THE SPORTS ADVISORS
NBA
San Antonio (52-23, 35-38-2 ATS) at Utah (50-26, 41-35 ATS)
Two of the top teams in the Western Conference square off at EnergySolutions Arena in Salt Lake, where the Jazz look to continue their home dominance as they host the Spurs.
San Antonio sits in second place in the Western Conference playoff standings, just a half-game behind division rival New Orleans, while Utah is three games back.
The Jazz are coming off consecutive blowout home wins over the Wizards (129-87 as a nine-point chalk) and Timberwolves (117-100 as a 16?-point favorite). Utah has won five of its last six, with all five wins coming at home, and Jerry Sloan?s squad is 4-1 ATS in its last five.
San Antonio has been idle since Tuesday?s 116-92 rout of the Warriors, covering easily as an 8?-point home favorite. The Spurs are riding an eight-game winning streak (7-1 ATS), going 3-0 SU and ATS on the highway during this stretch.
The home team is 11-1 SU and ATS in the last 12 series meetings between these squads, including last year?s Western Conference finals series. The straight-up winner has covered the number in all 12 contests, including both meetings this year with San Antonio winning 104-98 in a pick-em contest on Dec. 7 and Utah prevailing 97-91 as a 2?-point chalk on Jan. 28.
The favorite is 7-0 ATS in the last seven series battles.
Utah owns the NBA?s best home record at 34-4 (26-12 ATS), going 24-1 in the last 25. Going back to last year, the Jazz are on a 34-13-1 ATS roll at home, including 9-2 ATS in the last 11. Additionally, Utah is on pointspread runs of 17-7 against the Western Conference, 7-1 against the Southwest Division, 13-3 against a winning team, 12-4 when coming off a double-digit win and 6-2 on one day of rest.
Despite its current three-game road winning streak, the Spurs are just 20-17 on the highway (15-22 ATS). They?re also on negative ATS streaks of 2-5 on Fridays, 1-4 when playing on two days? rest and 2-8 ATS as an underdog of less than four points. However, San Antonio is 36-17-1 ATS in its last 54 against the Northwest Division.
The Jazz have topped the total in five straight games (4-0 ?over? at home), and the over is 4-1 in San Antonio?s last five overall. Also, the over is 7-2 in the last nine head-to-head meetings, though five of the last seven clashes in Utah have stayed low.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UTAH and OVER
Dallas (47-28, 32-39-4 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (51-24, 43-30-1 ATS)
The Mavericks resume their playoff push as they look to secure their grip on the No. 7 seed in the Western Conference when they travel to Hollywood to battle the Lakers.
Dallas got Dirk Nowitzki back from injury on Wednesday, and the All-Star chipped in 18 points and five rebounds in 27 minutes as the Mavs crushed the Warriors 111-86 as a five-point home favorite. Dallas has won and covered two in a row after going 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS in the previous six.
The Lakers also welcomed back a key member to their squad on Wednesday, as Pau Gasol returned for a two-week injury absence and had 10 points, six rebounds and seven assists in a 104-91 win over Portland. However, Los Angeles failed to cover as a 13 ?-point home favorite, its fourth straight non-cover, all at home.
Dallas won the first meeting against the Lakers this season 112-105, pushing as a seven-point home favorite. However, Los Angeles has come back and taken the last two, prevailing 108-104 as a 6?-point home chalk and 102-100 as a six-point road underdog. Despite the latter result, the home team is still 7-2 SU in the last nine battles, while the underdog is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13. Finally, the Mavs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 at L.A.
The Mavs are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a spread-cover and 5-2-2 ATS in their last nine on Fridays. However, they?re just 8-17-3 ATS in their last 28 against the Pacific Division, 2-7 ATS in their last nine versus the Western Conference and 1-4 ATS in their last five when playing on one day of rest.
L.A. is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 Friday contests. But other than that, the pointspread trends are all negative for Phil Jackson?s team, including 0-5 at home, 0-4 when playing on one day of rest and 1-6-1 against the Southwest Division.
The over is 9-2 in the Lakers? last 11 games on Fridays and 5-2 in Dallas? last seven on the highway. However, the under is 7-2-1 in Dallas? last 10 Friday affairs.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE