College & NBA Hoops thread Jan 28 thru end of Season

[WildBillPicks7]

Brandon Lang

My 20 Dime Selection is on Lsu over Kentucky. He is 0-6 Last 6 posts of 30 dimes or less picks


Robert Ferrigno

Iowa -4 1/2, no unit ranking?

Robert is -10.8 units on the year in CBB and is 77-65 on selections, but his unit management sucks.



GL!!

WB

 

[bostondj]

Good I hope he is wrong to, worlds worst picker is on LSU also so looks like the play is Kentucky

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Brandon Lang

My 20 Dime Selection is on Wake Forest over Syracuse. He won with LSU last night, one of few I got right as well Last Night!! :142smilie


David Banks:

NBA - OKC +4 (he's hitting 57% in the NBA this year)

 

[WildBillPicks7]

3* Wisconsin -17
Wisconsin (17-3) hosts Northwestern (10-11). This is not your normal Bo Ryan, Wisconsin Badger team. This group can actually score points, avg over 75 a game. They have that same mentality and are so tough at home. They have lost 3 of their last 4 and may have just what the doctor ordered in Northwestern. The wildcats come in avg just over 51 pts in their last 5 games and only shooting 35%. That is not good against a badger team who is so good at home where they avg over 80 a game. Can?t see the Wildcats keeping up in this one as Bo always likes a good showing on TV.

3* Toledo -3.5
Toledo (17-2) hosts Miami, OH (8-9). Toledo comes in avg over 83 per game and shooting it over 48%. Their defense isn?t great but Miami really struggles on offense. They only avg 67 a game and shoot just below 45%. We just don?t see them scoring enough to hang in with the rockets in this one. The line is a little fishy, but we will bite.

Also they have George Washington -5 *3

 

[WildBillPicks7]

3* Wisconsin -17
Wisconsin (17-3) hosts Northwestern (10-11). This is not your normal Bo Ryan, Wisconsin Badger team. This group can actually score points, avg over 75 a game. They have that same mentality and are so tough at home. They have lost 3 of their last 4 and may have just what the doctor ordered in Northwestern. The wildcats come in avg just over 51 pts in their last 5 games and only shooting 35%. That is not good against a badger team who is so good at home where they avg over 80 a game. Can?t see the Wildcats keeping up in this one as Bo always likes a good showing on TV.

3* Toledo -3.5
Toledo (17-2) hosts Miami, OH (8-9). Toledo comes in avg over 83 per game and shooting it over 48%. Their defense isn?t great but Miami really struggles on offense. They only avg 67 a game and shoot just below 45%. We just don?t see them scoring enough to hang in with the rockets in this one. The line is a little fishy, but we will bite.

Also they have George Washington -5 *3

This was River City Sports, they went 2-1 on Wednesday.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

ALATEX

15* Oregon

These guys have a solid history in the past, I have not tracked them in quite some time, actually over 13 years ago was last time. :facepalm:

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Scott Delaney

100 DIME RELEASE
NBA Total of the Year

OVER - LA Clippers at Golden State

This guy is 2-0 on his 100 Totals of the Year in CFB and NFL.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

River City Sports Syndicate

CBB
3* North Dakota State -9.5
3* Tennessee Tech -8

2-1 last night

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Brandon Lang

My 20 Dime selection is on Chattanooga over Davidson. The current line on this game is +11 1/2 at the majority of sportsbooks in Vegas and offshore.


