Cnotes NL 2024-2025 Schedule, Best Bets, Opinons, News !

Cnotes53

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Teams getting the highest % of their points on 3-pointers:
51%— North Dakota State
46.2%— North Florida
45.2%— Tennessee Tech
44.6%— Furman
44.2%— DePaul
44.1%— Akron

Quote of the Day
“We wanted to make something of a statement coming into a new city and coming into a new ballpark. But more than that, to improve on what we have. Signing someone with Luis’ experience to be a leader was important to us.”
A’s general manager David Forst, after signing P Luis Severino

Saturday’s quiz
What city hosts the Holiday Bowl every year?

Friday’s quiz
A’s moved from Kansas City to Oakland in 1968.

Thursday’s quiz
Super Bowl III was the biggest upset in Super Bowl history, when the 18-point underdog Jets upset the Baltimore Colts, 16-7.

****************************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..

— P Shane Bieber re-signed with the Cleveland Guardians, for one year, $10M, with a $4M buyout if they don’t keep him after 2025.

— P Clay Holmes signed with the Mets for three years, $38M; he’s going to start for the Mets, after making 300 relief appearances over the last six seasons. He did start four games for the Pirates in 2018.

— Dodgers star 1B Freddie Freeman had surgery on his right ankle Thursday, is expected to be ready for the start of spring training. Freeman hit .282 last year with 89 RBI and an .854 OPS; he hit .250 in LA’s postseason games, when he was hampered by the ankle injury.

— The St. Petersburg City Council voted to approve bonds necessary to finance a new $1.3B stadium for the Tampa Bay Rays, which could open in 2028.
The Rays have said it was impossible to play at the Trop next year and maybe not until 2026, because of the damage from a tropical storm in October.

— C Kyle Higashioka signed a 2-year deal with the Texas Rangers for $13.5M; the 34-year old catcher hit 17 homers in 263 plate appearances for San Diego last year.

— It turns out that referee Bill Vinovich worked four college basketball games in four nights in Palm Springs last week, then worked the Cardinals-Vikings game in Minnesota Sunday.
Thursday night, Vinovich worked the Cal-San Diego-Santa Barbara basketball game in the Thunderdome.

— Houston Rockets coach Ime Udoka was fined $50,000 by the NBA for his actions during Tuesday’s loss to Sacramento.
He was fined for confronting and directing profane language toward a game official, failing to leave the court in a timely manner after being ejected, and public criticism of the officiating.
“Missed calls, blatant missed calls right in front of you. You’re calling ticky-tack moving screens, little s— like that, but you don’t want to call the obvious ones right in front of you. That was it. Thought [Sengun] got fouled a few times on that drive and on the layup and they don’t want to call it. So I told him to get some f—ing glasses and open your eyes.”
Alrighty then.

Famous birthdays, December 7th:
Ellen Burstyn, 92
Johnny Bench, 77
Larry Bird, 68
C Thomas Howell, 58
Eric Chavez, 47
Ryan Theriot, 45
Jake McQuaide, 37
Kyle Hendricks, 35
Yasiel Puig, 34
Pete Alonso, 30

— There were three college football conference title games Friday:

Jacksonville State 52, Western Kentucky 12
Gamecocks win C-USA in their second year as a I-A team.
Jax State won nine of last ten games, after an 0-3 start.
Gamecocks ran for 386 yards, outgained the Hilltoppers, 562-229.
Back in 1985, Rams won NFC West with QB Dieter Brock, who played most of his career in the CFL. Dieter Brock played his college ball at Jacksonville State.

— Boise State 21, UNLV 7
Last eight years, Broncos are 6-2 SU in MW title games.
UNLV ran for 217 yards; they had an 87-yard run, but didn’t score on that drive.

— Army 35, Tulane 14
Army wins the AAC in their first season in the league.
Cadets ran ball for 335 yards; they were 4-9 on 3rd down, 4-5 on 4th down.
Army scored 35 points while throwing two passes the whole game.

— Northwestern 70, Illinois 66 OT
Illinois loses its Big 18 opener, slips to 7-2, 1-2 against top 100 teams.
Wildcats’ last four games were all decided by 5 or fewer points.

— West Virginia 73, Georgetown 60
Hoyas led 30-28 at halftime.
Senior G Small scored 26 for West Virginia, which is 6-2, 3-2 vs top 100 teams.

— Niagara 69, Siena 68
Niagara outscored Saints 6-2 over the final 2:12
Purple Eagles were 17-20 on foul line, Siena 9-14.

— Oklahoma State wants football coach Mike Gundy to re-do his contract so that he makes less $$$, then use the money he gives back to help fund their NIL program.
There will be lawyers.

— In the movie Moneyball, when they make such a big thing about trading 1B Carlos Pena, Pena was hitting .218 when he got traded to Detroit. He wound up having a 14-year career with eight different teams, he hit 286 home runs with a career OPS of .808.
John Mabry hit .275 with 11 homers for the A’s that year, stepping in at 1B For Pena.
 

Cnotes53

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Highest scoring teams in college football:
44.2 ppg— Miami
43.3— Indiana
39.8— Notre Dame
39.2— SMU
39.1— Boise State
38.6— Texas Tech

Quote of the Day
“Don’t give up, don’t ever give up.”
Jim Valvano

Sunday’s quiz
Oregon QB Dillon Gabriel has played college football for two other schools; which ones?

Saturday’s quiz
San Diego hosts the Holiday Bowl every year.

Friday’s quiz
A’s moved from Kansas City to Oakland in 1968.

*********************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

— Georgia 22, Texas 19 OT
Texas tied game on a 37-yard FG with 0:18 left.
Each team scored one touchdown in regulation.
Longhorns outgained Georgia, 389-277.
11-2 Dawgs won their last four games, the last two in overtime.
Georgia QB Beck hurt his right arm during the game, didn’t finish.

— Clemson 34, SMU 31
Clemson kicked a 55-yard FG at the gun for the win.
Tigers have won their last nine appearances in the ACC title game.
Clemson led this game 31-14 in 4th quarter.
SMU drove 79 yards, tied game 31-31 on TD with 0:16 left.
SMU’s punter Isaac Pearson was a coal miner for four years in Australia, before coming to America and going to college as a punter.

— Oregon 45, Penn State 37
Ducks led this game 31-24 at halftime.
Oregon ran ball 35 times for 292 yards (8.3 yards/carry).
Ducks win the Big 18, in their first year in the league.

— Arizona State 45, Iowa State 19
Sun Devils ran ball 39 times for 245 yards (6.3 yards/carry).
ASU wins the Big X, in its first year in the league.
Sun Devils were picked 15th out of 16 team in the pre-season media poll.

