MLB Who's Hot & Who's Not Trend Thread 2014

[WildBillPicks7]

Thanks to Mover for doing these in the Batter Up forum thread.

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Harang is 0-0, 2.25 in his last two starts.
-- Morton is 0-1, 2.16 in his last four starts.
-- Alvarez is 2-2, 1.61 in his last four starts.
-- Wacha is 5-1, 2.06 in his last six starts. Cingrani is 3-3, 2.91 in his last seven.
-- Colon is 4-1, 1.69 in his last five starts. Gonzalez is 2-2, 2.57 in his last four.
-- Hudson was 4-0, 3.41 in his last four starts last July, before he broke his ankle and missed the rest of the season.
-- Haren is 2-1, 1.44 in his last four starts.

-- Scherzer is 4-1, 2.55 in his last six starts.
-- Paulino was 2-0, 1.38 in his last five starts before getting hurt last June.
-- Kluber is 4-0, 4.13 in his last six starts. McAllister is 2-0, 1.13 in his last three starts. Kazmir, who pitched for Tribe LY, is 3-2, 2.89 in his last five.
-- Jimenez is 4-0, 1.31 in his last six starts. Lackey is 2-1, 1.83 in his last three.
-- Cosart is 0-1, 3.00 in his last five starts.
-- Paxton is 3-0, 1.88 in four MLB starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Garza is 1-4, 5.91 in his last seven starts.
-- Jackson is 1-5, 5.46 in his last six starts.
-- Lyles is 1-3, 8.76 in his last five starts.
-- Cahill is 1-1, 5.28 in his last three starts.

-- Vargas is 1-2, 5.40 in his last four starts.
-- Correia is 0-3, 4.13 in his last four starts.
-- Lindblom was 0-3, 6.33 in five stars for Texas LY.
-- Buehrle is 1-3, 6.87 in his last five starts. Moore is 2-2, 8.20 in his last four.
-- Kuroda is 0-6, 7.33 in his last eight starts.
-- Santiago is 0-2, 5.68 in his last four starts.

-- Kendrick is 0-5, 7.41 in his last seven starts. This is Ross' first MLB start; he was 6-0, 2.22 in 58 relief stints LY, throwing only 65 innings.

Hot teams
-- Marlins won their first two games.
-- Dodgers won three of their first four games.

-- Mariners won their first two games, scoring 18 runs.

Cold teams
-- Rockies lost their first two games.
-- Arizona lost three of its last four games.

-- Angels lost their first two games, allowing 18 runs.

Totals
-- Four of last five Garza starts went over the total.
-- Three of last four Morton starts stayed under total.
-- Seven of last eight Lyles starts went over the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Wacha starts.
-- Five of last seven Gonzalez starts went over total.
-- Last five Hudson starts went over the total.
-- Three of last four Haren starts stayed under total.

-- Three of last four Vargas starts went over total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Correia starts.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Kluber starts, 3-1-1 in McAllister's last five.
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Jimenez starts.
-- Eight of last nine Buehrle starts stayed under.
-- Last three Cosart home starts went over total.
-- Six of last seven Santiago starts stayed under.

-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Kendrick starts.

Umpires (obviously, these are last year's stats)
-- Atl-Mil-- Favorites won last nine Schrieber games.
-- Chi-Pitt-- Five of last seven Davidson games stayed under.
-- Col-Mia-- Last five Dimuro games stayed under the total.
-- Wsh-NY-- Favorites won six of last seven Fagan games.
-- StL-Cin-- 19 of last 22 Danley games stayed under total.
-- SF-Az-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Guccione games.
-- LA-SD-- Six of last seven Culbreth games stayed under.

-- KC-Det-- Underdogs won eight of last eleven Emmel games.
-- Min-Chi-- Under is 15-0-2 in last seventeen Iassogna games.
-- Clev-A's-- Favorites won six of last seven Wegner games. Favorites won last eight Fletcher games.
-- Bos-Balt-- Underdogs won six of last nine Kulpa games.
-- Tor-TB-- Under is 12-5-1 in last eighteen Wolf games.
-- NY-Hst-- Under is 14-2-2 in last eighteen Cuzzi games.
-- Sea-LA-- Five of last six Drake games went over the total.

-- Phil-Tex-- Eight of last ten Hudson games went over total.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Hot pitchers
-- Zimmerman is 4-1, 2.83 in his last five starts. Hale was 1-0, 0.82 in his two big league starts last September.
-- Wood is 1-1, 2.57 in his last four starts.
-- Ryu is 2-0, 0.00 (19 IP) in his last three starts.
-- Cole is 5-1, 1.70 in his last six starts. Miller is 3-0, 2.66 in his last four.
-- Stults is 3-0, 2.95 in his last three starts. Koehler is 2-0, 1.86 in last three.
-- Leake is 3-1, 2.35 in his last four starts. Mejia is 1-2, 2.96 in his last five.

-- Gonzalez is 2-1, 2.45 in his last three starts.
-- Johnson is 3-0, 2.50 in his last three starts.
-- Straily is 2-1, 3.19 in his last five starts.

-- Estrada is 1-0, 1.63 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Hernandez is 0-3, 7.23 in his last three starts.
-- Vogelsong is 1-2, 6.41 in his last five starts.
-- Delgado is 1-2, 7.23 in his last four starts. Nicasio is 1-3, 7.28 in his last six.

-- Sanchez is 0-3, 8.22 in his last three home starts.
-- Pelfrey is 0-3, 7.91 in his last four starts. Salazar is 1-2, 5.28 in last three.
-- Guthrie is 1-2, 3.43 in his last three starts.
-- Tanaka is making his MLB debut here. McGowan is making his first start since 2008; he was 6-7, 4.37 in 19 starts that year.
-- Saunders is 0-3, 7.97 in his last four starts. Odorizzi is 0-1, 5.03 in his last four starts.
-- Harrell was 0-4, 17.02 in his last four starts. Richards is 0-2, 7.88 in his last three starts.
-- Young was 0-2, 3.38 in his last three starts, which were in 2012.

-- Peavy is 1-1, 7.23 in his last four starts.

Totals
-- Three of last four Zimmerman starts went over.
-- Under is 4-0-2 in last six Wood starts.
-- Six of last eight Ryu starts stayed under.
-- Last four Delgado starts went over total.
-- Cole's last four starts went over the total.
-- Last four Koehler starts stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Mejia starts stayed under.

-- Over is 4-0-2 in last six Sanchez starts; four of last five Gonzalez starts went under the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Pelfrey starts.
-- All five Johnson starts went over the total.
-- First three Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Saunders starts went over.
-- Four of last six Richards starts went over the total.
-- Three of last four Straily starts went over the total.

-- Five of last six Estrada starts stayed under total.

Hot teams
-- Nationals won their first three games.
-- Marlins won three of their first four games.
-- Dodgers won four of their first five games; Giants won three of first four.

-- Tigers won their first two games.
-- Mariners won three of their first four games.

Cold teams
-- Mets lost their first three games.
-- Colorado lost three of its first four games.
-- Arizona lost five of its first six games.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Sunday MLB Trends

Sunday MLB Trends

MLB Report

Hot pitchers
-- Niese is 2-1, 3.08 in his last four starts.
-- Eovaldi is 2-0, 1.37 in his last three starts.
-- Wainwright is 4-3, 2.28 in his last seven starts.
-- Greinke is 2-0, 2.70 in his last three starts. Cain has a 2.73 RA in his last five starts, but no wins.

-- Masterson is 1-1, 1.74 in his last four starts.
-- Hutchison is 3-1, 2.05 in his last five starts.
-- Verlander is 1-1, 0.88 in his last six starts.
-- Darvish is 3-2, 2.40 in his last five starts. Cobb is 4-1, 2.25 in his last six.
-- Shields is 3-0, 1.78 in his last five starts.
-- Weaver is 4-2, 2.72 in his last seven starts.
-- Gray is 1-1, 1.13 in his last four starts.

-- Lester is 4-2, 1.73 in his last six starts. Gallardo is 2-1, 1.89 in his last three.


Cold pitchers
-- Simon hasn't started a game since 2011, when he was 4-9, 4.90 in 16 starts for the Orioles.
-- Kennedy is 1-2, 6.32 in his last three starts.
-- Volquez is 0-2, 4.67 in his last five starts.
-- Wood is 1-1, 6.75 in his last four starts. Jordan is 1-1, 4.80 in his last five.
-- Villanueva is 0-4, 5.67 in his last six starts; he was losing pitcher in the 16th inning Wednesday night. Burnett is 2-2, 3.94 in his last five starts.
-- Anderson is 0-4, 11.34 in his last four starts. Miley is 1-1, 4.26 in his last three starts.

-- Nolasco is 0-4, 11.05 in his last five starts.
-- Sabathia is 1-3, 5.47 in his last four starts.
-- Tillman is 0-2, 3.94 in his last five starts.
-- Sale is 1-2, 4.50 in his last four starts.
-- Feldman is 1-2, 5.14 in his last five starts.
-- Ramirez is 1-2, 6.38 in his last four starts.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Niese starts stayed under total.
-- Under is 5-1-2 in last eight Eovaldi starts.
-- Last four Volquez starts stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Jordan starts went over total.
-- Four of last five Burnett starts stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Arizona games went over total.
-- Seven of last ten Greinke starts stayed under total.

-- Five of last seven Nolasco starts went over total.
-- Last four Sabathia starts stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last ten Tillman starts stayed under total.
-- Seven of last ten Darvish starts stayed under total.
-- Eight of last ten Sale starts went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Feldman starts.
-- Four of five Oakland games stayed under the total.

-- Five of last seven Gallardo starts stayed under total.

Hot teams
-- Braves won four of their first five games.
-- Marlins won five of their first six games.
-- Colorado won three of its last four games.
-- Giants won five of their first six games.

-- Tigers won their first four games.
-- Mariners won four of their first five games.

Cold teams
-- Reds lost four of their first five games.
-- Cubs lost four of their first five games.
-- San Diego lost its last four games.
-- Arizona lost seven of their first eight games.

-- Orioles lost four of their first five games.
-- White Sox lost three of their last four games.

Umpires
-- SD-Mia-- Underdogs won seven of last eight Cuzzi games.
-- Cin-NY-- Home side won ten of last thirteen Davidson games.
-- StL-Pitt-- Four of last five Rackley games went over total.
-- Atl-Wsh-- Favorites won ten of last thirteen Eddings games.
-- Phil-Chi-- Underdogs won ten of last twelve Iassogna games.
-- Az-Col-- Last four Wegner games stayed under the total.
-- SF-LA-- Underdogs won seven of last twelve Foster games.

