MLB Who's Hot & Who's Not Trend Thread 2014

[The Mover]

#951 ATLANTA @ #952 ST LOUIS - 2:15 PM
?Braves RH Aaron Harang (4-3, 2.98 ERA, WHIP: 1.179) - Harang has pitched well in his past two outings after giving up nine runs in Miami on April 30, allowing six earned runs in 12 innings in going 1-1. That one loss was to St. Louis on May 5, when he gave up four runs ? two earned ? with six strikeouts in six innings. Harang struck out nine in six innings Sunday against the Chicago Cubs, giving up two runs in a 5-2 Atlanta victory.

--KEY STAT: HARANG is 13-4 OVER (+8.9 Units) as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HARANG 3.9, OPPONENT 5.5.

--HARANG is 11-2 UNDER (+8.9 Units) against National League Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HARANG 2.9, OPPONENT 3.0.

?Cardinals RH Shelby Miller (5-2, 3.22 ERA, WHIP: 1.478) - Miller has recovered from a rough start to the season, winning his past four starts while posting a 2.86 ERA. He beat the Braves in Atlanta on May 5, allowing two runs on six hits in five innings, and is 2-1 lifetime against Atlanta. Miller continues to battle control issues with 27 walks ? tied for most in the majors ? but has only allowed seven earned runs during his winning streak.

--KEY STAT: MILLER is 12-6 against the run line (+8.7 Units) at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILLER 4.7, OPPONENT 3.2.

#953 MILWAUKEE @ #954 CHICAGO CUBS - 2:20 PM
?Brewers RH Matt Garza (2-3, 4.98 ERA, WHIP: 1.447) - Garza has a 7.07 ERA in three starts since dominating the Cubs on April 25. Included in that stretch was a rough outing at St. Louis in which he gave up five runs in three innings, lifting his road ERA to 8.36. The 30-year-old is 12-7 with an impressive 2.70 mark in 28 career starts at Wrigley Field.

--KEY STAT: GARZA is 17-26 (-17.2 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GARZA 4.6, OPPONENT 4.7.

?Cubs RH Edwin Jackson (2-3, 4.56 ERA, WHIP: 1.436) - While Garza has scuffled of late, Jackson has been a bit better, allowing four runs while striking out 12 in 13 innings this month. The veteran has yielded just two home runs in 47 1/3 innings on the year and has not issued more than two walks in a start since April 8. Jackson is 4-6 with a 3.69 ERA in 12 career starts against Milwaukee.

--KEY STAT: JACKSON is 17-33 (-15.4 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was JACKSON 4.0, OPPONENT 4.7.

--JACKSON is 23-47 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was JACKSON 3.8, OPPONENT 4.8.

#955 NY METS @ #956 WASHINGTON - 4:05 PM
?Mets RH Bartolo Colon (2-5, 5.84 ERA, WHIP: 1.439) - Despite coming away with a no-decision, Colon was roughed up for the second time in three turns in Monday?s 9-7 victory over the Yankees. The portly 40-year-old yielded seven runs (six earned) and a season high-tying 11 hits in 5 2/3 innings, marking the third outing in which he has allowed at least six earned runs and 10 hits since April 13. Colon, who is allowing opposing hitters to bat .352 against him on the road but has never pitched at Nationals Park, is 1-3 with a 7.67 ERA in five turns away from home.

--KEY STAT: COLON is 20-9 (+12.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7.5 or less since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 4.8, OPPONENT 3.0.

--COLON is 11-2 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 4.6, OPPONENT 1.5.

?Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (3-3, 3.97 ERA, WHIP: 1.238) - Gonzalez was pummeled by Oakland on Sunday, giving up a season-high seven runs on nine hits and three walks over a campaign-low 4 1/3 innings in a 9-1 setback. The two-time All-Star, who surrendered as many homers to Derek Norris in the contest (two) as he did in his first seven turns combined, will make his first start in four outings at home, where he is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA. Gonzalez allowed one run over six frames in a win versus the Mets on April 2 and is 6-1 with a 2.45 ERA in nine all-time turns against them.

--KEY STAT: GONZALEZ is 23-5 (+17.2 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 5.0, OPPONENT 2.5.

--GONZALEZ is 57-27 (+25.5 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 5.0, OPPONENT 3.3.

--GONZALEZ is 41-16 (+18.3 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 5.6, OPPONENT 3.7.

--GONZALEZ is 11-3 OVER (+7.9 Units) versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 5.8, OPPONENT 4.0.

#957 CINCINNATI @ #958 PHILADELPHIA - 7:05 PM
?Reds RH Homer Bailey (3-2, 4.72 ERA, WHIP: 1.511) - Like Hamels, Bailey also is coming off a season high for pitches thrown (112) in his last start. However, Bailey's 7 1/3 innings against the Rockies marked just the second time this season he has lasted more than six frames. The Phillies are one of three National League teams that Bailey has never defeated, as the 28-year-old Texas native is 0-3 with a 3.61 ERA in eight career starts versus Philadelphia.

--KEY STAT: BAILEY is 25-9 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was BAILEY 5.4, OPPONENT 3.3.

--BAILEY is 1-10 (-9.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BAILEY 2.1, OPPONENT 4.6.

?Phillies LH Cole Hamels (0-2, 5.32 ERA, WHIP: 1.732) - Hamels has terrific career numbers against the Reds, going 7-0 with a 1.70 ERA in 10 regular-season starts, not to mention a five-hit shutout in the clinching Game 3 of the 2010 National League Division Series. Brandon Phillips (4-for-28, eight strikeouts) and Joey Votto (2-for-14) are two of the Cincinnati stars with terrible career numbers against Hamels. The former World Series MVP has not pitched well at home this season, however, posting a 9.28 ERA in two starts at Citizens Bank Park.

--KEY STAT: HAMELS is 4-14 (-16.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMELS 3.5, OPPONENT 4.0.

--HAMELS is 6-14 (-14.5 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMELS 3.1, OPPONENT 3.8.

--HAMELS is 4-13 (-14.4 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMELS 2.8, OPPONENT 3.7.

--HAMELS is 7-16 (-15.0 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMELS 3.1, OPPONENT 3.9.

--HAMELS is 3-18 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMELS 3.1, OPPONENT 4.7.

--HAMELS is 0-8 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMELS 2.6, OPPONENT 5.5.

--HAMELS is 7-18 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMELS 2.9, OPPONENT 3.7.

--HAMELS is 3-13 (-14.9 Units) against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMELS 2.8, OPPONENT 4.5.

#959 SAN DIEGO @ #960 COLORADO - 8:10 PM
?Padres LH Robbie Erlin (2-4, 4.22 ERA, WHIP: 1.241) - After posting a 5.83 ERA in six games (five starts) in April, Erlin has yielded just one run in 13 1/3 innings this month. He posted 6 1/3 scoreless frames versus Miami on Sunday, tying a personal best with seven strikeouts and getting through a start without a walk for the third time in his career. The 23-year-old was reached for three runs in 4 2/3 innings against Colorado on April 15.

?Rockies RH Jordan Lyles (5-0, 2.66 ERA, WHIP: 1.085) - Lyles has a chance to become the second Rockies pitcher (Ubaldo Jimenez in 2010) to begin a season 6-0. He has recorded five straight quality starts since allowing three runs in five innings at San Diego on April 14, an outing that left him with a 5.48 ERA in four career appearances versus the Padres. Lyles is 3-0 with a 1.25 ERA in three home starts.

--KEY STAT: LYLES is 12-3 OVER (+8.8 Units) versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LYLES 4.0, OPPONENT 6.1.

--LYLES is 12-2 OVER (+9.9 Units) versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LYLES 4.9, OPPONENT 5.9.

--LYLES is 16-6 OVER (+9.8 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LYLES 5.7, OPPONENT 5.3.

--LYLES is 14-3 OVER (+11.1 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LYLES 4.8, OPPONENT 7.2.

#961 LA DODGERS @ #962 ARIZONA - 8:10 PM
?Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (2-0, 1.74 ERA, WHIP: 1.064) - After winning his first two starts in impressive fashion, Kershaw settled for a no-decision despite striking out nine for the second straight outing. The 26-year-old allowed three runs on seven hits in seven innings versus San Francisco on Sunday. Kershaw improved to 8-6 in his career against Arizona after permitting one run on five hits over 6 2/3 frames in a 3-1 triumph on March 22.

--KEY STAT: KERSHAW is 15-2 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 4.9, OPPONENT 1.8.

?Diamondbacks RH Chase Anderson (1-0, 1.69 ERA, WHIP: 0.560) - Anderson shined in his major-league debut on Sunday, yielding one run on two hits and striking out six in 5 1/3 innings versus the Chicago White Sox. The 26-year-old did himself a favor by routinely getting ahead in the count, while his lone blemish came when Moises Sierra ripped a one-out homer in the sixth. Anderson enjoyed a 20-inning scoreless streak and owned a 4-2 mark with a 0.69 ERA prior to being recalled from Double-A Mobile.

#963 MIAMI @ #964 SAN FRANCISCO - 9:05 PM
?Marlins RH Tom Koehler (3-3, 2.57 ERA, WHIP: 1.143) - Koehler is coming off his worst start of the season as he allowed four runs with five walks while throwing 103 pitches over 3 2/3 innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Monday. The rough outing snapped his 16-inning scoreless streak and raised Koehler?s ERA from 1.99 to 2.57. The 27-year-old is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA in two career starts against the Giants.

?Giants RH Tim Lincecum (3-2, 4.78 ERA, WHIP: 1.546) - Lincecum turned in a stellar effort against the Atlanta Braves on Monday, allowing one run on two hits with 11 strikeouts over a season-high 7 2/3 innings. ?It was vintage Timmy the way he had his good secondary pitches going along with the fastball,? manager Bruce Bochy told MLB.com. Garrett Jones is 4-for-17 with eight strikeouts against the two-time Cy Young Award winner, who is 2-1 with a 3.71 ERA in five career starts against Miami.

--KEY STAT: LINCECUM is 64-44 OVER (+18.6 Units) in the first half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LINCECUM 4.3, OPPONENT 4.1.
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[The Mover]

#965 CHI WHITE SOX @ #966 HOUSTON - 4:10 PM
?White Sox RH Hector Noesi (0-3, 7.25 ERA, WHIP: 1.500) - Noesi has bounced around between three teams in 2014, but he seems to have found a home in Chicago's rotation. In his last outing he recorded his first quality start since June 24, 2012, holding Arizona to three runs over six innings in a 5-1 loss. Noesi will make his first start against the Astros; he has allowed two runs and six hits in 2 2/3 innings over three relief appearances against them.

--KEY STAT: NOESI is 3-10 against the run line (-11.4 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NOESI 2.5, OPPONENT 4.3.

?Astros RH Jarred Cosart (2-3, 4.30 ERA, WHIP: 1.295) - Cosart's ERA is skewed by one disastrous outing at Oakland in which he gave up seven runs and recorded only one out, but he has turned it around since and posted a 2.10 ERA over four straight quality starts. He ended a six-start winless streak last time out, holding Baltimore to two runs over six innings in a 5-2 road win. Cosart faced the White Sox once last season, limiting them to one run over six innings in a no-decision.

#967 OAKLAND @ #968 CLEVELAND - 7:05 PM
?Athletics LH Scott Kazmir (5-1, 2.28 ERA, WHIP: 0.974) - Kazmir rebounded from his first loss with one of his best efforts in his strong season, blanking Washington on four singles over seven innings on Sunday. It was the seventh time in eight outings that Kazmir has yielded three runs or fewer and the seventh time he has pitched at least six innings. Kazmir beat the Indians with 7 1/3 scoreless innings of three-hit ball in his first start of the season.

--KEY STAT: KAZMIR is 18-4 (+12.4 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KAZMIR 6.0, OPPONENT 2.4.

--KAZMIR is 16-4 against the run line (+13.9 Units) versus an American League team with they batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KAZMIR 6.2, OPPONENT 3.1.

--KAZMIR is 10-2 against the run line (+10.7 Units) as a favorite when the run line price is +115 to +160 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KAZMIR 5.3, OPPONENT 1.8.

?Indians RH Josh Tomlin (2-0, 2.13 ERA, WHIP: 0.868) - Tomlin won for the second time in as many starts since he returned to the rotation following Tommy John surgery in August 2012. The 29-year-old Texan limited Tampa Bay to two runs and six hits over six innings after giving up one run on four hits in 6 2/3 innings to beat Minnesota in his season debut. Tomlin lost his only career start against the Athletics, giving up two runs on three hits over 7 2/3 innings in 2011.

#969 DETROIT @ #970 BOSTON - 7:10 PM
?Tigers RH Rick Porcello (6-1, 3.22 ERA, WHIP: 1.030) - Porcello has won five straight starts and allowed two or fewer earned runs in each of his last three turns. The 25-year-old has issued only six walks in 44 2/3 innings and is fully recovered from the tightness in his left side that forced him to leave a start at Baltimore on Monday after six innings. Porcello was removed from the rotation for the playoffs last October and got in one appearance in the ALCS against the Red Sox, surrendering an unearned run on two hits without recording an out.

--KEY STAT: PORCELLO is 18-4 (+13.1 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PORCELLO 5.6, OPPONENT 3.4.

?Red Sox RH John Lackey (5-2, 3.57 ERA, WHIP: 1.208) - Lackey is just as sharp as Porcello of late and has allowed two or fewer earned runs in four straight starts after holding the Texas Rangers to two runs over seven innings last weekend. The veteran struck out nine in that turn and owns 52 punchouts in 53 innings. Lackey made one start against the Tigers in the ALCS and yielded four hits and struck out eight in 6 2/3 scoreless innings to pick up the Game 3 win.

--KEY STAT: LACKEY is 18-5 UNDER (+12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 4.1, OPPONENT 3.4.

--LACKEY is 17-6 UNDER (+10.4 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 4.0, OPPONENT 3.8.

--LACKEY is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) versus teams outscoring opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 2.9, OPPONENT 2.6.

--LACKEY is 23-6 UNDER (+16.0 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 4.1, OPPONENT 3.4.

--LACKEY is 13-3 UNDER (+9.4 Units) at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 4.4, OPPONENT 2.6.

--LACKEY is 28-9 UNDER (+17.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 3.9, OPPONENT 3.4.

#971 BALTIMORE @ #972 KANSAS CITY - 7:10 PM
?Orioles RH Bud Norris (2-3, 3.98 ERA, WHIP: 1.209) - The Orioles had won three straight games with Norris on the mound before he gave up four runs on five hits over 7 2/3 innings in a loss to Detroit on Monday. The Californian has been much better at home (24-20) than on the road (16-32) in his career. Alex Gordon is 3-for-3 against Norris, who did not get a decision after tossing six scoreless innings last season in his only career start versus Kansas City.

?Royals LH Danny Duffy (1-3, 1.96 ERA, WHIP: 1.038) - Duffy has allowed two runs, four hits and seven walks combined in his two starts in place of injured Bruce Chen, but was saddled with losses in both games. The 25-year-old is only 2-9 lifetime at home while winning seven of 11 decisions on the road. J.J. Hardy has a double and a walk in two at-bats versus Duffy, who yielded two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings over two outings (one start) against Baltimore.

#973 SEATTLE @ #974 MINNESOTA - 7:10 PM
?Mariners LH Roenis Elias (3-2, 3.69 ERA, WHIP: 1.381) - Elias remained unbeaten in his last four turns after settling for a no-decision in Sunday?s 9-7 setback against the Kansas City Royals. The 25-year-old rookie, who is 3-1 with a 3.23 ERA in five all-time road starts, was charged with five runs (three earned) and a season-high nine hits over five frames. Elias has already issued 20 walks ? tied for the ninth-highest total in the American League ? and will square off against the Twins for the first time in his career.

?Twins RH Samuel Deduno (0-2, 3.64 ERA, WHIP: 1.364) - Deduno did not factor into the decision during Sunday?s 4-3 win over the Detroit Tigers, his second start following seven relief appearances. The Twins? swingman allowed three runs and six hits over a season-high six frames in place of the injured Mike Pelfrey, but was in line for the loss until Minnesota scored all of their runs after he departed. Deduno has been stellar in three career starts against the Mariners, compiling a 2-1 record and 0.90 ERA.

--KEY STAT: DEDUNO is 13-1 UNDER (+12.0 Units) versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DEDUNO 2.9, OPPONENT 3.1.

--DEDUNO is 12-1 UNDER (+11.0 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DEDUNO 2.8, OPPONENT 3.1.

--DEDUNO is 13-2 UNDER (+10.8 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DEDUNO 2.9, OPPONENT 3.3.

--DEDUNO is 15-4 UNDER (+10.5 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DEDUNO 3.5, OPPONENT 3.6.

--DEDUNO is 16-3 UNDER (+12.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DEDUNO 3.1, OPPONENT 3.2.

#975 TORONTO @ #976 TEXAS - 8:05 PM
?Blue Jays LH Mark Buehrle (7-1, 2.04 ERA, WHIP: 1.245) - Buehrle turned in another quality start on Monday against the Los Angeles Angels, earning his seventh win after allowing two runs in six-plus innings. ?Mark is amazing at what he does,? third baseman Brett Lawrie told reporters. ?You know he?s going to go out there and compete for us, and every single night he?s going to give us a chance to win.? Choo is 14-for-33 with a homer against Buehrle, who is 13-5 with a 3.14 ERA in 22 career games (19 starts) against the Rangers.

--KEY STAT: BUEHRLE is 12-2 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 5.6, OPPONENT 3.8.

--BUEHRLE is 17-5 UNDER (+11.0 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 4.2, OPPONENT 3.3.

?Rangers LH Robbie Ross (1-4, 5.04 ERA, WHIP: 1.545) - Ross? spot in the rotation was in jeopardy after he allowed 21 runs (17 earned) over his last three starts covering 15 1/3 innings, but season-ending injuries to Martin Perez and Matt Harrison have prevented the Rangers from moving the 24-year-old to the bullpen. Ross threw a career-high 112 pitches against Boston on Sunday, when he settled in after a rough first two innings and exited after 6 2/3 frames. He's enjoyed success as a reliever against Toronto, throwing 7 1/3 scoreless innings in five career appearances.

#977 TAMPA BAY @ #978 LA ANGELS - 9:05 PM
?Rays LH Cesar Ramos (1-2, 3.71 ERA, WHIP: 1.382) - Ramos put up career highs with 6 2/3 innings and 114 pitches in his last start but surrendered 11 hits in a 12-5 loss at Seattle. The Los Angeles native had allowed only four runs in his previous four turns that encompassed 20 1/3 frames while earning just one victory. Ramos has given up three runs over 2 2/3 innings in five career relief appearances against the Angels.

?Angels LH C.J. Wilson (4-3, 3.69 ERA, WHIP: 1.174) - Wilson won four of five decisions before going 0-1 in his last two starts, yielding eight runs in 14 combined innings against Toronto and the New York Yankees. The 33-year-old veteran has recorded 54 strikeouts and 19 walks in 53 2/3 frames while giving up 44 hits. Sean Rodriguez is 6-for-18 with a homer against Wilson, who is 4-2 with a 3.41 ERA in 21 appearances (eight starts) versus Tampa Bay.

--KEY STAT: WILSON is 12-3 UNDER (+8.6 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WILSON 4.1, OPPONENT 2.7.

--WILSON is 18-8 OVER (+9.9 Units) in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WILSON 5.5, OPPONENT 4.7.

#979 PITTSBURGH @ #980 NY YANKEES - 4:05 PM
?Pirates RH Edinson Volquez (1-3, 4.36 ERA, WHIP: 1.201) - Volquez saw his winless streak extended to four games in Saturday?s 4-3 triumph over the St. Louis Cardinals after giving up three runs on four hits and four walks over 4 2/3 innings. The 2008 All-Star, who is 0-3 with an 8.81 ERA since notching his only win of the season on April 17, is averaging 0.58 strikeouts per inning in 2014 ? down significantly from his 0.94 career mark entering the season. Volquez won his only career start against the Yankees in 2008, allowing two runs over seven frames.

--KEY STAT: VOLQUEZ is 41-28 (+17.3 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOLQUEZ 4.4, OPPONENT 4.0.

?Yankees RH David Phelps (0-0, 4.09 ERA, WHIP: 1.455) - With Ivan Nova and CC Sabathia out of the rotation due to injuries, Phelps will draw his third straight start after settling for a no-decision in Sunday?s 6-5 loss against the Brewers. The 27-year-old, who has already made nine relief appearances this season, yielded four runs on eight hits with three walks over five innings. Phelps will face the Pirates for the first time in his career and attempt to halt his struggles in interleague play, where he is 0-2 with a 7.02 ERA in six appearances (three starts).
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[The Mover]

Betting Notes - Tuesday
?Hot Pitchers
-- Cueto is 4-0, 0.88 in his last six starts.
-- DeSclafani won his first MLB start, allowing two runs in six IP.
-- Beckett is 1-0, 1.38 in his last two starts.
-- Wainwright is 5-1, 2.34 in his last seven starts. Arroyo is 3-0, 0.77 in his last three starts.
-- Bumgarner is 3-0, 2.84 in his last three starts.

