Football Service Plays 10-9 to 10-13

[WildBillPicks7]

FYI:

RAS thus far through last weekend -

2014 CFB MAIN SEASON RESULTS​

............ Wins/Losses....Units +/- ....Win %...Avg Line Value
Sides........8-11......... -4.20 42.11%... +1.88
Totals......26-20........ +4.45 56.52%... +3.23
CFB Main: 34-31........ +0.25 52.31%... +2.83

This is not a knock against these guys, but how much do you have to pay for their service and these are the results you get? I know they are well respected and followed by many heavy hitters, but I would never waste my money on any service, no matter how good of a record they have had for whatever amount of years they've been in the business.

I'll have football service selections by services in this thread up later as the week goes and the picks get posted online.

GL this week everyone!!

:0003

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Mark Lawrence

Mark Lawrence

good read:


Inside The Stats...
Lies, Damned Lies and Statistics
Marc Lawrence
Posted: 2014-10-07

A wild and wooly week of college football action saw six of the top eight ranked teams lose in the same week for the first time ever in AP poll history.

That sets the table for this week?s treatise as we prepare to go ?inside the stats? on last week?s football games.

As we analyze the numbers to date it?s important to remember that all results are ATS (Against The Spread) in games played this season through Monday, October 6th, unless noted otherwise.

TALE OF THE TAPE
With September in the rear view mirror, here are the leading college football offensive and defensive rushing and passing stats complied season to date against FBS teams only with a minimum of three game results. Stats compiled in FCS games are excluded.

? Best Offense Yards Per Game -
1. East Carolina 581
2. Western Kentucky 576
3. Arizona 574

? Worst Offense Yards Per Game ?
1. Wake Forest 178
2. Eastern Michigan 189
3. South Florida 233

? Best Defense Yards Per Game ?
1. Louisville 219
2. Stanford 262
3. Alabama 265

? Worst Defense Yards Per Game ?
1. Bowling Green 610
2. California 606
3. UNLV 589

GOING INSIDE THE STATS
According to last week?s game stats, here are the hoax teams playing this week who won phony ?inside-out? ITS (In The Stats) in their last game, but were out-gained by 100 or more yards (witness BYU last week):

? College Football: California, South Florida.

? NFL: Philadelphia Eagles.

These are the teams playing this week who lost bogus ?inside-out? ITS (In The Stats) in their last game, meaning they lost the game lost the game but out-yarded their opponent by 100 or more yards:

? College Football: Houston Cougars and Washington State.

? NFL: St. Louis Rams (2nd straight game).

FYI: there is one game on this week?s card involving ?double inside-out? stat results from last week ? or teams off a phony SU win but stat loss playing an opponent off a SU loss but a stat win: Idaho vs. Georgia Southern.

HOT TRENDS
From my weekly NFL column in the USA TODAY SPORTS WEEKLY, here are some of the hottest trends surrounding this week?s card from my all-knowing database:
? The Minnesota Vikings are 11-1 ATS at home off a loss of 20 or more points, including 5-0 ATS in division games.

? The Pittsburgh Steelers are 8-0 SU and ATS away in games after facing the Jacksonville Jaguars.

? New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady is 8-0 SU and ATS in his last eight division games after winning SU as an underdog the previous game.

? Tampa Bay Buccaneers head coach Lovie Smith is 0-7 ATS in his NFL career as a non-division dog in games in which his team owns a losing record.

? Defending Super Bowl losers (read: Denver Broncos) are 1-9 ATS versus non-division opponents that scored 3 or fewer points in its previous game.

? Defending Super Bowl champions (read: Seattle Seahawks) are just 7-9 SU and 3-13 ATS home after a Monday Night game, including 0-5 SU and ATS the last five games.



STAT OF THE WEEK
The Cincinnati Bengals are 11-0 SU and ATS in their last eleven regular season home games.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Power Sweep - Northcoast

Colleges:

4*Alabama
3*Marshall
3* Florida
2* Tulane
2* TCU

Computer plays, they went 6-1 LW!

