Monday 3/10/08 service plays

the duke

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Jim Feist

MIAMI HEAT

The Clippers have nearly twice as many wins as Miami has this season'but not lately. This is a dead LA team, one going through the motions on a 1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS run. That lone victory was against the Kings - in OT. They just lost at home as a 4-point favorite to the Timberwolves, and now have to fly across the country, 3,000 miles and 3 time zones. Incredibly, the Clippers have left LA just once over their last 12 games! Miami hasn't played many home games of late, but they get a chance here, helped by newcomer Shawn Marion. They already won at LA and should sweep the season series. A much better spot for the home team. Play the Miami Heat!



Chip Chirimbes

ORLANDO MAGIC

The Orlando Magic are nine games up on their closest pursuer in the Southeast Division, and have proven they can beat the other top teams in the Eastern Conference. One club they haven't been able to defeat, however, is the Atlanta Hawks. Orlando looks for its seventh win in nine games Monday when it hosts the Hawks, the only team in the conference it is winless against this season. The Magic (40-24) have knocked off the top two teams in the East - Detroit and Boston - twice each, and they're 8-1 against their three division rivals other than Atlanta.




Dave Cokin


HOUSTON ROCKETS

One of these nights, Houston will lose a little intensity and maybe even get beat. But it's an 18-0 run right now for the Rockets and they're an amazing 15-2-1 ATS in that stretch. I won't try and get in the way of that freight train, and in fact will look to cash in on the Houston express again tonight by giving the points against the Nets.



James Patrick Sports


Middle Tennessee State vs. South Alabama 7:30 p.m. est.

Tennessee Sate/South Alabama OVER the TOTAL

The Sunbelt Conference semi-finals have a match-up between the Blue Raiders of MTSU and the Jaguars of South Ala. One constant in this game is that if you plan on staying in a game with South Alabama you better score a huge amount of points because they do. This puts us on our complimentary selection on #517 Middle
Tennessee Sate ? South Alabama OVER the TOTAL.



Great Lakes

Atlanta at Philadelphia 7:05PM EST
Play on: Philadelphia 76ers

The 76ers are heating up going 5-1 ATS their last six games, and are 12-4 ATS in the second half of the season this year. The 76ers are also 3-0 in March this year, and are 17-13 ATS at home this year. We look for the Philadelphia 76ers to grab the home ATS Win & cover tonight.




Alex Smart


Game: New York Rangers vs. Buffalo Sabres
Game Time: 3/10/2008 7:05:00 PM
Prediction: New York Rangers

The Buffalo Sabres prepare to host a red hot NY Rangers team that is 9-0-3 in their L12 games. The Rangers have owned the Sabres this season, winning all 3 meetings, with their top goalie Henrick Lunqvist , posting a 1.67 GAA. With that said lets ride the momentum of the Rangers at a value price. Final notes & Key Trends: NYR are 7-2 L9 road games. Sabres have lost 8 of their L10 against Atlantic division foes. Play on the Rangers



Scott Rickenbach

Arena Football: 1* (regular play) OVER the total

(107) in Arizona vs Los Angeles @ 11 ET - The Avengers rolled a New Orleans team last week that is now appearing to be a little better than most expected. After knocking off the Predators yesterday, the VooDoo showed they certainly aren't going to lay down for teams this season. That said, what the Avengers did in dismantling the New Orleans defense last week was quite impressive. Los Angeles should not have any problems accomplishing the same here as they face an Arizona defense that is still trying to adjust to a major offseason overhaul. Until the Rattlers defense gets their personnel 'all on the same page', the struggles are going to continue for Arizona.

The key here that points us to the over rather than the side in this game is that the offense of Arizona did impress last week and that's why we fully expect this to be a back and forth high scoring affair! Without Siaha Burley, many thought the wide receiving unit of the Rattlers would be a big problem to open up the season. However, Arizona got some nice production from WRs Kevin Nickerson, Trandon Harvey, and Jerrian James last week against the Blaze. Also, QB Lang Campbell was very effective in finding his talented wideouts. Granted the Avengers defense is better than that of the Utah defense that the Rattlers faced last week. However, don't discount the home field edge helping Arizona to sustain some drives that otherwise might come up empty on the road.

Arizona knows that their best chance to win this game is with an explosive offensive performance. The Rattlers know it is going to take some time for their defense to gel and that the defense is also going to be tested greatly by an Avengers offense that could be one of the most explosive units in the league. That said, the Rattlers will be emphasizing offense in this match-up and simply hoping for a key turnover or two on the other side of the ball. In other words, an offensive 'slugfest' should erupt in Arizona tonight as these two teams trade blows (scoring strikes) throughout the contest. Play OVER the total in Arizona as a regular selection.




