Keep it up Crook, could be tough sledding the next couple days for overs, but already more than I thought.
I LOVE OVERS - EURO EDITION
- Thread starter Crookity
- Start date
Thanks Bason, and I agree it will be tough sledding on the Overs the next day or two. I am interested to see how things play out, as there are several teams playing that were very leaky in qualifying as per the chart FlapJack shared for us above. Using those metrics was profitable in the Macedonia/Austria game as both teams were amongst the worst defenders in qualifying and the game went over. Right now we got the Scots and Czech who are on the chart facing each other, nonetheless I didn't play it, but I am watching closely for possible live buy in.
I did get out in front of this one for later in the week.
UKRAINE/MACEDONIA OVER 2, 2.5 -115
opcorn2Started off the tourny with the nice sweep of the weekend selections, and hoping to keep it going. So far I got the Macedonia/Ukraine over, and I am adding this now:
ITALY/SWISS OVER 2, 2.5 +100
I like the way this sets up, Italy looked real nice in the opening match. The midfield looks strong as hell as expected, and it was wave, after wave of Italian attack. Italy is feeling real good about themselves. They need 2 more wins to match the all time National Team record for consecutive wins at 30! Italy put up 3 goals against Turkey to open things up, and they have now scored 7 goals the last 2 times out. Italy has put up 2 goals or more in 9 consecutive Internationals guys, I see no reason why they are not popping 2 on the Swiss on Thursday? The Swiss looked good in waves in the first half against Wales, with Embolo making powerful runs through the danger area. The Swiss have found the net in 16 of their last 17 Internationals. I think they could get one here, although the Azzuri haven't conceded a goal in forever, but a lot of those clean sheets are against minnows. I am looking for a 2-1, or 3-1 Italy win here. The over 2 currently sits at -140, it is a little rich for me right now. If for some reason this price drops a bit I will add for the security of a push incase this were to go 2-0 or 1-1. You can say I am starting a position, and will add accordingly.
ITALY/SWISS OVER 2, 2.5 +100
I like the way this sets up, Italy looked real nice in the opening match. The midfield looks strong as hell as expected, and it was wave, after wave of Italian attack. Italy is feeling real good about themselves. They need 2 more wins to match the all time National Team record for consecutive wins at 30! Italy put up 3 goals against Turkey to open things up, and they have now scored 7 goals the last 2 times out. Italy has put up 2 goals or more in 9 consecutive Internationals guys, I see no reason why they are not popping 2 on the Swiss on Thursday? The Swiss looked good in waves in the first half against Wales, with Embolo making powerful runs through the danger area. The Swiss have found the net in 16 of their last 17 Internationals. I think they could get one here, although the Azzuri haven't conceded a goal in forever, but a lot of those clean sheets are against minnows. I am looking for a 2-1, or 3-1 Italy win here. The over 2 currently sits at -140, it is a little rich for me right now. If for some reason this price drops a bit I will add for the security of a push incase this were to go 2-0 or 1-1. You can say I am starting a position, and will add accordingly.
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I don't think we are going to see the total of 2 move into the -120 range which would make me a buyer, the line is starting to rise. The o/u 2, 2.5 was +110 and now it is just about at -110. A huge wave of Italy money can juice this higher closer to game time , similar to what happened in the first game vs Turkey. As for today, it is Group of Death, and we get to see some elite squads play. These are tough ones to cap from a total perspective especially, as these teams are not going to want to drop any points. I have vested interest in the Portugal game as I nibbled some 8-1 on them to win it all along with the Italian 10-1 play. I will probably wait it out 1 more day, and watch these games for live buy in opportunities. Good luck to everyone, I love the Euros it has been a great first few days.
Fucking Bale. How do you do that on a penalty. I'm sure it won't affect the total.:0045
Guys I feel you on that kick WTF was that weak ass shit?!?!? Turkey was hyped by many, and these guys just lack finish. There were soooooo many chances in this game. I was about to come on here, and say we just got our ass robbed, and finally a 2nd goal came in. I feel fortunate to get the push, but this game had the tempo, pace, the chances, in the end we didn't get the last bounce needed. Let's get that Italy game, I got Italia tied to a few long parlays that are very live right now, so I hope they can win and bag a few in the process.
ITALIA !!! ITALIA !! ITALIA!!
:firing::firing::firing::firing::firing::firing::firing:
Getting the breaks for the most part, feel fortunate with that last goal but Italy deserved it. They were just coming with wave after wave of attack. I am very impressed with these guys , 9 clean sheets in a row. They are taking the opposition out of their game early and making these squads look very feeble.
They have looked awesome the last 2 games. Their movement out of the midfield and ability to get the ball into the final 3rd has been maybe the best I have every seen from them.
Yes that's why the saying goes "this ain't your fathers azzuri", they usually were lockdown , defensive stalwarts, now it's a group of young gunners who make you chase them all game long.
As for tomorrow here are my thoughts guys .
Ukraine /Macedonia Over 2, 2.5 posted earlier
I like this Ukraine team , they qualified for this tournament out of a very tough group. They have some top tier talent on this team and aren't scared of anyone let alone Macedonia. We already seen Yarmalenko pop one last game. They also have Malinovsky from Atalanta who is a very crafty player , with a lethal boot , and let's not forget Zinchenko from Man City. These guys got winning players , I think they eat tomorrow vs Macedonia. Ukraine is going to want to scoop 3 pts here after getting nothing from the first game. I am hoping for Ukraine to find me 2 if not 3 goals, and I think N Macedonia can chip in with one of their own.
Dutch/Austria Over
I think this is a scoring affair as well. I am going to play this over , just figuring how I want to do it. I cant see Netherlands not finding the net a few times here.
good luck today Crook..1st play of the tournry for me... Dutch 2nd half over 1.5....hey how bout them Habs stealing one on Vegas.I just wish they could pack 20000 in the Bell Centre Friday night instead of 3500...but you get what you get and you don't get upset:lol:
TT I wish you the best of luck as for the Habs fuck em that is all I will say about that here in Euro chat lol quite impressive but hope they lose haha. Where have you been man , been crushing overs all week. Ukraine might send another to the ticket window real soon.
ahhhhh the Ukranian boys get the job done! My Euro clean sheet remains intact, this has been a fun week. I played the same parlay yesterday as Bason Ukraine game over 2 / Dutch over 2 . I am still probably playing the Dutch game on its own, I am just going to wait a bit and see where the lines move the price.
I already have the 2 on the back end of the parlay with the Ukraine game. Nonetheless z I played this , a little more expensive than typical. I like the insurance of thr 2 on the Asian line.
NETHERLANDS/AUSTRIA OVER 2 , 2.5 , -145
If Belgium holds on I need Dutch to close a 7 gamer. I hope they bring the house!!!
NETHERLANDS/AUSTRIA OVER 2 , 2.5 , -145
If Belgium holds on I need Dutch to close a 7 gamer. I hope they bring the house!!!