-- Min-Clv-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Meals games.
-- Blt-Det-- 20 of last 23 Danley games stayed under.
-- NY-Tor-- Underdogs won seven of last ten Kulpa games.
-- Tex-TB-- Five of last six Dimuro games stayed under.
-- LA-Hst-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Guccione games.
-- Chi-KC-- Last five Gibson games stayed under the total.
-- Sea-A's-- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Gonzalez games.

-- Mil-Bos-- Favorites won seven of last eight Fagan games.

 

[THE KOD]

good info

thanks

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Monday 4-7

Monday 4-7

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Milwaukee-Philly game has been postponed until Tuesday.
-- Wacha is 5-1, 1.76 in his last seven starts. Cingrani is 2-3, 2.48 in his last six.

-- Jimenez is 4-1, 1.90 in his last seven starts.
-- Cosart is 1-1, 2.37 in his last ten starts.
-- Kazmir is 3-0, 0.44 in his last three starts.
-- Lackey is 3-1, 2.10 in his last four starts.
-- Vargas is 1-1, 2.01 in his last three starts.

-- Erlin is 2-1, 1.97 in his last five starts.
-- Paulino is 2-0, 1.72 in his last six starts.


Cold pitchers
-- Kuroda is 0-4, 5.70 in his last four starts.
-- Wilson is 0-3, 5.40 in his last three starts.
-- Correia is 0-3, 4.20 in his last five starts.
-- Scheppers allowed seven runs in four IP in his first MLB start.
-- Moore is 1-2, 11.74 in his last three starts.

-- Kluber is 1-1, 11.42 in his last couple starts.
-- Lyles is 1-2, 15.88 in his last three starts.

Totals
-- Over is 5-1-1 in Wacha's last seven starts.

-- Seven of last nine Jimenez starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Wilson's last six starts.
-- Last three Kazmir starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Lackey starts.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Royal games; three of last four Tampa Bay games went over.

-- Last five Erlin starts stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Paulino starts stayed under; eight of last nine Lyles starts went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Bronx won three of its last four games.
-- Twins won three of their last four games.
-- Tampa Bay won three of its last four games.

Cold teams
-- Reds lost three of their last four games.

-- Orioles lost four of their last five games.
-- Astros lost three of their last four games.
-- Red Sox lost their last three games.

-- San Diego lost four of its last five games.
-- White Sox lost three of their last four games.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Lohse is 2-2, 2.10 in his last four starts.
-- Hudson is 5-0, 2.70 in his last five starts.
-- GGonzalez is 2-1, 2.37 in his last three starts.
-- Harang is 1-0, 1.45 in his last three starts.
-- Morton is 0-1, 1.74 in his last five starts.
-- Lynn is 4-2, 2.86 in his last six starts.

-- Kuroda is 2-1, 1.66 in his last three starts.
-- Buehrle is 2-1, 2.00 in last three starts. Oberholtzer has 3.08 RA in his last six starts but only one win; Astros scored total of ten runs in the six games.
-- Archer is 2-0, 3.28 in his last five starts.
-- Paxton is 4-0, 1.45 in five MLB starts.

-- Scherzer is 3-1, 1.53 in his last five starts. Haren is 3-1, 1.45 in his last five.


Cold pitchers
-- Kendrick is 0-3, 6.29 in his last six starts.
-- Cahill is 0-2, 5.17 in his last three starts.
-- Alvarez is 1-3, 4.50 in his last four starts.
-- Colon is 0-2, 4.50 in his last couple starts.
-- Jackson is 0-3, 6.50 in his last four starts.
-- Bailey is 0-3, 7.20 in his last three starts.

-- WChen is 0-1, 5.60 in his last five starts.
-- Perez is 1-3, 4.11 in his last six starts. Doubront has a 6.86 RA in his last four starts.
-- Ventura is 0-1, 3.52 in three MLB starts.
-- Santiago is 0-3, 6.00 in his last five starts.

-- Ross is 0-2, 5.40 in his last five starts. Kluber is 1-1, 11.42 in his last two.
-- Quintana is 0-1, 6.23 in his last couple starts. Morales has made 26 starts in eight MLB seasons; he allowed three runs in 5.1 IP in his first '14 start.
--

Totals
-- Six of last eight Arizona games went over total.
-- Four of last five Alvarez starts stayed under.
-- Five of six Atlanta games stayed under total.
-- Five of Cubs' first six games stayed under total.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five St Louis games.
-- Five of six Milwaukee games stayed under.

-- Five of seven Baltimore games stayed under.
-- Six of seven Boston games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Houston games went over.
-- Four of last five Kansas City games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Angel games went over total.

-- Five of six San Diego games stayed under total; last four Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Last three Dodger games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Colorado games this season.

Hot teams
-- Giants won five of their first seven games.
-- Marlins won five of their first seven games.
-- Atlanta won four of its last five games.
-- Milwaukee won its last three games.

-- Bronx won four of its last five games.
-- Angels won three of their last four games.

-- Detroit won four of its first five games. Dodgers won six of first nine.
-- Rockies won three of their last four games.

Cold teams
-- Arizona lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Reds lost four of their last five games.

-- Orioles lost five of their last six games.
-- Astros lost four of their last five games.
-- Red Sox/Rangers both lost three of their last four games.

-- San Diego lost four of its last five games.
-- White Sox lost four of their last five games.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Wednesday 4-9

Wednesday 4-9

Betting Notes - Wednesday
?Hot Pitchers
-- Miller is 3-1, 3.72 in his last five starts.
-- Zimmerman is 2-1, 2.25 in his last four starts.
-- Garza is 1-1, 2.53 in his last three starts.
-- Santana was 1-1, 2.25 in his last three KC starts; this is his first start for the Braves.

-- Chavez allowed one ER in six IP in his first '14 start (3rd overall).
-- Guthrie is 3-2, 3.58 in his last five starts. Odorizzi (former Royals' prospect) is 1-1, 1.08 in his last three starts.
-- Tanaka won his first MLB start, allowing three runs in seven IP.
-- Richards is 4-2, 4.76 in his last seven starts. Elias allowed one run in five IP in his first MLB start.

-- McAllister is 2-0, 2.25 in his last four starts. Erlin is 2-1, 1.97 in his last five starts. Stults is 3-1, 4.13 in his last five starts.
-- Nicasio is 2-0, 0.73 in his last couple starts.

?Cold Pitchers
-- Leake is 0-2, 9.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Hand was 0-1, 4.50 in two starts LY; he's 2-10, 4.91 in 15 career starts.
-- RHernandez is 1-2, 6.43 in his last four starts.
-- Wheeler is 0-3, 4.30 in his last four starts.
-- Rodriguez is 2-3, 4.44 in his last five starts. Hammel is 1-2, 4.18 in his last five outings.
-- Arroyo is 1-2, 4.94 in his last five starts. Lincecum is 0-1, 4.58 in his last three outings.

-- Hughes is 0-1, 6.75 in his last four starts.
-- Peavy is 0-1, 7.62 in his last three starts. Ross allowed three runs in five IP in his first MLB start.
-- MGonzalez is 2-2, 4.88 in his last five starts.
-- Morrow is 1-2, 9.00 in his last four starts. Harrell allowed 21 runs in 8.1 IP in his last three starts.

-- Bauer is 1-3, 6.75 in his last five starts.
-- Johnson is 3-3, 6.40 in six MLB starts.
-- Sanchez is 1-2, 5.31 in his last four starts. Beckett is making first start since last May; he is 0-4, 6.12 in his last six starts.

?Totals
-- Seven of last nine Arizona games went over total.
-- Last three Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Six of seven Atlanta games stayed under total.
-- Five of Cubs' first six games stayed under total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six St Louis games.
-- Five of seven Milwaukee games stayed under.

-- All seven Minnesota games went over total.
-- Five of seven Baltimore games stayed under.
-- Six of eight Boston games stayed under total.
-- Last eight Morrow starts went over the total.
-- Five of last six Kansas City games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Angel games went over total.

-- Five of seven San Diego games stayed under total; last five Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Dodger games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in Colorado games this season.

?Hot Teams
-- Cardinals won three of their last four games.
-- Washington won five of its first seven games.
-- Giants won six of their first eight games.
-- Atlanta won four of its last six games. Mets won three of last four.
-- Milwaukee won its last four games, all on road.
-- Pirates won five of their first seven games.

-- Yankees won four of its last six games.
-- Oakland won four of its last six games.
-- Blue Jays won three of last four home games.
-- Mariners won five of their first seven games.

-- Dodgers won six of their first nine games.

?Cold Teams
-- Phillies lost four of last six games.
-- Cubs lost five of their first seven games.
-- Arizona lost eight of its last ten games.
-- Reds lost five of their last six games.

-- Orioles lost five of their last seven games.
-- Astros lost five of their last six games.
-- Red Sox lost four of their last five games.

-- San Diego lost five of its last six games.
-- White Sox lost four of their last six games.

?Umpires Trends
-- Cin-Stl-- Favorites won seven of last eight Scott games.
-- Mia-Wsh-- Over is 8-4 in last twelve Bellino games.
-- Mil-Phil-- Underdogs won six of last ten Hernandez games.
-- NY-Atl-- Last three Ripperger games went over the total.
-- Pitt-Chi-- Underdogs won eight of last twelve Diaz games.
-- Az-SF-- Barber's first MLB game behind plate was 2-1, 12-inning game.

-- A's-Min-- Ten of last twelve Carapazza games went over.
-- TB-KC-- Last six Davis games stayed under the total.
-- Tex-Bos-- Four of last five Baker games stayed under.
-- Hst-Tor-- Favorites won last eight Layne games.
-- Blt-NY-- Underdogs won five of last nine TWelke games.
-- LA-Sea-- Under is 10-5 in last fifteen Winters games.

-- SD-Clev-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten O'Nora games. Nine of last eleven Hoye games stayed under the total.
-- Chi-Col-- Four of last five West games went over the total.
-- Det-LA-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Cooper games.

Diamond Trends - Wednesday
?NY METS are 29-18 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in road games versus a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY METS 4.7, OPPONENT 3.4.

?KANSAS CITY is 31-11 UNDER (+18.6 Units) versus teams outscoring opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 3.3, OPPONENT 3.8.

?ST LOUIS is 13-1 (+13.9 Units) against the run line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ST LOUIS 5.7, OPPONENT 1.4.