Matt Fargo



SAN ANTONIO -7

You would think public backing would be on the Spurs to rebound after two straight losses but that is not the case as action is pretty much split down the middle. The number may look big at first glance but the Spurs are in great position despite playing on the road yesterday. San Antonio returns home after two straight losses on the road at Denver and at Phoenix. That first defeat makes this a quick turnaround for a revenge game. The Spurs had won 11 straight prior to the weekend. The Spurs are just 4-9 ATS in the second game of a back-to-back set but this situation is a little different. When playing the first game on the road and the second game at home, San Antonio is a perfect 4-0 in the home game, winning by an average of 9.5 ppg. On the season, San Antonio is 26-5 at home, losing to Phoenix, Toronto, Detroit, New Orleans and Cleveland. The Cavaliers are the only one of those five that is under .500 on the road. Tonight?s opponent is six games under .500 away from home on the season. The Nuggets have surely been an up and down team recently. They are just 5-6 over their last 11 games but it is their play on the road that is keeping them out of the playoff picture as of right now. Denver has lost five of its last six games on the road and going back further, it is 5-11 in its last 16 games away from home. Of those five wins, two came in overtime including a victory at Miami while two others came at Memphis and Seattle, two teams with no chance of making the postseason. San Antonio has won and covered three straight against the Nuggets at home, all of which have been relatively in the same price range. Denver has won both meetings at home this season meaning the Spurs need the win to even the season series which is significant as they have not lost a season series to them since 1987-88. Denver is 9-15 against the league?s top tem teams and that includes a horrific 1-11 record in road games, the lone win coming at Dallas way back on December 6th. Of those 11 losses, 10 were by doubles digits and the 11 were by an average of 19.4 ppg. San Antonio is 30-13 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last two seasons while Denver is 3-9 ATS as an underdog of six or more this season alone. With Denver?s win Friday, the favored team has covered 23 of the last 31 meetings in this series. Look for the Spurs to step up yet again tonight as the Nuggets continue their awful play against the NBA elite on the road.




Nick Jones


HOUSTON ROCKERS -13

This game matches up to be a big blowout in favor of Houston. Always play on home teams like the Rockets after 5 or more consecutive wins, when this home team is also a good team winning 60% to 75% playing a marginal losing team of 40% to 49%. This trend does not align itself very often but when it does we have seen a 51-15 ATS record since 1996. Houston is 12-0 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams that are forcing less than 14 turnovers per game in the 2nd half of the season this season. New Jersey is 5-20 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. To put is in plain text, New Jersey is bad and getting worse while Houston has posted a 10-0 ATS record after 8 or more consecutive wins this season.




John Ryan


ORLANDO MAGIC -10

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Orlando Magic - AiS shows a 72% probability that Orlando will win this game by 10 or more points. AiS shows an 85% probability that Orlando will score 105+ points inn this game. Note that Atlanta is just 1-10 ATS in road games when they allow 105 or more points in a game this season. Atlanta is a losing team, but they do shoot above average from the foul line and get to the foul line an above average amount too. Atlanta ranks 6th in the NBA with 27.5 foul attempts per game and also ranks 7th in foul shot shooting percentage at 77.5%. note that Orlando is 20-11 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season; 18-8 ATS versus good free throw shooting teams that are making >=76% of their attempts this season; 14-6 ATS versus good foul drawing teams that are attempting >=27 free throws/game this season. Take the Magic.




Ross Benjamin


SAN ANTONIO -8

Any home favorite playing with no rest, is off an away favorite SU loss in which they failed to cover by 12.0 or less, has won 45 games or more out of their last 82 at home, lost to their current opponent in their last meeting this season, and their current opponent is off an away underdog ATS loss in which they allowed 100 points or more is 8-0 SU and ATS since 1990. The favorite has won those 8 games by an average of 15.5 points per game. Play on San Antonio minus the points as my free selection of the night.



Allen Eastman

Portland +6 over Cleveland

In their first meeting this year, Cleveland beat Portland 84-83. So going in, expect a close one. The Blazers have won two straight and four of six to keep their playoff hopes alive. Brandon Roy has averaged 23.6 points in his last five games and he gives the Blazers a legitimate shot at keeping this game close. Lebron and the Cavs should win, but it's not going to be a rout.
 
