Round 4 play (2pts):
Shaun Micheel to beat Matt Jones +122 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
I don't understand why everyone (bar Extrabet) makes Jones such a large favourite in this match. He ranks outside the top-100 in final round scoring average (Micheel is 43rd), he admitted in his post-round interview that he didn't play particularly well yesterday, unlike the first two days, and he has the pressure of trying to at least finish in the top-5 to qualify for next week's British Open, only his 2nd Major. By contrast, Micheel only missed one green in regulation yesterday and ranks 2nd in greens in regulation this week. In fact, he ranks in the top-25 in driving distance, driving accuracy, greens in regulation, putting average and putts per round ... even including Stricker, whose driving has been indifferent, no-one else in this field has been in such control of all aspects of their game this week. And then there is the motivational angle: Micheel's mother is battling cancer and while she has been responding well to chemotherapy in the last couple of weeks, the family has some good news a few days ago when the insurance company confirmed that they would arrange for a CAT scan and a PET scan next week. Jones will have to play today;s round under pressure, whereas Micheel has other issues driving him to a good performance this week and I can't see him stumbling in the final round today.
[unofficial rd4 system play: Maggert tb Goydos +101]
