 17-12 ATS last 29 games coming off a loss.
In its six wins, Arizona outscored foes 77-30 in second half.
Team total: over 6-5
Opponents’ team total: under 7-4


QB Murray is 34-42-1 SU as an NFL starter.
Cardinals were held under 300 TY in four of five losses.
Arizona is 16-9 ATS in last 25 games as a road underdog.
Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
Cardinals held last three foes to 243 yards/game.
Last three games, Arizona outscored foes 18-9 in second half.


Vikings (9-2)
Minnesota won last four games, holding all four foes under 100 YR.
Vikings allowed 31-30 points in their two losses.
Under is 8-3-1 in Minnesota’s last 12 home games.
Vikings are 6-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Team total: over 7-3-1
Opponents’ team total: under 7-4


Minnesota is 8-16 ATS in last 24 games as home favorite.
Minnesota has 21 takeaways in 11 games (+3 turnovers).
Minnesota gave up 391/386 TY in its two losses.
Vikings are 3-1 SU/ATS at home this season.
QB Darnold is 29-37 as an NFL starter, 8-2 with Vikings.
Vikings are 11-3-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.


Vikings won six of last eight series games.
Cardinals are 0-8 SU/2-4-2 ATS last eight visits to Minnesota.
Over is 3-0-1 in ast four meetings.


Titans @ Commanders (-5.5)
Titans (3-8)
Tennessee split its last four games, after a 1-6 start.
Titans scored 17 or fewer points in their losses; 31-20-32 points in wins.
Tennessee is minus-12 in turnovers, with nine takeaways.
Team total: under 8-3
Opponents’ team total: over 5-3-3


Titans are 2-5 SU/1-6 ATS in last seven games.
Tennessee is 4-9 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.
Tennessee has been outscored 156-88 in second half.
QB Levis is 5-12 as an NFL starter.
Tennessee is 0-8 ATS in last eight games coming off a win.
Titans are 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games vs NFC opponents.


Commanders (7-5)
Washington lost last three games, after a 7-2 start.
Last three games, Commanders gave up 28-26-34 points.
Rookie QB Daniels is 7-5 as an NFL starter.
Last two games, Commanders are minus-3 in turnovers.
Team total: over 9-3
Opponents’ team total: under 6-6


Washington allowed 26+ points in all five losses.
They’re 6-0 when they give up less than 26 points.
Last five games, Washington was outscored 98-59 in 2nd half.
Commanders are 13-20-1 ATS in last 34 games coming off a loss.
Commanders are 8-6 ATS in last 14 games vs AFC opponents.
Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.


Tennessee won last two series games, 21-17/25-16.
Titans won/covered three of last four visits to Washington
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.


Buccaneers (-6) @ Panthers
Buccaneers (5-6)
Bucs lost four of last five games, last three losses were by 5-6-3 points.
Buccaneers are 1-4 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Bucs are 7-5 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
Team total: over 9-2
Opponents’ team total: over 8-3


Bucs are 8-9 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite.
QB Mayfield is 47-54 as an NFL starter, 15-15 with Buccaneers.
Six of Tampa Bay’s last eight games went over the total.
Bucs are 1-4 when they score less than 30 points.
Bucs turned ball over nine times in last five games (minus-2).
Tampa Bay is 7-4 ATS in last 11 NFC South road games.


Panthers (3-8)
Carolina is 2-1 SU/3-0 ATS in last three games.
Panthers coach Canales was Tampa’s OC last year.
Carolina’s last three games were decided by total of 7 points.
QB Young is 4-18 as an NFL starter.
Team total: under 5-5-1
Opponents’ team total: over 8-3


Carolina is 2-5 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
Panthers are 1-4 SU at home, losing by 23-10-18-3 points.
Over is 8-3 in Carolina games this year.
Panthers are 5-2-1 ATS in last eight NFC South home games.
Carolina is 0-8 when they give up more than 22 points..
Last seven games, Panthers are minus-9 in turnovers.


Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU/7-1-1 ATS in last nine meetings.
Buccaneers are 4-1 SU/ATS in last five visits to Charlotte.
Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.


Rams (-2.5) @ Saints
Rams (5-6)
Rams won four of their last six games, after a 1-4 start.
Rams are 1-6 scoring less than 26 points, 4-0 scoring 26+.
Eight of their 11 games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
Last four games, Rams are only 8-41 on third down.
Team total: under 7-4
Opponents’ team total: under 4-2-1 last seven


Favorites are 5-0 SU/ATS in Rams road games this season.
Last six games, Rams are +5 in turnovers.
Rams are 21-15-3 ATS in last 39 games coming off a loss.
Rams are 4-10-1 ATS in last 15 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Over is 3-1 in their last four road games.
NFC West road teams are 4-7-1 ATS in non-divisional games.


Saints (4-7)
New Orleans won/covered both games since their coaching change.
Last two games, Saints gave up 468-443 TY, but only 17-14 points.
New Orleans is 1-7 when it scores less than 35 points.
Team total: under 3-2 last five
Opponents’ team total: over 6-2 last eight


Saints are 3-3 SU at home TY (underdogs 4-2 ATS)
Saints are 6-8 ATS last 14 games as a home underdog.
New Orleans is 9-15-2 ATS last 26 games coming off a win.
Saints are 1-3 in one-score games this year.
Saints are 11-12-2 ATS in last 25 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
QB Carr is 76-92 as an NFL starter.
Over is 4-2 in their last five games.


