Monday Service Plays 7/28/08

[the duke]

Comps

Bryan Leonard

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees (MLB) - Jul 28, 2008 7:05 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: -162 New York Yankees

New York over Baltimore The Yankees had their post All-Star game winning streak snapped last night in Boston, but that's probably good news here as they won't enter the game overconfident. New York has won 10 straight in Yankee Stadium and tonight they try to extend their recent surge against the Orioles. Baltimore will start Jeremy Guthrie knowing that New York averages a solid 5.49 runs per game at home vs right-handed starters. The Orioles are just 3-8 in Guthrie's road starts. They are 2-3 in his last five road outings despite allowing just a single home run against Guthrie in those starts. As hot as the Yankee's lefties are right now we can't expect the Oriole righty to keep the ball in the park tonight. The Yankees counter with veteran Mike Mussina who has been tremendous for most of the year. "The Moose" has produced 10 straight quality starts entering tonight and he has an amazing 31 to 3 strikeout to walk ratio his last five starts. He has now gone 10 straight starts of six innings or more as he continues to set up the Yankee bullpen to have success. With the back of the New York bullpen rested we can expect a solid pitching performance from the hosts tonight. The number's a bit cheap considering how well the Yankees are playing and how good Mussina has been as of late. PLAY NEW YORK



Big Al McMordie

Arizona D-Backs vs. San Diego Padres (MLB) - Jul 28, 2008 10:05 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: -114 San Diego Padres

At 10:05pm our complimentary selection is on the San Diego Padres over the Arizona Diamondbacks. Veteran righthander and future Hall of Famer Greg Maddux has gone an incredible thirteen starts without a victory and in more than one of those outings, he has been the victim of weak run support, poor defense, and sub-par relief pitching from his teammates. But he has continued to stay focused and has really pitched pretty well through this unfortunate streak, keeping his ERA only slightly above four runs per game, despite only three wins on the season. Tonight could be the night that Maddux breaks through against a D-Backs team that has struggled on the road this season. After being demoted to the bullpen earlier in the month, 25-year-old righthander Micah Owings returns to the rotation for this start. Owings was having problems with his mechanics which seemingly has turned him from an extremely effective starter to a pitcher struggling to gain his control in the second half of only his second season in the Majors. He has been working with pitching coach Brian Price on this mechanical problem and there's no way to know whether the work has paid off until Owings steps on the mound tonight. With trade rumors swirling around veteran Maddux (the most likely scenario has him going to division rival Los Angeles), expect him to come out and put on a clinic this evening and earn his first victory since May 10. Take the Padres. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.




Alex Smart Sports

New York Mets vs. Florida Marlins (MLB) - Jul 28, 2008 7:10 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: -119 New York Mets

Game: New York Mets vs. Florida Marlins Game Time: 7/28/2008 7:10:00 PM Prediction: New York Mets Reason: The NY Mets enter into Mondays action against their hosts the Florida Marlins in red hot form having won 15 of their L/19 games overall . NY has also enjoyed playing in Dolphin Stadium, cashing tickets for their backers in 12 of their L/14 outings here. The Marlins, on the other hand, are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, especially on offense, where their batting order is hitting just .188 during a current 8 game span. The Mets positive momentum has a good chance of continuing as they send hurler John Maine (9-7, 4.20 ERA) out to hill to face a Marlins team he has had success against in the recent past . The right hander recorded a 3-0 record along with a stingy 2.45 ERA in his four outings against the Marlins during his 2007 campaign, and will primed and motivated to stop them again in this spot. Meanwhile ,his pitching opponent Ricky Nalasco (10-6, 3.99 ERA)is in a bit of funk, losing his last two outings since the all star break, allowing 9 runs on 15 hits in just 12 innings of work. The former Rialto High School star has not faired well at home in the past against the Mets, registering a 0-2 record along with a ugly looking 9.00 ERA in four appearances ( 2 starts). The Mets are currently operating on all cylinders, making them good bets against any team in the National League right now. Final notes & Key Trends: Mets are 22-5 in Maines last 27 starts vs. National League East. Marlins are hitting just .237 at home this season. The Mets David Wright owns a powerful .408 BA in his last 24 games in this series. Play on the NY Mets

 

[the duke]

Comps

Jeff Benton

Lets start Monday by cashing a huge underdog ticket on the Cubs at Milwaukee.