-- Verlander is 5-1, 3.91 in his last seven starts.
-- Pomeranz is 2-0, 0.00 in two starts, throwing five innings each in two home starts. Odorizzi is 1-0, 0.00 (11 IP) in his last two starts.
-- Doubront is 1-0, 1.54 in his last couple starts. Happ is 2-1, 3.38 in his three starts this season.
-- Ventura has a 2.27 RA in his last five starts. Rienzo is 3-0, 4.60 in five starts this season.
-- Iwakuma is 2-0, 1.59 in three starts this season.

-- Tanaka is 5-0, 1.84 in his last six starts.

?Cold Pitchers
-- Fister is 0-1, 6.35 in two starts this season.
-- Burnett is 0-2, 8.18 in his last two starts.
-- Teheran is 0-2, 4.42 in his last three starts. Gallardo is 0-2, 5.50 in his last three outings.
-- Montero lost his MLB debut, allowing three runs in six IP.
-- Morales is 0-2, 8.44 in his last three starts.

-- Bauer allowed two runs in six IP in his only '14 start, April 9.
-- Lewis is 1-2, 7.54 in his three home starts.
-- Feldman is 0-1, 5.82 in his last three starts. Skaggs is 1-1, 7.56 in his last three outings.

-- Liriano is 0-3, 5.27 in his last eight starts. Gonzalez is 0-2, 4.63 in his last four starts.
-- Hammel is 0-1, 4.91 in his last three starts.
-- Kennedy is 0-2, 4.50 in his last three starts. Former Padre Correia is 1-3, 9.00 in his last four starts.

?Totals
-- Under is 8-4 in Cincinnati's last twelve road games.
-- Six of last eight Dodger games went over the total.
-- Under is 12-3-1 in last sixteen Atlanta home games.
-- Seven of last nine Miami games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Arizona games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last ten Colorado home games went over.

-- Over is 8-1-2 in last 11 Cleveland games. Nine of last twelve Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Oakland games went over the total.
-- Last eight games at Fenway Park stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Texas home games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven White Sox games went over; eight of last 11 KC games went under the total. .
-- Under is 5-1-1 in Angels' last seven games. Four of last five Houston games went over the total.

-- Last five Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.
-- Last five games at Wrigley Field stayed under total.
-- Four of last five games at Petco Park went over.

?Hot Teams
-- Braves won five of their last six home games.
-- Marlins won 11 of their last 12 home games.
-- Cardinals won four of their last five games. Arizona won four of its last five road games.
-- Rockies won 12 of its last 16 home games. San Francisco won eight of last eleven road games.

-- Tigers won 11 of its last 12 road games.
-- Blue Jays won five of their last six road games.
-- Athletics won nine of its last ten games.
-- Angels won seven of their last ten games. Houston won five of their last six.

-- Yankees won five of last seven away games.
-- Padres won six of its last nine games. Minnesota won five of last seven.

?Cold Teams
-- Reds lost seven of their last nine road games. Washington is 6-9 in its last 15 games.
-- Mets lost four of their last five games. Los Angeles lost five of their last seven road games.
-- Phillies lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Brewers lost seven of their last nine road games.

-- Indians lost five of its last seven games.
-- Rays lost seven of last eight home games.
-- Red Sox lost five of their last six games.
-- Royals are 4-7 in its last eleven home games. Chicago lost six of their last nine games.
-- Mariners lost four of their last five games. Texas lost six of last eight.

-- Pirates lost five of its last seven games. Baltimore lost six of last eight.
-- Cubs lost ten of their last fourteen games.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Tuesday, May 27

Tuesday, May 27

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Alvarez is 2-1, 3.06 in his last seven starts.
-- de la Rosa is 5-0, 1.85 in his last six starts. Hamels is 1-0, 2.14 in last three.
-- Simon is 2-0, 0.61 in his last couple starts.
-- Greinke is 2-0, 2.25 in his last three starts.
-- Hudson is 3-1, 2.16 in his last five starts. Arrieta is 2-0, 2.79 in four starts this season.

-- Cobb is 1-0, 0.00 (20.2 IP) in his last three starts. Buehrle is 4-0, 2.43 in his last five starts.
-- Sale is 4-0, 1.89 in his five starts this season.
-- Hughes is 5-0, 1.83 in his last six starts. Darvish is 3-1, 2.10 in his last four.
-- Weaver is 5-1, 1.70 in his last seven starts.
-- Scherzer is 6-0, 2.54 in his last seven starts. Gray is 2-0, 1.75 in his last five.

-- Chen is 2-0, 3.79 in his last three starts.
-- Lynn is 1-0, 2.77 in his last two starts. Phelps is 1-1, 1.50 in his last two.

Cold pitchers
-- Treinen is 0-2, 4.22 in two starts this season.
-- Volquez is 1-4, 5.97 in his last six starts. Niese is 1-1, 5.82 in his last three.
-- Stults is 0-2, 5.56 in his last two starts.
-- Miley is 1-3, 5.23 in his last five starts.

-- Masterson is 0-2, 9.98 in his last three starts.
-- McHugh is 0-3, 5.56 in his last four starts. Guthrie is 0-2, 4.54 in his last five outings.
-- Elias is 0-1, 5.19 in his last three starts.

-- Lester is 0-2, 6.17 in his last two starts. Harang is 1-3, 7.07 in his last five.
-- Garza is 0-1, 4.91 in his last three starts.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Alvarez 4-10; Treinen 0-2
-- de la Rosa 3-10; Hamels 2-6
-- Volquez 4-9; Niese 4-9
-- Stults 3-10; Miley 2-11
-- Simon 4-9; Greinke 1-10
-- Arrieta 1-4; Hudson 0-9


-- Cobb 1-4; Buehrle 2-10
-- Masterson 2-11; Sale 0-5
-- McHugh 1-6; Guthrie 3-10
-- Darvish 1-9; Hughes 2-9
-- Scherzer 3-10; Gray 3-10
-- Weaver 2-10; Elias 3-10 (2 of last 2)

-- Lester 3-10; Harang 1-10
-- Chen 2-9; Garza 5-10 (4 of last 5)
-- Phelps 0-4; Lynn 3-10

Totals
-- Under is 5-1 in Pittsburgh's last six road games.
-- Seven of last ten Miami road games went over.
-- Seven of last ten Cub games stayed under.
-- Eight of last ten Colorado road games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Arizona games stayed under total.
-- Under is 10-5 in last fifteen Cincinnati road games.

-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Texas road games.
-- Over is 9-5 in White Sox' last fourteen games.
-- Last eight Detroit games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-3-2 in last thirteen Angel games.
-- Under is 4-1 in last five Toronto home games.
-- Nine of last thirteen Houston road games stayed under.

-- Under is 16-4-2 in last 22 Atlanta home games.
-- Under is 7-3-2 in last twelve Milwaukee games.
-- Four of last six St Louis home games stayed under.


Hot teams
-- Pirates won five of last six games, but are 5-13 in last 18 on road.
-- Dodgers won five of their last seven games.
-- San Francisco won five of its last seven games.

-- Rangers won five of their last six games.
-- Angels won 12 of their last 17 games.
-- Blue Jays won nine of their last eleven games. Tampa Bay won four of its last five games.
-- Houston won its last three games.

-- Cardinals won nine of their last twelve games. Bronx is 9-5 in last fourteen road games.


Cold teams
-- Mets lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Miami lost seven of its last 11 away games. Washington lost five of its last six games.
-- Cubs lost seven of their last eleven road games.
-- Rockies lost six of their last seven road games. Phillies lost four of their last six games.
-- Arizona lost 16 of its 23 home games. San Diego lost six of its last eight games overall.
-- Reds lost nine of last twelve road games.

-- Minnesota lost its last four games.
-- White Sox are 5-7 in their last dozen home games. Cleveland lost four of its last five games.
-- Detroit lost seven of its last eight games. Oakland lost four of its last five games, but won eight of last nine at home.
-- Mariners are 5-6 in their last eleven home games.
-- Kansas City is 5-9 in its last 14 home games.

-- Red Sox lost 10 of their last 11 games. Atlanta is 6-7 in its last 13 games.
-- Milwaukee lost six of its last nine games. Orioles lost four of their last five road games.

Umpires
-- Mia-Wsh-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Buckminster games.
-- Col-Phil-- Five of last six Gorman games stayed under.
-- Pitt-NY-- Underdogs won last seven Fagan games; last five stayed under.
-- SD-Az-- Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Cooper games.
-- Cin-LA-- Eight of eleven GGibson games stayed under.
-- Chi-SF-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Fletcher games.

-- TB-Tor-- Underdogs won eight of last nine Hudson games.
-- Cle-Chi-- Underdogs won seven of nine Hickox games.
-- Hst-KC-- Last three Danley games stayed under total.
-- Tex-Min-- Five of last six Estabrook games went over.
-- Det-A's-- Over is 54-36 in Campos games since 2008.
-- LA-Sea-- Underdogs won four of last seven HGibson games.

-- Bos-Atl-- Eight of last nine Davidson games stayed under.
-- Blt-Mil-- Five of last seven Reyburn games went over.
-- NY-StL-- Underdogs are 6-4 in Morales games this season

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Wednesday May 28

Wednesday May 28

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Alvarez is 2-1, 3.06 in his last seven starts.
-- Lincecum is 2-1, 2.75 in his last three starts.
-- Hernandez is 1-1, 1.45 in his last three starts. Lyles is 1-0, 2.50 in his last three road starts.
-- Stauffer threw five shutout innings in his only '14 start.
-- Kershaw is 3-1, 3.49 in five starts, only one of which was at home.

-- Cosart is 2-1, 4.15 in his last three starts. Duffy has a 2.74 RA in four starts but only one win.
-- Hendriks allowed one run in 5.2 IP in his first '14 start.
-- Sanchez is 2-0, 2.57 in his last three starts. Kazmir is 3-2, 3.34 in his last six.
-- Hernandez is 3-0, 2.78 in his last three starts. Wilson is 2-0, 0.59 in his last two starts.

-- Lackey is 3-1, 2.83 in his last six starts.
-- Miller is 5-1, 3.18 in his last six starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Zimmerman is 1-1, 6.11 in his last three starts.
-- Colon is 1-2, 6.44 in his last five starts. Morton is 1-2, 4.34 in his last three.
-- Jackson is 1-2, 5.82 in his last three starts.
-- Anderson has a 7.24 RA in three starts this year.
-- Bailey is 0-2, 8.04 in his last three road starts.

-- Archer is 1-1, 6.68 in his last six starts.
-- Noesi is 0-3, 5.74 in five starts this season. House allowed five runs in six IP in his first MLB start.
-- Gibson is 1-2, 7.71 in his last three starts. Saunders allowed five runs in 3.2 IP in his first '14 start April 4-- he got hit by a line drive, went on DL.

-- Floyd is 0-1, 4.91 in his last three starts.
-- Gallardo is 0-3, 6.33 in his last four starts. Norris is 1-2, 3.71 in his last four.
-- Kuroda is 1-2, 6.69 in his last six starts.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Alvarez 4-10; Zimmerman 1-10
-- Morton 2-10; Colon 3-10
-- Jackson 4-10; Lincecum 4-10
-- Lyles 3-10; Hernandez 4-8
-- Stauffer 0-1; Anderson 0-3
-- Bailey 3-10; Kershaw 0-5


-- Cosart 5-10; Duffy 0-4
-- Archer 2-10; Hendriks 0-1
-- House 0-1; Noesi 3-5
-- Saunders 1-1; Gibson 3-9
-- Sanchez 3-7; Kazmir 2-10
-- Wilson 3-10; Hernandez 1-11

-- Floyd 0-4; Lackey 3-10
-- Norris 2-9; Gallardo 2-10
-- Kuroda 5-10 (4 of last 5); Miller 0-10

Totals
-- Under is 6-1 in Pittsburgh's last seven road games.
-- Seven of last ten Miami road games went over.
-- Eight of last eleven Cub games stayed under.
-- Eight of last eleven Colorado road games stayed under.
-- Eight of last nine Arizona games stayed under total.
-- Under is 10-6 in last sixteen Cincinnati road games.

-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Texas road games.
-- Over is 9-6 in White Sox' last fifteen games.
-- Last nine Detroit games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-4-2 in last fourteen Angel games.
-- Under is 4-2 in last six Toronto home games.
-- Ten of last fourteen Houston road games stayed under.

-- Under is 16-5-2 in last 23 Atlanta home games.
-- Under is 7-4-2 in last thirteen Milwaukee games.
-- Five of last seven St Louis home games stayed under.


Hot teams
-- Pirates won five of last seven games, but are 5-14 in last 19 on road.
-- Dodgers won six of their last eight games.
-- San Francisco won six of its last eight games.

-- Rangers won five of their last seven games.
-- Angels won 13 of their last 18 games.
-- Blue Jays won ten of their last twelve games. Tampa Bay won four of its last six games.
-- Houston won its last four games.

-- Milwaukee won five of its last seven home games.
-- Cardinals won ten of their last thirteen games. Bronx is 9-6 in last fifteen road games.


Cold teams
-- Mets lost nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Miami lost seven of its last 11 away games. Washington lost five of its last six games.
-- Cubs lost eight of their last twelve road games.
-- Rockies lost six of their last eight road games. Phillies lost five of their last seven games.
-- Arizona lost 17 of its 24 home games. San Diego lost six of its last nine games overall.
-- Reds lost ten of last thirteen road games.

-- Minnesota lost four of its last five games.
-- White Sox are 6-7 in their last thirteen home games. Cleveland lost five of its last six games.
-- Detroit lost seven of its last nine games. Oakland lost five of its last six.
-- Mariners are 5-7 in their last twelve home games.
-- Kansas City is 5-10 in its last 15 home games.

-- Red Sox lost 10 of their last 12 games, but won last two. Atlanta is 6-8 in its last 14 games.
-- Orioles lost five of their last six road games.

Umpires
-- Mia-Wsh-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Buckminster games.
-- Col-Phil-- Home side won all eight Rackley games; under is 5-1-1 in his last seven games behind the plate.
-- Pitt-NY-- Five of last six Nelson games stayed under.
-- SD-Az-- Underdogs won seven of last eight Barber games; over is 6-1-1 in those games.
-- Cin-LA-- Visiting team won four of last five Cuzzi games.
-- Chi-SF-- Six of seven Segal games went over the total.

-- TB-Tor-- Seven of nine O'Nora games stayed under the total.
-- Cle-Chi-- Over is 7-1-1 in LBarrett games.
-- Hst-KC-- Four of last five Barksdale games went over total.
-- Tex-Min-- Four of last five Hoberg games stayed under.
-- Det-A's-- Five of last seven Meals games went over total.
-- LA-Sea-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Scott games.

-- Bos-Atl-- Seven of ten Hoye games stayed under.
-- Blt-Mil-- Favorites won seven of nine Kellogg games.
-- NY-StL-- Last four Vanover games went over the total.

 

[woodsy]

FRIDAY, MAY 30

FRIDAY, MAY 30

Hot pitchers
-- Teheran is 2-0, 0.00 (15 IP) in his last two starts.
-- Wood is 3-0, 3.98 in his last three starts.
-- Cardinals won last four Wainwright starts (3-0, 0.87). Bumgarner is 4-0, 2.81 in his last five starts.
-- ASU alum Leake is 0-2, 1.77 in his last five starts. Former Red Arroyo is 3-1, 2.15 in his last four starts.
-- Beckett threw no-hitter Sunday; he is 3-0, 2.21 in his last three starts.-- Vargas is 2-0, 3.65 in his last four starts. Happ is 3-0, 2.50 in his last three.
-- Gonzalez is 2-0, 2.84 in his last three starts.
-- Pomeranz is 3-1, 0.95 in four starts this season.
-- Iwakuma is 2-1, 1.74 in his last four starts.
-- Lewis is 3-0, 2.12 in his last three road starts.
-- Kluber is 3-0, 2.02 in his last five starts. Nicasio is 3-1, 2.70 in his last five.

Cold pitchers
-- Burnett is 1-3, 7.43 in his last four starts. Mets are 0-3 when Montero starts (0-2, 4.96); this is his first road start.
-- Koehler is 1-2, 6.32 in his last three starts.
-- Estrada has a 5.16 RA in his last five starts.
-- Liriano is 0-2, 6.93 in his last five starts.
-- Nolasco is 0-3, 5.58 in his last five starts. Nuno is 0-1, 7.16 in his last three.
-- Price is 1-2, 4.71 in his last four starts. Workman allowed three runs in five IP in his first '14 start.
-- Oberholtzer is 1-3, 8.41 in his last four starts.
-- Richards is 0-1, 5.14 in his last couple starts.
-- Verlander is 1-3, 5.92 in his last four starts.
-- Strasburg is 0-2, 3.43 in his last three starts.
-- Kennedy is 1-2, 4.82 in his last three starts. Danks is 0-2, 5.30 in his last three outings.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Montero 1-3; Burnett 4-11 (3 of last 3)
-- Teheran 2-11; Koehler 1-10
-- Wood 2-10; Estrada 3-10
-- Bumgarner 2-11; Wainwright 2-11
-- Leake 1-10; Arroyo 4-9
-- Liriano 4-11; Beckett 1-9
-- Nolasco 2-10; Nuno 3-7
-- Vargas 1-11; Happ 0-5
-- Price 5-11 (3 of last 3); Workman 0-1
-- Gonzalez 2-9; Oberholtzer 4-8
-- Richards 2-10; Pomeranz 0-4
-- Verlander 4-11; Iwakuma 0-5
-- Lewis 3-8; Strasburg 4-11
-- Nicasio 4-10; Kluber 3-11
-- Kennedy 3-11; Danks 3-10

Totals
-- Six of Mets' last seven games stayed under total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Atlanta road games.
-- Nine of last twelve Cub games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven St Louis games went over total.
-- 12 of last 15 Arizona games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last nine Dodger home games went over; seven of last nine Pirate road games stayed under.
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Bronx series openers.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Kansas City games.
-- 10 of last 13 Boston home games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Baltimore road games went over.
-- Over is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Oakland home games.
-- Nine of last eleven Detroit games went over total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Washington games.
-- Last three Colorado games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine White Sox home games stayed under. Four of last five San Diego road games went over.

Hot teams
-- Mets won their last three games, allowing three runs.
-- Marlins won five of their last seven games.
-- Milwaukee won six of its last eight home games.
-- Giants won seven of their last eight games.
-- Arizona won five of its last six home games.
-- Pittsburgh won six of its last nine games.
-- Bronx won four of its last five games.
-- Red Sox won their last four games.
-- Toronto won seven of its last eight home games.
-- Houston won its last six games.
-- Angels won eight of their last twelve games.
-- Rangers won seven of their last nine games.
-- White Sox won seven of their last ten games.

Cold teams
-- Phillies lost six of their last nine games.
-- Braves lost five of their last six games.
-- Cubs lost nine of their last thirteen road games.
-- Cardinals lost three of their last four games.
-- Reds lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Dodgers are 7-11 in their last 18 home games.
-- Twins lost six of their last seven games.
-- Tampa Bay lost its last five away games.
-- Kansas City lost four of its last five games.
-- Orioles lost seven of their last eight road games.
-- Oakland lost six of its last eight games.
-- Detroit lost eight of its last eleven games. Mariners are 5-7 in their last 12 home games.
-- Nationals lost six of their last seven games. Cleveland lost five of last six.
-- Colorado lost five of its last seven games.
-- Padres lost seven of their last ten games.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Monday, June 9

Monday, June 9

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY

***** Monday, 6/9/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
________________________________________________

MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #11
?Angels-Athletics Pull The Big Bats Out: The Oakland Athletics and Los Angeles Angels are set to do battle Monday evening (10:05 PM EST) for the American League West lead. It's sure to be a closely fought series, but bettors can look to the totals for a safer bet. In the last five meetings this season, the Athletics and Angels have gone over in every one. Not one of those games have seen the teams score less than nine runs and have averaged 13 notches on the scoreboard per game.

?Reds-Dodgers Keep It Close, Totals Bettors Happy: The Cincinnati Reds and Los Angeles Dodgers have not been able to push past their totals in recent memory. In the last 15 clashes between the two clubs, the under has paid out 11 times (with one push). In these 15 games, that spans across the past three seasons, the teams average a combined 5.3 runs per game and has scored five or less runs nine times. The Dodgers have been one of the top under plays in the Major League Baseball away from home, registering an over/under record of 12-18-1 on the road.