Home team won last four series games.
Rams lost 27-20/45-35 in last two visits to New Orleans.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.


Eagles @ Ravens (-3)
Eagles (9-2)
Eagles are 7-0 SU/5-2 in their last seven games.
Last two weeks, Eagles ran ball for 228-314 yards.
Philly outgained last six opponents, 2,717-1,558.
Team total: over 5-1 last six
Opponents’ team total: under 6-1 last seven


Eagles outscored last six opponents 70-33 in first half.
Philly is 6-1 SU/ATS away from home this year.
Last five games, Eagles are +9 in turnovers.
QB Hurts is 45-22 as an NFL starter.
Eagles are 8-1-1 ATS in last ten games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Eagles are 7-5-1 ATS in last 13 games vs AFC opponents.
NFC East underdogs are 8-11 ATS in non-divisional games.


Ravens (8-4)
Baltimore is 3-2 SU in its last five games, after a 5-game win streak.
Baltimore is 8-0 if they score 28+ points, 0-4 if they score less than 28
Ravens are 5-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Short week for Ravens after Monday night win in LA.
Team total: over 8-4
Opponents’ team total: over 8-4


Ravens are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.
Over is 10-2 in Baltimore’s games this year.
QB Jackson is 69-27 as an NFL starter.
Ravens are 20-5 ATS in last 25 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Over is 4-1 in Baltimore home games this season.
Last seven weeks, Ravens threw for 7.7+ yards/pass attempt five times.

Baltimore won three of last four meetings.
Last three series games were decided by total of four points.
Last four meetings went over the total.


49ers @ Bills (-7)
49ers (5-6)
QB Purdy didn’t play LW; check status for this week.
49ers are 1-5 when they score less than 30 points.
Last three weeks, 49ers are minus-4 in turnovers. .
49ers are 0-5 when they gain less than 400 yards.
Team total: under 7-4
Opponents’ team total: over 7-3-1


49ers are 11-6 ATS last 17 games as an underdog.
49ers are 12-8 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
QB Purdy is 26-10 as an NFL starter; backup Allen is 2-8
San Francisco is 5-8 ATS in last 13 games vs AFC opponents.
Over is 3-1 in their last four road games.
NFC West teams are 4-7-1 ATS in non-divisional games.


Bills (9-2)
Bills won their last six games (5-1 ATS)
Buffalo gave up 35-23 points in its two losses (8-0 allow less than 23).
Buffalo outscored last five opponents 112-47 in second half.
Last seven games, Bills are +9 in turnovers (14-5).
Team total: over 9-2
Opponents’ team total: under 7-4


Buffalo is 10-10-1 ATS in last 21 games as a home favorite.
Bills are 9-0 SU6-2-1 ATS in last nine post-bye games.
QB Allen is 77-37 as an NFL starter.
Last six Buffalo games went over the total.
Buffalo is 5-6-1 ATS in last 12 games vs NFC opponents.
AFC East home favorites are 5-6 ATS in non-divisional games.


Buffalo won last two meetings, 34-24/45-16.
This is 49ers’ first visit to Buffalo since 2016.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.
 

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SUNDAY, DECEMBER 1

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
LAC at ATL01:00 PMATL +1.0
U 47.0
+500 +500
ARI at MIN01:00 PMMIN -3.5
O 45.5
+500 +500
PIT at CIN01:00 PMCIN -3.0
U 46.0
+500 +500
SEA at NYJ01:00 PMNYJ -1.0
U 41.5
+500 +500
TEN at WAS01:00 PMTEN +6.0
U 45.0
+500 +500
HOU at JAC01:00 PMJAC +3.0
O 45.5
+500 +500
IND at NE01:00 PMIND -2.5
U 41.0
+500 +500
LA at NO04:05 PMNO +2.5
O 49.0
+500 +500
TB at CAR04:05 PMCAR +6.5
O 46.5
+500 +500
PHI at BAL04:25 PMPHI +2.5
U 51.0
+500 +500
SF at BUF08:20 PMSF +6.5
U 44.5
+500 +500
 

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NFL BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !

12/01/2024.....................3 - 7- 0.....................30.00%.....................- 23.50

TOTALS...........................3 - 7 - 0.....................30.00%.................... - 23.50
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
— Cavaliers 115, Celtics 111- Cleveland is off to an 18-3 start.
— Lakers 105, Jazz 104- Laker starters were minus-23, subs +28.
— Clippers 126, Nuggets 122- Denver shot 58% from floor, still lost.
— Spurs 127, Kings 125- Wembanyama had 34 points, 13 boards, 11 assists.
— Mavericks 137, Trail Blazers 131- Doncic had 36 points, 13 assists.
— Magic 100, Nets 92- Orlando is off to a 15-7 start.

Quote of the Day
“As God is my witness, I thought turkeys could fly!!!”
Mr Carlson, WKRP in Cincinnati

Friday’s quiz
Where did Bills’ QB Josh Allen play his college football?