— Marshall 31, Louisiana 3
WR Chapman caught 8 passes for 86 yards and a TD.
Thundering Herd was 8-15 on third down, Louisiana 2-16
Marshall outgained the Ragin’ Cajuns, 410-256.

— Ohio U 38, Miami OH 3
Bobcats outgained Miami, 467-189.
Bobcats threw ball for 235 yards, ran it for 232.
Ohio won its last six games, since a 30-20 loss at Miami.

College Basketball Upsets of the Day:
New Mexico State (+20.5) 89, New Mexico 83 OT
Washington State (+8.5) 74, Boise State 69
Loyola Marymount (+8.5) 68, Nevada 64
Denver (+8.5) 68, Portland State 67
Long Beach State (+6) 76, Hawai’i 68
Indiana State (+4.5) 80, Missouri State 77


— SS/3B Willie Adames signed a 7-year, $182M deal with San Francisco; he hit 32 homers, knocked in 112 runs for Milwaukee LY. He’s hit 87 home runs the last three years

— OF Tyler O’Neill signed a 3-year deal with the Orioles worth $49.5M, filling the void in the Oriole outfield created by Anthony Santander’s free agency.
O’Neill hit 31 homers last year in his only season with the Red Sox; his OPS was .842 last year, his career OPS is .792.

— Japanese pitcher Roki Sasaki is expected to be posted at the winter meetings, but he isn’t expected to sign until after January 15, when the international amateur signing period starts, and more $$$ will be available.

— Oklahoma State was paying football coach Mike Gundy $7.75M/year, but his contract has been re-done, and the money that was taken away from him will go into OSU’s NIL program, as they try to recruit better players.
Oklahoma State had gone to 18 consecutive bowls before this year, but they went 3-9, 0-9 in conference games. Gundy is the winningest coach in OSU history.

Famous birthdays, December 8th:
Kim Basinger, 71
Steve Dils, 69
George Rogers, 66
Wendell Pierce, 61
Teri Hatcher, 60
Jeff George, 57
Mike Mussina, 56
Philip Rivers, 43
Josh Donaldson, 39
Dwight Howard, 39

— Marquette 88, Wisconsin 74
Marquette scored 88 points on 66 possessions; they were only 8-26 on the arc.
Marquette was +11 in turnovers (16-5), shot 63.9% inside the arc.
Badgers lost two in row after an 8-0 start; they led 39-37 at halftime.

— New Mexico State 89, New Mexico 83 OT
Huge upset in the Land of Enchantment.
Aggies had lost five in row, had the #338 eFG% in country.
Lobos led by 14 early, but State made 14-31 shots on the arc.

— Rhode Island 69, Providence 63
Rams are 9-0, but they’ve played schedule #330.
Both of URI’s top 100 wins were by six points.
Providence led this game by 8 with 13:43 left in the game.

— NC State 84, Florida State 74 OT
Seminoles led 66-60 with 3:444 left to play.
Wolfpack snaps 3-game skid with their first top 100 win in four tries.
NC State shot 64.5% inside the arc.
Bad beat if you had the Seminoles +5.

— St John’s 88, Kansas State 71
K-State came a long way to play a game that started at 11:30am in Queens.
Wildcats led by 10 with 5:36 left in first half.
Red Storm outscored K-State 53-32 in the second half.
 

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Weather Report

Sunday, December 7


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Udog

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Armadillo's Write-up

Week 14

Sunday’s games
Saints
(-5) @ Giants
Saints (4-8)
New Orleans is 2-1 SU/ATS since their coaching change.
Saints lost last four road games, giving up 25.3 ppg.
New Orleans is 1-8 when it scores less than 35 points.
Saints are 0-7 when they give up 20+ points.
Team total: under 4-2 last six
Opponents’ team total: over 6-3 last nine


Saints are 1-3 ATS as a favorite this year.
Saints are 1-6-1 ATS last eight games as a road favorite.
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS last seven games coming off a loss.
Saints are 1-4 in one-score games this year.
QB Carr is 76-93 as an NFL starter.
Over is 7-5 in their games this season.


Giants (2-10)
Giants are 0-7 SU/ATS in last six games.
Giants are 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS at home, scoring 10 points/game.
Giants haven’t had a positive turnover ratio in any games TY.
Team total: under 7-5
Opponents’ team total: over 6-0 last six


Last seven games, Giants were outscored 97-29 in first half.
Under Daboll, Giants are 8-8-1 ATS as a home underdog
Under Daboll, Giants are 14-12-1 ATS coming off a loss.
QB Lock is 9-15 as an NFL starter.
Under is 8-4 in their games this season.
Last two games, Giants gained 247/245 yards.


Teams split their last six meetings.
Saints lost four of last six visits to the Garden State (vs Giants)
Under is 3-1 in last four series games.


Browns @ Steelers (-6.5)
Browns (3-9)
Cleveland scored 24-32 points last 2 games, most they’ve scored TY
Winston also threw two pick-6’s and an INT in red zone Monday nite.
Browns are 2-4 SU/ATS on road this season.
Cleveland is 3-1 when it scores 18+ points, 0-8 when it doesn’t
Team total: under 9-3
Opponents’ team total: over 7-5


Short week for Browns after Monday’s loss in Denver.
Browns are 8-13-1 ATS last 22 games as a road underdog.
Last six games, Browns ran ball for 77-80-79-66-85-77 yards.
Cleveland allowed 20+ points in 10 of 12 games.
Browns are 6-14-1 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
Browns are minus-7 in turnovers the last six games.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.


Steelers (9-3)
Steelers won/covered six of their last seven games.
Pittsburgh’s last four games were decided by total of 14 points.
Steelers are 6-5 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.
Team total: over 5-2 last seven
Opponents’ team total: under 7-5


Steelers are 14-6-1 in its last 21 games coming off a win.
Pittsburgh is 12-4 ATS in last 16 AFC North home games.
Last eight games, Steelers are +13 in turnovers.
Last seven games, Pittsburgh outscored opponents 117-65 in 2nd half.
Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.
Wilson threw for 414 yards LW (10.3 yards/attempt).


Home team won last five series games.
Browns (+3.5) beat Steelers 24-19 at home two weeks ago.
Cleveland lost 4 in row, 21 of last 22 visits to Pittsburgh (1-6 ATS last 7)
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.


Falcons @ Vikings (-5.5)
Falcons (6-6)
Kirk Cousins against his old team; he threw 4 INT’s in LW’s loss.
Atlanta lost its last three games SU, scoring 3 TD’s on 29 drives.
Falcons were held to 17 or fewer points in all six losses.
Atlanta scored 22= points in all of its wins.
Team total: under 5-1 last six
Opponents’ team total: over 5-3-1 last nine


Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog.
Falcons are 3-7 ATS last 10 games as an underdog overall.
Falcons are 9-13-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.
QB Cousins is 82-77-2 as an NFL starter.
Five of Falcons’ last six games stayed under the total.
NFC South underdogs are 10-12 ATS in non-divisional games.


