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factsman

factsman
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Marlins- Phillies
No team in baseball has dominated there opponent like the marlins have dominated the Phillies winning 19 out of the last 22 is scary and before Wednesday when the phils won 2-1 with the same pitchers that go tonight milwood-burnett the marlins won 9 straight prior to wed then the very next day marlins win 10-8

This series shows us the marlins a very weak hitting team score a average of 6 runs a game. Also I love to go over in a game when the same 2 teams see each other with in a week the total is 8 I don?t like burnett to be able to match his good outing on Wednesday philly has too much left handed talent and should be able to put up 4 or 5 here and the marlins as I stated avg 6 vs the Phillies and that shouldn?t change I see 5 phillie starters ledee, abreu,Glanville,Rollins and thome who hit a.j. well
Millwoods era of over over 5 also justifies runs here

8 runs is a cheap price BET IT OVER I think this line was made based on the wed game that fell 2-1 and the history and head to head matchups were over looked

recommended plays
1st half over 4
game over 8 ?it did open at 7.5???.and it was either my overnight bet or the oddsmakers woke up and felt they mat have used the wrong line but 11 runs or more here not a stretch
good luck factsman
 
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factsman

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THANX REX
when i saw 7.5 i just wacked it i had to.

hope to start the week the same as last monday im real comfortable with the total 2 nite
facts
 
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homedog

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It's not hard to see the direction in which this is going. :thinking:
 
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Steel

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I am sure it was your bet alone that made this line swing. LMAO.
 
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Steel

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wasn't being a smart ass, I was stating the FACTS. Do you have any idea how much money has to bet before al ine moves ? I found his comments to be ridiculious. I am sorry if you found it offensive. That was not my intention. GL
 
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jmizeus

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steel, yes i do know what it takes to move a line, but most times when we see someone with one post,it normally means trouble, gl2u tonite as well
 
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RAYMOND

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here some facts

here some facts

beckett power rating is 7 the highest is a 10
home at nite 2-3 era of 3.50 last two games era 2.35 ahw 9.4

millwood 4-1 on the road at nite and era 3.66 last two games era 1.29 ahw 9.6

fla vs rhp home at nite avg 3.3 runs per game
phila vs righties road at nite avg 5.4 per game

pro player park avg 7.8 runs per game

bull pen fla era 3.99 phila 3.65


trends

?Over is 14-5 in the last 19 meetings.
?PHI has won Millwood's last six starts
?Under is 10-2-1 in PHI last 13 overall.
?FLA is 1-9 in Burnett's last 10 starts.?
Marlins are 3-7 in their last 10 overall.
?FLA is 10-1 in their last 11 meetings.
 
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factsman

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jmizues u are correct steel has followed me from forum to forum trying to discredit me so now he is here he was banned from another forum for bashing so if the mods want advance warning you may want to nip this here cause its obvious he has a agenda here.
thanks

and raymond good stuff as usual i see the 6.01 runs the marlins score vs fla and the cheap total and i love the fact that they seen each other less then a week ago it would seem like at 19-3 last 22 fla is the side but the phils i think will hit burnett
gl
factsman
 
U

USIBM

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You ever hear of the term "booking by face"? Its not always the wager size that moves a number, guys.
 
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factsman

factsman
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you are correct usibm and dont think the bigger overnight plays being overnight gives the books some insight on which way the money may go as i hit it good last night at 7.5 then the players who looked at the last game at 2-1 percieved value at 8 and took it under and split action the rest of the day and settling back to 7.5
anyway gl with the over guys
facts
 
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