it will get tougher guys

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Dec 27, 2003
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Things have been going so good a person thinks he's invinceable. Have won at least 2 dimes every week but the second where i lost 2800. and week 9 where i lost 7000. For the year +26,840. Nice so far but really almost identical to last year where i was up 18,900 and lost 2 out of the last 3 weeks.

so i'm writing to remind all you players to be real careful the next 3 weeks, due to resting players and standings positioning among the nfl teams. Last year dropped 5 dimes the last 3 weeks and this year i will not tease as many games as i have in the nfl since week 7. seems as the big spreads are upset or don't cover as much late in the year. Do any of you keep good enough records and can comment on these last 3 weeks of the season? I would like any input on trends that are high percentages the last weeks of the season.

Anyways i'm writing this so we all can be careful that this losing trend late does'nt happen again this year. Do you think the bowl games have anything to do with any of it? Maybe someone can give some good insight on late season games in the nfl, thanks! :)
 
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fletcher

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This is a very hard time of the year and the time a book loves more then any, lines are right on and people for some reason seem to go out a little more trying for the big holiday score and some play over their heads in bowl days where they might be home and tipped a few back which is a no-no do your work get your games in then if you drink ok to have some then. But you are right about teams that are in will try and rest people once home field is set so watch for that and look for the big numbers to start going down , they have covered the last few weeks but the better teams if they are not playing for home field and wrap up their spot will rest people, and teams that are out of it will play guys on the list who have not seen much time to see if they are going to be in camp next yer, older players contract up, they might even show case say a back and run run and run him , if they are looking to trade the back , so a team who might pass a lot who is out of it might turn into a run team or they other way might be checking ok qb's for next year or future or for trades so a team might pass the piss out of the ball. Just do you work and look for teams who are in to play against if high number and look in papers on the net talk shows for tips on teams that are out about if they might be useing a guy like I said, this time of the year a team out of it you can find info from a coach if they are going to do something like i said. I like to play more totals this time of the year.

good luck and you made some very very good points. be smart with the money and even more in ncaa and bowl games.

take care i won't be around as much till after holidays just won't have as many games out so won't have many left to give, will have some halftimes but it is the time of the year to work hard and be smart.

Eric
 
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good points eric, thanks. I think i will really pay attention to load up on some really bad weather games . Whats your take on the numbers on teams that need to win? is there any high angles on such that a person should study about home and needing to win versus away and needing to win, anybody?
 
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anything about teams that are playing out the string vs. team that need a win , percentages?
 
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