I took Penn St on that -8.5 opener and may add. I like bama but feel like I missed the move. Michigan is trotting out total skeleton crew for that one.
Jord20 Bowls
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💯. The Thibs of the NFL. He had the perfect roster for this style. He’s refreshing in a lot of ways, but also think he’s been lucky and will flame out
I missed both. Story of my season. My accounts were in drawdowns, so i didn’t want to tie it all up early, and its cost me in like every game. Typical.
Louisville i put in and everyone decided to sit out like 2 days later. Hahaa
Super high quality analogy. He's just something totally different and the in game aggression is on the balance good but it's also coupled with no actual thinking. Sometimes he overdoes that too.
I think the thing he and others don't get with it is when you are a) winning or b) have the way better team you dont want to leverage a ton of the game into one fucking play. It's just a route for the other team to get back in the game.
Another way to think about this is if lets say you've got the better team and it is to your benefit to go for it on a basis of something like 80% to 77% win prob but the drop if you dont get it is like 60% then you are a moron to go for it there even if getting it would put you 90%. Just keep your high win probability and don't give the opponent the chance with a dice roll. That's what happened in the NFC championship game last year. They were beating them like an absolute drum, then he got all carried away, cracked open the door, and they imploded. It's not talked about enough. Big picture.
Yup. The consequences of being wrong. Someone can over you 80/20 on a coin flip. “Id take that every time!!” But what if the bet is death or $3MM - you don’t take the bet. Extreme example - but Same concept you mentioned here.
I lied. Played Purdy over yards and Goff under yards. Niners may care and Goff could get pulled.
Great spread, IMO
Great spread, IMO
It does appear the niners came to fuck with the Lions. I can't believe you would leave guys in but then again I must not understand football culture.
How do you feel about Louisville? Brohm puts big emphasis on bowl games. They've got a bunch of guys out, but it's still Washington, who was ass against the run which should be the cards main focus. I know you jumped on the -5.5, do you still like -1 now with the news as it's developed?
Bama -15/7.5 15/10
I tried to see a way Michigan could stay close - it will take a miracle. I wouldn’t be an afraid of this number even tho you missed it. They should rolllll. And usually start hot. If not, go live.
I tried to see a way Michigan could stay close - it will take a miracle. I wouldn’t be an afraid of this number even tho you missed it. They should rolllll. And usually start hot. If not, go live.
I see this game like the bama/lsu game. I thing Bama scores early and often and all day.
Boomer are you playing Bama team points over and do you thin k Jalen will play the entire game?
Jord, I follow you a lot but not on everything. Really appreciate your plays esp the last 2-3 years. I try to keep quiet about conspiracy stuff (not always of course lol) so all I can say is that the last few weeks even more than the last year or so....it just seems like we might as well flip a coin on every game. I could write pages and pages of what I see each and every week. Guys taking bad angles, whiffing on easy tackles....coaches making awful decisions, refs and their calls and no-calls.
And now more than ever, teams get up big and then forget how to play football. Rutgers up 17 and loses. I got the side but also had the moneyline. Oklahoma scores on first 2 touchdowns and then can't do anything....then goes for 2 in a game that overtime clearly favored them to get us to the line before kickoff of +1. So many others and it's like, should I hedge and give money away or not hedge and possibly lose w such a commanding lead?
East Carolina? I had ECU +8 and ML so I won both but.....how do you give up an 86-yard RUN when you have the lead w less than 2 mins to go? Similar to what I lost on weeks ago when UNC couldn't stop a 70-yard touchdown RUN w 16 seconds left in a tie game. It's absurd. No pursuit angles at all? Even the 95 yard run by Navy QB is absurd but at least it didn't happen as a game winner.
I'm just beside myself. All the NIL, portal, in-game betting, money-money-money....it looks like we're watching Disney produce a lot of these games. Imagine betting against the Titans and losing on a 75-yard reverse on the last play of the game when the other team has the best high school coach in the state. That's what it feels like. Hell, even the announcers often use the word "script" as if they're telling us. But, I digress.
About to make my bets for the day and hope on the right side of Hollywood lol. Good luck to you and everyone. Bama should win by 40 but who the hell knows. I took Mich +20 and the ML against Ohio State and then watched some of the worst coaching ever and 2 chip shot field goals also missed and Mich won. I'm gonna give the points and take Bama but it could go either way and they'd just say oh wow Michigan was fired up and Bama wanted to be in playoff and didn't care etc. I've rambled enough though. Bama -16
And now more than ever, teams get up big and then forget how to play football. Rutgers up 17 and loses. I got the side but also had the moneyline. Oklahoma scores on first 2 touchdowns and then can't do anything....then goes for 2 in a game that overtime clearly favored them to get us to the line before kickoff of +1. So many others and it's like, should I hedge and give money away or not hedge and possibly lose w such a commanding lead?
East Carolina? I had ECU +8 and ML so I won both but.....how do you give up an 86-yard RUN when you have the lead w less than 2 mins to go? Similar to what I lost on weeks ago when UNC couldn't stop a 70-yard touchdown RUN w 16 seconds left in a tie game. It's absurd. No pursuit angles at all? Even the 95 yard run by Navy QB is absurd but at least it didn't happen as a game winner.
I'm just beside myself. All the NIL, portal, in-game betting, money-money-money....it looks like we're watching Disney produce a lot of these games. Imagine betting against the Titans and losing on a 75-yard reverse on the last play of the game when the other team has the best high school coach in the state. That's what it feels like. Hell, even the announcers often use the word "script" as if they're telling us. But, I digress.
About to make my bets for the day and hope on the right side of Hollywood lol. Good luck to you and everyone. Bama should win by 40 but who the hell knows. I took Mich +20 and the ML against Ohio State and then watched some of the worst coaching ever and 2 chip shot field goals also missed and Mich won. I'm gonna give the points and take Bama but it could go either way and they'd just say oh wow Michigan was fired up and Bama wanted to be in playoff and didn't care etc. I've rambled enough though. Bama -16
Hey - missed this. Was trying to find more info, but man Louisville had absolutely worse case scenario for guys not playing. Unfortunately my big play was -5. Hoping these backups can play - at least the qb. I LOVED this matchup , but oh well this is the new bowl season.
I will probably add Ville st plus here. Maybe it gets to 3
