Off we go again - this pick was easy - Neal Lancaster - good course form, good current form - price should be around 40/1 - Sporting Odds go 80 (did go 100/1 but missed by a few seconds) nuff said
John Deere Classic
- Thread starter Ian
- Start date
The winner of last year's Buy.com-tour, Chad Campbell, has shown glimpses of form lately. Just the one top 10 this year but was an encouraging 12th in his last start. As low as 50/1 in places, Centrebet go 100/1.
Trevor Dodds har withdrawn. He is replaced by Cliff Kresge who was 3rd last week and is the leading money winner on the Buy.com Tour.
Sorry, Ian. But I fear we're a week to late anyway.
Found this on the John Deere website:
More changes: The John Deere Classic field continued to change Monday as five players withdrew from this week's event. Pulling out were Ian Leggatt ('02 Tucson Open champ), Chris Perry (a past B.C. Open champ), Brett Quigley (two-time Buy.Com champ), Heath Slocum (three-time Buy.Com winner), Glen Hnatiuk (four-time Buy.Com winner) and Jay Williamson (out of the field for the third time).
Found this on the John Deere website:
More changes: The John Deere Classic field continued to change Monday as five players withdrew from this week's event. Pulling out were Ian Leggatt ('02 Tucson Open champ), Chris Perry (a past B.C. Open champ), Brett Quigley (two-time Buy.Com champ), Heath Slocum (three-time Buy.Com winner), Glen Hnatiuk (four-time Buy.Com winner) and Jay Williamson (out of the field for the third time).
Beat me by a few seconds there Ian. Have to add one player from the top of the market. My pick is Kirk Triplett who was 8th in his last start. 15th and 2nd the two times this event has been staged on this course. Willhill go 33/1.
Robert Gamez 1EW 80/1 Sportingbet
Did the business for me last week when finishing placed at 80/1 in the BC Open. Add to that his recent 7th Greensboro and 9th St Jude and it is easy to overlook his poor course form when not playing as well. 80/1 is a bonus... expected less.
Cameron Beckman 1EW 50/1 William Hill
Won the Southern Farm on his last outing in 2001 to cap an excellent year. This year has 8 top 20's including 3rd Bob Hope, 6th Tucson & 8th Byron Nelson. Not been in quite as good a form recently but then that's why we can get 50/1.
Did the business for me last week when finishing placed at 80/1 in the BC Open. Add to that his recent 7th Greensboro and 9th St Jude and it is easy to overlook his poor course form when not playing as well. 80/1 is a bonus... expected less.
Cameron Beckman 1EW 50/1 William Hill
Won the Southern Farm on his last outing in 2001 to cap an excellent year. This year has 8 top 20's including 3rd Bob Hope, 6th Tucson & 8th Byron Nelson. Not been in quite as good a form recently but then that's why we can get 50/1.
I hate to put the kiss of death on us gang but I am in agreement also and not many to choose from @ oly so adding 2 place wagers there for 1/2 unit each.
Tripp 9/1
Beckman 11/1
Tripp 9/1
Beckman 11/1
three against the field...all 0.5 ew
Gow..80/1 (Victor Chandler)
Micheel..80/1 (Bet365)
Both with a good finish here each in the past and both close up last week. Generous prices..
Lowery..28/1 (Bet365) better course form that above, second last time out...
Gow..80/1 (Victor Chandler)
Micheel..80/1 (Bet365)
Both with a good finish here each in the past and both close up last week. Generous prices..
Lowery..28/1 (Bet365) better course form that above, second last time out...
Stan ames have their usual speciality markets and in the Top ROW - David Frost really is an e/w bet to nothing at 11/2 and the place money could well be sewn up by the weekend.
Outright plays (1 unit):
Kirk Triplett to win 28/1 e.w. @ Five Dimes (.5 units to win & .5 units to finish in top-5) among others
First two selections are players who did not play at Muirfield last week and will be very glad to have done so last Saturday. He comes into this event in some much improved form - after struggling to make cuts in April/May, Triplett has recorded twelve consecutive sub-par rounds and finished 8th last time out. More impressive though is his event form. He finished 3rd at Oakwood in 1999, 2nd in 2000 and recovered from a poor opening round to finish 15th last year.
Steve Lowery to win 28/1 e.w. @ Bet365, Five Dimes or Victor Chandler
Another player who rested last week and has good form in this event. In the last two years, he has finished 5th and 15th and in the process recorded the 2nd lowest score on this course behind Kirk Triplett. It was in July last year that he began a run of very high finishes, including 3rd in the PGA Championship, and following his 2nd place finish in Milwaukee two weeks ago after a long barren run, let's hope he repeats last year's summer form.
Chris Riley to win 33/1 e.w. @ Five Dimes or BetDirect
Couldn't resist one player who was in Scotland last week. Riley followed his top-5 finish in the Western Open with 22nd last week, including a closing 66. After showing good form in the first part of the season, he appears to have rediscovered it. Top-5 on this course two years ago and full of confidence, he should be able to overcome the Major letdown.
Kirk Triplett to win 28/1 e.w. @ Five Dimes (.5 units to win & .5 units to finish in top-5) among others
First two selections are players who did not play at Muirfield last week and will be very glad to have done so last Saturday. He comes into this event in some much improved form - after struggling to make cuts in April/May, Triplett has recorded twelve consecutive sub-par rounds and finished 8th last time out. More impressive though is his event form. He finished 3rd at Oakwood in 1999, 2nd in 2000 and recovered from a poor opening round to finish 15th last year.