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the duke

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Wunderdog

Game: Cleveland at Tampa Bay (1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Tampa Bay +101 (moneyline)


The Rays have trouble winning games in the regular season, but the competition to make the roster brings out their best in the spring as they sit at 7-2. The Rays have scored four runs or more in every game and have averaged a potent 6.4 runs per game. It will be Jason Hammel against Paul Byrd. The Tribe has scored three runs or less in half their games, and we will ride the Rays, who are competing for jobs, against the Indians' team, just getting work in.


Game: Boston at New York Mets (1:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: New York Mets -110 (moneyline)

Johan Santana will get the ball for the third time this spring as he will square off against Jon Lester of the Red Sox. Sox bats have produced two runs or less in three of their last six, while Mets' bats are yielding 3+ in last their last six. The Mets are getting some mileage out of the spring at 8-4, while the Sox are just 3-8. Today we we will ride the different approaches to the spring, where the Mets are trying to create a winning attitude after their free-fall at the end of last season left them out of the playoffs.


Game: Oakland at Los Angeles Angels (4:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Oakland +129 (moneyline)

Dallas Braden squares off against John Lackey (first start after elbow stiffness) for the Angels. The A's are winning with 15 hitters that have 10 at bats or more over300! They have really been hitting their way to an 8-4 spring mark. It will be Lackey's first start, and after elbow stiffness expect him to be throwing a lot of fastballs, getting his work in and getting out. The A's have had lively bats this spring and may tee-off on him.



VEGAS EXPERTS FREE PLAY


Portland Trail Blazers at Cleveland Cavaliers
Monday, March 10th, 7:05 PM ET

Portland has won 4 of their last 6 games, including 2-0 SU & ATS in their last two games. They head to Cleveland for the third game of a 6 game road trip following a big 120-114 victory in New York. While Cleveland is much better than the Knicks, expect Portland to keep up their winning ways as they match-up well against the Cavs, splitting the last two meetings, 1 game each, including a 1-point loss back on January 30. Take the points as we find these Blazers at 10-2 ATS after scoring 105 points or more and 15-4 ATS after at least back-to-back wins this season!
Good Luck - Carlo Campanella

Play on: Portland
 
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the duke

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Portland at CLEVELAND (-6) Joel Tyson

The Cleveland Cavaliers welcome in the Portland Trail Blazers tonight as the Cavs hope to put an end to the Cavaliers 2 games win streak they have on their current road trip.

Cleveland has won four of five and have been successful as of late ATS when meeting Portland. The Cavs in the last eight meetings have beaten the number six times, and see themselves sitting in the role of favorite tonight. This is important, as the favorite is 9-3 ATS over the last 12 meetings.

Cleveland defeated the Trail Blazers at Portland earlier in the year, something that has been somewhat tough to do, as the Blazers are tough at home.

I feel the Cavaliers will notch another win here tonight over this Blazer team and pick up the cover in doing so.

3♦ CLEVELAND



Portland at CLEVELAND (-6) Chris Jordan

Cleveland catches a Portland team that will play its third road game in four nights; and though the Blazers won and covered their first two on this road trip, they were against Milwaukee (where they eked out a 103-101 win on Friday) and the Knicks, who took Portland to overtime on Saturday.

Tonight its hands are full with the raging Cavaliers, who whooped up on Indiana two nights ago, winning for the 20th time in 30 home games. The home team is 4-1 SU and ATS in this intra-conference clash, and the lone setback was the lone meeting this year, at Portland, where Cleveland squeaked out a one-point win, 84-83, on Jan. 30. We?re laying a value price in this one, and we?ll cover with a double-digit win

2♦ CAVALIERS





Boston at PHILADELPHIA (+6) Sports GamblingHotline

Sunday winner on Kentucky makes it 3 straight comp play winners, and a long term free play run of 114-94-4!

Take the 76ers plus the points tonight as they play host to the Boston Celtics.

Both teams have been lining their backers pockets of late, as Boston comes in having won 8 in a row, while covering 3 straight, and 5 of those 8. Philly has won and covered their last 4, and are on a 12-3 straight up run their last 15.

Overall, the Sixers are on a 10-1 spread run at home, and a 14-3-1 spread run their last 18 games.

The Celtics have already handled the Sixers twice this season by double digits, but Philly wasn't playing nearly as well as they are right now, and it should be noted that the underdog in the series is 6-2-1 the last 9 times these teams have played.

We are going to grab the points, and look for Philly to keep this one respectable.

Play on the 76ers.

1♦ PHILADELPHIA



Denver at SAN ANTONIO (-7) Karl Garrett

G-Man gave you a Sunday free winner on Ohio State over Michigan State. Now 57-45-2 with my comp plays.

