Cnotes53 2017 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News Thru Playoffs !

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,233
29
48
MONDAY, NOVEMBER 6
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


BOS at ATL 07:30 PM
BOS -7.5 *****
U 204.0

BK at PHO 09:00 PM
PHO +1.0
U 234.5 *****

MIA at GS 10:30 PM
MIA +15.0 *****
U 223.5 *****
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,233
29
48
NBA roundup: Celtics edge Hawks for 9th straight win
November 7, 2017


ATLANTA -- Kyrie Irving scored 13 of his 35 points in the fourth quarter, and the Boston Celtics won their ninth in a row after two opening losses, defeating the Atlanta Hawks 110-107 on Monday night.

Irving made four 3-pointers and shot 14 of 22 overall while adding seven assists. Boston rookie Jason Tatum scored 21 points and grabbed eight rebounds, and former Atlanta forward Al Horford had 15 points, 10 rebounds and nine assists.

Dennis Schroder scored 23 points for the Hawks. Dewayne Dedmon and Marco Belinelli each had 19 points, with Dedmon also grabbing 12 rebounds.

Warriors 97, Heat 80


OAKLAND, Calif. -- Kevin Durant scored 21 points, Draymond Green had 18 points and nine rebounds, and Golden State overcame a slow start to defeat Miami.

Golden State won its fourth straight and beat Miami at Oracle Arena for the fourth consecutive time. The Warriors survived cold shooting (36.8 percent). Stephen Curry had 16 points but was 5 of 19 from the floor and 2 of 9 on 3-pointers.

James Johnson had 21 points for Miami, and Goran Dragic added 19.

Nets 98, Suns 92


PHOENIX -- D'Angelo Russell scored 14 of his 23 points in the fourth quarter, and Brooklyn earned its first road win of the season, beating Phoenix.

Joe Harris had 18 points, Allen Crabbe added 15 and DeMarre Carroll scored 14, including five in the final two minutes, for the Nets, who snapped a four-game losing streak overall and won for the first time in five tries on the road.

Phoenix's TJ Warren finished with 20 points and Devin Booker had 18 before fouling out with 2:37 left. Mike James scored 16 points and Tyler Ulis had 11 for the Suns, who have lost three straight and fell to 4-4 under interim coach Jay Triano.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,233
29
48
SCHEDULE FOR TUESDAY NOVEMBER 7, 2017
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:00 PM Dallas Mavericks Washington Wizards Capital One Arena
7:00 PM Milwaukee Bucks Cleveland Cavaliers Quicken Loans Arena
7:00 PM New Orleans Pelicans Indiana Pacers Bankers Life Fieldhouse
7:30 PM Charlotte Hornets New York Knicks Madison Square Garden
7:30 PM Chicago Bulls Toronto Raptors Air Canada Centre
8:30 PM Los Angeles Clippers San Antonio Spurs AT&T Center
9:00 PM Brooklyn Nets Denver Nuggets Pepsi Center
9:00 PM Philadelphia 76ers Utah Jazz Vivint Smart Home Arena
10:00 PM Memphis Grizzlies Portland Trail Blazers Moda Center at the Rose Quarter
10:00 PM Oklahoma City Thunder Sacramento Kings Golden 1 Center

************************

November's NBA Best Bets And Opinions ( Based on 5 Units )

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

11/06/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
11/05/2017 8-6-0 57.14% +7.00
11/04/2017 5-2-1 71.43% +14.00
11/03/2017 10-13-0 43.48% -21.50
11/02/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
11/01/2017 12-12-0 50.00% -6.00

Totals...............39- 39......50.00%......-19.50

Best Bets:

Date.................................ATS.......... .....Units.............Over/Under............Units

11/06/2017.....................1 - 1...............-0.10.................1 - 1.................-0.10
11/05/2017.....................3 - 1..............+9.50.................1 - 1.................-0.10
11/04/2017.....................1 - 1...............-0.10.................2 - 1.................+4.50
11/03/2017.....................2 - 3...............-6.50.................4 - 3.................+3.50
11/02/2017.....................1 - 1..............- 0.10.................1 - 1..................-0.10
11/01/2017.....................4 - 1..............+14.50...............4 - 3 .................+3.50

Totals............................12 - 8..............+17.30..............13 - 10................+11.20
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,233
29
48
Tuesday?s six-pack

Odds to win the 2018 World Series

? Los Angeles Dodgers 11-2

? Houston Astros 7-1/Cleveland Indians

? Cleveland/New York (A)/Chicago Cubs 15-2

? Boston Red Sox/Washington Nationals 10-1

? St Louis Cardinals/Arizona Diamondbacks 20-1

? Toronto Blue Jays 22-1

********************************************

Tuesday?s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but??.


13) Lions 30, Packers 17? Detroit wins for just 2nd time in last 26 visits to Wisconsin; Green Bay?s season is in the ashcan. Stafford threw for 361 yards, and scored TD?s in red zone.

12) Eagles are 8-1 heading into their bye week; in the last 20 years, out of 45 teams to start a season 7-1, only the ?12 Bears, ?96 Redskins started 7-1, and then missed the playoffs.

11) Seattle Seahawks penalties the last three games: 41 penalties for 358 yards. They need to knock those numbers down- 120 yards a game is tough to overcome.

10) Bulls? Zach LaVine signed a 4-year, $35M deal with adidas; he is making $3,202,217 from the Bulls this season. Why is a sneaker company paying him 273% what the Bulls pay him?

9) Only players ever to hit a home run on Opening Day, and then in Game 7 of the World Series that same year: George Springer this year, and Yogi Berra, in 1956. Thats it.

8) Atlanta Falcons are getting killed by bad field position; in their last four games, they lost field position by 9-7-11-16 yards.

7) Tampa Bay?s star WR Mike Evans gets suspended for this week?s games with the Jets after his cheap shot at a Saints defender Sunday. The suspension costs Evans $290,967.37.

Bucs also shut QB Jameis Winston down because of his sore shoulder; Tampa Bay?s season is a mess- they had very high expectations this summer.

6) Eastern Illinois beat Illinois in one of this exhibition games for charity; surprising result, but the game doesn?t count, so Illinois may not have taken it as seriously as it should have. You know Eastern Illinois took it very seriously.

5) Clippers/Lakers both played at home Sunday, in the Staples Center; would be curious to know how many people paid to watch both games.

4) Miami Marlins dumped 44-year OF Ichiro Suzuki last week, possibly ending a career that will undoubtedly end with a Hall of Fame induction. He is still good enough to come off of someone?s bench; we?ll see if this is the end for Ichiro.