?Porcello Hittable, But Unbeatable Against White Sox: The Detroit Tigers could not be sending a better pitcher to the mound Monday night. Rick Porcello has steered the Tigers to a 12-1 record in his last 13 starts against the Chicago White Sox. The White Sox have been able to make consistent contact, registering at least five hits in nine of Porcello's starts, but have rarely turned that into runs. Porcello has kept the White Sox to three runs or less in every one of those starts.

?Latos Could Rejoin Reds' Rotation This Week: The Cincinnati Reds could see their rotation get stronger this week with the return of Mat Latos. According to the Cincinnati Enquirer, if Latos pitches his Triple-a start Monday and feels good he could be back in the majors this week. Latos has been dealing with a strain in his right elbow and has been rejecting surgery. Latos has yet to appear with the team this season, but carried a 14-7 record last season with a 3.16 ERA.

Sunday's MLB Roundup
-- Minnesota Twins officially signed first baseman/designated hitter Kendrys Morales on Sunday to a one-year, prorated $12 million contract. Morales' portion of the deal is more than $7.4 million. Since Morales is not injured and is out of options, the club cannot send him to the minor leagues.

-- The New York Mets optioned catcher Travis D'Arnaud to Triple-A Las Vegas. D'Arnoud, 25, missed more than two weeks earlier this season for post-concussion symptoms. Mets third baseman David Wright was out of the starting lineup for the first time this season, snapping his streak of 62 straight starts this year. The Mets have an off day Monday, and manager Terry Collins said he wanted to give Wright back-to-back days off.

-- San Francisco Giants center fielder Angel Pagan was out of the starting lineup, one day after hurting his right leg while sliding into home plate to score the game-tying run in the ninth inning of a 5-4 win against the Mets. After Saturday night's game, Pagan had his knee and lower leg heavily wrapped.

-- New York Yankees first baseman Mark Teixeira, who sat out May 26-28 and June 1-2 with right wrist inflammation, grounded out as a ninth-inning pinch hitter. Manager Joe Girardi said he was resting Teixeira, who will start Monday. Yankees right-hander Shawn Kelley, who threw 19 pitches in a rehab appearance Saturday for Double-A Trenton, will pitch in a minor league game Monday. He is on the disabled list.

-- Miami Marlins manager Mike Redmond said he may shuffle his rotation this week to enable right-hander Nathan Eovaldi (4-2, 3.27 ERA) to be there for the birth of his child without missing a start. If Eovaldi's wife has not given birth by Wednesday, Eovaldi may be moved up from his scheduled Friday start.

-- The Baltimore Orioles officially activated right-hander Tommy Hunter (groin) from the 15-day disabled list. He had been on the DL since May 22. In a corresponding roster move, the Orioles optioned right-hander Evan Meek, who was the losing pitcher in Friday night's game, to Triple-A Norfolk.

-- Two of the Cincinnati Reds' rehabbing stars have joined the Triple-A Louisville Bats on the road at Pawtucket this week. First baseman Joey Votto, on the disabled list with a quadriceps strain in his left knee, began his rehab assignment on Sunday, going 1-for-3. Right-hander Mat Latos is expected to join the Bats on Monday.

-- The Pittsburgh Pirates placed right-hander Gerrit Cole on the 15-day disabled list with shoulder fatigue. Cole, considered one of the top young arms in the major leagues, is 6-3 with a 3.64 ERA this season.

-- Texas Rangers first baseman Mitch Moreland will be sidelined for about three months due to left ankle surgery. Moreland's ankle has been bothering him since the start of the season. He has had injections and other treatments but has not been able to eliminate the pain.

-- San Diego Padres right-hander Andrew Cashner "felt fine" the day after his first start since May 13 and is expected to start Thursday in Philadelphia unless the Padres elect to give him an extra day off.
________________________________________

Betting Notes - Monday
?Hot Pitchers
-- Morton is 2-1, 3.38 in his last three starts.
-- Vogelsong is 3-0, 2.05 in his last four starts.

-- Dickey is 3-0, 4.91 in his last four home starts. Nolasco is 2-0, 3.46 in his last two outings.
-- House is 1-0, 2.25 in his last couple starts.
-- White Sox won last three Noesi starts (1-0, 2.33).
-- Vargas is 1-0, 1.77 in his last three starts.

-- Collmenter is 3-0, 3.20 in his last four starts.

?Cold Pitchers
-- Jackson is 0-2, 8.79 in his last three starts.
-- Cingrani is 0-4, 5.56 in his last four starts. Haren is 0-3, 6.38 in his last four.
-- Bergman is making MLB debut; he is 4-4, 3.84 in 12 AAA starts this year. Floyd is 0-2, 5.40 in his last five starts.
-- Strasburg is 0-3, 5.70 in his five road starts.

-- Price is 0-2, 5.65 in his last four starts. Ramirez is 0-4, 7.96 in his last six.
-- Norris has a 6.88 RA in his last three starts. Peavy is 0-2, 7.04 in his last five outings.
-- Martinez is 0-1, 8.18 in his last couple starts.
-- Porcello is 1-2, 6.50 in his last three starts.
-- Nuno is 0-2, 6.18 in his last five starts.
-- Chavez is 1-2, 5.71 in his last three starts. Richards is 1-2, 5.16 in last four.

?Totals
-- Five of Cubs' last seven road games went over.
-- Last five Dodger games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight games at Coors Field.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Washington road games.

-- Eight of last eleven Tampa Bay games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Toronto home games stayed under.
-- Eight of last ten Baltimore home games went over.
-- Five of last seven Cleveland road games stayed under.
-- Ten of last twelve White Sox home games stayed under.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Kansas City games.
-- Eight of last ten Angel games went over the total.

-- Five of last seven Arizona home games stayed under.

?Hot Teams
-- Cubs won five of their last six games. Pittsburgh lost three of its last four home games.
-- Dodgers won six of their last nine road games.
-- Nationals won seven of its last nine games. San Francisco won nine of their last ten home games.

-- Mariners won seven of their last nine games.
-- Indians won eight of their last nine games.
-- Royals won five of its last seven games.
-- Athletics won seven of its last nine games. Los Angeles won seven of their last eight home games.

-- Astros won seven of last eight away games. Arizona won five of its last six games overall.

?Cold Teams
-- Reds are 3-5 in its last eight home games.
-- Rockies lost nine of its last ten games. Atlanta lost four of their last five.

-- Rays lost 12 of its last 13 games.
-- Twins lost 11 of its last 16 games. Toronto is 3-4 in their last seven home games.
-- Boston lost five of its last six games. Baltimore lost three of their last four.
-- Rangers lost six of their last nine games.
-- Tigers lost seven of its last ten road games. Chicago lost six of their last nine games overall.
-- Yankees lost six of their last eight games.

Diamond Trends - Monday
?BOSTON is 10-26 (-20.3 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season.
The average score was BOSTON 3.9, OPPONENT 5.2.

?LA ANGELS are 24-6 OVER (+17.3 Units) versus teams outscoring opponent by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA ANGELS 5.3, OPPONENT 5.7.

?HOUSTON is 41-17 (+24.9 Units) against the run line versus a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 3.9, OPPONENT 4.1.

?DAN HAREN is 1-10 (-12.3 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 3.8 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HAREN 2.4, OPPONENT 5.8.

?RYAN VOGELSONG is 11-1 UNDER (+9.7 Units) as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was VOGELSONG 3.2, OPPONENT 3.3.

?DAVID PRICE is 1-13 (-13 Units) against the run line versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PRICE 3.7, OPPONENT 4.9.

Situation Analysis of The Day
?Play Against - All underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.600 to 1.700 on the season -American League, with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL).
(58-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.3%, +36.6 units. Rating = 3*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -129.7
The average score in these games was: Team 5.5, Opponent 3.4 (Average run differential = +2.1)

The situation's record this season is: (3-1, +2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (34-12, +17.2 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (119-69, +25.1 units).?Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-160 to -115) (HOUSTON) - poor offensive team - scoring <=4.7 runs/game on the season (American League) against opponent poor team, outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season.
(138-53 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.3%, +61.8 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (98-93 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: -145
The average score in these games was: Team 4.3, Opponent 4.4 (Average run differential = -0.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 98 (51.3% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (10-11, -5.5 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (69-32, +23.1 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (326-223, -0.2 units).

?Play Over - Home teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (KANSAS CITY) - terrible offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70) -American League, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games.
(50-18 since 1997.) (73.5%, +30.5 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 8.3, Money Line=-108.3
The average score in these games was: Team 5.1, Opponent 5.6 (Total runs scored = 10.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 41 (61.2% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (2-2, -0.1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-9, +6.3 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (32-12, +19 units).


STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY

#901 CHICAGO CUBS @ #902 PITTSBURGH - 7:05 PM ET
?Cubs RH Edwin Jackson (4-5, 4.59 ERA, WHIP: 1.456) - Jackson is 6-2 with a 3.63 ERA in 12 career starts against Pittsburgh but has given up seven earned runs in 10 frames over two meetings this season. He allowed four runs (one earned) in five innings in a win over the New York Mets on Wednesday despite walking a season-high five and failing to get through six frames for the third straight time. The veteran is 1-4 with a 6.12 ERA on the road in 2014.

--KEY STAT: JACKSON is 11-26 (-17.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was JACKSON 3.5, OPPONENT 5.0.

--JACKSON is 19-35 (-15.4 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was JACKSON 3.9, OPPONENT 4.7.

--JACKSON is 2-16 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was JACKSON 2.9, OPPONENT 4.7.

--JACKSON is 6-16 against the run line (-17.3 Units) on the road when the total is 7.5 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was JACKSON 3.1, OPPONENT 5.0.

--JACKSON is 4-14 against the run line (-15.3 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was JACKSON 2.9, OPPONENT 4.7.

?Pirates RH Charlie Morton (2-7, 3.31 ERA, WHIP: 1.282) - Morton was bumped from Sunday to Monday after the Pirates shuffled their rotation in the wake of the injury to Gerrit Cole. He has won two of his last three starts after opening the season 0-6, but has also failed to get through six frames in the process. Morton, who struck out a season-high nine in five solid innings at San Diego last Monday, is 2-4 with a 4.68 ERA in 11 career starts versus the Cubs.

--KEY STAT: MORTON is 26-11 UNDER (+13.4 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was MORTON 2.6, OPPONENT 3.9.

#903 LA DODGERS @ #904 CINCINNATI - 7:10 PM ET
?Dodgers RH Dan Haren (5-4, 3.50 ERA, WHIP: 1.245) - Haren is 0-3 over his last four outings, allowing 17 runs (13 earned) and 30 hits in four straight six-inning stints. The California native has worked at least six frames in 11 of his 12 starts and has issued only 12 walks in 74 2/3 total innings. Brandon Phillips is 6-for-18 with two homers against Haren, who is 3-3 with a 4.95 ERA in eight career appearances (seven starts) versus Cincinnati.

--KEY STAT: HAREN is 8-18 (-16.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAREN 3.3, OPPONENT 5.0.

--HAREN is 7-17 (-15.6 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAREN 3.3, OPPONENT 4.6.

--HAREN is 3-14 (-16.3 Units) against the money line versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAREN 2.9, OPPONENT 5.7.

--HAREN is 5-15 (-15.0 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAREN 3.3, OPPONENT 5.2.

--HAREN is 1-10 (-12.3 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 3.8 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAREN 2.4, OPPONENT 5.8.

--HAREN is 8-18 (-15.6 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAREN 3.3, OPPONENT 5.3.

--HAREN is 19-29 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAREN 3.2, OPPONENT 4.4.

--HAREN is 18-6 OVER (+11.7 Units) in road games in June games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAREN 5.3, OPPONENT 5.0.

?Reds LH Tony Cingrani (2-6, 4.09 ERA, WHIP: 1.473) - Cingrani also has had trouble finding the recipe for a victory of late, going 0-4 while surrendering 14 runs (13 earned) in his last four starts. The 24-year-old Rice product has struck out 53 in 55 innings but has given up 10 home runs. Cingrani permitted only one hit with 11 strikeouts in seven scoreless innings without receiving a decision last season in his only career start against the Dodgers.

--KEY STAT: CINGRANI is 1-7 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CINGRANI 2.4, OPPONENT 5.3.

#905 ATLANTA @ #906 COLORADO - 8:40 PM ET
?Braves RH Gavin Floyd (0-2, 2.80 ERA, WHIP: 1.472) - Floyd seeks his first victory in an Atlanta uniform in his seventh start. He gave up five runs - three earned - on 10 hits in five innings Tuesday against Seattle, unable to hold an early 4-0 advantage. Opponents are hitting .301 against Floyd, who has issued only nine walks in 35 1/3 frames.

?Rockies RH Christian Bergman (NR) - Bergman makes his debut following 12 starts for Triple-A Colorado Springs, where he went 4-4 with a 3.84 ERA. The 26-year-old, selected in the 24th round of the 2010 draft, won 16 games in 2012 at Single-A Modesto before going 8-7 for Double-A Tulsa last year. Bergman gave up two runs on 10 hits in six innings Tuesday in his most recent minor-league start.

#907 WASHINGTON @ #908 SAN FRANCISCO - 10:15 PM ET
?Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (5-4, 3.10 ERA, WHIP: 1.254) - Strasburg struck out 11 and held Philadelphia to four runs (two earned) over seven frames last Wednesday, giving him consecutive victories for the first time since posting four straight in August 2012. Tyler Colvin has two home runs in four at-bats against the 25-year-old, who has registered nine straight quality starts. Strasburg is 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA in three career starts against San Francisco, including seven innings of one-run ball on May 21, 2013.

--KEY STAT: STRASBURG is 4-14 against the run line (-12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STRASBURG 3.6, OPPONENT 3.6.

--STRASBURG is 4-14 against the run line (-12.5 Units) versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STRASBURG 3.7, OPPONENT 4.3.

--STRASBURG is 15-28 against the run line (-16.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STRASBURG 3.9, OPPONENT 3.8.

?Giants RH Ryan Vogelsong (4-2, 3.39 ERA, WHIP: 1.276) - Vogelsong has bounced back from a shaky April by going 3-0 with a 2.05 ERA and a 27-to-6 strikeout-to-walk ratio over his last four starts. ?I feel like at this point right now, I?m throwing the ball better than I did in 2012,? he told MLB.com. ?My stuff?s better than it was then.? Vogelsong, who won a career-high 14 games in 2012, has gone 1-1 with a 5.59 ERA in seven career contests (three starts) against Washington.

--KEY STAT: VOGELSONG is 13-3 (+12.6 Units) against the money line versus teams outscoring opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOGELSONG 4.6, OPPONENT 3.1.

--VOGELSONG is 28-15 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOGELSONG 4.8, OPPONENT 3.8.

--VOGELSONG is 11-1 UNDER (+9.7 Units) as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOGELSONG 3.2, OPPONENT 3.3.


STATSYSTEMS SPORTS AL PITCHING REPORT
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY

#909 SEATTLE @ #910 TAMPA BAY - 1:10 PM ET
?Mariners RH Erasmo Ramirez (1-4, 6.82 ERA, WHIP: 1.636) - Ramirez allowed five runs over three innings in his last outing against Atlanta and has gone six starts without a victory after winning his first of the season. The Nicaragua native has struggled with the long ball, surrendering nine homers in 33 innings. Ben Zobrist is 4-for-7 with a pair of homers versus Ramirez, who has made three appearances (two starts) against the Rays with a 1-0 record and 3.00 ERA.

?Rays LH David Price (4-5, 4.03 ERA, WHIP: 1.167) - Price is 0-2 in his last four turns, giving up 18 runs (13 earned) over 29 innings, after dropping a 5-4 decision to Miami last Wednesday in which he allowed four unearned runs. The Vanderbilt product has struck out 101 and walked only nine in 91 2/3 innings. Catcher John Buck is 4-for-11 with a homer against Price, who beat the Mariners 2-1 in a nine-inning effort at Seattle on May 13.

--KEY STAT: PRICE is 1-13 against the run line (-13.0 Units) versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PRICE 3.7, OPPONENT 4.9.

--PRICE is 4-17 against the run line (-13.0 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PRICE 3.7, OPPONENT 5.5.

--PRICE is 4-15 against the run line (-11.7 Units) in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PRICE 3.6, OPPONENT 4.5.

--PRICE is 13-5 OVER (+8.1 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PRICE 4.8, OPPONENT 4.2.

--PRICE is 30-11 UNDER (+17.3 Units) in home games versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was PRICE 3.5, OPPONENT 3.3.

#911 MINNESOTA @ #912 TORONTO - 7:05 PM ET
?Twins RH Ricky Nolasco (4-5, 5.65 ERA, WHIP: 1.527) - Nolasco has won back-to-back outings against the New York Yankees and Milwaukee Brewers. He gave up four runs and six hits in seven innings against Milwaukee in his last turn while striking out seven and walking none. Nolasco has a 3.09 ERA in two career starts against Toronto, receiving no-decisions both times.

--KEY STAT: NOLASCO is 15-6 (+12.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NOLASCO 5.0, OPPONENT 3.7.

--NOLASCO is 52-33 (+30.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was NOLASCO 4.7, OPPONENT 4.2.

--NOLASCO is 9-1 OVER (+8.1 Units) in June games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NOLASCO 4.1, OPPONENT 6.6.

?Blue Jays RH R.A. Dickey (6-4, 4.25 ERA, WHIP: 1.418) - Dickey has won back-to-back decisions and five of his last six. He has allowed two or fewer earned runs in six of his last eight outings, including when he defeated Detroit in his last turn. Dickey is 2-3 with a 6.58 ERA in 10 career appearances (six starts) against the Twins, including a loss on April 17 when he gave up five runs, seven hits and five walks in 4 1/3 innings.

--KEY STAT: DICKEY is 13-2 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in home games versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DICKEY 5.8, OPPONENT 3.7.

#913 BOSTON @ #914 BALTIMORE - 7:05 PM ET
?Red Sox RH Jake Peavy (1-3, 4.72 ERA, WHIP: 1.453) - Peavy was knocked around for five runs on eight hits in 6 1/3 innings at Cleveland on Tuesday, marking the fourth time in five starts that he has allowed at least five earned runs. The Alabama native issued a total of five walks in his last five starts but surrendered 44 hits in 30 2/3 innings. Peavy faced Baltimore at home on April 20 and did not fare well, yielding five runs on 10 hits and four walks in 5 2/3 innings without factoring in the decision.

--KEY STAT: PEAVY is 10-21 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PEAVY 4.3, OPPONENT 4.3.

--PEAVY is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was PEAVY 3.4, OPPONENT 3.6.

?Orioles RH Bud Norris (4-5, 4.41 ERA, WHIP: 1.218) - Norris was hit in the right arm with a comebacker on Wednesday against Texas and ended up leaving the game but will make his scheduled start on Monday. The 29-year-old got the win in that game while surrendering five runs in five innings and is 2-1 despite a 6.88 ERA in his last three turns. Norris suffered a loss in Boston on April 19, allowing four runs on five hits in 6 1/3 innings while striking out seven.

#915 CLEVELAND @ #916 TEXAS - 8:05 PM ET
?Indians LH T.J. House (0-1, 3.79 ERA, WHIP: 1.421) - House put up his second consecutive strong start against Boston on Tuesday, allowing two runs on six hits in 5 2/3 innings without factoring in the decision. The 24-year-old rookie has recorded 12 strikeouts in as many innings over his last two starts but still is looking for his first major-league win. House, who is making his third road start, suffered his lone loss away from home on May 23 as he was reached for five runs and 11 hits at Baltimore.

?Rangers RH Nick Martinez (1-2, 3.22, WHIP: 1.588) - Martinez has struggled through each of his last two starts, allowing a total of 10 runs ? eight earned ? and 18 hits in 11 innings. The 23-year-old rookie is the latest reliever-turned-starter in Texas' injury-plagued rotation and has surrendered as many home runs as strikeouts recorded (three) in his last two turns. Martinez is 0-1 with a 2.76 ERA in four home games, including two starts.

#917 DETROIT @ #918 CHI WHITE SOX - 8:10 PM ET
?Tigers RH Rick Porcello (8-3, 3.69 ERA, WHIP: 1.203) - Porcello put together a quality start against Toronto on Wednesday but was denied his ninth win while allowing three runs in seven frames. The 25-year-old snapped a two-start drought during which he failed to complete six innings and reigned in his control with only one walk against the Blue Jays. Porcello was at his best at Chicago last season, going 3-0 with a 1.64 ERA in three starts at the division rivals.

