LETS GO OVER
- Thread starter Crookity
- Start date
I was sitting here thinking im looking at being down 6 in a row, and just caught 2 late goals in the 90th + minute, I feel blessed, what a rush, I love this ahhaa. I hope ROMA/SHAK go off and pump some early ones.
whacky , but profitable day. It was looking real dark at one point, but the over gods were with me today!
Let's see if those late lucky bounces gives some momentum for the weekend.
SERIE A
ATALANTA/SPEZIA OVER 3 -105
In a rush, gut play, Atalanta has Champions League next week which is dangerous. The last meeting with 0-0 between these two, but I can easily see 3+ goals. Spezia likes to run and play free, just like Atalanta. If they start going up and down the pitch this will go over nicely.
SERIE A
ATALANTA/SPEZIA OVER 3 -105
In a rush, gut play, Atalanta has Champions League next week which is dangerous. The last meeting with 0-0 between these two, but I can easily see 3+ goals. Spezia likes to run and play free, just like Atalanta. If they start going up and down the pitch this will go over nicely.
Ya that one was easy, I was eyeing that for a bit. I was on the fence with it, and then the line got away from me overnight. Hopefully we can see a nice high scoring affair this afternoon.
It took them about 50 minutes to wake up, but wow it doesn't take much for Atalanta to turn it on. After dropping those 4 in a row last week, I have started taking cash from games with consistency again. I won't lie, I am not crazy about the card this weekend. I do have a few circled, I should have a play or two up soon.
I found one that ticks the boxes for me, off we go to Germany.
BUNDESLIGA
DORTMUND/HERTHA OVER 2.5/3 -110
The line has come down overnight. I don't want to get too greedy but the over 3 is + money. BvB have scored 2 or more in 6 of their last 7 in all competitions. They are ranked 2nd in Bundesliga in scoring. Hertha has one of the worst defensive records in the league. As far as the bottom dwellers go their offensive output is decent. Hertha average over a 1 goal a game and come into this 10th in shots and shots on target. I think they can add one. The way Haaland is playing he can probably carry this himself lol. Last meeting was a 5-2 bvb win, I like atleast 3 in this one, and as Bob Barker would say, the price is right!
opcorn2
BUNDESLIGA
DORTMUND/HERTHA OVER 2.5/3 -110
The line has come down overnight. I don't want to get too greedy but the over 3 is + money. BvB have scored 2 or more in 6 of their last 7 in all competitions. They are ranked 2nd in Bundesliga in scoring. Hertha has one of the worst defensive records in the league. As far as the bottom dwellers go their offensive output is decent. Hertha average over a 1 goal a game and come into this 10th in shots and shots on target. I think they can add one. The way Haaland is playing he can probably carry this himself lol. Last meeting was a 5-2 bvb win, I like atleast 3 in this one, and as Bob Barker would say, the price is right!
opcorn2Ughhhh gut says take Chelsea/LEEDS over , I just can't do it. Leeds has gutted me too many times this year, I still have a scab from the last fuck job they did on me . Chelsea has only.given up 2 goals in I believe their last 11 and have UCL on deck, but I think they rake goals today. I am almost talking myself into a play here but I can't do it lol maybe I'll put them in my weekly parlay.
Wow glad I stayed away from that Chelsea total geez. The Dortmund game missed 3 goals by inches, several times, a few posts. What can I say, I would play it exactly the same way if I had to do it over again. I have started incorporating more half time plays, going over 1.5 in the 2nd half on some of these low scoring first halves. I have been quite successful, I will start posting them when I am able. I will be back later with a play or two for tomorrow.
Serie A has been my cup of tea lately, but I am going back into Germany tomorrow. I like this one.
BUNDESLIGA
RBL/FRANKFURT OVER 2.5/3 -115
Both of these teams are in nice form, Red Bull has won 6 in a row in the league, and Frankfurt has only dropped 1 game in their last 5. Outside of their 2 games to Liverpool in UCL, RBL has scored 2 or more goals in their 7 games against German competition. A closer look shows them finding the net 3 times or more in 5 of their last 7 in Germany! From an analytics standpoint this sets up for lots of offensive chances as they are both in the top 5 of shots, shots on target, goals, crosses. The two teams average almost 4 goals per game, I like the value in the line. This is an auto play for me when I see how it matches up. I can see a 2-1 , or 2-2 game.
I think I have some going in Serie A, I will post when I can.
BUNDESLIGA
RBL/FRANKFURT OVER 2.5/3 -115
Both of these teams are in nice form, Red Bull has won 6 in a row in the league, and Frankfurt has only dropped 1 game in their last 5. Outside of their 2 games to Liverpool in UCL, RBL has scored 2 or more goals in their 7 games against German competition. A closer look shows them finding the net 3 times or more in 5 of their last 7 in Germany! From an analytics standpoint this sets up for lots of offensive chances as they are both in the top 5 of shots, shots on target, goals, crosses. The two teams average almost 4 goals per game, I like the value in the line. This is an auto play for me when I see how it matches up. I can see a 2-1 , or 2-2 game.
I think I have some going in Serie A, I will post when I can.
SERIE A
ROMA/PARMA OVER 2.5 -138
SERIE A
TORINO/INTER OVER 2.5 -150
AC MILAN/NAPOLI OVER 2 5 -138
Ya the second half overs on these scoreless half times have saved me. Fell a goal short in roma and RBL, dammit. Wouldn't change a thing both of those games could have easily went over. Very frustrating this past week with all these narrow misses.
Ya Milan has run out of gas, I have watched them a lot this year, and the last few times out they have lacked in the final 3rd. The Napoli/Milan game had great tempo, they were flying at some points, but neither team was precise when it mattered. Pretty shitty week for me, some unposted 2nd half plays saved me. For the most part though I wouldn't change much, a lot of these narrow misses played out exactly how I thought they would as far as chances, tempto is concerned. This week will offer plenty of opportunities, I did a quick glance at Serie A and saw a bunch that I like. I have to dig into the rest, there is a lot.