Gonna go with San Antonio minus the points back at home over Denver, as the Spurs are fresh off their Sunday collapse at Phoenix and will be looking to avenge their 109-96 Friday night loss at Denver.

That win by the Nuggets makes it two straight in the series - both wins coming at the Pepsi Center. Unfortunately for the Nuggets, they have not been able to break through in San Antonio recently, as the Spurs (playoffs included) have won 3 straight, and 4 of the last 6 both straight up, and against the spread.

The favorite has won and covered all 3 in this year's series, and is on a 23-8 spread run the last 31 times these teams have played each other.

The Nuggets have dropped their last pair of games both straight up, and against the spread on the road their last 2 times out. With the Spurs looking for revenge, and faced with a rare 2-game losing streak, the G-Man is going to lay the home lumber with San Antonio tonight.

2♦ SAN ANTONIO



Denver at SAN ANTONIO (-6') Bobby Maxwel

Hit our FREE play Sunday on the college hardwood when Virginia blew out Maryland. Today we're on the pro court for a complimentary selection on the Spurs as they host Denver.

San Antonio has lost two straight after an 11-game winning streak, but a good remedy to get back on the winning path is having the Nuggets come to town.

The Spurs are 15-3 SU (9-8-1 ATS) and they've gone 26-5 SU in front of the home fans. And while they might have lost Friday against the Nuggets and Sunday in Phoenix, the Spurs will get the job done in this one.

Denver is terrible on the road. The Nuggets have lost four of their last five on the highway SU and ATS and got steamrolled in Utah Saturday 132-105 as six-point underdogs. This team is competitive at home but just lousy when it takes to the highway.

The favorite is 23-7-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings between these two and in the lone meeting between these two in San Antonio this season the Spurs got a 102-91 win as six-point favorites. It should come easy for the Spurs in this one as the Nuggets don't put up much resistance on the highway.

3♦ SAN ANTONIO
 

the duke

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From Eddie

ARTHUR RALPH

Super Pick:
UNDER Atlanta Hawks NBA

900 Daily Play BEST BET:
Miami Heat


Free Play
George Mason
 

the duke

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TEDDY COVERS

San Jose -8 (163)

ANALYSIS: San Jose won the Arena Bowl last July, without a shadow of a doubt the best team in the AFL down the stretch of the regular season and into the postseason. They return almost everybody on both sides of the football, clearly a serious contender to be the first AFL team to repeat as champions since the Tampa Bay Storm in ?95 and ?96. And we?re getting an optimum spot to support an elite level team this week, following their truly dismal showing on national TV this past Monday Night, in which the Sabercats made one mistake after another on both sides of the football. That awful showing gives us tremendous line value here in a game they should win by two touchdowns or more.
San Jose quarterback Mark Grieb is one of the best in the league, but he sure didn?t look it against the solid Chicago Rush defense. Grieb lost a mishandled snap from center. He threw three interceptions as part of a five turnover game from the Sabercats. This is not likely to happen twice in a row, especially considering the sharp dichotomy of defenses that he?s facing. Chicago is a very good defensive team; Grand Rapids was dead last in the league in points allowed last year and appear no better in 2008. Meanwhile, San Jose ranked #2 in the AFL in points allowed last year, allowing less than 50 points in ten of their final 12 games last year, with everybody back on that side of the football. Yet the Sabercats were awful defensively on Monday Night, repeatedly blowing coverages downfield, allowing one big play after the next. Again, facing an offensively challenged Rampage squad, we can expect those mistakes to be corrected in a hurry.

San Jose beat Grand Rapids by 25 last year, and they?ll come into this game with something to prove following that awful showing. In a league with no preseason, the Rampage are at a decided disadvantage this week, the only team in the league without a game under their belts following a Week 1 bye. The Rampage lost their best playmaker, Timon Marshall, to LA. In fact, their top SIX receivers from last year have all moved on to greener pastures. Their quarterback, disgraced former Florida State star Adrian McPherson, has struggled mightily with his accuracy throughout his disappointing AFL career. And the Rampage have replaced five of their eight starters on defense as well. This team has no homefield edge whatsoever, with minimal crowds at the Van Andel Arena. They?re 14-50 SU over the last four seasons, arguably the worst franchise in the league. Grand Rapids lost five games by double digit margins at home last year, a trend that we can expect to continue on Sunday. Take San Jose.




