Monday Service Plays 6/2/08
- Thread starter the duke
- Start date
- Apr 7, 2008
- 4,291
- 0
- 36
VEGAS EXPERTS
Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies
Monday, June 2nd, 7:05 PM ET
After taking over the top spot in the division, the Phillies welcome in the Cincinnati Reds, who come in off a three-game weekend sweep of another NL East club, Atlanta. However, that was at home, now the Reds are on the road where they are just 9-19 this season. Starter Bronson Arroyo has seen his team lose 14 of his last 20 road starts while Philly starter Kyle Kendrick is 2 for 2 lifetime against Cincy and has a 14-3 TSR when the total is 10 or higher.
Play on: Philadelphia
Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies
Monday, June 2nd, 7:05 PM ET
After taking over the top spot in the division, the Phillies welcome in the Cincinnati Reds, who come in off a three-game weekend sweep of another NL East club, Atlanta. However, that was at home, now the Reds are on the road where they are just 9-19 this season. Starter Bronson Arroyo has seen his team lose 14 of his last 20 road starts while Philly starter Kyle Kendrick is 2 for 2 lifetime against Cincy and has a 14-3 TSR when the total is 10 or higher.
Play on: Philadelphia
- Apr 7, 2008
- 4,291
- 0
- 36
HONDO
June 2, 2008 -- The Giants, New York Giants were heroic for HONDO yesterday as they bounced off the deck against Trevor Coughman and the pathetic Pods in the 10th to give the earn ings a boost to 595 terrys.
Tonight, he's fully expects Pettitte to inject more growth into the bottom line - 10 units on the Yankees to lump up Livan.
June 2, 2008 -- The Giants, New York Giants were heroic for HONDO yesterday as they bounced off the deck against Trevor Coughman and the pathetic Pods in the 10th to give the earn ings a boost to 595 terrys.
Tonight, he's fully expects Pettitte to inject more growth into the bottom line - 10 units on the Yankees to lump up Livan.
- Apr 7, 2008
- 4,291
- 0
- 36
Michael Cannon
Boston at BALTIMORE
Take the Red Sox for the road win tonight over the Orioles.
Boston is going for the four-game series sweep over the O?s, and the way the Red Sox offense is clicking the Orioles really don?t have a chance here tonight.
The BoSox have scored 20 runs in winning the first three games of the series, and if they can get just a couple of runs tonight they?ll have a great chance of winning.
That?s because Baltimore starter Jeremy Guthrie has received little to no run support at all this year.
The right-hander has posted a 2.18 ERA over his last three starts, but is 0-3 while getting only two total runs of support.
Take Boston as they grab the road win.
2* BOSTON
Boston at BALTIMORE
Take the Red Sox for the road win tonight over the Orioles.
Boston is going for the four-game series sweep over the O?s, and the way the Red Sox offense is clicking the Orioles really don?t have a chance here tonight.
The BoSox have scored 20 runs in winning the first three games of the series, and if they can get just a couple of runs tonight they?ll have a great chance of winning.
That?s because Baltimore starter Jeremy Guthrie has received little to no run support at all this year.
The right-hander has posted a 2.18 ERA over his last three starts, but is 0-3 while getting only two total runs of support.
Take Boston as they grab the road win.
2* BOSTON
- Apr 7, 2008
- 4,291
- 0
- 36
WUNDERDOG
Game: Cleveland at Texas
Pick: Texas +126
The Cleveland Indians are in dire straights. A team which was loaded with offense last year, is hitting just .234 as a team - more than 10 points lower than any other AL team. The last 11 on the road have produced just 27 runs or less than 2.5 per game. That makes it hard for any pitcher, including Aaron Laffey, to find the win column. Not too many pitchers with a 1.59 ERA own a 3-3 record, but the Indians simply can't score. The Rangers have found some magic as they have now gone 20-11 over a 31 game stretch, which includes six consecutive home series wins. Here we have hot vs cold and with a nice juicy dog, it's always worth a play.