Texas Tech, Florida, UCLA, Arizona, ND, AF, Tulane

Tech play - N'western
Dog - Air Force
Situation - W Virginia
Revenge - Marshall

NFL:

4*Seattle
3*Denver
2* Jax

3* Over Chicago
3* Over Green Bay
3* Under Jax
2* Over Balt
2* Over Minnesota

System play - Denver

Angles: Cincy, Jax, Minnesota, Seattle

Gold Sheet - Key plays They have been bad this year so they are overdue?

NFL Keys - Cincy, SD, Over Atlanta/Chicago
NCAA Keys - Arizona, Central Mich, Fla Int'l, Mississippi

Power Plays 4 1/2 Stars

Florida, Arizona, UCLA

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Playbook

3* Miss St, Oakland
4*Washington, Buffalo
5*Duke, Chicago

Totals play: Over GB/Miami

Pointwise, 21-14 on college plays rated 1-4

CFB *1 is highest rated plays for these guys

1* Baylor, ND
2*Temple
3* Ga Tech
4*Buffalo U, Army, Auburn, L'ville

NFL

3* Cincinnati
4*Minnesota, Seattle
5* Az, Balt

Sports Reporters, they are 5-4 in NFL best bets. 15-8 in college prefered and best bets

NFL - Houston, Atlanta, Minn, Cincy

CFB - Miami, Cal, W Michigan, A&M, Wisky, Oklahoma, Ohio U

Winning Points - 11-9 in the NFL

Miami, Chicago, Pittsburgh, NYG

Victor King - Totals King

Over Chicago/Atlanta
Over GB/Miami
Under Oakland/SD

 

[WildBillPicks7]

For those who want BW's picks, I don't get them all the time because it distracts away from what I like to do which is analyze and research.

He's on UAB at -3, Marshall -21, FLA Intl +13 1/2. Totals he has one, Over Penn St. That line will start moving!

GL!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Twitter
3h
Victor King @KingCreole1
NFL Thursday DIVISION road favorites of 2 > points (COLTS) have gone 11-1 ATS since 2007 when playing off a win...

 

[The Mover]

Nelly's Green Sheet

* Last week 5-7



COLLEGE KEY SELECTIONS
**********************************************************************
RATING 5 MARSHALL (-21?) over Middle Tennessee St
RATING 4 WASHINGTON (+1?) over California
RATING 3 TEMPLE (-15) over Tulsa
RATING 2 DUKE (+5) over Georgia Tech
RATING 2 WEST VIRGINIA (-4) over Texas Tech
RATING 1 IOWA STATE (-6) over Toledo
RATING 1 OHIO (+2) over Bowling Green


NFL KEY SELECTIONS
**********************************************************************
RATING 5 BALTIMORE (-3) over Tampa Bay
RATING 4 MIAMI (+3) over Green Bay
RATING 3 ATLANTA (-3) over Chicago
RATING 2 BUFFALO (+3?) over New England
RATING 1 DENVER (-7) over NY Jets
**********************************************************************

 

[WildBillPicks7]

RAS

Under Marshall
Over Buffalo
Over Miami-OH
Over UAB
Under Clemson
Under Ga Southern
Under Tex San Ant


Maddux

10*Cal
10*UCLA
10*Miami F
10*Marshall
10*Cen Michigan
10*ODU

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Big Ten Report - Week 7
By ASA

Game of the Week

Minnesota (-4) vs. Northwestern ? 12:00 PM ET

Before the season this matchup looked like a run-of-the-mill conference game between two average squads. Now it's a battle for supremacy in the West Division as the top two teams meet in Minnesota. Minnesota was off last week after ending a six game losing streak to Michigan on September 27th to claim the Little Brown Jug. The Gophers have a solid formula to make life miserable for opponents, leaning on a powerful rushing attack and a stout defense.They simply wore down Michigan to the tune of 206 rush yards on 47 carries while controlling the clock for +9 minutes TOP. Defensively the Gophers held Michigan to just 171 total yards, including 83 rush yards on 28 carries (3.0 YPC). QB Mitch Leidner wasn't spectacular (14-of-22 for 167 yards and 1 TD), but he managed the game well and didn't make any mistakes. This Saturday expect the Gophers will try to utilize their 24th ranked rush offense against this Northwestern defense that allowed 259 yards to Wisconsin's Melvin Gordon last week. Northwestern is off of a huge home win over Wisconsin. The Wildcats were outgained, but had an opportunistic defense (4 INT) and held UW QB's to just 12-of-29 passing and 138 yards. Offensively this squad is still a major work in progress, but it appears to be improving. QB Siemian has been a solid game manager the past couple of weeks, but is still completing just 57.4% of his passes with 3 TD and 4 INT this season. The rushing attack is off of a solid performance against UW (203 yards on 4.4 YPC) but still ranks 104th nationally in rush YPG. Even with an average offense; if the defense continues to make plays (10 forced turnovers the past three weeks) the Wildcats will continue to compete. Northwestern has won five of the last nine meetings with Minnesota outright, but the Gophers are 7-2 ATS over that span. Minnesota won @Northwestern last year, 20-17, as a 12-point underdog - continuing a trend of ATS wins by the underdog (6-1 ATS run by the 'dog). Minnesota has covered seven straight conference games. Northwestern is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games, but 3-7 ATS in the last 10 conference games.

