Ohhh you know it , we did some damage in Serie A last year. I already got a few circled. I am going to put my thoughts up for this week tomorrow or Tuesday when I got some time. I see some nice ones!
I LOVE OVERS VOL 2. 2021-2022 ...
- Thread starter Crookity
- Start date
Ohhh you know it , we did some damage in Serie A last year. I already got a few circled. I am going to put my thoughts up for this week tomorrow or Tuesday when I got some time. I see some nice ones!
Ummmm does someone know something I dont :nono:?? Line dumped to +105, and I've done digging and can see nothing that points to this. The asian line is 2,2.5 -125 now which is one juicy line, this makes no sense to me.
MATCH WEEK 2
Remained hot to start last week, and faded on the close, in the end it was basically a break even week. I felt good about the Sunday matches, and they both flopped. I am hoping to turn it around today. The line move on this PSV game has me really scratching my head, but what can you do. Here we go, all of these look nice to me. I will have some time tomorrow, and Friday to go into details on my thoughts.
EPL
*these are locked in*
ASTON VILLA/NEWCASTLE OVER 2.5 -138
LEEDS/EVERTON OVER 2.5/3 - 115
SOUTHAMPTON/MAN UTD OVER 2.5/3 - 130
SERIE A
* i got these games circled as over candidates *
ROMA/FIORENTINA OVER
EMPOLI/LAZIO OVER
NAPOLI/VENEZIA OVER
VERONA/SASS OVER
UCL
PSV/BENFICA OVER as posted above
Remained hot to start last week, and faded on the close, in the end it was basically a break even week. I felt good about the Sunday matches, and they both flopped. I am hoping to turn it around today. The line move on this PSV game has me really scratching my head, but what can you do. Here we go, all of these look nice to me. I will have some time tomorrow, and Friday to go into details on my thoughts.
EPL
*these are locked in*
ASTON VILLA/NEWCASTLE OVER 2.5 -138
LEEDS/EVERTON OVER 2.5/3 - 115
SOUTHAMPTON/MAN UTD OVER 2.5/3 - 130
SERIE A
* i got these games circled as over candidates *
ROMA/FIORENTINA OVER
EMPOLI/LAZIO OVER
NAPOLI/VENEZIA OVER
VERONA/SASS OVER
UCL
PSV/BENFICA OVER as posted above
yes I will be honest I played the over 2.5/3 when it was -133 and before I could post the line started getting away from me, its now like -250 or something so I didn't bother posting it. Ascuncion is in piss poor form, they have been getting drilled in their shitty domestic league by multiple goal margins for about 2 weeks now, and Flamengo beat them up at home 4-1 in the 1st leg of this match. Ascuncion has to go all out to have any hope of advancing, so you would think they will take risks going forward. Flamengo is in amazing form, outside of that loss to Internacional I believe they have won 10 of 11. I have been riding the Flamengo side and Overs for awhile. It should be noted that Covid19 has ran through a bit of the Flamengo camp, and there are 4 players including Bruno Henrique who is always around the net, that will miss this match. Also, the schedule is jam packed, and I don't know what happens if they go up a goal or 2 early. It is not in a team like this DNA to sit back, and go conservative once up a goal or two, but they have so many matches squeezed together they could pack it in?? Gabi comes back in after suspension and he is their leading scorer so that is good. But, I am reading there could be a semi rotated line up today. The line move doesn't seem to care about any of this as both the side+ asian line, and totals have been getting juiced like mad over the last 24 hours. I am pretty sure the entire Flamengo B squad could slap around this piss poor form Ascuncion squad. That is my take on this one, for what it is worth.
The biggest risk with having to play 3.5 is that Flamengo goes up early, crushes the tiny bit of hope the oppositoin had, and than come out and conservative in the 2nd half. It is not in their DNA to do that, but with the jammed schedule, and a clear path forward to the semis who knows what can happen? If Ascuncion gets an early goal this will fly over.
Flamengo scoring goals again , they went with a nice lineup and Bruni Henrique played, I had read he was in covid protocol. These Flamengo overs continue to cash. You have to jump on them early though to find the value, the bookmakers are catching on.
BRAZIL SERIE A
Flamengo/ CEARA OVER 2, 2.5 -133
As noted above you gotta play these flamengo lines early, this line is -225 now. I played this before the Copa game was over. The total of 2.5 offers a very reasonable -110.
For the price I paid I like the asian line. Flamengo has 2 games in hand , they need to win both it would put them very close to the top of the table .
In addition to the EPL plays I locked in Lazio over 2.5 -138 for now . Gonna dig on this sass over and will post in the morning .
Sass does not make the cut. Their manager bolted for Shakhtar , they lost their engine in the middle Locatelli and Berardi is not starting. I am taking a pass.
I have been super busy and havent had time to break these all down. Here is what I got right now
EPL - as posted above
VILLA /NEWCASTLE OVER 2.5 -138- I already made my affinity for Villa new attack known. I think they get 2 themselves. Newcastle looked promising going forward at times last game out. I can see them pitching in with a goal for us here.
EVERTON/LEEDS OVER 2.5/3 -115- money shading to the under which makes no sense to me. We all know Leeds likes to run. Everton has elite front end talent , and come in here after getting 3, I see atleast 3 goals in this one.
MAN UTD / SOUTHAMPTON OVER 2.5/3 -130- I see man utd lighting up score sheets often , I think they find 2 or 3 themselves here.
SERIE A
LAZIO/EMPOLI OVER 2.5 -138
Empoli was the highest scoring team in serie b. They have an insane home record as well. Lazio is not a defensive stalwart I see Empoli getting on the board. Lazio made a few additions and got Sari as the new coach. Looking for atleast 2-1 here.
ROMA/FIORENTINA over - will post my lines on this after, it goes tmrw.
Seeing what line I can possibly get in Napoli game .
BRAZIL SERIE A
FLAMENGO/CEARA OVER 2, 2.5
Let's make some cheddar !
I have been super busy and havent had time to break these all down. Here is what I got right now
EPL - as posted above
VILLA /NEWCASTLE OVER 2.5 -138- I already made my affinity for Villa new attack known. I think they get 2 themselves. Newcastle looked promising going forward at times last game out. I can see them pitching in with a goal for us here.
EVERTON/LEEDS OVER 2.5/3 -115- money shading to the under which makes no sense to me. We all know Leeds likes to run. Everton has elite front end talent , and come in here after getting 3, I see atleast 3 goals in this one.
MAN UTD / SOUTHAMPTON OVER 2.5/3 -130- I see man utd lighting up score sheets often , I think they find 2 or 3 themselves here.
SERIE A
LAZIO/EMPOLI OVER 2.5 -138
Empoli was the highest scoring team in serie b. They have an insane home record as well. Lazio is not a defensive stalwart I see Empoli getting on the board. Lazio made a few additions and got Sari as the new coach. Looking for atleast 2-1 here.
ROMA/FIORENTINA over - will post my lines on this after, it goes tmrw.
Seeing what line I can possibly get in Napoli game .
BRAZIL SERIE A
FLAMENGO/CEARA OVER 2, 2.5
Let's make some cheddar !
Got 2 in Leeds/everton... the villa game should of had a goal 5 minutes in Newcastle missed a breakaway wide open chip, and there have been a few others chances. I still think we see goals there. Both teams are trying to push the pace.
I love Ings he is a real 1st rate goal scorer, and gets somewhat overlooked. The guy is very consistent and always around the net , that goal was brilliant.