--KEY STAT: PORCELLO is 20-5 (+13.9 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PORCELLO 5.5, OPPONENT 3.7.

--PORCELLO is 12-1 against the run line (+11.3 Units) in road games versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PORCELLO 5.8, OPPONENT 2.4.

--PORCELLO is 8-0 against the run line (+8.9 Units) in road games versus an American League team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PORCELLO 5.9, OPPONENT 2.1.

?White Sox RH Hector Noesi (1-4, 5.29 ERA, WHIP: 1.400) - Noesi ended a string of 40 games and 19 starts without a win by holding the Los Angeles Dodgers to one run and five hits in six innings on Tuesday. The Dominican Republic native finally got some run support against the Dodgers after failing to notch a win despite three quality starts in the previous four outings. Noesi made his first start with Chicago against Detroit on April 30 and lasted 3 2/3 innings, surrendering four runs and five hits to absorb a loss.

#919 NY YANKEES @ #920 KANSAS CITY - 8:10 PM ET
?Yankees LH Vidal Nuno (1-2, 5.33 ERA, WHIP: 1.453) - Nuno is seeking his first victory since May 7, although he was in a nice groove prior to his last start when he lasted only 4 2/3 innings and gave up two runs on six hits in a no-decision versus Oakland. That outing halted a string of three straight starts in which Nuno pitched at least six innings. The 26-year-old from San Diego continues to struggle with the long ball, allowing 10 homers over 52 1/3 innings.

?Royals LH Jason Vargas (5-2, 3.28 ERA, WHIP: 1.247) - Vargas did not factor in the decision against St. Louis last time out despite matching a season high with eight innings and permitting two runs on nine hits. It marked the 10th time in 13 starts this season that the 31-year-old Californian has limited the opposition to two earned runs or fewer. Vargas is 3-2 at home but his two worst outings have come at Kauffman Stadium, getting lit up for seven runs on both occasions.

--KEY STAT: VARGAS is 14-3 (+10.1 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VARGAS 4.3, OPPONENT 2.5.

#921 OAKLAND @ #922 LA ANGELS - 10:05 PM ET
?Athletics RH Jesse Chavez (5-3, 3.04 ERA, WHIP: 1.203) - Chavez managed to end a two-game losing streak despite surrendering four third-inning runs during Wednesday?s 7-4 victory over the New York Yankees. The 30-year-old former reliever, who hasn?t pitched past the sixth inning since May 12, yielded seven hits with two walks and five strikeouts in six innings. Chavez settled for a no-decision versus the Angels on April 14 despite allowing one run over seven frames and is 1-2 with a 4.70 ERA in nine all-time appearances (one start) against them.

?Angels RH Garrett Richards (5-2, 3.25 ERA, WHIP: 1.152) - Coming off one a disastrous outing in which he gave up five runs over two-thirds of an inning on May 30 at Oakland, Richards yielded only four hits while striking out a career-high nine over a season-high eight innings in Wednesday?s 4-0 win over the Houston Astros. The Angels? first-round selection in 2009 threw 80 of his 107 pitches for strikes and even became the 75th pitcher in major-league history to strike out the side on nine pitches in the second inning. Richards is 0-3 with a 6.49 ERA in 10 career appearances (six starts) versus the Athletics.

Interleague
#923 HOUSTON @ #924 ARIZONA - 9:40 PM ET
?Astros RH Jarred Cosart (4-5, 4.16 ERA, WHIP: 1.373) - Cosart has allowed only 16 earned runs in eight outings since being tagged for seven in one-third of an inning against Oakland on April 18, posting a 2.96 ERA in that span. He lost to the Los Angeles Angels on Wednesday but pitched well, giving up three runs on eight hits with a season high-tying eight strikeouts in 6 2/3 frames. Cosart went 3-2 with a 2.76 ERA in five starts last month.

?Diamondbacks RH Josh Collmenter (4-2, 3.63 ERA, WHIP: 1.164) - Collmenter closed May with three consecutive victories but gave up an early lead in a no-decision at Colorado on Wednesday. Collmenter, who yielded four runs on nine hits in five innings against the Rockies, allowed five runs over 20 1/3 frames in his final three starts last month. Three of Collmenter?s four victories have come at home despite surrendering seven homers in 40 1/3 innings at Chase Field.

--KEY STAT: COLLMENTER is 11-2 OVER (+9.0 Units) in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLLMENTER 6.3, OPPONENT 5.1.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Kennedy is 3-0, 2.00 in his last three starts.
-- Beckett is 3-2, 2.37 in his last six starts.
-- Minor is 2-2, 1.87 in his last five starts.
-- Bumgarner is 6-0, 2.11 in his last seven starts. Fister is 4-0, 2.49 in his last four outings.

-- Happ is 4-1, 3.90 in his last five starts.
-- Kluber is 4-0, 2.55 in his last seven starts.
-- Danks has a 1.19 RA in his last three starts.
-- Vargas is 1-0, 1.77 in his last three starts.
-- Pomeranz has a 2.25 RA in three road starts.
-- Iwakuma has a 2.79 RA in his four home starts.

-- Wainwright is 2-0, 1.13 in his last three road starts.
-- Peacock is 2-0, 3.06 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Liriano is 1-3, 5.66 in his last four starts. Wood has a 7.32 RA in his last six.
-- Burnett is 0-2, 8.55 in his last three starts.
-- Leake is 1-2, 5.82 in his last three starts.
-- Estrada has a 6.08 RA in his last four starts. Matsuzaka has a 5.23 RA in his first two starts for the Mets.
-- Nicasio is 0-2, 10.80 in his last two starts.

-- Correia is 0-2, 5.00 in his last three starts.
-- Tillman has a 12.56 RA in his last four starts. Workman is 0-0, 4.70 in three starts for Boston.
-- Nuno is 0-2, 6.18 in his last five starts.
-- Verlander is 1-3, 7.96 in his last four starts.
-- Santiago is 0-4, 7.36 in his last four starts.

-- Odorizzi is 0-3, 6.16 in his last four starts.
-- Koehler is 1-2, 6.88 in his last three starts. Lewis is 1-2, 7.25 in his last four.
-- Arroyo is 1-2, 5.13 in his last four starts.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Wood 3-12; Liriano 5-13
-- Kennedy 3-13; Burnett 4-13
-- Estrada 3-12; Matsuzaka 1-2
-- Beckett 1-11; Leake 2-12
-- Minor 1-7; Nicasio 5-12
-- Fister 3-6; Bumgarner 3-13

-- Correia 2-12; Happ 0-7
-- Workman 2-3; Tillman 6-13 (6 of last 8)
-- Kluber 3-13; Vargas 1-13
-- Verlander 4-13; Danks 3-12
-- Pomeranz 0-6; Santiago 2-7
-- Nuno 3-9; Iwakuma 0-7


-- Peacock 3-8; Arroyo 6-12
-- Wainwright 3-13; Odorizzi 0-12
-- Koehler 2-12; Lewis 3-10

Totals
-- Six of Cubs' last eight road games went over.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Dodger road games.
-- Over is 11-1-1 in last thirteen Brewer games.
-- Seven of last nine San Diego games stayed under.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine games at Coors Field.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Washington road games.

-- Six of last seven Toronto home games stayed under.
-- Eight of last eleven Baltimore home games went over.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Kansas City games.
-- Ten of last thirteen White Sox home games stayed under; over is 5-0-1 in last six Detroit games.
-- Eight of last eleven Angel games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-5 in last fourteen Bronx road games.

-- Five of Marlins' last six road games went over total.
-- Nine of last twelve Tampa Bay games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Arizona home games stayed under.


Hot teams
-- Cubs won five of their last seven games. Pirates won six of last nine at home.
-- Brewers won three of their last four games.
-- Dodgers won seven of their last ten road games.
-- Washington won eight of its last ten games. Giants won nine of their last eleven home games.

-- Blue Jays won seven of their last nine games.
-- Indians won nine of their last ten games. Kansas City won five of its last seven games.
-- White Sox won five of their last seven home games.
-- Oakland won seven of its last ten games. Angels won eight of their last nine home games.
-- Mariners won eight of their last ten games.

-- Cardinals won five of their last seven road games.
-- Marlins won seven of their last ten road games.
-- Astros won eight of last nine away games. Arizona won five of its last seven games overall.


Cold teams
-- Mets lost their last six games; bullpen lost five of the six.
-- Cincinnati is 3-6 in its last nine home games.
-- Phillies lost eight of their last nine games. San Diego lost five of last seven.
-- Colorado lost ten of its last 11 games. Braves lost four of their last six.

-- Minnesota lost 12 of its last 17 games.
-- Boston lost six of its last seven games. Orioles lost three of their last five.
-- Detroit lost eight of its last eleven road games.
-- Bronx Bombers lost six of their last eight games.

-- Tampa Bay lost 13 of its last 14 games.
-- Rangers lost seven of their last ten games.

Umpires
-- Chi-Pitt-- Five of six Woodring games went over.
-- LA-Cin-- Underdogs won four of last six Reynolds games.
-- Atl-Col-- Seven of eight Conroy games went over.
-- Wsh-SF-- Home side is 25-11 in last 36 Marquez games.

-- Min-Tor-- Over is 10-1-1 in last twelve Barber games.
-- Bos-Balt-- Underdogs won six of last nine Gorman games.
-- Det-Chi-- Six of last nine Diaz games went over total.
-- A's-LA-- Nine of last twelve Davidson games stayed under.

-- Hst-Az-- Six of last eight Drake games went over total.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Tuesday 6-24

Tuesday 6-24

MLB

National League
Marlins-Phillies
Heaney allowed one run in six IP (91 PT) in losing his MLB debut, 1-0.
Buchanan is 2-0, 2.84 in his last couple starts.

Marlins lost four of their last six games.
Phillies lost their last three games.

Five of last six Miami games stayed under total.

Reds-Cubs
Bailey is 4-0, 3.69 in his last six starts.
Arrieta is 2-0, 0.73 in his last four starts.

Cincinnati won nine of its last twelve games.
Cubs lost four of their last five home games.

Five of last six Arrieta starts stayed under the total.
Nationals-Brewers
Zimmerman is 2-2, 0.84 in his last four starts.
Gallardo is 2-0, 0.86 in his last three starts.

Washington won its last three games, but lost four of last five on road.
Brewers won six of their last eight games.

Five of last seven Gallardo starts stayed under total.

Cardinals-Rockies
Miller is 1-1, 2.02 in his last three starts.
de la Rosa is 0-3, 8.68 in his last four starts.

Cardinals won 11 of their last 15 games.
Colorado lost its last seven games.

Over is 9-2-2 in last 13 Colorado games; under is 6-0-1 in Cards' last seven.

Padres-Giants
Hahn is 2-0, 0.69 in his last two starts.
Hudson is 1-1, 5.94 in his last three starts.

San Diego lost eight of its last ten games.
Giants lost ten of their last thirteen games.

Nine of last ten San Diego games stayed under.

American League
Bronx-Blue Jays
Phelps is 2-0, 1.32 in his last two starts.
Buehrle is 0-3, 3.72 in his last three starts.

Bronx lost last three games, outscored 22-4.
Blue Jays lost five of their last seven games.

Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Toronto home games.

White Sox-Orioles
Quintana is 0-3, 6.56 in his last four starts.
Gonzalez is 3-1, 3.80 in his last four starts.

White Sox lost their last eight road games.
Baltimore is 9-5 in its last fourteen home games.

Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Quintana starts.

Tigers-Rangers
Smyly is 1-2, 2.37 in his last three starts.
Lewis is 1-1, 8.14 in his last four starts; Texas is 7-1 in his starts if they score more than three runs.

Detroit won three of its last four games.
Rangers lost their last five games.

Five of last six Detroit road games went over total.

Twins-Angels
Gibson is 2-1, 1.09 in his last five starts (22 consecutive scoreless IP)
Wilson is 1-1, 2.66 in his last three starts.

Minnesota won its last four games, but lost five in row on road.
Angels won 12 of their last 14 home games.

Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Angel home games.

Red Sox-Mariners
Peavy is 0-4, 5.32 in his last seven starts.
Ramirez is 0-0, 0.00 in his last three starts (15.2 IP).

Red Sox lost 11 of their last 14 road games.
Seattle won seven of its last nine games.

Under is 12-3-1 in last sixteen Boston games.

Interleague games
A's-Mets
Former Met farmhand Kazmir is 4-0, 1.53 in his last five starts.
Former Athletic Colon is 4-0, 2.04 in his last five starts.

Oakland won five of its last six games.
Mets won four of their last five games.

Five of last six Kazmir starts stayed under the total.

Pirates-Rays
Locke is 0-1, 2.14 in his last three starts.
Archer is 1-2, 2.31 in his last six starts.

Pirates won nine of their last thirteen road games.
Tampa Bay is 6-10 in its last sixteen home games.

Six of last seven Archer starts stayed under the total.

Dodgers-Royals
Kershaw is 4-0, 1.24 in his last four starts, last of which was a no-hitter.
Duffy is 2-1, 1.75 in his last four starts.

Dodgers won seven of their last ten games.
Kansas City lost four of its last five games.

Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Kershaw starts.

Braves-Astros
Harang is 1-3, 5.16 in his last five starts.
Feldman is 0-2, 8.35 in his last four starts.

Atlanta lost five of its last seven games.
Astros lost six of their last seven games.

Over is 4-1-1 in last six Harang starts.

Indians-Arizona
Masterson is 1-4, 8.02 in his last seven road starts.
Miley is 0-3, 4.57 in his last seven starts.

Cleveland lost four of its last five games.
Arizona lost nine of its last twelve games.

Four of last five Cleveland games went over total.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Heaney 1-1; Buchanan 0-6
-- Bailey 4-15; Arrieta 4-9
-- Zimmerman 1-15; Gallardo 3-15
-- Miller 1-15; de la Rosa 5-15
-- Hahn 0-3; Hudson 1-14

-- Phelps 0-9; Buehrle 4-15
-- Quintana 2-15; Gonzalez 2-11
-- Smyly 5-11; Lewis 4-12
-- Gibson 3-14; Wilson 4-15
-- Peavy 3-15; Ramirez 4-10

-- Kazmir 3-15; Colon 4-15
-- Locke 2-4; Archer 3-15
-- Kershaw 2-10; Duffy 1-9
-- Harang 3-15; Feldman 3-12
-- Masterson 2-16; Miley 3-16

Umpires
-- Mia-Phil-- Underdogs won six of last seven Rackley games; over is 3-0-1 in his last four games behind plate.
-- Cin-Chi-- Seven of last eight Iassogna games stayed under.
-- Wsh-Mil-- Home side is 12-1 in last 13 Fletcher games; over is 3-0-1 in his last four games behind plate.
-- StL-Col-- Underdogs are 11-3 in Schrieber games; two of three favorites that won were -$200/-$240.
-- SD-SF-- Last six O'Nora games stayed under the total.

-- NY-Tor-- Six of eight Basner games went over the total.
-- Chi-Balt-- Under is 10-1-1 in last twelve Porter games.
-- Bos-Sea-- Six of last eight Bellino games stayed under.

-- Pitt-TB-- Underdogs won four of last seven Ripperger games.
-- LA-KC-- Five of last six Wendelstedt games stayed under.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Saturday MLB Trends

Saturday MLB Trends

MLB

Saturday, June 28


What trend was hot on the diamond Friday night?

Underdogs against the runline were impressive once again in Major League Baseball action Friday night.

Dogs put up a 12-4 record last night, hitting at a remarkable 75 percent.

Road dogs were even more impressive going 8-2, while home dogs went 4-2.

Underdogs are still hitting over 60 percent of the time for the season.

Dodgers' SS Hanley Ramirez, questionable Saturday

Ramirez is dealing with shoulder irritation and has missed the last four games. He underwent an MRI that revealed no serious damage and he is questionable to play in Saturday's game against the Cardinals.


Blue Jays' RF Jose Bautista, questionable Saturday

Bautista has a Grade 1 hamstring strain and has missed the last five games. He questionable to play Saturday against the White Sox.


Mets' 3B David Wright, out Saturday

Wright didn't play Friday due to a shoulder injury. He will fly back to New York for an MRI and is expected to sit out the weekend against the Pirates.


Red Sox pitcher keeping Yankees at bay

The Boston Red Sox will be sending Jon Lester to the mound against the New York Yankees Saturday and under bettors should rejoice. In Lester's last five starts in New York has seen the under pay-out four times.

Lester has applied a bend, but don't break mentality giving up an average of seven hits per game at Yankee Stadium while only allowing two runs per game.


Indians pitcher terrible against good teams

The Cleveland Indians will send Josh Tomlin to the mound against the Seattle Mariners Saturday. Totals bettors take note, as in Tomlin's last five starts against a team with a winning record has seen the total get topped.

Tomlin has given up an average of six hits per game and three runs in these games, but has been chased before the sixth inning four times. The Cleveland Indians bullpen then gets abused with the games averaging 12.4 runs.


Padres pitcher could find gem against Diamondbacks

San Diego Padres' Eric Stults does not have much to be happy about this season with his 5.49 ERA and 2-10 record. However, he will be looking for a solid outing against the Arizona Diamondbacks who he has helped stay under the total in seven of his last eight starts against.

Stults allows a mere five hits and slightly over two runs per game on average against the D-Backs. Stults and the opposing pitcher has kept teams to an average of six runs per game.


Angels sending winless pitcher to the mound

Hector Santiago has not shown a lot to be confident in his starts this season. In Sintiago's nine starts this season for the Los Angeles Angels, the team has gone 1-8. In Santiago's last four starts he has given up 15 runs, an average of 3.75 runs per game.

Santiago will take to the mound versus the Kansas City Royals Saturday.


Indians RHP Masterson scratched from start

Cleveland Indians right-hander Justin Masterson will miss his scheduled start Sunday at the Seattle Mariners due to right knee soreness, according to the Cleveland Plain Dealer.

Masterson, who has struggled this season after a breakout year in 2013, said he has been dealing with knee pain since his second start of the year.

Masterson has a 5.03 ERA and has issued 50 walks in 93 innings.

The Indians will need to recall a pitcher from Triple-A Columbus to start in place of Masterson on Sunday. Left-hander T.J. House is a candidate to fill that role.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Monday June 30

Monday June 30

MLB

National League

Rockies-Nationals
Flande allowed four runs in five IP in his first MLB start.
Zimmerman is 2-2, 1.18 in his last five starts.

Colorado lost 11 of its last 13 games.
Nationals won nine of their last 12 home games.

Last five Zimmerman starts stayed under the total.

Mets-Braves
Wheeler is 1-3, 6.41 in his last four starts.
Wood has a 2.84 RA in his last six starts.

Mets lost four of their last five games.
Atlanta won six of last seven games, but lost eight of last ten at home.

Seven of last eight Atlanta games stayed under total.

Reds-Padres
Former Padre Latos is 1-0, 2.89 in three starts this season.
Hahn is 3-0, 1.42 in his last three starts.

Cincinnati won 13 of its last 17 road games.
Padres lost four of their last five home games.

11 of last 13 games at Petco Park stayed under.

American League

Rangers-Orioles
Saunders is 0-3, 8.10 in his last four starts.
Jimenez is 0-2, 5.75 in his last four starts.

Rangers lost nine of their last eleven games.
Baltimore lost three of its last four games.

Seven of last ten Texas road games stayed under.

A's-Tigers
Kazmir is 4-1, 3.05 in his last six starts.
Sanchez is 3-0, 2.84 in his last five starts.

Oakland won 11 of its last 14 games.
Tigers won five of their last seven games.

Five of last six Oakland games went over the total.

Rays-Bronx
Archer is 1-2, 5.94 in his last three starts.
Phelps is 2-5, 5.40 in his last seven starts.

Tampa Bay won four of its last five games.
Bronx lost six of its last eight games.

Six of last eight Archer starts stayed under total.

Royals-Twins
Duffy is 2-2, 1.71 in his last five starts.
Pino is 0-1, 6.30 in his first two MLB starts.

Royals lost seven of last ten games, but won eight of last nine on road.
Minnesota lost five of last six games, but won four in row at home.

Under is 3-1-1 in Duffy's road starts this season.

Mariners-Astros
Walker was 1-0, 3.60 in three MLB starts LY; he was 2-1, 4.11 in six starts in AAA this season.
McHugh is 0-3, 4.84 in his last four starts.

Seattle won seven of its last nine games.
Houston lost nine of its last thirteen games.

Five of last seven McHugh starts stayed under.

Angels-White Sox
Richards is 4-0, 1.05 in his last five starts.
Noesi is 1-1, 5.89 in his last four starts.

Angels won seven of last nine games, but lost 11 of last 15 on road.
White Sox won their last three games.