He is 2-0-1 on the week on 20* plays, pushed on Wake Forest +10 last night.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

ROBERT FERRINGO

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 130.0 - Florida at Mississippi State (7 p.m., Thursday, Jan. 30)
I don't play a ton of totals but this one jumped out at me today.
Mississippi State isn't exactly a defensive juggernaut, and this team likes to run and gun a bit. I think they are going to be geeked up to take a shot at Florida at home and I think that will give them a little extra bounce in their step. That should help keep the pace up in this one. Mississippi State is No. 83 in the country in adjusted tempo, making them one of the faster-paced teams in the SEC. Compare that to the last two teams that Florida has faced, Alabama and Tennessee, and it is night-and-day. There were nearly 130 points scored in the Alabama game, and the Tide is much, much better defensively than Mississippi State. Someone has reached 80 points in five of the last six Mississippi State games, and the game that didn't was 76-72. Both meetings last year went 'over', with Florida scoring 80+ points each time. Florida isn't a running team. But the Gators won't pass an opportunity to run out and get easy baskets against an inferior team. And Mississippi State is much better this year than what they had to offer last season. The Bulldogs can't shoot at all. But they attack the basket and they look for run-outs. That's what they will do here tonight. I see Florida getting around 75 points, give or take a 3-pointer, and I see Mississippi State getting around 60 points, give or take a bucket. That should put us right around this number. But in the end I see around 136 points and this one beating the total.

I also have strong leans on
Arkansas State
Northern Colorado
Louisiana Tech
Oregon State
Purdue
Charlotte
Western Carolina
Nebraska

 

[WildBillPicks7]

THE MACHINES PICKS

"NBA Lean"
Warriors vs. Jazz - Over 200.5

10-3 L-13 leans

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Brandon Lang

Saturday Selection ...

My 60 Dime Selection is on Toledo over Ohio.
The current line on this game is +1 1/2 in Vegas and offshore. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.

My 10 Dime 3-Team Parlay is on Utah, Missouri and Texas.
The current line on these games is Utah +3, Missouri +2 and Texas +4 in Vegas and offshore. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

DOC SPORTS

8 Unit Play. #528 Take Wisconsin -5 over Ohio State (12 pm ESPN)
Big 10 Game of the Year.
Both of these teams cannot get out of their own way at the moment, as Ohio State has lost 5 of their last 6 games and Wisconsin has lost 4 of their last 5 games. That being said, Wisconsin only has one bad loss on their resume, this past Wednesday against Northwestern whereas Ohio State has lost their last two games against teams that will not be making the NCAA Tournament (Penn State & Nebraska). So let's dig deeper into both of these teams. Wisconsin has great balance with numerous scorers that can beat you in a variety of ways. Their defense has been subpar this season compared to previous Bo Ryan teams, but does Ohio State really have the players that can threaten Wisconsin at the Kohl Center? My guess is that they do not. Ohio State started of the season 15-0 and were as high as No. 3 in the ranking. But that was misleading, as they played a home heavy schedule mainly against bad mid-major teams. Their two road/neutral site games were against Marquette, a team with no offense and Notre Dame, a team with very little talent. Notre Dame dominated that game in New York but fell apart in the last minute of that game. In fact not one of Ohio State's 16 victories have come against a team that will make the NCAA Tournament come March.

Wisconsin needs to shot the ball better and if they do that they will have no problem putting away Ohio State at the Kohl Center. I actually believe Wisconsin is better than they were one year ago and Ohio State is much worse than they were in 2012-2013. When they teams last met at the Kohl Center on 2/17/13, Wisconsin dominated that game and won by 22 points (led by as many as 26). Aaron Craft is a good player, but he cannot score enough for what they team lost last year to keep Ohio State close in this game. Wisconsin is due for a breakout game in shooting and I am confident it will happen on Saturday. Ohio State is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Big 10 games. I have thought in my mind all year long that I wanted to get on Wisconsin with a low number at home for our big play and everything has worked out perfectly for this game. Had Wisconsin beaten Northwestern they would have entered this game as a 9 point favorite. Now we get half of that and are set to attack this weak number.

4 Unit Play. #546 Take St. Johns -2 over Marquette (12:30 pm FS 1) Marquette just does not have any offensive firepower and that means they generally struggle on the road. St. Johns lost to them last year in overtime and I think they want to pay them back in a big way.

4 Unit Play. #555 Take Georgia +4 over Auburn (1:45 pm ESPN 3) Auburn does not warrant to be favored by this many points against anybody in the SEC. Thus we will take the Dawgs and expect this game to go down to the wire with UGA pulling it out by a basket.

