Conference Championships

Bombs

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Last weekend wasn't great. Mistakes were made, but that's how it goes. Learn from it and move on. Anyone who has been doing this seriously or for a long time is going to make mistakes. Those who say they don't are liars.

Onward.

YTD: +21.065

3* UNLV +4 -114 - One more chance to fade Boise which has been a cash machine. Rebels could have won the first matchup, but I'm not sure they are the better team. UNLV has steadily improved, has a dynamic offense, and this will be the highest profile game in program history. Boise meanwhile has been extremely stagnant. Squeaking by bad teams. Hopefully the luck runs out here.

4* Arizona St. -2.5 -113
4* Arizona St. -136 - Iowa St. is not good. I was leery of Kansas St. being able to come through but really they should have. They completely bottled up the Iowa St. passing game and if it wasn't for bonehead turnovers (and that absurd non-overturned fumble on the first drive) I think they would have gotten it done. Sundevils are on a tear and I have been riding them. Not getting off here. Playoff time for them and their 17 year old coach.

10* Penn St. +3.5 -113 - I have played Oregon a few times this year and don't hate them, but if there's a team that matches up well it's Penn St. Direct power running game. Solid defense. The site of this game also is a big negative for Oregon imo. I hate Franklin, but I think in this year's wide open field he may have a shot, although I still favor Ohio st. to win the playoff. I do not think Penn St. has played their best yet - it is still in them. And I do not see a team that is a really particularly glaring stylistic matchup for them. Regardless, I think they get the Big10 title here. I have this at a Pk so 3.5 pts is a play.
 

rocky mountain

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Last weekend wasn't great. Mistakes were made, but that's how it goes. Learn from it and move on. Anyone who has been doing this seriously or for a long time is going to make mistakes. Those who say they don't are liars.

Onward.

YTD: +21.065

3* UNLV +4 -114 - One more chance to fade Boise which has been a cash machine. Rebels could have won the first matchup, but I'm not sure they are the better team. UNLV has steadily improved, has a dynamic offense, and this will be the highest profile game in program history. Boise meanwhile has been extremely stagnant. Squeaking by bad teams. Hopefully the luck runs out here.

4* Arizona St. -2.5 -113
4* Arizona St. -136 - Iowa St. is not good. I was leery of Kansas St. being able to come through but really they should have. They completely bottled up the Iowa St. passing game and if it wasn't for bonehead turnovers (and that absurd non-overturned fumble on the first drive) I think they would have gotten it done. Sundevils are on a tear and I have been riding them. Not getting off here. Playoff time for them and their 17 year old coach.

10* Penn St. +3.5 -113 - I have played Oregon a few times this year and don't hate them, but if there's a team that matches up well it's Penn St. Direct power running game. Solid defense. The site of this game also is a big negative for Oregon imo. I hate Franklin, but I think in this year's wide open field he may have a shot, although I still favor Ohio st. to win the playoff. I do not think Penn St. has played their best yet - it is still in them. And I do not see a team that is a really particularly glaring stylistic matchup for them. Regardless, I think they get the Big10 title here. I have this at a Pk so 3.5 pts is a play.
I like Penn State in this one straight up , and especially with 3.5. GL. That being said they're going against the top qb this year, he's Albert amazing, but will face a fierce defensive effort in this one!
 
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Bombs

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4* Arizona st Pk -101

I get why no one likes them but this has slid too far now. Tyson being out is a big loss but sundicks ground game should work well here.
 

Smitty

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sundicks ground game should work well here.
yeah, while digging into this game, i noticed iowa st gives up just over 5 yards/carry (111th in the country). not good.

that said, this game is at 9AM, arizona time. i'm hoping for a slow start from the sun devils.
 

BMONEY83

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yeah, while digging into this game, i noticed iowa st gives up just over 5 yards/carry (111th in the country). not good.

that said, this game is at 9AM, arizona time. i'm hoping for a slow start from the sun devils.
10 am Arizona time
 

Bombs

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yeah, while digging into this game, i noticed iowa st gives up just over 5 yards/carry (111th in the country). not good.

that said, this game is at 9AM, arizona time. i'm hoping for a slow start from the sun devils.
I wouldn’t be surprised at all if Iowa st won big with this line movement. Just can’t get to this number.
 

Bombs

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2* Iowa St. +550

This is playing out about how I thought and now will put in the hedge.
 

Bombs

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The live numbers on Iowa st in the first half were so bizarre and concerning. They really got lined hard here, super surprised they have been this bad tbh.
 
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