Game: Cleveland at Texas
Pick: Texas +126
The Cleveland Indians are in dire straights. A team which was loaded with offense last year, is hitting just .234 as a team - more than 10 points lower than any other AL team. The last 11 on the road have produced just 27 runs or less than 2.5 per game. That makes it hard for any pitcher, including Aaron Laffey, to find the win column. Not too many pitchers with a 1.59 ERA own a 3-3 record, but the Indians simply can't score. The Rangers have found some magic as they have now gone 20-11 over a 31 game stretch, which includes six consecutive home series wins. Here we have hot vs cold and with a nice juicy dog, it's always worth a play.
- Apr 7, 2008
- 4,291
- 0
- 36
Robert Ferringo
I am definitely am very wary of this play, but there is tremendous value on a very good home team (Texas) against a floundering road team (Cleveland). The Indians have dumped 13 of their last 16 games and just lost a series at Kansas City. The Rangers are hot, and I think they can get to Aaron Laffey. Doug Mathis shut down the Indians last week. That means he's due to get rocked today. But Cleveland's definition of "rocked" right now is about five runs. I think the Rangers can top that.
TEXAS RANGERS +135
I am definitely am very wary of this play, but there is tremendous value on a very good home team (Texas) against a floundering road team (Cleveland). The Indians have dumped 13 of their last 16 games and just lost a series at Kansas City. The Rangers are hot, and I think they can get to Aaron Laffey. Doug Mathis shut down the Indians last week. That means he's due to get rocked today. But Cleveland's definition of "rocked" right now is about five runs. I think the Rangers can top that.
TEXAS RANGERS +135
- Apr 7, 2008
- 4,291
- 0
- 36
Tom Freese
Game: Cleveland Indians at Texas Rangers Jun 2 2008 8:05PM
Prediction: Cleveland Indians
Reason: Cleveland is 6-0 with Aaron Laffey when the Total is 9.0 to 10.5 and they are 10-4 in his last 14 starts. The Indians are 6-2 their last 8 games vs. AL West teams and they are 5-1 their last 6 games at Texas. The Ranger are 13-27 their last 40 games as home underdogs of +110 to +150 and they are 1-4 their last 5 games vs. lefty starters. Texas is 1-6 on Monday and they are 2-6 vs. team that allowed 5 or more runs in their last game. PLAY ON CLEVELAND w/Laffey
Game: Cleveland Indians at Texas Rangers Jun 2 2008 8:05PM
Prediction: Cleveland Indians
Reason: Cleveland is 6-0 with Aaron Laffey when the Total is 9.0 to 10.5 and they are 10-4 in his last 14 starts. The Indians are 6-2 their last 8 games vs. AL West teams and they are 5-1 their last 6 games at Texas. The Ranger are 13-27 their last 40 games as home underdogs of +110 to +150 and they are 1-4 their last 5 games vs. lefty starters. Texas is 1-6 on Monday and they are 2-6 vs. team that allowed 5 or more runs in their last game. PLAY ON CLEVELAND w/Laffey
- Apr 7, 2008
- 4,291
- 0
- 36
Play: MILWAUKEE BREWERS ( NAME DAVIS AND SUPPAN)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) COMPLIMENTARY SELECTION: MILWAUKEE BREWERS ( NAME DAVIS AND SUPPAN) : fyi; Keep in mind that unlike 99% of the services on the net, all our complimentary plays are also part of our premium packages and are held accountable in our daily records. It makes no sense why someone would put out plays and brush them off as dart throw plays if they lose and attempt to switch you to some big service pack. As we always preach at LVTR, it's about accountability and consistency when being a service. Now, lets get to today's play. We are 3-1 to start June and 1-0 for our comps to begin the month. Lets go for 2-0 as We have the Brewers at home. DAVIS in his short career record vs Milwaukee is 0-1 when starting against The Brewers with an ERA of 9.00. SUPPAN though not so hot in the W/l's head to head is 2-3 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.86 which is worth noting. If you are a believer in the that was then but this is now line of thinking, then lets bring it to the present where Suppan is 2-0 and pitching a filthy 1.24 in four starts at Miller Park this season. Davis is 1-1 pitching a 5.25 in two starts since coming off the DL. He has shined in his return, but the problem we are seeing is his endurance since coming back from the DL. When he gasses, he gasses quick and it can get ugly fast. Brewers look to be on an upswing winning six of their last seven games. Arizona is still solid but offense has been taking a dip lately. We are catching Arizona on the road where they haven't exactly been stellar. The ml is reasonable on this one as far as MLB is considered. Lets take the Brewers at home for the win. Don't forget we have two more selections available for today including what looks to be a National League blowout