Michigan State (-21) at Purdue ? 2:30 PM ET

Michigan State dominated Nebraska for the better part of three quarters last Saturday. The Huskers made it close in the end, thanks to a 62-yard punt return for TD with 3:22 remaining that cut their deficit to 22-27, but MSU's defense held on when it mattered to notch the conference victory. On a day where completions didn't come easy for QB Cook (11-of-29 passing), it was the rushing attack that led the Spartans. RB Jeremy Langford was the workhorse with 29 carries 111 rush yards and 1 TD. Defensively MSU bottled up Nebraska star RB Ameer Abdullah. Though he finished with two short TD runs, he was limited to just 45 yards on 24 carries for a measly 1.8 YPC average. Overall the Huskers finished with their lowest output on the ground (47 yards) since 2007. The Spartans also made life miserable for Husker QB Amrstrong Jr, who finished 20-of-43 passing for 273 yards with 0 TD and 2 INT and was sacked five times and hit eight more. This week the Spartans travel to Purdue as heavy favorites. Purdue notched its first conference win since 2012 with a road victory over Illinois last week. The Boilers had their largest offensive output in nearly two years with 551 total yards and 38 points. QB Appleby got the call and was very efficient, tossing for 202 yards on 15-of-20 passing with 1 TD and 0 INT. Purdue also rushed for 349 yards on 45 carries (7.8 YPC) led by RB Hunt, who had 177 yards on the ground. Granted all of this came against an Illinois defense that ranks 115th in total defense and 107th in PPG allowed. The Boilers will have much tougher sledding against this 11th ranked MSU defense. MSU has won five straight against Purdue, but is 0-2-1 ATS in the last three in the series, winning by just seven points per game. The Boilers are 4-2 SU & 4-1-1 ATS in the last six home meetings against MSU. Michigan State hasn't been a 20+ point road favorite since 1997 while Purdue is 0-2 ATS as a home 'dog of 20+ points or more since 2010.

Iowa (-3.5) vs. Indiana ? 12:00 PM ET

The Hawkeyes were one of three B1G teams with a bye last week after an ugly win @Purdue on September 27th. Iowa had a +264 yard advantage and +13 first downs, but didn't take the lead until late in the 3rd quarter against the Boilers. They didn't put the nail in the coffin until 5:10 remaining in the 4th. Iowa rushed for 175 yards on just 3.4 YPC while QB Beathard wasn't very efficient against Purdue's defense (17-for-37 for 245 yards). Coach Ferentz has stated that he won't make a decision on who starts at QB until later this week but all indications point to both Rudock & Beathard splitting snaps early and getting a feel for which is more effective. With little rushing success to speak of this season for Iowa, the QB play will have to get better going further into conference play. If they can't find success through the air against this Indiana defense that has allowed 323 pass YPG and 11 TD over the last four games, then it's going to be a major problem for the Hawks. Indiana ended its non-conference slate with a win over North Texas last week. It was a solid bounce-back win for the Hoosiers after getting exposed both offensively and defensively against the Terrapins two weeks ago in the 22-point loss. QB Sudfeld had a very solid outing against UNT after a horrendous performance against Maryland (14-of-37 for 126 yards and an INT) with 230 yards and 3 TD on 23-of-29 completions. RB's Coleman & Roberts carved up the UNT rush defense as they combined for 252 rush yards on 31 carries with 3 TD. The Mean Green were held to just 348 total yards and a lot of those yards came after the game was out of reach. This offense gets another chance to prove that it can move the ball against the big boys as they face this Iowa 'D' that ranks 15th nationally in yards allowed and hasn't allowed an opponent to exceed 23 points. The Hawkeyes are 4-1 SU in the last five meetings, but they lost to Indiana in the most recent game (2012) and have failed to cover the last three matchups. Indiana is just 5-11 ATS as a road underdog between 3-and-10 points and just 2-7 ATS in the last nine B1G road games. Iowa is just 1-4 ATS in its last five B1G home games as a favorite.

