Ok Sunday is here. Let’s play.
Titans +6/3.5 8/4 is the Kingsbury offense having late season sputters again? is Daniels hurt?! The offense looks off. Maybe defenses have caught up. Their backs are beat up. The line has some half injuries. The magic seems gone - and i love Daniels. 3 straight losses. The 3 wins before that were Giants, Carolina, and the Hail Mary that beat the Bears. So, they haven’t won by more than 6 in 7 weeks now. It’s a lot to ask here against a lively Titans team that seems to have found something. That win at Houston was not fluky - they dominated. Levis is a roller coaster, but the good side been peeking out more and more. He’s performing decent vs a bunch of tough defenses. Their own defense is playing well. While this isn’t the best spot given last week’s results, i still think the market is overvaluing Commies, and underrating Titans. Tits are live today, boys. Anything over 3 is a buy here for me. 6 is nice.
Hotlanta +1.5/.5 6/4 great spot for the falcons. The big Harbowl game disappointment for the Chargers with the Chiefs on deck. Falcons off a bye and the blasting by the Broncos. I love Herbert. Love him. But Atlanta has a bunch of guys back on D. Their offense is getting healthier. But injury concern is the concern here. This offense can hum in the right conditions. I think they can give Cousins some time, and he can cook. I was hoping for 3 here, but really think Atlanta wins here. Chargers been surprising, but when i look deeper, they aren’t as impressive as i thought. Dobbins been dynamic, but doesn’t look like he’s going to go. Again i think you have a nice buy low, sell still high matchup here. Tough to feel too good here, but i think its the right side.
Bengals -3/1.5 10/5 will bomb again 2h if losing at half. I love this one. You all know how i feel about the Steelers. I’m not buying Russ or this offense. Their 3rd and 4th down success has been a bit lucky to me. Should regress. Even their defense has been a bit lucky to me. Bengals have lost so many winnable games this year. They aren’t done. Pitt won’t be able to keep up. Cincy just scores so much easier. Joe missed a couple late throws last week. Chase will cook as usual. Prolly some team totals over too. Again - we have a perception discrepancy here, and i think they are both overdone.
Jags +4/2.5 6/4 i think Trevor is in. I’m not done with Jax yet. I think we go overs here too def game - maybe jags too. I will be quick here - i think Texans are still overvalued. Their defense has a ton of holes. The team hasn’t been impressive for 6 straight games. On the other side, outside of the lions debacle, jags have been decent in all recent games. This is a good spot for the Jags O to get healthy and sneak in a win and get some MO for the back few weeks of the season.
Jets pk/pk 7/4 pof course i love the Jets again today. Like above, i don’t think they will give up. They are capable. I think this is a good game for Jets D to get in a grinder and give Rodgers a chance to win it. He will. Seattle O looks better, but they bog down in the red zone often. I don’t trust Geno. People are throwing in towel on Jets. More times than not in this league, the teams don’t quit and show life. With this roster, i think it’s likely. To me, a game you have to take the home team with some pride against a mid level team. Don’t be afraid of the recent disasters. Mini Jets breakout
Ok too tired for more. Going to sleep for a couple hours before games.
Pats +3/1 6/4
Cards +3.5/2.5 4/3
Let’s have a day