3) SI.com points out that the Cincinnati Bengals have made 106 trades in their 50 years, but none of them were with the Browns or Steelers, their two biggest rivals. The AJ McCarron trade last week that the Browns butchered with their incompetence would?ve been the first one.

2) They had four refs working a G-League basketball game on ESPNU last night; good Lord, just what we need, more refs. As an old coach once said when they went from two to three refs: ?Just one more to yell at.? Now they have two more to yell at.

1) College basketball starts Friday night, with a ton of games; more suspensions than usual early on this fall, so it is a good time to sit back, study and start to get a handle on this season. There will a lot of information to process late Friday night.

Auburn already has two kids suspended, Texas A&M two, USC one and Southern Illinois has two kids hurt- Rhode Island had a kid arrested over the weekend- no word yet on his status. The recruiting scandal that is ongoing will probably result in more players being held out of the lineup.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,233
29
48
NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, November 7


Milwaukee @ Cleveland

Game 701-702
November 7, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
110.494
Cleveland
123.453
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 13
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 4
219 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-4); Over

Dallas @ Washington


Game 703-704
November 7, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
109.727
Washington
124.263
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 14 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
N/A

New Orleans @ Indiana


Game 705-706
November 7, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
122.920
Indiana
116.359
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 6 1/2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 1
217 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+1); Over

Chicago @ Toronto


Game 707-708
November 7, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
115.921
Toronto
123.331
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 7 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 11
200
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+11); Over

Charlotte @ New York


Game 709-710
November 7, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
119.978
New York
116.274
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 3 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 1
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+1); Over

LA Clippers @ San Antonio


Game 711-712
November 7, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
124.339
San Antonio
118.222
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 6
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 3 1/2
201 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+3 1/2); Over

Philadelphia @ Utah


Game 713-714
November 7, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
112.213
Utah
126.611
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 14 1/2
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 7
205
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-7); Under

Brooklyn @ Denver


Game 715-716
November 7, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
110.139
Denver
124.361
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 14
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 11 1/2
233
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-11 1/2); Under

Memphis @ Portland


Game 717-718
November 7, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
119.223
Portland
125.683
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 6 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 3 1/2
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-3 1/2); Over

Oklahoma City @ Sacramento


Game 719-720
November 7, 2017 @

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
126.342
Sacramento
107.187
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 19
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 10
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-10); Over
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,233
29
48
NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, November 7


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (4 - 5) at CLEVELAND (4 - 6) - 11/7/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 74-48 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 147-111 ATS (+24.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 35-16 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 7-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (1 - 10) at WASHINGTON (5 - 4) - 11/7/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (5 - 5) at INDIANA (5 - 5) - 11/7/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 161-125 ATS (+23.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (2 - 6) at TORONTO (5 - 4) - 11/7/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 261-316 ATS (-86.6 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
TORONTO is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=98 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 7-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (5 - 5) at NEW YORK (5 - 4) - 11/7/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 4-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (5 - 4) at SAN ANTONIO (6 - 4) - 11/7/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1009-883 ATS (+37.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 809-688 ATS (+52.2 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 514-431 ATS (+39.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 152-107 ATS (+34.3 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 208-158 ATS (+34.2 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (5 - 4) at UTAH (5 - 5) - 11/7/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 84-59 ATS (+19.1 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 53-31 ATS (+18.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (4 - 6) at DENVER (5 - 5) - 11/7/2017, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 3-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (6 - 4) at PORTLAND (6 - 4) - 11/7/2017, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (4 - 5) at SACRAMENTO (1 - 8) - 11/7/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 84-58 ATS (+20.2 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 4-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,233
29
48
NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, November 7


Cleveland lost five of last six games; they?re 0-8 vs spread as a favorite, 0-5 at home. Four of their last five games went over total. Cavaliers won seven of last eight games with Milwaukee , covering three of last four; Bucks are 2-2 vs spread in their last four visits to Cleveland. Milwaukee lost its last three games, covered once in last five games- they?re 1-2 as road underdogs. Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

Dallas won nine of last ten games with Washington (8-2 vs spread); Mavericks are 5-0 vs spread in their last five games in this building. Last four series games went over total. Dallas lost its last six games (1-5 vs spread); they covered one of last five road games. Under is 5-4-1 in their last ten games. Wizards lost four of last six games, losing last two home games, by 6-8 points. Over is 4-0 in their last four home games.

Pacers won nine of last ten games with New Orleans, but Pelicans covered the last three- they?re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Indiana. Under is 8-1 in last nine series games. New Orleans won its last three road games; they?re 1-2 vs spread as a road underdog. Last four Pelican games stayed under total. Pacers lost their last two games but are 3-1 at home, 2-0 as a home favorite. Four of their last six games stayed under total.

Home side won five of last six Chicago-Toronto games; Bulls covered four of their last five visits to Canada. Over is 9-1 in last ten series games. Chicago lost six of first eight games but covered five of last seven- they?re 3-1 as road underdogs. Bulls? last five games stayed under the total. Raptors are 3-4 in last seven games; they?re 2-1 as a home favorite. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Home side won seven of last eight Charlotte-New York games; Knicks covered six of those eight games. Hornets are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Manhattan. Last four series games stayed under the total. Charlotte won/covered once in last five road games; four of their last five games overall went over total. New York won/covered five of its last six games; three of their last four went over the total.

Clippers won three of last four games with San Antonio; under is 4-2 in last six series games. Clippers are 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to the Alamo. LA lost four of last five games, all at home; they?re they won/covered both road games. Three of their last four games went over total. Spurs are 6-4 to start season, 4-1 at home; they?re 4-0 as a home favorite. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Philly?s Embiid sits this game out (doctor?s orders). Utah won its last nine games with Philly (6-3 vs spread); under is 6-1 in last seven series games. 76ers are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Utah. Sixers won their last four games, covered their last six; their last four games went over the total. Jazz split their first ten games; they?re 3-1 as a home favorite. Last four Utah games went over total. Sixers? Bayless (wrist) is also out here.

Nets won six of last eight games with Denver; last five series games went over. Brooklyn is 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Denver. Nets won in Phoenix last night, ending a 4-game skid; they?re 2-3 as a road underdog. Over is 3-1 in their last four games. Nuggets won four of last six games; they?re 2-3 as a home favorite. Four of their last five games went over the total.

Portland won three of last four games with Memphis; over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Grizzlies are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Oregon. Memphis lost three of its last four games (over 3-1); underdogs covered their last four road games. Trailblazers split their last six games, but covered only one of them; they?re 1-4 vs spread as a home favorite. Under is 4-2 in their home games.