4 Unit Play. #606 Take Temple +11.5 over Villanova (4 pm CBSSN) The Wildcats have not been blowing out bad teams of late and I do not expect them to blowout this Big 5 team either. Temple is having a terrible season but this is one of their few remaining games that they will be pumped up for. A win against Villanova could save their season. Temple has covered 8 of their last 9 games against Big East teams.

4 Unit Play. #612 Take Stanford -4 over Arizona State (4 pm PAC-12 Network) Both of these teams are hard to figure out, since they have some puzzling losses on the season but also have quality wins. Stanford has more talent than does ASU and playing at home will allow them to emerge victorious. ASU is coming off an overtime victory at Cal, but they almost never sweep the Bay Area teams on the road. The Cardinal have covered 6 of their last 7 home games.

4 Unit Play. #622 Take OVER - Mississippi State @ Vanderbilt (5 pm FSN) Whatever the line is on this game we will take the over. We will update this on Saturday morning with the established line.

4 Unit Play. #624 Take LSU -5 over Arkansas (5 pm ESPN U) A low number against Arkansas on the road is an automatic play for us. During Mike Anderson's three years at Arkansas he has defeated just 1 SEC team on the road and it is not LSU (Auburn).

4 Unit Play. #625 Take Washington -2.5 over Washington State (6 pm) We went against Wazzou on Sunday and I thought there was a chance Ken Bone would be fired on Monday. That did not happen, but he is still a lame duck coach and has not talent whatsoever.

4 Unit Play. #642 Take Syracuse -2.5 over Duke (6:30 pm ESPN) Syracuse is not Pittsburgh and has much more offensive firepower than do the Panthers. Syracuse is undefeated and I just do not see them losing a game at the Carrier Dome this season. The Orange is 5-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games overall. Duke has already lost road games at Clemson & Notre Dame and thus we will lay the field goal on Saturday. The fans are pumped since the College Gameday crew is in town!

4 Unit Play. #659 Take Iowa -5 over Illinois (7:30 pm BTN) Iowa just could not make a shot against Michigan State on Tuesday or they would have won that game by double digits. Expect a much easier time scoring points tonight against Illinois, a team that has lost 6 straight games.

5 Unit Play. #688 Take BYU -6 over Saint Mary's CA (10 pm ESPN 2) BYU at home is a much different team that BYU on the road. Saint Mary's lost all of their talent from last year and this will be a high scoring game that BYU wins by double digits.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Inside the stats: Hoops edition
by Marc Lawrence

Let?s take a look at what?s happening on the hardwood as we enter the weekend. All results are ATS (Against The Spread) through January 29, unless noted otherwise.

Spread Beaters

For your perusal, here is a list of college basketball teams taking the floor this weekend that own the best ATS marks in all games versus fellow Division-1 opponents (minimum five results) this season:

Home Games:

*Buffalo 5-0
*George Washington 5-1
*Hawaii 5-1
*Kansas State 8-1-1
*Nebraska 5-1
*Oklahoma State 5-1
*South Carolina 5-0-1
*SMU 5-0
*St. Bonaventure 5-1
*Utah 9-0
*Wichita State 6-1-1

Road Games:

*Creighton 5-1
*Delaware 8-1
*Illinois Chicago 5-1
*Kent State 5-1
*Michigan State 6-0
*North Texas 5-1
*Nevada 8-0
*Ohio U 5-0
*Seton Hall 5-0
*Wichita State 6-0

Spread Eaters:

Here is a list of college basketball teams taking the floor this weekend that own the worst ATS marks in all games versus fellow Division-1 opponents (minimum seven results) this season:

Home Games:

Boston College 1-6
Central Florida 1-5
Colorado State 1-6
Drexel 0-6
East Carolina 0-5
Kent State 1-5
Miami Florida 1-5
Northern Illinois 1-6
Purdue 1-5
Toledo 1-5

Road Games:

Central Florida 1-5
Cal Davis 1-5
Colorado State 1-5
Fullerton State 1-6
Kentucky 0-4-1
Louisiana Lafayette 1-5
Maryland 1-5
Mississippi State 0-5
Northern Iowa 1-8
South Alabama 1-8
Texas State 1-6
Washington State 0-4-1

Putting On The ?D?

