Hi everyone - I'm Ax

[Eagle123]

I'm back eagle, you didn't already lock turc's play did you?

Well I bet some on turc's game already, since its is midnight in here now and the game start 7:00am tomorrow. I arfaid I will miss it so.....

BTW, I always heard that your guys bet in terms of "units" how much is one unit then?

Sorry for stupid questions again

 

[axp59]

I'll dig deeper on it and see if I can find any occurrences. Haven't gotten around to looking at full card, just going game by game and looking for Referee assignments as well.

Slice, I'm going to have some lunch around 11:30 or so eastern and I'm going to cap all the games I highlighted up to 3pm. I'll be ready to start eliminating games and focus on one or two. Have you already sent me that report to my yahoo acct? thanks brother.

 

[Slicer]

Interesting side note regarding the Knicks/Nets game. This is 3 games in 3 days for the Nets, an occurrence I haven't found a repeat of this season for them. Also the 5th consecutive road trip game and coming from the west to the east (late late arrival) you have to think the toll will set in. No Devin Harris for the Nets = no floor general, they will be lucky to score in the mid 80's imo.

So this could go two ways, Knicks -7 might be a stellar play and Under 216 has some potential if my guess is correct let's say Nets generate 88 pts, that would mean at least 128 from the knicks.

This is wrong, they have had 1 day rest in NY, so it's not 3 in 3, it's 3 in 4 which has happend several times. Researching scoring #'s for teams on 5th/6th games of a road trip and west/east or vice versa.

 

[Slicer]

Slice, I'm going to have some lunch around 11:30 or so eastern and I'm going to cap all the games I highlighted up to 3pm. I'll be ready to start eliminating games and focus on one or two. Have you already sent me that report to my yahoo acct? thanks brother.

I rerun it around 1pm and again around 3:30 pm EST, I'll shoot it to you then.

 

[axp59]

Well I bet some on turc's game already, since its is midnight in here now and the game start 7:00am tomorrow. I arfaid I will miss it so.....

BTW, I always heard that your guys bet in terms of "units" how much is one unit then?

Sorry for stupid questions again

eagle, I bet 1U per play. I normally have one live ticket a night. For me, 1U is 6% of my bankroll. You have to work out the numbers yourself but that's where I sit. I bet no more, no less. Well, If I see something I like early, I'll bet a % of the 1U then when I cap it and it looks good, I buy the rest.
No game is worth more than any other. Imagine going 2 for 3 on one night but the two you hit were $1000 and the one you lost was $5000. We're all guessing and if someone tells you something is a "lock" run as fast and as far away as you can. No one including the 'experts' know...we are all guessing. remember that!!!
GL with turc's play eagle...I'm not sold yet. Maybe I'll email him for his cap notes.

 

[axp59]

This is wrong, they have had 1 day rest in NY, so it's not 3 in 3, it's 3 in 4 which has happend several times. Researching scoring #'s for teams on 5th/6th games of a road trip and west/east or vice versa.

Thanks man. I was trying to figure out why the query wasn't coming up with that info. I'll leave this one alone until I hear from you but I'll start hitting the others.

 

[JCWhy]

Here are my numbers for today:
Blazers/Pacers 207
Heat/Celtics Need to find out about injuries first
Kings/Bobcats 201
Nets/Knicks 211.5
Nuggets/Grizz 191.5
TWolves/Hornets 184
Bulls/Thunder 198.5
Magic/Bucks 203.5
Pistons/Rockets 179

I haven't even looked t the 2 late games as I think there is plenty of value on the board already.

 

[Slicer]

My 1 unit typically is $500, it's extremely rare I bet over this amount, in fact so far this year I've done it 1 time on an NCAA Total and I bet 1.5 units LOL, I almost went 2 full units on Kentucky last night but change of venue kept me at 1 unit.

 

[axp59]

I rerun it around 1pm and again around 3:30 pm EST, I'll shoot it to you then.

perfect timing!

 

[Slicer]

Wow, just noticed a huge differential, Hou/Det opened at 178 and got SLAMMED down to 176/176.5 in some places.

Accuscore has this game at 170.1.

I'm gonna follow early money on this one with 1/2 unit play at 176.5

 

[MadJack]

Welcome aboard, all you new guys.