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) COMPLIMENTARY SELECTION: MILWAUKEE BREWERS ( NAME DAVIS AND SUPPAN) : fyi; Keep in mind that unlike 99% of the services on the net, all our complimentary plays are also part of our premium packages and are held accountable in our daily records. It makes no sense why someone would put out plays and brush them off as dart throw plays if they lose and attempt to switch you to some big service pack. As we always preach at LVTR, it's about accountability and consistency when being a service. Now, lets get to today's play. We are 3-1 to start June and 1-0 for our comps to begin the month. Lets go for 2-0 as We have the Brewers at home. DAVIS in his short career record vs Milwaukee is 0-1 when starting against The Brewers with an ERA of 9.00. SUPPAN though not so hot in the W/l's head to head is 2-3 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.86 which is worth noting. If you are a believer in the that was then but this is now line of thinking, then lets bring it to the present where Suppan is 2-0 and pitching a filthy 1.24 in four starts at Miller Park this season. Davis is 1-1 pitching a 5.25 in two starts since coming off the DL. He has shined in his return, but the problem we are seeing is his endurance since coming back from the DL. When he gasses, he gasses quick and it can get ugly fast. Brewers look to be on an upswing winning six of their last seven games. Arizona is still solid but offense has been taking a dip lately. We are catching Arizona on the road where they haven't exactly been stellar. The ml is reasonable on this one as far as MLB is considered. Lets take the Brewers at home for the win. Don't forget we have two more selections available for today including what looks to be a National League blowout
At 7:10pm our selection is on the Atlanta Braves over the Florida Marlins. No team possibly in the history of the modern game is happier to be home than the 2008 Atlanta Braves. Incredibly this season, 22 out of Atlanta's 29 victories have come in their home park of Turner Field. This last road trip was true to form for the 2008 Braves, as they went 1-5 combined in their two series in Milwaukee and Cincinnati. Now they come home for a critical 4-game series against one of their division rivals followed by another critical series against probably the most talented team in the division - the Phillies. This game couldn't shape up any better for Atlanta. They come back home where they've been red-hot, they have a talented young lefty in Jo Jo Reyes going up against a team that is currently hitting .228 as a team against southpaws, and they themselves get to face a lefthander in Scott Olsen who is 0-1 with a 7.53 ERA in his last three starts. The Marlins are 18-40 in their last 58 games in Atlanta. Take the Braves.
Ben Burns
***HUGE TOTAL*** Burns' #1 NHL TOTAL OF THE YEAR!!
I'm playing on the Penguins and Red Wings to finish OVER the total. I successfully played on the 'under' in the first game of this series. That game had a total of 5.5, as did the next game. After those games, both at Detroit, stayed below the number, the over/under line dropped to five for the two games at Pittsburgh. Tonight, the series has shifted back to Detroit, yet the total has remained at five. While the 'under' has gone 3-0-1 through the first four games, with this being an elimination game, I feel that the OVER offers us excellent value. The Penguins only played three road games with totals of five this season. All three games finished above then number. Looking back further and we find the OVER at 58-43 (excluding pushes) during the past dozen years when the Penguins played a road game with a total of five or less. During the same stretch, the Wings have seen the OVER go a highly profitable 84-58 (excluding pushes) when playing a home game with a total of five or less, including a 9-6 mark this season. Through the first four games, this series has had a number of similarities to last year's Stanley Cup Finals. In that 2007 series, like this year, the Western Conference representative (Anaheim) began the series by "holding serve" and winning both the first two games on home ice. Like the Wings were in the first two games on their home ice this year, the Ducks were dominant defensively in those first two games, holding a high-powered Ottawa attack to just two combined goals (2 and 0) in those two games. Those two games saw just six combined goals scored, one less than the seven which were scored in the first two games at Detroit this season. The similarities don't end there though. Like this season, the Eastern Conference representative (Ottawa) returned home, down 0-2, and managed to win Game 3. Once again, like this season, the team from the Western Conference responded by winning Game 4 on the road, to take a 3-1 lead. So, what happened in Game 5? The Ducks won the Cup and the teams combined for a whopping eight goals. Look for history to repeat itself once again, as the Penguins and Wings play the highest-scoring game of their series tonight. *Playoff TOY