Seven of last eight White Sox home games went over.

Interleague game

Cubs-Red Sox
Arrieta is 3-0, 1.00 in his last four starts.
Peavy is 0-4, 6.16 in his last five starts.

Cubs lost six of their last nine games.
Red Sox won three of their last four games.

11 of last 12 games at Fenway Park stayed under.

Indians-Dodgers
Kluber is 1-1, 1.86 in his last three starts.
Haren is 2-0, 4.98 in his last four starts; Dodgers scored 22 runs.

Cleveland lost six of its last eight games.
Dodgers won 12 of their last 16 games.

Seven of last ten Kluber starts went over the total.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Flande 0-1; Zimmerman 1-16
-- Wheeler 6-16; Wood 4-8
-- Latos 0-3; Hahn 0-4

-- Saunders 2-7; Jimenez 5-16
-- Kazmir 3-16; Sanchez 4-13
-- Archer 4-16; Phelps 0-10
-- Duffy 2-10; Pino 0-2
-- Walker 0-0; McHugh 1-12
-- Richards 3-16; Noesi 3-11


-- Arrieta 3-10; Peavy 4-16 (3 of last 5)
-- Kluber 4-17; Haren 8-16 (4 of last 6)

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Wednesday July 2

Wednesday July 2

MLB

National League

Reds-Padres
Cueto is 3-0, 2.22 in his last four starts.
Ross is 0-4, 4.36 in his last five starts.

Cincinnati won 13 of its last 19 road games, but lost last two.
Padres won their last three games.

12 of last 15 games at Petco Park stayed under.

Rockies-Nationals
Matzek is 0-2, 4.96 in his last three starts.
Fister is 5-2, 2.38 in his last seven starts.

Colorado lost 13 of its last 15 games.
Nationals won 11 of their last 14 home games.

Over is 14-3-1 in last eighteen Colorado road games.

Arizona-Pirates
Anderson is 0-3, 5.06 in his last three starts.
Morton is 0-2, 6.23 in his last two starts.

Arizona lost six of its last nine road games.
Pirates won eight of their last ten games.

Last five Diamondback games stayed under total.

Mets-Braves
deGrom is 1-0, 1.32 in his last couple starts.
Teheran is 1-1, 2.45 in his last three starts.

Mets lost six of their last seven games.
Atlanta won eight of its last nine games.

Seven of last ten Atlanta games stayed under total.

Phillies-Marlins
Burnett is 2-2, 2.59 in his last four starts.
Miami lost last three Koehler starts (0-1, 3.79).

Philly lost six of its last seven games.
Miami lost nine of its last thirteen games.

Four of last five Miami home games went over total.

Cardinals-Giants
Wainwright is 2-1, 1.16 in his last four starts.
Vogelsong is 1-2, 5.73 in his last four starts.

St Louis lost four of its last five games.
Giants lost 12 of their last 15 home games.

Under is 11-4-1 in last sixteen St Louis road games.

American League

A's-Tigers
Oakland won last three Chavez starts (1-0, 2.50).
Verlander is 0-3, 7.11 in his last five starts.

Oakland won 11 of its last 16 games, but lost last two.
Tigers won seven of their last nine games.

Six of last eight Oakland games went over the total.
Rays-Bronx
Odorizzi is 1-2, 1.44 in his last four starts.
Nuno is 1-2, 7.80 in his last three starts.

Tampa Bay won six of its last seven games.
Bronx lost eight of its last ten games.

Six of last eight Nuno starts stayed under total.

Royals-Twins
Vargas is 3-0, 1.37 in his last four road starts.
Correia is 2-2, 2.63 in his last four starts.

Royals won nine of their last eleven road games.
Minnesota lost six of their last eight games.

Over is 3-1-1 in last five Vargas starts; last four Correia starts stayed under.

Mariners-Astros
Young is 2-0, 1.00 in his last three starts.
Peacock is 2-0, 2.88 in his last six starts.

Seattle won nine of its last eleven games.
Houston lost 11 of its last 15 games.

Six of last eight Peacock starts stayed under.

Rangers-Orioles
Mikolas is making his first MLB start; he has a 3.97 RA in 34 IP in relief, in 27 big league games-- he is 3-1, 4.68 in six AAA starts this season.
Tillman is 2-2, 1.61 in his last four starts.

Rangers lost 11 of their last 13 games.
Baltimore is 9-5 in its last 14 games.

Under is 4-1-1 in last six Tillman starts.

Angels-White Sox
Skaggs was 0-3, 7.00 in his last three starts before going on DL.
Danks is 4-1, 3.66 in his last five starts.
Angels won nine of their last eleven games.
White Sox lost six of their last eight home games.

Nine of last ten White Sox home games went over.


Interleague games

Brewers-Blue Jays
Peralta is 5-0, 4.50 in his last five starts; Brewers scored 36 runs.
Happ is 3-3, 5.55 in his last six starts. Milwaukee won four of its last six games.
Toronto lost nine of its last fourteen games.

Five of last six Toronto games stayed under.

Indians-Dodgers
Bauer is 1-2, 4.81 in his last four starts.
Ryu is 6-2, 3.22 in his last eight starts.

Cleveland lost seven of its last ten games.
Dodgers won 13 of their last 18 games.

Under is 4-0-1 in last five Ryu starts.

Cubs-Red Sox
Wood is 3-1, 3.20 in his last four starts.
Workman is 1-1, 2.75 in his last three starts.

Cubs won six of their last eight road games.
Red Sox lost eight of their last twelve games.

13 of last 14 games at Fenway Park stayed under.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Cueto 1-17; Ross 5-17
-- Matzek 0-4; Fister 3-10
-- Anderson 1-9; Morton 3-16
-- deGrom 1-9; Teheran 5-17
-- Hamels 2-13; Koehler 2-16
-- Wainwright 3-16; Vogelsong 3-16

-- Chavez 4-16; Verlander 5-17
-- Odorizzi 0-16; Nuno 6-13
-- Vargas 2-17; Correia 4-16
-- Young 2-15; Peacock 4-11
-- Mikolas 0-0; Tillman 7-17
-- Skaggs 6-11; Danks 5-16

-- Peralta 2-16; Happ 1-11
-- Bauer 3-9; Ryu 1-15
-- Wood 3-16; Workman 4-6

Umpires
-- Cin-SD-- Six of seven Everitt games went over the total.
-- Col-Wsh-- Home side won five of last six Drake games.
-- Az-Pitt-- Underdogs won 12 of last 14 Hudson games.
-- NY-Atl-- Seven of last ten Iassogna games stayed under.
-- Phil-Mia-- Over is 8-3-1 in last dozen Cooper games.
-- StL-SF-- Over is 10-3-1 in LBarrett games this season.

-- A's-Det-- 10 of 14 Layne games went over the total.
-- Tex-Blt-- Eight of ten Basner games went over the total.
-- TB-NY-- Underdogs won 12 of 15 Schrieber games this year. NYY underdog after opening as small -105 fav
-- KC-Min-- Favorites won six of last seven Kellogg games.
-- Sea-Hst-- Six of last eight Kellogg games stayed under.
-- LA-Chi-- 10 of last 12 BWelke games stayed under.
-- Mil-Tor-- Five of last seven Gibson games went over.
-- Chi-Bos-- Seven of last eleven Meals games went over.
-- Cle-LA-- Seven of last nine Vanover games went over.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Sunday 7-6

Sunday 7-6

MLB

National League
Brewers-Reds
Gallardo is 2-1, 3.09 in his last five starts.
Latos is 1-1, 1.29 in his last two starts.

Milwaukee lost four of its last five games.
Reds won five of last seven home games.

Four of last five Gallardo starts stayed under total.

Cubs-Nationals
Arrieta is 4-0, 0.78 in his last five starts.
Zimmerman is 3-2, 1.43 in his last six starts.

Cubs won seven of their last nine road games.
Washington won six of its last seven games.

Eight of last ten Washington games went over total.

Diamondbacks-Braves
Miley is 0-3, 4.71 in his last nine starts.
Wood is 1-1, 2.25 in his last three starts.

Arizona lost five of its last six games.
Atlanta won its last nine games.

Eight of last ten Miley starts stayed under total.

Phillies-Pirates
Ex-Pirate Burnett is 1-2, 3.30 in his last four starts.
Locke is 1-1, 2.45 in his last five starts.

Philly lost nine of its last eleven games.
Pirates won eleven of their last fourteen games.

Four of last five Burnett starts stayed under.

Marlins-Cardinals
Marlins won last nine Alvarez starts (3-0, 1.35).
Gonzales is 0-1, 9.65 in two starts; he has a 27.03 RA after third inning.

Miami lost six of its last nine games.
St Louis won eight of its last twelve home games.

Three of last four Alvarez starts stayed under total.

Giants-Padres
Lincecum is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (17 IP), one of which was no-hitter against San Diego June 25.
Hahn is 4-0, 1.13 in his last four starts.

Giants lost nine of their last twelve games.
San Diego won five of its last six games.

Four of five Hahn starts stayed under the total.

Dodgers-Rockies
Beckett is 2-1, 2.53 in his last five starts.
Flande is 0-1, 6.10 in his first two MLB starts.

Dodgers won 15 of their last 22 games.
Colorado lost 16 of its last 19 games.

Six of last eight Beckett starts stayed under total.

American League
Rays-Tigers
Price is 3-1, 2.01 in his last four starts.
Porcello is 3-0, 0.00 in his last three starts (24 IP). Tigers are 18-8 vs LHP this year

Tampa Bay won nine of its last eleven games.
Tigers won nine of their last thirteen games, but lost last two.

11 of last 15 Detroit games went over the total; Price's last five starts stayed under. .

Royals-Indians
Duffy is 3-2, 1.69 in his last six starts.
Kluber is 1-2, 1.73 in his last four starts.

Royals won 12 of their last 14 road games.
Cleveland lost five of its last seven home games.

Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Duffy starts.

Orioles-Red Sox
Gausman is 3-1, 2.63 in his last four starts.
Red Sox lost last six Peavy starts (0-5, 5.65).

Baltimore is 12-6 in its last eighteen games.
Red Sox lost ten of their last fifteen games.

14 of last 17 games at Fenway Park stayed under.

Bronx-Twins
Kuroda is 1-3, 3.66 in his last five starts.
Nolasco is 1-1, 5.08 in his last five starts.

Bronx Bombers lost six of their last eight games.
Minnesota lost nine of their last twelve games.

Last six Kuroda starts stayed under the total.

Mariners-White Sox
Walker won his first '14 start, allowing three runs in six IP.
Chicago lost last four Noesi starts (0-2, 6.35).

Seattle won 11 of its last 14 games.
White Sox lost eight of their last eleven home games.

Seven of last ten Seattle games stayed under the total.

Astros-Angels
McHugh is 0-4, 5.25 in his last four starts.
Angels won last six Richards starts (5-0, 1.49).

Houston lost 14 of its last 18 games.
Angels won eleven of their last fourteen games.

Over is 3-0-1 in last four Richards starts.

Blue-Jays-A's
Hutchison is 1-2, 4.67 in his last three starts.
Samardzija was 0-2, 5.48 in his last four starts for Chicago; Cubs scored 3 or less runs in 12 of his 17 starts. Sam makes debut with A's and was slapping hands in dugout yesterday

Blue Jays lost eight of their last nine road games.
Oakland won ten of its last twelve home games.

Nine of last ten Toronto games stayed under.

Interleague game
Rangers-Mets
Tepesch is 1-1, 1.93 in his last three starts.
Wheeler is 0-3, 8.56 in his last three home starts.

Texas lost ten of its last eleven road games.
Mets lost eight of their last ten games.

Four of last five Wheeler home starts stayed under.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Gallardo 5-17 (3 of last 4); Latos 0-4
-- Arrieta 3-11; Zimmerman 1-17
-- Miley 3-18; Wood 5-9
-- Burnett 5-18; Locke 2-6
-- Alvarez 5-17 (1 of last 8); Gonzales 0-2
-- Lincecum 6-17; Hahn 0-5
-- Beckett 3-16; Flande 0-2

-- Price 7-18; Porcello 6-16
-- Duffy 2-11; Kluber 4-18
-- Gausman 0-5; Peavy 4-17 (3 of last 6)
-- Kuroda 6-17 (1 of last 7); Nolasco 6-17 (4 of last 5)
-- Walker 1-1; Noesi 3-12
-- McHugh 1-13; Richards 4-17
-- Hutchison 3-17; Samardzija 8-17

-- Tepesch 2-8; Wheeler 6-17

Umpires
-- Mil-Cin-- Four of last six Baker games stayed under.
-- Chi-Wsh-- Six of eight Everitt games went over total.
-- Az-Atl-- Nine of eleven Basner games went over.
-- Phil-Pitt-- Seven of last ten Scott games stayed under.
-- Mia-StL-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Timmons games.
-- SF-SD-- Favorites won 11 of last 12 Hoye games.
-- LA-Col-- Favorites won seven of last eight Kellogg games.

-- TB-Det-- Six of last eight Gibson games went over.
-- KC-Clev-- Over is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Cooper games.
-- Balt-Bos-- Underdogs are 9-5 in last fourteen Estabrook games.
-- NY-Min-- Five of last seven Drake games stayed under.
-- Sea-Chi-- Over is 10-4-1 in last fifteen LBarrett games.
-- Tor-A's-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Morales games.
-- Hst-LAA-- Eight of last ten Vanover games went over.

-- Tex-NYM-- Underdogs won 12 of last 15 Hudson games; under is 10-6 in his games behind the plate.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Wed July 9

Wed July 9

MLB

National League

Padres-Rockies
Stults is 1-1, 2.19 in his last two starts.
Jurrjens gave up eight runs in 4.2 IP in his first '14 start.

Padres won six of their last nine games.
Colorado lost 18 of its last 22 games.

Nine of last ten Stults starts stayed under the total.

Marlins-Diamondbacks
Eovaldi is 1-3, 5.70 in his last five starts.
Collmenter is 3-1, 2.73 in his last four home starts.

Miami is 13-8 in its last twenty-one road games.
Diamondbacks lost six of their last nine games.

Nine of last twelve Arizona games stayed under total.

Braves-Mets
Santana is 2-0, 2.57 in his last couple starts.
Gee was 2-0, 1.35 in his last three starts before going on DL.

Braves lost last three games, after winning nine in row.
Mets won four of their last five games.

Three of last four Santana starts stayed under.

Phillies-Brewers
Hernandez is 0-3, 5.50 in his last three starts.
Lohse is 2-1, 3.77 in his last five starts.

Philly lost ten of its last fourteen games, but won last two.
Milwaukee lost seven of its last eight games.

Six of last eight Hernandez starts went over total.

Pirates-Cardinals
Cumpton is 3-0, 3.09 in his last five starts.
Lynn is 2-1, 0.87 in his last three home starts.

Pirates lost their last three road games, last two on walkoffs.
St Louis won five of its last seven home games.

Under is 8-2-1 in Cardinals' last eleven home games.

Cubs-Reds
Beeler allowed one run in six IP in his first MLB start.
Cincinnati won last seven Simon starts (3-0, 2.00 last five).

Cubs are 0-5 since Samardzija trade, scoring eleven runs.
Cincinnati won seven of its last eight home games.

Seven of last ten Cincinnati games stayed under total.


American League

Blue Jays-Angels
Stroman is 1-0, 1.25 in his last three starts.
Wilson is 1-1, 7.27 in his last five starts.

Blue Jays lost ten of their last twelve road games.
Angels won 13 of their last 17 games; they're 11-1 in last 12 at home.

Twelve of last thirteen Toronto games stayed under.

Bronx-Indians
McCarthy was 2-0, 2.13 in his last couple starts for Arizona.
Tomlin is 0-3, 11.40 in his last three home starts.

Bronx Bombers won five of their last seven road games.
Indians won five of their last seven games.

Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Cleveland home games.

Royals-Rays
Ventura is 4-2, 2.52 in his last six starts.
Cobb is 2-2, 5.73 in his last four starts.

Royals lost three of their last four games.
Tampa Bay won 11 of its last 14 games.

Under is 4-1-1 in last six Stroman starts.

White Sox--Red Sox
Sale is 3-0, 2.89 in his last four starts.
de la Rosa is 1-0, 0.64 in his last two starts.

White Sox won five of their last six games.
Red Sox lost 13 of their last 18 games.

15 of last 20 games at Fenway Park stayed under.

Astros-Rangers
Keuchel is 0-2, 7.00 in his last three starts.
Darvish is 1-0, 2.77 in his last two starts.

Houston lost 15 of its last 21 games, but won last two.
Rangers lost nine of their last ten games.

Last five Texas games went over the total.

Twins-Mariners
Gibson is 1-2, 11.25 in his last three starts.
Elias is 0-2, 8.18 in his last couple starts.

Minnesota lost six of its last eight games.
Mariners won eight of their last eleven games.

Five of last seven Gibson starts stayed under.


Interleague games

Orioles-Nationals
Norris is 4-0, 2.55 in his last four starts.
Fister is 7-2, 2.88 in his last ten starts.

Orioles won seven of their last eight games.
Washington won seven of its last nine games.

Nine of last twelve Washington games went over.

Dodgers-Tigers
Greinke is 3-1, 3.04 in his last four starts.
Scherzer is 2-0, 1.71 in his last three starts.

Dodgers won seven of their last ten road games.
Tigers lost three of their last four games.

Six of last nine Scherzer starts went over total.

Giants-A's
Hammel was 2-1, 2.79 in his last three starts for the Cubs.
Cain is 0-4, 5.87 in his last five starts, 0-1, 1.35 in his last two.

Oakland won its last six games, allowing five runs.
Giants lost nine of their last twelve games.

Last six Oakland games stayed under the total.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Beeler 0-1; Simon 5-17 (1 of last 8)
-- Stults 6-18; Jurrjens 1-1
-- Eovaldi 7-18; Collmenter 8-15 (4 of last 5)
-- Santana 6-16 (3 of last 4); Gee 2-8
-- Hernandez 8-16; Lohse 7-17
-- Cumpton 2-9; Lynn 5-18


-- Stroman 2-7; Wilson 4-18 (1 of last 8)
-- McCarthy 4-18; Tomlin 3-11
-- Sale 1-13; de la Rosa 1-5
-- Ventura 4-16 (0 of last 6); Cobb 3-12
-- Keuchel 4-16; Darvish 3-16
-- Gibson 6-17 (3 of last 3); Elias 6-18

-- Fister 3-11; Norris 4-14
-- Greinke 3-18; Scherzer 6-18
-- Hammel 4-17 (3 of last 5); Cain 5-14 (1 of last 6)

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Beeler 0-1; Simon 14-3
-- Stults 7-11 (2-8 last 10); Jurrjens 0-1
-- Eovaldi 7-11 (1-6 last 7); Collmenter 9-6
-- Santana 8-8; Gee 4-4
-- Hernandez 6-10 (4 of last 6); Lohse 13-5
-- Cumpton 5-4 (4-1 last 5); Lynn 11-7


-- Stroman 3-4; Wilson 9-9
-- McCarthy (Az 4-14); Tomlin 5-6 (1-4 last 5), MacnCheese is with NYY now
-- Sale 9-4; de la Rosa 2-3
-- Ventura 7-9; Cobb 5-7
-- Keuchel 9-7; Darvish 11-5
-- Gibson 8-9 (1-3 last 4); Elias 9-9

-- Fister 3-11; Norris 4-14
-- Greinke 11-7; Scherzer 13-5 (5-1 last 6)
-- Hammel (Chi 10-7); Cain 4-10 (0-5 last 5), Hammel now with OAK

Umpires
-- Chi-Cin-- Underdogs won 12 of last 15 Wegner games; over is 7-4 in his last eleven games.
-- Atl-NY-- Over is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Barber games.
-- Phil-Mil-- Favorites won eight of last nine Kellogg games.
-- Pitt-StL-- Underdogs won nine of last 13 Foster games.
-- SD-Col-- 11 of last 15 Fagan games stayed under total.
-- Mia-Az-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Tumpane games.

-- NY-Clev-- Over is 6-2-1 in Woodring games this season.
-- Chi-Bos-- Under is 12-4-1 in Eddings games this season.
-- KC-TB-- Eight of last eleven Diaz games went over total.
-- Hst-Tex-- Underdogs won eight of last ten Miller games.
-- Tor-LA-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Wolf games.
-- Min-Sea-- Four of last five Morales games went over.

-- LA-Det-- Over is 10-5 in last 15 TBarrett games; visitor won last six.
-- Wsh-Blt-- Eight of last eleven Iassogna games stayed under.
-- SF-A's-- Four of last five Ripperger games went over; dogs won last four.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

July 12

July 12

MLB

National League
Braves-Cubs
Minor is 0-1, 6.48 in his last six starts.
Jackson is 1-4, 6.27 in his last six starts.

