I LOVE OVERS VOL 2. 2021-2022 ...

Crookity

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Big 2nd half in the Roma game salvaged my weekend. I hit that one and Lazio harder than normal , but in the end it was another week of treading water, struggling to stay around .500. I am just waiting for the breakout. After all the games closed this weekend that Atalanta /Bologna goose egg yesterday ended up costing me a 7 gamer at 30-1:mj01:

I am looking forward for domestic leagues to start again in 2 weeks. At first glance I already have a bunch circled that look nice on the over , ACM/LAZIO, ROMA/SASS, SOUTHAMPTON/WEST HAM, BVB/LEVERKUSEN. I will watch these 3 and likely take a position at some point.
 

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EPL
MAN UTD/NEW CASTLE OVER 3 - 125
I played this when they announced Ronaldo going to Man U. It is now around -160. I would expect this to rise. United should put up 3 themselves at Ole Traford but they have looked like shit.

Also looking at Leeds/Liverpool line .
 

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Started playing Champions League already, these lines have started to move. I will put up specific thoughts later.

UCL

SPORTING LISBON/AJAX OVER 2.5 -110

MAN U/YOUNG BOYS OVER 2.5/3 -120
 

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More on these later , I am eagerly anticipating next weekend, and the week after with UCL. There are a ton of games I really like. Some of these are starting to move.

SERIE A
LAZIO/ACM OVER 2.5/3 -120

ROMA/SASS OVER 3 -135

EPL
SOUTHAMPTON/WEST HAM OVER 2.5/3 +100

BUNDESLIGA

DORTMUND/LEVERKUSEN OVER 3 -135
 

Crookity

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Big next few days on deck with Domestic Leagues picking back up in Europe, followed by Champions League and Europa League action. I hate the International breaks lol my weekend mornings just dont feel the same without 3 screens of football running. I put down my thoughts on these contests. There are a few others I am mulling over. I have some Europa stuff i will post this weekend when I get a chance.

SERIE A

LAZIO/ACM OVER 2.5/3 -120
I have been on the first 2 Lazio game overs, and I am not about to stop now. Both teams roll into this game in super nice form, with Lazio scoring 6 in their game against Spezia, and AC Milan popping 4 against Cagliari. I am surprised this line hasn't moved more to the Over, at one point in the last few days the money was hitting the under. I scratch my head at that one, this is an Auto over play the way things have been going. I also like to jump on an over streak with a team and ride it all the way to the bank. Lazio has been kind to me the last 2 times out, and I am going to stick with them. I am looking for at least 3 goals here combined, tons of attacking talent on the pitch in this match up.

ROMA/SASS OVER 3 -135

I always circle a matchup between these 2 squads, and this week will be no different. Roma has been scorching, and a joy to watch. They found the net 7 times in their 2 games to start the season. They rolled into the Serie A campaign in great form, and their offense has found the net 2 or more times in their last 5 games in all competitions. Sassuolo has their fair share of attacking talent, and I like my chances of them finding the net in this game. Sass got shutout in their last game, and found the net 3 times vs Hellas Verona. I am looking for something in the middle, the last time these 2 teams faced off it was a 2-2 tie. I can see a similar entertaining, close affair, with goal scoring, and enough chances for me to take a flyer on this contest.

EPL

SOUTHAMPTON/WEST HAM OVER 2.5/3 +100
I love what I have seen from West Ham to star the season. WHU has scored 10 goals in their last 3 games to start the season. They have also conceded in each contest, and have allowed 2 goals in 2 of their 3 games played. Southampton has both conceded and scored in all 3 of their games. I am looking for the Hammers to do most of the heavy lifting here, and Southampton is more than capable of notching a goal or 2 at home.


MAN UTD/NEW CASTLE OVER 3 - 125

Man U has looked pretty shit the last 2 times out, finding the net only once in both games vs Southampton and Wolverhampton. This weekend I am looking for the Man Utd that popped 5 against Leeds a few weeks ago at Old Trafford. Ronaldo makes his return to where it all started, the atmosphere is going to be electric to say the least. I like what I have seen in spurts from Newcastle. They were clean sheeted against Villa , and in a League Cup match a week ago, but scored 2 in their other EPL games. I think Manchester puts up 3 or more, and Newcastle chips in a contributing goal.

BUNDESLIGA

DORTMUND/LEVERKUSEN OVER 3 -135
When these 2 teams square off, I always take a look at the over. BVB has gone over 3 games in a row, they have both scored and conceded a goal in each contest. Leverkusen has been on fire, they come into this one off back to back 4 goal performances. I don't like going over totals of 3, and was fine with laying some lumber to get this line at 3. I think that is a more than reasonable ask between these 2 clubs.