Michigan (-1) vs. Penn State ? 7:00 PM ET

No team needed last week's bye more than the Nittany Lions after their last game performance against Northwestern. The loss to Northwestern is a bit more understandable now after the Wildcats beat Wisconsin last week, but it was still a troubling loss for PSU. Northwestern completely dominated the previously undefeated Nittany Lions. The Wildcats held PSU to just 50 rush yards on 2.0 YPC and 14 first downs. And unlike previous contests where QB Hackenberg bailed out a struggling PSU offense, he was inefficient and unproductive against Northwestern. He completed just 22-of-45 passes for 216 yards with 0 TD and 1 INT as PSU failed to reach the end zone. PSU's rush offense has now been rendered ineffective four of its five games this season as it is averaging just 3.1 YPC and ranks 116th in rush YPG. The defense remains elite but unless this offensive line starts opening up holes for the running game and creating some more time in the pocket for Hackenberg, this offense is going to struggle. They had an extra week off to work on their issues and to prepare for the struggling Wolverines. Just when it appears that it can't get any worse for Michigan, it does. Rutgers handed Michigan its third straight loss and fourth overall. Rutgers QB Nova tossed for 404 yards and 3 scores and Michigan's go-ahead field goal attempt late in the 4th quarter was blocked, allowing Rutgers to run out the clock and preserve the 26-24 victory. The running of Derrick Green was the only consistent thing about this offense, but now he's out for the year with an injury as Michigan will be challenged to replace his production this week against PSU's No. 2 ranked rush defense. QB Devin Gardner will be forced to make plays, something he has struggled with mightily this season. He looked dynamic at times last week against Rutgers in his return to the starting lineup, but he threw another costly interception. Defensively the Wolverines feature one of the top units in the country, but their efforts on defense are repeatedly offset by their inefficiencies on offense. It will take a substantial turnaround to be bowl eligible at the end of the season. After losing nine straight to the Wolverines from 1997-2007, Penn State is 4-0 SU & ATS in the last four meetings - winning by an average of 16.8 PPG. Michigan is just 8-16 ATS in its last 24 Big Ten home games. Penn State is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight conference games, but the Nittany Lions are 8-1 ATS off of their last nine SU losses.

Wisconsin (-25.5) vs. Illinois ? 12:00 PM ET

Running back Melvin Gordon is a stud, the offensive line is elite, and the defense is great. There are a lot of things to like about this Wisconsin Badgers squad; quarterback play is not one of them - and unfortunately the erratic play at the QB position continues to bring this team down. Last week RB Gordon rushed for a career-high 259 yards and this defense limited Northwestern to just 385 yards. But QB's McEvoy & Stave combined for 12-of-29 passing for just 138 yards with 1 TD and 4 INT - two of which came in the end zone when the Badgers were threatening to score. Coach Anderson has stated that both Stave and McEvoy will play this week against Illinois, and he'll likely go with the "hot" hand. Or whoever is making fewer mistakes. Despite the bad QB play, the defense continues to step up and put this team in position to win. Wisconsin ranks 15th against the pass, 23rd against the run, and 11th in scoring defense. Expect the Badgers to ride RB Gordon - who is 3rd nationally in rushing - against this Illini defense that has allowed 807 rush yards and 9 rush TD in their last two games against Nebraska & Purdue. If they can get Gordon and Co. going on the ground, that should be enough to open some holes in the passing game for Stave & McEvoy to gain some confidence. Speaking of quarterback issues, Illinois starting QB Wes Lunt will be out 4-6 weeks with a broken leg he suffered in Illinois' home loss to Purdue last week. Lunt has 13 TD and just 3 INT this season while completing 66.1% of his passes. Now the Illini will go with Reilly O'Toole, who has 1 TD and 4 INT in limited work this season. Without Lunt leading this offense, we're not sure where the points will come from. The rushing attack has sputtered to just 96.3 rush YPG and O'Toole is a major downgrade from Lunt under center. Illinois' defense has allowed 35+ points in each of its last five games and ranks at or near the bottom in every major defensive statistical category. Wisconsin has won four straight vs. the Illini and won last year's meeting, 56-32. The Badgers rushed for 289 yards and 6 TD in that game led by Melvin Gordon (142 yds, 3 TD). Illinois is 1-13 SU & 2-12 ATS in its last 14 road games with a -20.4 PPG margin in those 14 games.