Once again, here is a list of the Top 5 college hoops teams on the defensive front, in Defensive Field Goal percentage and Rebound Margin. Look to ?play on? these teams in either revenge or underdog roles:

Defensive Field Goal Percentage:

1. SMU 37.0
2. Arizona 37.2
3. Florida State 37.7
4. Iowa 37.9
5. San Diego State 38.0

Rebounding Margin:

1. Quinnipiac +13.0
2. Indiana +11.5
2. Kentucky +11.2
4. Arizona +10.9
5. Iowa +10.7

Here is a list of the Top 5 NBA defensive teams:

Scoring Defense:

1. Pacers 90.2
2. Bulls 92.8
3. Grizzlies 95.5
4. Raptors 96.7
5. Spurs 96.8

Rebounding Margin:

1. Thunder +4.7
2. Pacers +4.5
3. Trailblazers +3.6
4. Grizzlies +3.5
5. Bulls +3.2

January Showers

After opening the season 12-18 SU and 11-19 ATS in all games through Dec. 31 this season, the Chicago Bulls welcomed the New Year in style, going 11-4 SU and 9-5-1 ATS in games during January.

With the blue collar Bulls ranking in the Top 5 in the league in team defense and rebound margin, look for them to improve on an already stellar 6-3 SU mark in games with same season loss revenge in their forward movement.

Stat Of The Week

Illinois is 18-0 SU at home in games versus Iowa in which the Illini own a winning record.

 

[The Mover]

Bill thanks for all the info. I just might fade Lang's Toledo pick ( very small ) GL

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Bill thanks for all the info. I just might fade Lang's Toledo pick ( very small ) GL

Liked Oh-Hi-Oh too Mover!! :toast:

 

[WildBillPicks7]

DOC's CBB started out on the year at 19-2 first 21 plays, they are now 8 games below 500 on the season monitored by Sports Monitor out of OKC, they are not the same since the ol' Man passed away a year ago.

Fade them, especially 6 units or higher, they are 3-8 on them this year.

They used to move the lines in Big 10 GOY's in CBB and CFB.

 

[BuckwheatJWN]

WISH I HAD KNOWN AT NOON, BUT THANKS FOR INFO .

 

[WildBillPicks7]

ROBERT FERRINGO

8-Unit Play. Take #640 St. Joseph's (-2) over Massachusetts (6 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)
Note: This is our A-10 Game of the Year. I recommend it at this level up to 3.5.
There is a lot at work in this one. First, Massachusetts has been on borrowed time for a month. I predicted last weekend that they would be out of the Top 25 within two weeks and that is looking pretty spot-on. They lost at St. Bonaventure earlier this week and I think they are going to fall here in Philadelphia. The Minutemen just don't play good basketball. They are erratic and out of control, taking wild shots and not taking care of the ball. They are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games and if you have watched them play you know that they have been shaky at best.

Basically, UMass got off to a great start to the year, vaulted into the Top 25, and have stayed there due mainly to inertia. But they aren't one of the best 25 teams in the country. They aren't even one of the Top 40. Their ?big wins? over teams like Boston College and BYU have lost a lot of luster as those teams have struggled, and wins over LSU, Nebraska and Clemson only go so far since those teams are mediocre in their own conference. Further, all those wins have either come at home or on neutral courts. The Minutemen have just been bad on the road. They nearly lost to a bad George Mason team. They did lose at Richmond and at St. Bonaventure. They only beat Elon by 10. And that is the sum total of their road trips the last tow months. UMass was smoking hot the first six weeks of the season. But conference play is a different beast. And they are running out of steam.

