Round 4 plays (4pts):
Henrik Stenson to beat Sergio Garcia -103 @ 5Dimes [also available @ The Greek and Carib]
Opposing Garcia who has won just three of the seven times that he has started the final round with a 2-3 shot advantage. With Stenson having finished in the top-3 in four of his last five starts, he is playing well enough to beat a fragile leader.
Keegan Bradley to beat Chris Kirk -126 @ 5Dimes [also available @ The Greek and Carib]
Kirk's place in the top-20 is surprising given his ball-striking so far this week - he ranks 65th (of 76) in driving distance, 70th in driving accuracy, 44th in greens in regulation and 44th in scrambling. He has secured just one top-20 finish in his last 15 starts, so it does look as though he will struggle to stay there today. I'll back Bradley to finish ahead of his for the 9th time in 12 common events.
Justin Rose to beat Charl Schwartzel -115 @ 5Dimes and The Greek [also available Carib]
This is another matchup in which one player dominates the head-to-head: Schwartzel has finished ahead of Rose just four time in their last 27 common events. With Schwartzel ranked a lowly 119th in final round scoring average, Rose should continue his dominance of this matchup.
[unofficial rd4 system plays: Rose tb Day -111; Rose tb Kuchar -110]
