GSP vs. Fitch....

rawli007

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Anything on GSP at -200 or lower would be a HUGE play for me in the like of 2-3K...:scared :00hour Honestly, who Fitch really beat???:shrug: GSP will own him easilly!!!! :SIB

I dont think it will be easy at all... Jon Fitch is just tough like that.

However, im w/ ya... if i could get a line for GSP at -185 or so i would be ALL OVER him...

:00x11 :mj09:

... this line is not easy to predict. :shrug:
 

kickserv

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ummm ......Fitch ain't gotta chance people.....sorry:SIB

and no way in hell GSP will be -200....be around -350 to -390 somewhere in there.........but I mean Fitch is good...but he's nowhere close to GSP...I mean come on:142smilie
 

weepaul

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ummm ......Fitch ain't gotta chance people.....sorry:SIB

and no way in hell GSP will be -200....be around -350 to -390 somewhere in there.........but I mean Fitch is good...but he's nowhere close to GSP...I mean come on:142smilie

I agree with Kick, the line will be way off. I am thinking closer to -450 or -500.
 

rawli007

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ummm ......Fitch ain't gotta chance people.....sorry:SIB

and no way in hell GSP will be -200....be around -350 to -390 somewhere in there.........but I mean Fitch is good...but he's nowhere close to GSP...I mean come on:142smilie

No way in hell... this is NOT gonna be another GSP/Serra 2 line... maybe -300 TOPS !!!

I like Sponge's prediction of -270 or so.. :SIB
 

The Sponge

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whoa.... just watched that clip and Carwin looks like a guy that could be competitive against him... hes almost as HUGE and really good on top as a wrestler.. we'll see....??

What i saw was a slow muscle head who might have been fighting stiffs. Does he know they test for roids?
 

The Sponge

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No way in hell... this is NOT gonna be another GSP/Serra 2 line... maybe -300 TOPS !!!

I like Sponge's prediction of -270 or so.. :SIB

that 270 is as low as i possible think it could get. I see more of a -350 fight myself.
 

rawli007

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What i saw was a slow muscle head who might have been fighting stiffs. Does he know they test for roids?

Is there such a thing as a fast 6'4 265 pounder..?? I think not. Even if he was fighting stiffs... hes only had one fight go past 1 min 45 secs of the first round...

apparently his hands are pretty bad, but his strategy has always been to bull rush in and go for the mount... hes a three-time Div II all american that plays to his strengths much like a Cain Velasquez, Jake O'Brien, Mark Coleman...
 

rawli007

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that 270 is as low as i possible think it could get. I see more of a -350 fight myself.

I personally dont think theres a chance oddsmakers would have Jon Fitch opposite a -350 line for GSP... they know that could cost them a lot of money..

The line i posted above (-210/+160), i should have clarified, is where I think it should be....... not necessarily where i think it will open.

... my line gives GSP about a 68% chance of winning and Fitch is a 38% chance of winning, which i think is pretty fair... :shrug:

obviously we all have our opinions of each fighter, but my opinion is this will be GSPs toughest fight yet... GSP even said that himself in a recent interview.
 

rawli007

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I personally dont think theres a chance oddsmakers would have Jon Fitch opposite a -350 line for GSP... they know that could cost them a lot of money..

The line i posted above (-210/+160), i should have clarified, is where I think it should be....... not necessarily where i think it will open.

... my line gives GSP about a 68% chance of winning and Fitch is a 38% chance of winning, which i think is pretty fair... :shrug:

obviously we all have our opinions of each fighter, but my opinion is this will be GSPs toughest fight yet... GSP even said that himself in a recent interview.

Ok, so ive changed my mind... I went back and watched a couple Fitch fights that I hadnt seen b4 and I feel it necessary to adjust my own line...

However, I still think this will be GSPs toughest test to date.

Heres my new line:

GSP -260
Fitch +200

I feel like the sportsbooks will open closer to -270/+205 and gradually move closer to -280/+220 come fight time...

:shrug: :shrug: :shrug:

DIFFICULT MATCH TO CAP... BRAIN MALFUNCTIONING..

:mj01:
 
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kickserv

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Odds are out at 5dimes..........


Georges St-Pierre ..............$1.33 (-300)
Jon Fitch ...........................$3.35 (+235)
 

kickserv

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GW.........

You are banned forever......yes a bit harsh....but going against GSP requires lifetime ban......I may reconsider my decision at a later date.
 

MCostello1975

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Bodog had -220 yeterday. I think its good line. Fitch will see late action. I cant see this going over -300 and sharps will likley bet Fitch late if it gets too high.
 

rawli007

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Ok, so ive changed my mind... I went back and watched a couple Fitch fights that I hadnt seen b4 and I feel it necessary to adjust my own line...

However, I still think this will be GSPs toughest test to date.

Heres my new line:

GSP -260
Fitch +200

I feel like the sportsbooks will open closer to -270/+205 and gradually move closer to -280/+220 come fight time...

:shrug: :shrug: :shrug:

DIFFICULT MATCH TO CAP... BRAIN MALFUNCTIONING..

:mj01:

Btw... odds in my book openned at:

GSP: -260
Fitch: +200

Id say i did pretty good.. ;)

Will wait for odds to improve on Fitch..... :SIB
 

The Sponge

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Only type of style that is gonna beat GSP unless he beats himself is someone with good hands. Fitch style is taylor made for GSP. GSP has taken all these college wrestlers and made them look silly. This isn't cut and dry and won't be easy but i have to go GSP here. Somewhere in round three. GSP<----to much speed.
 

rawli007

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Yea.. this fight has the makings of fight of the year.....

GSP on a nice run :scared

Fitch 8-0 in UFC :scared

Fitch is immune to chokes and equal in size.. aggressive w/ good chin...... GSP most well-rounded MMA fighter IMO along w/ awesome quickness.

I cant wait! :00hour
 
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