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

SPORTING LISBON/AJAX OVER 2.5 -110
I jumped on this one early, and it is starting to move. Ajax is traditionally an offensive machine, their program develops amazing young talent. They have started off this year in similar fashion, and they are in pretty good form. The PSV pasting aside, Ajax has been quite proficient, they have scored 11 goals in their last 3 games. They have scored 4 goals or more in 3 of their last 5 games in all competitions. Going back to their pre-season games from July onwards, the scoresheet is littered with multi goal performances. I would expect Ajax to be around the net in this one, and get some chances. I am not going to lie and say I am an expert on Portuguese Domestic football, but I like what I see when reviewing Sporting's scorlines in the past month. They have scored 2 goals or more in 4 of their 5 games. I like the value in the line, Ajax can pop off at any moment, and Sporting is at home, and more than capable of doing some lifting themselves for the Over.

MAN U/YOUNG BOYS OVER 2.5/3 -120
I played this early because I anticipated that the lines would start to move, and they have. I am also looking for Manchester United to find the net a few times against Newcastle, which will probably drive this line up more from where it is currently. I caught some Young Boys Champions League Qualifying matches, and they have looked good. This team plays high scoring matches with consistency. Young Boys have found the net 3 or more times in 4 of their last 5 games. They play entertaining games, but their backline is leaky, and they have allowed a goal in 7 straight games. I think Man Utd, especially with Champions League form Ronaldo on the pitch are going to EAT. I don't think 3 goals is a lot to ask for in this match. Right now the 3 total is around even money, and I like it there as well.
 

Crookity

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Big next few days on deck with Domestic Leagues picking back up in Europe, followed by Champions League and Europa League action. I hate the International breaks lol my weekend mornings just dont feel the same without 3 screens of football running. I put down my thoughts on these contests. There are a few others I am mulling over. I have some Europa stuff i will post this weekend when I get a chance.

SERIE A

LAZIO/ACM OVER 2.5/3 -120
I have been on the first 2 Lazio game overs, and I am not about to stop now. Both teams roll into this game in super nice form, with Lazio scoring 6 in their game against Spezia, and AC Milan popping 4 against Cagliari. I am surprised this line hasn't moved more to the Over, at one point in the last few days the money was hitting the under. I scratch my head at that one, this is an Auto over play the way things have been going. I also like to jump on an over streak with a team and ride it all the way to the bank. Lazio has been kind to me the last 2 times out, and I am going to stick with them. I am looking for at least 3 goals here combined, tons of attacking talent on the pitch in this match up.

ROMA/SASS OVER 3 -135

I always circle a matchup between these 2 squads, and this week will be no different. Roma has been scorching, and a joy to watch. They found the net 7 times in their 2 games to start the season. They rolled into the Serie A campaign in great form, and their offense has found the net 2 or more times in their last 5 games in all competitions. Sassuolo has their fair share of attacking talent, and I like my chances of them finding the net in this game. Sass got shutout in their last game, and found the net 3 times vs Hellas Verona. I am looking for something in the middle, the last time these 2 teams faced off it was a 2-2 tie. I can see a similar entertaining, close affair, with goal scoring, and enough chances for me to take a flyer on this contest.

EPL

SOUTHAMPTON/WEST HAM OVER 2.5/3 +100
I love what I have seen from West Ham to star the season. WHU has scored 10 goals in their last 3 games to start the season. They have also conceded in each contest, and have allowed 2 goals in 2 of their 3 games played. Southampton has both conceded and scored in all 3 of their games. I am looking for the Hammers to do most of the heavy lifting here, and Southampton is more than capable of notching a goal or 2 at home.


MAN UTD/NEW CASTLE OVER 3 - 125

Man U has looked pretty shit the last 2 times out, finding the net only once in both games vs Southampton and Wolverhampton. This weekend I am looking for the Man Utd that popped 5 against Leeds a few weeks ago at Old Trafford. Ronaldo makes his return to where it all started, the atmosphere is going to be electric to say the least. I like what I have seen in spurts from Newcastle. They were clean sheeted against Villa , and in a League Cup match a week ago, but scored 2 in their other EPL games. I think Manchester puts up 3 or more, and Newcastle chips in a contributing goal.

BUNDESLIGA

DORTMUND/LEVERKUSEN OVER 3 -135
When these 2 teams square off, I always take a look at the over. BVB has gone over 3 games in a row, they have both scored and conceded a goal in each contest. Leverkusen has been on fire, they come into this one off back to back 4 goal performances. I don't like going over totals of 3, and was fine with laying some lumber to get this line at 3. I think that is a more than reasonable ask between these 2 clubs.