Hey, I can?t say anything negative about CC Sabathia; the hefty lefty has been a machine since slipping on a Brewers uniform for the first time, winning all four starts while posting a sub-2.00 ERA. However, to get the Cubs at this big of a plus price, with a veteran pitcher like Ted Lilly on the hill, is a gamble worth taking.

After all, Lilly has actually pitched better on the road this season (5-3, 3.84 ERA) than he has at home (5-3, 5.34 ERA). Also, Lilly has registered a quality start in eight of his last 10, including four of the last five. Finally, the overall stats tell us that the Cubs (.284 team average against lefties) have fared much better against southpaws this year than Milwaukee (.268 team average).

Bottom line: We?ve seen more than a few times just since the All-Star break that a team with a massive starting pitching advantage has failed to bring home the cash. And with the Cubs clinging to a one-game lead over Milwaukee in the Central Division race and in full desperation mode, I wouldn?t be at all shocked to see another big favorite go down. In fact, there?s little doubt that none of Sabathia?s first three N.L. opponents (Cardinals, Giants, Reds) pack the kind of offensive punch Chicago does.

Take the massive plus money with Soriano, Lee, Ramirez, Soto, Fukudome and the hard-hitting Cubbies.

(Based on a 1♦ to 10♦ rating system)

2♦ CHICAGO CUBS



Matt Rivers

Monday take some coin back with the Angels.

Just a total no-brainer here on the visiting Halos. Sure the Red Sox at Fenway have been brilliant overall this season but things have not been so great of late. The Yankees just came to town and won the series meaning that Boston is in a total three team dog fight the rest of the way. Big Papi has returned but then immediately Manny has some knee issues and all is just not right at this time in Beantown.

Anaheim comes to town with the best road mark in all of baseball and just beat up the Orioles at Camden Yards. Vlad and company do have some hitting issues at times but recently we have not seen that as Vlad, Hunter, Kotchman and the rest of Mike Scioscia's team is quietly getting in great position to make a World Series run.

Dice-K has been sensational this season, save that one start off of the DL at home and probably will be alright today but Jered Weaver is a quality righty himself and should be just fine as well. I do expect the hurlers to put up a bunch of gooseggs and for this game to come down to the end in a tight contest. With Shields and K-Rod on the back end how can you not take some coin back with arguably the best team in baseball right now in this spot!


L.A. Angels (+135) at BOSTON Bobby Maxwell

The Angels are the best road team in baseball at 33-18 away from home. Boston got a late start with their Sunday night game against the Yankees and thus taking away any added benefit of playing at home and getting extra rest.

We'll play Los Angeles in this one as they are 10-3 the last 13 times they've been underdogs and they have won five straight against the Red Sox this season, including two in a row at Fenway.

Jered Weaver (8-8, 4.08 ERA) is on the mound for the Angels against the Red Sox Daisuke Matsuzaka (11-1, 2.63). Weaver has held the opposition to two runs or less in five straight starts and he's held the Red sox to three runs or less in four of his six career starts against them.

The Angels are 21-8 in their last 29 against teams with a winning record and 39-19 in their last 58 overall. We like the way this team is rolling right now and we'll take the plus-money with them tonight.

3♦ L.A. ANGELS

 

[the duke]

John Fina

July 28, 2008

Selection: Arizona/San Diego Over 8 (-110)

Reason: Put us down on the Arizona Diamondbacks/San Diego Padres Over 8 for our Free MLB Selection on Monday. Today we expect a high-scoring game as the Arizona Diamondbacks take on the San Diego Padres. One reason why we expect a high-scoring game is because both these teams will be sending to the mound struggling starting pitchers. This says it all... The Arizona Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher (Micah Owings) has a 5.06 ERA in his last 3 starts, while San Diego Padres Starting Pitcher (Greg Maddux) has a 6.06 ERA in his last 3 starts. As you can see, both these starting pitchers have been struggling as of late. To say the least, we should see a high-scoring game today! Take the Arizona Diamondbacks/San Diego Padres Over 8!



Tony Mathews

Matchup: Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins

Selection: Chicago White Sox (-110)

Explanation: We will side with the Chicago White Sox as they face-off against the Minnesota Twins in Monday's MLB contest.

The Chicago White Sox will use starting pitcher Mark Buehrle. Mark Buehrle has been pitching very well as of late. In fact, Mark Buehrle has a 1.66 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Mark Buehrle pitching another great game today.

