Round 4 plays (4pts):
Ian Poulter to beat Kevin Chappell -150 @ Stan James
Opposing Chappell again, this time with Poulter who holds a 17-5-1 h2h record against him. Given that the Englishman finished 7th or better in his last five events of 2013, he should be counted upon to take advantage of the expected poor round from Chappell.
Ben Crane to beat D.A. Points -105 @ 5Dimes
Two players in very different trajectories this week: Points was 7th after rd1 and has fallen further down the leaderboard after every round; Crane was 136th after rd1 and has finished higher up the leaderboard after every round. In better form in 2014 and a former winner of this event, Crane should be the favourite in this event.
Will MacKenzie to beat Brad Fritsch -140 @ 5Dimes [also available @ Carib]
Opposing Fritsch who has hit less greens in regulation so far this week than any player bar one ... that is not the typical profile of a player inside the top-10 at the start of the final round. He was in a similar position last year (the only time last year that he was in the top-10 after 54 holes) and shot 75. Given his ball-striking so far this week, a similar score seems likely today.
Jordan Spieth to beat Gary Woodland -140 @ 5Dimes [also available @ Carib]
Opposing the leader who has won once in the three previous occasions that he held the lead at the start of the final round, but he was defending a five-shot lead on that occasion. This time he has 25 players within five shots so this will be a tough ask to defend this lead and last year's Rookie of the Year is in the perfect position to take advantage.
Jason Day to beat Keegan Bradley -116 @ Bet365 [also available @ Stan James]
Day has finished in the top-15 in his last six starts and is currently on course to make it seven. That form has also been evidenced this week as he ranks higher than Bradley in driving distance, accuracy and greens in regulation, so he should be a decent favourite to win this matchup and match the top-10 finish that he earned in this event last year.