Los Angeles Avengers @ Arizona Rattlers Mar 10, 2008 11:00PM
PICK: Los Angeles Avengers

We backed LA in Week 1, and we?re going to come right back with the Avengers on the road at Arizona here in Week 2. Arizona was on the lucky side to emerge victorious from their Week 1 battle at Utah. The Rattlers gave up touchdowns on Utah?s first six drives of the game before netting a couple of key stops right before and after halftime, taking advantage of Blaze turnovers. They got a one point lead in the final minute, thanks to a missed extra point. Nursing that lead, Arizona gave up the game winning touchdown, but it was called back on a penalty. Then, the Rattlers survived a game winning field goal attempt that went wide. It?s surely worth noting that Utah cut their kicker following the game. The Rattlers didn?t win the game as much as Utah lost it.

Arizona made headlines this offseason by offering their season ticket holders a money back guarantee if they don?t make the playoffs. Considering that six of the eight teams in their conference will make the postseason, and they play in the same conference with a Grand Rapids squad that?s gone 14-50 over the last four years, the Rattlers guarantee is really not that big a deal ? they could easily make the postseason with a losing record. And for all the excitement of that Week 1 victory, it came against a team with a consistent history of truly ugly defensive efforts, like the one we saw last week. Let?s not forget that this Rattlers team went 4-12 last year and return only six players from that team following a complete roster overhaul. With seven rookies and seven second year players on their 24 man roster, this team is bound to have their share of troubles against better competition than what they faced last week. A team that allowed nine touchdowns a week ago is a prime candidate to give up points in bunches again this week, facing another explosive offense.

LA gave up a kick return touchdown on the opening play of the game last week, then immediately threw an interception that led to another score on their first play from scrimmage. Down 13-0, the Avengers outscored New Orleans 59-23 over the next 50 minutes before giving up a meaningless last minute touchdown. That, folks, is execution on both sides of the football, not just on offense like we saw from Arizona. LA has solid roster continuity from last year, starting at the QB position where former Texas Tech standout Sonny Cumbie has developed into a solid quarterback. Cumbie will have an attractive new weapon at his disposal this year in Timon Marshall. Marshall was amazing last year with a dismal Grand Rapids squad, single handedly keeping the team competitive for a good portion of the year with his receiving ability and special teams acumen before the Chicago Bears signed him. He?s back in the AFL now, combining with Kevin Ingram for 17 catches for 195 yards and four touchdowns last week. Look for LA to score at will against this rebuilt Rattlers defense, carrying the Avengers to a relatively comfortable victory. Take LA. Current Line LA -3, worth playing up to LA -4.
 

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Mike Rose

San Jose SaberCats -10.5 (-110)
Mon Mar 10 '08 7:00p

The defending ArenaBowl Champions got off to a rough start last week in Chicago in a game that was a tail of two halves. Chicago busted out of the gates to grab a quick 14-0 lead, but the Sabercats stayed calm, cool, and collected and got themselves right back into the game. After Rodney Wright hauled in a 6-yard TD pass from QB Mark Grieb at the 10:50 mark of the second quarter, the Sabercats astonishingly found themselves up 21-14. The All State Arena seemed to be a more tranquil place after that, but the Rush weren?t going to go down quietly. The 2nd quarter expired when K AJ Haglund nailed a 45-yard FG, and the Sabercats went into the break down a point at 28-27. They were right in it, and Head Coach Darren Arbet demanded his men got more physical in the second half to allow them to steal a win.

It didn?t happen however as they were outscored 14-7 in the third quarter and 28-13 in the final quarter. There was a very questionable call made that went against the Sabercats on what was a perceived fumble by WR James Roe, but replay made it clearly apparent that his knee was down before he lost control of the pigskin. Thankfully for the Rush, there is no instant replay in this league. Mark Grieb completed 35-of-46 passes for 353 yards and 5 TDs, but Chicago?s relentless stop unit coaxed him into throwing some errant passes that were picked off three times. They lost the turnover battle 5:2 and only converted 2 of their 6 3rd down tries. All in all, the defending champs got beat up pretty bad and will no doubt take the field against Grand Rapids in search of atonement.

Tonight?s game will be the first of the season for Grand Rapids as they were the lone team off last week. The new look Rampage have a new leader at the helm that goes by the name of Steve Thonn. He was the offensive coordinator for the Georgia Force, who averaged a whopping 62.9 PPG in 2007. They rebuilt their roster through Nashville and Austin folding. The secondary looks rather impressive, headed up by Ahmad Hawkins, who broke the AFL record with 13 INTs in 2007. The offense seems patchwork, but if anyone can build an offense from the ground up, it?s Steve Thonn.

