INDIAN COWBOY
Sixers/Mavs Under 187 (POD)
Winning 3 of 4 weeks, Winning 23 of 38 days (60%) and 27 of 45 POD Winners (60%).
The Sixers are more of a defensive team that many given them credit for. The prototype for this game is when the Mavs faced the Pistons at home and Detroit ended up winning 78-86. Keep in mind that the Mavs recently got blown out at Detroit but bounced-back well at Orlando but they do come of an ugly loss against Jersey. I also like the Sixers in this game as I will talk about this in that plays write-up but I believe the Sixers dicatate the pace of this game which is more in the defensive mind-set. The Sixers have played the under in 3 of their last 4 games and they recently held the Clippers to 80 points at home. This is a physical team with the likes of Dalembert, Iguodala, Thaddeus Young and Miller. This is the same team that held the Bucks to 69 points at home as well as they take pride in their defense. Dallas is struggling without Devin Harris similar to the Spurs struggling without Parker and thus the offense is hampered a bit. Look for this game to dip under in an ugly game that likely ends up in the high 160's. The under is 5-1 when the Mavs are favorites of late and the under is 4-1 for the Mavs following an ATS loss.
Sixers +3
There is no reason why the Sixers can't win this game outright. Although the Mavs are looking forward to bouncing back from their terrible game against the Nets, they are heavy public favorites today against a Sixer team that was beat by 15 points on the road earlier this year by them. The Sixers are a young and physical team that has blown out the likes of Miami, Milwaukee and beat the Wiz at home. This is the same team that nearly beat the Pistons and Magic at home and against a Dallas team that is without Devin Harris or Stackhouse, this team is struggling a bit. Dallas could certainly bounce-back today but I like the inside presence that the Sixers have today with Dalembert and Young who should give Dirk enough problems to slow him down. I look for this game to be low-scoring and a Sixer outright upset. The Sixers are 5-0 ATS at home of late and the Mavs have failed to cover their last 4 games as favorites.
Washington/Golden State Under 214
This is my third favorite play today. The Warriors are likely without Stephen Jackson today so that should aid in this under and Washington is coming off a back to back. Frankly, yesterday's game against Phoenix should have gone under for all intense purposes except for the monster 3rd quarter that both teams had and I think that although the public believes this game is likely to go over, I think it very well might dip under. Washington does have their own respective twin towers in the paint with Haywood and Jamison who provide sound defense and their guards are not bad on transition defense as well. The under is 9-2 when the Wizards face the Western Conference and the under is 5-2 for the Warriors when they are favorites by this margin of late.