Holden Australian Open

Ian

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Big misprice by Coral Eurobet - Howell is a best price 14/1 so why they go 28/1 is surprising!
2nd choice is Pampling - he had a habit of missing the odd cut on the Buy.com tour but always came back with a good performance the following week 80/1 Bet365
 

bettingmad

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Ian,
If your trigger finger is itching... and you are looking for something to double Howell with at 28/1..... Corals are the only company I have found so far quoting prices on the Casio in Japan. Your old mate Teshima is also 28/1... 840/1 the double..
wink.gif
 

Stanley

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Preview & outright plays:

One of the oldest national championships in the world may be being played on a course that closed just one day after it was opened, but a lot has changed at The Grand in the last decade. After closing in 1990 due to insufficient funds, the site was repurchased in 1996 and Greg Norman was brought in to redesign the course. Now it has been nominated for consideration amongst the world's greatest 100 courses in Golf Magazine USA and is a worthy home for the 2001 Australian Open. The course itself is a par-71 and short at just 6,182m, though Norman has admitted that spectators should expect low scores. Nevertheless, the course requires good shot-making skills and a putting contest is not to be expected.

The three selections this week are Ernie Els, Adam Scott and Charles Howell. This has been a disappointing season for Els. Last year he was runner-up in three majors, but this year he has failed for the first time since 1993 to win on the PGA Tour. He did at least secure his first win of the year with Retief Goosen last week and it should reduce the pressure on him. Now he admits to "feeling fresh again" and with tight course being most-suited to his game, he looks a justifiable favorite.

Another who may have been a little disappointed with his season is Adam Scott. He won his opening event of the year - the Alfred Dunhill Championship - but immediately lost form as his recurrent knee injury became more problematic. Since then he has played well in bursts and with a 3rd place finish in the Volvo Masters two weeks ago, he looks to be a decent shot to end the season as he started it. Maybe then he will get that knee sorted out!

The final selection is Charles Howell. At the market average of 14/1, he would not be a selection, but Eurobet offer twice those odds. Maybe they are basing their price on Howell's performances in Australia at the start of the season when he finished 67th in the Heineken Classic and 39th in the Greg Norman Holden International. They were his first events of the year and he can be excused for being rusty. Having established himself as one of the most consistent players on the PGA Tour this season, including finishing 2nd in the greens in regulation stats and inside the top-10 in scoring average, he should be far more competitive this time around.

Outright plays:

Ernie Els to win 7/1 @ Camelot
Adam Scott to win 20/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet or Sporting Odds
Charles Howell to win 28/1 e.w. @ Eurobet [5 places option]
 

AussieVamp2

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28?

bloody hell, one bookie I didn't look at

and I thought the 16/1 at betandwin earlier was ok looking
 

bettingmad

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Stanley,
Again on Baddeley... what did he win in 1999?
I thought he defeated Norman in the Australian Open (then successfully defended last year) but in today's Racing Post they have Lucas Parson's winning the Australian Open in 1999.
The way the aussies slip 'Holden' in front of tournament names makes it confusing.
Do you have Baddeley as a dual winner?
 

Stanley

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72-hole plays:

Stephen Leaney to beat Nathan Green -115 @ Intertops
Green finished last season in style with back-to-back runners-up spots, but he has struggled in the Northern Hemisphere, missing four of his last five cuts, and in this event. He did jump up the leaderboard significantly on Sunday to finish 11th in the Australian PGA, but will struggle to match that finish. Leaney is simply the better player

Peter O'Malley to beat Nathan Green +100 @ Bet365 [2 units]
A missed cut after playing in Spain earlier at the previous weekend is not a problem with O'Malley's form. The extra time off to recover from the jet-lag will only have been beneficial and having finished 7th-11th-7th in the last three Australian Opens, he is much more likely to be on the leaderboard come Sunday night

Gareth Paddison to beat Nathan Green -110 @ Camelot [2 units]
Siding with the New Zealand player who is playing extremely well at the moment. Not only did he shoot all four rounds under par last week to finish 3rd in the Australian PGA in only his 5th Tour start, it had been preceded by a final round 64 to finish 3rd in the Australasian Tour Q-school. Looks good under pressure and could be set for another huge week

Greg Chalmers to beat Peter Lonard -111 @ Sporting Odds
Chalmers won this event three years ago, but it will probably be too much for him to repeat that feat this week. He has had a disappointing year and a decent week last week was spoiled by a final round 77. However, he looks the better prepared player for this event as Lonard as played in each of the last five weeks. O'Malley missed cut with jet-lag last week was understandable, surely Lonard can't fight off the fatigue of the same flight and a busier schedule for much longer

Craig Parry to beat Nick O'Hern -110 @ Surrey
O'Hern was another who flew from Spain to play last week and it may have been one reason for his poor final round that saw him slip out of contention. Another may be that he had missed six straight cuts prior to the no-cut Volvo Masters. With Parry looking in good form last week and at his best on challenging tracks, he should beat O'Hern again
 

Anders

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Article on Parry that may be of interest, also has some good course info...



By Peter Stone

Not to put too fine a point on it, Craig Parry has gathered a few more centimetres around his midriff since last summer.

But if those who work not just on their golf swing, but their fitness, reckon it has weighed down his competitive juices, they do so at their peril in the $1.75million Australian Open.

He is quietly confident leading into today's opening round at The Grand on the Gold Coast, having played two practice rounds and put in lengthy sessions on the range and the practice putting green with his coach, Richard Flood, the club professional at The Lakes.