The Minnesota Twins will use starting pitcher Kevin Slowey. Kevin Slowey has been struggling as of late. In fact, Kevin Slowey has a 9.00 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Kevin Slowey pitching another bad game today.

The Chicago White Sox are a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 meetings against the Minnesota Twins, and should be able to get another win tonight!

Take the Chicago White Sox!



Brian Marshall

July 28, 2008

Game: San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Plays On: San Francisco/Los Angeles Over 8 (-110)

Game Analyses: Do you love high-scoring games? If yes, you will love Monday's MLB contest between the San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers.

The San Francisco Giants will be lead by starting pitcher Kevin Correia. Kevin Correia has struggled this entire season. In fact, Kevin Correia has a 5.71 ERA on the season. In addition, Kevin Correia has a 8.04 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Kevin Correia giving up many runs today.

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be lead by starting pitcher Hiroki Kuroda. Hiroki Kuroda has been having huge pitching problems as of late. In fact, Hiroki Kuroda has a 7.98 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Hiroki Kuroda giving up many runs today.

The bottom line, we should see many runs scored today!

Take the San Francisco Giants/Los Angeles Dodgers Over 8!

 

[the duke]

CappersAccess

Mon (MLB) Blue Jays
Mon (MLB) White Sox



ARMVIN SPORTS

TAMPA BAY RAYS 102

KANSAS CITY ROYALS 115


Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Sabercats ( 3-1/2) in ArenaBowl XXII yesterday.

Today it's the Mets. The surplus is 325 sirignanos.



HONDO

Hondo, not Santana, did the finger-pointing yesterday after Lohse and the Cards were crushed out at Flushing's Lame Duck Dump, resulting in shrink age of the wad to 730 soderholms.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch will try that Buehrle guy who pitches for the White Sox - 10 units.

 

[the duke]

Jim Feist

My free pick of the day is the game between (921) DET Tigers and (922) CLE Indians. Take "(922) CLE Indians". The reeling Detroit Tigers leave the motor city with their tail between their legs after a beating they took by the White Sox. They look to get well here against the Indians, but that may be easier said then done. The Tigers send Kenny Rogers to the mound who is 8-6 on the season with a 4.55 era. However, against the Indians, he's has a lifetime 5.02 era and has allowed a batting average of .284. The Indians send Paul Byrd to the hill and he finally got a win after five consecutive losses. Byrd pitched a fine one earned run game against the Angels last time out for a 5-2 win. Against the Tigers, Byrd has really shined, with a 9-2 lifetime record and 3.54 era. Byrd has already beaten the Tigers once this year and we don't look for that trend to change here on Monday.



Dave Cokin

My free pick of the day is the game between (921) DET Tigers and (922) CLE Indians. Take "(921) DET Tigers". The Tigers lost their weekend series to the White Sox but at least salvaged the finale. I like their chances of garnering some good results as they head to Cleveland to take on the towel-tossing Indians, who are in full fledged sell mode. Kenny Rogers should at least equal whatever the Tribe can count on from Paul Byrd, and the Detroit offense is vastly superior to that owned by the Indians. The price is very reasonable, so the Tigers are the selection.

 

[the duke]

SCOTT FERRALL



Oakland -125 and Braden over Greinke and KC--The Royals starter is beginning to fade and they suck on the road

Texas +105 and Feldman over Seattle and Felix the King

Boston -145 and Dice K over the Angels--it's revenge time after they got swept out in Anaheim

Dodgers -200 and Kuroda over Correia and the Giants at the Revine. LA has to keep pace with Arizona so they'll get it done

Houston -155 over Cincy--Cueto isn't the same away from the Queen City and Oswalt is due for a good start

Atlanta -115 and Jo Jo Reyes upset the Cards and Braden Looper. The Barves are 11 games over .500 at Turner Fioeld and the Cards had a tiring series at Shea, so they'll be flat and sick of the road

 

[the duke]

Comps

Chip Chirimbes

The Houston Astros ace will try to continue his dominance of the Reds on Monday night when the teams open a three-game series at Minute Maid Park. Oswalt (7-8, 4.56 ERA) has been on the disabled list since July 19 with a left hip adductor strain. The injury forced the three-time All-Star out of his last start on July 11 after allowing one hit on 17 pitches in one inning of a 10-0 loss at Washington. The right-hander was 2-1 with a 2.49 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 21 2-3 innings in four starts prior to getting hurt. He is expected to be activated Monday after throwing 25 to 30 pitches before Friday's 3-1 win at Milwaukee. Oswalt is looking to help the Astros (48-56) build on Sunday's 11-6 win over Milwaukee, as he makes his first start of the season against Cincinnati (50-56). The eight-year veteran is 19-1 with a 2.46 ERA in 24 career games - 22 starts - against the Reds, his most wins against any opponent. He's been even better at home, going 9-0 with a 2.26 ERA in 12 appearances - 11 starts - versus Cincinnati. The Astros have won the last six matchups with Reds, sweeping a two-game road set from April 23-24.

