Love this tourney. Was lucky enough to go when it was in Austria and again in France. When it comes to actually making money on soccer and not throwing it away, I tend to just follow Bason and The Kid. But, I like to take some long shots at the beginning of tourneys like this.
I took Italy 3* +1050, 5* France +460, 1* Swiss +8250 a week ago. Trying to really get into potential matchups down the line to see if there?s some long shots that could make a run. And, to me, it looks like the Dutch have a dream draw. 3 group games in Amsterdam and if they top the group, they get a 3rd place team. Could end up with a tough game vs 3rd Place in Group F, but that?s maybe a 20% chance or so. Then, if they win that, they get the winner of 2 2nd place teams - Maybe Denmark, Swiss, Turkey in the Qtrs. Semi would be in London which could be tough vs England, but don?t expect them to make it. But, I really don?t like this Dutch team. So, I?m going for another team in their path that could hijack their route. So here?s my lottery ticket shots:
Swiss - already taken
Ukraine 1* to win +8500
Turkey 1* to win +6500
And, wait for it....Hungry 1* +50000. Yes, this is a massive long shot and they lost one of their best players. Still its not like they suck. They are up and coming - just in a ridiculous group. But, I?m not sure anyone should be 500 to 1. Leicester City anyone? They?d need to squeeze out a 3rd place position in the group of death, but do get 2 home games in Budapest - which happens to be the only stadium in the tourney that is going to be 100% full. With travel restrictions, I?d think it will be a true, raucous home game in a tough place to play. Big advantage. Not out of the question they get an upset somewhere. Then, round of 16, should they end up playing Holland, wanna guess the stadium? Yep, back home in Budapest. Then vs a 2nd place team in even further east Baku. Of course there?s little chance they can beat anyone they?d face in the semis or finals, but at that point, its all about hedging the crap out of Hungry at 500 to 1.
As far as Player of the Tourney, 2 stuck out to me:
Pogba 2* +3000
Ronaldo 2* +1900
Can?t really see why these are so much higher than others on here. It?s going to someone playing in the Finals - so France and Portugal are pretty good places to look. France Pogba >>>> ManU Pogba. If France rolls and MBappe wins the Golden Boot, I could see them rewarding their mid-field leader with the award. Ronaldo is Ronaldo. Writing him off is like writing off Micheal Jordon. If Portugal wins again, man, they?ve got amazing talent all over the field, but if he? banging in goals and leading the team, hard to see him not getting the votes - especially since it could be his last Euros and the way he missed out on the Finals last time.
I took Italy 3* +1050, 5* France +460, 1* Swiss +8250 a week ago. Trying to really get into potential matchups down the line to see if there?s some long shots that could make a run. And, to me, it looks like the Dutch have a dream draw. 3 group games in Amsterdam and if they top the group, they get a 3rd place team. Could end up with a tough game vs 3rd Place in Group F, but that?s maybe a 20% chance or so. Then, if they win that, they get the winner of 2 2nd place teams - Maybe Denmark, Swiss, Turkey in the Qtrs. Semi would be in London which could be tough vs England, but don?t expect them to make it. But, I really don?t like this Dutch team. So, I?m going for another team in their path that could hijack their route. So here?s my lottery ticket shots:
Swiss - already taken
Ukraine 1* to win +8500
Turkey 1* to win +6500
And, wait for it....Hungry 1* +50000. Yes, this is a massive long shot and they lost one of their best players. Still its not like they suck. They are up and coming - just in a ridiculous group. But, I?m not sure anyone should be 500 to 1. Leicester City anyone? They?d need to squeeze out a 3rd place position in the group of death, but do get 2 home games in Budapest - which happens to be the only stadium in the tourney that is going to be 100% full. With travel restrictions, I?d think it will be a true, raucous home game in a tough place to play. Big advantage. Not out of the question they get an upset somewhere. Then, round of 16, should they end up playing Holland, wanna guess the stadium? Yep, back home in Budapest. Then vs a 2nd place team in even further east Baku. Of course there?s little chance they can beat anyone they?d face in the semis or finals, but at that point, its all about hedging the crap out of Hungry at 500 to 1.
As far as Player of the Tourney, 2 stuck out to me:
Pogba 2* +3000
Ronaldo 2* +1900
Can?t really see why these are so much higher than others on here. It?s going to someone playing in the Finals - so France and Portugal are pretty good places to look. France Pogba >>>> ManU Pogba. If France rolls and MBappe wins the Golden Boot, I could see them rewarding their mid-field leader with the award. Ronaldo is Ronaldo. Writing him off is like writing off Micheal Jordon. If Portugal wins again, man, they?ve got amazing talent all over the field, but if he? banging in goals and leading the team, hard to see him not getting the votes - especially since it could be his last Euros and the way he missed out on the Finals last time.