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After his tied third in the Australian PGA at Royal Queensland last week, Parry requested that Flood join him for a couple of days of finetuning in a bid to win the Open, the missing link in his CV, which includes victory in the PGA and the Australian Masters.

Peter McWhinney was chiding Parry on the practice putting green yesterday about his weight, but "Big Macca" is not exactly slender himself. Talk about people in glass houses.

Parry, who admits to only a 5kg weight gain in 12 months, was dismissive, although pleasantly so, when the subject was raised. "It's just part of life. I'm not worried about it. As long as the golf ball is going straight and I'm able to find it and hit it again, everything is fine," Parry said.

Does the extra pudding affect his swing? "Not at all. It's good for windy days," he responded.

Through the years, Parry has periodically worked out in a gymnasium in his home. Not for 12 months or so, though.

"I go through spells, but I just get bored. If I was out kicking a footy or chasing a soccer ball, it might be a bit more fun," he explained. "Just riding a bike and watching TV [at the same time] doesn't really do a lot for me."

The Grand's layout is short by championship standards, which will hamper the chances of big-hitters such as Ernie Els, Robert Allenby and Adam Scott. Instead, the premium will be on accuracy, something the likes of Parry, Peter O'Malley, Richard Green and Nick O'Hern pride themselves in.

"It's going to be a hell of a championship," Parry said. "There are going to be a lot of birdies, and a lot of double and triple bogeys and more if the players do the wrong thing and hit it into the wrong spots.

"In parts, the course is really, really tough. I'm not going to tell you everything I've found because it could help someone else."

Not in dispute is that the 10th green, perched on a hill just 306m from the tee, has the potential for sleepless nights or nightmares. Good sport, though, for the sadists.

Any pin placement on the left will do it. Such is the gradient that it is almost impossible to land on the green below the hole and, if you're above it, your putt could end 30m-40m off the green.

A couple of players who asked for anonymity suggested yesterday there could be a walk-off if the pin was placed on the left in unfavourable wind conditions.

Australian Golf Union executive director Colin Phillips said no pins would be deliberately placed on slopes, but on some of the smaller greens it was unavoidable.

"We haven't put pins on a slope since 1987 [at Royal Melbourne when there was a walk-off on the final day because of the pin on the third, which forced a cancellation of play and a Monday finish] when we took control of the pin placements," Phillips said.

"The 10th is contentious. There are three spots [for a pin] on the right, but on the left it becomes pretty ferocious.

"We'll have to look at the weather forecasts for the predicted wind direction.

"The alleged walk-off in '87 still sticks in the back of my mind. I can't see us getting in that position."
 

Clive

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It's Green, O'Hern and Chalmers for me this week, although the mis-pricing of Howell forced me to have a bet!
The question I have for the Aus contingent here is why is the Shark playing in the Skins game instead of his course....what does Thanksgiving mean to an Aussie?!
 

Cartman88

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Clive,

Greg Norman cited ?family reasons? for not playing this years Australian Open. His daughter is returning home from college for the Thanksgiving holiday and he wants to spend time with her. He said he only has one daughter and there will be plenty more Australian Open events in the future he can play.

It must have been a hard decision as this is the first time in over 20 years the Australian Open has been played in Queensland (his home state) and The Grand is a course which he redesigned a few years ago.
 

Cartman88

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Also I must apologise for contributing so little to the Golf forum in recent weeks (particularly this week when the Australian Open is being played just up the road from me).

Unfortunately work is really busy at the moment and some days I hardly get near my computer let alone have time for capping. I firmly believe that you need to put in the hours to get the results and that just hasn't been possible lately.

I was looking forward to going to the Australian Open and was fairly pissed when I found out I needed to be at work Thu Fri Sat & Sun !!!!

frown.gif
 

Stanley

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Mid-point update:

Three of the five plays are decided at the cut as Green shoots 80-75
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It means victories over him with Leaney by nine shots, O'Malley by seven shots and Paddison by nine shots. In the two remaining plays, Chalmers leads Lonard by two and Parry trails O'Hern by one. Decent position in the outrights. Els bogeyed the last hole to drop out of the lead and is a shot behind Scott Laycock heading into the weekend, while both Scott and Howell improved in the 2nd round to 16th and 41st respectively.
 

Stanley

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Final update: 4-1-0 and +4.89 units

Split the remaining plays. Chalmers lost to Lonard by six shots and Parry beat O'Hern by seven. A profitable week on the matchups and enough to even cover the near-misses in the outrights.

Update on outright plays: 0-3 and -3.00 units

Els had a poor first nine and lost touch with the leaders, Stuart Appleby and Scott Laycock. He did find his form later, but it was enough to only secure 3rd place and a loss on the play. The near-misses almost continued with Howell who finished 9th - he improved every round, if only he hadn't opened with a 75 - and Scott who finished 12th, a shot further back. Disappointing blank in the final ANZ Tour event of 2001, but it has been a profitable year overall though
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Australasian Tour final ytd
Matchups/props: 35-36; -6.09 units
Outright plays: 5-22; +61.38 units

All Tours ytd
Matchups/props: 662-562; +63.91 units
Outright plays: 96-419; +146.09 units

Slightly frustrating week on the outrights. Had 9 plays across three Tours and the worst finish was 14th, yet had just two place wins to show for it and a small overall loss on these plays
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