Steve Lowery to win 28/1 e.w. @ Bet365, Five Dimes or Victor Chandler
Another player who rested last week and has good form in this event. In the last two years, he has finished 5th and 15th and in the process recorded the 2nd lowest score on this course behind Kirk Triplett. It was in July last year that he began a run of very high finishes, including 3rd in the PGA Championship, and following his 2nd place finish in Milwaukee two weeks ago after a long barren run, let's hope he repeats last year's summer form.
Chris Riley to win 33/1 e.w. @ Five Dimes or BetDirect
Couldn't resist one player who was in Scotland last week. Riley followed his top-5 finish in the Western Open with 22nd last week, including a closing 66. After showing good form in the first part of the season, he appears to have rediscovered it. Top-5 on this course two years ago and full of confidence, he should be able to overcome the Major letdown.
one 72 hole so far
Flesch -110 over Huston @ 5dimes
Lowery is 30/1 at $plays had to do a little unofficial win ticket on him as he cashed 2 weeks back and if firing with his aggressive nature could romp this field.
Flesch -110 over Huston @ 5dimes
Lowery is 30/1 at $plays had to do a little unofficial win ticket on him as he cashed 2 weeks back and if firing with his aggressive nature could romp this field.
Adding one more play on the John Deere - Hank Kuehne - has played in 2 PGA events this year finishing 23rd and then 19th last week (including a 63 in rd 2) - he is desperate to get a tour card and is similar in profile to last years winner Gossett, he has been playing on the Canadian tour and secured a win and 4 other top 5 finishes in his 10 starts - he could surprise a few people at 125/1 Sporting Odds.
can't find much in 72 holes to my liking however will add 2 @ wsex both @+115
Trip +115 over Funk
Lowery +115 over Howell
Trip +115 over Funk
Lowery +115 over Howell
After being in contention at The Open last week Duffy really is there to be beaten. There are quite a few whom I like this week.
Steve Jones also played in The Open but was never seriously in contention. Has a great record in this event albeit on the previous course. He is obviously a little bit risky but @ 80/1 with Bet 365 he is worth the risk. Others of note are Joel Edwards who has no course form but is starting to play to his best. David Frost really has to play well. I like Ians tip of backing him in the speciality markets with Stan James. Chad Campbell is another worth taking a risk on @ 80/1. Chad has not really been firing of late and the late tee-off tempers enthusiasm but like all betting the price is the deciding factor.
Steve Jones also played in The Open but was never seriously in contention. Has a great record in this event albeit on the previous course. He is obviously a little bit risky but @ 80/1 with Bet 365 he is worth the risk. Others of note are Joel Edwards who has no course form but is starting to play to his best. David Frost really has to play well. I like Ians tip of backing him in the speciality markets with Stan James. Chad Campbell is another worth taking a risk on @ 80/1. Chad has not really been firing of late and the late tee-off tempers enthusiasm but like all betting the price is the deciding factor.
John Deere Quad-Cities Ed McMahon Miller Lite Hardee's Classic Open
This classic has survived some near-death experiences. Less than 200 miles down the road from where I sit, and this is the first year the
event has caught my interest ahead of the start, including the 1996 appearance by Mr. Woods.
OUTRIGHTS for 0.20* e.w. @ 5dimes
Steve Lowery(28/1)
A solid commodity as a contender at this venue at this time opposing this crowd.
Bryce Molder(70/1)
An event that features first time winners. Molder seems rock solid to win titles when his time arrives in the not too distant future. While
his play this year exhibits plenty of feast or famine, he is hopefully off (last) and shining with Big Dog status on Thursday after a week that
included hanging out and showing off with course designer D.A. Weibring in the pre-tournament clinic and making connections with youths and the underprivileged. He seems the type. Plus, I don't recall his late Thursday starts, but he has come through well with some very late starts on Friday. And he can make birdies.
Briny Baird(42/1)
Solid pedigree. Likely to be maturing and building on his solid season to date. Decent odds.
Pat Perez(80/1)
It would seem as though this type of TPC terrain would be compatible enough with his game to make him a more serious threat than a fair number being given shorter odds.
AND
John Bland(18/1) for 0.25* @ Bet 365
Stanley gave him all the tipping he needs. Some meaningful tournament history and proven course form have to have added significance when a prestigious title is at stake at an eye popping venue. The best opportunity I'll be riding this week.
GL
This classic has survived some near-death experiences. Less than 200 miles down the road from where I sit, and this is the first year the
event has caught my interest ahead of the start, including the 1996 appearance by Mr. Woods.
OUTRIGHTS for 0.20* e.w. @ 5dimes
Steve Lowery(28/1)
A solid commodity as a contender at this venue at this time opposing this crowd.
Bryce Molder(70/1)
An event that features first time winners. Molder seems rock solid to win titles when his time arrives in the not too distant future. While
his play this year exhibits plenty of feast or famine, he is hopefully off (last) and shining with Big Dog status on Thursday after a week that
included hanging out and showing off with course designer D.A. Weibring in the pre-tournament clinic and making connections with youths and the underprivileged. He seems the type. Plus, I don't recall his late Thursday starts, but he has come through well with some very late starts on Friday. And he can make birdies.
Briny Baird(42/1)
Solid pedigree. Likely to be maturing and building on his solid season to date. Decent odds.
Pat Perez(80/1)
It would seem as though this type of TPC terrain would be compatible enough with his game to make him a more serious threat than a fair number being given shorter odds.
AND
John Bland(18/1) for 0.25* @ Bet 365
Stanley gave him all the tipping he needs. Some meaningful tournament history and proven course form have to have added significance when a prestigious title is at stake at an eye popping venue. The best opportunity I'll be riding this week.
GL
Hard to find much out there this week and a little leary on how those will play after flight back from across the creek,however will use a 3ball match @ 365 as a regular 1st rd play.
Frost +120 vs Byrd and Sauers
Frost +120 vs Byrd and Sauers