Ohio State - Bye Week

After a poor performance against Virginia Tech in which he completed 9-of-29 passes with 1 TD and 3 INT, OSU's J.T. Barrett has completed 75.2% of his passes for 303 YPG with 14 TD and just 1 INT in the last three games. He was masterful in OSU's win over Maryland last week, finishing 18-of-23 for 267 yards with 4 TD and 0 INT while scoring 1 rush TD for good measure. The Bucks have now scored 50+ points in three consecutive games as this young offense grows more and more comfortable in Urban Meyer's scheme. Defensively the Buckeyes completely shutdown the Terps. They allowed Maryland QB's to complete just 24-of-40 passes for 244 yards with 1 TD and 4 INT. That's a promising development after allowing 352 pass yards and 4 TD to Cincinnati in the prior game. Opponents have had a tough time rushing against this Ohio State defensive front, gaining just 61 YPG on fewer than 3.0 YPC the last three games; so if the pass-defense continues to improve, they will become one of the most feared units in the country. They get this Saturday off before hosting Rutgers on October 18th.

Nebraska - Bye Week

Give Nebraska credit for not quitting against Michigan State last Saturday in a game where seemingly nothing was going right for the Huskers for the better part of three quarters. Down 3-27 in the 4th quarter, Nebraska fought back and cut the deficit to 22-27 with 3:22 remaining. The Huskers were driving with under a minute remaining before an MSU INT put the game away for good. It was tough sledding all game long for star RB Ameer Abdullah, who gained just 45 rush yards on 24 carries. QB Armstrong Jr. was constantly under pressure and completed just 20-of-43 passes for 273 yards with 0 TD and 2 INT. Nebraska's defense played quite well against the Spartans save the three long TD scores. MSU's QB Cook completed just 11-of-29 passes with 1 TD and 1 INT. And if you take away the two long TD runs by MSU, Nebraska allowed just 2.9 YPC to the Spartans. All in all, there are much worse ways to lose and Nebraska heads into the bye week knowing it can compete with the B1G elite. Next up is a road trip to Evanston to face the Wildcats of Northwestern.

Rutgers - Bye Week

The Scarlet Knights blocked a Michigan field goal late in the 4th quarter and were able to run out the clock for their first conference victory as a member of the B1G. They celebrated by storming the field at High Point Solutions Stadium and tearing down the goalpost. The win was Rutgers' third straight and put the Scarlet Knights at a B1G-best 5-1 record overall. It was a hard fought battle with the reeling Wolverines, but give QB Nova credit for stepping up with 404 pass yards and 3 TD when the running game was seemingly non-existant (74 yards on 2.5 YPC). There is still plenty left to improve for Kyle Flood and his staff this week as two road games loom at OSU next week and at Nebraska on October 25th.

Maryland - Bye Week

The Terrapins ran into a buzzsaw last Saturday against OSU. The Buckeyes scored early and often and rode a 31-10 halftime lead into a 52-24 victory. Maryland QB's Brown & Rowe completed just 24-of-40 passes for 244 yards with 1 TD and 4 INT. Coach Edsall stated that there is absolutely no quarterback controversy and that CJ Brown will be the starter when Maryland returns to the field despite being replaced at halftime against OSU. It'd help whoever is under center if the Terps could get some semblance of a rushing attack. They managed just 66 rush yards on 24 carries (2.8 YPC) against the Bucks and now rank 90th nationally in rush YPG. They'll work on that, along with solving their defensive issues (106th against the run, 99th in total defense) during their bye week before hosting Iowa on October 18th.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Robert Ferringo