San Jose is an 11-point road chalk with the ?total? set at 106 for this match-up. In the eight games played between these two clubs, San Jose has won 7 of them SU and gone 6-2-1 ATS. The Sabercats have won 4 of its L/5 road games SU, and they?re a solid 9-3-1 ATS its L/13 road contests.
 

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Comps


Razor Sharp Sports
ATLANTA/ORLANDO UNDER the total of 208


Nevada Sharpshooter
GEORGE MASON-8 OVER WILLIAM AND MARY


The Scout
Denver +7 over San Antonio


Joe Wiz
Nets
Sixers


Hawkeye
HOUSTON & NEW JERSEY UNDER 193


Glen Mcgrew
Trailblazers


Huddle Up Sports
New Jersey +13


Dark Horse Sports
Philadelphia +6 over Boston


Vegas Steamline
New Jersey/Houston UNDER the total of 193


BIG AL
San Antonio Spurs -7 over Denver Nuggets



Scott Spreitzer
Spurs



Big Time Sports
Canucks-kings Over


Bob Donahue
Rockets
 

Bootlegbobby

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Bay Area
FERRINGO

2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 148 Rider vs. Siena (7 p.m., Monday, March 10)
1-Unit Play. Take #523 Rider (+2.5) over Siena (7 p.m., Monday, March 10)
I think the total is a bit high for two teams playing in their third game in three nights. This is also a championship game and both teams are going to be less inclined to take chances and force bad shots. I think that Rider's advantage underneath with the Thompson boys is enough to propel them to the victory here. If the rebounding margin is more than seven going our way then it should be an outright winner. Siena has been playing well, but they are also playing on borrowed time after last night's fortunate Loyola choke.

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #516 George Mason (-3.5) over William & Mary (7 p.m., Monday, March 10) AND Take #521 Gonzaga (-1.5) over San Diego (9 p.m., Monday, March 10)
In the history of the CAA Tournament no team has ever won four consecutive games to win the championship. Mason came close last year, but even they didn't cover in the title game. I think William & Mary is emotionally spent, and the veteran Patriots will roll back to the NCAA Tournament tonight.

I think that San Diego's playing on its home court is the best and worst thing that could have happened to them. How much sleep do you think the Torreros got last night after upsetting St. Mary's and getting themselves one game away from an automatic berth? I'm sure the campus is buzzing, but that just puts more letdown pressure on an S.D. team that has to be exhausted after its grueling road to the title game. Look for a strong game out of Jeremy Pargo and a big first half out of the Zags.

1-Unit Play. First Half: Take #521 Gonzaga (-4) over San Diego (9 p.m., Monday, March 10)

That's it for today. Good luck.
 

Bootlegbobby

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STRIKE POINT SPORTS

3-Unit Play. #523 Take Rider +2.5 over Siena (7 pm)

With a trip to the Big Dance on the line, this MAAC title game goes to Rider. These two split their regular season meetings, each winning on the other's home court. The difference, however, is that Rider scored a 14-point win at Siena, while the Saints only came away with a three-point victory on the Broncs' court. And the real advantage in this match-up is Rider's Jason Thompson. One of the country's best unknown combo scorers and rebounders, Thompson dropped 32 and 18 in his team's semi-final win on Sunday. He'll be too much for Siena, and Rider will clinch a bid to the NCAA Tournament.
 

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Michael Cannon (15-5 best bet run)

Monday's Plays...

15 Dime ?

CELTICS

Take the Celtics as the road chalk tonight over the 76ers.

Philadelphia has been blown out in the two previous meetings by a combined 37 points.

This is also their third game in four days, and second in two days. Philadelphia doesn?t have the horses to hang with the Celtics, so it wouldn?t surprise me to see Boston jump out to a commanding lead and coast in this one.

Kevin Garnett is recovered from his abdominal strain and Ray Allen continues to deliver from the perimeter.

Take Boston as they grab the win and cover over Philly tonight.

5 Dime ?

WILLIAM & MARY

Take the points with William & Mary tonight in the Colonial Athletic Conference championship.

The Tribe may have struggled a bit offensively in winning its last two games, but their defense has been superb, allowing just 57 ppg.

If they can keep that up tonight it will allow them to stay close until they start hitting some of their own shots.

This was a team picked to finish 11th or 12th in the conference, and now they are playing for an automatic bid to the NCAA?s. It?s hard to think that motivation won?t carry them tonight, so the points are the play here.