Take the Houston Astros



Dave Price

MLB | Jul 28
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Tampa Bay Rays +103

1 Unit PLAY on Tampa Bay Rays +103 (listing Shields and Burnett)
The Rays have had Toronto's number in the AL East. The Rays are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings and 5-0 in Shields' last 5 starts vs. the Blue Jays. The Blue Jays are 0-5 in Burnett's last 5 starts vs. the Rays. The Rays are 6-1 in Shields' last 7 starts and 5-0 in Shields' last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. The Blue Jays are playing well, but their problems with the Rays will continue tonight.


Steve Janus

MLB | Jul 28
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Tampa Bay Rays +104
There's always good value on the Rays when James Shields takes the mound for them. Tampa Bay is 6-1 in his last seven starts overall. The Rays have also played up to their competition and the proof is in their 11-3 record in their last 14 games against a team with an overall winning record. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, have gone just 2-5 in their last seven games when AJ Burnett starts against a team with an overall winning record.


James Patrick


White Sox vs. Twins 8:10 p.m. est.
The Twins have to be very happy to see the Hubert H. Humphrey Dome as they are returning from a brutal road trip. Chicago has struggled in the Twin Cities as they have lost 6 of 8 recent meetings with the Twins in Minnesota and that includes 5 in a row. Minnesota is 18-5 in their recent home games and Monday?s starter Slowley is 6-1 in his home starts. Our Monday American League complimentary selection is #906 Minnesota Twins.

 

[the duke]

Comps

Carlo Campanella

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres
Monnday, July 28th, 10:05 PM ET

The Padres start Greg Maddux on the mound to host Arizona on Monday. At 42 years-old, Maddux isn't the same pitcher he once was, clearly indicated by his 3-8 record this season. In fact, SD has lost 5 of his last 6 trips to the mound, including 4 in a row. His arm is feeling the ware and tear as this is his 23rd start of the year and he has been knocked out in 6 Innings or less in 16 of his first 22 starts. Arizona already shelled Maddux, 9-0, back on April 18 and things only get worse as the arm gets more tired. Good luck - Carlo Campanella


Jimmy The Moose

Game: Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians Jul 28 2008 7:05PM
Prediction: Detroit Tigers

Reason: The Tigers are 11-1 in their last 12 games as a road favorite. In their last 29 games overall as a favorite Detroit is 23-6. Detroit has won their last 4 road games. In their last 28 games vs. a team with a losing record they are 21-7. Detroit is 10-2 in Rogers last 12 starts as a road favorite. In his last 42 starts as a favorite the Tigers are 31-11. The Indians are 7-16 in their last 23 games vs. a team with a winning record. In their last 30 games as an underdog they are 6-24. Cleveland has lost 6 of Byrd's last 7 starts. On the year the Indians are 5-14 when Byrd takes the mound. Play on the Detroit Tigers -.



Tom Freese

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres Jul 28 2008 10:05PM
Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks

Reason: Arizona is 4-0 their last 4 games vs. teams with a losing home record and they are 5-1 in the last 6 starts made by Micah Owings vs. NL West foes. The Diamondbacks are 4-1 their last 5 road games. San Diego is 8-20 their last 28 games games vs. righty starters and they are 13-39 their last 52 games vs. winning teams. The Padres are 2-12 their last 14 home games and they are 2-7 with Greg Maddux vs. winning teams. PLAY ON ARIZONA - (Owings vs. Maddux)



Play on: Arizona

 

[the duke]

Glen Mcgrew

San Diego Padres



Bob Donahue

Pittsburgh Pirates



Scott Spreitzer

St. Louis Cardinals

 

[the duke]

SAPKOWSKI

(Last two days 6-1)

Best Bet
Colorado vs. Pittsburgh over 5 in 1st 5 IN

Premium
Colorado vs. Pittsburgh over 9.5

Free
LA Dodgers

 