Sunday’s quiz
Miami Hurricanes lost their last five bowl games; they beat West Virginia 31-14 the last time they won a bowl, in Orlando back in 2016.

Saturday’s quiz
USC basketball coach Eric Musselman was also head coach for the Golden State Warriors and the Sacramento Kings.

**************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..

Eagles 24, Ravens 19
Eagles’ first four drives: 14 plays, 23 yards, four punts.
Eagles’ last seven drives: 43 plays, 237 yards, 24 points.
Philly is 8-0 SU/6-2 in their last eight games.
Philly is 9-1-1 ATS in last 11 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Saquon Barkley ran ball 23 times for 107 yards and a TD.
Baltimore led 9-0 after the first quarter.
K Tucker missed a PAT and FG’s of 47-53 yards (he made 34-50 yard FGs).
Baltimore is 8-0 if they score 28+ points, 0-5 if they score less than 28.

Vikings 23, Cardinals 22
Vikings drove 62 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:13 left.
Kevin O’Connell is 24-9 as a HC in one-score games, really good.
Arizona ran for 154 yards, most RY Vikings have allowed this year.
Minnesota is 8-17 ATS in last 25 games as home favorite.
Cardinals outgained Minnesota 406-273, but scored only one TD.
Arizona had 10 drives; 5-6 on FG’s, one TD, two INT’s on last three drives.
Arizona is 17-9 ATS in last 26 games as a road underdog.
Vikings have won 5 in row, are 10-0 giving up less than 30 points.

Seahawks 26, Jets 21
Jets led 21-7 after a 99-yard kick return in second quarter.
DE Marshall had 92-yard pick-6 that made score 21-13.
Seahawks are 3-0 since their bye, giving up 17-6-21 points.
Seattle allowed 26+ points in losses, 21 or less in wins.
Jets first three drives: 18 plays, 110 yards, 14 points.
Jets rest of game: 44 plays, 155 yards, outscored 7-0 by Seattle defense.
Jets are 9-15 ATS last 24 games as a home underdog.
Jets are 1-8 SU/ATS in their last nine games.

Steelers 44, Bengals 38
Wilson threw a pick-6 on Pittsburgh’s third play of the day.
Steelers’ next five drives: 35 plays, 302 yards, 27 points.
Steelers won/covered six of their last seven games.
Steelers are 11-5 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog.
Wilson was 29-38/414 passing, with three TD’s.
Last eight games, Steelers are +13 in turnovers.
Cincinnati is 0-7 SU in games decided by fewer than 7 points.
Bengals are 4-1 if they allow 24 or fewer points, 0-7 if they allow more than 24.

Buccaneers 26, Panthers 23 OT
Carolina led 16-10 after the third quarter.
Carolina scored on 25-yard TD pass with 0:30 left to go ahead 23-20
Tampa Bay kicked 51-yard FG at the gun to force overtime.
Seven of Tampa Bay’s last nine games went over the total.
Carolina QB Young threw for 298 yards; he has gotten a lot better.
WR Thielen caught 8 passes for 99 yards and a TD.
Last four games, Panthers are 2-2 SU/4-0 ATS.
Carolina is 6-2-1 ATS in last nine NFC South home games.

Chargers 17, Falcons 13
Chargers’ only TD was 61-yard pick-6 late in third quarter.
Chargers won/covered five of last six games.
Bolts in first half: 31 plays, 148 yards, 3 FG’s on four drives.
Chargers held on in 2nd half: 15 plays, 40 yards, no points.
Atlanta lost its last three games SU, scoring 3 TD’s on 29 drives.
Cousins threw 4 INT’s, 3 of them on Falcons’ last four drives.
Falcons were held to 17 or fewer points in all six losses.
Falcons/Tampa Bay are now tied for first atop NFC South.

Famous birthdays, December 2nd:
Steven Bauer, 68
Mark Kotsay, 49
Britney Spears, 43
Aaron Rodgers, 41
Gary Sanchez, 32
Aaron Jones, 30

Colts 25, Patriots 24
Down 24-17, Colts drove 66 yards, scored TD with 0:12 left.
Then they went for 2 points; QB Richardson ran for the winning score.
6-7 Colts are 5-4 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Despite the win, Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in its last five games.
NE outgained Colts 422-253, but had only 2 TD’s in 6 trips to red zone.
Patriots lost their last three games, giving up 28-34-25 points.
Over is 5-1 in New England’s home games.
Patriots are 1-10 when they allow more than 10 points.

Rams 21, Saints 14
First regular season game in McVay era Rams didn’t score in 1st half.
Rams in first half: 23 plays, 93 yards, no points.
Rams in second half: 29 plays, 239 yards, 21 points.
Rams won five of their last seven games, after a 1-4 start.
Saints in first half: 43 plays, 159 yards, only six points (led 6-0 at half).
NO is 1-4 in one-score games this year.
Saints are 6-9 ATS last 15 games as a home underdog.
New Orleans is 9-16-2 ATS last 27 games coming off a win.