Vikings (10-2)
Minnesota won last five games, winning last two by 1-3 points.
Vikings allowed 31-30 points in their two losses.
Under is 9-3-1 in Minnesota’s last 13 home games.
Vikings are 7-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Team total: over 7-4-1
Opponents’ team total: under 7-5


Minnesota is 8-17 ATS in last 25 games as home favorite.
Minnesota has 23 takeaways in 12 games (+4 turnovers).
Minnesota gave up 391/386 TY in its two losses.
Vikings are 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS at home this season.
QB Darnold is 30-37 as an NFL starter, 9-2 with Vikings.
Vikings are 11-4-1 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
NFC North home favorites are 11-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Vikings won five of last six series games.
Teams split their last six meetings in Minnesota.
Under is 7-3 in last ten meetings.


Raiders @ Buccaneers (-6.5)
Raiders (2-10)
QB O’Connell threw for 340 yards in LW’s 19-17 loss to Chiefs.
Raiders averaged 8.4 yards/pass attempt LW, their best this year.
Raiders are 0-8 SU/3-5 ATS in last eight games.
Raiders have 23 turnovers in 12 games (minus-18).
Team total: over 8-4
Opponents’ team total: over 8-4


Raiders are 3-4 ATS this season as a road underdog.
Raiders held last three opponents to 82-63-63 rushing yards.
QB O’Connell is 5-8 as an NFL starter.
Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.
Raiders are 7-9-1 ATS last 17 games vs NFC teams.
Las Vegas is 18-22-1 ATS in last 41 games coming off a loss.
AFC West road teams are 11-7 ATS in non-divisional games.


Buccaneers (6-6)
Bucs won their last two games, after a 1-5 skid.
Bucs are 2-4 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Tampa Bay lost last three home tilts, giving up 41-31-23 points.
Bucs are 7-6 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
Team total: over 9-3
Opponents’ team total: over 8-4


Bucs are 3-2 ATS as a favorite this season.
Tampa Bay is 3-2-1 ATS last six gams as a home favorite.
QB Mayfield is 48-54 as an NFL starter, 16-15 with Buccaneers.
Seven of Tampa Bay’s last nine games went over the total.
Bucs are 2-4 when they score less than 30 points.
Bucs turned ball over 11 times in last six games (minus-3).
Tampa Bay is 5-7 ATS in last 12 games vs AFC opponents.


Teams split their last six meetings.
Raiders won 30-24/31-24 in last two visits to Tampa.
Last six series games went over the total.


Panthers @ Eagles (-12.5)
Panthers (3-9)
Carolina is 2-2 SU/4-0 ATS in last four games.
Those four games were decided by total of 10 points.
Last two weeks, Panthers threw for 249-289 yards.
QB Young is 4-19 as an NFL starter.
Team total: over 6-5-1
Opponents’ team total: over 8-4


Carolina is 3-5 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
Panthers are 2-10-1 ATS last 13 games as a road underdog.
Over is 9-3 in Carolina games this year.
Panthers’ first seven losses were all by 10+ points (last two by 3-3)
Carolina is 0-9 when they give up more than 22 points..
Last shree games, Panthers are +3 in turnovers.
NFC South road teams are 7-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Eagles (10-2)
Eagles are 8-0 SU/6-2 in their last eight games.
Last three weeks, Eagles ran ball for 227.3 yards/game.
Eagles outscored last seven opponents 84-45 in first half.
Team total: over 6-1 last seven
Opponents’ team total: under 6-2 last eight


Philly is 3-1 SU/1-3 ATS at home this season.
Last six games, Eagles are +9 in turnovers.
QB Hurts is 46-22 as an NFL starter.
Eagles are 1-5 ATS in last six games as a double digit favorite.
Eagles are 6-3 ATS in last nine games coming off a win.
NFC East favorites are 6-7 ATS in non-divisional games.


Teams split their last six series games.
Panthers won two of last three visits to Philly.
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.


Jaguars @ Titans (-4)
Jaguars (2-10)
Jaguars lost last five games, by 3-5-5-46-3 points.
Jaguars covered five of their last six games.
QB Lawrence got KO’d LW (concussion), is likely out here
Team total: under 7-5
Opponents’ team total: over 5-3 last eight


Jaguars are 5-3 ATS last eight games as a road underdog.
Jaguars were held under 100 rushing yards in last five games.
Backup QB Jones is 18-27 as an NFL starter.
Six of their last eight games went over the total.
Jaguars have 13 turnovers in last eight games (minus-6)
Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in last seven AFC South home games.


Titans (3-8)
Tennessee is 2-6 SU/1-7 ATS in last eight games.
Titans scored 19 or fewer points in their losses; 31-20-32 points in wins.
Tennessee is minus-13 in turnovers, with ten takeaways.
Team total: under 8-3-1
Opponents’ team total: over 6-3-3


Titans are 0-3 ATS as a favorite this season.
Tennessee is 3-7 ATS in last 10 games as a home favorite.
Tennessee has been outscored 170-100 in second half.
QB Levis is 5-13 as an NFL starter.
Tennessee is 2-6 ATS in last eight games coming off a loss.
Titans are 2-5 ATS in last seven AFC South home games.


Jaguars won three of last four series games.
Jaguars are 1-9 SU/2-8 ATS in last 10 visits to Tennessee.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.


Jets @ Dolphins (-6)
Jets (3-9)
Jets are 1-8 SU/ATS in last nine games.
Three of their last four losses were by 3-1-5 points.
Jets are 3-1 if they allow 17 or less points, 0-8 if they allow 23+.
Jets are 0-6 scoring less than 21 points.
Team total: under 6-2 last eight
Opponents’ team total: over 6-1 last seven


Jets are 1-5 SU/ATS on the road this season.
Jets are 3-10 ATS last 13 AFC East road games.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Jets are 1-6 SU/ATS since their coaching change.
Last four games, Jets averaged only 253 yards/game.
Jets held last two opponents to 91-84 rushing yards.


Dolphins (5-7)
Dolphins won three of last four games, after a 1-6 skid.
Miami is 0-6 when it gives up 20+ points, 5-1 if they allow less.
Miami is 47-74 on 3rd down last six games, with Tagovailoa back at QB.
Tagovailoa is 36-24 as an NFL starter.
Team total: under 6-5-1
Opponents’ team total: over 7-5


Under McDaniel, Miami is 12-8 ATS as a home favorite (2-4 TY).
In games 5-8, Dolphins ran ball for 170 yards/game.
Last four games, Miami ran ball for 63.3 yards/game.
Dolphins are 6-4 ATS in last 10 games coming off a loss.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in last eight AFC East home games.


