yyz,
Millions have tried but you cannot beat the odds. You think you are the only one who has come up with that theory? There are probably hundreds of thousands of gamblers, if not millions who at one time or another thought, "Well, since I go up at some point almost every time, if I just set smaller goals, I will win over time."
Wrong. You cannot beat mathematical odds unless you turn the advantage in your favor (counting cards). If you count cards, you can absolutely win at blackjack. Read Stanford Wong's books, he will tell you how. But the simple fact is that if you play enough blackjack, that 1.5% is going to get you eventually.
The whole problem is control. In poker or sports, you have enough control over your decisions to overcome a 10% vig or a table charge in poker. Essentially you are playing against other players and the house is taking a percentage, so if you beat the other players badly enough, you can win.
Unless you count cards, you have no control. You are relying on luck. I don't care what strategy of hitting, staying, raising or lowering of bets you have, in the end you are relying on luck up against a 1.5% house advantage. If you count cards well and have discipline, then you can beat that 1.5%. It is tough, but it can be done. If you do not count cards effectively, you are effectively paying for entertainment.
On a side note, I used to go to Oneida all the time, too. The ride by the prison on the way up kinda gave me a certain calm before entering. Good luck up there yyz. I hope you are lucky enough to beat the odds, I really do. Just please do not encourage more gamblers to have realistic hope of using blackjack as anything but paid entertainment. You are doing them a disservice by doing so.
Millions have tried but you cannot beat the odds. You think you are the only one who has come up with that theory? There are probably hundreds of thousands of gamblers, if not millions who at one time or another thought, "Well, since I go up at some point almost every time, if I just set smaller goals, I will win over time."
Wrong. You cannot beat mathematical odds unless you turn the advantage in your favor (counting cards). If you count cards, you can absolutely win at blackjack. Read Stanford Wong's books, he will tell you how. But the simple fact is that if you play enough blackjack, that 1.5% is going to get you eventually.
The whole problem is control. In poker or sports, you have enough control over your decisions to overcome a 10% vig or a table charge in poker. Essentially you are playing against other players and the house is taking a percentage, so if you beat the other players badly enough, you can win.
Unless you count cards, you have no control. You are relying on luck. I don't care what strategy of hitting, staying, raising or lowering of bets you have, in the end you are relying on luck up against a 1.5% house advantage. If you count cards well and have discipline, then you can beat that 1.5%. It is tough, but it can be done. If you do not count cards effectively, you are effectively paying for entertainment.
On a side note, I used to go to Oneida all the time, too. The ride by the prison on the way up kinda gave me a certain calm before entering. Good luck up there yyz. I hope you are lucky enough to beat the odds, I really do. Just please do not encourage more gamblers to have realistic hope of using blackjack as anything but paid entertainment. You are doing them a disservice by doing so.