Texans 23, Jaguars 20
Texans first five drives: 33 plays, 125 yards, six points.
Texans last four drives: 23 plays, 171 yards, 17 points.
WR Collins caught 8 passes for 119 yards.
Houston has six wins by 6 or fewer points.
Jaguars’ QB Lawrence was KO’d (concussion( by a violent hit.
Jaguars lost last five games, by 3-5-5-46-3 points.
Jacksonville covered five of their last six games.
Jaguars are 7-3 ATS last ten games as a home underdog.

Commanders 42, Titans 19
Washington’s first four drives: 26 plays, 197 yards, 28 points.
Commanders led 21-0 after first quarter, outgained Titans 463-245.
Washington is 7-0 when it gives up less than 26 points.
McLaurin caught 8 passes for 73 yards, two TD’s.
Washington ran ball for 267 yards (5.9 yards/carry)
Titans are 2-6 SU/1-7 ATS in last eight games.
Titans scored 31-20-32 points in wins, 19 or fewer in their losses.
Tennessee is 4-10 ATS in last 14 games as a road underdog.

Bills 35, 49ers 10
49ers lost last three games, giving up 35-38 points in last two.
Buffalo ran ball for 220 yards, outgained SF 372-239 on a snowy night.
Star RB McCaffrey (knee) could be out for the season.
49ers are 0-6 when they gain less than 400 yards.
Buffalo’s first four drives: 26 plays, 238 yards, 21 points.
Bills won their last seven games (6-1 ATS); they clinched AFC East.
Last eight games, Bills are +12 in turnovers (17-5).
Last seven Buffalo games went over the total.

— Hall of Fame basketball coach Lou Carnesecca, who led St John’s to two Big East tournament titles and a 1985 Final Four appearance, died Saturday at age 99.
Carnesecca led St. John’s to eighteen 20-win seasons and 18 NCAA tournament appearances; he had a 526-300 record, was inducted into the Basketball Hall of Fame in 1992.
RIP, coach.

— New York Mets signed P Frankie Montas to a 2-year, $34M deal; Montas was 7-11, 4.84 in 30 starts last year, for the Reds/Brewers. He is 44-46, 4.09 in 129 MLB starts.

— Bill Vinovich was the referee for the Cardinals-Vikings game in Minnesota Sunday; during the week, he was a basketball referee at the Acrisure tournament in Palm Springs, CA. I saw him do at least two games during the week (Thursday/Friday??) Busy week for a good official.
 

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NFL
Weather Report

Monday, December 2


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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 13

Monday’s game
Browns
@ Broncos (-5)
Browns (3-8)
Cleveland split last four games, after a 1-6 start.
Browns are 2-3 SU/ATS on road this season.
Cleveland is 3-0 when it scores 18+ points, 0-8 when it doesn’t
Browns are 6-13-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
Team total: under 9-2
Opponents’ team total: over 6-5


Browns are 8-12-1 ATS last 21 games as a road underdog.
Last five games, Browns ran ball for 77-80-79-66-85 yards.
Cleveland had extra time to prep; they played on Thursday LW.
Cleveland allowed 20+ points in nine of 11 games.
Browns are minus-6 in turnovers the last five games.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.


Broncos (7-5)
Denver is 6-0 if they score more than 20 points, 1-5 if they score 20 or less.
Last five weeks, Broncos converted 36-70 third down plays.
Broncos are 1-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Team total: over 7-4-1
Opponents’ team total: under 8-4


Favorites are 5-0 SU/ATS in Denver home games.
Denver is 9-12-1 ATS last 22 games as a home favorite (3-0 TY).
In wins, Broncos are +8 in turnovers; in losses, minus-6.
Under Payton, Denver is 7-7 ATS coming off a win
Six of Broncos’ last eight games went over the total.
Last three games, Denver held opponents to 57-50-69 rushing yards.


Broncos won nine of last 11 series games.
Browns are 1-6 SU/2-5 ATS in last seven visits to Denver.
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
 

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MONDAY, DECEMBER 2

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CLE at DEN08:15 PMDEN -6.5
O 41.5
+500 +500
 

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NFL BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !

12/02/2024....................2 - 0 - 0...................100.00%....................+ 10.00
12/01/2024....................3 - 7- 0.....................30.00%.....................- 23.50

TOTALS..........................5 - 7 - 0....................41.66%.................... - 13.50
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
College basketball teams playing the fastest tempo:
— New Mexico
— Fresno State
— Cal Poly
— Kentucky
— Alabama
— Western Kentucky

Quote of the Day
“I’m not doing another 3-game MTE again. Moving forward, we will only play home-and-homes or single-game events… I don’t think I’ll ever do a 3-game MTE again. There’s zero chance I ever do that again”
Connecticut basketball coach Dan Hurley, after going 0-3 in the Maui Classic

Tuesday’s quiz
What team did John Calipari lead to the Final Four in 1996?

Monday’s quiz
Bills’ QB Josh Allen played his college football at Wyoming

Sunday’s quiz
Miami Hurricanes lost their last five bowl games; they beat West Virginia 31-14 the last time they won a bowl, in Orlando back in 2016.