Dolphins won eight of last nine series games.
Jets are 0-8 SU/2-5-1 ATS in last eight visits to Miami.
Under is 5-3 in last eight meetings.


Seahawks @ Cardinals (-2.5)
Seahawks (7-5)
Seahawks are 3-0 since their bye, giving up 17-6-21 points.
Seattle allowed 26+ points in losses, 21 or less in wins.
Seahawks are 6-4 ATS in last ten NFC West road games.
Team total: over 8-4
Opponents’ team total: over 7-5


QB Smith is 37-42 as an NFL starter, 25-23 with Seattle.
Seahawks are 10-10-1 in last 21 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Seattle was held under 300 TY in four of last five games.
Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
Seattle is 4-1 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Seahawks are minus-9 in turnovers in losses, +2 in wins.


Cardinals (6-6)
Arizona is 0-2 since its bye, losing 16-6/23-22.
Cardinals are 18-12 ATS last 30 games coming off a loss.
In its six wins, Arizona outscored foes 77-30 in second half.
Team total: over 7-5
Opponents’ team total: under 8-4


QB Murray is 34-43-1 SU as an NFL starter.
Cardinals were held under 300 TY in four of six losses.
Arizona is 4-2 SU/ATS at home this season.
Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.
Cardinals are 11-8 ATS in last 19 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Arizona outgained Minnesota 406-273 LW, but lost 23-22.


Cardinals (-1) lost 16-6 at Seattle two weeks ago.
Arizona kicked two FG’s, gave up a defensive TD.
Seattle is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in last five meetings.
Seahawks are 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS in last three visits to Arizona.
Under is 9-3 in last 12 series games.


Bills (-4) @ Rams
Bills (10-2)
Bills won their last seven games (6-1 ATS)
Buffalo gave up 35-23 points in its two losses (9-0 allow less than 23).
Buffalo outscored last six opponents 126-54 in second half.
Last eight games, Bills are +12 in turnovers (17-5).
Team total: over 10-2
Opponents’ team total: under 8-4


Buffalo is 18-12 ATS in last 30 games as a road favorite.
Bills are 24-15-1 ATS in last 40 games coming off a win.
QB Allen is 78-37 as an NFL starter.
Last seven Buffalo games went over the total.
Buffalo is 6-6-1 ATS in last 12 games vs NFC opponents.
Bills held four of last six opponents under 300 TY.


Rams (6-6)
Rams won five of their last seven games, after a 1-4 start.
Rams are 2-6 scoring less than 26 points, 4-0 scoring 26+.
Nine of their 12 games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
Last five games, Rams are only 12-50 on third down.
Team total: under 8-4
Opponents’ team total: under 5-2-1 last seven


Rams are 3-3 SU/2-4 ATS in home games this season.
Last seven games, Rams are +5 in turnovers.
Rams are 8-5-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
Rams are 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog.
Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.
Rams are 8-13-1 ATS in last 22 games vs AFC opponents.


Buffalo won/covered last three series games.
Bills won/covered last three visits to Los Angeles.
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Bears @ 49ers (-4)
Bears (4-8)
Bears lost last five games, four of then by 3 or fewer points.
Bears fired their coach LW, their OC three weeks ago.
Chicago converted 22 of last 48 third down plays, an improvement.
It is unclear how firing the coach helps the rookie QB.
Team total: under 6-5-1
Opponents’ team total: under 9-3


Bears are 8-13-1 ATS last 22 games as a road underdog.
Chicago is 13-14-2 ATS in last 29 games coming off a loss.
Bears ran ball for less than 80 yards in four of last five games.
Last five games, Bears are 0-5 despite being +5 in turnovers.
Chicago is 0-7 if they score less than 24 points.
NFC North underdogs are 5-3 ATS inion-divisional games.


49ers (5-7)
49ers lost last three games, are 0-4 ATS since their bye.
49ers are 1-6 when they score less than 30 points.
Last four weeks, 49ers are minus-7 in turnovers. .
49ers are 0-6 when they gain less than 400 yards.
Team total: under 7-5
Opponents’ team total: over 8-3-1


Star RB McCaffrey is likely out for the year.
49ers are 3-3 SU/ATS as a home favorite TY.
49ers are 12-9 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
QB Purdy is 26-11 as an NFL starter.
Over is 7-3 in their last four ten games.
NFC West favorites are 6-7-1 ATS in non-divisional games.


Teams split last eight series games.
Bears won their last two visits to Santa Clara.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.


Chargers @ Chiefs (-3.5)
Chargers (8-4)
Chargers won/covered five of last six games.
LA is 3-4 scoring 23 or fewer points, 5-0 scoring 24+.
Last eight games, Chargers outscored foes 154-63 in 1st half.
Team total: over 7-5
Opponents’ team total: under 7-4-1


Chargers are 0-4-1 ATS last five games as road underdogs.
Bolts are 3-6-1 ATS last 10 AFC West road games.
Chargers are 10-9-3 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
QB Herbert is 38-37 as an NFL starter.
Under is 5-1 in their last roadgames.
Chargers are 3-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.


Chiefs (11-1)
Chiefs are 11-1, but they’re 0-6 ATS last six games.
Kansas City has only one win this year by more than 10 points.
Chiefs are 11-21 ATS in last 32 games coming off a win.
Chiefs ran for less than 80 yards in three of last four games.
Team total: over 5-3 last eight
Opponents’ team total: over 5-1 last six


Chiefs are 16-21 ATS in last 37 games as a home favorite.
QB Mahomes is 101-26 as an NFL starter.
Chiefs are 4-10 ATS last 14 AFC West home games.
Chiefs have only three takeaways in last six games (minus-1).
Chiefs are 9-0 in games decided by 7 or less points.
Under is 3-1 in Chiefs’ last four home games.


Chiefs (-7.5) won 17 -10 at SoFi in Week 4, outgaining Chargers, 329-224
Chiefs are 5-0 SU/2-3 ATS in last six meetings
Chargers are 3-3 SU/4-2 ATS in last six visits to Arrowhead.
Under is 4-2 in last six series games.