?ZACK WHEELER is 7-0 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in road games versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WHEELER 6.9, OPPONENT 2.1.

?JUAN NICASIO is 13-3 OVER (+10.1 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NICASIO 6.4, OPPONENT 6.2.

Situation Analysis of The Day
?Play Over - All teams where the total is 7 or less (ATLANTA) - horrible offensive team - scoring <=3.3 runs/game on the season (National League) against opponent terrible offensive team - scoring <=3.8 runs/game on the season (NL).
(47-15 since 1997.) (75.8%, +32.1 units. Rating = 4*)

The average total posted in these games was: 6.7, Money Line=+100.2
The average score in these games was: Team 4.5, Opponent 4.3 (Total runs scored = 8.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 35 (54.7% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0, +2.2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (35-10, +25.1 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (44-12, +32.1 units).

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Thursday MLB Notes

Thursday MLB Notes

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Cole is 6-1, 1.84 in his last seven starts.
-- Koehler is 3-0, 2.13 in his last four starts.
-- Estrada is 1-0, 1.89 in his last five starts. Lee is 5-2, 3.00 in his last seven.
-- Hale is 1-0, 0.56 in three MLB starts. Mejia is 2-2, 2.70 in his last six starts.

-- Pineda has a 2.70 RA but no wins in his last two starts.
-- Dickey is 3-2, 3.44 in his last five starts.


Cold pitchers
-- Wood is 0-2, 4.43 in his last four starts.
-- Strasburg is 0-1, 8.71 in two starts this season.
-- Delgado is 1-3, 8.34 in his last five starts. Vogelsong is 1-2, 6.75 in his last six outings.

-- Pelfrey is 0-4, 7.30 in his last five starts. Straily is 0-2, 4.44 in his last four.
-- Buchholz is 0-0, 6.12 in his last five starts.
-- Keuchel is 1-3, 7.76 in his last five starts.
-- Salazar is 1-2, 4.71 in his last four starts. Danks is 0-4, 7.62 in his last five.

Totals
-- Last three Cub games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Philly games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Atlanta games.
-- Eight of last ten Arizona games went over total.

-- All eight Minnesota games went over total.
-- Seven of nine Boston games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Keuchel road starts went over.
-- Six of nine White Sox games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Nationals won their last three games.
-- Brewers won their last five games, all on the road.
-- Braves won five of their last seven games.
-- Five of last seven San Francisco games went over.

-- A's won four of their last five games.
-- Blue Jays won three of their last four games.
-- Indians are 3-0 in series openers.

Cold teams
-- Marlins lost their last three games.
-- Phillies lost five of their last seven games.
-- Mets lost five of their first eight games.
-- Arizona lost five of its seven road games.

-- Twins lost five of their last eight games.
-- Astros lost six of their last seven games.
-- Red Sox lost four of their last six games
-- White Sox lost five of their last seven games.

Umpires
-- Pitt-Chi-- Road team won nine of last eleven Carlson games.
-- Mia-Wsh-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Davidson games.
-- Mil-Phil-- Under is 16-4-1 in last 21 Nauert games.
-- NY-Atl-- Six of last nine Cederstrom games stayed under.
-- Az-SF-- Under is 9-1-1 in last ten Culbreth games.

-- A's-Min-- Four of last five Hamari games stayed under.
-- Hst-Tor-- Under is 6-3-2 in last eleven Wendelstedt games.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Sunday April 13

Sunday April 13

SUNDAY, APRIL 13th 2014

INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY

***** Sunday, 4/13/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
______________________________________

Betting Notes - Sunday
?Hot Pitchers
-- GGonzalez is 3-1, 1.80 in his last four starts. Harang is 1-1, 1.46 in his last four outings.
-- Lohse is 3-2, 2.57 in his last five starts. Morton is 0-1, 3.10 in his last five.
-- Wacha is 1-0, 0.71 in two starts this season.
-- Hudson is 2-0, 1.72 in two starts for the Giants. Chatwood is 1-1, 3.04 in his last four starts, which were all LY.
-- Haren is 2-0, 0.95 in his last three starts.

-- Buehrle is 2-0, 0.64 in two starts this season.
-- Vargas is 1-0, 1.20 in two starts for the Royals.
-- Kazmir is 4-0, 1.37 in his last four starts.

-- Cingrani is 2-3, 2.89 in his last six starts.
-- Colon is 1-1, 2.07 in his first two starts for the Mets.
-- Scherzer has a 1.91 RA but no wins in his last four starts.

?Cold Pitchers
-- Alvarez is 1-4, 4.25 in his last five starts. Kendrick is 0-4, 6.82 in his last six.
-- Jackson is 0-3, 7.54 in his last five starts.
-- Cahill is 0-3, 7.90 in his last three starts.

-- Jimenez is 0-2, 6.75 in two starts for Baltimore.
-- Correia is 0-1, 6.94 in his first two starts this season.
-- Quintana is 1-1, 4.95 in his last three starts. Kluber has an 8.59 RA in his last three starts.
-- Oberholtzer is 0-6, 4.19 in his last six starts. Perez is 1-1, 4.67 in last three.
-- Young is 0-2, 3.28 in his last four starts, but those were in 2012.
-- Doubront is 1-1, 9.00 in two starts this season. Nova is 0-1, 8.68 in his two starts this season.

-- Ramos is 0-0, 3.00 in three MLB starts, last of which was in '12; he's thrown four innings in four relief appearances this season.
-- Wilson is 1-2, 4.18 in his last four starts.
-- Ross is 0-2, 9.58 in two starts this season.

?Totals
-- Last six Philly games went over the total.
-- Last four Washington games went over the total.
-- All five games at Miller Park stayed under the total.
-- Last six Cub games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Arizona games went over total; five of seven Dodger road games stayed under.
-- Ten of twelve Giant games went over the total.

-- Five of six Boston road games stayed under the total.
-- All five games at Camden Yards stayed under.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Texas games.
-- All six White Sox home games went over total.
-- Ten of eleven Minnesota games went over total.
-- Four of last six Oakland games went over total.

-- Five of last six Tampa Bay games stayed under.
-- Eight of eleven Angel games went over the total.
-- Eight of eleven San Diego games stayed under.

?Hot Teams
-- Braves won three of their last four home games.
-- Milwaukee won its last eight games.
-- Dodgers won four of their last five games.

-- White Sox won four of their first six home games.
-- Rangers won three of their last four home games.
-- Oakland won five of its last six games.

-- Tampa Bay won six of its last nine games.
-- Mets are 5-3 in their last eight games.

?Cold Teams
-- Miami lost its last six games.
-- Pittsburgh lost three of its last four games.
-- Rockies lost four of their six road games. San Francisco lost three of its last four games.
-- Arizona lost five of its six home games.

-- Red Sox lost six of their last nine games. New York lost three of last five.
-- Orioles lost three of their last four home games.
-- Astros lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Indians lost five of their last eight games.
-- Kansas City lost its first four away games.

-- Cincinnati lost eight of its first eleven games.
-- Angels lost four of their five home games.
-- San Diego lost seven of its last ten games; Detroit lost three of last five.

?Umpires Trends
-- Chi-StL-- Favorites won last nine Layne games; over is 3-0 in his '14 games.
-- Col-SF-- Six of last eight HGibson games stayed under.
-- Mia-Phil-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Ripperger games.
-- Pitt-Mil-- Nine of last ten Carapazza games went over.
-- Wsh-Atl-- Road team is 15-4 in last nineteen Hernandez games.
-- LA-Az-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Tichenor games.

-- Bos-NY-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven O'Nora games.
-- KC-Min-- Underdogs won eight of last eleven Diaz games.
-- Cle-Chi-- Home side won last 12 Davis games; seven of last eight stayed under the total.
-- Tor-Blt-- Three of last four Conroy games went over total.
-- A's-Sea-- 12 of last 16 Hallion games stayed under total.
-- Hst-Tex-- Six of last seven Porter games went over total.

-- TB-Cin-- Favorites won last ten Bellino games.
-- Det-SD-- Muchinski's first two games this year went over total.
-- NY-LAA-- Six of last nine Basner games went over total.

Diamond Trends - Sunday
?ATLANTA is 11-1 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.2, OPPONENT 2.2.

?SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 OVER (+9.2 Units) against division opponents this season.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 5.5, OPPONENT 4.6.

?CLEVELAND is 3-16 (-16.6 Units) against the run line versus a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 3.7, OPPONENT 5.6.

?DAN HAREN is 0-8 (-12.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=38%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HAREN 2.4, OPPONENT 5.5.

?MARK BUEHRLE is 15-2 UNDER (+12.5 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BUEHRLE 3.7, OPPONENT 3.3.

Situation Analysis of The Day
?Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (ARIZONA) - averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game on the season against opponent terrible fielding team - averaging 0.9+ errors/game on the season.
(46-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.4%, +36.7 units. Rating = 5*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (44-17 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.5, money line price: +112
The average score in these games was: Team 4.6, Opponent 3.3 (Average run differential = +1.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 35 (57.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-5, +21.2 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (126-96, +32.5 units).

 

[WildBillPicks7]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Lee is 1-1, 2.07 in his last two starts. Hale is 1-0, 2.21 in four MLB starts.
-- Cole is 7-1, 2.34 in his last eight starts. Leake is 3-2, 2.43 in his last five.
-- Koehler is 3-1, 2.30 in his last five starts.-- Estrada is 2-0, 1.75 in his last four starts.
-- Mejia is 2-2, 3.29 in his last seven starts.
-- Nicasio is 2-0, 2.60 in his last three starts. Erlin is 2-0, 1.31 in his last three.

-- McAllister is 3-0, 1.63 in his last five starts.
-- Ventura has a 2.53 RA in four MLB starts, but no wins.
-- Former White Sox Peavy is 0-0, 2.13 in two starts this year.
-- Richards is 2-0, 0.75 in two starts this season.

-- Hammel is 2-0, 2.63 in two starts this season. Tanaka is 1-0, 3.86, allowing three runs in seven IP in both of his first two starts.


Cold pitchers
-- Strasburg is 1-1, 5.82 in his last three starts.
-- Miller is 0-2, 6.35 in two starts this season.
-- Arroyo is 1-1, 9.00 in his last three starts.
-- Beckett is 0-3, 8.36 in his last six starts. Lincecum is 0-1, 9.90 in two starts this season.