[the duke]

Mike Wynn

Detroit/Cleveland Over 10.5


Platinum Plays

TAMPA BAY RAYS + 105 Over the Toronto Blue Jays


Razor Sharp

CINCINNATI (Cueto) +140 over Houston


Totals 4 U

CINCINNATI/HOUSTON UNDER 9


Big Time Sports

ARIZONA / SAN DIEGO UNDER 8


#1 Sports

OAKLAND ATHLETICS - 120


Computer Sports

MILWAUKEE BREWERS-170 W/SABATHIA


Easy Money Sports

FLORIDA w/Nolasco +105


Nevada Sharpshooter

REDS +130 OVER ASTROS


The Vegas Steam Line

NY METS/FLORIDA UNDER the total of 9 runs

 

[the duke]

SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Chicago Cubs (61-44) at Milwaukee (60-45)

CC Sabathia (4-0, 1.36 ERA) goes for his fifth straight win as a Brewer when he leads Milwaukee against the Cubs as the top two teams in the N.L. Central begin a key four-game series at Miller Park. Chicago will counter with lefty Ted Lilly (10-6, 4.49).

The Brewers lost two of three at home to the lowly Astros over the weekend, but they?re still 9-2 in their last 11 games, and they trail Chicago by a game in the Central Division standings. Also, Milwaukee is on positive streaks of 12-5 as a home favorite, 19-8 against the N.L. Central and 14-4 versus lefty starters.

Chicago salvaged a four-game weekend split with the Marlins with Sunday?s 9-6 home victory, but Lou Piniella?s club is just 4-7 in its last 11 contests overall, 6-13 in its last 19 on the highway and 1-9 in its last 10 as an underdog.

The Brewers lead the season series 4-2, with all six games played at Wrigley Field.

Sabathia has started his Milwaukee career with four straight quality starts, giving up two earned runs or fewer in each outing, including a complete-game, three-hit, 3-0 victory in St. Louis on Wednesday. Sabathia is 2-0 with a 2.40 ERA in two starts at Miller Park.

Lilly has given up a total of four earned runs in his last two starts covering 13 innings, with Chicago losing 2-1 at Houston and winning 10-6 at Arizona. The veteran hurler is 5-3 with a 3.84 ERA in eight road starts, but 1-2 with a 5.64 ERA in four career starts against Milwaukee, including an 8-2 home loss on April 2.

The over is 4-0 in Lilly?s four career starts against the Brewers, 5-1 in his last six starts overall, 4-1 in his last five on the road and 8-2 in his last 10 against the N.L. Central. Also, the over is 7-1 in Milwaukee?s last eight at home and 7-1-2 in the last 10 series clashes at Miller Park.

ATS ADVANTAGE: MILWAUKEE and OVER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

L.A. Angels (64-40) at Boston (61-45)

Daisuke Matsuzaka (11-1, 2.63) looks to continue his incredible midseason run when he leads the Red Sox against the Angels, who are set to hand the ball to Jered Weaver (8-8, 4.08) in the opener of a three-game series at Fenway Park.

The Red Sox routed the Yankees 9-2 on Sunday night to avoid getting swept by their archrivals. Boston is still just 4-5 since the All-Star break, but Terry Francona?s squad is still riding streaks of 41-13 at home, 57-24 as a favorite and 19-5 when Matsuzaka pitches at Fenway Park.

Los Angeles had a four-game winning streak halted in Sunday?s 5-2 loss at Baltimore. Still, the Halos are on runs of 9-2 overall, 4-1 on the road, 10-3 as an underdog and 6-1 against the A.L. East.

The Angels swept a three-game set from the Red Sox in Anaheim a week ago, and they?ve won five straight meetings. Still, Los Angeles is just 8-21 in its last 29 games at Fenway Park.

Matsuzaka is 3-0 with a 0.88 ERA in his last five starts, giving up three earned runs in 30 2/3 innings. Boston is 14-3 in his 17 starts this year, including 8-1 at home.

Like Matsuzaka, Weaver is on his own hot streak, giving up two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts, posting a 1.95 ERA during this stretch. However, the Angels have alternated wins and losses in the right-hander?s last seven outings, winning 3-2 at Cleveland on Tuesday. Weaver is also 0-2 with a 5.46 ERA in five career regular-season starts against the BoSox. In fact, including one playoff start, the Angels are 1-5 when Weaver pitches against the Red Sox (0-3 in Boston).