Thunder is 5-3 in its last eight games with the Kings; they?re 3-3 vs spread in last six visits to Sacramento. Over is 5-1 in last six series games. Oklahoma City is 2-3 in its last five games; they?re 2-3 vs spread as a road favorite. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games. Sacramento lost its last seven games (0-6-1 vs spread); they?re 0-3 at home, losing by 5-8-27 points. Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,233
29
48
NBA

Tuesday, November 7


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS @ INDIANA
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games when playing Indiana
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Indiana is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing New Orleans

MILWAUKEE @ CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 11 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Milwaukee

DALLAS @ WASHINGTON
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Dallas

CHARLOTTE @ NEW YORK
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Charlotte's last 9 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New York's last 9 games when playing at home against Charlotte
New York is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

CHICAGO @ TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto's last 11 games when playing Chicago

LA CLIPPERS @ SAN ANTONIO
LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

PHILADELPHIA @ UTAH
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games on the road
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia

BROOKLYN @ DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Denver
Brooklyn is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games

MEMPHIS @ PORTLAND
Memphis is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Memphis's last 15 games on the road
Portland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Memphis
Portland is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home

OKLAHOMA CITY @ SACRAMENTO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,233
29
48
Tweet costs Suns G Bledsoe $10K
November 6, 2017


Phoenix Suns guard Eric Bledsoe was fined $10,000 by the NBA for a tweet from last month in which he said, "I don't want to be here," general manager Ryan McDonough told AZCentral.com.

McDonough confirmed the comment on Sunday to AZCentral.com but declined to elaborate. The NBA had not announced the fine as of Monday afternoon.

Bledsoe was sent home by McDonough on Oct. 23, one day after his tweet appeared on social media just hours before the Suns fired coach Earl Watson and replaced him with interim coach Jay Triano.

Bledsoe later tried to put that tweet in context, although McDonough wasn't buying the excuse.

"He said he was at a hair salon. ... I didn't believe that to be true," McDonough said last month. "He won't be with us going forward."

Suns veteran forward Jared Dudley told AZCentral.com that he understands the NBA's position.

"The league doesn't want to set a precedent of players going off on social media," Dudley said. "If you ask (Bledsoe), he probably regrets doing that. He probably would have done something in a different manner.

"I just think in general you can't even demand a trade when you're doing interviews. Just keep it more in house."

Bledsoe is averaging 15.7 points, 2.3 rebounds and 3.0 assists in three games for the Suns this season -- his fifth with the team. He is entering his eighth NBA season and owns career averages of 13.1 points, 3.8 rebounds and 4.6 assists.

**************************

Report: Bucks to acquire G Bledsoe from Suns
November 7, 2017


The Milwaukee Bucks are close to acquiring disgruntled point guard Eric Bledsoe from the Phoenix Suns in exchange for center Greg Monroe and a first-round draft pick, ESPN reported on Tuesday.

Bledsoe has been kept away from the Suns since being sent home by general manager Ryan McDonough on Oct. 23, one day after the 27-year-old tweeted, "I don't wanna be here." That tweet came hours before Phoenix fired coach Earl Watson and replaced him with interim coach Jay Triano.

Bledsoe was fined $10,000 by the NBA that tweet, McDonough told AZCentral.com on Sunday.

Bledsoe later tried to put that tweet in context, although McDonough wasn't buying the excuse.

"He said he was at a hair salon. ... I didn't believe that to be true," McDonough said last month.

Bledsoe is averaging 15.7 points, 2.3 rebounds and 3.0 assists in three games for the Suns this season -- his fifth with the team. He is entering his eighth NBA season and owns career averages of 13.1 points, 3.8 rebounds and 4.6 assists.

Bledsoe would join a Bucks backcourt with 2016 Rookie of the Year Malcolm Brogdon, Matthew Dellavedova and Jason Terry.

Monroe is averaging 6.8 points and 5.0 rebounds in five games this season. The 27-year-old is averaging 14.0 points and 8.7 rebounds in 543 career contests with Detroit and Milwaukee since being selected by the Pistons with the seventh overall pick of the 2010 draft.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,233
29
48
Tuesday's Tip Sheet
November 7, 2017


Game of the Night: Grizzlies at Blazers ? 10:05 PM EST

Memphis (6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS) continues its five-game road trip on Tuesday following a split at Staples Center against the Los Angeles teams over the weekend. The Grizzlies had seven players in double-figures in Saturday?s 113-104 triumph over the Clippers as five-point underdogs, while holding L.A. to 4-of-26 shooting from three-point range. However, David Fizdale?s club fell short on Sunday night against the Lakers, 107-102 as 2 ?-point favorites, as Memphis trailed by 18 points heading into the fourth quarter.

Portland (6-4 SU, 4-5-1 ATS) is in the midst of a stretch of 11 of 12 games played at the Moda Center. The Blazers are fresh off a pair of home victories over the Lakers and Thunder, as Terry Stotts? team is searching for their first three-game winning streak of the season. Portland ended an 0-5 ATS run in Sunday?s 103-99 victory over Oklahoma City as three-point underdogs, led by a 36-point, 13-assist effort from guard Damian Lillard. The cover was only the second in six opportunities at home, but Portland?s record as a home favorite sits at 3-2 SU and 1-4 ATS.

The Blazers captured two of three matchups from the Grizzlies last season, as Portland topped Memphis in the lone meeting at the Moda Center, 112-109 in January as one-point favorites. Since Memphis eliminated Portland in the playoffs in 2015, the Blazers have won four of the last seven matchups, including a 2-1 home record by Portland in this stretch.

Central Struggles


Both the Cavaliers and Bucks were playoff teams last season and Cleveland is vying for a fourth consecutive Eastern Conference championship. But it?s been a rough start for these Central division squads through the first three weeks of the season. The Cavs (4-6 SU, 2-8 ATS) have already lost to the Hawks, Magic, Knicks, and Pacers at home, while falling to Atlanta on Sunday as 11 ?-point favorites, 117-115. In fact, Cleveland has yet to cover at Quicken Loans Arena this season by compiling a dreadful 0-6 ATS home mark.

Milwaukee (4-5 SU, 3-5-1 ATS) has slipped of late also by dropping three in a row, while losing the first two on its four-game road trip to Charlotte and Detroit. Giannis Antetokounmpo has failed to score over 30 points in each of the past three games for the Bucks, after topping the 30-point mark in five of his first six games. The Bucks were rolled by the Cavaliers in their last matchup on October 20 at home, 116-97, while Cleveland owns a dominating 7-1 SU and 5-3 ATS record against Milwaukee since November 2015.