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Detroit Red Wings
Total: 5/-120 Over
***HUGE TOTAL*** Burns' #1 NHL TOTAL OF THE YEAR!!
I'm playing on the Penguins and Red Wings to finish OVER the total. I successfully played on the 'under' in the first game of this series. That game had a total of 5.5, as did the next game. After those games, both at Detroit, stayed below the number, the over/under line dropped to five for the two games at Pittsburgh. Tonight, the series has shifted back to Detroit, yet the total has remained at five. While the 'under' has gone 3-0-1 through the first four games, with this being an elimination game, I feel that the OVER offers us excellent value. The Penguins only played three road games with totals of five this season. All three games finished above then number. Looking back further and we find the OVER at 58-43 (excluding pushes) during the past dozen years when the Penguins played a road game with a total of five or less. During the same stretch, the Wings have seen the OVER go a highly profitable 84-58 (excluding pushes) when playing a home game with a total of five or less, including a 9-6 mark this season. Through the first four games, this series has had a number of similarities to last year's Stanley Cup Finals. In that 2007 series, like this year, the Western Conference representative (Anaheim) began the series by "holding serve" and winning both the first two games on home ice. Like the Wings were in the first two games on their home ice this year, the Ducks were dominant defensively in those first two games, holding a high-powered Ottawa attack to just two combined goals (2 and 0) in those two games. Those two games saw just six combined goals scored, one less than the seven which were scored in the first two games at Detroit this season. The similarities don't end there though. Like this season, the Eastern Conference representative (Ottawa) returned home, down 0-2, and managed to win Game 3. Once again, like this season, the team from the Western Conference responded by winning Game 4 on the road, to take a 3-1 lead. So, what happened in Game 5? The Ducks won the Cup and the teams combined for a whopping eight goals. Look for history to repeat itself once again, as the Penguins and Wings play the highest-scoring game of their series tonight. *Playoff TOY
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Detroit Red Wings
Total: 5/-120 Over
Jay Hampton - All In Picks
5* FREE PICK OAKLAND -159
10*
CINCI +127
FLORIDA +138
SAN FRAN +104
BALTIMORE -115
MINNY +139
SEATTLE +122
5* FREE PICK OAKLAND -159
10*
CINCI +127
FLORIDA +138
SAN FRAN +104
BALTIMORE -115
MINNY +139
SEATTLE +122
Robert Ferringo
3-Unit Play. Take #951 Philadelphia (-140) over Cincinnati (7 p.m., Monday, June 2)
Bronson Arroyo is making his third start in the last seven days. In his career he?s been solid on three day?s rest, but asking him to do it twice in one week is a bit of a reach, in my opinion. Especially when he?s facing the hottest lineup in the Majors. The Reds are just 3-12 in their last 15 road games and are 6-20 in Arroyo?s last 26 road starts. The Phillies have some steam right now and are 20-6 in their last 26 Game 1?s. Further, the Phillies are 7-1 in Kookie Kendrick?s last eight starts and 12-5 in his last 17 home starts. We will be looking for a lot of runs here, but I think the Reds are due for a letdown after a wild and emotional home series over the weekend.