Further, Mass has won seven of its last nine games in a very good A-10. But they haven't played ANY of the top teams in the league. They haven't faced St. Louis, VCU, GW, Dayton or LaSalle yet. And the only two good teams they have played - Richmond and St. Joseph's - they lost to (Spiders) and barely beat (St. Joe's).

Which brings us back to St. Joe's. These guys are going the other way. They got off to a slow start to the season, losing to teams like Creighton, LSU and Villanova. But since then they have gone 10-2 SU with a loss at Richmond and the loss at UMass as the only blemishes.

But that loss at UMass actually should've been a win for the Hawks. They led at halftime and had the lead with under five minutes to play. And that was with Ronald Roberts, the team's second leading scorer, missing just about the entire second half with an injury. They were fearless and taking it to the Minutemen, and they really should've won that game.

The home team has dominated this series, winning seven straight. The favorite is 6-1 ATS in those meetings - with St. Joe's covering as a dog in the first meeting as the only non-cover for the chalk. This is a rivalry game. This is a tight series. And Massachusetts is a good, tournament-caliber team. But St. Joseph's has been kind of a disappointment the last three years. And I think that they are due for a signature, marquee win and I think that they are going to get it in a revenge spot here today.

Finally, this play fits into one of my patented systems: we have an unranked team favored over a ranked team. That is an indicator right there. The public will jump at the "Top 25 team" but the fact is that the unranked team is usually at home, usually extremely motivated, and usually set up to clean up. I think St. Joe's wins this game by six or seven points, holding off a late UMass rush. But the Hawks will get the job done here.

3-Unit Play. Take #568 SMU (-2.5) over Memphis (2 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

3-Unit Play. Take #625 Washington (-3) over Washington State (6 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

3-Unit Play. Take #642 Syracuse (-2.5) over Duke (6:30 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 135.0 Duke at Syracuse (6:30 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

3-Unit Play. Take #643 Rhode Island (-1) over Fordham (7 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

4-Unit Play. Take #675 Arkansas State (-3) over Troy (8:30 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

3-Unit Play. Take #694 California (+5) over Arizona (10:30 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

3-Unit Play. Take #575 George Mason (+15.5) over St. Louis (2:30 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

2-Unit Play. Take #685 Portland (+2.5) over Santa Clara (10 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 138.0 Providence at DePaul (1 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

2-Unit Play. Take #553 South Carolina (+10) over Mississippi (1:45 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

2-Unit Play. Take #578 Georgetown (+7.5) over Michigan State (3 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

2-Unit Play. Take #583 Eastern Michigan (+1) over Miami, OH (3 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

2-Unit Play. Take #594 Texas-San Antonio (+14.5) over Louisiana Tech (4 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

2-Unit Play. Take #645 UC-Irvine (Pk) over Cal Poly (7 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

2-Unit Play. Take #689 Gonzaga (-6) over San Francisco (10 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

2-Unit Play. Take #699 Omaha (-7) over IUPUI (2 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

1-Unit Play. Take #602 Iowa State (-7) over Oklahoma (4 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

1-Unit Play. Take #607 Clemson (+8) over Florida State (4 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

1-Unit Play. Take #618 Rutgers (-3.5) over Houston (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

1-Unit Play. Take #621 Mississippi State (+6) over Vanderbilt (5 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

1-Uit Play. Take #624 LSU (-5) over Arkansas (5 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

1-Unit Play. Take #637 Utah State (+3) over Wyoming (6 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

1-Unit Play. Take #659 Iowa (-4.5) over Illinois (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

1-Unit Play. Take #669 Indiana State (+4.5) over Northern Iowa (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

1-Unit Play. Take #683 Central Florida (+20.5) over Louisville (9 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

1-Unit Play. Take #737 North Dakota (-1) over Portland State (10 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 1)

This guy is not very good in CBB he hits more losing streaks than winning streaks.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

The Machines Picks

"CBB Lean"
Arizona -4.5

10-4 Last 14 leans.