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

SPORTING LISBON/AJAX OVER 2.5 -110
I jumped on this one early, and it is starting to move. Ajax is traditionally an offensive machine, their program develops amazing young talent. They have started off this year in similar fashion, and they are in pretty good form. The PSV pasting aside, Ajax has been quite proficient, they have scored 11 goals in their last 3 games. They have scored 4 goals or more in 3 of their last 5 games in all competitions. Going back to their pre-season games from July onwards, the scoresheet is littered with multi goal performances. I would expect Ajax to be around the net in this one, and get some chances. I am not going to lie and say I am an expert on Portuguese Domestic football, but I like what I see when reviewing Sporting's scorlines in the past month. They have scored 2 goals or more in 4 of their 5 games. I like the value in the line, Ajax can pop off at any moment, and Sporting is at home, and more than capable of doing some lifting themselves for the Over.

MAN U/YOUNG BOYS OVER 2.5/3 -120
I played this early because I anticipated that the lines would start to move, and they have. I am also looking for Manchester United to find the net a few times against Newcastle, which will probably drive this line up more from where it is currently. I caught some Young Boys Champions League Qualifying matches, and they have looked good. This team plays high scoring matches with consistency. Young Boys have found the net 3 or more times in 4 of their last 5 games. They play entertaining games, but their backline is leaky, and they have allowed a goal in 7 straight games. I think Man Utd, especially with Champions League form Ronaldo on the pitch are going to EAT. I don't think 3 goals is a lot to ask for in this match. Right now the 3 total is around even money, and I like it there as well.

2 more

Leicester /man city. Over 2.5 -125

Napoli/juve over 2.5 -110
 

Crookity

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lazio let us down today :facepalm:

Kessie is usually pretty money from the spot, his miss at the end of the half cost us the bet. I was expecting both teams to score in this one. Milan played a solid game. They look really dangerous with Ibra back in there
 

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I hit roma flamengo over parlay :0074

NICE! Flamengo keep producing, I used them as well. I played it far in advance, and forgot to post and the line really got away from me so I didn't bother putting it up. These Flamengo lines steam like crazy most weeks, need to be a buyer early on. :0074
 

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Another week of treading water, after the first few weeks I am basically even , give or take a few bucks. I am waiting for the elusive hot streak to kick in. Hopefully some European Tournament action will help the cause :shrug:

I already posted a few UCL plays, and I will add on.

UCL

MAN UTD/YOUNG BOYS OVER 2.5/3 - 120

SPORTING LISBON/AJAX OVER 2.5 -110

BARCA/BAYERN OVER 3 - 138


EUROPA

LEVERKUSEN/FERENCVAROSI OVER 2.5/3 - 135

LAZIO/GALATASARY OVER 2.5 -135


I will try to get some more thoughts down on these in the coming days, and will add. I will be doing something with Flamengo as well, the gift that keeps on giving week after week.
 

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BRAZIL SERIE A
FLAMENGO/GREMIO OVER 2, 2.5 or 2.5

Flamengo has been on fire. They have been on a blistering road show scoring 11 goals in 3 games. They just pumped Gremio a few weeks ago on the road 4-0. Take your pick on the line 2.5 or Asian line. I don't get how week after week the oddsmakers offer these low totals with this team. It makes absolutely zero sense to me. Gremio sits near the basement and have a negative goal differential. Flamengo has 2 games in hand on Athletic Mineiros for 1st place the League. They need to keep winning to stay in striking distance of the top spot. Most weeks the Flamengo side and total get juiced large by game time. The asian line on the side looks super nice as well. I have to look into this further to see why the lines are where they are.
 

Crookity

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Another week of treading water, after the first few weeks I am basically even , give or take a few bucks. I am waiting for the elusive hot streak to kick in. Hopefully some European Tournament action will help the cause :shrug:

I already posted a few UCL plays, and I will add on.

UCL

MAN UTD/YOUNG BOYS OVER 2.5/3 - 120

SPORTING LISBON/AJAX OVER 2.5 -110

BARCA/BAYERN OVER 3 - 138


EUROPA

LEVERKUSEN/FERENCVAROSI OVER 2.5/3 - 135

LAZIO/GALATASARY OVER 2.5 -135


I will try to get some more thoughts down on these in the coming days, and will add. I will be doing something with Flamengo as well, the gift that keeps on giving week after week.

ADDING

UCL
INTER/MILAN OVER 2.5 -138

The Asian line is good value here as well. Both teams are in super nice goal.scoring form to start their respective domestic campaigns. Both teams lead their leagues in scoring. I see atleast 3 in this one.
 
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