Braves lost five of their last six games.
Cubs lost six of their last eight games.

11 of last 14 Atlanta road games stayed under total.

Nationals-Phillies
Strasburg is 1-0, 1.84 in his last couple starts.
Hamels is 2-2, 2.10 in his last eight starts.

Washington lost three of its last four games.
Phillies won their last five games.

10 of last 15 Washington games went over total.

Pirates-Reds
Morton is 4-2, 3.00 in his last seven starts.
Leake is 4-1, 3.21 in his last five starts.

Pirates lost five of their last six road games.
Cincinnati won six of its last seven games.

Four of last five Leake starts went over total; last three Morton starts stayed under the total.

Marlins-Mets
Koehler is 1-2, 5.35 in his last six starts.
Home team won all eight Matsuzaka starts; he is 2-0, 1.35 at home (4 starts)

Marlins are 5-9 in their last thirteen games.
Mets won five of their last six games.

Seven of last ten New York home games went over.

Cardinals-Brewers
Wainwright is 3-1, 0.79 in his last six starts.
Brewers' top prospect Nelson blanked Marlins for 5.2 innings (107 PT) in his only MLB start.

Cardinals won four of their last five games.
Milwaukee lost ten of its last eleven games.

Seven of last ten games at Miller Park went over.

Padres-Dodgers
Kennedy is 2-0, 1.38 in his last two starts.
Maholm is 1-4, 6.93 in seven starts, last of which was May 14.

Padres lost five of their last seven games.
Dodgers lost four of their last five games.

11 of last 13 San Diego road games stayed under.

Diamondbacks-Giants
Miley is 1-0, 1.84 in his last couple starts.
Vogelsong is 0-3, 2.95 in his last three starts (Giants scored one run).

Arizona lost six of its last eight road games.
Giants lost 15 of their last 20 home games.

Eleven of last fourteen Arizona games stayed under.

American League
White Sox--Indians
Carroll is 1-5, 7.85 in his last seven starts.
McCallister is 0-4, 10.27 in his last six starts, last of which was May 21.

White Sox lost their last three games.
Indians won seven of their last ten games.

Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven Cleveland home games.

Bronx-Orioles
Greene allowed two runs in six IP in his first MLB start (win at Cleveland).
Tillman is 2-0, 2.28 in his last four starts.

Bronx Bombers lost nine of their last fourteen games.
Baltimore won five of its last six games.

Nine of last thirteen Bronx road games went over total.

Blue Jays-Rays
Hutchison is 1-3, 4.70 in his last four starts.
Odorizzi is 2-3, 2.21 in his last six starts.

Blue Jays lost eight of their last ten road games.
Tampa Bay lost three of their last four games.

Six of last seven Hutchison starts stayed under.

Angels-Rangers
Weaver left his last start Monday after two innings (back); he is 2-0, 2.78 in his last four starts.
Mikolas is 0-1, 12.46 in two starts this season.

Angels won ten of their last twelve games.
Rangers lost 12 of their last 13 games.

14 of last 20 Texas road games went over total.

Red Sox-Astros
Red Sox lost last seven Peavy starts (0-5, 5.27).
McHugh is 0-5, 5.46 in his last five starts.

Red Sox won their last three games.
Astros won three of their last four games.

Six of last eight Boston road games went over.

Tigers-Royals
Porcello is 3-1, 2.12 in his last four starts.
Shields is 1-1, 4.85 in his last four starts.

Detroit won seven of its last nine road games.
Royals lost eight of their last eleven home games.

Seven of last nine Detroit games went over the total.

A's-Mariners
Chavez is 2-1, 3.10 in his last five starts.
Iwakuma is 2-0, 0.69 in his last two starts.

Oakland won seven of its last nine games.
Mariners lost three of last four games.

Seven of last eight Seattle home games stayed under.

Interleague games
Twins-Rockies
Correia is 0-3, 3.79 in his last three starts (Twins scored four runs).
Matzek is 0-3, 5.34 in his last five starts.

Twins won four of their last six road games.
Colorado won its last three home games.

Under is 6-1-1 in last eight games at Coors Field.

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Minor 6-7; Jackson 6-12
-- Miley 9-10; Vogelsong 10-8
-- Wainwright 14-4; Nelson 1-0
-- Koehler 8-10; Matsuzaka 4-4
-- Strasburg 10-9; Hamels 6-9
-- Morton 8-10; Leake 8-10
-- Kennedy 9-10; Maholm 2-5

-- Carroll 3-5; McCallister 5-5
-- Greene 1-0; Tillman 13-6
-- Peavy 5-13 (0-7 last 7); McHugh 5-9 (0-5 last 5)
-- Hutchison 9-9; Odorizzi 6-12
-- Porcello 12-5; Shields 12-7
-- Weaver 11-8; Mikolas 0-2
-- Chavez 13-5; Iwakuma 8-5

-- Correia 5-13; Matzek 1-5 (0-5 last 5)

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Minor 3-13; Jackson 8-18 (5 of last 9)
-- Miley 3-19; Vogelsong 3-18
-- Wainwright 3-19; Nelson 0-1
-- Koehler 2-18; Matsuzaka 2-8
-- Strasburg 5-19 (1 of last 11); Hamels 2-15
-- Morton 3-18; Leake 3-18
-- Kennedy 3-12; Maholm 1-7

-- Carroll 3-8; McCallister 3-10
-- Greene 0-1; Tillman 8-19
-- Peavy 4-18; McHugh 1-14
-- Hutchison 3-18; Odorizzi 1-18
-- Porcello 4-15; Shields 5-19 (3 of last 5)
-- Weaver 4-19; Mikolas 0-2
-- Chavez 5-18 (1 of last 9); Iwakuma 3-13 (2 of last 3)

-- Correia 4-19; Matzek 1-6

Umpires
-- Atl-Chi-- Six of last eight Hoberg games went over total.
-- Az-SF-- Last eight Danley games stayed under the total.
-- StL-Mil-- 12 of last 15 Barry games stayed under total.
-- Mia-NY-- Six of seven Marquez games stayed under.
-- Wsh-Phil-- Home side won 13 of last 16 Fletcher games.
-- Pitt-Cin-- Underdogs won six of last seven Gonzalez games.
-- SD-LA-- Underdogs won seven of last ten Rackley games.

-- Chi-Clev-- Under is 7-3-2 in last twelve HGibson games.
-- NY-Balt-- Five of seven Joyce games went over the total.
-- Bos-Hst-- Over is 14-3-2 when West umps plate this year.
-- Tor-TB-- Six of last eight Everitt games went over total.
-- Det-KC-- Four of last five Carapazza games stayed under.
-- LA-Tex-- Six of last nine Reynolds games stayed under.
-- A's-Sea-- 13 of last 18 Davidson gamnes stayed under.

-- Min-Col-- Third home plate in five nights for Hernandez; favorites are 10-2 in his last dozen games behind the plate.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Wed July 23

Wed July 23

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT

***** Wednesday, 7/23/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
__________________________________________________ ___

MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #17
?Peacock Cashing In For Under Backers: Houston Astros pitcher Brad Peacock has been a stud for bettors backing the Under in recent games. In the 26-year-old's last seven outings, the Under is 6-1. Houston sends Peacock to the bump when they face off against the Oakland Athletics in the Bay Area (10:05 PM EST) on Wednesday evening. BetOnline.com presently lists the Athletics as heavy -235 favorites on the moneyline with a total of 7.5.

?Dodgers Dominating Lefties, Face Liriano Wednesday: The Los Angeles Dodgers have been feasting on left-handed pitching lately. In their last nine games versus southpaws, Los Angeles is a 8-1 through Tuesday. Pittsburgh Pirates lefty Francisco Liriano will be on the mound when the Pirates host the Dodgers at PNC Park (7:05 PM EST) on Wednesday night. The Pirates are currently -135 favorites on the moneyline with a total of 7.5, per BetOnline.com.

?Athletics Agree To Coliseum Lease Extension: The Oakland Athletics will continue to make their home in O.Co Coliseum. The team reached agreement on a 10-year lease extension to remain in a facility that has experienced sewage and lighting problems recently. A's owner Lew Wolff signed off on the agreement after the Oakland City Council made several modifications last week. The Alameda County Board of Supervisors must give final approval, which is considered a formality.

The Athletics have played in the Coliseum since 1968. "I'm very pleased that this is behind us and we can now get on with our various activities," Wolff said. Both sides squabbled during lease negotiations for the past few months. There were threats that the team could move from Oakland, and concessions were made for the team to pay reduced rent. As part of the deal, Wolff agrees to continue discussions about building a new ballpark in Oakland.

?This Club Has Been A Boon For Over Bettors: If you've been backing the Over in the Philadelphia Phillies games recently, you've been making some nice profits. In Philadelphia's last eight confrontations, the Over is 7-1 (87.5%) through Tuesday. The Phils host the San Francisco Giants (7:05 PM EST) Wednesday. BetOnline currently has San Francisco as -134 favorite on the moneyline with a total of 7.5.

?This Umpire Loves High Totals: Over backers will be glad to see Paul Emmel behind the plate for Wednesday afternoon?s? meeting between the Colorado Rockies and Washington Nationals at Coors Field (3:10 PM EST). In Emmel's last 10 games calling balls and strikes, the Over is a red-hot 7-1-2. The Nationals are currently -158 with a total of 10, per BetOnline.com.

?Royals Owning ChiSox In Chicago: The Kansas City Royals have struggled mightily in the past little while, but Royals backers have some hope heading into their matchup against the Chicago White Sox at U.S. Cellular Field (2:10 PM EST) on Wednesday afternoon. Through Tuesday, the Royals are 10-2 in their last 12 meetings (83.3%) with the White Sox in the Windy City. BetOnline.com currently lists the game as a pick 'em with a total of 7.5 for the matchup.

?Lohse, Brewers Trending Under Against Reds: When Milwaukee Brewers right-hander pitcher Kyle Lohse has faced the Cincinnati Reds recently, the Under is a scorching hot 6-0. Lohse gets the nod for the Reds against the Brew Crew at Miller Park (2:10 PM EST) Wednesday. The Brewers are presently -154 favorites on the moneyline with an Over/Under of 7.5, according to BetOnline.com.

?Ump Trend You Need To Know: Umpire Will Little will be behind the plate for Wednesday afternoons's matchup between the Cleveland Indians and Minnesota Twins, which means Under backers need to take note. In Little's last seven games calling balls and strikes, the Under is 6-2. The Tribe is currently slight -108 favorites with a total of 7.5, per BetOnline.com.

Tuesday's MLB Roundup
-- The New York Yankees acquired third baseman Chase Headley and cash considerations from the San Diego Padres on Tuesday in exchange for infielder Yangervis Solarte and right-hander Rafael De Paula. The 30-year-old Headley is scheduled to become a free agent after the season. The Padres agreed to pay $1 million of the remaining $3.968 million on his $10.525 million contract this year.

Headley has not reached the production level he achieved two years ago when he hit 31 home runs, led the National League with 115 RBIs in 161 games, finished fifth in the league's Most Valuable Player balloting and won Gold Glove and Silver Slugger awards for the Padres. This year, he has battled injuries and is batting .229 with seven home runs and 32 RBIs in 77 games. Solarte, 27, is hitting .254 with six home runs and 31 RBIs in 75 games for the Yankees. De Paula, 23, was 6-5 with a 4.15 ERA in 20 games, including 17 starts, for Class A Tampa this year.

-- The Colorado Rockies placed shortstop Troy Tulowitzki on the disabled list Tuesday with a left hip flexor strain. Tulowitzki left Saturday night?s game against the Pittsburgh Pirates with a cramp in his quadriceps and had missed two games since then before the team made the announcement before Tuesday night's matchup with the Washington Nationals. The 29-year-old Tulowitzki, considered a National league MVP candidate this season, is leading the NL with a .340 batting average, a .432 on-base percentage and a .603 slugging percentage. He has 21 home runs and a major league-leading 71 runs scored in 91 games this season.

-- Opening Day second baseman Darwin Barney was designated for assignment on Tuesday by the Chicago Cubs to make way for outfielder Emilio Bonifacio on the roster. The 28-year-old Barney played in 72 games for the Cubs this year and batted .230 with two homers and 16 RBIs. Bonifacio returned from the disabled list for a game with San Diego. Barney played in 141 games or more each of the past three seasons. Since joining the Cubs in 2010, he batted .246 with 16 homers and 130 RBIs while providing good defense.

-- The Cleveland Indians recalled right-hander Danny Salazar from Columbus and optioned right-hander C.C. Lee to Triple-A before Tuesday night's game against the Minnesota Twins in Minneapolis. Salazar has made eight starts for the Indians this season and posted a 1-4 record with a 5.53 ERA. He was optioned May 16 to Columbus, where he posted a 3-6 record with a 4.02 ERA and two complete games in 10 starts.

-- The Oakland Athletics will continue to make their home in O.Co Coliseum. The team reached agreement on a 10-year lease extension to remain in a facility that has experienced sewage and lighting problems recently. A's owner Lew Wolff signed off on the agreement after the Oakland City Council made several modifications last week. The Alameda County Board of Supervisors must give final approval, which is considered a formality. The A's have played in the Coliseum since 1968.

-- There are no plans to limit or shut down right-hander Garrett Richards, who is 14 innings shy of his 2013 mark of 145 while leading the Los Angeles Angels with an 11-2 record and 2.47 ERA in 20 starts. General manager Jerry Dipoto said skipping Richards in the final two months of the season or putting a hard cap on his innings total are not options the team is discussing. Richards failed to pitch into the seventh inning just six times in 20 starts. He is at 131 1/3 innings this season, closing in fast on his career-high of 145 in 2013.

-- The Tampa Bay Rays placed right-hander Joel Peralta (illness) on the 15-day disabled list, retroactive to July 13, and called up left-hander Jeff Beliveau from Triple-A Durham. Peralta was bitten by a mosquito in the Dominican Republic during the All-Star break.

-- The Texas Rangers placed catcher Geovany Soto on the 15-day disabled list with tightness in his right groin that will require an MRI Friday in Texas. Soto had returned just three games ago from a long stint on the disabled list after knee surgery when the latest injury occurred.

-- The Philadelphia Phillies placed outfielder John Mayberry Jr. on the 15-day disabled list with left wrist inflammation and called up outfielder-first baseman Darin Ruf from Triple A. Meanwhile, left-hander Cliff Lee reported no problems after pitching Monday for the first time since returning after spending two months on the disabled list with a strained elbow.

-- San Francisco Giants outfielder Angel Pagan (back) took swings off a tee Monday, but there is still no timetable for his return. "It's a step in the right direction," manager Bruce Bochy said. First baseman Brandon Belt (concussion) is progressing slowly. He could start taking swings in a few days, but it appears unlikely he'll return from the seven-day DL when eligible on Sunday.
_____________________________________________

Betting Notes - Wednesday

National League
?Reds-Brewers - 2:10 PM
--Leake is 1-2, 4.91 in his last four starts.
--Lohse is 2-2, 3.66 in his last five starts.

--Reds lost their last eight road games.
--Milwaukee won its last three home games.

--Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Cincinnati road games.

?Nationals-Rockies - 3:10 PM
--Strasburg is 1-1, 2.96 in his last four starts.
--De La Rosa is 4-0, 3.77 in his last five starts.

--Washington won five six of its last seven games.
--Colorado lost its last seven games.

--Under is 6-3 in last nine games at Coors Field.

?Giants-Phillies - 7:05 PM
--Bumgarner is 2-0, 3.65 in his last couple starts.
--Burnett is 1-3, 4.96 in his last five starts.

--Giants won five of their last six games.
--Phillies lost eleven of last fourteen at home.

--Over is 4-0-1 in last five Bumgarner starts.

?Dodgers-Pirates - 7:05 PM
--Haren is 0-3, 9.64 in his last three starts.
--Liriano is 1-4, 5.23 in his last seven starts.

--Dodgers lost six of their last nine road games.
--Pittsburgh won 13 of its last 16 home games.

--Five of last seven Haren starts went over total.

?Marlins-Braves - 7:10 PM
--Eovaldi is 0-2, 6.38 in his last four starts.
--Santana is 3-1, 4.00 in his last four starts.

--Marlins won their last three games.
--Atlanta lost three of its last four games.

--Six of last eight Atlanta games went over.

?Padres-Cubs - 8:05 PM
--Kennedy is 2-0, 2.08 in his last four starts.
--Wada allowed one unearned run in five IP in his only MLB start.

--San Diego lost six of its last seven road games.
--Cubs lost 11 of their last 14 games.

--Seven of last ten Kennedy starts stayed under the total.

American League
?Indians-Twins - 1:10 PM
--Bauer is 2-0, 2.75 in his last three starts.
--Gibson is 0-3, 10.13 in his last three starts.

--Cleveland won seven of its last ten games.
--Twins lost eight of their last ten home games.

--Under is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Cleveland road games.

?Royals-White Sox - 2:10 PM
--Shields is 1-1, 2.75 in his last three starts.
--Quintana is 2-0, 1.77 in his last six starts.

--Kansas City lost seven of its last nine games.
--White Sox won seven of their last nine home games.

--Five of last seven Shields starts went over the total; last six Quintana starts all stayed under.

?Red Sox-Blue Jays - 7:05 PM
--Buchholz is 2-1, 2.86 in his last four starts.
--Dickey is 1-6, 4.28 in his last seven starts.

--Boston won eight of its last ten games.
--Blue Jays lost ten of their last fifteen games.

--Five of last seven Buchholz starts went over total.

?Rangers-Yankees - 7:05 PM
--Darvish is 2-1, 3.86 in his last four starts.
--Phelps is 1-0, 2.79 in his last three starts.

--Rangers lost 26 of their last 32 games.
--New York won five of its last seven games.

--Under is 10-2-2 in last fourteen Yankees home games.

?Astros-Athletics - 10:05 PM
--Peacock is 1-2, 3.86 in his last six starts.
--Chavez is 1-2, 4.98 in his last four starts.

--Houston lost 12 of its last 18 road games.
--Oakland won 13 of its last 16 home games.

--Three of last four Peacock road starts stayed under total.

?Orioles-Angels - 10:05 PM
--Tillman is 2-1, 2.44 in his last six starts.
--Weaver is 3-0, 2.78 in his last six starts.

--Baltimore won six of its last eight road games.
--Angels won 14 of their last 19 games, but lost last two.

--Five of last seven Weaver starts stayed under total.

Interleague
?Tigers-Diamondbacks - 3:40 PM
--Sanchez is 1-2, 5.26 in his last four starts.
--Cahill is 0-4, 8.74 in five starts this season.

--Tigers lost five of their last seven games.
--Arizona won five of its last six home games.

--Six of last eight Sanchez starts went over total.

?Mets-Mariners - 3:40 PM
--Colon is 0-3, 5.88 in his last four starts.
--Walker is 1-1, 3.60 in two starts, last of which was July 6.

--Mets lost nine of their last twelve road games.
--Seattle lost nine of its last fourteen games.

--Ten of last twelve games at Safeco Field stayed under total.

?Rays-Cardinals - 7:15 PM
--Cobb is 3-0, 4.43 in his last four starts.
--Lynn is 3-0, 1.86 in his last three starts.

--Tampa Bay won its last six games, is 14-2 in last 16 road games.
--Cardinals won seven of their last eleven games.

--Over is 4-0-1 in last five Cobb starts.

?Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Leake 8-12; Lohse 14-6
-- Strasburg 11-10; de la Rosa 13-7
-- Bumgarner 11-9; Burnett 10-11
-- Haren 10-10; Liriano 8-8
-- Eovaldi 7-13; Santana 9-9
-- Kennedy 9-12; Wada 0-1

-- Bauer 7-6; Gibson 8-11
-- Shields 12-9; Quintana 8-12
-- Buchholz 7-8; Dickey 9-12
-- Darvish 12-6; Phelps 4-10
-- Peacock 6-8; Chavez 13-6
-- Tillman 13-8; Weaver 13-8

-- Sanchez 9-8; Cahill 1-4
-- Colon 10-9; Walker 1-1
-- Cobb 6-7; Lynn 13-7

?Umpires Trends
-- LA-Pitt-- 10 of last 13 Diaz games went over total.
-- SF-Phil-- Five of last seven Carapazza games stayed under.
-- Mia-Atl-- Nine of last twelve West games went over.
-- Cin-Mil--11 of 16 Segal games went over the total.
-- Wsh-Col-- Over is 7-1-2 in last ten Emmel games.
-- SD-Chi-- 12 of last 17 Tichenor games went over.