 

[axp59]

Here are my numbers for today:
Blazers/Pacers 207 199

Heat/Celtics Need to find out about injuries first 192

Kings/Bobcats 201 199

Nets/Knicks 211.5 217

Nuggets/Grizz 191.5 192 LOVE IT for now

TWolves/Hornets 184 184 damn

Bulls/Thunder 198.5 195

Magic/Bucks 203.5 199

Pistons/Rockets 179 176


I haven't even looked t the 2 late games as I think there is plenty of value on the board already.

good to see you JCW!!! have a peek at these. you ain't kidding pal. value galore tonight...

 

[axp59]

Welcome aboard, all you new guys.

Thank you for having us. We already love it!!!!

 

[axp59]

Wow, just noticed a huge differential, Hou/Det opened at 178 and got SLAMMED down to 176/176.5 in some places.

Accuscore has this game at 170.1.

I'm gonna follow early money on this one with 1/2 unit play at 176.5

Damn it damn it. Did I miss the boat on this??? I can't buy now. I just looked at my buy-in number and I'm not seeing that 3 possession cushion. I'm sure all the numbers are published by now and the west coast is done getting the sleep out of their eyes...should be some settling after lunch? I'm going to run the numbers against the new lines. Be back in a few

 

[easterntimezone]

Ax -

Minnesota up to 13 now (dropped momentarily to 11.5); New Orleans hasn't been playing well as of late as a unit - Paul has been carrying everyone - and despite Julian Wright's athleticism, they really miss a consistent deadeye shooter like Stojakovic (Butler has been contributing, but it's easier to collapse on the interior and cut off Paul's driving lanes if you don't need to worry about more than him - Posey hasn't really delivered as management likely hoped).

Memphis sticks out a solid contender for a backdoor cover in most games; Minnesota not as much although they still compete hard - suspect it may be due to McHale's presence on the bench.

Hornets may be up for a blowout, especially off their lackluster showing in Chicago - Paul looked extremely upset in the closing minutes of that defeat, both at the Bulls AND his teammates. Whether or not they cover the line depends more on the INconsistency of the 'Wolves, methinks.

 

[Eagle123]

eagle, I bet 1U per play. I normally have one live ticket a night. For me, 1U is 6% of my bankroll. You have to work out the numbers yourself but that's where I sit. I bet no more, no less. Well, If I see something I like early, I'll bet a % of the 1U then when I cap it and it looks good, I buy the rest.
No game is worth more than any other. Imagine going 2 for 3 on one night but the two you hit were $1000 and the one you lost was $5000. We're all guessing and if someone tells you something is a "lock" run as fast and as far away as you can. No one including the 'experts' know...we are all guessing. remember that!!!
GL with turc's play eagle...I'm not sold yet. Maybe I'll email him for his cap notes.

OK then, I will wait and watch you pick early in the morning before the game start then.
Thks

 

[axp59]

Hey you lurkers that followed me here from the other site that starts with C...you know how I do this...join in and give us your insight. that way you know where we are headed with our action...if you're waiting for picks, remember how hard it was to find on my 20 page threads. If you join in the discussions, you will know where we start leaning. Or just lurk...I don't mind that either.

 

[avilaraf]

Glad to be here, I'm also comming from that damn other site...

Axe, I've been following you and Turc's posts for around three weeks, and can't say anything else than THANK YOU!!!..

I'm not very good at NBA but I hope to contibute a lot at MLB.

p.s: I'm in Venezuela, not in the US.

 

[avilaraf]

Thank You Administrator

 

[axp59]

Ax -

Minnesota up to 13 now (dropped momentarily to 11.5); New Orleans hasn't been playing well as of late as a unit - Paul has been carrying everyone - and despite Julian Wright's athleticism, they really miss a consistent deadeye shooter like Stojakovic (Butler has been contributing, but it's easier to collapse on the interior and cut off Paul's driving lanes if you don't need to worry about more than him - Posey hasn't really delivered as management likely hoped).

Memphis sticks out a solid contender for a backdoor cover in most games; Minnesota not as much although they still compete hard - suspect it may be due to McHale's presence on the bench.

Hornets due for a blowout, especially off their lackluster showing in Chicago. Whether or not they cover the line depends more on the INconsistency of the 'Wolves, methinks.

Good to see you ETZ...damn that's a huge move considering the down and up. I agree with the comment on NOH recent play and I think Posey is missing the chemistry he had in Beantown...this is a huge number though. This is one I'm going to rerun this afternoon. But the most valid part of your argument means taking MIN on the road. :nono:

I have a different take on DEN/MEM. I think this line is just about right. I am slowly falling in love with the under play on this but will need some validation. You got a take on the U here?

Thanks pal