Colonial

accventures

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Saturday

Saturday

3rd round picks:

Palmer +130 over Bohn (WON 1.3 units)
Pavin +160 over Crane (LOST 1 unit)
Wagner +125 over Gay (LOST 1 unit)
Quinney -120 over Kelly (LOST 1.2 units)
Bateman +210 over Ames (LOST 1 unit)

lost 2.9 units

I assume ties are a loss so I counted the Quinney play v. Kelly a loss. Correct me if that is wrong.
 
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CANADA MAN

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Apr 1, 2006
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0-3 Thursday ...loss of 3.57 units
No plays Friday


mickelson.jpg



ROUND 3 MATCHUPS: (pinnacle)

B. Baird over Ian Poulter -113 WON
V. Taylor over J. Wagner +100 WON
P. Mickelson over G. Ogilvy -147
WON


Hopin' for a better day! :shrug:
 
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Stanley

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Round 3 plays (2pts):

Ben Crane to beat Stephen Ames -105 @ Five Dimes
Ames has only finished ahead of Crane once this season and with a less than steller record when just off the pace at the cut, it may be another event when he finished behind his opponent

Bart Bryant to beat Rod Pampling -105 @ Five Dimes
Pampling has been in poor form recently, finishing behind Bryant in their last five common events, so I wouldn't be price him as the favourite in this matchup

Ben Crane to beat Rod Pampling -110 @ WSEX [also available at Carib and Bet365]
Natural conclusion from the above two plays; Crane has dominated Pampling in the head-to-heads this year just as much as Bryant

Mark Wilson to beat Tommy Armour -112 @ Five Dimes
You have to go back to July 2006 (U.S. Bank Championship) to find the only time in the last 2 1/2 years that Armour has shot a lower 3rd round score than Wilson

Alex Cejka to beat Robert Garrigus +120 @ The Greek
Over the last 12 months, Cejka has beaten Garrigus in over 70% of their common events and in 75% of their 3rd round matches, so I'd say Stan James have priced this up more realistically with Cejka a -125 favourite
 

accventures

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Final Round Plays

Final Round Plays

For Sunday:

Glover -110 over Gay (WON 1 unit)
Curtis +140 over Toms (LOST 1 unit)
Wagner +145 over O'Hair (LOST 1 unit)
Kuchar -110 over Taylor (WON 1 unit)
Pavin +165 over Ogilvy (LOST 1 unit)
Quinney -110 over Kelly (WON 1 unit)
Goydos +130 over Baird (WON 1.3 units)
Poulter +120 over Perez (LOST 1 unit)
Crane -125 over Sutherland (WON 1 unit)
Herron +105 over McNeill (LOST 1 unit)

won .3 units
 
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CANADA MAN

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3-0 Saturday ...profit of 3 units
3-5 for the week including tournament matchups ...loss of 2.74 units (1 still pending)



ROUND 4 MATCHUPS:

B. Bryant over I. Poulter -110 (pinnacle) LOST
B. Baird over P. Goydos -130 (pinnacle) LOST
L. Glover over B. Gay +105 (pinnacle) WON
P. Perez over Ian Poulter +100 (bet365) WON
D. Toms over B. Curtis -125 (bet365)
WON

* the two plays from bet365 are "ties lose"


:canada1
 
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CANADA MAN

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...adding two more for Sunday


Joe Ogilvie over K. Stadler -118 (5 dimes) PUSH
J. Coceres over Patrick Sheehan -120 (5 dimes) WON


:canada1
 
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Stanley

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Round 4 plays (2pts):

Tim Clark to beat Stephen Ames +118 @ Pinnacle
With a 6-2-1 h2h record against Ames in the final round over the last 12 months, there appears to be value in these odds on Clark

Rod Pampling to beat Stephen Ames +100 @ Carib
Pampling final round h2h record against Ames over the last 12 months is even more impressive: 7-0-0

Dean Wilson to beat Ben Curtis -125 @ Bet365
A total of 192 players have completed 8 final round scores on the PGA Tour over the last 12 months: Wilson ranks 30th; Curtis 164th (almost two shots worse on average)
 

CANADA MAN

PUCK YOU
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Apr 1, 2006
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weekend recap

weekend recap

Outrights: 0-3 ...loss of 3 units
Matchups: 7-8-1 ...loss of 2.49 units
Weekend loss of 5.49 units


2008: +12.95 UNITS
Outrights: 9-36 (-1.72)
Matchups: 125-94-16 (+14.67) (57.1%)



:canada1
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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Jul 7, 2002
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Just got Home from the Course...it is going to be steammer...96 on the 10th Tee.

Will be making some Plays this week. I know I like Hot Rod and it isn't Curl.

Just dragged in from the Tournament

Really has hurt me Hard with the Outcome...Phil pumps in the trees and Rodney down the middle...Great shot by Phil followed by the Putt..steals 1,000 dollars rightout of my hands and I'm a 100 feet away....


Damn
 
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