I LOVE OVERS VOL 2. 2021-2022 ...
- Thread starter Crookity
- Start date
Looks like I need the net to pop in England
EVERTON/UNITED OVER 2.5 -110
SOUTHAMPTON/CHELSEA OVER 2.5 -105
2 weeks ago we won 8 or 9 in a row and give it all back , now we follow up the nice 4 in a row run by giving it all back this week, very frustrating. I will keep putting them out there proceed at your own risk , not getting the bounces lately.
SERIE A
EMPOLI/SPEZIA OVER 2.5 -125
SERIE A
EMPOLI/SPEZIA OVER 2.5 -125
agree
agree
you know when the italy genoa game goes over the total,,as they have been an under team,,some thing is wrong
agree
you know when the italy genoa game goes over the total,,as they have been an under team,,some thing is wrong
Europe is out of the way for the week, so I am jumping back in. Looking to rebound , and recoup last weeks losses. It has been awhile since I gave my thoughts on the action. I had some time this morning , and broke a few down. I will get to Italy next when time allows, and might add to EPL and Bundesliga as well.
EPL
SOUTHAMPTON/ARSENAL OVER 2.5 ? 110
I like the way this one adds up. Southampton comes into this game after playing the whipping boy to Chelsea in a 6-0 loss at home. They have been leaking goals at an alarming pace. Southampton has given up 2 goals or more in 5 of their last 6 games, including giving up 4 or more in 3 of those matches! Now Arsenal comes into town needing a win. The Gunners must win this match to stay in the hunt for Champions League, their rivals Tottenham are 3 points up and in super nice form at the moment. Arsenal has had their own problems lately, losing 2 big matches in a row and giving up 2 goals or more in 3 of their last 4. Offensively, both of these teams are top 10 in xG which ticks a box, Arsenal comes in 4th overall in the EPL, and Southampton is 8th. Arsenal is the 4th best scoring team on the road. With the Saints troubles at the back, and Arsenal?s commitment to getting all 3 points I think we see enough chances for a crack at 3 goals. I am banking on Arsenal coming correct in this game. I also think Southampton will be embarrassed by their trashing last time out. All we need is a 2-1 win to cash, I will take my chances.
WATFORD/BRENTFORD OVER 2, 2 ? - 115
The 2.5 line sits at +110 , I am not opposed to that , but I am coming off a losing week and like the cheap price on the Asian line as some insurance. Brentford has looked really dangerous since Erickson has been inserted into the line up. They have some nice attacking options up top with Tony, and Mbuemo. I have cashed plenty overs with the Bees this year. Of the bottom feeder clubs I have a soft spot for them. Brentford is in super nice form winning 4 of their last 5 games, and scoring 2 or more goals over that span. I watched the game vs West Ham and they looked super nice. Now they travel to Watford who are desperate for a win. There is a risk anytime you play a Watford over, their finishing ability is putrid at times. But, to me this game adds up for some action. Watford is a basement dweller, facing relegation, and pretty much need this win for even the slightest hope of staying up. They created a lot of chances last week, but just lacked the final finish. However, you can always count on them to be leaky at the back. Watford is 3rd worst in the EPL in goals conceded, they give up almost 2 goals per game. They are currently holding down the spot as the absolute worst team in the EPL at home as far as defense is concerned, giving up a whopping 2.47 goals per game in their own park! To compliment that we have Brentford coming to town who is the 7th worst in the league at goals conceded on the road, with over 1.6 goals per game being given up on their travels. The numbers tells me they are somewhat lucky to not hold a worse ranking as the Bees are actually 4th worst in xGA. Given Brentford hot recent form, and creativity with Erickson inserted into the lineup, coupled with Watford?s shitty defense and need to attack for a win, I will take the low hanging fruit and play the over.
BUNDESLIGA
BAYER LEVERKUSEN/RBL OVER 3 +105
This match up is between 2 teams that are really nice on the eyes. They are both stacked with offensive talent, and play up tempo, run and gun football. Leipzig is one of the hottest teams in Europe right now. They are coming into this one off a huge win on the road vs Atalanta, and if this was different circumstances I would think they might have a big let down. However, there is no time for RBL to feel good about themselves with Europa, as they are in a chase with Leverkusen for the Champions League positions. These teams are neck, and neck with only a point separating the two in the standings. These two squads are ranked 3rd and 4th in scoring avg 4.5 goals per game combined. Leverkusen is the 4th best home scoring team in the Bundesliga averaging 2.50 goals per game, and RBL compliments the matchup as the 4th best road scoring team at 1.81 goals per game. As good as Leverkusen is up top, they have their troubles at the back especially at home. Leverkusen at home is giving up 1.50 goals per game, and they are 5th worst in xGA at home so there are a lot of chances in their own end. There is so much firepower on the pitch in this game. Given their styles, the stats, the circumstances, I think we will see chances here.