4*-oklahoma-15...
4*-florida.st-23.5....
7*-tex a&m-2

Indian Cowboy

3* U of Minnesota -4
3* Over 53.5 FSU/Syracuse
3* UNC + 17
3* Over 61 Toledo/Iowa State

7* Louisiana Monroe +22

Goodfella

3* Pac 12 GOM is on UCLA

3* SEC GOW is on Texas A & M.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Phil Steele - NCAAF

Oregon 34
UCLA 37

TCU 31
Baylor 34

Auburn 34
Ms State 27

Ole Ms 34
Texas A&M 31

Texas 13
Okla 30

Best Bet
Alabama 37
Arkansas 20

King Creole

4 Marshall over
3 Florida under

Northcoast

Early Bird POW

Florida St -23


Maddux Sports

20* Cincinnati/Miami Over 57

Alatex

20 SEC GOY Texas A&M -2


Football Crusher

Mississippi State +2.5 over Auburn Tigers

Rest of Plays
Kansas +21 over Oklahoma St
Washington +4.5 over California
North Carolina +16.5 over Notre Dame

Marc Lawrence

Penn State vs. Michigan

Play - Penn State

Edges - Nittany Lions: 7-0 ATS as dogs off a double-digit ATS loss; and Franklin 9-3 ATS versus conference opponent off SU loss. Wolverines: 0-4 SUATS in this series, and 1-3 ATS last four as a host in this series. With UM coach Brady Hoke squarely on the hot season after his Wolverines have lost their last 10 games in a row to winning opponents, look for more of the same this evening. We recommend a 1-unit play on Penn State. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Ats underdog lock

florida intl + 10

 

[WildBillPicks7]

SportsLockSmith

MLB:
San Francisco +112 2* (8:07 PM Eastern)

NCAAF:
Kentucky -21 -110 1* (12 PM Eastern)
Florida State -24 -110 3* (12 PM Eastern)
Clemson -9.5 -110 3* (3:30 PM Eastern)
Colorado State -2.5 -110 2*(10:30 PM Eastern)

Chairmans Play:
Memphis -7 -125 5* (Buying from 7.5 to 7) (Game of the Month) (7 PM Eastern)

northcoast They lost their last 5* GOM

5* gt -3

NORTH COAST SPORTS

TOTALS
4* OVER 58 North Texas/UAB (#151/152) 3:30 pm
4* UNDER 57 Cent Michigan/N Illinois (#177/178) 5 pm
3* OVER 57 Illinois/Wisconsin (#129/130) Noon
3* UNDER 47 Texas/Oklahoma (#111/112) Noon
3* UNDER 49 Oklahoma St/Kansas (#145/146) 4 pm

CFB Totals Top Opinions:
UNDER 47 LSU/Florida (#161/162) 7:30pm

Phil Steele
Inside the Pressbox

Upset of the Week
UCLA +2 over Oregon
UCLA 38 OREGON 33

High Scoring POW
Notre Dame/UNC over 62+
NOTRE DAME 47 NORTH CAROLINA 24

Best Bets
WISCONSIN 45 ILLINOIS 13
WEST VIRGINIA 45 TEXAS TECH 30
NEW MEXICO ST 32 TROY 31
FLORIDA 23 LSU 20
TULANE 27 CONNECTICUT 17

 

[WildBillPicks7]

