LETS GO OVER

[Crookity]

Well things are headed in the right direction, I have been hitting at a nice clip since the return to action. I have the day off today, and I got some time for a write up. I will start putting out the plays as I log them. I am 38 years old, I have wagered on Sports since I was 12, and there is an old adage that I live by, "DONT RELY ON SHIT TEAMS TO WIN YOU MONEY" , for the most part I live by this in sports where sides are at play. Sometimes you need a goal from a shit team to put you over the hump.

This is a hold your nose, stinker play, not only am I relying on 1 shit team, I am going to rely on 2 shit teams. But I will show you guys why I come to this conclusion.

SERIE A
SPEZIA/ CROTONE OVER 2.5/3 -115
Let's start with Crotone, they are god awful. But, they have been giving up goals, and scoring at an alarming rate. Here are the outcomes of their past few games 4-3, 3-2, 3-2, 4-2, 5-1, they have given up 17 goals in their last 5 games!!! We can't ignore that in all but one of those games they scored multiple goals. Granted, they played some top teams over that stretch, but the amount of goals against is eye opening nonetheless. On the other side 7 of the last 8 Spezia games have had atleast 3 goals, they have a ton of games recently where multiple goals were let in. Crotone absolutely has to win this game to have any chance of staying up, they are in the basement. Spezia will see this as a rare game they can take away a W. As a result, I think both teams come in here fighting hard for a win, and given recent results I think there is value in getting some goals.

Good luck

 

[Palmetto Pimp]

:0074

 

[Crookity]

Well things are headed in the right direction, I have been hitting at a nice clip since the return to action. I have the day off today, and I got some time for a write up. I will start putting out the plays as I log them. I am 38 years old, I have wagered on Sports since I was 12, and there is an old adage that I live by, "DONT RELY ON SHIT TEAMS TO WIN YOU MONEY" , for the most part I live by this in sports where sides are at play. Sometimes you need a goal from a shit team to put you over the hump.

This is a hold your nose, stinker play, not only am I relying on 1 shit team, I am going to rely on 2 shit teams. But I will show you guys why I come to this conclusion.

SERIE A
SPEZIA/ CROTONE OVER 2.5/3 -115
Let's start with Crotone, they are god awful. But, they have been giving up goals, and scoring at an alarming rate. Here are the outcomes of their past few games 4-3, 3-2, 3-2, 4-2, 5-1, they have given up 17 goals in their last 5 games!!! We can't ignore that in all but one of those games they scored multiple goals. Granted, they played some top teams over that stretch, but the amount of goals against is eye opening nonetheless. On the other side 7 of the last 8 Spezia games have had atleast 3 goals, they have a ton of games recently where multiple goals were let in. Crotone absolutely has to win this game to have any chance of staying up, they are in the basement. Spezia will see this as a rare game they can take away a W. As a result, I think both teams come in here fighting hard for a win, and given recent results I think there is value in getting some goals.

Good luck

That played out just as planned! Wow, things are getting fun on this side, really heating up opcorn2

 

[Crookity]

I may as well put these out for mid week, some of them have already started to move.

EUROPA
AJAX/ROMA OVER 3 -110


CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
REAL MADRID/LIVERPOOL OVER 2.5 -138

DORTMUND/MAN CITY OVER 2.5 /3 - 135

 

[Crookity]

:0074

:toast:

 

[Crookity]

SERIE A

PARMA/AC MILAN OVER 2.5/3 -115

Parma has been finding the net lately, they have scored in their last 8 contests, and they scored at least 2 in 5 of those games. ACM has really cooled off, but they were banged up for a good month. They still average nearly 2 goals a game, and are 5th in the league in scoring. The line up today looks strong, they are have a bunch of guys back. Milan must win this game if they want to be in Champions League next year, I think we see a good effort from them. The last contest was a 2-2 draw, I think we see some action here, enough to give the over a good shot.

 

[Crookity]

SERIE A

PARMA/AC MILAN OVER 2.5/3 -115

Parma has been finding the net lately, they have scored in their last 8 contests, and they scored at least 2 in 5 of those games. ACM has really cooled off, but they were banged up for a good month. They still average nearly 2 goals a game, and are 5th in the league in scoring. The line up today looks strong, they are have a bunch of guys back. Milan must win this game if they want to be in Champions League next year, I think we see a good effort from them. The last contest was a 2-2 draw, I think we see some action here, enough to give the over a good shot.

BOOOM late goal puts us over, chalk up another winner. I am feeling in the zone right now :bigun:.

 

[Crookity]

here is another one I forgot I played earlier.

BUNDESLIGA (MONDAY)

HOFFENHEIM/BAYERN LEVERKUSEN OVER 2.5/3 - 130

 

[johnnyb]

SERIE A

PARMA/AC MILAN OVER 2.5/3 -115

Parma has been finding the net lately, they have scored in their last 8 contests, and they scored at least 2 in 5 of those games. ACM has really cooled off, but they were banged up for a good month. They still average nearly 2 goals a game, and are 5th in the league in scoring. The line up today looks strong, they are have a bunch of guys back. Milan must win this game if they want to be in Champions League next year, I think we see a good effort from them. The last contest was a 2-2 draw, I think we see some action here, enough to give the over a good shot.