George Mason senior center Will Thomas is a defensive liability which will only help William & Mary?s chances to stay close tonight. Thomas has also been slumping a bit offensively, averaging 11.3 points and 8.3 rebounds in his final three games. Those numbers are down from 16.0 ppg and 10.4 rebounds per game during the regular season.

Take the points as William & Mary keeps it within the number.
 

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Marc Lawrence

15-0 NBA Key Play

Play On: San Antonio Spurs
Note: Playing without rest in the NBA is a handicap to most teams. Not for the Spurs, though, and especially not so when playing off back-to-back defeats. When taking on a conference foe in this role San Antonio is 15-6 ATS, including 11-1 SU and 10-2 ATS off a spread loss of 7 or more points in its last game. Inside this series, the Spurs as 5-0 SU and ATS as a favorite in games in which the Nuggets are off a loss. The clincher is the fact that teams off a loss who beat Denver SU with same season revenge are 29-1 ATS, including 15-0 if the Nuggets are also off a loss. With the Spurs playing off back-to-back losses with same season revenge, look for them to get back on the win track here tonight
 

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BEN BURNS

NBA

76ERS
Game: Boston Celtics vs. Philadelphia 76ers Game Time: 3/10/2008 7:05:00 PM Prediction: Philadelphia 76ers

Reason: I'm taking the points with PHILADELPHIA. After they're terrific start to the season, its always relatively easy to make a case for betting on Boston. However, while the Celts have covered a few recently, they haven't been a profitable team over the past few weeks. In fact, during that stretch, they're just 5-6 at the betting window. Conversely, the 76ers are on a highly profitable 14-4 ATS run, including a 4-0 SU/ATS mark their past four games. Yes, they are coming off a game yesterday. However, that was an afternoon game at Milwaukee, so they had plenty of time to get home and today still marks just their fifth game through the first 10 days of March, so it's not like they are playing their fourth game in five days or anything like that. Additionally, the 76ers seem to love playing the second of back to back games. Indeed, while many teams struggle in that situation, the 76'ers have thrived, going a perfect 7-0 SU/ATS the last seven times they played their second game in two days. That includes outright victories over the likes of Houston, Toronto and Phoenix. Looking back further and we find the 76ers at a highly impressive 12-1 ATS the last 13 times that they played the second of back to back games. Looking back still further shows them at 37-19-2 ATS in that situation the past three seasons. Clearly, when playing the second of back to back games, "fatigue" hasn't been an issue for this "blue-collar" team. Tonight's game means a lot to Philadelphia. Not only are the 76'ers battling for their playoff lives, but they're also playing with "double-revenge" from a pair of earlier losses. The 76'ers held the lead at halftime in both those games and they're playing better now than they have all season. They've won eight straight at the Wachovia Center, winning by an average of nearly 20 points per game. Look for them to put together a "complete game," improving to 4-0 ATS the last four times they were listed as home underdogs in the +3.5 to +6 range. *Best Bet


UNDER Spurs/Nuggets
Game: Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs Game Time: 3/10/2008 8:35:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Nuggets and Spurs to finish UNDER the total. The Nuggets come off three consecutive games which finished above the number. While that has helped to keep tonight's total generously high, its worth noting that the Nuggets had seen the UNDER go 2-1-1 their previous four games AND that they've also seen the UNDER go 4-1 on the season after having played three consecutive games which finished over the number. Yes, these teams did combine for 205 points at Denver a few nights ago. However, the previous meeting (also at Denver) produced just 157 combined points, staying below the number by more than 40. Looking at the games here at San Antonio and we find that the UNDER is a perfect 7-0 the last seven times that the Nuggets traveled here. All seven of those games produced less than 195 combined points and they averaged a mere 179.9. Looking back further and we find the UNDER at a highly profitable 11-1 the last 12 series meetings here with ALL 12 of those games producing 193 combined points or less. San Antonio played a very low-scoring game (94-87 loss) against the normally high-scoring Suns yesterday. That game finished below the number by more than 20 points. That brought the UNDER to 4-2 their last six games, none of those producing more than 205 combined points. The defending champs have now seen the UNDER go 21-8-1 (72%) the last 30 times they faced a team with a winning record. The Spurs were also playing the second of back to back games for Friday's meeting at Denver. While that game did creep above the number, the UNDER remains a profitable 5-1 the last six times that they played the second of back to back games. Prior to the Denver meeting, the previous five (back to back) games had combined scores of 176, 181, 162, 173 and 179. Look for tonight's game to be lower-scoring than expected once again with the UNDER improving to 14-7 the last 21 times the Spurs were favored by eight points or less. *nba total of the week