Clipped Off


The Clippers (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS) started the season on fire with four consecutive wins. However, L.A. stumbled to a 1-4 SU/ATS mark on its recent five-game homestand, including back-to-back setbacks to Memphis and Miami. The Clippers hit the highway for eight of their next nine games, including a three-game swing this week through San Antonio, Oklahoma City, and New Orleans. L.A. owns a perfect 2-0 SU/ATS record away from Staples Center, while taking three of four meetings from San Antonio last season, including a pair of victories at AT&T Center.

The Spurs (6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS) have managed to keep their heads above water without MVP candidate Kawhi Leonard in the lineup. Leonard is out indefinitely with a quad injury as San Antonio seeks its third consecutive victory following wins over Charlotte and Phoenix. San Antonio remains a tremendous home team at 4-1 with the lone loss coming to defending champion Golden State, while the Spurs are 5-0 this season when scoring at least 100 points and 1-4 when held to 99 or fewer points.

Garden Party

Watch out for the Knicks! That is not a joke after New York (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS) rallied from a 19-point deficit on Sunday to shock Indiana, 108-101 behind 40 points from Kristaps Porzingis. The Knicks have won five of six games since an 0-3 start, as New York looks to finish off its five-game homestand with four victories. Charlotte invades Madison Square Garden tonight as the Hornets are coming off a pair of losses to the Spurs and Wolves following a three-game winning streak. The home team captured all three meetings last season, as New York beat Charlotte twice in Manhattan by a combined five points.

Thorne in the Throne

Sacramento (1-8 SU, 2-6-1 ATS) split its first two games of the season, but hasn?t won since as the Kings return to Golden 1 Center to host Oklahoma City as double-digit underdogs. The Kings are riding a seven-game losing streak, while coming off an 0-3 road swing at Indiana, Boston, and Detroit. Sacramento has yet to win a home game (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS), but has beaten OKC in its last two home matchups since 2016.

The Thunder (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS) are seeking consistency following the offseason acquisitions of Carmelo Anthony and Paul George, but OKC heads to California?s capital off back-to-back losses to Boston and Portland. Billy Donovan?s team was limited to below 100 points in each of those defeats, while Anthony was ejected from Sunday?s setback to the Blazers after committing a flagrant foul. OKC is in the midst of a four-game UNDER streak, while winning and covering in its first two opportunities this season as a double-digit favorite.

Middle of the Pack

Both the Pelicans and Pacers have started 5-5 SU and 6-4 ATS on the season as the two clubs hook up in Indianapolis. New Orleans has failed to bust the 100-point mark in the last four games, but the Pelicans are seeking their third consecutive win on their road trip following victories at Dallas and Chicago. The Pelicans have been a solid play away from the Big Easy by going 4-1 SU/ATS on the road since losing the season opener at Memphis.

Indiana has won three of four games at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, but limp back home following road defeats at Philadelphia and New York. The Pacers allowed 131 and 114 points in its first two home contests, but improved drastically of late by giving up 94 and 83 points in its last two games in the Hoosier State. Dating back to 2012, the Pacers have owned the Pelicans by winning nine of the last 10 matchups, including the last five in Indianapolis.

Head-to-Head Matchups

-- The Mavericks travel to Washington trying to snap a six-game losing streak, while seeking its first win away from Dallas this season. Last season, the Mavs swept the Wizards, as Dallas has captured nine of the past 10 meetings with Washington since 2012.

-- The Bulls defeated the Raptors in 11 consecutive meetings from February 2014 through February 2017 until Toronto finally ended its hex in a two-point win last March. Toronto whipped Chicago last month, 117-101 as the two teams hook up tonight at the Air Canada Center. Since losing at Toronto, the Bulls have covered three straight road contests.

-- The Nuggets seek the season sweep of the Nets after a 13-point victory at Barclays Center on October 29. Five straight meetings have sailed OVER the total, including the last two matchups at Pepsi Center. Since beating Sacramento last month, the Nuggets have stumbled to a 2-5 ATS record in their last seven as a favorite.

-- Utah welcomes in Philadelphia seeking its 10th consecutive victory over the 76ers since 2013. Six of the past seven matchups have stayed UNDER the total, including the previous three in Salt Lake City. The Sixers are riding a four-game winning streak, while covering each of their past six games overall.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,233
29
48
Hoop Trends - Tuesday
November 7, 2017


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Bulls are 20-0 ATS (9.28 ppg) since Mar 19, 2005 as a dog off a home game in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Bulls are 10-0 OU (9.40 ppg) since Feb 01, 2005 as a dog with rest off a home game after a loss in which they led after the third.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Cavaliers are 14-0 OU (13.82 ppg) since Jan 13, 2017 off a game as a favorite in which Lebron James had a negative plus/minus.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Nuggets are 11-0-1 ATS (15.21 ppg) since Jan 12, 2017 at home with rest coming off a loss.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,233
29
48
Tuesday's Best Bet
November 7, 2017


Tuesday NBA Best Bet
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings

Things haven't really gone according to plan for the OKC Thunder out of the gates this year. OKC enters play tonight with a sub-.500 record (4-5 SU) after nine games and are still struggling with a team identity and which one of their stars ? Westbrook, George or Anthony ? is the defacto ?closer? late in games.

But while these early season issues may be new to the Thunder, they aren't new to basketball bettors as OKC's problems are almost identical to the ones the Miami Heat had early on a few years ago when LeBron and Chris Bosh joined D-Wade.

LeBron and company eventually got things figured out then and the same should hold true for the Thunder this year. But until that happens on a regular basis, Thunder games might be a little tougher to handicap ? at least from a side perspective - because it's tough to know just what team will show up on a nightly basis.

Tonight, OKC is a double-digit road favorite against a bad Sacramento team that's gone 0-7 SU and 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games.

BetOnline.ag Odds: Oklahoma City (-11); Total set at 203.5

Having lost two in a row to quality teams in Boston and Portland, a date with the Sacramento Kings could be just what the doctor ordered for OKC tonight. OKC failed to put up 100 or more in each of those two recent losses, and the one to Boston was especially disappointing because the Thunder actually blew a 18-point halftime lead that night.

It's one thing to blow an 18-point lead and say not cover a spread of -6.5 but still win outright, but it's another thing when you blow that lead completely by getting outscored by 25 points in the final two quarters to lose outright by 7. For all of OKC's ups and downs already this year, that defeat had to be a low point. But like I said, a date with the Kings tonight could help cure some of those issues, especially on the offensive end.

During Sacramento's current seven-game losing streak they've allowed 100+ six times, and all six of those were their most recent games. In the two Kings home games during that stretch opponents put up an average of 112 points against Sacramento and OKC has comparable talent to the likes of Washington and New Orleans who were in town for those contests. So for an OKC offense that is struggling a bit right now, there simply might be more then enough quality shots to go around against this porous Kings defense.