For the Angels, the under is on streaks of 26-12-2 on the road, 12-4-1 as an underdog and 4-1 when Weaver toils on the road. The under is also 23-9-3 in Boston?s last 35 games on Mondays and 4-1 in Matsuzaka?s last five starts overall.

ATS ADVANTAGE:BOSTON and UNDER


Chicago White Sox (59-44) at Minnesota (57-47)

The top two teams in the A.L. Central duke it out in the opener of a four-game series inside the Metrodome, where the Twins? Kevin Slowey (6-7, 4.41) is scheduled to oppose Chicago?s Mark Buehrle (8-8, 3.56).

The White Sox had a four-game winning streak halted in Sunday?s 6-4 loss at Detroit, dropping to 7-14 in their last 21 road games. They?re also 1-9 in their last 10 contests on artificial turf, but 8-2 in Buehrle?s last 10 starts against the Twins.

Minnesota has followed up a five-game slide with back-to-back wins at Cleveland on Saturday (11-4) and Sunday (4-2). Now the Twins return home, where they have won 18 of their last 23 games.

Chicago, which leads the Twins by 2? games in the Central race, has won five straight against Minnesota, but all at home. In fact, the host is 9-2 in the 11 meetings this season, only two of which have been played in the Metrodome.

The Twins had won six straight games behind Slowey prior to Tuesday?s 8-2 loss at the Yankees. Since a four-start stretch in which he surrendered just three runs in 29 innings (0.93 ERA), Slowey has gotten tagged for 14 runs on 19 hits in his last three outings covering 15 innings (8.40 ERA).

Slowey is 1-2 with a 6.62 ERA in four career appearances (three starts) against Chicago. Both losses came exactly a month apart in Chicago earlier this season, a 12-2 defeat and a 6-2 setback, with Slowey allowing 11 runs (all earned) in eight innings.

Buehrle is 6-2 in his last nine starts, and he?s allowed three earned runs or fewer in 11 of his past 13 trips to the hill, including yielding one earned run or fewer eight times. The southpaw beat the Rangers 10-2 at home on Tuesday, giving up just a solo home run in 7 1/3 innings. He?s posted a 1.66 ERA over his last three starts.

Buehrle is 21-11 with a 3.78 ERA in 35 career games (33 starts) against Minnesota. Two of those starts came this year in Chicago, with Buehrle giving up seven runs over 5 2/3 innings of a 13-1 loss on June 7, then holding the Twins to a run in eight innings of an 11-2 victory exactly a month later.

The over is 4-0 in the last four series meetings, 6-2 in Buehrle?s last eight outings against Minnesota, 8-1-1 in Chicago?s last 10 overall, 5-2-1 in Chicago?s last eight on the road and 5-2-1 in Slowey?s last eight starts overall.

ATS ADVANTAGE: MINNESOTA and OVER

 

[the duke]

Comps

Tampa Bay at TORONTO (-115) Chris Jordan

It was quite a showdown back on July 18, when these two pitched against one another at Tropicana Field. Both AJ Burnett and James Shields tossed seven innings for their teams, and while Shields gave up just one earned run, Burnett surrendered only two.

Tampa escaped with the win, and now it?s time for revenge. Hey, I admit I?ve never been a Burnett fan, but the guy has impressed me all month, as he?s 3-2 in July, and been most impressive in his last three outings, tossing 20-1/3 innings and given up just four earned runs ? an ERA of 1.77.

Forget the trade rumors swirling around his name cause he?s going to be lights out for the somewhat red-hot Blue Jays, who have won five of their last six. As much as I like Shields, he?s 2-5 in nine road starts and has struggled keeping the ball in the infield, as he?s sporting a road ERA of 6.26. Play the Jays with Burnett against the Rays and Shields.

3♦ BLUE JAYS



Arizona at SAN DIEGO (-115) Drew Gordon

Neither one of tonight's starters has been particularly consistent of late, but the fact of the matter is you have to like Greg Maddux at Petco, where he's posted an above average 2.51 ERA on the season. Note that 3 of his last 4 starts have been solid, despite the fact the Padres lost all 4 of those contests. Anyone who's followed the Friars knows Maddux has been the victim of some shoddy run support and bullpen work, but with 3 straight road wins under their belts, I'm looking San Diego to keep the momentum going now back at home.