Bengals (-5) @ Cowboys
Bengals (4-8)
Bengals lost last three games, giving up 35-34-44 points.
Bengals are 4-1 if they allow 24 or fewer points, 0-7 if they allow more than 24.
Over is 9-2 in their last eleven games.
Team total: over 8-4
Opponents’ team total: over 8-3-1


Bengals are 3-0 ATS as a road favorite TY.
Bengals are 10-5 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite.
Cincinnati is 9-3-2 ATS in last 14 games vs NFC teams.
Bengals are 21-11-1ATS in last 33 games coming off a loss.
Cincinnati is 1-7 SU in games decided by fewer than 7 points.
QB Burrow is 38-32-1 as an NFL starter.


Cowboys (5-7)
Dallas won its last two games, 34-26/27-20.
Cowboys are 1-7 when they allow more than 20 points.
Last six games, Cowboys gave up 24 TD’s on 78 drives.
Dallas is 22-16 ATS in last 38 games coming off a win.
Team total: under 6-3 last nine
Opponents’ team total: over 6-1 last seven


Dallas is 1-5 SU/ATS at home this season.
Backup QB Rush is 7-3 as an NFL starter.
Cowboys converted 17 of last 55 third down plays.
Over is 5-1 in Dallas home games.
Dallas was held under 100 RY in five of last seven games.


Cowboys won last five series games, covered last four.
Bengals lost 30-7/20-19 in last two visits to Dallas
Under is 6-1 in last seven meetings.
 

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SUNDAY, DECEMBER 8

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NO at NYG01:00 PMNYG +5.5
U 41.0
+500 +500
ATL at MIN01:00 PMMIN -6.0
O 46.5
+500 +500
CLE at PIT01:00 PMCLE +6.5
U 43.0
+500 +500
JAC at TEN01:00 PMTEN -3.0
U 40.5
+500 +500
CAR at PHI01:00 PMCAR +14.0
O 45.0
+500 +500
LV at TB01:00 PMTB -7.0
U 47.0
+500 +500
NYJ at MIA01:00 PMMIA -6.5
U 45.5
+500 +500
SEA at ARI04:05 PMARI -2.5
U 45.5
+500 +500
BUF at LA04:25 PMBUF -3.5
O 50.0
+500 +500
CHI at SF04:25 PMSF -3.5
U 43.5
+500 +500
LAC at KC08:20 PMLAC +4.0
O 42.5
+500 +500
 

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NFL BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !

12/08/2024...................9 - 8 - 0....................52.94.........................+ 1.00
12/05/2024....................0 - 2 - 0....................00.00%....................- 11.00
12/02/2024....................2 - 0 - 0...................100.00%....................+ 10.00
12/01/2024.....................3 - 7- 0.....................30.00%.....................- 23.50

TOTALS........................14 - 17 - 0.....................45.16%.................... - 23.50
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
— UCLA 73, Oregon 71- Bruins banked in a 3-pointer with 0:00.4 left.
— Missouri 76, Kansas 67- Kansas was 9-11 on foul line, Mizzou 26-31
— Duke 76, Louisville 65- Cardinals led by 14 points in first half.
— Purdue 83, Maryland 78- Terps led 62-57 with 8:25 left in game.
— Vanderbilt 83, TCU 74- Edwards scored 30 points; he didn’t start.
— Oklahoma State 85, Seton Hall 76- Pirates are 5-5, vs schedule #269.

Quote of the Day
“When you’re climbing the ladder of success in life, sometimes they forget to tell you to stop when you’re happy.”
UCF football coach Scott Frost

Monday’s quiz
Who was manager of the Mets last time they were in the World Series (2015)?

Sunday’s quiz
Oregon QB Dillon Gabriel has played college football for two other schools; Central Florida and Oklahoma.

Saturday’s quiz
San Diego hosts the Holiday Bowl every year.

********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday……

Lot of stuff going on; let’s get to it.
— Mets signed OF Juan Soto to a 15-year, $765M contract; that’s $51M a year, $318K+ per game for a 26-year old outfielder with a career OPS of .953.
Soto is 26; he’ll be playing for his 4th team in eight years, which is odd, but he doesn’t have to move this time, seeing how he played in the Bronx last year, and will play in Queens from now on.
Baseball’s Winter Meetings are this week; they’re off to a flying start.

Dolphins 32, Jets 26 OT
Miami forced OT on a 52-yard FG with 0:07 left.
Sanders kicked four FG’s, two of 50+ yards, but also missed a PAT.
Miami drove 70 yards in 8 plays for game-winning TD in overtime.
Dolphins won nine of last ten series games.
Miami won four of its last five games overall.
Jets outgained Miami 402-375, but had 10 penalties for 83 yards.
Jets are 1-9 SU/2-8 ATS in their last ten games.
Four of their last five losses were by 3-1-5-6 points.
Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Jets held last three opponents to 91-84-44 rushing yards.

Vikings 42, Falcons 21
Cousins threw for 344 yards, but also 2 INTs in his return to Minnesota.
Falcons lost their last three games SU, scoring 5 TD’s on 38 drives.
Atlanta is 2-7 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.
Falcons had 3 turnovers, also 12 penalties for 127 yards.
Vikings’ first five drives: 30 plays, 213 yards, 14 points.
Vikings’ last four drives: 24 plays, 275 yards, 28 points.
Minnesota won its last six games (4-2 ATS)
Minnesota has 26 takeaways in 13 games (+7 turnovers).
NFC North home favorites are 12-5 ATS in non-divisional games.

Rams 44, Bills 42
Rams blocked punt for TD early in 2nd quarter, giving them 17-7 lead.
Bills’ 7 drives after that: 41 plays, 407 yards, 35 points.
QB Allen threw for 342 yards, 3 TDs, ran for 82 yards, 3 more TD’s.
Buffalo gave up 35-23-44 points in its losses (9-0 allow less than 23).
Last eight Buffalo games went over the total.
Rams’ first five drives: 52 plays, 358 yards, 31 points.
Rams converted 11 of their 15 third down plays.
WR Nucua caught 12 passes for 162 yards and a TD.
Rams won six of their last eight games, after a 1-4 start.
Ten of their 13 games were decided by 8 or fewer points.

Saints 14, Giants 11
Saints blocked a 35-yard FG with 0:11 left to preserve the win.
New Orleans is 3-1 SU/ATS since their coaching change.
Saints QB Carr injured his left hand late in game (check status)
New Orleans was 5-15 on third down, Giants 5-19.
Giants outgained the Saints, 325-292.
New Orleans led 14-3 after the third quarter.
Giants in 4th quarter: 30 plays, 162 yards, only 8 points.
Giants are 0-8 SU/1-7 ATS in last eight games.
Giants are 0-7 SU/2-5 ATS at home, scoring 10.1 points/game.
Giants haven’t had a positive turnover ratio in any games TY.