1-Unit Play. Take #966 Baltimore (-105) over Boston (7 p.m., Monday, June 2)
It was right around this time last year that Jeremy Guthrie got hot. I'm looking for a similar run from him this season and he's looked sharp recently. Guthrie has a 2.70 ERA in his four career starts against the Red Sox, who I think we can catch looking forward to tomorrow's series with the first-place Devil Rays. Tim Wakefield is just 2-10 in his last 12 road starts and I think the Orioles manage to get one in this series.
1-Unit Play. Take #964 San Francisco (-105) over New York Mets (10 p.m., Monday, June 2)
I'm playing against Oliver Perez here and fading the Mets after their Sunday Night Baseball win over the Dodgers last night. The Giants have been playing better ball lately and I'm a fan of Jon Sanchez's work. I do worry about how well the Mets hit lefties, but I think the late night travel to face a "seemingly" inferior team could trip them up today.
1-Unit Play. Take #958 St. Louis (-175) over Pittsburgh (8 p.m., Monday, June 2)
1-Unit Play. Take #958 St. Louis (-1.5, +120) over Pittsburgh (8 p.m., Monday, June 2)
St. Louis at home. Pittsburgh on the road. Cardinals crushing lefties. Gorzy being a mess. Wainwright against the Bucs. Yup, there's a lot of things to like here. The Bucs are 11-29 on the road, have lost 7 of Tom Gorzelanny's last eight road starts, and are 20-44 in the last 64 games against the Cards. The Cardinals are 10-1 in Wainwright's last 11 home starts, are 15-7 at home against a southpaw, are 4-1 against Gorzy, and are 4-1 backing Wainwright against Pittsburgh.
1-Unit Play. Take #954 Atlanta (-130) over Florida (7 p.m., Monday, June 2
3-Unit Play. Take #951 Philadelphia (-140) over Cincinnati (7 p.m., Monday, June 2)
Bronson Arroyo is making his third start in the last seven days. In his career he?s been solid on three day?s rest, but asking him to do it twice in one week is a bit of a reach, in my opinion. Especially when he?s facing the hottest lineup in the Majors. The Reds are just 3-12 in their last 15 road games and are 6-20 in Arroyo?s last 26 road starts. The Phillies have some steam right now and are 20-6 in their last 26 Game 1?s. Further, the Phillies are 7-1 in Kookie Kendrick?s last eight starts and 12-5 in his last 17 home starts. We will be looking for a lot of runs here, but I think the Reds are due for a letdown after a wild and emotional home series over the weekend.
1-Unit Play. Take #966 Baltimore (-105) over Boston (7 p.m., Monday, June 2)
It was right around this time last year that Jeremy Guthrie got hot. I'm looking for a similar run from him this season and he's looked sharp recently. Guthrie has a 2.70 ERA in his four career starts against the Red Sox, who I think we can catch looking forward to tomorrow's series with the first-place Devil Rays. Tim Wakefield is just 2-10 in his last 12 road starts and I think the Orioles manage to get one in this series.
1-Unit Play. Take #964 San Francisco (-105) over New York Mets (10 p.m., Monday, June 2)
I'm playing against Oliver Perez here and fading the Mets after their Sunday Night Baseball win over the Dodgers last night. The Giants have been playing better ball lately and I'm a fan of Jon Sanchez's work. I do worry about how well the Mets hit lefties, but I think the late night travel to face a "seemingly" inferior team could trip them up today.
1-Unit Play. Take #958 St. Louis (-175) over Pittsburgh (8 p.m., Monday, June 2)
1-Unit Play. Take #958 St. Louis (-1.5, +120) over Pittsburgh (8 p.m., Monday, June 2)
St. Louis at home. Pittsburgh on the road. Cardinals crushing lefties. Gorzy being a mess. Wainwright against the Bucs. Yup, there's a lot of things to like here. The Bucs are 11-29 on the road, have lost 7 of Tom Gorzelanny's last eight road starts, and are 20-44 in the last 64 games against the Cards. The Cardinals are 10-1 in Wainwright's last 11 home starts, are 15-7 at home against a southpaw, are 4-1 against Gorzy, and are 4-1 backing Wainwright against Pittsburgh.
1-Unit Play. Take #954 Atlanta (-130) over Florida (7 p.m., Monday, June 2