-- Odorizzi is 1-1, 5.73 in two starts this season. Gonzalez is 0-1, 9.64 in his two starts this month.
-- Sanchez is 0-1, 5.40 in his last three starts.
-- Beavan has made 43 MLB starts, two LY; he was 11-11, 4.43 in 26 starts for the Mariners two years ago. Ross is 0-0, 3.48 in two starts this month.
-- Morrow is 2-2, 7.92 in his last five starts. Hughes is 0-1, 8.25 in last three.
-- Harrell is 0-2, 12.27 in two starts this season.
-- Johnson is 0-1, 9.58 in two starts this season.
-- Straily is 1-2, 3.51 in his last four starts.

Totals
-- Last five Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Miami games went over total.
-- Three of last four Pittsburgh games stayed under total.
-- All seven games at Miller Park stayed under total. Five of last seven Cardinal games went over.
-- Six of eight Arizona home games went over total.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in Colorado road games; under is 5-2 in Padre home games.
-- Six of last eight Dodger games went over the total.

-- Four of last five Cleveland road games went over.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven games at Camden Yards.
-- Five of last six Texas home games stayed under total.
-- Six of seven Boston road games stayed under total; six of White Sox' seven home games went over.
-- 10 of 12 Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Houston home games went over.
-- Six of seven Angel home games went over the total.

-- Last seven Cub games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Braves won five of their last six games. Phillies won three of last four. -- Milwaukee won nine of last ten games. Cardinals won five of last seven.
-- San Diego won four of its last five games.
-- Dodgers won five of their last six games. Giants are 4-0 in series openers.

-- Detroit won four of its five home games.
-- White Sox won five of their seven home games.
-- Minnesota won its last three games. Blue Jays won six of last nine.
-- Rangers won four of their last six home games.
-- Oakland won seven of its last eight games.

-- Bronx won three of its last four games.

Cold teams
-- Marlins lost their last eight games. Washington lost three of last four.
-- Reds lost seven of their last ten games. Pittsburgh lost four of last five.
-- Arizona lost its last six home games.
-- Colorado lost six of its last eight road games.

-- Indians lost four of their last five games.
-- Orioles lost four of their last six home games.
-- Red Sox lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Kansas City lost all five of its road games. Astros lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Angels lost five of their seven home games

-- Cubs lost three of their last four games.

Umpires
-- Atl-Phil-- Seven of last eight Gorman games went over.
-- Wsh-Mia-- Favorites won six of last eight Foster games.
-- Pitt-Cin-- Underdogs won eight of last 13 Knight games.
-- StL-Mil-- 11 of last 13 Hoye games stayed under total.
-- NY-Az-- This is only second game behind plate for rookie ump Morales.
-- LA-SF-- Three of last four Nelson games went over total.

-- TB-Balt-- Last seven Gibson games stayed under the total.
-- Sea-Tex-- Road team won ten of last twelve Carlson games.
-- A's-LAA-- This is first-ever game behind plate for rookie ump Segal.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 16th 2014

INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY

***** Wednesday, 4/16/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_________________________________________

Betting Notes - Wednesday
?Hot Pitchers
-- Cueto has a 2.14 RA in his last three starts but won wins; Reds scored four runs in those three games.
-- Kelly is 1-0, 1.59 in two starts this year. Peralta is 3-0, 4.30 in his last four starts; Brewers scored 23 runs in the four games.
-- Lee is 1-1, 2.07 in his last two starts. Hale is 1-0, 2.21 in four MLB starts.
-- Fernandez is 4-1, 2.35 in his last five starts. Roark is 2-1, 3.64 in his last five starts.
-- Cashner is 3-2, 1.07 in his last eight starts.

-- Price is 2-0, 2.91 in three starts this season. Tillman is 1-1, 1.69 in his last three starts.
-- McAllister is 3-0, 1.63 in his last five starts.
-- Hernandez is 3-0, 2.53 in three starts this season. Darvish is 1-0, 0.00 (15 IP) in two starts this year, allowing 10 baserunners in 15 IP.
-- Guthrie is 3-0, 3.20 in his last three starts.
-- Skaggs is 1-0, 3.00 in two starts for the Angels.

-- Hammel is 2-0, 2.63 in two starts this season. Wood is 1-2, 2.97 in his last six starts. Pineda is 1-1, 1.50 in two starts this season, his first since '11. Tanaka is 1-0, 3.86, allowing three runs in seven IP in both his starts.

?Cold Pitchers
-- Liriano is 0-2, 4.00 in three starts this season.
-- Gee is 1-1, 5.40 in his last five starts. McCarthy is 0-2, 7.78 in his last three.
-- De La Rosa is 0-2, 10.35 in three starts this season.
-- Maholm is 0-1, 4.42 in his last three starts. Vogelsong is 1-1, 6.75 in his last four starts.

-- Sanchez is 0-1, 5.40 in his last four starts.
-- Pelfrey is 0-5, 7.89 in his last six starts. Dickey is 1-2, 5.30 in three starts this season.
-- Buchholz is 0-1, 8.71 in two starts this season. Danks is 1-4, 7.01 in his last six starts.
-- Keuchel is 1-2, 6.11 in his last three starts.
-- Milone is 1-1, 8.71 in his last two starts.

?Totals
-- Last five Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Miami games went over total.
-- Last three Cincinnati games went over the total.
-- All eight games at Miller Park stayed under total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in Arizona's home games.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in Colorado road games; under is 6-2 in Padre home games.
-- Six of last nine Dodger games went over the total.

-- Four of last five Cleveland road games went over.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven games at Camden Yards.
-- Six of last seven Texas home games stayed under total.
-- Seven of eight Boston road games stayed under total; six of White Sox' eight home games went over.
-- 11 of 13 Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Houston games stayed under.
-- Seven of eight Angel home games went over the total.

-- Last seven Cub games went over the total.

?Hot Teams
-- Braves won five of their last six games. Phillies won three of last four.
-- Milwaukee won nine of last eleven games, but lost last two. Cardinals won six of last eight.
-- Mets won three of their last four games.
-- San Diego won four of its last six games.
-- Dodgers won five of their last seven games. Giants won three of last four.

-- Detroit won four of its five home games.
-- White Sox won six of their eight home games.
-- Minnesota won three of last four games. Blue Jays won seven of last ten.
-- Rangers won five of their last seven home games.
-- Oakland won eight of its last nine games.

-- Yankees won three of its last four games.

?Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost eight of last nine games. Washington lost four of last five.
-- Reds lost eight of last twelve games. Pittsburgh lost five of last seven.
-- Arizona lost its last seven home games.
-- Colorado lost six of its last nine road games.

-- Indians lost four of their last five games.
-- Orioles lost four of their last six home games. Tampa Bay is 3-5 in its last eight games.
-- Red Sox lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Mariners lost three of their last four games.
-- Kansas City lost five of its six road games. Astros lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Angels lost six of their last eight home games

-- Cubs lost three of their last four games.

?Umpires Trends
-- Atl-Phil-- Seven of last eight Gorman games went over.
-- Wsh-Mia-- Four of last five Fagan games stayed under.
-- Pitt-Cin-- Nine of last twelve Wolcott games went over.
-- StL-Mil-- Underdogs won seven of last eleven Tumpane games.
-- NY-Az-- Six of last seven Dimuro games stayed under.
-- LA-SF-- Seven of last ten Fletcher games stayed under.

-- TB-Balt-- Last seven Gibson games stayed under the total.
-- Sea-Tex-- Eight of last eleven TBarrett games stayed under.
-- KC-Hst-- Under is 10-5 in last fifteen Kulpa games.
-- Tor-Min-- Four of last five Guccione games went over.
-- Box-Chi-- Five of last six Blaser games stayed under.
-- A's-LA-- 11 of last 15 Timmons games went over total.

Diamond Trends - Wednesday
?CHI WHITE SOX are 5-27 (-24.2 Units) against the money line after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 3.4, OPPONENT 5.6.

?LA ANGELS are 19-5 OVER (+13.7 Units) versus an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA ANGELS 4.2, OPPONENT 6.2.

?ARIZONA is 10-33 (-27.8 Units) against the run line after 4 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ARIZONA 3.7, OPPONENT 5.3.

?R.A. DICKEY is 14-2 (+15.5 Units) against the money line versus American League teams scoring 5.2 or more runs/game on the season since 1997.
The average score was DICKEY 7.2, OPPONENT 5.7. Snow is in the forecast for this game FYI

?DILLON GEE is 12-1 OVER (+11.5 Units) in road games versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game since 1997.
The average score was GEE 5.4, OPPONENT 5.5.

Situation Analysis of The Day
?Play On - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (TEXAS) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA <=3.20) -American League, with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season.
(50-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.5%, +36.7 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (45-23 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.4, money line price: +109
The average score in these games was: Team 4.9, Opponent 3.6 (Average run differential = +1.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 41 (60.3% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-7, +1.4 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (92-57, +29.7 units).

 

[WildBillPicks7]

THURSDAY, APRIL 17th 2014

INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY


***** Thursday, 4/17/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
________________________________________

Betting Notes - Thursday
?Hot Pitchers
-- Wood is 2-1, 1.89 in three starts this season.
-- Ryu is 2-1, 3.43 in four starts this season. Giants scored 22 runs in winning first three Bumgarner starts (2-0, 5.51, all three over total).
-- Gallardo is 2-0, 0.96 in three starts this season. Volquez is 0-0, 2.25 in his two starts with Pittsburgh.
-- Wainwright is 2-1, 2.57 in three starts this season.

-- Verlander is 1-1, 2.40 in his last two starts.
-- Gibson is 2-0, 1.59 in two starts this season.
-- Price is 2-0, 2.91 in three starts this season.
-- Feldman is 2-0, 0.44 in his first three starts for Houston.
-- Sale is 3-0, 2.66 in three starts this month.

?Cold Pitchers
-- Burnett is 0-1, 9.00 in his last two starts.
-- Morales is 0-1, 6.94 in two starts this season. Kennedy is 1-2, 4.24 in his three starts this month.
-- Jordan is 0-1, 4.77 in two starts this season.

-- Salazar is 1-1, 6.75 in two starts this season.
-- Pelfrey is 0-5, 7.89 in his last six starts. Dickey is 1-2, 5.30 in three starts this season. McGowan is 1-1, 4.00 in his first two '14 starts.
-- Scheppers is 0-1, 7.88 in his first three MLB starts. Ramirez is 0-2, 8.00 in his last two starts.
-- Sabathia is 1-2, 6.63 in three starts this season.
-- Shields is 0-2, 5.21 in three starts this month.
-- Lester is 1-2, 3.43 in three starts this season.