Yet, while scoring may come easier then it has of late for the Thunder, I don't think I'm ready to trust this team laying double-digits on the road. That blown lead to Boston (although at home) was a bit of a warning sign that this team still needs to build a lot of chemistry, and it's games like this where guys can go out and knock down some easy shots right from the outset that helps that process.

But like I said earlier, until I see some a bit more consistency from OKC, or at least in this specific case the number is a bit more reasonable, I'm not going to be touching their sides ? either on or against them.

But tonight's total of 203.5 is the play I'm looking to attack as too many bettors out there believe the struggles of both offenses will continue tonight. VegasInsider.com currently has just below 70% of the action on the low side of this total, a number that's been bouncing up and down since opening. With Sacramento failing to top 100 in their last four games (and failing to top 90 in three of those four) and OKC not reaching the century mark in two straight, this number would seem a little high to some.

However, OKC has put it on poor defensive teams this year already with 113 and 116 scored in two games vs Minnesota, 114 against Indiana, 110 against Milwaukee, and 101 against a Bulls team in a 32-point win that saw the Thunder shut things down by the time the 4th quarter began. Had that not been the case that 101 number would have easily been much higher.

Sacramento's defense exists in a similar realm to those squads and with the need OKC has for a strong performance, I expect 110+ from them tonight. Even the oddsmakers have listed OKC's team total at 107.5 at BetOnline.ag, so getting to that 110+ range is a definite possibility.

But we will need the Kings to pull their weight here as well, and while the Thunder's defense has been great so far this year - 2nd in points allowed per game (97.1) ? this has the feel of a game where both teams up the tempo a bit and try to shoot the lights out against each other.

OKC has to feel like the supremely talented team (they are) and should be able to win with their offense alone, while Sacramento as a hefty home dog has nothing to really lose by going out there and chucking up quick shots for 48 minutes. If more of them go down then not the Kings will put even more pressure on OKC to match them down the stretch.

OKC is 5-1 O/U in their last six against a team with a losing record, and this game should end up following suit, as both teams reach triple digits with the Thunder pulling away late.

Best Bet: OKC/Sacramento Over 203.5
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,233
29
48
NBA Power Rankings

7:05 pm 11/7/2017
(705) NEW ORLEANS @(706) INDIANA
Play Line: INDIANA 1.5
BTB PowerLine: INDIANA -4

Edge On: INDIANA 5.5

7:05 pm 11/7/2017
(703) DALLAS @(704) WASHINGTON
Play Line: WASHINGTON -10.5
BTB PowerLine: WASHINGTON -13

Edge On: WASHINGTON 2.5

7:05 pm 11/7/2017
(701) MILWAUKEE @(702) CLEVELAND
Play Line: CLEVELAND -4.5
BTB PowerLine: CLEVELAND -5

Edge On: CLEVELAND 0.5

7:35 pm 11/7/2017
(709) CHARLOTTE @(710) NEW YORK
Play Line: NEW YORK 2
BTB PowerLine: NEW YORK -4

Edge On: NEW YORK 6

7:35 pm 11/7/2017
(707) CHICAGO @(708) TORONTO
Play Line: CHICAGO 11
BTB PowerLine: CHICAGO +9

Edge On: CHICAGO 2

8:35 pm 11/7/2017
(711) LA CLIPPERS @(712) SAN ANTONIO
Play Line: LA CLIPPERS 3.5
BTB PowerLine: LA CLIPPERS +1

Edge On: LA CLIPPERS 2.5

9:05 pm 11/7/2017
(713) PHILADELPHIA @(714) UTAH
Play Line: PHILADELPHIA 6.5
BTB PowerLine: PHILADELPHIA +5

Edge On: PHILADELPHIA 1.5

9:05 pm 11/7/2017
(715) BROOKLYN @(716) DENVER
Play Line: BROOKLYN 12.5
BTB PowerLine: BROOKLYN +11

Edge On: BROOKLYN 1.5

10:05 pm 11/7/2017
(717) MEMPHIS @(718) PORTLAND
Play Line: PORTLAND -2.5
BTB PowerLine: PORTLAND -3

Edge On: PORTLAND 0.5

10:05 pm 11/7/2017
(719) OKLAHOMA CITY @(720) SACRAMENTO

Play Line: SACRAMENTO 11
BTB PowerLine: SACRAMENTO +11

Edge On: SACRAMENTO 0
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,233
29
48
TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 7
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

DAL at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS -10.0

MIL at CLE 07:00 PM
MIL +4.5 *****
U 221.5 *****


NO at IND 07:00 PM
IND +1.5 *****
O 217.5

CHI at TOR 07:30 PM
O 201.5

CHA at NY 07:30 PM
O 208.5 *****

LAC at SA 08:30 PM
LAC +4.0 *****
U 203.0

PHI at UTA 09:00 PM
PHI +6.5 *****
U 204.0 *****


BK at DEN 09:00 PM
BK +12.0 *****
O 229.0

OKC at SAC 10:00 PM
O 202.0 *****

MEM at POR 10:00 PM
POR -3.0 *****
O 201.0
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,233
29
48
NBA roundup: Mavericks finally get a road win
November 8, 2017


WASHINGTON -- Harrison Barnes scored 31 points as the Dallas Mavericks, owners of the NBA's worst record, upset the Washington Wizards 113-99 on Tuesday night.

Dennis Smith had 22 points and Wesley Matthews 14 for the Mavericks, who had lost six games in a row and were winless in five previous road games.

John Wall had 23 points and 14 assists for the Wizards (5-5) in his return to the lineup. Wall sat out Washington's 107-96 win at Toronto on Sunday after injuring his left shoulder Friday in a home loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Bradley Beal also scored 23 points for the Wizards, who have lost three straight road games and are 2-5 since their 3-0 start.

Spurs 120, Clippers 107

SAN ANTONIO -- LaMarcus Aldridge scored 25 points and Danny Green added a season-high 24 as San Antonio won its third straight.

San Antonio scored a season-high 40 points in the third quarter, 26 of which came in the final six minutes.

Austin Rivers scored a season-high 24 points to lead the Clippers, who have lost five of their past six games after starting the season with four wins.

Knicks 118, Hornets 113

NEW YORK -- Kristaps Porzingis scored 28 points and Doug McDermott added a season-high 20 as New York won for the sixth time in seven games.

For the second consecutive game, the Knicks waged a furious late rally, as the Hornets led by as many as 15 points and by 13 with 1:07 left in the third quarter.

Dwight Howard, Kemba Walker and Malik Monk each had 21 points to lead Charlotte, which lost for the third straight game.

Raptors 119, Bulls 114

TORONTO -- Jonas Valanciunas had 21 points and 10 rebounds, DeMar DeRozan added 24 points, and Toronto held on to defeat Chicago.