So how do they keep it going? Well, a match up against the struggling Micah Owings is a good start! He went 1-7 with a 6.92 ERA over his last 9 starts before being demoted to the bullpen. Think that was bad? In his last relief appearance, he got tagged for 5 runs in just a 1/3 of an inning against the Cubs! Look for a suddenly resurgent Padres offense to capitalize on Owings struggles tonight.

Finally, for all the talk about the Padres pathetic offense, did you know the D-Backs are just as bad on the road against righties?! Diamondbacks average just 3.7 runs per game against righties away, batting a laughable .218 in that spot! Granted, San Diego's offense isn't much better, but its important to note the Padres are batting .284 against rigthies over their last 10 games, and they crushed the last righty they faced (Pirates' Van Benschoten 7 runs allowed in just 1 2/3 innings)!

Bottom line, Padres build off their modest 3-game win streak with a solid effort behind Maddux tonight against Arizona. We've seen some life from this Padres batting order, and a match up against Owings is just what the doctor ordered to keep it going! Padres roll!

Take San Diego behind Maddux over Arizona and Owings in late MLB action.

3♦ SAN DIEGO



Jeff Alexander

MLB | Jul 28
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates +105

1 Unit PLAY on Pittsburgh Pirates +105 (listing Duke)
The Rockies are rolling, but the reality is that they are still one of the worst teams in the N.L. and you have to like the Bucs in the home dog role here. The Rockies are 16-36 in their last 52 road games, 9-23 in their last 32 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 1-6 in their last 7 Monday games. The Pirates are 6-2 in Snell's last 8 Monday starts and 4-1 in their last 5 Monday games. This team has started week's off well throughout the season and then trailed off as the week has gone on. We'll bet the Bucs tonight.


John Martin

MLB | Jul 28
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays -110

1 Unit on Toronto Blue Jays -110
(Listing Burnett)

Toronto?s A.J. Burnett is finding a groove out on the mound over his last three starts. Burnett has gone 2-1 with a miniscule 1.77 ERA during that span. Burnett owns a 7-2 record in all home starts this season. The Blue Jays will beat up on James Shields tonight. Shields is just 2-5 with a sub-par 6.26 ERA on the road. In 15 lifetime starts facing the Rays, Burnett has gone 6-4 with a solid 3.17 ERA. Tampa Bay is 4-21 in road games in July games over the last 2 seasons. The Rays are just 4-20 in road games after scoring 1 run or less over the last 2 seasons. Toronto is 14-4 in July home games over the last 2 seasons. The Rays are 4-25 vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Cash in with Toronto as my free play Monday.

 

[the duke]

Comps

Ben Burns

Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox Jul 28, 2008 7:05PM
SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks

PICK: Boston Red Sox -153

REASON FOR PICK: After getting swept at LA less than two weeks ago, the Red Sox have payback on their minds this evening. As expected, they got back on track with a big win over the Yankees last night. They should be able to carry the momentum into tonight's game, particularly as they send red hot Dice-K, who has an awesome 0.87 ERA his last three starts, to the mound. The Red Sox are 8-1 when Matsuzaka has started at home this season and he's posted a 3.02 ERA in those games. Dating back to last year, they're 11-1 his last 12 home starts. On the other hand, the Angels are 4-6 when Weaver has started on the road and he has a 4.50 ERA during that stretch. Dating back to last season, the Angels are just 6-11 when Weaver has started on the road.

Matsuzaka has faced the Angels only once. That came last season (Game 2 of the ALDS) and Boston won by a score of 6-3. Conversely, the Red Sox already pounded Weaver earlier this season (10 hits, 2 HRs and five runs in five innings!) and are 5-1 all-time against him. Weaver was 0-3 with a 5.18 ERA in those games. The Red Sox, now 37-13 at Fenway, have the best home record in the American League and they've got fewer home losses than any team in baseball. Even before last night's offensive explosion, they were hitting .295 at home while averaging 5.7 runs per game here. That compares very favorably to the Angels .249 average and 4.4 runs per game scored on the road. Lastly, note that with yesterday's victory, the Red Sox are now 16-2 on the season when listed as home favorites in the -150 to -175 range. Consider a play on BOSTON


Black Widow

MLB | Jul 28
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

1* on Colorado Rockies -113
(Action)

Colorado is coming on strong as we near the end of the season. The Rockies have won 9 of their last 10 games overall and five straight heading into tonight?s contest with Pittsburgh. Their games haven?t even been close either. Two of the nine wins game by 2 runs, but the other seven came by 3 runs or more. This is a team that nobody wants to play right now. Ian Snell is in for a short outing for Pittsburgh. Snell is 3-8 with a 6.10 ERA this year. The Rockies have won four straight games over the Pirates in 2008, outscoring Pittsburgh 28-9 in the process. Take Colorado on the Money Line.


