I just LOVE Tampa Bay,Just HUGE...

[scrubbo]

Here are a few reasons to bet Tb:
1)The public is on GB
2)Tb is a home dog in a division game.
3)GB has beaten Detroit, Washington and Carolina. Thats not exacly 3 superbowl contenders.
A few reasons to bet against TB:
1)Tb has no running game without Dunn.
2)Brad johnson sucks, he has no arm strength and can't throw a sharp "out" pattern.
3)Tb has looked lousy in beating Dallas and losing to Minn.

I suggest that Tampa should be a teaser play because they look very appetizing getting 9 points at home. Maybe tease it with an under 39.5 in the Raven vs. tenn game.

 

[prft]

NO>>>> just a Profit.....

 

[dr. freeze]

scrubbo?

what book are you at? TB a home dog?????

You gotta be kidding me. You are reading your lines wrong.

 

[spanky2]

I got Tampa in a bunch of 7 point Teasers and my number is +4.Freeze, I think someone just got their thought backwards,I get what he meant.So if G.B. is such a 'solid' how come the number at most places is still TAMPA-3??? I know it's a number 'they'hate to move off ,but with ALL this G.B. money,am I the only one laying it in on TAMPA??? Spanky.. Oh, I feel pretty good ,Mrs.Spanky asked me to bet Ten whole bucks on G.B. and she is the biggest 'mush' in the world!!!

 

[He Hate Me]

Originally posted by A1Capper:
I have a few different things that I looked at about this game, and the biggest standout was the fact that Tampa was only able to score 10 points on an AWFUL Dallas defense, and only 16 on an improved, but below average Minny defense.(and those were with Dunn). The Packers "D" should be able to control this offense especially without Dunn. Alstott has only 19 yards on 9 carries this year.
In my opinion, Tampa can not score enough points to keep up with the potent GB offense.
With this, I am Taking the points, and the better team. GB 3 units.

(I read this while capping the game and found it to be an interesting trend)

Including the playoffs, Packers QB Brett Favre is 14-4 in 19 career games (18 starts) vs. the Buccaneers, throwing for 4,394 yards, 32 touchdown passes and just 12 interceptions while being sacked 41 times.

Excellent post,

Green Bay will get the cheese

 

[marine]

spanky,
I will bet you a half dozen drinks at a nice bar down here that the packers cover the number here... game?

 

[Bubblehead]

some food for thought...

GB fits this - teams that start the season 3-0 straight up and 3-0 ATS are just 7-18-2 ATS on the road in game 4 and teams that allow less than 10 points in 3 consecutive games are 0-11 ATS on the road in their next game the last 21 years while allowing an average of 28 points in those games.

Tampa Bay is 19-3 ATS in home games when they are not favored by more than 4 points, including 10-0 ATS recently.

 

[husvus]

Bubblehead,

Thanks for posting this information...just solidifies my position on Green Bay. I'll just call it the "law of averages". Such high percentages favor a turn around.




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Hugh's Views

 

[fixed odds]

Here is the wadgerline.com Consensus


Wagers line


Green Bay 49 +2 Tampa Bay 21
Green Bay 138 +2.5 Tampa Bay 92
Green Bay 114 +3 Tampa Bay 62


Consensus
Green Bay 301 Tampa Bay 175

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I just want to be a Dime playa


[This message has been edited by fixed odds (edited 10-07-2001).]

[This message has been edited by fixed odds (edited 10-07-2001).]

 

[bryanz]

How can you bet big on a team that can't score? A team that hasn't looked good against to bad teams.Good luck but I think your crazy.

 

[Juice]

spanky,
I love your reasoning & I use the same principal when I bet my games. I just want to let you know that while I agree that Vegas doesn't usually make mistakes, they are not psychic.
Last week I thought that there must have been a reason why KC was only a 3 pt pick over Was. KC played tougher competition and was in every game that they lost. Was. on the other hand was embarrassed in its games. Also the public was all over KC. This game looked like a perfect setup. What happened...Was. was blown out & I lost my bet.
I agree with your pick (and will be on them myself), but just be careful not to put too much money on one game.

Good Luck

 

[spanky2]

Marine, Your on .But If I win I might only have 3 or4 ,I hate to hurt your feelings-HA> Dan,look in general disc.area under your "update on war'-I left a note for you,I lost your E-MAIL too .Good Luck..Spanky...

 

[spanky2]

Off to a nice start, so grabbing a little extra. Hey, you gotta make a move when you 'love' a game,nobody likes a coward(especially the way I've been talkin' this one up..Adding DALLAS-Same reason why I played WASH. Spanky...

 

[infinii]

grats spanky. way to stick to ur guns. I jumped on for a unit when line dropped to 2.5.

 

[Never Caught Up]

Way to go Spanky!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

[spanky2]

Thanks guys,I can use it..Got to go out to Hawaii and have a few drinks with 'The Marine".Iappreciate it and the Cowgirls covering up was a real nice pop too.Not one to toot my own,so I hope everybody had a nice day-Brinks is coming to my house tomorrow around noon..Thanks and Good Luck,even to the guys that were given me a hard time over my Tampa 'love'..Spanky...

 

[Brenda_go'colts]

Props to you Spanky, way to stick to your guns.

 

[Allnet]

Good bet, good play. It was a nail biter that ended up a winner

I nibbled the other way, but hit the teaser part with Gb, so all wasn't lost. GL

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"A group is better than any individual"

 

[Take Two ?]

TAMPA 14
Green Bay 10

Great game...!!!

 

[TIME TO MAKE $$$]

Congrats Spanky!

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SEPT 11, 2001. THE DAY THAT WILL NEVER BE FORGOTTEN.

R.I.P. TO ALL VICTIMS
We are in this together