The Raptors led by as many as 23 points before the Bulls trimmed the deficit to three in the final minute on a basket by Bobby Portis.

DeMar DeRozan hit a jumper to increase the margin to five.

Portis, playing in his first game of the season after being suspended for eight games for punching teammate Nikola Mirotic during practice on Oct. 17, had 21 points and 13 rebounds off the bench.

Cavaliers 124, Bucks 119

CLEVELAND -- Kevin Love scored a season-high 32 points and J.R. Smith had a season-high 20 points while hitting five 3-pointers to lead Cleveland's win.

Smith passed Rashard Lewis (1,787 3-pointers) for 14th on the NBA's career list.

LeBron James had 30 points, nine assists and eight rebounds for the Cavaliers, who had lost five of their previous six games.

Giannis Antetokounmpo, the NBA's top scorer, had 40 points and has scored at least 28 in nine of Milwaukee's 10 games.

Pelicans 117, Pacers 112

INDIANAPOLIS -- Anthony Davis scored 37 points, DeMarcus Cousins added 32, and New Orleans extended its winning streak to three, all on the road.

Davis and Cousins each had a key basket in the final 1:10.

The Pacers, who have lost three in a row, got 21 points and 12 rebounds from Myles Turner.

Indiana had beaten New Orleans seven consecutive times.

Nuggets 112, Nets 104

DENVER -- Nikola Jokic scored a career-high 41 points and grabbed 12 rebounds to lead Denver past Brooklyn.

Jokic, who took only three shots and didn't score in a win over the Sacramento Kings in the home opener Oct. 21, was aggressive throughout. He was 16 of 25 from the field in 31 minutes and had two blocks and two steals.

Tyler Zeller had a season-high 21 points off the bench, for the Nets, who lost for the fifth time in six games.

76ers 104, Jazz 97

SALT LAKE CITY - Philadelphia won in Salt Lake City for the first time since 2005 and snapped a nine-game overall losing streak in the series against Utah.

Dario Saric scored 25 points on a career-high five 3-pointers and added 10 rebounds to help the 76ers. Ben Simmons piled up 16 points, 12 rebounds, six assists, three blocks and three steals.

Rodney Hood had 19 points for Utah, which lost its third straight game and second in a row at home. Rudy Gobert added 16 points, 15 rebounds and three blocks.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,233
29
48
November's NBA Best Bets And Opinions ( Based on 5 Units )

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

11/07/2017 6-10-0 37.50% -25.00
11/06/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
11/05/2017 8-6-0 57.14% +7.00
11/04/2017 5-2-1 71.43% +14.00
11/03/2017 10-13-0 43.48% -21.50
11/02/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
11/01/2017 12-12-0 50.00% -6.00

Totals..............45- 49......47.87%......-44.50

Best Bets:

Date.................................ATS.......... .....Units.............Over/Under............Units

11/07/2017.....................2 - 3...............-6.50.................2 - 2.................-0.20
11/06/2017.....................1 - 1...............-0.10.................1 - 1.................-0.10
11/05/2017.....................3 - 1..............+9.50.................1 - 1.................-0.10
11/04/2017.....................1 - 1...............-0.10.................2 - 1.................+4.50
11/03/2017.....................2 - 3...............-6.50.................4 - 3.................+3.50
11/02/2017.....................1 - 1..............- 0.10.................1 - 1..................-0.10
11/01/2017.....................4 - 1..............+14.50...............4 - 3 .................+3.50

Totals............................14 - 11............+10.80..............15 - 12...............+11.00
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,233
29
48
Wednesday?s six-pack

Odds to win the college football national title

? Alabama 2-3

? Georgia 5-1

? Clemson 7-1

? Notre Dame 10-1

? Ohio State 12-1

? Wisconsin 16-1

************************

Wednesday?s List of 13: Mid-week musings??


13) UCLA plays Georgia Tech in basketball Friday night in China. Tuesday, three freshman on UCLA?s team were busted for shoplifting from a Louis Vuitton store in Shanghai.

Was reading some stuff on the Interweb about this; the Chinese system is different from ours- these three nitwits could get 3-10 years in prison for shoplifting. There is no guarantee they?ll be back in the United States anytime soon- the Chinese justice system is slower, they don?t offer bail the way we do.

Donald Trump is going to be in China later this week; now there are worlds colliding, Trump and LaVar Ball in China at the same time, with Ball?s son in dire need of some legal aid.

Put that on your reality show.

12) The Andrew Luck situation in Indianapolis is becoming a huge mess, as Colts owner Jim Irsay is apparently questioning Luck in private conversations, saying Luck?s injury is ?in his head.? Terrific.

Luck first hurt his shoulder in 2015; now he won?t play until next summer, at the earliest.

11) Suns traded Eric Bledsoe to Milwaukee, for Greg Monroe and protected 2018 1st/2nd-round picks. Monroe?s contract is up after this season, so that becomes valuable salary cap space.

10) Detroit Lions didn?t punt in Monday night?s win in Green Bay, the first time Detroit didn?t punt in a game since??..1971.

9) Interesting bit of knowledge from Aaron Rodgers Monday night; he says if you get a broken bone x-rayed a lot to check on progress of healing, the radiation actually slows down the bone?s healing, so Green Bay doctors will not be doing that with Rodgers? clavicle this time around.

8) Green Bay lost RT Bryan Bulaga with a torn ACL in Monday?s loss, as their season crumbles even further??..if I coached the Packers, we?d go no-huddle with Brett Hundley. He looked a lot more comfortable playing at a faster pace.

7) Omri Casspi has played in 507 career NBA games, scoring 8.2 ppg thanks largely to a 36.8% mark from 3-point range; this is his 9th season, but he has never been on a team that made the playoffs. That changes soon; Casspi is on the Warriors this season.

6) Houston Texans signed QB Josh Johnson to be their #3 QB, and waived Matt McGloin.

5) Former Mets? pitching coach Dan Warthen has moved on to the same job with the Texas Rangers.

4) Anaheim Ducks captain Ryan Getzlaf broke his cheekbone, will be out for a couple of months. He got hit in the face with a puck and broke his cheekbone- it hurts me just to type that.

3) Alabama had one basketball player declared ineligible this week; another one had his knee scoped. Going to take some time in November to get a handle on who is and isn?t eligible, with all the off-court nonsense going on.

One of the non-basketball people scheduled to be indicted in SneakerGate won?t be indicted this week, meaning he could be cooperating with authorities, which means more heads could roll, and more players could be declared ineligible.

