Friday Picks…

TheSwami2001

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I took Drake -9 and Belmont +1 this morning. Like Drake quite a bit as the Salukis have been giving up a lot of points recently and think Drake wins by double digits. Lean Over in that game, but passed since almost 2/3 of games during Arch Madness have gone Under the total in recent years.

I took Belmont +1 since they are the more rested team and I want some action on a game on local TV where I live this afternoon. I don't have a good feeling either way on that game but like grabbing a point and hoping being rested has benefits late in what should be a close game.
Remember also in a tournament game, Belmont being a dog is certainly interesting
 

TheSwami2001

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Illinois has the most talented roster in the Big 10 but they are so reliant on the 3 pointer. If they are off, it can crush them. Jakucionis hasn't looked the same since hurting his wrist, but looked great vs Michigan so maybe he's feeling better.
It’s obvious that you know the conference, but I would counter respectfully that I don’t think you are reading into how this team is coming together and we both know how good a coach Underwood is
 

TheSwami2001

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I’ll be frank, Im looking at a couple of games that are late but they are too obvious and I a not seeing any resistance o the betting markets. Especially on a light card gives me pause.

However, Im going to double down on Illinois-4.5 (2 units) so make sure anyone following my record please take notice!

As far as anyone rooting and following me! Please EMBRACE IT - they don’t know who they are dealing with!

I promise you that you will make money. Period. I am not anything that some jealous trolls have said...Comically I disprove that every day by giving detailed analysis of my selections.

In this game in particular - I just feel that the market has severalLy undervalued Illinois
 
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Bombs

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It’s obvious that you know the conference, but I would counter respectfully that I don’t think you are reading into how this team is coming together and we both know how good a coach Underwood is
I do like Illinois and I like them tonight but underwood is a horrendous coach. They’ve had talent every year he’s been there and every year team has gotten worse during the year. In game adjustments also abysmal.
 
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TheSwami2001

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I do like Illinois and I like them tonight but underwood is a horrendous coach. They’ve had talent every year he’s been there and every year team has gotten worse during the year. In game adjustments also abysmal.
I completely disagree but that is what makes the world go around. But I will eat my hat! If they don’t blow Purdue out tonight!
 

TheSwami2001

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I took Drake -9 and Belmont +1 this morning. Like Drake quite a bit as the Salukis have been giving up a lot of points recently and think Drake wins by double digits. Lean Over in that game, but passed since almost 2/3 of games during Arch Madness have gone Under the total in recent years.

I took Belmont +1 since they are the more rested team and I want some action on a game on local TV where I live this afternoon. I don't have a good feeling either way on that game but like grabbing a point and hoping being rested has benefits late in what should be a close game.
Nice play on Drake big D! Next time I’ll roll with you - I just couldn’t get a read on it
 

Destructor D

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Nice play on Drake big D! Next time I’ll roll with you - I just couldn’t get a read on it
Thanks Swami! Leaning towards Illinois as well but haven't quite pulled the trigger. M Johnson is out for Illinois which hurts a little bit. Purdue has lost 3 straight road games and Illinois is finally healthy after dealing with illness and injuries in February so does appear to be a good spot. Riley will need to have a big game driving and finding open guys. Braden Smith is one heck of a PG for Purdue but if Illini are hitting 3's, they should win comfortably. Illinois is 9-0 SU when hitting better than 33% of their 3's so if they are falling should be an easy win.
 
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Slumdog

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Why did you pick Illinois state. Looks like a wire to wire loser. Never had a chance. I thought you “knew” college basketball.
 
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TheSwami2001

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Why did you pick Illinois state. Looks like a wire to wire loser. Never had a chance. I thought you “knew” college basketball.
I deserve that and will own it! if you read my post I had some trepidation going against Belmont and it was a mistake
 

loophole

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Why did you pick Illinois state. Looks like a wire to wire loser. Never had a chance. I thought you “knew” college basketball.
i know nobody likes braggadocio here or anywhere where gamblers congregate, but nobody is right all the time. i bet on illinois state also at a pick, and at -1 it would have fit the excellent system that shawn has posted here for years. the poster here is relatively young i believe. the hyperbole will mellow with age. we're here to share information, not compare dick sizes.
 

Destructor D

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i know nobody likes braggadocio here or anywhere where gamblers congregate, but nobody is right all the time. i bet on illinois state also at a pick, and at -1 it would have fit the excellent system that shawn has posted here for years. the poster here is relatively young i believe. the hyperbole will mellow with age. we're here to share information, not compare dick sizes.
Good point Loophole. I have been doing this for over 30 years so have been through the ups and downs associated with everything. Game isn't over either.
 

TheSwami2001

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With respect…I find it quite obvious that there is this much “hysteria“ that I actually lost a game.

ADDING:

North Dakota St ML (-170) Major sharp mo has moved this line so you need to get the ML if you play it!

SouthEast Missouri St ML (-145) Another game I’m seeing significant activity and action on the money line at high limit books! That means we’re on it!

Portland ML (-130) Another game that I liked already and at high limit sharp bettor Circa they are getting 68% of the money on the ML. I hap to agree and I am playing it
 

TheSwami2001

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i know nobody likes braggadocio here or anywhere where gamblers congregate, but nobody is right all the time. i bet on illinois state also at a pick, and at -1 it would have fit the excellent system that shawn has posted here for years. the poster here is relatively young i believe. the hyperbole will mellow with age. we're here to share information, not compare dick sizes.
Look, I’m 9-3 (maybe 9-4) I can understand that I might rub people the wrong way but I can guarantee you that I am a completely different person in daily life. It just makes me a better capper having this edge I’m sorry but it is what makes me good
 

TheSwami2001

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…and honestly if you saw how many texts and calls I got asking to have my head examined because I never bet against Belmont you would laug!
 
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