-- Tex-NY-- Under is 12-5-1 in last 18 Scott games.
-- Bos-Tor-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Morales games.
-- KC-Chi-- Underdogs are 5-4 in last nine Fletcher games.
-- Cle-Min-- Six of last eight Little games stayed under total.
-- Balt-LAA-- Six of last eight HGibson games stayed under.
-- Hst-A's-- Seven of nine Marquez games stayed under.

-- Det-Az-- Underdogs won seven of last eight Gonzalez games.
-- NY-Sea-- Four of last five Joyce games went over total.
-- TB-StL-- Underdogs won five of last seven Bellino games.

?Incredible Stat of the Day
Brewers RF Ryan Braun is batting .410 with two homers and eight RBIs during a 10-game overall hitting streak, and .426 with 13 RBIs while hitting safely in 13 straight at home. Braun is having a good season, without question, with a .354 on-base percentage. He's on track to accumulate a respectable 63 extra-base hits ? but with 19 homers and 37 walks, very different from his 2012 totals of 41 homers and 63 walks.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Thurs July 24

Thurs July 24

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT

***** Thursday, 7/24/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
__________________________________________________ ___

MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #17
?Rays' Escobar Booted After Strikeout: Tampa Bay Rays shortstop Yunel Escobar was ejected from Wednesday night's game with the St. Louis Cardinals after arguing a called third strike in the top of the fourth inning. Escobar started to first base after taking a 3-2 pitch, but home plate umpire Dan Bellino rung him up. Escobar jumped up and down about 10 feet from the plate and then confronted Bellino, who booted him. Escobar was the second Ray to be kicked out in as many nights. Manager Joe Maddon was heaved in Tuesday night's 7-2 win by plate umpire Mark Ripperger in the third inning. Bellino leads all MLB umpires in ejections this year with six.

?Masahiro Tanaka Still Has Elbow Pain: New York Yankees general manager Brian Cashman said Wednesday that Masahiro Tanaka, the ace of his pitching staff, is still feeling discomfort in his pitching elbow despite not having picked up a baseball since receiving a platelet-rich plasma injection 10 days ago. Speaking on ESPN New York 98.7 FM's "The Michael Kay Show," Cashman gave the following update on Tanaka: "He's improved, but he still feels it, although on a daily basis it decreases. So that's good but it's not good that he's still feeling it at this stage. So it's just day-by-day, week-by-week and we'll adjust accordingly. It's too early to call." Tanaka was diagnosed with a partially-torn ulnar collateral ligament via MRI after complaining of elbow pain following an ineffective performance against the Indians in Cleveland on July 8.

?Maybin Suspended, Padres Call Up Francoeur: San Diego Padres outfielder Cameron Mayin was suspended 25 games without pay after testing positive for an Amphetamine in violation of Major League Baseball's Joint Drug Prevention and Treatment Program. The suspension was effective immediately, and the Padres purchased the contract of outfielder Jeff Francoeur from Triple-A El Paso. Maybin is hitting just .247 in 174 at-bats this season, appearing in 62 games. He has one home run and nine RBIs to go with three stolen bases.

Francoeur was in the starting lineup for the Padres' game against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on Wednesday, and hit a two-run double in the first inning. The 30-year-old was released by the Cleveland Indians during the final week of spring training and signed a minor-league deal with the Padres on March 25. He was hitting .294 with 15 home runs and 60 RBIs in 98 games with El Paso. Francoeur has a .263 career batting average in parts of nine seasons in the majors.

?Nationals Put Zimmerman On DL: The Washington Nationals placed infielder/outfielder Ryan Zimmerman on the 15-day disabled list with a right hamstring strain, the team announced Wednesday. Zimmerman, 29, goes on the DL for the second time this season after missing 44 games with a right thumb fracture earlier in the year. He is hitting .282 with five home runs, 19 doubles and 36 RBIs. In the month of July, Zimmerman collected 21 hits in 58 at-bats (.362), posted a .418 on-base percentage and a .569 slugging percentage with eight extra-base hits (six doubles, two home runs).

The Nationals also recalled infielder Zach Walters from Syracuse of the Triple-A International League. Walters, 24, rejoins the Nationals for his second stint of the season. In 60 games at Triple-A this season, Walters is hitting .300 with a .358 on-base percentage and a .608 slugging percentage. While racking up 38 extra-base hits, Walters has hit 15 home runs with 48 RBIs.

?Yankees Put Johnson On DL: The New York Yankees placed infielder Kelly Johnson on the 15-day disabled list with a strained left groin, the team announced Wednesday. Johnson was removed from Tuesday night's game against the Texas Rangers after suffering the injury. Johnson is hitting .219 with six home runs and 22 RBIs in 201 at-bats this season. The Yankees also called up right-hander Chris Leroux from Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre and designated right-hander Bruce Billings for assignment.

?Milone Reached Out To Melvin About Trade Request: A?s manager Bob Melvin said he?s spoken with pitcher Tommy Milone, who made news Monday when it surfaced that he?s requested that Oakland trade him. It was Milone that sought Melvin out for a phone conversation, the lefty apparently wanting to clear the air and make sure his big league manager knows where he?s coming from. Milone was optioned to Triple-A Sacramento on July 5 despite posting sparkling numbers leading up to his demotion, and Oakland?s big league rotation looks booked as it currently stands following the trade for starters Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel.

Fox Sports reported Monday that Milone has asked for a trade, and that the New York Yankees are one team interested in him. Milone has declined comment on the matter. ?He got a hold of me when all of this was coming out. I?m pretty sure he didn?t expect this to get the play it has,? Melvin said. ?To an extent, he?s looking out for his big league career, and he?s pitched really well for us. You don?t blame him for wanting to be in the big leagues. It doesn?t mean he doesn?t want to be here. He does wanna be here. He?s respected by his teammates, and he respects the situation going on here. But he wants to be in the big leagues, and I don?t blame him for that.? Milone was 6-0 with a 2.62 ERA over his previous 11 starts before being optioned to Sacramento.

?One Strip Club Has Quite The Retirement Gift For Derek Jeter: Who needs retirement gifts like a rocking chair and gold watch? Nothing says congratulations on a brilliant baseball career quite like freebies at a... strip club? An all-nude joint in New York City is offering Derek Jeter and the rest of the Yankees organization free lap dances Sept. 7, the same day that the team is officially honoring the captain. All Yankee employees will receive free admission and two free lap dances, the Show Palace in Queens announced. Plus, the dancers will be painted in pinstripes.

If Jeter himself were to show up, a rep tells The Huffington Post, he "gets unlimited lap dances and food and a lifetime free-entry pass to Show Palace as a thank you for his years of service as a New York Yankee." Of course, Jeter has cultivated a generally clean image throughout his tenure, so it's doubtful he'd accept. But nice to know the offer stands. We reached out to the Yankees for comment, but we aren't holding our breath for a return. Show Palace isn't the first area nudie bar to use sports for publicity, but at least the public can benefit if it chooses: All fans wearing a Jeter jersey on Sept. 7 will get free admission as well, the club said. It should be noted, however, that Show Palace already offers gratis entry via its website before 10 p.m.
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Betting Notes - Thursday

National League
?Giants-Phillies - 1:05 PM
--Hudson is 1-0, 1.32 in his last two road starts.
--Hamels is 2-0, 2.61 in his last three starts.

--Giants won six of their last seven games.
--Phillies lost 12 of last 15 games at home.

--Over is 7-1-1 in Hudson's last nine starts.

?Marlins-Braves - 7:10 PM
--Alvarez is 0-2, 9.39 in his last couple starts.
--Harang is 4-0, 2.38 in his last five starts.

--Marlins won three of their last four games.
--Atlanta lost three of its last five games.

--Last four Alvarez starts went over the total; four of last five Harang starts stayed under.

?Padres-Cubs - 8:05 PM
--Ross is 2-2, 0.93 in his last four starts.
--Jackson is 0-3, 7.18 in his last five starts.

--San Diego lost six of its last eight road games.
--Cubs lost 11 of their last 15 games.

--Last ten Ross starts stayed under the total.

?Mets-Brewers - 8:10 PM
--Gee is 1-1, 4.00 in his last three starts.
--Garza got knocked out in first inning last start, allowing five runs (42 PT).

--Mets won 10 of their last 14 games.
--Milwaukee won its last four home games.

--Five of last seven Gee starts stayed under total.

American League
?Red Sox-Blue Jays - 12:35 PM
--De La Rosa is 2-0, 1.73 in his last four starts.
--Stroman is 4-1, 1.82 in six home starts.

--Boston won eight of its last eleven games.
--Blue Jays lost ten of their last sixteen games.

--Under is 5-1-1 in de la Rosa starts this season.

?Rangers-Yankees - 1:05 PM
--Lewis is 0-2, 18.42 in his last two starts.
--McCarthy is 1-0, 3.55 in two starts (2-0) for New York.

--Rangers lost 27 of their last 33 games.
--Yankees won six of its last eight games.

--Under is 10-2-2 in last fourteen New York home games; eight of last ten Lewis starts went over the total.

?Astros-Athletics - 3:35 PM
--Feldman is 0-2, 5.89 in his last three starts.
--Samardzija is 1-1, 3.27 in three starts for Oakland.

--Houston lost 13 of its last 19 road games.
--Oakland won 14 of its last 17 home games.

--Nine of last twelve Feldman starts went over total.

?Indians-Royals - 8:10 PM
--Kluber is 3-0, 2.74 in his last three starts.
--Duffy is 0-3, 3.86 in his last three starts.

--Cleveland lost three of its last four games.
--Kansas City lost seven of its last ten games, but won last two.

--Last six Duffy starts stayed under the total.

?White Sox-Twins - 8:10 PM
--Noesi is 2-2, 5.64 in his last four starts.
--Hughes is 2-3, 5.94 in his last five starts.

--White Sox lost three of their last four games.
--Minnesota lost four of its last six games.

--11 of last 15 White Sox games stayed under.

?Tigers-Angels - 10:05 PM
--Scherzer is 3-1, 1.87 in his last five starts.
--Richards is 7-0, 1.25 in his last nine starts.

--Detroit won three of its last four games.
--Angels won 15 of their last 20 games.

--Last three Richards starts stayed under the total.

?Orioles-Mariners - 10:10 PM
--Chen won three straight starts behind a 4.32 ERA.
--Iwakuma is 3-0 over his last four starts with a 1.57 ERA.

--Baltimore won three of their last five games.
--Mariners lost five of its last seven games.

--Over is 6-1 in Chens last 7 starts as a road underdog.

?Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Hudson 12-6; Hamels 7-10
-- Alvarez 13-7; Harang 11-8
-- Ross 9-12; Jackson 6-14
-- Gee 5-5; Garza 10-10

-- De La Rosa 4-3; Stroman 4-5
-- Lewis 8-9; McCarthy 4-14/2-0
-- Feldman 6-11; Samardzija 3-14/2-1
-- Kluber 13-8; Duffy 5-9
-- Noesi 7-8; Hughes 13-7
-- Scherzer 14-6; Richards 15-5
-- Chen 12-7; Iwakuma 9-6

?Umpires Trends
-- SF-Phil-- Four of last six Pattillo games went over; visitor won last four.
-- Mia-Atl-- Favorites won five of last six Foster games.
-- SD-Chi-- Four of last five Kulpa games stayed under.

-- Tex-NY-- 10 of last 13 Iassogna games stayed under total.
-- Bos-Tor-- Favorites won seven of last ten Hernandez games.
-- Hst-A's-- Over is 7-0-1 in last eight Schrieber games.

?Incredible Stat of the Day
Giants pitcher Tim Hudson is 19-3 (86.3%) his last twenty-two away team starts, including 11-2 against the money line in road games in the second half of the season over the last three seasons. The right-hander benefited from eight days off before his outing Saturday, allowing one run in 7 1/3 innings in a 5-3 win at Miami. He was 0-4 with a 6.07 ERA in his final five starts before the All-Star break.

Diamond Trends - Thursday
?MINNESOTA is 6-22 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in home games versus an American League team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 3.2, OPPONENT 5.9.

?SAN DIEGO is 54-22 UNDER (+28.4 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 2.9, OPPONENT 3.3.

?TEXAS is 9-27 (-24.4 Units) against the run line with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games this season.
The average score was TEXAS 3.6, OPPONENT 5.5.

?AARON HARANG is 2-12 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HARANG 2.8, OPPONENT 5.1.

?TYSON ROSS is 14-2 UNDER (+11.5 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ROSS 2.2, OPPONENT 2.7.

?EDWIN JACKSON is 5-19 (-19.4 Units) against the run line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was JACKSON 3.7, OPPONENT 6.3.

Situation Analysis of The Day
?Play Against - All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (DETROIT) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season - American League.
(54-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.8%, +38.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -130.4
The average score in these games was: Team 5.2, Opponent 3.3 (Average run differential = +1.9)

The situation's record this season is: (5-2, +2.2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-8, +20.3 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (151-89, +32.7 units).

?Play On - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (TORONTO) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA <=3.20) - American League, with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season.
(61-27 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.3%, +36.4 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (58-30 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.5, money line price: +104
The average score in these games was: Team 4.8, Opponent 3.6 (Average run differential = +1.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 51 (58% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (10-5, +4.2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-14, +2.9 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (125-76, +42 units).

?Play Over - Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (SEATTLE) - bad offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70) - American League, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing.
(44-18 since 1997.) (71%, +24.9 units. Rating = 2*)

The average total posted in these games was: 7.9, Money Line=-106.1
The average score in these games was: Team 4.6, Opponent 4.9 (Total runs scored = 9.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 36 (59% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (3-4, -1.2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-12, -0.6 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (27-15, +11.2 units).

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT

#951 SAN FRANCISCO @ #952 PHILADELPHIA - 1:05 PM
?Giants RH Tim Hudson (8-6, 2.78 ERA, WHIP: 1.101) - Hudson has faced the Phillies 29 times in his career, posting an 11-9 record with a 3.72 ERA - his highest mark against any NL East opponent. He enters this matchup on the heels of a terrific start against Miami, which managed just one run in 7 1/3 innings Saturday. Hudson did not walk a batter against the Marlins, marking the third time in his last four starts that he went at least six frames without issuing a free pass.

--KEY STAT: HUDSON is 22-4 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUDSON 6.2, OPPONENT 3.4.

--HUDSON is 30-8 (+17.0 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUDSON 5.2, OPPONENT 2.8.

?Phillies LH Cole Hamels (4-5, 2.83 ERA, WHIP: 1.163) - Hamels has won two straight decisions and allowed three runs or fewer in 10 consecutive starts. That said, the former World Series MVP still is trying to reach the .500 mark for the first time this season, due in large part to terrible run support. Buster Posey is 7-for-11 with four doubles and a home run against Hamels, while Michael Morse is just 4-for-18 with eight strikeouts versus the 30-year-old.

--KEY STAT: HAMELS is 9-17 (-13.6 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMELS 3.2, OPPONENT 3.3.

--HAMELS is 10-2 (+9.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMELS 3.5, OPPONENT 2.5.

--HAMELS is 10-1 UNDER (+9.0 Units) versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMELS 2.8, OPPONENT 2.8.

#953 MIAMI @ #954 ATLANTA - 7:10 PM
?Marlins RH Henderson Alvarez (6-5, 2.64 ERA, WHIP: 1.255) - Alvarez?s first start of the second half ended in the third inning Saturday when he took a comebacker off his left shin, but X-rays were negative and the Marlins have said all week they do not anticipate any problems out of the All-Star hurler. He has lost his past two starts, surrendering six runs on eight hits in five innings against the New York Mets on July 11. Alvarez gave up four runs on eight hits in six innings in his lone appearance against the Braves this season.

--KEY STAT: ALVAREZ is 11-4 (+7.9 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was ALVAREZ 4.3, OPPONENT 3.7.

--ALVAREZ is 13-6 (+8.0 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was ALVAREZ 3.9, OPPONENT 3.4.

?Braves RH Aaron Harang (9-6, 3.36 ERA, WHIP: 1.378) - Harang?s next victory will give him double-digits for the first time since a 10-win campaign in 2012, a far cry from the 5-12 record he posted last season. He has won his past four decisions and fired six shutout innings Saturday, not factoring in the decision in a 2-1 loss to Philadelphia. Harang, who has pitched at least six innings in nine of his past 10 outings, was shelled for nine runs on 10 hits on April 30 at Miami, but has allowed three runs in 12 2/3 frames in his other two appearances against the Marlins this season.

--KEY STAT: HARANG is 2-12 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HARANG 2.8, OPPONENT 5.1.

--HARANG is 43-22 UNDER (+18.8 Units) versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HARANG 4.1, OPPONENT 4.1.
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#955 SAN DIEGO @ #956 CHICAGO CUBS - 8:05 PM
?Padres RH Tyson Ross (8-10, 2.70 ERA, WHIP: 1.171) - With his next win, Ross will triple his previous career high. The All-Star has recorded six straight quality starts but is just 2-4 over that span despite a 1.47 ERA. The 27-year-old is making his first start versus the Cubs but pitched two scoreless innings in relief against them in 2010.

--KEY STAT: ROSS is 6-17 (-12.0 Units) against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was ROSS 3.0, OPPONENT 4.3.

?Cubs RH Edwin Jackson (5-10, 5.61 ERA, WHIP: 1.563) - Jackson has been better at home than on the road, but his 4-3 record and 5.19 ERA in nine starts at Wrigley Field are nothing to celebrate. The 30-year-old is winless in five outings since June 20 and gave up three runs and seven hits over 5 1/3 innings in a no-decision last time out versus Arizona. Jackson fell to 0-5 with a 6.94 ERA in 11 games (nine starts) against the Padres after giving up eight runs in four frames at San Diego on May 23.

--KEY STAT: JACKSON is 1-10 (-9.2 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .245 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was JACKSON 3.1, OPPONENT 6.7.

--JACKSON is 5-19 (-13.2 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was JACKSON 3.7, OPPONENT 6.3.

--JACKSON is 17-36 (-19.2 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was JACKSON 3.9, OPPONENT 5.2.

#957 NY METS @ #958 MILWAUKEE - 8:10 PM
?Mets RH Dillon Gee (4-2, 2.92 ERA, WHIP: 1.051) - Gee has struggled against Milwaukee, compiling a 6.75 ERA while losing all three career starts. He lost to the San Diego Padres in his last turn when he allowed four runs and five hits despite striking out eight in five innings. Gee is 2-1 with a 3.04 ERA in four road starts this season.

--KEY STAT: GEE is 11-2 UNDER (+9.0 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GEE 2.7, OPPONENT 2.9.

--GEE is 21-9 UNDER (+11.4 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GEE 3.3, OPPONENT 3.2.

?Brewers RH Matt Garza (6-7, 4.04 ERA, WHIP: 1.235) - Garza is coming off a miserable start in which he retired just one batter while allowing five runs, five hits and two walks in a loss to the Washington Nationals. The poor outing followed a stretch in which he gave up just two runs and five hits over 16 2/3 innings while splitting a pair of decisions. Garza has a 1.93 ERA in two career starts against New York.

--KEY STAT: GARZA is 6-16 (-12.2 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GARZA 3.6, OPPONENT 5.3.

--GARZA is 2-10 (-10.5 Units) against the money line against National League East opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GARZA 2.9, OPPONENT 5.6.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Monday July 28

Monday July 28

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
MONDAY, JULY 28th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Monday, 7/28/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #18
?Sox Consider Trade For Matt Kemp: He has had debilitating ankle and shoulder injuries that have limited his play the last two seasons, is still owed roughly $118 million on a contract that runs through 2019, and has a mixed reputation as a clubhouse presence, but the Red Sox are considering making a move for Dodgers outfielder Matt Kemp, according to a club source. With the Sox in need of more offensive production in the outfield, the right-handed-hitting Kemp could be the major piece in a trade for Red Sox left-hander Jon Lester, especially with the Dodgers reluctant to part with top outfield prospect Joc Pederson.

Kemp has had two operations on his left shoulder since 2012 and another on his left ankle in October. He was limited to 73 games in 2013, and the Dodgers determined that the loss of mobility due to his ankle injury limits him to playing one of the corner outfield positions instead of center field. Center field was the position he played in 2010, when he finished runner-up in the National League MVP voting by hitting .324 with a .399 OBP, .586 slugging percentage, 39 home runs and 40 stolen bases. He has put up much more modest numbers this season, posting a .273/.339/.429/.768 slash line, with 8 home runs and 5 stolen bases in 10 attempts. The Dodgers already have five outfielders for three spots, with Pederson knocking on the door, so it makes sense they would consider moving Kemp.