Larry Cook

MLB | Jul 28
New York Mets vs. Florida Marlins

Florida Marlins+105

3* on Florida Marlins +105
(Listing Nolasco only)

The Marlins are showing awesome value with Ricky Nolasco at home tonight. He?s 10-6 with a 3.99 ERA this season and has easily been the most steady starter the Marlins have to offer. Nolasco has won back-to-back starts against the Mets, allowing New York to score just 4 runs off of him. Nolasco is 11-5 as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. The Mets are just 2-13 in road games after hitting 3 or more home runs in 2 consecutive games since 1997. New York?s bats will cool off tonight as Nolasco picks up his third straight win over his division rivals. Bet the Marlins at home behind Nolasco.

 

[the duke]

Charlies Sports

Monday July 28, 2008

mlb. white sox @ minnesota under 8' runs (500*)

mlb. oakland-125 (30*)

mlb. arizona+110 (20*)

mlb. pittsburgh+100 (20*)

mlb. minnesota-110 (10*)

mlb. seattle+110 (10*) free play

 

[the duke]

Tony George


Monday MLB Totals Winner. 9-3 run!
Monday MLB Totals Play. On a 9-3 run and I have cashed my last 4 Totals Plays. All signs point to only 1 way to look in this game and I am all over an easy Winner tonight in MLB, cash it in and kick the week off right. $15.00

Padres / Diamondbacks OVER 7.5

 

[the duke]

Tom Stryker

MLB Super Total Investment - 39-20 MLB Run!
35.00

Tom has cashed 39 of his last 59 MLB releases and he's stepping out on Monday with a rare total selection. Stryker likes to pick his spot when it comes to over/under plays and he has isolated a beauty that is absolutely loaded with technical support! Grab Tom's Super Total Investment guaranteed to win!

Florida/NY Mets Over 9

 

[the duke]

Jack Clayton

Guaranteed Selections
Monday Total Winner! [ MLB ]
Date: Monday, July 28, 2008
$20.00 Guaranteed

There's plenty of wagering value with baseball totals -- if you know where and how to look. Jack Clayton steps up Monday with a total oddsmakers completely missed. Get the inside angle, then watch and win!

Red Sox/Angels Over

 

[the duke]

Golden Contender

Guaranteed Selections
NATIONAL LEAGUE 90% SYSTEM GAME GOES MONDAY [ MLB ]
Date: Monday, July 28, 2008
$29.99 Guaranteed:

ON MONDAY NIGHT ITS THE RELEASE OF A SUPER STRONG 90% SYSTEM PLAY.BEST OF ALL THIS BIG TIME BOMB IS GUARANTEED TO WIN OR YOU DONT PAY.THIS DYNAMITE SIDE ALSO HAS A BIG TME PITCHING ADVANTAGE.THOSE WHO CASHED WITH ME ON SATURDAY WITH THE A.L. GAME OF THE MONTH ON THE ANGELS WILL LOVE THIS ONE.GET THE WRITEUP,GET THE PLAY, GET THE CASH ON MONDAY NIGHT.

NY Mets

 

[the duke]

Stan Sharp

NL BIG BET OF THE WEEK

Stan Sharp is one of the most feared bettors in Las Vegas as Stan just completed his 9th Winning Week out of his last 10. Stan went 4-2 for the week last week. Stan Cashed his Mismatch Big Bet of the Week yesterday with Chicago Cubs (-1.5 Runs) a 9-6 Winner. Playing just one game a day Stan is up 25.4 Units for the Baseball Season which means Dime Players are up Over $25,000 on the Year. Today Stan is making just one Bet but it's another Big Bet as he has NL Big Bet of the Week. Stan is 20-11 with his last 31 Plays, 24-13 with his last 37 Plays, 40-22 his last 62 and 12-5 with his last 17 Triple Dime Plays. Talk about consistency! Can you afford to miss Stan's Play today? Since Nov 2nd Stan has gone 151-103 with all his plays. Get STAN'S NL BIG BET OF THE WEEK now for just
$20.


Double-Dime Bet NY METS (-120)