*****************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……

Broncos 41, Browns 32
Winston threw for 497 yards, four TD’s.
He also threw 3 INT’s, 2 of which were returned for Denver TD’s.
Jeudy caught nine passes for 235 yards and a TD.
Last time a Cleveland QB threw for 400+ yards? Josh McCown (457) in 2015
Nix threw a 93-yard TD pass to put Denver ahead, 28-17.
Lutz kicked 27-yard FG to put Denver ahead 34-32 with 2:54 left.
Cleveland outgained the Broncos, 552-400.
Denver is 7-0 if they score more than 20 points, 1-5 if they score 20 or less.

— Rhode Island 84, Yale 78
Archie Miller’s Rams are 8-0, albeit against schedule #337.
Yale, Charleston are only teams in top 150 that URI has played so far.
Providence @ URI is an interesting game on Saturday’s schedule.

— Washington State 68, Nevada 57
Nevada was favored by 11.5 points.
Wazzu was 12-29 on the arc, Wolf Pack 4-20.

— Purdue fired football coach Ryan Walters after going 1-11 this season, 0-11 vs I-A teams, with only three of the 11 losses by less than 17 points.
Purdue was 5-19 in Walters’ two seasons as head coach; they lost 66-0 to rival Indiana Saturday- they’re 129th in the country in offense, 130th in defense.

— Good news for Sam Houston State- they went 9-3 this year, in their 2nd year as a I-A team.
Bad news for Sam Houston State- Temple hired Sam Houston’s coach KC Keeler as their new head coach. Keeler was 97-39 overall at Sam Houston, winning the I-AA national title in 2020;

— Duke 23, Wake Forest 17
Duke threw a 39-yard TD pass on the last play of the game for a walk-off win.
Wake Forest led 17-3 with 1:00 left in the third quarter,
Duke is 9-3, with six wins by 7 or fewer points.

— Former NFL QB/Stanford alum Andrew Luck was named as the Cardinal’s general manager; he will manage aspects of both the football and business sides of the program.
On the business side, he will handle duties typically held by NFL team presidents — fundraising, sponsorships, attendance, sales, in-stadium experience and alumni relations.

For football, Luck will oversee the coaching staff, player personnel, recruiting, roster management and student-athlete experience, whatever that is.

— Chicago Cubs signed P Matthew Boyd to a 2-year deal worth $29M; Boyd will be 34 on Ground Hog Day- he was 2-2, 2.72 in eight starts for Cleveland this past year, 0-0, 0.77 in three playoff starts for the Guardians. For his career, Boyd is 46-69, 4.85 in 168 career starts, mostly with Detroit.

Famous birthdays, December 2nd:
Bobby Howfield, 88
Tom Woodeshick, 83
Jim Brewer, 73
Daryl Hannah, 64
Julianne Moore, 64
Brendan Fraser, 56
Lindsey Hunter, 54
James Laurinaitis, 38

— Washington Commanders were 4-13 last year; they’re 8-5 this year, despite playing a rookie QB, who has done really well.
Commanders were minus-14 in turnovers last year; they’re +3 this week,

— Started watching re-runs of the old TV series Criminal Minds, never watched that show much. One of the first shows I watch, the bad guy is played by Michael O’Keefe, who played Danny Noonan in the classic movie Caddyshack.
Michael O’Keefe will be 70 in April, which makes me feel old; he played Lakers owner Jack Kent Cooke in the HBO series Winning Time couple years ago.

— I’m watching the Duke-Kansas game on TV last week; the game was played at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, and former Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski was sitting courtside with his wife. Sitting to Krzyzewski’s left was the actor Ken Jeong, who was in the Hangover movies.
Made me wonder what those two guys would talk about, if anything, and if Coach K had ever seem The Hangover. Funny movie.

— Colorado-Iowa State was the 5th place game at the Maui Classic, which is unusual only because those teams are in the same league now. Usually teams from the same league aren’t in the same tournament, but with all the jumping between leagues, this happened.
Same thing at the Battle for Atlantis, where Arizona-West Virginia played in the 3rd place game.

— Last year, 1,962 college basketball players entered the transfer portal, with over 1,100 of them changing teams. With 364 Division I teams now, that works out to 5+ players per team looking to jump ship.

— Dartmouth 88, Boston College 83
ACC teams aren’t supposed to lose to Ivy League teams, especially lower-level Ivy teams.
Dartmouth made 17-31 3-pointers in the game, which was last Friday.

— Notre Dame’s basketball team has a freshman guard Brady Stevens, who scored over 1,000 points in high school at Wellesley High in Massachusetts. The reason I mention this is that his father is Brad Stevens, the President of Basketball Operations for the Celtics.
 

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WEEK 14

Thursday, December 5


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Sunday, December 8

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Monday, December 9

qTKGLmA.png
 

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NFL

Week 14


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Green Bay vs Detroit
Green Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

Atlanta vs Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Jacksonville vs Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games on the road
Tennessee is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing at home against Jacksonville

NY Jets vs Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Jets

New Orleans vs NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of New Orleans's last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Giants's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

Carolina vs Philadelphia
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Cleveland vs Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Cleveland's last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 20-1 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Las Vegas vs Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games

Seattle vs Arizona
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games

Buffalo vs LA Rams
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Rams's last 10 games when playing Buffalo
LA Rams is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Chicago vs San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Chicago
San Francisco is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Chicago

LA Chargers vs Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 7 games on the road
LA Chargers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Cincinnati vs Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
College basketball teams playing the slowest tempo:
— Wagner
— Virginia
— Air Force
— Minnesota
— North Texas
— Seton Hall

Quote of the Day
“I mean, they’ve been kicking everybody’s ass. So I’m fortunate enough to, again, just to be on a team that’s rolling like that. And whatever I can do to help, that’s what I’m here for.”
Jamal Adams, on why he signed recently with the Detroit Lions

Wednesday’s quiz
Who was coach of the Pittsburgh Steelers before Mike Tomlin?