Making a trade problematic is Kemp's contract; the Dodgers would have to be willing to eat a considerable sum for the deal to make any sense for Boston to make it. They might be willing to do so for a pitcher of Lester's magnitude, though again, with no assurances that Lester would be no more than a two-month rental, that also would seem to limit how much the Dodgers would give. The Sox would almost certainly prefer a package built around Pederson. On Saturday, Dodgers general manager Ned Colletti addressed speculation that the Dodgers have some interest in Lester.

"You know what? We may not do anything," Colletti said, according to Mark Saxon of ESPNLosAngeles.com. "We've still got a club that's solid, that still has upside to it, so I think there's still more in this club. Have we won four in a row yet? I think there's still a strong run in this club as it's currently constituted. That said, we've been historically active in July and August, sometimes, and we'll continue to see what else we can do." As for the Red Sox? "It's going to be a crazy few days," Lester said.

?Holland Nears Start Of Rehab Assignment: Left-hander Derek Holland, who has been out since undergoing microfracture surgery on the left knee in January, is on the verge of beginning a 30-day minor-league injury-rehabilitation assignment. Holland rejoined the Texas Rangers on Saturday and is scheduled to throw a bullpen session on Monday. If all goes well, he will began a rehab assignment with a start at Double-A Frisco on Wednesday night against Midland of the Oakland organization.

That would put him on course to return in late August. Before the second half began, general manager Jon Daniels said the club had considered shutting down Holland until next spring but believes he can benefit from pitching again this season. ?You start thinking about what?s most important,? Daniels said. ?With that being said, he has worked out so hard to come back. I think there is some benefit to him from a mental standpoint to see the light at the end of the tunnel.?

?Yankees Eyeing Willingham, Other Bats, In Addition To Rotation Help: The Yankees, perhaps as concerned about their offensive issues as their rotation, are looking at outfielder Josh Willingham and some other bats. The Yankees may actually prefer Willingham to Marlon Byrd or Alex Rios, perhaps partly because of Willingham's reasonable $7 million salary and status as a free agent after the season, though Byrd and Rios haven't been ruled out. Rios makes $12 million, with a $2 million buyout of a $14 million team option, and Byrd has an $8 million salary next year. Byrd's deal does not seem overly high considering his solid production the past two years, but there may be some concern about his fit in the Bronx.

While Willingham is batting .215, he has 10 homers in only 56 games and a .777 OPS. He's always showed good power despite playing in pitchers parks, such as Target Field, and before that Oakland Coliseum and Pro Player Stadium, the football stadium the Marlins played in before moving to Marlins Park. Willingham, 35, missed 41 games earlier this year because of a fractured wrist, but seems to be healthy now.

The Yankees are known to be seeking rotation help after losing four of its original five starters, but the offense has been disappointing, sparky interest in a bat. Ichiro Suzuki, 40, wasn't supposed to be playing every day, and as we know form the leaks of the Astros notes, the Yankees had been trying to trade him previously. Suzuki wasn't the choice of GM Brian Cashman, and was instead an ownership call from the start. The Yankees may have some concernes about the ability of Carlos Beltran to hold up, as well.

?Braves Look At Andrew Miller: The Braves are believed to be looking closely at lefty Andrew Miller of the Red Sox as their prime bullpen target, with some other lefties in the mix. Atlanta has identified lefty in the pen as its biggest need, with Oliver Perez, who interested the Braves in the winter, Wesley Wright, Neal Cotts, Tony Sipp and Mike Dunn are among other accomplished pen lefties believed available in trade. Miller, a free agent after the year, is having a spectacular season in Boston's pen (64 strikeouts and only 12 walks in 39 1/3 innings to go with a 2.52 ERA), and the fading Red Sox have said they are now "listening" to trade inquiries.

The Braves in their pen currently have only one left-hander, Chasen Shreve, who was called up a week ago, in their pen. Shreve replaced Luis Avilan, who was sent down. The Braves have won more regular-season games than anyone else since 2010, but have perennially adhered to a budget of $90 million to 100 million. Since they've gone "over budget" this year with the $14 million signing of Ervin Santana in spring training following elbow injuries to young starters Kris Medlen and Brandon Beachy, they aren't expected to have room for even bigger moves. But Miller would be a big help.
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Betting Notes - Monday

National League
?Padres-Braves - 12:10 PM
--Former big league OF Lane is making first MLB start on mound; he played 499 games as an outfielder ('02-'07), has thrown 4.1 scoreless innings this year. He was 6-8, 4.67 in 19 AAA starts this year.
--Santana is 4-1, 3.41 in his last five starts.

--San Diego are 4-8 in their last dozen road games.
--Braves are 10-6 in their last sixteen home games.

--Over is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Atlanta games.

?Diamondbacks-Reds - 7:10 PM
--Anderson is 1-0, 2.25 in his last two starts.
--Bailey is 1-1, 2.25 in his last four starts.

--Arizona lost nine of its last thirteen road games.
--Reds lost eight of their last nine games.

--Under is 3-1-1 in last five Anderson starts.

?Phillies-Mets - 7:10 PM
--Burnett is 1-2, 4.01 in his last five starts.
--Colon is 1-3, 5.13 in his last five starts.

--Phillies won five of their last seven road games.
--Mets won seven of their last eight home games.

--Nine of last twelve games at Citi Field went over the total.

?Nationals-Marlins - 7:10 PM
--Zimmerman is 0-1, 8.64 in his last couple starts.
--Eovaldi is 0-3, 6.39 in his last five starts.

--Washington won eight of its last eleven games.
--Marlins won seven of their last eight games.

--Seven of last ten Miami home games went over.

?Rockies-Cubs - 8:05 PM
--Colorado is 0-4 when Flande starts (0-2, 7.20).
--Cubs lost both Wada starts (0-1, 6.00).

--Colorado lost 12 of their last 13 road games.
--Cubs lost nine of their last eleven games overall.

--Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen games at Wrigley Field.

?Pirates-Giants - 10:15 PM
--Worley is 1-1, 5.50 in his last three starts.
--Bumgarner is 3-0, 2.21 in his last three starts.

--Pittsburgh lost eight of its last eleven road games.
--Giants lost 19 of their last 25 home games.

--Last three Worley starts went over the total.

American League
?Blue Jays-Red Sox - 7:10 PM
--Dickey is 2-6, 4.47 in his last eight starts.
--Buchholz is 3-2, 3.89 in six starts since coming off the DL.

--Blue Jays won seven of their last nine games.
--Red Sox lost five of their last six games.

--Seven of last nine Dickey starts stayed under total.

?Yankees-Texas - 8:05 PM
--Phelps is 2-0, 2.59 in his last four starts.
--Darvish is 1-2, 5.32 in his last four starts.

--New York lost three of its last four road games.
--Rangers lost 30 of their last 37 games overall.

--Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Texas games.

?Athletics-Astros - 8:10 PM
--Chavez is 2-1, 2.60 in his last three starts.
--Oberholtzer is 2-1, 3.23 in his last six starts.

--A's won four of their last five games.
--Astros lost seven of last eight home games.

--Over is 14-8 in last 22 Houston games.

Interleague
?Brewers-Rays - 7:10 PM
--Lohse is 2-0, 1.32 in his last two starts.
--Odorizzi is 3-1, 3.75 in his last four starts.

--Milwaukee won five of its last seven games.
--Tampa Bay won nine of its last ten games

--Six of last seven Milwaukee games stayed under.

?Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Lane 0-0; Santana 9-9
-- Anderson 7-4; Bailey 9-11
-- Burnett 10-11; Colon 10-9
-- Zimmerman 12-8; Eovaldi 7-13
-- Flande 0-4; Wada 0-2
-- Worley 3-3; Bumgarner 11-9

-- Dickey 10-11; Buchholz 6-9
-- Phelps 4-10; Darvish 11-7
-- Chavez 14-6; Oberholtzer 4-9

-- Lohse 14-6; Odorizzi 8-12

?Incredible Stat of the Day
Nationals Jordan Zimmermann is 44-16 against the money line in night games (73.3%) over the last three seasons. The right-hander's season against Miami has been about as trying with a 1-0 record and 6.59 ERA in three starts. That hasn't stopped the Nationals from coming away with wins in seven of his last eight outings against the Marlins, resulting in a spot-less 5-0 record and 3.33 ERA for Zimmermann.

Diamond Trends - Monday
?SAN FRANCISCO is 16-2 (+15.7 Units) against the money line versus teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game this season.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 5.6, OPPONENT 2.8.

?SAN DIEGO is 37-19 UNDER (+14.7 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 3.1, OPPONENT 3.5.

?TEXAS is 4-16 (-15.5 Units) against the run line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was TEXAS 3.2, OPPONENT 5.8.

?A.J. BURNETT is 19-45 (-28.4 Units) against the money line in road games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse since 1997.
The average score was BURNETT 3.5, OPPONENT 4.5.

?YU DARVISH is 17-5 UNDER (+11.9 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DARVISH 3.7, OPPONENT 2.5.

?BARTOLO COLON is 13-2 (+12.4 Units) against the run line versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was COLON 6.6, OPPONENT 2.5.

Situation Analysis of The Day
?Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (TEXAS) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) - American League, with a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start.
(130-38 since 1997.) (77.4%, +65.7 units. Rating = 3*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -169.2
The average score in these games was: Team 5.2, Opponent 3.1 (Average run differential = +2.1)

The situation's record this season is: (25-6, +13.9 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (45-12, +23.5 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (85-24, +44 units).

?Play On - All favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+115 to +160) (WASHINGTON) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) - National League, starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings.
(39-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.9%, +31.6 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (45-10 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.5, money line price: +120
The average score in these games was: Team 5.5, Opponent 2.7 (Average run differential = +2.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 31 (56.4% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (6-6, +1.4 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-13, +14.3 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (62-70, +4.7 units).

?Play Over - Road teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (NY YANKEES) - poor hitting American League team (AVG <=.260) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings.
(141-82 since 1997.) (63.2%, +55.1 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 8.3, Money Line=-104.8
The average score in these games was: Team 4.9, Opponent 4.7 (Total runs scored = 9.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 112 (50.7% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (11-7, +3.6 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (51-35, +14 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (86-53, +30.2 units).

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
MONDAY, JULY 28TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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#951 SAN DIEGO @ #952 ATLANTA - 12:10 PM
?Padres RH Jason Lane (0-0, 0.00 ERA, WHIP: 0.233) - Lane, who hit 61 homers from 2002-07 while playing with the Astros and Padres, returned to the majors for the first time in seven years last month and fired 4 1/3 innings of scoreless relief across two games. He is 6-8 with a 4.67 ERA in 19 starts for Triple-A El Paso, and has pitched in 92 minor-league games since 2009. Lane had 63 strikeouts and 22 walks in 115 2/3 innings at El Paso.

?Braves RH Ervin Santana (9-6, 3.87 ERA, WHIP: 1.281) - Santana has been outstanding this month, going 3-1 in four starts with a 3.25 ERA. He struck out 10 in 7 1/3 innings on Wednesday against Miami, allowing one run on six hits to win his second consecutive start. Santana has won four of his past five outings, posting a 3.15 ERA during that stretch while allowing three earned runs or less in each of those four victories.

--KEY STAT: SANTANA is 69-44 UNDER (+17.9 Units) versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was SANTANA 4.0, OPPONENT 3.9.

#953 ARIZONA @ #954 CINCINNATI - 7:10 PM
?Diamondbacks RH Chase Anderson (6-4, 3.58 ERA, WHIP: 1.393) - Anderson, who won his first five major-league starts before dropping his next four, did not factor in the decision for the first time in 11 career starts last time out. He gave up two runs and five hits over six innings versus Detroit - the eighth outing in which he has yielded two earned runs or fewer. Anderson has not shown the ability to pitch deep into games, going past six innings in only one start.

?Reds RH Homer Bailey (8-5, 4.22 ERA, WHIP: 1.310) - Bailey has won only once since a four-start winning streak from May 23-June 8, going 1-2 in his last seven turns. He surrendered three runs - all via solo homers - on four hits over six innings in a no-decision at Milwaukee on Tuesday to run his winless drought to three starts. The 28-year-old Texan has pitched markedly better at home than on the road, posting a 5-2 record and 3.75 ERA in nine starts at Great American Ball Park.

--KEY STAT: BAILEY is 32-12 (+16.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was BAILEY 5.3, OPPONENT 3.7.

--BAILEY is 8-1 against the run line (+8.5 Units) against National League West opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BAILEY 3.8, OPPONENT 1.8.

--BAILEY is 42-26 OVER (+15.3 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was BAILEY 5.0, OPPONENT 4.0.

#955 PHILADELPHIA @ #956 NY METS - 7:10 PM
?Phillies RH A.J. Burnett (6-9, 3.86 ERA, WHIP: 1.341) - Since winning back-to-back starts for the only time this season on April 27 and May 3, Burnett is only 4-8 in his last 15 turns despite allowing three runs or fewer 10 times. He did not factor in the decision last time out despite blanking San Francisco on four hits over eight innings and has won only once since June 20. Burnett struck out a season-high 11 but gave up five runs over seven innings in a no-decision versus the Mets on May 30.

--KEY STAT: BURNETT is 27-41 (-30.5 Units) against the money line versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was BURNETT 4.5, OPPONENT 5.0.

--BURNETT is 19-45 (-28.4 Units) against the money line in road games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was BURNETT 3.5, OPPONENT 4.5.

--BURNETT is 11-28 (-26.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was BURNETT 3.8, OPPONENT 4.3.

?Mets RH Bartolo Colon (9-8, 4.03 ERA, WHIP: 1.149) - With the trade deadline looming, Colon could be making his final start with the Mets, who have made no secret of their willingness to deal the 41-year-old veteran. Colon won for the first time in a month at Seattle on Wednesday, permitting two runs on three hits over 7 1/3 innings. Colon, who beat the Phillies on June 2 with seven innings of two-run ball, is 4-4 with a 2.81 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in eight home starts.

--KEY STAT: COLON is 17-4 (+11.3 Units) against the money line versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 6.0, OPPONENT 2.6.

--COLON is 12-3 OVER (+9.1 Units) versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 6.6, OPPONENT 2.5.
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#957 WASHINGTON @ #958 MIAMI - 7:10 PM
?Nationals RH Jordan Zimmermann (6-5, 3.20 ERA, WHIP: 1.229) - Zimmermann has struggled in his last two starts, allowing eight runs over 8 1/3 innings, after yielding two or fewer in seven straight outings. The Wisconsin native is 1-0 despite a 6.59 ERA this season in three starts against the Marlins, giving up two runs over seven innings in the victory April 14 at Miami. Stanton is 7-for-24 with three homers against Zimmermann, who has struck out 107 and walked 20 over 118 innings in 2014.

--KEY STAT: ZIMMERMANN is 35-12 (+18.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was ZIMMERMANN 5.1, OPPONENT 3.1.

--ZIMMERMANN is 44-16 (+24.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was ZIMMERMANN 4.8, OPPONENT 3.2.

--ZIMMERMANN is 17-5 against the run line (+13.2 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was ZIMMERMANN 4.9, OPPONENT 3.0 - (Rating = 0*)

?Marlins RH Nathan Eovaldi (5-6, 4.20 ERA, WHIP: 1.255) - Eovaldi looks to turn his season around after collecting just one victory in his last 10 starts, including a pair of rough turns since the All-Star break. The 24-year-old Texan gave up 13 runs in 11 innings his last two outings, but did beat the Nationals with 6 1/3 innings of two-run ball May 26 to improve to 2-2 lifetime against them. Adam LaRoche is 5-for-11 with a homer versus Eovaldi, who has walked only 26 in 130 2/3 innings.

--KEY STAT: EOVALDI is 17-6 UNDER (+10.1 Units) as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was EOVALDI 3.0, OPPONENT 3.5.

#959 COLORADO @ #960 CHICAGO CUBS - 8:05 PM
?Rockies LH Yohan Flande (0-2, 7.20 ERA, WHIP: 1.601) - Flande did not surrender a home run for the third straight time, but remained winless after four outings following a no-decision in Tuesday?s 7-4 loss to the Washington Nationals. The 28-year-old Dominican yielded four runs on five hits and two walks over 5 1/3 innings, giving up at least four runs for the third time in his fourth career start. Flande made his only big-league start on the road on June 30 at Washington and will face the Cubs for the first time.

?Cubs LH Tsuyoshi Wada (0-1, 5.00 ERA, WHIP: 1.667) - Making his Wrigley Field debut, Wada suffered his first career loss in an 8-3 setback against the San Diego Padres on Wednesday after giving up five runs in four-plus frames. "It seemed like he just didn't get into a rhythm. ? He was constantly fidgeting and it seemed like he was trying to get loose,? Cubs manager Rick Renteria said of his 33-year-old rookie. Wada, who walked four for only the second time in 20 starts this season between Triple-A Iowa and Chicago, will face Colorado for the first time.

#961 PITTSBURGH @ #962 SAN FRANCISCO - 10:15 PM
?Pirates RH Vance Worley (3-1, 3.10 ERA, WHIP: 1.179) - Worley earned his first win in nearly a month last Monday when he allowed four runs (one earned) over six innings against the Dodgers. The 26-year-old was promoted from Triple-A Indianapolis on June 15 and has pitched into the seventh inning in four of his first six starts. Dan Uggla is 5-for-11 with two homers against Worley, who is 2-1 with a 4.09 ERA in three career starts against San Francisco.

--KEY STAT: WORLEY is 19-6 OVER (+12.5 Units) versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WORLEY 5.2, OPPONENT 4.6.

?Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (12-7, 3.19 ERA, WHIP: 1.206) - Bumgarner won his third consecutive start last Wednesday by tossing eight scoreless innings with no walks in a 3-1 win over Philadelphia. The 24-year-old has gone 8-2 with a 1.75 ERA in 12 starts away from AT&T Park, but he?s looking to improve his 4-5 record and 5.22 ERA in 10 starts at home. Bumgarner is 1-2 with a 1.71 ERA in three career starts against Pittsburgh, and he owns a 54-6 lifetime mark when receiving three-or-more runs of support.

--KEY STAT: BUMGARNER is 0-5 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in home games against National League Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUMGARNER 1.2, OPPONENT 4.6.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Monday August 4

Monday August 4

MLB

National League
Giants-Mets
Hudson is 1-3, 4.21 in his last four starts.
Gee is 0-3, 8.10 in his last three starts.

San Francisco lost seven of its last ten games.
Mets won ten of their last fourteen home games.

Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Hudson starts.


American League
Tigers-Bronx
Scherzer is 5-1, 2.08 in his last seven starts.
Bronx won all four McCarthy starts (3-0, 3.65).

Detroiit won four of its last five games.
Bronx won 10 of its last 16 games.

Under is 7-2-1 in Detroit's last ten road games.

Rangers-White Sox
Texas lost last eight Martinez starts (0-6, 8.38).
Noesi is 2-2, 6.29 in his last four starts.

Rangers lost eleven of their last fifteen games.
White Sox lost four of their last five home games.

Last six White Sox games went over the total.

Rays-A's
Cobb is 5-0, 2.89 in his last six starts.
Oakland won four of five Samardzija starts (2-1, 3.09).

Tampa Bay won 10 of 14 games since All-Star break.
A's lost six of their last seven series openers.


Under is 12-6-1 in last nineteen Oakland home games.


Interleague games
Reds-Indians
Simon is 0-3, 4.96 in his last three starts.
Kluber is 4-0, 1.76 in his last five starts.

Reds won three of their last four games.
Cleveland won seven of its last ten home games.

Under is 8-1-2 in last eleven Cincinnati road games.

Angels-Dodgers
Richards is 0-2, 3.86 in his last three starts.
Greinke is 3-2, 2.32 in his last six starts.

Angels won nine of their last thirteen road games.
Dodgers won seven of their last nine games.

Under is 12-6-1 in last nineteen Angel games.

Orioles-Nationals
Gausman is 2-1, 3.54 in his last five starts.
Roark is 4-0, 1.29 in his last four starts.

Baltimore won nine of its last thirteen games.
Nationals won four of their last six home games.

11 of last 13 Baltimore games stayed under total.

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Hudson 12-8; Gee 5-7

-- Scherzer 16-6; McCarthy 4-14/4-0
-- Martinez 4-9; Noesi 8-9
-- Cobb 8-7; Samardzija 3-14/4-1

-- Simon 15-6; Kluber 14-9
-- Richards 15-7; Greinke 13-9
-- Gausman 7-3; Roark 12-9

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Hudson 4-21 (3 of last 3); Gee 3-12

-- Scherzer 6-22; McCarthy 5-22
-- Martinez 5-13; Noesi 4-17
-- Cobb 4-16; Samardzija 9-22

-- Simon 5-21; Kluber 4-23
-- Richards 5-22; Greinke 5-22
-- Gausman 2-10; Roark 4-21