Matchup plays (1 unit unless stated):
John Huston to beat Rich Beem -125 @
Gamebookers [2 units]
Continuing to oppose Beem whose form since he took a two-week break after the NEC Invitational has not been good. He managed to squander an opening 64 last week and was a profitable player to oppose in three matchups. Will do the same again and double the stakes. He has missed the cut in his only two previous starts in this event and in eight of his last ten starts in Florida. Huston has won this event twice before and since finishing 4th in the Pennsylvania Classic and secured top-20 finishes in his next three events. Looks easy on paper!
Jerry Kelly to beat Rich Beem -110 @
BetInternet [2 units]
Misses too many cuts, but Kelly should avoid the same this week. He has failed to reach the weekend on three of his four visits, but he did secure a top-10 finish on his visit and he is a different player this year, having won twice and finish no worse than 21st in his three previous visits to Florida this season. A better player for outrights, but should still beat the fading Beem.
Rocco Mediate to beat Rich Beem -111 @
SportsInterAction [2 units]
Very consistent, though hardly the iron man of the Tour. His last three events have been the PGA Championship (finished 6th), NEC Invitational (24th) and American Express Championship (15th) and being able to compete in these events is something that Beem cannot do consistently. Has a decent record in this event and finished in the top-3 in both Florida starts this year. Should be a top-20 finish at least for Mediate.
Billy Mayfair to beat Jose Coceres -111 @
BetandWin
Less emphatic in opposing Coceres, but expect him to finish mid-table at best as defending champion. Apart from a 10th place finish in the PGA Championship, he has shown little of the form that earned him two titles last year. Mayfair is not the most dependable of players, but he did finish 5th in the Michelob Championship two weeks ago and was in contention for the first four rounds last week and was ranked 4th in greens in regulation. Should go close to securing his third top-20 in the four years at the Disney.
Bernhard Langer to beat Glen Day -111 @
BetandWin
Day is quite a course specialist - he had six top-15 finishes from seven starts before he finished 46th last year. Langer beat him on that occasion and fully expect him to do so again. He had been playing well before the Ryder Cup, including a runners-up spot in the BMW International, and their head-to-head record on this Tour is very supportive: Langer leads 19-3-0 over the last three years and 6-0-0 over the past year.
Davis Love to beat Jeff Sluman -125 @
Sportingbet or
Sporting Odds
Sluman is undeniably playing some of the best golf of his career at the moment - a winner in the Greater Milwaukee Open and top-10 finishes in three of his last four starts - but he is simply not in the same class of player as Love and certainly not on this course where Love's record is documented above.
Scott Verplank to beat Scott McCarron -110[ @
SkyBet
Faded badly after a very strong start to last week's event, but still expect a good week Verplank. He showed good form before and during the Ryder Cup and has a good record on this course since he returned in the last three years. Opting for the more consistent player in this matchup.
Kenny Perry to beat Kirk Triplett -125 @
Sportingbet or
Sporting Odds
Both players stink in this event, but backing Perry to be the player with the better chance of making the weekend. He has finished in the top-30 in his last four (high quality) events and his head-to-head record against Triplett is appealing: 11-3-2 over the past 12 months and 2-0-0 on this course in the past three years.
Love v d Duval