King Creole

4 Marshall over
3 Florida under
.

King Creole

3*** ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS plus the points versus Alabama Crimson Tide6:00pm ET - 3:00pm PT / #160Last week, the Dawg Pound grabbed the points with one of the best home underdogs in all of College Football (Notre Dame). This week, Speedee and the gang will be on another team that?s been DYNAMITE at home in conference play. And giving a touchdown or more at home to one of the best RUSHING teams in the FBS is also right up our alley (Anyone every heard of the Conference ?Rushing Dog? situation?). We always look to grab sizable points at home with a team that figures to outrush their favored opponent. And in this case, we?re talking about a team that should outrun their opponent by 100 or more yards. ARKANSAS has gone a very impressive 24-5 ATS at home versus fellow SEC Conference opponents who come in off a SU Loss (like Alabama). Since 2002, the HOGS have gone 15-2 ATS in this situation. On the flip side, Alabama does NOT rebound when playing off a SU Loss in their last game. In fact, they?re prime ?fade? material. The CRIMSON TIDE has gone 3-11 ATS since 2006 when playing off a SU loss. And that includes a perfect 0-4 ATS versus any opponent off a SU loss (like the HOGS). In addition, it?s the home dog who comes into this game with a week of rest. And Alabama has gone a PERFECT 0-7 ATS since 2007 as conference favorites of < 13 points versus any RESTED opponent.Yes, the bubble BURST last week for the Crimson Tide. They lost their first game of the season on the road against the Mississippi Rebels. These teams tend to ?drag ass? in their next game. It?s almost like a hangover effect. And we always look to go AGAINST ?em when they?re laying points on the road?. 0-6-1 ATS since 20907: All GAME SIX or greater road favorites playing off their FIRST loss of the season (Alabama)? if that loss was also as a road favorite. Going al the way back to 1994, these teams have gone 1-10 ATS when favored by < 27 points (Alabama). Within this Southeastern Conference, we note that?. SEC favorites of < 10 points off a SU favorite conference road loss (Alabama) have gone 3-12 ATS since 1989? and a perfect 0-4 ATS on the road.We also took a look at teams from this Southeastern Conference who play with the extra advantage of rest (Arkansas played Texas A&M two weeks ago)? 9-1 ATS since 2006: All > .500 SEC home underdogs of < 10 points (ARKANSAS) playing with REST. These teams have gone a PERFECT 6-0 ATS since 2008.Don?t look now, but the hot ATS team in this game is actually the Razorbacks. They covered against A&M in their last game? and are on a current 3-game ATS winning streak? LAST year, All Conference home underdogs off 3 or more ATS wins in a row (ARKANSAS) went 10-2-1 ATS. In the last TWO seasons, these teams have gone a PERFECT 5-0 ATS when playing with a week of rest.The Razorbacks average 317 rushing yards-per-game on the season. In their most recent loss to the Aggies, they rushed for 285 yards?. 12-2 ATS: All SEC teams playing off a SU conference loss in which they RUSHED for 250 > yards (ARKANSAS). These teams have gone a PERFECT 4-0 ATS as underdogs.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Last one for today!! :0002


Big money. W va

carolina sports. 5- nev, odu over, 4- marsh, mia fl, w va, tulane, bama over, 3- u mass, n tx , c mich, minn over

doc's enterprises 6- pac 12 goy: Oregon, 4- fl st, gt, bama, a&m

dr. Bob 4- w va, cal, 3- minn, mia fl, louis under, 2- ole miss, odu, c mich, ga south, col st, 1- bama, utah st

gameday 4- ok, 3- a7m, 2- n west, duke, hou

harry bondi 5- bama, 4- iowa, 3- lsu, wash

inside info 3- marsh, 2- wash

jack jones 25- gt, 20- bama, iowa, 15- tcu, miss st, 10- penn st, unc

joe d 25-duke, 20- tx, iowa, 15- ball st

lenny stevens 3t 20- w va, clem, 10- wash, ucla

neri 4-w va, 3- ok, bama, cal

northcoast 5- gt, 4- bama, w va, tulane, 3- zona

pick city 5-sec gom: A&m, ok, 3- bay, 2- gt, minn, wisc, aub

pointwise 4- w va, mizz, 3- ok, bay, e car, af, 2- zona, nd, fl

preferred picks 3- tcu, zona, wash

pure lock wyom

texas sportswire 3- tx

underdog nev

wildcat 10- wash, 7- troy

 

[WildBillPicks7]

For those who want BW's picks, I don't get them all the time because it distracts away from what I like to do which is analyze and research.

He's on UAB at -3, Marshall -21, FLA Intl +13 1/2. Totals he has one, Over Penn St. That line will start moving!

GL!

3-1 on only plays I could confirm.