Tuesday’s quiz
John Calipari led UMass to the Final Four in 1996.

Monday’s quiz
Bills’ QB Josh Allen played his college football at Wyoming

**********************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy night of basketball…….

— Rough night for the ACC; their teams went 1-8 against the SEC in their annual challenge, with Clemson’s win over Kentucky the only bright spot.

— Clemson 70, Kentucky 66
Clemson F Schieffelin was 4-20 from floor, also had 20 rebounds.
Clemson is 8-1, with three top 100 wins.
Kentucky is 7-1, splitting two top 100 games.

— Arkansas 76, Miami 73
Miami led this game by 7 with 6:51 left to play.
Arkansas was 11-23 on arc, Miami 9-29.
I’m still a little amazed that Kentucky didn’t want Calipari to coach anymore.

— Missouri 98, California 93
Cal Bears led 51-33 at halftime.
Mizzou was 32-44 inside arc, 3-9 outside arc, 25-38 on foul line.
Cal is an ACC team, by the way. No idea why, but they are.
Mizzou is off to a 7-1 start, after going 0-18 in SEC last year.

— Ole Miss 86, Louisville 63
7-1 Rebels shot 65% inside the arc.
Ole Miss was 8-20 on arc, Louisville 5-30
This was Louisville’s 4th top 60 game in the last seven days.

— Oklahoma 72, Georgia Tech 61
Tech led this game 34-30 at halftime.
Oklahoma was 26-30 on foul line, Tech 12-18.
Sooners are 8-0, with three top 100 wins, plus this win.

— South Carolina 73, Boston College 51
Gamecocks were 10-19 on the arc, BC was 2-15.
Opponents are shooting 44.6% inside arc vs Carolina (#39)
Eagles are shooting 46.3% inside arc (#298) vs schedule #284.

Famous birthdays, December 4th:
Jeff Bridges, 75
Bernard King, 68
Lee Smith, 67
Frank Reich, 63
Marisa Tomei, 60
Jeff Blake, 54
Blake Snell, 32
Paul Blackburn, 31
Jackson Holliday, 21

— Clemson won the last eight times they played in the ACC football championship game; last time they lost was in 2009, 39-34 to Georgia Tech.

— Michigan 67, Wisconsin 64
Wolverines are off to a 7-1 start, after going 8-24 LY.
Michigan is forcing turnovers 23.3% of time (#14 in country).

— Iowa 80, Northwestern 79
Hawkeyes outscored Northwestern 12-5 over the final 1:43
Iowa led 38-21 late in the first half.

— Villanova 68, Cincinnati 60
Wildcats get their first top 100 win in four tries.
Villanova was 14-17 on foul line, Bearcats 6-11.
Cincinnati is 6-1, but they’ve played schedule #308.

— Army 103, LeMoyne 100 3OT
Army led by 14 with 5:07 left in regulation.
Teams combined to shoot 18-70 on the arc; no bueno.
LeMoyne’s subs outscored Army’s bench, 35-5.

— Murray State 63, Evansville 61
Purple Aces shot 55% inside arc, but never led this game.
Murray State starts five seniors; three of them played 38:00+.
Evansville is 3-5; this was their first loss by less than 11 points.

— Cavaliers 118, Wizards 87
Washington is 2-17; they’ve lost 15 games in a row.
Wizards are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games.
Washington’s last win was October 30th. Oy.
 

Cnotes53

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
Most passes thrown in a game for the Cleveland Browns:
64— Bernie Kosar, 1987
61— Colt McCoy, 2011
58— Jameis Winston, 2024
57— Brian Sipe, 1981
56— Jason Campbell, 2013
54— Brian Hoyer 2013/Eric Zeier 1995

Quote of the Day
“When all is said and done, more is usually said than done.”
Unknown

Thursday’s quiz
What was the biggest upset in Super Bowl history? (pointspread-wise)

Wednesday’s quiz
Bill Cowher was coach of the Pittsburgh Steelers before Mike Tomlin.

Tuesday’s quiz
John Calipari led UMass to the Final Four in 1996.

************************************

Thursday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

— SEC pounded on the ACC this week, going 14-2 in their challenge.
Chances are we’ll hear about this week on Selection Sunday, when most of the SEC gets in the Field of 68.

— Alabama 94, North Carolina 79
83-possession game, very fast pace. Alabama scored 1.13 points/possession.
North Carolina was 5-28 on the arc.
Alabama is #68 in bench minutes; they put six guys in double figures.

— Duke 84, Auburn 78
Auburn led 13-2 out of the gate, but Duke shot 55.6% inside the arc.
Duke had only four turnovers, in a 63-possession game.
Auburn started 5 seniors; Duke played one senior more than 5:00.