?Totals
-- Six of eight Atlanta road games stayed under total; six of eight Philly home games went over. .
-- Six of last eight Dodger road games stayed under.
-- Seven of nine San Diego home games stayed under.
-- Four of Brewers' last five away games went over.
-- Last eight Washington games went over; last four St Louis road games stayed under the total.

-- Three of last four Detroit games stayed under total.
-- Five of seven Minnesota home games went over.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Seattle games.
-- Five of last six Bronx games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Houston home games went over.
-- Seven of nine Boston road games stayed under total; seven of White Sox nine home games went over.

?Hot Teams
-- Braves won six of their last seven games.
-- Giants won four of their last five games.
-- Padres won five of their last seven games.
-- Brewers won 10 of last 12 games, are 6-0 on road.
-- Washington won its last four home games. Cardinals won four of their last five games.

-- Toronto won five of its last seven games. Twins won three of their last four.
-- Rangers won six of their last eight home games.
-- Yankees won five of its last six games.
-- White Sox won six of their nine home games.

?Cold Teams
-- Dodgers lost last two games, after winning seven of first eight on road.
-- Colorado lost seven of its ten road games.
-- Pirates lost five of their last six games.

-- Indians lost four of their last six games. Detroit lost three of last four.
-- Mariners lost four of their last five games.
-- Tampa Bay lost its last three games.
-- Astros lost six of their last seven home games.
-- Red Sox lost eight of their last twelve games.

?Umpires Trends
-- Atl-Phil-- Under is 13-5-1 in last nineteen Wolf games.
-- LA-SF-- Just second game behind plate for rookie ump Buckminster.
-- Col-SD-- Underdogs won six of last seven Diaz games.

-- Cle-Det-- Under is 10-4 in last fourteen LBarrett games.
-- Tor-Min-- Four of last five Guccione games went over total. Visiting team won rookie ump Hoberg's first three MLB games.
-- Sea-Tex-- Home side won eight of last ten Little games.
-- KC-Hst-- Underdogs won 11 of last 15 Bucknor games.
-- Bos-Chi-- Last five Joyce games went over the total.

Diamond Trends - Thursday
?ATLANTA is 10-0 (+11.2 Units) against the money line versus terrible fielding teams - averaging 0.9+ errors/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 6.4, OPPONENT 2.8.

?CHI WHITE SOX are 37-18 UNDER (+17.0 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 3.4, OPPONENT 3.9.

?TAMPA BAY is 0-8 (-10.4 Units) against the run line versus good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 1.7, OPPONENT 4.2.

?JUSTIN VERLANDER is 5-18 (-25.9 Units) against the money line versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was VERLANDER 3.6, OPPONENT 4.6.

?KYLE GIBSON is 9-1 OVER (+8.1 Units) versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GIBSON 7.3, OPPONENT 4.6.

Situation Analysis of The Day
?Play On - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (KANSAS CITY) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA <=3.20) -American League, with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season.
(50-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.5%, +36.7 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (45-23 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.4, money line price: +109
The average score in these games was: Team 4.9, Opponent 3.6 (Average run differential = +1.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 41 (60.3% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-7, +1.4 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (92-57, +29.7 units).

 

[The Mover]

BIll thanks for the info. GL

 

[WildBillPicks7]

No problem, Mover!!


STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT

SATURDAY, APRIL 19th 2014

INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY


***** Saturday, 4/19/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_________________________________________

Betting Notes - Saturday
?Hot Pitchers
-- Cingrani is 1-1, 2.54 in three starts this month.
-- Lynn is 3-0, 4.00 in three starts this season.
-- Santana is 1-0, 0.64 in his first two starts for Atlanta.
-- Lyles is 2-0, 4.41 in three starts this season.
-- Haren is 2-0, 2.55 in his first three '14 starts.
-- Hudson is 2-0, 3.52 in his first three starts for the Giants.

-- Wilson is 1-0, 1.80 in his last couple starts. Scherzer has a 2.70 RA in three starts this year.
-- Buehrle is 3-0, 0.86 in his first three '14 starts.
-- Kazmir is 2-0, 1.40 in three starts for the A's.
-- Nova is 2-0, 2.77 in his first two starts this month. Archer is 1-1, 3.15 in his three starts this year.
-- Quintana is 1-0, 2.07 in his last two starts.

-- Elias is 1-1, 2.16 in his first three MLB starts.

?Cold Pitchers
-- Jackson is 0-1, 6.75 in his first three starts.
-- Zimmerman has a 5.27 RA in his first three starts.
-- Rodriguez is 0-2, 7.31 in three starts this season. Garza is 0-1, 5.54 in his last two starts.
-- Colon is 1-2, 6.00 in his first three starts for the Mets.
-- Kendrick is 0-1, 7.36 in his last two starts.
-- Bolsinger is making first MLB start; he allowed two runs in three IP in his MLB debut. He was 2-0, 1.42 in his two AAA starts.
-- Stults is 0-2, 6.75 in three starts this month.

-- Kluber is 1-1, 5.29 in three starts this season.
-- Norris is 0-1, 3.75 in two starts this season. Doubront is 1-2, 6.75 in three starts this month.
-- BChen is 0-1, 5.91 in two starts this season. Correia is 0-1, 5.79 in three starts this season.
-- Oberholtzer is 0-3, 3.50 in three starts this season.
-- Lewis allowed four runs in 5.1 IP, losing in his first start in two years after being hurt.

-- Alvarez is 0-2, 7.36 in three starts this year.

?Totals
-- Seven of last ten Cub games went over the total.
-- Five of last six St Louis road games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Milwaukee road games went over.
-- Eight of ten Atlanta road games stayed under.
-- Five of seven games at Coors Field went over total.
-- Five of last six San Diego games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Arizona road games went over total.

-- 12 of 15 Angel games went over the total.
-- Last three Cleveland home games stayed under.
-- Four of last five New York road games stayed under.
-- 12 of 17 Boston games stayed under the total.
-- 11 of 17 White Sox games went over the total.
-- 12 of 16 Minnesota games went over the total. Five of Royals' last six home games stayed under.
-- Last three Oakland games went over the total.

-- Eight of Miami's last nine games went over total.

?Hot Teams
-- Cincinnati won four of its last five games.
-- Washington won five of its last six home games. Cardinals won five of last seven games overall.
-- Brewers won seven of their eight road games.
-- Braves won six of their last seven games.
-- Colorado won five of its seven home games.
-- San Diego won six of its last nine games. Giants won four of last six on road.

-- Angels won five of their seven road games.
-- Yankees won six of its last eight games.
-- Orioles won four of their last five games.
-- Rangers won five of their last six games.
-- Kansas City won its last four games. Twins won five of their last seven.
-- Oakland won four of its last five games.

?Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost 11 of their first 15 games.
-- Pirates lost six of their last eight games.
-- Mets lost five of their seven home games.
-- Phillies lost three of their last four games.
-- Arizona lost six of its last seven games. Dodgers lost four of six at home.

-- Detroit lost three of its last four home games.
-- Indians lost six of their last eight games.
-- Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games.
-- Red Sox lost five of seven home games.
-- White Sox lost five of their seven road games.
-- Astros lost 12 of their last 15 games.

-- Marlins lost nine of their last eleven games. Seattle lost six of last seven.

?Umpires Trends
-- StL-Wsh-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Hamari games.
-- Cin-Chi-- All three Hudson games this season stayed under.
-- Mil-Pitt-- Underdogs won six of last eight Reynolds games.
-- Atl-NY-- Three of four Cooper games went over total.
-- Phil-Col-- Visiting team won last five TWelke games.
-- Az-LA-- Underdogs won four of last seven Nelson games.
-- SF-SD-- Underdogs won rookie ump Morales' first two games.

-- Tor-Cle-- Last three Scott games stayed under the total.
-- LA-Det-- Underdogs won nine of last eleven Cuzzi games.
-- Blt-Bos-- Underdogs won five of last eight Carlson games.
-- Min-KC-- Underdogs won 11 of last 15 BWelke games.
-- Hst-A's-- Three of four Winters games stayed under total.
-- NY-TB-- Three of four Foster games went over the total.
-- Chi-Tex-- Last three Davidson games stayed under total.

-- Sea-Mia-- Five of last seven Basner games went over total.

Diamond Trends - Saturday
?ST LOUIS is 23-2 (+21.5 Units) against the money line revenging a loss versus opponent as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ST LOUIS 6.6, OPPONENT 2.9.

?DETROIT is 16-3 OVER (+13.1 Units) in home games versus teams outscoring opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 6.4, OPPONENT 4.5.

?PHILADELPHIA is 5-27 (-25.4 Units) against the run line after 3 straight games where they committed no errors over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 3.0, OPPONENT 5.8.

?C.J. WILSON is 11-0 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WILSON 6.2, OPPONENT 2.5.

?MARK BUEHRLE is 15-3 UNDER (+11.4 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BUEHRLE 4.0, OPPONENT 3.2.

Situation Analysis of The Day
?Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (American League) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL.
(69-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (86.2%, +48.9 units. Rating = 5*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -182.7
The average score in these games was: Team 5.5, Opponent 2.6 (Average run differential = +2.9)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (28-6, +16.8 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (141-52, +44.5 units).

 

[WildBillPicks7]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Miller is 1-1, 3.00 in his last two starts.
-- Colorado won all three Nicasio starts (2-0, 3.50).
-- Erlin is 1-1, 3.38 in two starts this season.

-- Peavy is 0-0, 1.42 in his last two starts.
-- Ventura is 1-0, 1.38 in two starts this season.
-- Ross is 1-0, 1.69 in his last couple starts.
-- Chavez is 0-0, 2.25 in three starts, all won by Oakland's bullpen.


Cold pitchers
-- Strasburg is 1-2, 7.29 in four starts this season.
-- Hale is 0-0, 3.86 in two starts this season. Wheeler is 1-2, 4.67 in his three starts this season.
-- Estrada is 1-1, 3.57 in three starts this month. Cole is 1-1, 6.75 in his last couple starts.
-- Bailey is 0-1, 8.16 in his first three starts. Villanueva is 1-1, 11.25 in two starts this season.
-- Hernandez has a 4.41 RA in his first three '14 starts.
-- Lincecum is 0-1, 7.20 in three starts this season.
-- Collmenter allowed three runs in four IP (73 PT) in his first '14 start, his first one since 2012. Beckett is 0-0, 5.00 in two starts this month.

