Matchup plays (1 unit unless stated):
Len Mattiace to beat John Daly -111 @
Boyle [2 units]
Daly surprised many with his top-10 finish last week - in seven previous starts this year, he had yet to finish in the top-50 of any event. But with a record of two missed cuts and a 51st position in his three previous visits over ten years, there seems little reason to expect another good week from him. Will easily side with a player who finished 2nd in the Masters earlier this month.
Steve Flesch to beat Robert Gamez -118 @
Easybets
Flesch has been in good form of late, securing three top-10 finishes in his last five starts. Still no top-5 positions so he continues to frustrate in terms of outright betting, but he is fairly dependable for matchups. With finishes of 2nd, 2nd and 6th from 1998 to 2000 on this course, this could be another close week. Not expecting so from Gamez who has missed the cut twice and finishes 74th on his only other visit to English Turn in ten years. He obviously avoids this course and with good reason, so is easily opposed.
Fred Funk to beat Robert Gamez -111 @
Ladbrokes
Opposing him with Funk who is not typically suited to Nicklaus-designed courses, but has made the cut in four of five visits and in all but one (of 12) starts in 2003. Looks set to grind his way to victory in this matchup.
Kirk Triplett to beat Harrison Frazar -125 @
BetInternet
Both players have a good history at English Turn. Frazar had three top-5 finishes from 1999 to 2001, while Triplett has three top-10s and only one missed cuts in his last ten visits, but Frazar's game is in disarray and Triplett's if firmly not. While Frazar has failed to finish in the top-60 in any of his last seven events, Triplett has had a succession of top-15s this season, including 2nd in the Bay Hill Invitational last month.
Charles Howell to beat Geoff Ogilvy -133 @
Easybets
There is a tempting case for Ogilvy in the outright markets this week - he has finished in the top-10 in his last two events and was 2nd last year, but Howell is simply the better player and should, on average, win this matchup many more times than not. He has finished 16th and 7th in this event without a round over par, whereas Ogilvy missed the cut in 2001 following a 2nd round 80. The Australian could have another great week, though he should need one to finish ahead of Howell.