Steelers 27, Browns 14
Cleveland was 2-13 on 3rd down, Steelers 6-14.
Browns are 2-5 SU/ATS on road this season.
Cleveland is 3-1 when it scores 18+ points, 0-9 when it doesn’t
Browns are 8-14-1 ATS last 23 games as a road underdog.
Browns are minus-9 in turnovers the last seven games.
Pittsburgh led 13-7 at halftime.
Steelers first two drives of 2nd half: 13 plays, 113 yards, 14 points.
Steelers won/covered seven of their last eight games.
Pittsburgh is 13-4 ATS in last 17 AFC North home games.
Cleveland lost 5 in row, 22 of last 23 visits to Pittsburgh (1-7 ATS last 8)

Buccaneers 28, Raiders 13
Tampa Bay’s first 2 drives: 17 plays, 137 yards, 14 points.
Bucs won their last three games, after a 1-5 skid.
7-6 Tampa Bay leads NFC South by a game over Atlanta.
Mayfield threw for 295 yards, 3 TD’s.
Mayfield is 17-15 as Tampa Bay’s quarterback.
Buccaneers outgained Las Vegas, 420-286.
Tampa Bay ran ball 26 times for 152 yards (5.8 yards/carry).
Raiders lost another QB: O’Connell hurt his knee, Ridder was 12-18/101 passing.
Las Vegas is 0-9 SU/3-6 ATS in last nine games.
Raiders have 25 turnovers in 13 games (minus-17).

Famous birthdays, December 9th:
Darold Knowles, 83
Beau Bridges, 83
Michael Nouri, 79
John Malkovich, 71
World B Free, 71
Jim Haslett, 69
Otis Birdsong, 69
Juan Samuel, 64
Eric Bledsoe, 35

Eagles 22, Panthers 16
Carolina WR dropped a 38-yard TD pass in last 1:00 that would’ve given them the lead.
Panthers led 16-14 after 3rd quarter; they outgained Philly 302-292
Carolina is 2-3 SU/5-0 ATS in last five games.
Those five games were decided by total of 16 points.
WR Thielen caught nine passes for 102 yards.
Eagles ran ball for 209 yards, but Hurts threw for only 108 yards.
Safe to say that Philly’s receivers aren’t happy with those numbers.
Eagles are 9-0 SU/6-3 in their last nine games.
Philly is 4-1 SU/1-4 ATS at home this season.
Last seven games, Eagles are +10 in turnovers.

Jaguars 10, Titans 6
Tennessee led 6-0 after the third quarter.
Jaguars’ first 5 drives: 34 plays, 127 yards, 2 INTs, no points.
Jaguars’ last 3 drives: 24 plays, 151 yards, 10 points.
Jacksonville snaps its 5-game losing skid.
Jaguars covered six of their last seven games.
Tennessee is 2-7 SU/1-8 ATS in last nine games.
Titans were +2 in turnovers, but averaged only 4.3 yards/pass attempt.
Titans are 2-6 ATS in last eight AFC South home games.
QB Levis is 5-14 as an NFL starter.
Titans’ team total: under 9-3-1

Seahawks 30, Cardinals 18
Murray threw INTs on two of Arizona’s first three drives.
Seahawks’ first two TD drives were only 19-46 yards.
Seattle is 7-0 SU/6-1 ATS in last seven series games.
Seahawks are 4-0 since their bye, giving up 17-6-21-18 points.
Seattle was 7-15 on third down, Arizona 4-12.
Arizona is 0-3 since its bye, losing 16-6/23-22/30-18.
Down 27-18 in 4th quarter, Arizona missed a 40-yard FG.
Seahawks ran ball 31 times for 176 yards (5.7 yards/carry)
QB Murray is 34-44-1 SU as an NFL starter.

49ers 35, Bears 13
Bears scored first once in their 13 games (4-9).
Bears in first half: 17 plays, 9 yards, 5 punts.
49ers in first half: 37 plays, 310 yards, 24 points.
Maybe it wasn’t all the former coach’s fault.
Bears are 8-14-1 ATS last 23 games as a road underdog.
San Francisco snaps its 3-game losing skid.
49ers outgained Chicago 452-162; they averaged 11.9 yards/pass attempt.
49ers are 5-1 when they score 30+ points, 1-6 when they don’t.
QB Purdy is 27-11 as an NFL starter.
Over is 8-3 in their last eleven games.

Chiefs 19, Chargers 17
Chiefs drove 47 yards, kicked GW 31-yard field goal at the gun.
Kansas City wins AFC West for 9th year in a row.
Chiefs are 12-1, but they’re 0-7 ATS last seven games.
Kansas City has only one win this year by more than 10 points.
Chiefs are 16-22 ATS in last 38 games as a home favorite.
Chargers in first half: 27 plays, 122 yards, no points.
Chargers in second half: 31 plays, 210 yards, 17 points.
LA took a 17-16 lead, kicking a FG with 4:35 left in game.
Chargers are 5-2 SU/6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
LA is 3-5 scoring 23 or fewer points, 5-0 scoring 24+.
 

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NFL
Weather Report

Monday, December 9


hUUo58d.png





NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 14

Bengals
(-5) @ Cowboys
Bengals (4-8)
Bengals lost last three games, giving up 35-34-44 points.
Bengals are 4-1 if they allow 24 or fewer points, 0-7 if they allow more than 24.
Over is 9-2 in their last eleven games.
Team total: over 8-4
Opponents’ team total: over 8-3-1


Bengals are 3-0 ATS as a road favorite TY.
Bengals are 10-5 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite.
Cincinnati is 9-3-2 ATS in last 14 games vs NFC teams.
Bengals are 21-11-1ATS in last 33 games coming off a loss.
Cincinnati is 1-7 SU in games decided by fewer than 7 points.
QB Burrow is 38-32-1 as an NFL starter.


Cowboys (5-7)
Dallas won its last two games, 34-26/27-20.
Cowboys are 1-7 when they allow more than 20 points.
Last six games, Cowboys gave up 24 TD’s on 78 drives.
Dallas is 22-16 ATS in last 38 games coming off a win.
Team total: under 6-3 last nine
Opponents’ team total: over 6-1 last seven


Dallas is 1-5 SU/ATS at home this season.
Backup QB Rush is 7-3 as an NFL starter.
Cowboys converted 17 of last 55 third down plays.
Over is 5-1 in Dallas home games.
Dallas was held under 100 RY in five of last seven games.


Cowboys won last five series games, covered last four.
Bengals lost 30-7/20-19 in last two visits to Dallas
Under is 6-1 in last seven meetings.




YFUeJeq.png
 

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MONDAY, DECEMBER 9

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CIN at DAL08:15 PMDAL +4.5
O 49.5
+500 +500
 

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NFL BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !

