I'm only guessing here but this is what I think. DAVE started a mean campaign a couple of months back to make their company profitable. It is estimated that 11 million are stealing DTV signal. I read somewhere that DSS lost $400 Million last year. That's one hell of a lot of cash. However, if they could get half of the estimated signal stealers on their basic plan that would bring around $2.1 Billion per year. Very big numbers, very big stakes, a lot of very high-priced engineers and lawyers hard at work.
So they start by going after the HU cards. They continued this campaign until the current point which is that you must have a valid subscribed card (or a copy of one) in order to get video. Sooner or later these cloned cards are going to get killed. Apparently DAVE can tell if you have a cloned card, I don't know how that works.
At the same time DAVE has been cracking down on US and Canadian dealers who sell hardware to steal their signal. When they bust these folks they also confiscate their customer records and some people have received letters from the FBI. Really. Also, there are fewer and fewer places where you can buy a new receiver with a card without purchasing a one year contract. So now DAVE has taken control of the distribution channel.
That leaves H cards. As of yesterday any H card that would not accept updates and all BS cards are being hashed. So people will have to allow updates to their cards and I surmise that when DAVE thinks the time is right they will get hit just like Black Sunday. The only option is to run emulation.
And sooner or later DAVE will find a way to kill emulation as well. Free TV is becoming more and more rare.
That's just my opinion. DAVE doesn't call me and tell me what is up his sleeve.
[This message has been edited by Skinar (edited 12-18-2001).]