G_G_G_G__G_GOALLLLLLLLLLLL - 24/25 edition

Crookity

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ATA/Madrid was easy , but suddently Celtic are defensive stalwarts on their travels! They have bit me 3 times this UCL i have had enough of them.

SATURDAY EPL
VILLA/FOREST OVER 2.5 -110
 
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FREIBURG/WOLFSBURG OVER 2.5 -110
This is how i see this one breaking down. We got Wolfsburg entering this contest in immpecable offensive form having scored 12 goals in their last 3 matches. They are top 5 in the league in goals scored, top 5 in xG on the road, they travel well. This pairs up nicely with Freiburg who has been playing nicely at home. Freiburg has scored 2 or more goals in 4 of their last 5 home games , and laid 3 on 2 of those matches. Wolfsburg has scored 2 or more goals in 6 of their last 7 road contests ; 5 , 3, 0, 3, 3, 2. Neither of these teams are defensive stalwarts. Wolsburg gives up 1.69 per match and Freiburg is aroudn the middle of the pack at 1.31 per game. I think we see enough chances to get ot 3 and i will be looking to start off the weekend right under the Friday Night German Lights, may the net pop in abundance.
 
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Crookity

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Crookity said:
FREIBURG/WOLFSBURG OVER 2.5 -110
This is how i see this one breaking down. We got Wolfsburg entering this contest in immpecable offensive form having scored 12 goals in their last 3 matches. They are top 5 in the league in goals scored, top 5 in xG on the road, they travel well. This pairs up nicely with Freiburg who has been playing nicely at home. Freiburg has scored 2 or more goals in 4 of their last 5 home games , and laid 3 on 2 of those matches. Wolfsburg has scored 2 or more goals in 6 of their last 7 road contests ; 5 , 3, 0, 3, 3, 2. Neither of these teams are defensive stalwarts. Wolsburg gives up 1.69 per match and Freiburg is aroudn the middle of the pack at 1.31 per game. I think we see enough chances to get ot 3 and i will be looking to start off the weekend right under the Friday Night German Lights, may the net pop in abundance.
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pop popo pop freiburg dancing tn ! great start to the weekend, and feeling pretty locked in. Taken money in i believe 16 of the last 19 contests heading into the saturday/sunday slate.

i am locking this in now for tomorrow

AUSBURG/LEVERKUSEN OVER 2.5 -125

also have the VILLA/FOREST posted earlier.
 
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lines are dropping on the VILLA/FOREST as its +100, and Leverkusen game is -110. I topped up a bit on these 2.

I am adding
BUNDESLIGA
MAINZ/BAYERN OVER 2.5/3 -125
I see atleast 3 in this one. Bayern has no Kane up top. They are running an alternate lineup out there, but it pumped 5 this week in UCL so i am hoping for some continuity here.
 
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wow didnt think the Villa/forest game would get there. sometimes you need a bit of luck. took money from2 of 3and nearly got the Leverkusen game which didnt offer up to many chances.

EPL
BRIGHTON/CP OVER 2.5 -138
 
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PARMA/VERONA OVER 2.5 -138
a bit pricey given the teams but its bottom barrel defensive clubs. Verona has given up the most goals in the league and parma is not far behind at #5. they are both bottom 3 in xga. both teams will want the 3 pts and will feel this is a winnable game. i see chances here.
 
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PAY ME....ALL OF IT.



Taken money from 20 of the last 24 matches going back 3 weeks. Its been one fun ride. Been on a few crazy runs in my years posting, and this one is right up there in one of the most epic i can remember. That's it for me , i will start on next weeks card. If you been following these plays enjoy and don't spend it all in one place boys lol.
money GIF
 
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SERIE A
LAZIO/INTER OVER 2.5 +105
I will put it out there right from the top that this game comes with risk. These Heavyweight Serie A matches sometimes turn to cagey, low scoring affairs so i don't put a draw out of the question. Both of these teams are also very solid defensively. However, I see value in this at +105. Both of these squads are elite offensive clubs. Lazio has been balling out for the past few weeks. I have watched a bunch of their games, and when they are on at home they can take out anyone. These teams rank # 2 and #3 in the league in goals scored, and #2 and #3 xG. Lazio has scored 2 or more goals in all 8 of their Serie A home matches this season. They have scored in 15 straight home games going back to the 2023/2024 season. Inter is fully capable of locking down anyone, but given the history and trends i believe Lazio finds the net here. I also think Inter is fully capable of scoring as Lazio is giving up at least a goal as they have only 1 clean sheet all season. I wouldn't be suprised with a 1-1 here, but i given the trends, and my gut feeling, i am going over.
 
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Crookity said:
SERIE A
LAZIO/INTER OVER 2.5 +105
I will put it out there right from the top that this game comes with risk. These Heavyweight Serie A matches sometimes turn to cagey, low scoring affairs so i don't put a draw out of the question. Both of these teams are also very solid defensively. However, I see value in this at +105. Both of these squads are elite offensive clubs. Lazio has been balling out for the past few weeks. I have watched a bunch of their games, and when they are on at home they can take out anyone. These teams rank # 2 and #3 in the league in goals scored, and #2 and #3 xG. Lazio has scored 2 or more goals in all 8 of their Serie A home matches this season. They have scored in 15 straight home games going back to the 2023/2024 season. Inter is fully capable of locking down anyone, but given the history and trends i believe Lazio finds the net here. I also think Inter is fully capable of scoring as Lazio is giving up at least a goal as they have only 1 clean sheet all season. I wouldn't be suprised with a 1-1 here, but i given the trends, and my gut feeling, i am going over.
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not exactly how i cooked it up but thank you Inter
 
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almost time for the weekend slate. I am going to try and close out strong ahead of the holidays.

BUNDESLIGA
FRANKFURT/MAINZ OVER 2.5/3 - 115
I am starting at this asian line spread. If the 2.5 comes down below -150 i will top up with it. Both teams here can pack a punch with Frankfurt #2 in goals scored vs Mainz #7 in goals scored. Both squads are top 10 in xG as well. Neither team are defensively sound on a consistent basis. These teams are around the bottom 1/3 for goals conceded, and they give up chances. For as good as they are going forward, Frankfurt can't be trusted at the back. They are 3rd worst in the Bundesliga with an XGA over 1.66. The #'s trend worse at home than on the road, and Mainz comes to town also bottom 10 in XGA on their travels. This to me points to chances at both ends. Franfurt has scored 2 or more goals at home in 4 of their last 5 matches in the Bundesliga. I had to do a double take when i saw that Mainz has scored 3 goals in each of their last 6 games on the road! I see chances, and with Frankfurt at home, and Mainz goals scoring prowess on the road i like my chances for the net cracking at least 3 times here.
 
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damn forced that one in today and paid for it, the first mistake and regrettable play in weeks. Let's see what the weekend brings. I have these in so far

BUNDESLIGA
FRANKFURT/MAINZ OVER 2.5/3 - 115 posted above
LEVERKUSEN/FREIGBURG OVER 2.5/3 -125

EPL
BRENTFORD/FOREST OVER 2.5 -138


Will add from here.
 
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Crookity said:
damn forced that one in today and paid for it, the first mistake and regrettable play in weeks. Let's see what the weekend brings. I have these in so far

BUNDESLIGA
FRANKFURT/MAINZ OVER 2.5/3 - 115 posted above
LEVERKUSEN/FREIGBURG OVER 2.5/3 -125

EPL
BRENTFORD/FOREST OVER 2.5 -138


Will add from here.
Click to expand...
STUTTGART/ST PAULI OVER 2.5/3 -115
 
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