Today he's on Arizona -3, line is now -6!! NFL of course!!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Northcoast

NFL Total Play of the Week

Patriots / Bills Under 45


Brandon Lang

150 Miami

Football Crusher He was 4-0 in CFB on Saturday


Play of the Day
Chicago Bears +140 over Atlanta Falcons

Rest of the Plays
Minnesota Vikings -130 over Detroit Lions
Miami Dolphins +127 over Green Bay Packers
Oakland Raiders +7 over San Diego Chargers

Norm Hitzges

Last Week 4-4 Season 14-24

Double Plays
Sea -8 1/2 Dallas
NY Giants +3 Philadelphia
Cincinnati -6 1/2 Carolina

Single Plays
Buffalo +3 New England
Denver -9 1/2 NY Jets
Jacksonville +6 Tennessee
Oakland +7 San Diego
Atlanta / Chicago over 54

Maddux Sports


Pittsburgh+2 (20*)
Buffalo+3 (10*)

NFL 6pt. teaser Houston /Pittsburg (10*)

Robert Ferringo

7*-over-43-bal-tb...
4*-over-45-det-minn


BURNS - He hit with Carolina Panthers as Breakfast club play LW

BREAKFAST CLUB--jets
BLUE CHIP TOTAL--gbay/mia under
CUST APP TOTAL--caro/cin under
BEST BET--oak
DIV GOM--phil

Accuscore NFL 6 Week

DEN Broncos -9.5 (GOY)
SD Chargers -7.0
WAS Redskins +4.0
TEN Titans -4.0
PHI Eagles -2.5
Panthers vs Bengals UNDER 43.5

Pointwise Phones

3* N.Y. Giants
3* Buffalo
3* Denver
3* St. Louis
3* Cincy
2* Pittsburgh

King Creole NFL Total

triple-dime bet 259 GBP / 260 MIA OVER 49.0 Hilton
Analysis:
3*** BEST BET on: OVER the TOTAL


Bookieshunter

Chargers-7@Raiders 2
Ravens @ Bucs OV 43 3*
Dolphins +3.5 vs. Packers 1*
Panthers @ Bengals UN 44 3*
Steelers + 1.5 @ Browns 2*


Hilton Contest - Leaderboard

Top 5 Participants Selections
Miami - 5x
Buffalo = 3x
Oakland = 2x
Baltimore= 2x
Ari, Cle, Jax, Minn, Sea, SF = 1x
Atl vs Chi = split 2x
Car 2 vs Cinn 1x

The next 14 participants are tied with respectable point totals:
Miami = 12x vs. GB = 1x
Buff = 9x
Carolina = 6x
Baltimore = 7x vs. TB = 1x
Ari, Chi, STL = 3x
Oak, Sea = 2x

WEEK 6 / HILTON

Week 6 SuperContest NFL Picks By Most Contestants

(2-3* Last Week, 15-11* ATS YTD)

1 Miami +3.5 By 468
2 NY Giants +3 By 459
3 Buffalo +3 By 393
4 San Diego -7 By 386
5 Denver -8.5 By 360


Week 6 SuperContest NFL Picks By Widest Margin

(2-3 Last Week, 15-10 ATS YTD)

1 NY Giants +3 By 305
2 Miami +3.5 By 263
3 Denver -8.5 By 231
4 Seattle -8 By 205
5 San Diego -7 By 200

*2 picks tied for No. 5 in Week 3

Marc Lawrence

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans

Play - Jacksonville Jaguars

Edges - Jaguars: 8-1 ATS road dog with revenge before back-to-back home games; and 6-1 ATS road dog in Game Six. Titans: 0-6 ATS versus division opponent with single revenge; and 1-6 ATS after Browns; and 1-5-1 ATS in this series. With winless road dogs in the NFL 68-36-3 ATS from Game Six out since 1980, the points become the play here today. We recommend a 1-unit play on Jacksonville. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Wolkosky Milan


20* Steelers / Browns Under 47
20* Bears / Falcons Under 55?
20* Atlanta Falcons -3
20* Patriots / Bills Over 44
20* New York Giants +2?
20* Giants / Eagles Under 50

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Locksmith Sports They were not good on Saturday

Chairman's Plays

6* NFL GOY Dolphins
5* Bills

1* Raiders, Bucs, Jets, Vikings

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Carolina sports:

5- tb, chi over,
4- clev, carolina, buff,
3- minn, giants, jax under, wash under