— Creighton 76, Kansas 63
Kansas never led; they shot 35.7% from the floor.
Creighton led 41-31 at halftime.
Bluejays are shooting 60.2% inside the arc (#11)

— UConn 76, Baylor 72
UConn was 26-33 on foul line, Baylor 12-19
Baylor led by 11 early on, led 37-36 at halftime.
Baylor is 5-3, 2-3 against top 50 teams (schedule #10).

— Oregon 68, USC 60
Oregon held the Trojans to 34.5% from the floor.
Ducks are 9-0, with four top 100 wins.
Trojans other than Claude (9-20) were 10-35 from the floor.

— Iowa State 81, Marquette 70
This game was 61-61 with 8:43 left.
Marquette star Jones was only 6-21 from the floor.
Cyclones are 3-1 vs top 100 teams, scoring 87.5 ppg

Famous birthdays, December 5th:
Jeroen Krabbe, 80
Jim Plunkett, 77
Bill Simpson, 73
Cliff Floyd, 52
Charlie Batch, 50
Josh Smith, 39
AJ Pollock, 37
Christian Yelich, 33

— Maryland 83, Ohio State 59
Terps led this game 63-23 at one point; they shot 59.5% inside arc.

— Belmont 99, Illinois State 97 OT
Belmont led MVC opener 54-45 at the half.
Illinois State shot 18-33 on the arc and still lost.
Belmont is 7-2, playing schedule #285.

— New Mexico 83, San Jose State 77
San Jose led 17-4 early, 71-65 with 7:16 left in game.
Lobos had 16 offensive boards, out-rebounded San Jose 42-31.

Upsets of the Night:
Coastal Carolina (+5.5) 58, Campbell 57
Creighton (+4.5) 76, Kansas 63
North Dakota State (+4.5) 77, Weber State 73
St Thomas (+4.5) 87, Northern Colorado 75
IU Indy (+4.5) 84, Green Bay 75

— Texas 63, NC State 59

59-possession game; very slow pace.
NC State lost last three games, scoring 61-61-59 points.
Wolfpack was 5-14 on arc, 6-14 on foul line.

— Summit League went 5-4 against the Big Sky in their challenge; underdogs were 5-4 ATS in the nine games.

— Jacksonville Jaguar QB Trevor Lawrence was put on IR, is most likely out for the year; he got a concussion Sunday after a late hit by a Houston defender.

— South Korean star 2B Hyeseong Kim was posted, will be available as a free agent starting Thursday at 5:00. KIm will be 26 next month; he hit .326 LY, with 11 homers, 75 RBIs while stealing 30 bases for the Kiwoom Heroes in the KBO.

— Red Sox signed reliever Aroldis Chapman for one year, $10.75M. In 61⅔ IP for Pittsburgh last year, Chapman struck out 98, walked 39, had a 3.79 ERA. He’ll be 37 years old soon; Boston will be his 7th major league team.
 

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NFL
Weather Report

Thurday, December 5


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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 14

Thursday’s game
Packers
@ Lions (-3)
Packers (9-3)
Packers won three in row, seven of last seven games (38-10/30-17 last two).
Green Bay is 4-2 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Green Bay won last three road tilts by 1-3-5 points.
Team total: over 7-5
Opponents’ team total: under 9-2 last 11


GB is 16-7 ATS in last 23 games as a road underdog (1-1 TY).
Packers are 21-15-1 ATS in last 37 games coming off a win.
Green Bay is 8-0 when they allow less than 24 points.
Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Green Bay is 9-7 ATS in last 16 NFC North road games.
Green Bay is 16-14-1 ATS last 31 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Packers won 24-19 at LA in Week 5, their only game on artificial turf TY.


Lions (11-1)
Detroit won its last ten games (8-2 ATS).
Last six games, Lions outscored opponents 94-31 in 2nd half.
Detroit is 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS at home this season.
Opponents have converted only 31 of last 98 third down plays.
Team total: over 5-4 last nine
Opponents’ team total: under 8-4


Under Campbell, Lions are 13-6 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 7-3 ATS in NFC North home games.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 21-10 ATS in games coming off a win.
Lions have outscored opponents 47-16 in last 2:00 of each half.
Lions are 14-4 ATS in last 18 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
QB Goff is 81-55-1 as an NFL starter, 37-25-1 with Detroit.
Last four games, Lions held opponents to 296.8 yards/game.


Lions (+1.5) won 24-14 at Lambeau in Week 9.
Packers outgained Detroit 411-261, but were bad in red zone.
Teams split their last eight meetings.
Teams also split their last eight meetings in Detroit.
Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.
Both teams are on normal rest, playing on Thanksgiving LW.
 

Cnotes53

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THURSDAY, DECEMBER 5

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
GB at DET08:15 PMDET -3.5
U 52.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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NFL BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !

