Euro 2020(1)

[flapjack]

After some really shitty knock out round betting, its Italy to win +1050 or nothing for me. But, I just can?t get over these odds. Italy now +234. Italy pk +108. Too tempting to load up on the better team at those odds. But, this stupid ?Pan European? format has been a joke. Englands played 1 game away from Wembley while other teams are traveling all over the place. They would have travelled more if they hosted the damn thing. Now, instead of a super bowl atmosphere with both sides fans attending, its just another England home game with a now capacity crowd and only 1000 Italian fans allowed to travel. I think its going to come down to the reffing a lot. England will try to knock around Italy and break up play like Austria was successful doing. If they can?t, its going to be a very rough day for England. Based on the stats I was looking at, this ref is pretty middle of the road as far as showing cards. So, hard to say which way he will lean. He does seem to have a hard on for Verratti. If my book had long shot odds on him seeing a card, I would take that for sure since he picks them up pretty often normally. But, its a final so its probably unlikely he shows it a lot.

So, I?ll take a couple shots on the game:

Italy/O1.5 +420
Over 2 +104
Sending off Yes +420
Booking over 3.5 -104 - Varretti is good for 1. England will be fouling a lot.
Any time goal scorer - odds are always a joke, but just for fun:
Maguire +1200 - no secret their corners all involve trying to get the ball on his head.
Bonucci +1800 - just have a feeling.

 

[Crookity]

After some really shitty knock out round betting, its Italy to win +1050 or nothing for me. But, I just can?t get over these odds. Italy now +234. Italy pk +108. Too tempting to load up on the better team at those odds. But, this stupid ?Pan European? format has been a joke. Englands played 1 game away from Wembley while other teams are traveling all over the place. They would have travelled more if they hosted the damn thing. Now, instead of a super bowl atmosphere with both sides fans attending, its just another England home game with a now capacity crowd and only 1000 Italian fans allowed to travel. I think its going to come down to the reffing a lot. England will try to knock around Italy and break up play like Austria was successful doing. If they can?t, its going to be a very rough day for England. Based on the stats I was looking at, this ref is pretty middle of the road as far as showing cards. So, hard to say which way he will lean. He does seem to have a hard on for Verratti. If my book had long shot odds on him seeing a card, I would take that for sure since he picks them up pretty often normally. But, its a final so its probably unlikely he shows it a lot.

So, I?ll take a couple shots on the game:

Italy/O1.5 +420
Over 2 +104
Sending off Yes +420
Booking over 3.5 -104 - Varretti is good for 1. England will be fouling a lot.
Any time goal scorer - odds are always a joke, but just for fun:
Maguire +1200 - no secret their corners all involve trying to get the ball on his head.
Bonucci +1800 - just have a feeling.

I know what your saying man , Italy has been cast aside as large dogs, atleast for the 90M portion +240 are you serious lol ?? No respect man no respect the team has won 33 games in a row , conceeded 10 in that time frame , they went 1168 minutes of clean sheet , another all time record! They had some off moments agaibst Spain , but they just clipped down 2 top 6 FIFA world Ranked teams , including the world #1. I know the game is in Wembley , and it's huge advantage to the English , but Italy is not coming scared that for certain. Id be surprised if England gets more than a goal of the Azzuri. Some of the props you like on O1.5 goals and Italy and Over are tempting. I got the 10-1 like you so hopefully that works out for us :0corn

 

[flapjack]

I know what your saying man , Italy has been cast aside as large dogs, atleast for the 90M portion +240 are you serious lol ?? No respect man no respect the team has won 33 games in a row , conceeded 10 in that time frame , they went 1168 minutes of clean sheet , another all time record! They had some off moments agaibst Spain , but they just clipped down 2 top 6 FIFA world Ranked teams , including the world #1. I know the game is in Wembley , and it's huge advantage to the English , but Italy is not coming scared that for certain. Id be surprised if England gets more than a goal of the Azzuri. Some of the props you like on O1.5 goals and Italy and Over are tempting. I got the 10-1 like you so hopefully that works out for us :0corn

Let?s finish strong! Forza Italia! Never thought I?d have a 10-1 team in the final and instead of hedging I?m thinking, I?ll grab some of that pk or +240. Varretti does worry me. Seems to melt down in some big games. I understand you have to start your best player, but man, they were rolling with Locotelli.

No over 2 call on the final, crook?

 

[Crookity]

Let?s finish strong! Forza Italia! Never thought I?d have a 10-1 team in the final and instead of hedging I?m thinking, I?ll grab some of that pk or +240. Varretti does worry me. Seems to melt down in some big games. I understand you have to start your best player, but man, they were rolling with Locotelli.

No over 2 call on the final, crook?

I know Locotelli has really made a name for himself, I enjoyed him at Sassuolo with Berardi , but now the world knows his name now, good to see. I would expect he comes in for 2nd half. At first I was going to stay away from the total but I want to see where this number goes. Overwhelming majority are thinking under , it's going ++ right now. I want to see where things are in 2 hours I have been killing it with these low totals the 2 is pretty safe. I want to see what price I might be able to get on 1.5,2.

 

[Crookity]

BONUCCI!!!!!!!!@!@