2) Charlotte?s Malik Monk is 19 years old; he scored 8.8 ppg in 21.3 mpg in his first 10 NBA games. Tuesday night in New York, he scored 21 points in 27 minutes in the Hornets? highly entertaining 118-113 loss to the Knicks. Monk looks like he will be an elite scorer.

1) RIP to the great big league pitcher Roy Halladay 40, who passed away Tuesday in a plane crash in the Gulf of Mexico. Halladay will likely get elected to the Hall of Fame in 2019. He was 203-105, 3.38 in 16 big league seasons, with the Blue Jays/Phillies.

Halladay and Don Larsen threw the only two postseason no-hitters.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,233
29
48
NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, November 8


New York @ Orlando

Game 501-502
November 8, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
117.544
Orlando
120.159
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 2 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 5 1/2
214
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+5 1/2); Under

Indiana @ Detroit


Game 503-504
November 8, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
121.748
Detroit
117.658
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 4
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
N/A

LA Lakers @ Boston


Game 505-506
November 8, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
118.182
Boston
129.369
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 11
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 9
210
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-9); Under

Miami @ Phoenix


Game 507-508
November 8, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
122.225
Phoenix
109.640
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 13
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 5
213
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-5); Under

Minnesota @ Golden State


Game 509-510
November 8, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
123.785
Golden State
130.369
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 6 1/2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 11
229
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+11); Under





NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, November 8


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (6 - 4) at ORLANDO (6 - 4) - 11/8/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 38-53 ATS (-20.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 61-91 ATS (-39.1 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 4-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (5 - 6) at DETROIT (7 - 3) - 11/8/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 7-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 7-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (5 - 5) at BOSTON (9 - 2) - 11/8/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 129-92 ATS (+27.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
BOSTON is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 3-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (4 - 6) at PHOENIX (4 - 7) - 11/8/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 120-157 ATS (-52.7 Units) in November games since 1996.
PHOENIX is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (7 - 3) at GOLDEN STATE (8 - 3) - 11/8/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 89-60 ATS (+23.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, November 8


Knicks won/covered four of last five games with Orlando; under is 6-3 in last nine series games. New York is 3-1-1 vs spread in last five visits here. Knicks won six of last seven games; three of their last four went over the total. NY is 1-2 vs spread as a road underdog. Orlando lost their last two games; they?re 0-2 vs spread as a home favorite. Last three Magic home teams stayed under the total.

Pacers won/covered their last six games with Detroit; they?re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to the Motor City (over 3-2). Indiana lost at home last night, their third loss in row; Pacers are 3-2 as a road underdog. Over is 4-2 in Indiana road games. Detroit won five of its last six games; they?re 3-2 vs spread as home favorites. Under is 3-2 in their home games this season.

Lakers lost their last three games with Boston, but covered seven of last nine, three of last four in Beantown. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Lakers won three of last four games; they are 2-1 as road underdogs. LA?s last three games went over the total. Celtics won their last nine games (8-1 vs spread); they?re 3-1 as home favorites. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Miami won/covered nine of last ten games with Phoenix; under is 7-2 in last nine series games. Heat covered four of their last five visits to the desert. Miami lost five of last seven games; they are 1-3 on road, 0-1 as a road favorite. Last four Heat games stayed under the total. Suns lost their last three games; four of their last six games went over total. Phoenix is 2-1 vs spread as a home underdog.

Minnesota is 8-1-1 vs spread in its last 10 games vs Golden State (2-8 SU); they?re 4-0-1 vs spread in last five visits to Oakland. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Wolves won their last five games (4-0-1 vs spread); they?re 2-2 as road underdogs. Over is 4-1 in Minnesota road tilts. Golden State won four in row, seven of last eight games; they?re 1-4 vs spread as home favorites. Over is 4-2 in their last six games.




NBA

Wednesday, November 8


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA @ DETROIT
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

NEW YORK @ ORLANDO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games on the road
New York is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against New York

LA LAKERS @ BOSTON
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games

MIAMI @ PHOENIX
Miami is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Phoenix
Miami is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing Miami

MINNESOTA @ GOLDEN STATE
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Golden State is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,233
29
48
NBA Betting Roadmap: Hayward who?
Al McMordie

Through the NBA season's first three weeks, there are several surprises. Out East, Stan Van Gundy's Detroit Pistons and Frank Vogel's Orlando Magic are in second and third place, respectively, while Cleveland is 4-6 and tied for 11th place with the Nets and Heat. While in the West, the big surprise is the Memphis Grizzlies sitting in a tie for 4th place, with a 6-4 record. Let's look at the week ahead in the NBA.

Spread Watch

Who needs Gordon Hayward? That might be the thought of Boston fans, as the Celtics have won nine straight games after starting the season 0-2. They had also covered eight straight, before losing against the spread on Monday night in Atlanta.

For the season, the Celtics are second (behind the Warriors) in point differential (+9.1) and second (behind the 76ers) in ATS win percentage (.818).

This week, Boston will host the Lakers, Hornets and Raptors, so it will have an excellent opportunity to stretch its win streak to 12. But the fact the Celtics lost ATS to Atlanta in their last game is, for me, a huge "sell" signal.

Indeed, NBA teams that finally lose ATS, after covering their previous seven (or more) games in a row, typically follow up that initial ATS defeat with a second straight ATS defeat and especially if they're playing at home (41-76-3 ATS since 1990). Grab the points with the Lakers on Tuesday.

Total Watch

After Week 2 in the NBA saw a preponderance of Unders it was a different story last week, as games went Over the total to a tune of 31-22-1. No team contributed more to this trend than Mike D'Antoni's Houston Rockets, who sailed Over the total in all four of their games.

Their last game, on Sunday, was also their most impressive (and highest scoring) win of the season, as they blew out Utah, 137-110, as a 6.5-point favorite. Will the Rockets' high-octane offense continue to light up the scoreboard this week?

Houston will be well-rested when it plays its next game, on Thursday, vs. LeBron James' Cavaliers (before finishing the week with back-to-back games vs. Memphis and Indiana). That Saturday game versus Memphis has all the earmarks of a low-scoring game.

Indeed, the Grizzlies and Rockets have played twice already this season. And not only did Memphis win both games, but it also held the Rockets to their two lowest regular-season point totals (89 and 90) in D'Antoni's 93 games as head coach. Not surprisingly, both of those games went Under the total (by 11 and 25.5 points). Look for Saturday's game to be relatively low-scoring, as well.

Injury Watch

The Los Angeles Clippers got their season off to a promising 4-0 SU/ATS start and were the league's final, remaining undefeated team. But the injury bug bit the Clippers, as point guard Milos Teodosic injured his ankle and is out indefinitely, while forward Danilo Gallinari bruised his hip and exited Los Angeles' last game, a loss to the Miami Heat.

