Al McMordie
3 selections include Denver, Phoenix, and Atlanta.
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over San Antone. The Spurs are on an 11-game win streak, but most of those wins came against weak Eastern Conference teams. Against the West this year, the Spurs are a money-burning 16-19 ATS, including an awful 5-13 ATS on the road. And San Antonio is also 0-6 ATS its last six games vs. Western Conference foes when the Spurs are playing without rest! The last time San Antonio was in this situation was March 7 in Seattle (a game I had the misfortune of attending!), and the Spurs lost outright, 88-85, to the Sonics even though Seattle had lost 14 straight going into that match-up. Finally, The Nuggets are 54-34 ATS at home with rest since 1991 vs. unrested teams off an ATS loss. Take Denver.
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Jazz. Utah's problem (if it has one) is the fact that it is MUCH better at home (27-3 SU and 20-10 ATS)at EnergySolutions Arena than on the road (13-19 SU and ATS). Utah comes into Phoenix on a 3-game win streak (both SU and ATS), but road teams off three SU/ATS wins are a disappointing 43-68 ATS in competitively-priced games with a pointspread of five points or less, if they're matched up against a rested, non-division foe off a SU/ATS loss. Take Phoenix.
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks, as we will fade the Bobcats off their three straight wins (each as a dog). The Bobcats have always done well off a loss (112-86 ATS), but poor off a win. And when Charlotte's off back-to-back wins, it's a poor 9-20 ATS in its history, including 5-13 ATS at home (and 1-8 at home vs. a foe off a loss). Take Atlanta. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.