Jord conference champion thread Saturday

EasyCovers

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In a game lined 3.5 that’s a 7 point game - and their D can’t get stops either, you are saying it doesn’t matter? Sure - maybe. It’s all about the odds. It will matter x% of the time and over 500 plays that is exactly the stuff that adds up. You play +EV stuff for those margins when all you are trying to do is get 55%. CLV doesn’t work a decent percentage of the time, but you need to get it long run.

So maybe. But so what.
obviously the fg% in all games matters, I was simply stating it for the Penn game. Not all the missed FGs you've experienced this year.
 

Jord20

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Both teams can do whatever they want on offense. This is a variance game and the points or plus money were valuable.

People will see what they want to see. Wheee oregon is fast, blah, blah. The margin right now has come down to a flukey pick 6 and a few shitty Penn St plays at ends of drives. Penn St. outgaining them 415-377.

Being able to watch this and understand that this is one result of many possible results for this combo is key to being able to win over the long term.
Thank you for saying that more eloquently than me.
 

Jord20

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Consolation prize is my ponies .5 to win 100x ticket is still alive it looks like. Looks like they are -2000 to make it now
 

rocketrubly

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Imagine having the ball 2nd and 1, on the 46. In 4 down territory the rest of the game.

Your averaging 10 yards per carry 😳

You are playing for a championship.

And you take a deep shot and throw an Interception 🤯

NO CHANCE IF I WAS COACHING ON THAT SIDELINE

Only way I'd lose if we didn't get the 2 point play.
 

Jord20

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Imagine having the ball 2nd and 1, on the 46. In 4 down territory the rest of the game.

Your averaging 10 yards per carry 😳

You are playing for a championship.

And you take a deep shot and throw an Interception 🤯

NO CHANCE IF I WAS COACHING ON THAT SIDELINE

Only way I'd lose if we didn't get the 2 point play.
Franklin and Sark did it again
 
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Slumdog

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Only 2% of bettors on fanduel withdrew more than they deposited since 2018. And the 2% have drastically had their limits reduced or stopped taking their action bc of the way they bet. So any player neeeds to put that in their pipe and smoke it or else this hobby of yours will smoke you.

People acting shocked when we get lit up betting on a game of chance is hilarious. Bet what you can spend. It’s a hobby and treat it as such. If you want to make money in sports betting open your own book. It’s the only way.
 
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bulldog

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Game between Clemson/smu is why you have a kicker who can put the ball deep in end zone.
Looked like the selection committee wanted Clemson as they got just about every call
On one kickoff in 3rd quarter they had 2 blocks in the back inside the 10 yard line and no call both were within 5 yards of the return. Started at the 28 instead of inside the 5 and of course they went and scored a td

Enjoyed today even if I lost my ass and can't wait for jords picks in the NFL.
Thanks jord for giving us picks as most of us do not have a clue how to cap games
 

Bombs

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Imagine having the ball 2nd and 1, on the 46. In 4 down territory the rest of the game.

Your averaging 10 yards per carry 😳

You are playing for a championship.

And you take a deep shot and throw an Interception 🤯

NO CHANCE IF I WAS COACHING ON THAT SIDELINE

Only way I'd lose if we didn't get the 2 point play.
Literally zero resistance and they quail it up to blow it. So brutal. I would bet that 100 times again.
 

Jord20

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Consolation prize is my ponies .5 to win 100x ticket is still alive it looks like. Looks like they are -2000 to make it now
Down to -500. Bama effect
Literally zero resistance and they quail it up to blow it. So brutal. I would bet that 100 times again.
100% Franklin pulled out the Sark plays at the end. Conservative when should be risky and vice versa. Throw when they should be running and vice versatility.
 

rocketrubly

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Only 2% of bettors on fanduel withdrew more than they deposited since 2018. And the 2% have drastically had their limits reduced or stopped taking their action bc of the way they bet. So any player neeeds to put that in their pipe and smoke it or else this hobby of yours will smoke you.

People acting shocked when we get lit up betting on a game of chance is hilarious. Bet what you can spend. It’s a hobby and treat it as such. If you want to make money in sports betting open your own book. It’s the only way.
If done right you can make $.

This is looking like the 1st year in 7 straight I will not be profitable on Football throughout the season.

Unless I have an unrealistic run to close.
 

Nole

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Absolutely impossible to make money in the long run. Is it possible to make a few bucks here and there? Of course. There’s not one soul on this earth that has made money in the long run. I could give 2 shits what anyone says.
 

Slumdog

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been doing this 40 years. The only people who made money were the bookies. Dont know any player that has made money betting for 40 years. lol. That’s a pipe dream. It’s impossible. Math doesn’t lie. Odds always favor the house and over time they never lose. It’s a fact and a reality. You can have a winning season. Or a winning Year. But in the long run the math/odds make it impossible to make a profit. It’s designed for players to lose and the gaming industry has the best and smartest mathematicians and data scientists to ensure they can’t lose over time.
 

rocketrubly

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been doing this 40 years. The only people who made money were the bookies. Dont know any player that has made money betting for 40 years. lol. That’s a pipe dream. It’s impossible. Math doesn’t lie. Odds always favor the house and over time they never lose. It’s a fact and a reality. You can have a winning season. Or a winning Year. But in the long run the math/odds make it impossible to make a profit. It’s designed for players to lose and the gaming industry has the best and smartest mathematicians and data scientists to ensure they can’t lose over time.
I will start posting next football season
 
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