12/09/2024...................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%........................- 11.00
12/08/2024...................9 - 8 - 0....................52.94%.........................+ 1.00
12/05/2024....................0 - 2 - 0....................00.00%....................- 11.00
12/02/2024....................2 - 0 - 0...................100.00%....................+ 10.00
12/01/2024.....................3 - 7- 0.....................30.00%.....................- 23.50

TOTALS........................14 - 19 - 0.....................42.42%.................... - 34.50
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
NFL’s best teams in turnover ratio:
+17— Bills, Steelers
+11— Chargers
+10— Bears, Texans
+9— Packers
+8— Lions, Vikings
+4— Eagles, Commanders

Quote of the Day
“If you think nobody cares about you, try missing a couple of payments.”
Steven Wright

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Kevin Durant play his one year of college basketball?

Monday’s quiz
Terry Collins was manager of the Mets last time they were in the World Series, in 2015.

Sunday’s quiz
Oregon QB Dillon Gabriel has played college football for two other schools; Central Florida and Oklahoma.

***************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Early notes, trends on bowl games…….

Early notes, thoughts, trends on bowl games:

— If you’re betting on bowl games, pay attention to the news:
Which coaches have moved on to other jobs
Which players are injured
Which players (if any) have opted out of playing
Weather

— If I was a kid playing in a bowl, my preference would be warm weather; in other words, almost anywhere other than Boise, Boston or the Bronx.

— This is the first year of the 12-team playoff; four games will be played at campus sites December 20-21. What impact will campus sites have on the games? Won’t be as many students around, with the games so close to Christmas.

— Will the teams who have first round byes have an advantage in second round games? Again, there is no road map for this, since this is the first year with this format.
Arizona State, Boise State, Georgia, Oregon have the first round byes.

Biggest spreads in bowls:
Florida -12 vs Tulane
Ole Miss -11.5 vs Duke
Alabama -11.5 vs Michigan
Clemson +11 @ Texas
South Carolina -10.5 vs Illinois
Army -10.5 vs Marshall
TCU -10 vs Louisiana
SMU +9 @ Penn State
Pittsburgh -9 vs Toledo

Highest totals in bowls:
68.5- North Texas-Texas State
62.5- South Florida-San Jose State
60.5- Baylor-LSU
60.5- Syracuse-Washington State
59.5- Texas Tech-Arkansas
59.5- South Alabama-Western Michigan
59.5- TCU-Louisiana
59.5- NC State-East Carolina
58.5- Coastal Carolina-Tex-San Antonio

Lowest totals in bowls:
40.5- Iowa-Missouri
42.5- Northern Illinois-Fresno State
43.5- Miami OH-Colorado State
43.5- Alabama-Michigan
44.5- Oklahoma-Navy
45.5- Boston College-Nebraska
46.5- Georgia Southern-Sam Houston State
47.5- Tennessee-Ohio State

Famous birthdays, December 10:
Susan Dey, 72
Mark Aguirre, 65
Bryant Stith, 54
Carlos Rodon, 32
Nestor Cortes, 30
Joe Burrow, 28

— North Carolina-UConn, Fenway Bowl
Tar Heels fired 73-year old Mack Brown, who won’t coach this game; Brown led UNC to bowls the last six years, going 44-33, but lost his last four bowls.
Adding to the intrigue is news that North Carolina is talking with 72-year old Bill Belichick about being the Tar Heels’ next coach, even though he has never coached in college.
With the game being played in Boston, that only adds to the drama.

— UNLV coach Barry Odom has already bolted to Purdue, which is 5-19 the last two years. Odom was 19-8 the last two years at UNLV; there is debate as to whether Purdue is a better job than UNLV, big fish/small pond and all that……..
Rebels are playing the Cal Bears in the LA Bowl; UNLV’s QB quit the team after three games this year, now their coach has moved on to greener pa$ture$. Not ideal.

— Dowell Loggains was South Carolina’s offensive coordinator; now he is Appalachian State’s head coach. Gamecocks are a double digit favorite over Illinois in their bowl game.

— Duke running backs coach Willie Simmons is the new head coach at Florida International; he was 45-13 as head coach at Florida A&M before moving to Duke this past year. His departure could be a distraction to a Duke team that is an 11.5-point underdog to Ole Miss.

— Marshall is 10-3 this season, winning the Sun Belt championship, but the administration at Marshall didn’t get long well with coach Charles Huff, so Huff has bolted to Southern Miss.
Marshall is a 10-point underdog to Army in their bowl game.

— Ohio U is 30-10 the last three years; they won the MAC championship Saturday, but quickly lost coach Tim Albin, who bolted to Charlotte. Ohio is favored by 1.5 points over Jacksonville State in their bowl game; Albin misses out on a trip to Orlando.

— Good news: Sam Houston State is 9-3 in its second year as a I-A team.
Bad news: Temple poached Sam Houston’s coach, 65-year old KC Keeler, who is 271-112-1 as a head coach at multiple levels of college ball.
Bearkats are a 5.5-point underdog to Georgia Southern in their bowl game.
 

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WEEK 15

Thursday, December 12


rVQXgxk.png



Sunday, December 15

ijboXEX.png



Monday, December 16

8KoyBxE.png
 

Udog

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NFL

Week 15


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA Rams vs San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
LA Rams is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing LA Rams
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams

Miami vs Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games on the road
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

Washington vs New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

Cincinnati vs Tennessee
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Dallas vs Carolina
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games at home

Kansas City vs Cleveland
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Kansas City is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Cleveland is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games at home

NY Jets vs Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets's last 8 games
Jacksonville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing NY Jets

Baltimore vs NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Giants's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Giants's last 14 games

Tampa Bay vs LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Chargers's last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
LA Chargers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

New England vs Arizona
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing New England

Indianapolis vs Denver
Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Indianapolis is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Denver
Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Buffalo vs Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Buffalo is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Green Bay vs Seattle
Green Bay is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Seattle
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Chicago vs Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago

Atlanta vs Las Vegas
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Las Vegas's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing Atlanta


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 15

Thursday’s game
Rams
@ 49ers (-2.5)
Rams (7-6)
Rams won six of their last eight games, after a 1-4 start.
Rams are 5-0 scoring 26+ points, 2-6 scoring less than 26.
Ten of their 13 games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
Last week, Rams were 11-15 on third down.
Previous five games, Rams were 12-50 on third down.
Team total: under 8-5
Opponents’ team total: under 5-3-1 last nine


Rams won/covered their last three road games.
Favorites are 6-0 ATS in their road games.
Last eight games, Rams are +5 in turnovers.
Rams are 9-5-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
Rams are 4-10-2 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog.
LA is 5-10-1 ATS in last 16 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
Rams are 8-3 ATS in last 11 NFC West road games.