-- Scherzer is 1-1, 4.15 in two starts this year. Santiago is 0-2, 4.96 in his first three starts this year.
-- Carrasco is 0-2, 8.71 in two starts this season. Morrow is 1-1, 4.30 in three starts this season.
-- Tillman is 0-3, 7.31 in his first three starts for Baltimore.
-- Nuno is making first '14 start; he was 1-1, 2.12 in three starts LY. Ramos allowed four runs in two IP in his first '14 start.
-- Hughes is 0-2, 7.20 in his first three starts for Minnesota.
-- Johnson is 0-1, 6.35 in three starts this season.
-- Peacock is making first '14 start; he was 2-1, 3.65 in last four starts LY, has a 7.45 RA in four relief appearances this year.

-- Slowey has made 104 MLB starts; he was 3-6, 4.11 in 14 starts for Miami last season; he has a 5.11 RA in four relief stints this month. Maurer is making first '14 start; he was 1-0, 3.12 in his last three starts LY.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
Cin-Cubs: Bailey 1-3; Villanueva 0-2
Stl-Wsh: Miller 0-3; Strasburg 2-4
Mil-Pitt: Estrada 0-3; Cole 0-3
Atl-NY: Hale 1-2; Wheeler 2-3
Phil-Col: Hernandez 1-3; Nicasio 1-3
SF-SD: Lincecum 2-3; Erlin 0-2
Az-LA: Collmenter 0-1; Beckett 1-2

LA-Det: Santiago 0-3; Porcello 2-2
Tor-Cle: Morrow 1-3; Carrasco 1-2
NY-TB: Nuno 0-0; Ramos 0-1
Blt-Bos: Jimenez 1-3; Peavy 0-3
Chi-Tex: Johnson 2-3; Ross 1-3
Min-KC: Hughes 1-3; Ventura 1-2
Hst-A's: Peacock 0-0; Chavez 2-3

Sea-Mia: Maurer 0-0; Slowey 0-0

Totals
-- Eight of last eleven Cub games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven St Louis road games.
-- Seven of last eight Milwaukee road games went over.
-- Eight of eleven Atlanta road games stayed under.
-- Eight of last twelve Philly games went over total.
-- Six of last seven San Diego games stayed under.
-- Seven of last nine Arizona road games went over total.

-- 12 of 16 Angel games went over the total.
-- Last four Cleveland home games stayed under.
-- Four of last six Bronx road games stayed under.
-- 13 of 18 Boston games stayed under the total.
-- 11 of 18 White Sox games went over the total.
-- 13 of 17 Minnesota games went over the total. Five of Royals' last seven home games stayed under.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Oakland games.

-- Eight of Miami's last ten games went over total.

Hot teams
-- Cincinnati won four of its last six games.
-- Washington won five of its last seven home games. Cardinals won six of last eight games overall.
-- Brewers won eight of their nine road games.
-- Braves won seven of their last eight games.
-- Colorado won six of its eight home games.
-- San Diego won seven of its last ten games.


-- Angels are 5-3 on the road this season.
-- Blue Jays won seven of last eleven games.
-- Tampa Bay won five of its last seven home games.
-- Boston won three of last four games. Orioles won four of their last six.
-- Rangers won six of their last seven games.
-- Kansas City won its last five games.
-- Oakland won five of its last six games.

-- Miami won its last two games, scoring 15 runs.

Cold teams
-- Cubs lost 11 of their first 16 games.
-- Pirates lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Mets lost six of their eight home games.
-- Phillies lost four of their last five games.
-- San Francisco lost its last three games, scoring one run in each game.
-- Arizona lost seven of its last eight games. Dodgers lost four of seven at home.

-- Detroit lost three of its last five home games.
-- Indians lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Bronx lost last two games, allowing 27 runs.
-- Twins lost five of their eight road games.
-- White Sox lost six of their eight road games.
-- Astros lost 13 of their last 16 games.

-- Seattle lost seven of their last eight games.

Umpires
-- StL-Wsh-- All four Gibson games this season stayed under.
-- Cin-Chi-- Five of last seven Blaser games stayed under.
-- Mil-Pitt-- Nine of last eleven Culbreth games stayed under.
-- Atl-NY-- Last five Wegner games stayed under the total.
-- Phil-Col-- This is second MLB game behind plate for rookie Segal.
-- Az-LA-- This is second MLB game behind plate for rookie Pattillo.
-- SF-SD-- Seven of last eight Dimuro games stayed under.

-- Tor-Cle-- Underdogs won eight of last twelve Kulpa games.
-- LA-Det-- Underdogs won nine of last fourteen Knight games.
-- Blt-Bos-- Nine of last twelve TBarrett games stayed under.
-- Min-KC-- Seven of last nine Gorman games went over total.
-- Hst-A's-- Six of last eight Fletcher games stayed under total.
-- NY-TB-- Visiting team won last five Fagan games.
-- Chi-Tex-- 12 of last 14 Hoye games stayed under total.

-- Sea-Mia-- Five of last six Hickox games stayed under total.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Diamond Trends - Sunday
?NY METS are 1-11 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY METS 3.1, OPPONENT 6.1.

?DETROIT is 16-3 OVER (+13.1 Units) in home games versus teams outscoring opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 6.4, OPPONENT 4.5.

?KANSAS CITY is 18-4 (+15.2 Units) against the run line in home games versus teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 3.9, OPPONENT 3.2.

?CARLOS CARRASCO is 1-13 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in home games versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse since 1997.
The average score was CARRASCO 2.4, OPPONENT 6.8.

?BRANDON MORROW is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MORROW 6.6, OPPONENT 5.4.

Situation Analysis of The Day
?Play Against - Any team against a 1.5 run line (MIAMI) - with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (National League) against opponent with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL).
(52-18 since 1997.) (74.3%, +34.7 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (44-26)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.6, money line price: +101
The average score in these games was: Team 4.9, Opponent 3.9 (Average run differential = +1)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 37 (52.9% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3, +7.6 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-5, +7.9 units).

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Hot pitchers
-- Harang is 3-1, 0.70 in four starts this season.
-- Samardzija has a 1.93 RA in four starts, but no wins. Miley is 1-0, 1.93 in two true road starts.
-- Chatwood is 1-0, 3.46 in two starts this season. Cain is winless in his four starts this season, but has a 1.29 RA in his last two months.
-- Simon is 2-1, 1.29 in three starts this month.
-- Wacha is 2-1, 2.43 in four starts this season. Niese has a 2.84 RA in three starts, but no wins.
-- Lohse is 3-0, 3.15 in his last three starts. Ross is 2-0, 0.60 in his last couple starts.
-- Greinke is 3-0, 2.45 in four starts this season.

-- Gray is 3-0, 2.52 in four starts this season. Perez is 3-0, 1.54 in his last three starts; he threw 17 scoreless innings in his last two starts.
-- Tillman is 2-1, 2.39 in four starts this month.
-- Vargas is 2-0, 1.24 in four starts this season.
-- Pineda is 2-1, 1.00 in three starts this season.

-- Gonzalez is 3-1, 2.88 in four starts this season.

Cold pitchers
-- Eovaldi is 0-1, 4.66 in his last three starts.
-- Morton is 0-2, 6.63 in his last three starts.
-- Hamels is making first '14 start; he was 3-1, 3.73 in his last six '13 starts.

-- Cosart is 0-2, 10.13 in his last three starts. Young is 0-0, 4.00 in two starts.
-- McGowan is 1-2, 4.85 in three starts this season.
-- Masterson is 0-0, 8.59 in his last three starts.
-- Rienzo is making first '14 start; he was 2-3, 4.82 in ten starts LY. Smyly allowed four runs in three IP in his first '14 start.
-- Lackey is 0-2, 9.82 in his last couple starts.
-- Odorizzi is 0-2, 9.00 in his last two starts. Pelfrey is 0-2, 8.79 in three starts this season.

-- Weaver is 1-2, 5.11 in four starts this season.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Eovaldi 1-4; Harang 0-4
-- Miley 1-5; Samardzija 1-4
-- Cain 2-4; Chatwood 0-2
-- Simon 0-3; Morton 0-4
-- Wacha 1-4; Niese 1-3
-- Ross 1-4; Lohse 2-4
-- Hamels 0-0; Greinke 0-4

-- Perez 0-4; Gray 1-4
-- Cosart 3-4; Young 1-2
-- Tillman 1-4; McGowan 2-3
-- Vargas 0-4; Masterson 1-4
-- Rienzo 0-0; Smyly 0-1
-- Pelfrey 1-3; Odorizzi 0-3
-- Pineda 0-3; Lackey 2-4

-- Weaver 1-4; Gonzalez 2-4

Totals
-- Six of Reds' last nine games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten St Louis road games.
-- Six of last seven Atlanta games stayed under total.
-- Four of last six Arizona games stayed under total.
-- All eleven games at Miller Park stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-0-1 in Giants' last eight games.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Dodger games.

-- Five of last seven White Sox road games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Cleveland home games stayed under.
-- Eight of eleven Baltimore road games went over the total.
-- Nine of ten Minnesota road games went over total.
-- Four of last five Boston games went over total.
-- Five of last six Texas games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Seattle games.

-- Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Washington games.

Hot teams
-- Cubs won three of their last four games.
-- Braves won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Brewers won five of their last seven games.eams
-- Rockies have won eight of eleven games at Coors Field.
-- Phillies won their last three games.


-- Toronto is 8-5 in its last 13 games.
-- Bronx won seven of its last nine games.
-- Detroit won three of its last four games.
-- Tampa Bay won three of its last four games.
-- Royals won five of their last seven games.
-- Texas won seven of its last eight games.

-- Angels are 7-4 on the road this season.

Cold teams
-- Pittsburgh lost six of its last eight games. Reds are 2-6 in game following a win this season.
-- Cardinals are 4-7 in game following a win. Mets are 4-7 at home this year.
-- Marlins are 1-7 on the road; bullpen have four of the seven losses.
-- Arizona lost nine of its last ten games.
-- Padres lost five of their eight road games.
-- Giants lost five of their last six games.
-- Dodgers are 3-5 in their last eight games.

-- Oakland lost last two games, with bullpen losing both.
-- Orioles lost three of their last four games.
-- Red Sox are 4-7 at home this season.
-- Indians lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Twins lost three of their last four games.
-- White Sox lost five of their last seven games.
-- Astros lost seven of their last nine games, but won last two. Seattle lost its last eight games.

-- Nationals lost eight of their last twelve games.