Hell of a run. Thx for posting as always. I tailed ya on this one


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro

 

[Crookity]

Hell of a run. Thx for posting as always. I tailed ya on this one


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro

Good to see some people cashing in on this run.

Italy has been so kind to me wow, but I am going to England tomorrow morning. This line below stood out when I saw it, I will try to write this one up in the morning.


EPL
WEST HAM /LECEISTER, OVER 2.5 +100

 

[Crookity]

Good to see some people cashing in on this run.

Italy has been so kind to me wow, but I am going to England tomorrow morning. This line below stood out when I saw it, I will try to write this one up in the morning.


EPL
WEST HAM /LECEISTER, OVER 2.5 +100

I haven't dipped my toes into England since the return from International break. I have been riding the Serie A overs, but this one shapes up decent. Both of these teams are going to be gunning for a win, with huge Champions League implications in this one. These teams have decent metrics as far as putting the ball on net, they are both in the top 10 in shots on target. These squads avg a combined 3.4 goals per contest. WHU have been super efficient up front, They have scored 2 goals or more 5 of their last 7 games, they popped 3 goals in 3 of those games! Despite getting blanked their last time out Leicester has scored 10 goals in their last 4 contests. This line was +100 yesterday, and it creeped up to -110, the both teams to score line has been juicing up as well. I just think there is value here with this line. Given the offensive metrics, and the fact that both teams will be looking for a clear 3 points, I will give it a shot.

I should have another play or two up in Serie A.

 

[Crookity]

I haven't dipped my toes into England since the return from International break. I have been riding the Serie A overs, but this one shapes up decent. Both of these teams are going to be gunning for a win, with huge Champions League implications in this one. These teams have decent metrics as far as putting the ball on net, they are both in the top 10 in shots on target. These squads avg a combined 3.4 goals per contest. WHU have been super efficient up front, They have scored 2 goals or more 5 of their last 7 games, they popped 3 goals in 3 of those games! Despite getting blanked their last time out Leicester has scored 10 goals in their last 4 contests. This line was +100 yesterday, and it creeped up to -110, the both teams to score line has been juicing up as well. I just think there is value here with this line. Given the offensive metrics, and the fact that both teams will be looking for a clear 3 points, I will give it a shot.

I should have another play or two up in Serie A.

Interestingly the BTTS line just ticked up to -143 and the o/u dumped back to +100. The lowest odds on predict a score is now 1-1 so the fortune tellers see this likely going 1-1 lol . The Asian line is offering a decent price if you want some protection 2, 2.5 is -125 now.

 

[tt boy]

nice job staying away from Inter this morning..still 0-0 with under 15' left

 

[Crookity]

nice job staying away from Inter this morning..still 0-0 with under 15' left

I was on the fence , I'm in the zone right now and trying not to press. I am laser focused lol

 

[Crookity]

I am looking at this Roma/Bologna Over. Roma is so banged up, and they have a big game in Europa this week. I want to see who they put out there today before I confirm it.

 

[Crookity]

wow Lingardinho LOL this guy is on fire!!!! Insane the rebirth of this guy since being loaned to West Ham, he is in phenomenal form.

 

[Crookity]

wow Lingardinho LOL this guy is on fire!!!! Insane the rebirth of this guy since being loaned to West Ham, he is in phenomenal form.

LOOL AGAIN LINGARDINHOOOOOOOOOOOOO

 

[Crookity]

I haven't dipped my toes into England since the return from International break. I have been riding the Serie A overs, but this one shapes up decent. Both of these teams are going to be gunning for a win, with huge Champions League implications in this one. These teams have decent metrics as far as putting the ball on net, they are both in the top 10 in shots on target. These squads avg a combined 3.4 goals per contest. WHU have been super efficient up front, They have scored 2 goals or more 5 of their last 7 games, they popped 3 goals in 3 of those games! Despite getting blanked their last time out Leicester has scored 10 goals in their last 4 contests. This line was +100 yesterday, and it creeped up to -110, the both teams to score line has been juicing up as well. I just think there is value here with this line. Given the offensive metrics, and the fact that both teams will be looking for a clear 3 points, I will give it a shot.

I should have another play or two up in Serie A.

:0071:0071:0071:0071:0071

 

[Crookity]

I am looking at this Roma/Bologna Over. Roma is so banged up, and they have a big game in Europa this week. I want to see who they put out there today before I confirm it.

I am passing on this game. I don't like the Roma line up, it is a heavily rotated side. They are deep, but clearly they are holding out some guys for the 2nd leg of Europa mid week. I was expecting Dzeko and Mikhtariyan to play, but they are both out. I am locked in right now, and trying to not to force any plays.

 

[Crookity]

SERIE A

ATALANTA/FIORENTINA OVER 2.5/3 - 115

This bet really comes down to Atalanta. I love this team! When they are motivated, and in form they are one of the best in all of Europe, and so entertaining to watch. Atalanta comes into this having scored 9 times in their last 4 games, there were a few 3 goal tallies in there. Atalanta needs to win this game for Champions League implications, so I would expect them to bring their best effort. Fiorentina doesn't have much to offer. We may need a goal from them though. Fiorentina has scored in 7 of their last 8 games, and Atalant is hardly known for their defensive prowness. My gut tells me Atalanta comes to play in which case we could see 3 goals from them alone. I see value here in the price, I am taking this one Over, and putting this nice streak on the line again.