EPL
SOUTHAMPTON/ARSENAL OVER 2.5 ? 110
I like the way this one adds up. Southampton comes into this game after playing the whipping boy to Chelsea in a 6-0 loss at home. They have been leaking goals at an alarming pace. Southampton has given up 2 goals or more in 5 of their last 6 games, including giving up 4 or more in 3 of those matches! Now Arsenal comes into town needing a win. The Gunners must win this match to stay in the hunt for Champions League, their rivals Tottenham are 3 points up and in super nice form at the moment. Arsenal has had their own problems lately, losing 2 big matches in a row and giving up 2 goals or more in 3 of their last 4. Offensively, both of these teams are top 10 in xG which ticks a box, Arsenal comes in 4th overall in the EPL, and Southampton is 8th. Arsenal is the 4th best scoring team on the road. With the Saints troubles at the back, and Arsenal?s commitment to getting all 3 points I think we see enough chances for a crack at 3 goals. I am banking on Arsenal coming correct in this game. I also think Southampton will be embarrassed by their trashing last time out. All we need is a 2-1 win to cash, I will take my chances.
WATFORD/BRENTFORD OVER 2, 2 ? - 115
The 2.5 line sits at +110 , I am not opposed to that , but I am coming off a losing week and like the cheap price on the Asian line as some insurance. Brentford has looked really dangerous since Erickson has been inserted into the line up. They have some nice attacking options up top with Tony, and Mbuemo. I have cashed plenty overs with the Bees this year. Of the bottom feeder clubs I have a soft spot for them. Brentford is in super nice form winning 4 of their last 5 games, and scoring 2 or more goals over that span. I watched the game vs West Ham and they looked super nice. Now they travel to Watford who are desperate for a win. There is a risk anytime you play a Watford over, their finishing ability is putrid at times. But, to me this game adds up for some action. Watford is a basement dweller, facing relegation, and pretty much need this win for even the slightest hope of staying up. They created a lot of chances last week, but just lacked the final finish. However, you can always count on them to be leaky at the back. Watford is 3rd worst in the EPL in goals conceded, they give up almost 2 goals per game. They are currently holding down the spot as the absolute worst team in the EPL at home as far as defense is concerned, giving up a whopping 2.47 goals per game in their own park! To compliment that we have Brentford coming to town who is the 7th worst in the league at goals conceded on the road, with over 1.6 goals per game being given up on their travels. The numbers tells me they are somewhat lucky to not hold a worse ranking as the Bees are actually 4th worst in xGA. Given Brentford hot recent form, and creativity with Erickson inserted into the lineup, coupled with Watford?s shitty defense and need to attack for a win, I will take the low hanging fruit and play the over.
BUNDESLIGA
BAYER LEVERKUSEN/RBL OVER 3 +105
This match up is between 2 teams that are really nice on the eyes. They are both stacked with offensive talent, and play up tempo, run and gun football. Leipzig is one of the hottest teams in Europe right now. They are coming into this one off a huge win on the road vs Atalanta, and if this was different circumstances I would think they might have a big let down. However, there is no time for RBL to feel good about themselves with Europa, as they are in a chase with Leverkusen for the Champions League positions. These teams are neck, and neck with only a point separating the two in the standings. These two squads are ranked 3rd and 4th in scoring avg 4.5 goals per game combined. Leverkusen is the 4th best home scoring team in the Bundesliga averaging 2.50 goals per game, and RBL compliments the matchup as the 4th best road scoring team at 1.81 goals per game. As good as Leverkusen is up top, they have their troubles at the back especially at home. Leverkusen at home is giving up 1.50 goals per game, and they are 5th worst in xGA at home so there are a lot of chances in their own end. There is so much firepower on the pitch in this game. Given their styles, the stats, the circumstances, I think we will see chances here.
Took a split yesterday , today got the German game above. The line came down , topped up at 2.5 -138. Fighting through the mud , waiting for another breakout. I been trying to stay away of the Asian line 2 , 2 1/2 and take the + money instead. My confidence isn't the best right now , so gonna pay for the insurance on these games below.
BUNDESLIGA
UNION/FRANKFURT OVER 2 , 2 1/2 -130
Union is a solid home team , and they could catch Frankfurt slipping after their big win mid week. This matchup has produced a ton of fireworks lately, lots of goals.
BRAZIL
FLAMENGO/SAO PAULO OVER 2, 2 1/2 -130
Flamengo hasn't gotten in the groove yet. They still average about 2 goals per game though , and they are at home so this line is low hanging to me. Sao Paulo has scored 2 goals or more in 4 of the last 5 , goals have been cracking in the recent matchups.
No worries buddy, I played that Tottenham/Brentford days ago. I like that one especially with Brentford scoring 2 or more in 5 of 6 and Tottenham coming off a shutout loss. They have scored 2 or more in 6 of 7 . We should see chances in this one.
back to Serie A
VERONA/SAMPDORIA OVER 2.5 - 138
ACM/LAZIO OVER 2.5 -110
What a shit show in England today, not a single goal scored on my plays :0002