Umpires
-- Mia-Atl-- Three of four Hudson games stayed under.
-- Az-Chi-- This is first game behind plate for rookie ump Woodring.
-- SF-Col-- All three Conroy games went over the total.
-- Cin-Pitt-- Underdogs won four of last six Barksdale games.
-- StL-NY-- Four of five Foster games went over the total.
-- SD-Mil-- Last three TWelke games stayed under total.
-- Phil-LA-- Underdogs won all three Morales games this year.

-- Tex-A's-- Over is 9-4 in last thirteen Vanover games.
-- Hst-Sea-- Three of four Nelson games went over total.
-- Blt-Tor-- Three of four Muchinski games went over.
-- KC-Cle-- Underdogs won four of last five Hamari games.
-- Chi-Det-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six BWelke games.
-- Min-TB-- Road team won ten of last fourteen Carlson games.
-- NY-Bos-- Home side won 12 of last 14 Davis games.

-- LA-Wsh-- All three Emmel games stayed under total.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Koehler is 2-1, 2.13 in four starts this season. Gee is 1-1, 1.38 in his last two starts.
-- Teheran is 1-0, 0.56 in his last two starts. Cueto is 2-2, 1.38 in five starts; he is 2-0, 0.50 in his last two.
-- Peralta is 3-0, 2.75 in his last three starts. Hammel is 3-1, 2.60 in four starts this month.
-- Wainwright is 3-0, 1.57 in his last three starts. Volquez is 1-1, 2.42 in four starts this season.
-- Burnett is 1-0, 1.32 in his last couple starts.
-- Ryu is 2-0, 0.90 in his last three starts.

-- Gonzalez is 1-0, 2.53 in his last couple starts.
-- Shields is 2-0, 1.93 in his last couple starts.
-- Verlander is 3-0, 3.32 in his last three starts. Gibson is 3-1, 3.63 in four starts this year.
-- Price is 2-1, 4.03 in his last three starts.
-- McHugh threw 6.2 shutout innings, struck out 12 in first '14 start.
-- Tanaka is 3-0, 2.45 in his first four American starts. Richards is 2-0, 2.52 in four starts this month.

Cold pitchers
-- Jordan is 0-3, 10.57 in his last three starts. Kennedy is 0-2, 3.79 in his last three starts.
-- McCarthy is 0-4, 7.61 in his last four starts.
-- de la Rosa is 1-3, 7.13 in five starts this season.

-- Lester is 2-3, 4.54 in five starts. Dickey is 0-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
-- Carroll is making first '14 start; he was 3-1, 1.57 in four AAA starts.
-- Oakland is 0-3 when Milone starts (0-1, 5.82).
-- Harrison is making first '14 start; he was 0-3, 7.56 in his last three starts before getting hurt LY. Maurer allowed one run in 4.1 IP in his only '14 start.

-- Salazar is 0-3, 10.66 in his last three starts. Vogelsong is 0-1, 7.11 in his last three starts.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Koehler 0-4; Gee 1-5
-- Cueto 1-5; Teheran 1-5
-- Kennedy 2-5; Jordan 3-4
-- Hammel 1-4; Peralta 0-4
-- Volquez 2-4; Wainwright 1-5
-- de la Rosa 1-5; Ryu 1-6
-- Burnett 1-5; McCarthy 1-5

-- Lester 1-5; Dickey 1-5
-- Shields 1-5; Gonzalez 0-4
-- Milone 2-3; McHugh 0-1
-- Verlander 2-5; Gibson 2-4
-- Price 2-5; Carroll 0-0
-- Harrison 0-0; Maurer 0-1
-- Richards 0-4; Tanaka 1-4

-- Salazar 1-4; Vogelsong 1-4

Totals
-- Seven of lasr eight San Diego road games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten Atlanta games stayed under.
-- 13 of 14 games at Miller Park stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Pirate gamaes stayed under.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Arizona home games.
-- Last four Dodger games went over the total.

-- 15 of 22 Angel games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Baltimore games went over; seven of Royals' last ten games stayed under. .
-- Last seven Toronto home games went over total.
-- Eight of twelve White Sox home games went over.
-- Last five Oakland road games went over total.
-- 18 of 23 Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Texas away games went over total.

-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven San Francisco games.

Hot teams
-- Mets won five of their last seven games.
-- Nationals won three of their last four games.
-- Braves won seven of last eight home games.
-- Brewers won seven of their last eight games.
-- Phillies won five of their last seven games.
-- Colorado won six of its last nine games.


-- Bronx won nine of last 13 games. Angels are 8-6 away from home.
-- Red Sox won their last four road games.
-- Orioles won three of their last four games.
-- Oakland won six of its last eight road games.
-- Twins won six of last eight home games. Detroit is 6-2 in game following a loss.
-- Rangers won nine of their last eleven games.

-- San Francisco won five of its last six home games.

Cold teams
-- San Diego is 4-8 on the road.
-- Marlins lost nine of their last eleven road games.
-- Cubs lost their last seven away games.
-- Pirates lost seven of their last nine games. St Louis lost five of last seven.
-- Arizona lost ten of their last eleven home games.
-- Dodgers lost four of their last six games.

-- Toronto lost five of its last six games.
-- Royals lost three of their last four games.
-- White Sox lost three of their last four home games. Tampa Bay lost four of its last five road games.
-- Astros lost nine of their last eleven home games.
-- Mariners lost nine of their last eleven games.

-- Cleveland lost its last three road games.

Umpires
-- SD-Wsh-- Four of five Hudson games stayed under total.
-- Pitt-StL-- Underdogs won six of last ten Carlson games.
-- Chi-Mil-- Underdogs won five of last seven Barksdale games.
-- Mia-NY-- Four of five Muchinski games went over total.
-- Cin-Atl-- Under is 7-3-2 in Hamari's last twelve games.
-- Phil-Az-- Last five Davidson games stayed under total.
-- Col-LA-- Rookie ump Scheurwater is umping first game behind plate.

-- LA-NY-- Last three BWelke games went over the total.
-- Bos-Tor-- Five of last seven Foster games went over.
-- Det-Min-- This is rookie ump Woodring's second game behind plate.
-- KC-Balt-- Underdogs won six of last ten Reynolds games.
-- A's-Hst-- Three of four Emmel games stayed under total.
-- TB-Chi-- Four of last five Johnson games went over total.
-- Tex-Sea-- Underdogs won three of four Morales games.

-- Cle-SF-- Underdogs won three of four Barry games.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Leake has a 2.40 RA but no wins in his last two starts.
-- Wainwright is 5-1, 2.25 in his last six starts. Cubs won Arrieta's first two starts (1-0, 3.86).
-- Strasburg is 2-0, 2.39 in his last four starts. Arroyo is 2-0, 1.29 in his last three starts.
-- Beckett is 0-1, 2.01 in his last five starts.
-- Vogelsong is 1-0, 0.89 in his last three starts.

-- Dickey is 2-0, 3.38 in his last three starts. Masterson is 2-0, 2.57 in his last couple starts.
-- Jimenez is 2-0, 0.71 in his last couple starts. Smyly is 1-1, 2.45 in his last three outings.
-- Keuchel is 3-1, 3.23 in his last six starts.
-- Pomeranz threw five shutout innings in his first start for Oakland.
-- Iwakuma is 2-0, 2.45 in his last couple starts.

-- Shields is 4-1, 3.41 in his last five starts. 4 of these on the road all wins

Cold pitchers
-- Cashner is 0-4, 5.73 in his last four starts.
-- Estrada has 4.58 RA in his last three starts. Cole is 1-2, 3.71 in his last five.
-- Turner is 0-0, 6.75 in his first three starts.
-- Minor is 0-2, 6.97 in his first two starts.

-- Nolasco is 1-2, 5.74 in his last four starts. Doubront is 0-1, 7.71 in his last three starts. Enter Peavy for DuBront
-- Harrison has a 7.47 RA in three starts this season.
-- Carroll is 1-2, 5.19 in his last three starts.
-- Price is 0-2, 6.50 in his last three starts.

-- Lee is 0-1, 6.75 in his last three starts.
-- Wheeler is 0-1, 4.50 in his last four starts. Nuno is 0-0, 7.00 in his two starts in the Bronx.
-- Morales is 1-1, 8.44 in his last three starts.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Cashner 2-8; Leake 1-7
-- Cole 3-7; Estrada 1-7
-- Arrieta 0-2; Wainwright 2-8
-- Strasburg 4-8; Arroyo 3-7
-- Turner 1-3; Beckett 1-6
-- Minor 1-2; Vogelsong 1-7

-- Masterson 2-8; Dickey 1-8
-- Smyly 1-4; Jimenez 3-7
-- Doubront 2-7; Nolasco 0-7
-- Harrison 1-3; Keuchel 1-7
-- Carroll 0-3; Pomeranz 0-1
-- Price 2-8; Iwakuma 0-2

-- Shoemaker 0-0; Lee 1-8
-- Wheeler 3-7; Nuno 1-4
-- Morales 2-7; Shields 1-8

Totals
-- Five of last six Cincinnati games stayed under.
-- 10 of last 13 Milwaukee games went over total.
-- 10 of last 13 St Louis home games went over total.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in Arizona's last twelve home games.
-- 13 of last 19 Dodger games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Atlanta games.

-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Cleveland road games.
-- Last four Minnesota home games stayed under.
-- Under is 11-5-1 in Baltimore's home games.
-- Six of last nine Houston home games went over.
-- Four of White Sox' last five road games stayed under; over is 5-1-1 in A's last seven games.
-- Four of last six Seattle games stayed under total.

-- Four of Mets' last five road games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Angel road games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Kansas City home games went over.

Hot teams
-- Reds won five of their last seven home games. San Diego won their last three games, but is 6-10 on foreign soil.
-- Pirates won four of last five games, but are 2-9 in last 11 road games.
-- Arizona won four of its last six games.
-- Giants won 14 of their last 18 games.

-- Cleveland won five of its last six games.
-- Angels won eight of their last twelve games.
-- Detroit won last six road games. Orioles won five of their last seven overall.
-- Red Sox won six of their last eight games.
-- Oakland won its last five games, allowing eight runs.
-- Mariners won eight of their last eleven games.

Cold teams
-- Brewers lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Cubs lost seven of their last nine games. St Louis is 5-8 in its last 13 games.
-- Washington lost five of its last six road games.
-- Miami lost 14 of its 17 road tilts. Dodgers lost six of their last nine games.
-- Braves lost their last five away games.

-- Minnesota is 5-8 in its last thirteen games.
-- Astros lost seven of thier last nine games. Texas lost 10 of last 14.
-- White Sox lost three of their last four games.
-- Tampa Bay lost six of its last seven games.