UNDER Kings/Canucks
Game: Vancouver Canucks vs. Los Angeles Kings Game Time: 3/10/2008 10:35:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Kings and Canucks to finish UNDER the total. These teams have played a trio of relatively high-scoring games against each other this season. I'm expecting a significantly lower-scoring game this evening though. For starters, the Canucks haven't allowed more than two goals in any of their last three games. Looking back further and we find that they've allowed three goals or less in nine of their last 10 games, allowing four in the 'other' game. Seven of their last nine games have finished with five combined goals or less. Meanwhile, the Kings haven't scored more than two goals in any of their last five games, seeing three of their last four stay below the number. The Canucks won their last game by a score of 4-2. That's worth noting as we find the UNDER at 32-16-8 the past three seasons when they were coming off a win by two goals or more, including a 7-3-5 mark this season. Additionally, they've seen the UNDER go a profitable 22-9 (71%) the past three seasons when playing a road game with an over/under line of 5.5. Look for tonight's final score to be lower-scoring than expected once again.
 

the duke

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Eddie Roman
3,000 San Diego



Bobby Esposito

1,000 Cavs
1,000 Hawks
1,000 Rockets



Damon Roberts
1,000 parlay
Southern Alabama
Western Kentucky
1,000 Davidson
 
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the duke

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Frank Rosenthal


Nba

502 Magic-9.5 Sb
Over 209 Sb
507 Clippers+3 Sb++
Under 191 Sb+
510 Mavs-13.5 Sb
512 Spurs-6.5 Sb
513 Nets Under194 Sb

College

516 George Mason-8 Sb
Over 115 Sb
522 Sd+7 Sb
Under 128 Sb
525 Elon+17.5 Sb+
 

the duke

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Gina

Monday, March 10th, 2008 8:30 p.m. est.
New York Knicks (18-45) at Dallas Mavericks (40-23)

The Mavericks have played great at home and are a tough team to beat on their home court, 26-4 at American Airlines Center this season, while the Knicks have been a horror away from home, just 6-24 this season.

The Mavericks are playing below par and have dropped four of its last six games, but have beaten the Knicks in the last four meetings and the last seven in Dallas. Go with Dallas to cover the double digit spread versus the gloomy Knicks. New York has dropped their last five games, going 1-4 ATS and has lost 11 of the last 12 against the Mavericks, 3-9 ATS.

Dallas Mavericks



Dallas Mavericks - 13?
San Antonio Spurs - 7



Mr. A


Philadelphia 76ers + 6?
Cleveland Cavaliers - 6
Houston Rockets - 13



Johnny Guild


NBA

Monday, March 10th, 2008 8:30 PM EST.
New Jersey Nets (26-37) at Houston Rockets (42-20)

The struggling Nets have dropped their last five games and are just 11-20 on the road this season, 12-18 ATS. Take the Rockets tonight at the Toyota Center to grab their 19 straight win. Houston is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games at home and has won ten of the last 13 meetings at home against New Jersey. ?Where?s the money? Houston has won and covered the spread in the last three clashes against New Jersey, 6-1 ATS in the last 7.

Houston Rockets - 13


NCAA
George Mason Patriots - 8.5
San Diego Toreros + 6.5
 

the duke

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Comps


Will Sykes

Over 208 Atlanta / Orlando


Ernie Wallace

Clev / Port Under 191


Betone

Cleveland - 6 Over Portland


CAPPERS ACCESS


Mon (CBB) San Diego
Mon (CBB) Sienna


Armvin Sports


NHL
3/10/2008
Vancouver -149
 

to1

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Wolkosky Milan

505-405-17 last one hundred eighty five days
175-136-4 last sixty seven days!
2-3 Yesterday

Today:

10* CLEVELAND -5?
10* SAN ANTONIO -7
10* DALLAS -13
10* ATL/ORL UNDER 208
10* DEN/SAS UNDER 203


careful here. his last five dayz 2-3, 2-3, 2-3, 1-2, 2-3
 

taipans

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NY
ER sports--
3/10/08 NBA Playmaker: Philadelphia Under 196 -110 (506)



Rob veno--
3/10/08 CBB George Mason Over 115 -110 (516)


3/10/08 CBB South Alabama -11 (518)


3/10/08 CBB Blue Chip: Gonzaga -6.5 (521)


3/10/08 NBA Dallas Over 201 -110 (510)


3/10/08 NBA Blue Chip: San Antonio -7 (512)


3/10/08 NBA New Jersey +12.5 (513)
 
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