49ers (6-7)
49ers lost three of last four games, are 1-4 ATS since their bye.
49ers are 1-6 when they score less than 30 points.
Last four weeks, 49ers are minus-7 in turnovers. .
49ers are 0-6 when they gain less than 400 yards.
Team total: under 7-6
Opponents’ team total: over 8-4-1


49ers are 4-3 SU/ATS as a home favorite TY.
49ers are 0-4 ATS TY in last 20 games coming off a win.
QB Purdy is 27-11 as an NFL starter.
Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.
49ers are 1-4 ATS in last five NFC West home games.
Star RB McCaffrey is likely out for the year.


Rams (+7) beat 49ers 27-24 at home back in Week 3.
49ers led 21-7 midway thru third quarter.
San Francisco is 9-3 in last 12 series games.
Rams are 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS in last five visits to Santa Clara.
Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
NFL’s worst teams in turnover ratio:
minus-17— Raiders
minus-11— Jaguars, Titans
minus-10— Browns
minus-9— Falcons
minus-8— Cowboys, Giants
minus-6— Patriots

Quote of the Day
“Nolan wants to win, and there’s more details, but that’s really between them and I don’t want to have any effect on what [Cardinals president of baseball operations John] Mozeliak is trying to do. Nolan’s willing to strongly consider it, if it’s the right place to go, but he’s not going to go just anywhere. He has a full no-trade clause, so he has that right, and he’s a veteran player and we hope something good happens, but he’s not going to approve and move his family and go play (just anywhere).”
Nolan Arenado’s agent Joel Wolfe

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Jameis Winston play his college football?

Tuesday’s quiz
Kevin Durant played his one year of college basketball for the Texas Longhorns.

Monday’s quiz
Terry Collins was manager of the Mets last time they were in the World Series, in 2015.

*******************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— Good week for baseball fans; lot of stuff going on.
Mets are going to be paying Juan Soto $51K a year for the next 16 years; last year, the entire payroll for the Oakland A’s was $63M. Awesome.
On Opening Day, when Soto suits up for the Mets, he’ll be playing for his fourth different team in the last four Opening Days. Very unusual for a 26-year old star.

— When they signed Soto, Mets’ odds to win the World Series plunged from 12-1 to 15-2.

— With Soto leaving the Bronx, New York has lot of extra $$$ to spend- Bombers signed P Max Fried to an eight year, $218M deal- that is $27.25M per year.
Fried will be 31 next month; he was 11-10, 3.25 in 29 starts for Atlanta last year. In his career, he is 73-36, 3.07 in 151 career starts, all with the Braves. Fried was an All-Star two of the last three seasons.

— P Nathan Eovaldi re-upped with the Texas Rangers, getting $75M for three years.

— Dodgers signed reliever Blake Treinen for two years, $22M; they also signed OF Michael Conforto for one year, $17M.

— Phillies signed reliever Jordan Romano for one year, $8.5M.

— Blue Jays signed reliever Yimi Garcia for two years, $15M.
Toronto also acquired 2B Andres Gimenez from Cleveland.

— Top two picks in July’s baseball draft:
1) Washington 2) LA Angels

— Mariners, Cardinals jumped the highest in the draft lottery; Marlins, Rockies have to be really disappointed with where they’re picking- they fell in the lottery.

— Tampa Bay Rays will draft 14th in July, highest pick they’ve had since 2017.

Famous birthdays, December 11:
Rita Moreno, 93
Donna Mills, 84
Gary Dourdan, 58
Doug Nussmeier, 54
Shareef Abdur-Rahim, 48
Joe Blanton, 44
Jacoby Brissett, 32
Allen Lazard, 29
Hailee Steinfeld, 28
Mark Vientos, 25

— Bengals 27, Cowboys 20
Burrow threw a 40-yard TD pass to Chase with 1:01 for the winning TD.
Chase caught 14 passes for 177 yards, two TD’s.
Dallas muffed a blocked punt just before that, giving Cincinnati the ball back.
Bengals are 5-1 if they allow 24 or fewer points, 0-7 if they allow more than 24.
Bengals are 4-0 ATS as a road favorite TY.
Dallas is 1-6 SU/ATS at home this season.
Cowboys are 1-8 when they allow more than 20 points.
Bengals outgained Dallas, 433-322.
Game was 17-17 after the third quarter.
Cowboys’ last three drives: 12 plays, 31 yards, no points.

— Central Florida hired Scott Frost as its new football coach; Frost led UCF to a 13-0 record in 2017, then bolted to Nebraska, where his teams struggled, going 16-31 over five years- they gave him $13M to take a hike during the 2022 season.
This season, Frost has been working with the LA Rams as a special assistant.

— Brandon Aubrey is the Dallas Cowboys’ kicker; he never played college football, he played soccer in college, but he was drafted by the USFL’s Birmingham Stallions and kicked for them for two years, before he made the Cowboys’ roster.
Jake Bates is the Detroit Lions’ kicker; he kicked for the Michigan Panthers in the UFL last year and now he’s in the big time.
Spring football will be starting up at the end of March.

— Would Alabama have been left out of the college football playoff if Nick Saban was still their coach? Has their perception changed since he retired? You could make an argument that they wouldn’t have lost three games if he was still coaching, but that’s a different question.

— Kansas City Chiefs are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games; no team that won the Super Bowl has ever had an 0-6 ATS streak during that season.

— Duke’s football team is 9-3 this year, their best win %age since 1962, but QB Maalik Murphy is going into the transfer portal. He’s thrown for 2,932 yards, 26 TD’s, 12 INTs after coming over from Texas.
Duke was 9-4 last year with Riley Leonard at QB; he bolted to Notre Dame last spring.

— Arkansas 89, Michigan 87
This game had the feel of March, like a Sweet 16 game.
78-possession game, very fast pace.

— North Dakota State 71, Butler 68
Big East teams aren’t supposed to lose to Summit teams.
North Dakota State outscored Butler 9-1 over the final 2:39.
Bison shot 13-30 on the arc; that’s how upsets happen.

— Brown 84, Rhode Island 80 2OT
URI came in at 9-0; they led by 12 in first half.
Rams turned ball over 21 times (minus-7)

— Providence 70, DePaul 63 OT
DePaul led by 8 with 3:37 left in regulation.
Blue Demons have now lost their last 33 regular season conference games.

— Charleston 78, St Joe’s 75
St Joe’s led by 11 with 10:55 left in the game.
Chris Mack’s Cougars are 7-2; they were 13-13 on foul line.
 

Cnotes53

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THURSDAY, DECEMBER 12

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
LA at SF08:15 PMSF -2.5
U 49.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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