12/05/2024....................0 - 2 - 0....................00.00%....................- 11.00
12/02/2024....................2 - 0 - 0...................100.00%....................+ 10.00
12/01/2024.....................3 - 7- 0.....................30.00%.....................- 23.50

TOTALS.............................5 - 9 - 0.....................35.71%.................... - 24.50
 

Cnotes53

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Friday’s 6-pack:
Some teams who have played tough schedules so far…….
4) Auburn 7-1
5) San Diego State 5-2
6) Alabama 7-2
7) North Carolina 4-4
9) Baylor 5-3
10) Memphis 7-1

Quote of the Day
“It’s a really significant day for Las Vegas, for Nevada. There will be more of that. We’ll have the groundbreaking, we’re going to have a (stadium) topping off party and were going to have Opening Day. We’re going to have many years of Major League Baseball.”
Las Vegas Stadium Authority Chairman Steve Hill

Friday’s quiz
What year did the A’s move from Kansas City to Oakland?

Thursday’s quiz
Super Bowl III was the biggest upset in Super Bowl history, when the 18-point underdog Jets upset the Baltimore Colts, 16-7.

Wednesday’s quiz
Bill Cowher was coach of the Pittsburgh Steelers before Mike Tomlin.

***************************************

Friday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Thursday……..

Good day to be an A’s fan…….
A’s relocation to Las Vegas cleared a major hurdle Thursday with the approval of three long-anticipated agreements that were needed before ballpark construction can begin.
A’s will play in Sacramento the next three years, hope to begin playing in a new stadium on the Las Vegas Strip in 2028.
Damn near choked on my lunch Thursday when I got a text saying the A’s signed P Luis Severino to a 3-year, $67M contract, the biggest contract the A’s have given out since 2004, when Eric Chavez got paid.
This past year, Severino was 11-7, 3.91 in 31 starts for the Mets, after previously pitching for eight years in the Bronx. His career record is 65-44, 3.81 in 156 starts.

Lions 34, Packers 31
Lions drove 63 yards, kicked 35-yard FG at the gun.
Detroit won its last eleven games (8-3 ATS).
Goff threw for 283 yards, three TD’s.
Detroit was 7-15 on third down, 4-5 on 4th down.
Only 5 of Packers’ 44 plays were on 3rd down (1-5).
Green Bay’s first three drives: 10 plays, 46 yards, no points.
Green Bay rest of the game: 34 plays, 249 yards, 31 points.
Detroit led 17-7 at halftime.
Packers scored two TD’s in first 3:45 of third quarter.
GB is 17-7 ATS in last 24 games as a road underdog

— North Carolina has interviewed 72-year old Bill Belichick about their coaching job; while Belichick has won six Super Bowls, he’s never coached in college.
Tar Heels just fired 73-year old Mack Brown as coach, after going 23-16 the last three years.
Belichick’s son is defensive coordinator for the Washington Huskies.

— If you like the NFL, Hard Knocks on HBO Max is great to watch; this year’s show is focusing on the entire AFC North. Get to see some behind-the-scenes stuff, which is educational.

— Quarterbacks/receivers should get stat credit for interference penalties.

— UCLA fired offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy after the Bruins ranked 126th in scoring this year, 118th in yardage. Bieniemy gets paid $1.2M to go away.
Bieniemy worked for the Washington Commanders LY, after working with the Chiefs for ten years before that. Rumor was he didn’t get along well with Patrick Mahomes, but Kansas City won two Super Bowls while he was there.
UCLA replaces Bieniemy with Indiana OC/QB coach Tino Sunseri.

— Oklahoma State fired both coordinators after their 3-9 season, where they were 0-9 in Big X games. Problem is, OSU had gone to bowl games the previous 18 years, going 12-6 in the bowl games and suddenly, this year the assistants aren’t good enough?
Offensive coordinator Kasey Dunn has worked for the Cowboys since 2011; that had to be a tense/awkward conversation when he was told to take a hike.

Famous birthdays, December 6th:
Larry Bowa, 79
Steven Wright, 69
Bill Hanzlik, 67
Lance Blankenship, 61
Sarah Rafferty, 52
Judd Apotow, 57
Kevin Cash, 47
Johnny Manziel, 32
Giannis Antetokounmpo, 30

— Penn State 81, Purdue 70
Nittany Lions led by 27 midway thru second half.
Purdue turned ball over 24 times in their conference opener.

— TCU 76, Xavier 72
Xavier led by 6 with 7:28 left in the game.
Horned Frogs put five guys in double figures, including two subs.
Xavier shot 63% inside the arc, only 9-28 outside arc.

— Detroit 79, Fort Wayne 78
Mastodons led Detroit by 8 with 8:51 left in game.
Titans shot 11-25 on the arc.
Detroit is 5-5 under new coach Montgomery; they were 1-31 last year.

— Oakland 66, Wright State 64
Wright State shot 16-31 on arc, but 6-20 inside arc, only 4-5 on foul line.
Oakland starts four seniors; they played non-conference schedule #8.

— Drake 66, Valparaiso 60
Drake is 8-0, with four starters who used to play D-2 ball.
Bulldogs are forcing turnovers 22.4% of time (#27)
Drake already has three top 100 wins.

— Long Beach State 73, Fullerton 56
Long Beach gets its first win in nine D-I games.
Favored Titans were 1-13 on arc, 9-18 on foul line.

— Cal-Irvine 82, Bakersfield 66
Irvine was 33-40 on foul line, Bakersfield 17-19.
Anteaters are 9-0, with only two top 150 wins.
Six of Irvine’s eight I-A wins are by 12+ points.
 
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