The Clippers are now just 5-4 SU/ATS and both players will miss Tuesday's game at San Antonio (another injury-riddled club). After playing the Spurs, the Clippers will continue their road trip with games at Oklahoma City and New Orleans.

Saturday's game at the Pelicans could be particularly troublesome for the Clippers if they remain short-handed, since they'll be playing without rest. New Orleans is also 25-12 ATS its last 37 games versus Los Angeles, including 14-4 ATS at home. Take the Pelicans.

Schedule Watch

Last season, the NBA made a concerted effort to reduce the number of times a team had to play back-to-back games, or several games within a relatively short time-frame. But there are still occasions when a team must play three games in four nights, or five games in seven nights.

Dating back to last season, NBA teams that were saddled with playing five games in seven nights have lost that 5th game (straight-up) 10 times in a row (4-6 ATS).

This Saturday, the Phoenix Suns will be in that unenviable scheduling situation when they host the Timberwolves. To make matters worse, Phoenix will be coming off a Friday night game versus Orlando, while Minnesota will have had the previous two days off.

Since 1990, NBA teams are a wallet-busting 74-107 ATS at home when playing their fifth game in seven days against an opponent which didn't play the previous two days. Take the Timberwolves.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,233
29
48
Wednesday's Tip Sheet
November 8, 2017


Game of the Night: Wolves at Warriors ? 10:35 PM EST

Minnesota (7-3 SU, 5-4-1 ATS) is finally coming around to become a legitimate playoff team in the Western Conference following a 13-year postseason drought. The Wolves own a solid 7-1 record when guard Jimmy Butler is in the lineup, while coming off five consecutive victories. Minnesota cruised past Dallas and Charlotte at home by double-digits, while limiting three straight opponents to below 100 points. Tom Thibodeau?s squad heads out west for a three-game road swing that extends to Phoenix on Saturday and Utah on Monday.

Golden State (8-3, 5-6 ATS) is fresh off four blowouts following a home loss to Detroit on October 29. The Warriors rolled past the Heat on Monday, 97-80 to cash as 14 ?-point favorites in spite of shooting 37% from the floor. Steve Kerr?s club began the season with a dreadful 1-6 ATS record, but has covered in each of their last four victories, although only one of those ATS covers came as a double-digit favorite.

Last season, the Warriors captured three of four meetings from the Wolves, but Minnesota managed a 3-0-1 ATS record in the series. Minnesota has compiled an incredible 8-1-1 ATS mark in the past 10 matchups with Golden State since 2014, including a 4-0-1 ATS ledger in its past five visits to Oracle Arena. Minnesota forward Andrew Wiggins was limited to 16 points in the first meeting last season, but scored 25, 24, and 24 points in the final three matchups with Golden State.

New Bird vs. Magic?

The Lakers/Celtics rivalry from the 1980?s is long gone although these teams met in the NBA Finals are recently as 2010. Young stars for each of these legendary franchises have taken over with Boston?s Kyrie Irving squaring off Los Angeles rookie Lonzo Ball at TD Garden for the first time. Boston (9-2 SU, 9-2 ATS) lost its first two games of the season before ripping off nine consecutive victories. The Celtics failed to cover in their last contest on Monday in a three-point win at Atlanta, snapping an eight-game ATS hot streak.

Los Angeles (5-5 SU, 6-4 ATS) leaves the west coast for the first time this season, trying to build off back-to-back home wins over Brooklyn and Memphis. The Lakers are currently on a 4-0 ATS hot streak, which includes a cover in their last road game, a 113-110 setback at Portland as 6 ?-point underdogs. Ball has struggled to score in his rookie campaign as he reached double-figures only twice, while scoring a combined 15 points in his past three games.

The Lakers have seen success in their last few visits to Beantown from an ATS perspective by covering in the past two trips to Boston as double-digit underdogs, including a 112-104 victory in 2015.

Addition by Subtraction

Suddenly the Knicks (6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS) look like a new team since dealing Carmelo Anthony to the Thunder prior to the season. New York has overcome an 0-3 start by winning six of its last seven games, including pulling off another epic second half comeback in Tuesday?s 118-113 home triumph over Charlotte as short underdogs. Kristaps Porzingis led the rally for New York by scoring 28 points on 10-of-15 shooting, while former OKC sharpshooter Doug McDermott put up 20 points off the bench on 7-of-8 shooting.

The Knicks head to Orlando with no rest to take on the surprising Magic (6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS). Orlando looks to finish off its homestand with a victory after losing to Chicago and Boston by double-digits. The Magic thrived offensively through their first eight games by topping the 113-point mark seven times, but Orlando has taken a step back of late by putting up 83 and 88 in the last two contests. Last season, the Knicks claimed three of four meetings from the Magic, including a pair of victories in central Florida.

All Systems Go


Was this finally the season that Stan Van Gundy?s Pistons would break out and return to the playoffs in the East? Detroit (7-3 SU, 7-2-1 ATS) is one of the top teams from an ATS perspective, while owning a 3-1-1 ATS mark at brand new Little Caesars Arena. The Pistons continue a five-game homestand with the Pacers after beating the Bucks and Kings on a back-to-back set last weekend. Detroit has plenty to play for against an Indiana squad that swept the Pistons last season, while limiting the Pistons to 98 points or less three times.

Indiana (5-6 SU, 6-5 ATS) continues to ride a roller-coaster this season, winning three straight with victories over Cleveland and San Antonio in a four-day span, but now riding a three-game skid. The most recent loss came at home to New Orleans on Tuesday, 117-112, as all three teams the Pacers have lost to in this stretch have been on fire of late (Pelicans, Knicks, 76ers).

Fire Starters


The Heat and Suns will look to keep the building hot in Phoenix when they meet up. Miami (4-6 SU, 2-6-2 ATS) continues a six-game road trip as the Heat have posted a 1-2 SU and 2-1 ATS record so far. The Heat dropped a one-point decision at Denver last Friday, but bounced back by holding off the Clippers on Sunday, 104-101. Miami?s defense performed well on Monday, but its offense was non-existent in a 97-80 loss at Golden State as the Heat are riding a four-game UNDER streak.

The Suns (4-7 SU, 5-6 ATS) finally moved on from Eric Bledsoe as the disgruntled guard was dealt to Milwaukee on Tuesday. Phoenix heated up following the firing of head coach Earl Watson by going 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS from October 23 through November 1, but have gone backwards of late by posting an 0-3 SU/ATS the last three games. The Suns lost eight straight meetings with the Heat from 2012 through 2016, but split a pair of matchups last season, including a 99-90 home victory as five-point favorites.
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top