-- Phillies lost five of their last seven games. Toronto lost three of its last four.
-- Mets lost eight of their last 11 games. Bronx lost five of last six at home.
-- Kansas City lost its last four home games. Rockies lost three of their last four games overall.

Umpires
-- Chi-StL-- Favorites won six of eight Little games.
-- Wsh-Az-- Four of last five Reynolds games went over.
-- Mia-LA-- Underdogs won five of eight Diaz games.
-- Atl-SF-- Underdogs won five of six Hickox games.

-- Det-Balt-- Six of last seven Davidson games stayed under.
-- Tex-Hst-- Home teams won all five Rackley games.
-- Chi-A's-- Four of six Culbreth games stayed under total.
-- Sea-TB-- Favorites won six of seven Cederstrom games.

-- NY-NY-- Four of five Layne games went over the total.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Leake has a 2.40 RA but no wins in his last two starts.
-- Wainwright is 5-1, 2.25 in his last six starts. Cubs won Arrieta's first two starts (1-0, 3.86).
-- Strasburg is 2-0, 2.39 in his last four starts. Arroyo is 2-0, 1.29 in his last three starts.
-- Beckett is 0-1, 2.01 in his last five starts.
-- Vogelsong is 1-0, 0.89 in his last three starts.

-- Dickey is 2-0, 3.38 in his last three starts. Masterson is 2-0, 2.57 in his last couple starts.
-- Jimenez is 2-0, 0.71 in his last couple starts. Smyly is 1-1, 2.45 in his last three outings.
-- Keuchel is 3-1, 3.23 in his last six starts.
-- Pomeranz threw five shutout innings in his first start for Oakland.
-- Iwakuma is 2-0, 2.45 in his last couple starts.

-- Shields is 4-1, 3.41 in his last five starts. 4 of these on the road all wins

Cold pitchers
-- Cashner is 0-4, 5.73 in his last four starts.
-- Estrada has 4.58 RA in his last three starts. Cole is 1-2, 3.71 in his last five.
-- Turner is 0-0, 6.75 in his first three starts.
-- Minor is 0-2, 6.97 in his first two starts.

-- Nolasco is 1-2, 5.74 in his last four starts. Doubront is 0-1, 7.71 in his last three starts. Enter Peavy for DuBront
-- Harrison has a 7.47 RA in three starts this season.
-- Carroll is 1-2, 5.19 in his last three starts.
-- Price is 0-2, 6.50 in his last three starts.

-- Lee is 0-1, 6.75 in his last three starts.
-- Wheeler is 0-1, 4.50 in his last four starts. Nuno is 0-0, 7.00 in his two starts in the Bronx.
-- Morales is 1-1, 8.44 in his last three starts.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Cashner 2-8; Leake 1-7
-- Cole 3-7; Estrada 1-7
-- Arrieta 0-2; Wainwright 2-8
-- Strasburg 4-8; Arroyo 3-7
-- Turner 1-3; Beckett 1-6
-- Minor 1-2; Vogelsong 1-7

-- Masterson 2-8; Dickey 1-8
-- Smyly 1-4; Jimenez 3-7
-- Doubront 2-7; Nolasco 0-7
-- Harrison 1-3; Keuchel 1-7
-- Carroll 0-3; Pomeranz 0-1
-- Price 2-8; Iwakuma 0-2

-- Shoemaker 0-0; Lee 1-8
-- Wheeler 3-7; Nuno 1-4
-- Morales 2-7; Shields 1-8

Totals
-- Five of last six Cincinnati games stayed under.
-- 10 of last 13 Milwaukee games went over total.
-- 10 of last 13 St Louis home games went over total.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in Arizona's last twelve home games.
-- 13 of last 19 Dodger games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Atlanta games.

-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Cleveland road games.
-- Last four Minnesota home games stayed under.
-- Under is 11-5-1 in Baltimore's home games.
-- Six of last nine Houston home games went over.
-- Four of White Sox' last five road games stayed under; over is 5-1-1 in A's last seven games.
-- Four of last six Seattle games stayed under total.

-- Four of Mets' last five road games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Angel road games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Kansas City home games went over.

Hot teams
-- Reds won five of their last seven home games. San Diego won their last three games, but is 6-10 on foreign soil.
-- Pirates won four of last five games, but are 2-9 in last 11 road games.
-- Arizona won four of its last six games.
-- Giants won 14 of their last 18 games.

-- Cleveland won five of its last six games.
-- Angels won eight of their last twelve games.
-- Detroit won last six road games. Orioles won five of their last seven overall.
-- Red Sox won six of their last eight games.
-- Oakland won its last five games, allowing eight runs.
-- Mariners won eight of their last eleven games.

Cold teams
-- Brewers lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Cubs lost seven of their last nine games. St Louis is 5-8 in its last 13 games.
-- Washington lost five of its last six road games.
-- Miami lost 14 of its 17 road tilts. Dodgers lost six of their last nine games.
-- Braves lost their last five away games.

-- Minnesota is 5-8 in its last thirteen games.
-- Astros lost seven of thier last nine games. Texas lost 10 of last 14.
-- White Sox lost three of their last four games.
-- Tampa Bay lost six of its last seven games.

-- Phillies lost five of their last seven games. Toronto lost three of its last four.
-- Mets lost eight of their last 11 games. Bronx lost five of last six at home.
-- Kansas City lost its last four home games. Rockies lost three of their last four games overall.

Umpires
-- Chi-StL-- Favorites won six of eight Little games.
-- Wsh-Az-- Four of last five Reynolds games went over.
-- Mia-LA-- Underdogs won five of eight Diaz games.
-- Atl-SF-- Underdogs won five of six Hickox games.

-- Det-Balt-- Six of last seven Davidson games stayed under.
-- Tex-Hst-- Home teams won all five Rackley games.
-- Chi-A's-- Four of six Culbreth games stayed under total.
-- Sea-TB-- Favorites won six of seven Cederstrom games.

-- NY-NY-- Four of five Layne games went over the total.

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
TUESDAY, MAY 13th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


***** Tuesday, 5/13/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
__________________________________________________ ___

MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #7
The long road to October has begun in the bigs, as 30 teams with high hopes of being the next team to be a part of the Fall Classic have started their journeys. There can only be so many winners in Major League Baseball betting action though, and today, we're looking at the top teams out of the gate in the National League.

?San Francisco Giants (25-14, +$1,153) ? Pitching wins championships. The Giants know that better than any other team in the game, as they have picked up victories in the Fall Classic because of their arms. This year though, it's not the starting pitching which is really doing it for San Francisco. Tim Lincecum has only posted a 5.55 earned run average, while Matt Cain only has a 4.25 ERA and has yet to win his first game. Granted, Tim Hudson has been a fantastic pickup and could be set to win at least 15 games on the campaign, and Madison Bumgarner has once again put up a great season.

It's the bullpen though, that has really been great. Sergio Romo has 12 saves in 13 tries this year, and Jean Machi has a 0.49 ERA and five victories out of the pen. Even when you look at this lineup, there are a lot of good bats here, and if guys like Angel Pagan (.314/.443/.805) and Michael Morse (.273/.537/.843) can continue to light it up at the plate, good things are going to continue for the boys by the Bay.

?Milwaukee Brewers (24-14, +$1,048) ? There isn't a better story right now in baseball than the Brew Crew. Francisco Rodriguez closed out his first 15 games and made it through his first 19 appearances without giving up a run, but he hasn't been the only man in this bullpen who has been virtually perfect. Will Smith has a 0.52 ERA in 17.1 innings of work, while Zach Duke has allowed just three runs in 17.1 innings of work as well. All of the starters have at least show some promise, and short of Matt Garza, all of the starters have ERAs of 3.53 or better. That's how you win lots of games. We can only imagine what this team is going to look like when Ryan Braun comes off of the DL after a freak injury suffered two weeks ago.

?Colorado Rockies (23-17, +$587) ? The Rocks are 13-5 at home this year, and they are really taking advantage of what Coors Field has to offer them. Offensively, this team is just insane at the moment, and it's because Carlos Gonzalez and Troy Tulowitzki are going bananas. As a team, Colorado is batting .302 with an OPS of .855. The team has 57 home runs and is averaging 5.75 runs per game. However, we have to remember that this is a team which historically has a lousy pitching staff. All those great numbers this time of year should probably yield better than a 23-17 record through 40 games. If there is a team amongst these three which could fall, this is the one we would be most wary of.


Diamond Trends - Tuesday
?COLORADO is 1-14 (-17.7 Units) against the money line versus American League teams scoring 4.2 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was COLORADO 3.5, OPPONENT 6.9.

?ATLANTA is 23-5 UNDER (+17.5 Units) versus poor defensive catchers - allowing 0.85 + SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 3.4, OPPONENT 3.0.

?CINCINNATI is 14-2 (+14.8 Units) against the run line versus a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better this season.
The average score was CINCINNATI 4.4, OPPONENT 3.0.

?RYAN VOGELSONG is 17-4 (+15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was VOGELSONG 4.8, OPPONENT 2.9.

?DAVID PRICE is 14-5 OVER (+9.3 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PRICE 4.7, OPPONENT 4.4.

?JUSTIN MASTERSON is 6-14 (-20.0 Units) against the run line as a road underdog when the run line price is -190 to -135 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MASTERSON 2.3, OPPONENT 5.3.

Situation Analysis of The Day
?Play Against - Any team with a money line of +140 or more (COLORADO) - good National League offensive team (>=5.0 runs/game) against a good American League starting pitcher (ERA<=4.20), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities.
(57-23 since 1997.) (71.2%, +37.6 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +105.3
The average score in these games was: Team 5.8, Opponent 4.2 (Average run differential = +1.7)

The situation's record this season is: (0-2, -2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2, +6 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3, +6.2 units).

?Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (DETROIT) - hot hitting American League team - batting .300 or better over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts.
(36-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (87.8%, +28.5 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (22-19 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: -149
The average score in these games was: Team 4.2, Opponent 3.6 (Average run differential = +0.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 22 (53.7% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-1, +8.4 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (183-96, +30.1 units).

?Play Under - Home teams where the total is 7 or less (MILWAUKEE) ? a poor offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (National League), against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA<=3.33), after a one run win.
(52-20 since 1997.) (72.2%, +30.1 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 6.8, Money Line=-109.5
The average score in these games was: Team 3.1, Opponent 3.2 (Total runs scored = 6.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 42 (59.2% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-1, -0.1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-10, +11.7 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (47-18, +27.1 units).