INDIAN COWBOY
Cleveland Indians +101 (POD)
Saturday: 1-0 (Houston/Chicago Under POD - Winner)
Sunday: Pass.
PODs
33-18 Last 51 PODs (64%)
70-44-4 (60%), Normally doing 1 POD Per Day. (Last 120 Days)(4 Months)
Baseball
Over 60% in Baseball Last 2 Months (65 days): 39-23 (62%)
18 of 25 baseball winners (72%) (7 Dogs)
Monthly
Winning 3 months in a row.
Kenny Rogers pitched well on the road at Kansas City in his last start for just 4 hits and has won back to back ballgames but has been having trouble putting together back to back quality starts of late, he did help beat Cleveland in his last start at home with a 1.29 era, so Cleveland has a bit of a revenge today, do note that Cleveland lost yesterday 2-4 as Detroit won 4-6 for what its worth, Byrd comes off an incredible 1.69 era start on the road in which he won as a +175 dog, he is 2-2 with a 3.40 era at home which is a far outcry from his overall record of 4-10 with a 5.28 era. This simply just goes to show that he is far more capable of pitching well at home, he beat Detroit the first time at home and now is on a bounce-back after Detroit got their revenge in their last start, I just fear that Byrd might not have back to back quality starts in him here but at the same time there are a lot of trends working in Cleveland's favor with Byrd starting at home where he pitches considerably better, of course this team is on a bounce-back, Byrd himself is on a bounce-back against Detroit, Cleveland has their revenge against Rogers and challenging Rogers for back to back quality starts with Cleveland at home. Lean on the Indians here - besides over 62% favor the road favorite in Detroit here which makes me like the dog price with Cleveland more.
Angels/Red Sox Under 9
Weaver and Dice-K face off here, note that Weaver helped his tem win the last ballgame despite having a 6 era as he only lasted 3 innings and the Angles bullpen got it done, he faced Boston earlier this year and got rocked for 10 hits and 5 runs in 5 innings, he had pitched 5 straight quality starts before his 6 era against cleveland at home, he is 4-4 and 8-8 on the year, but 4-4 on the road with a 4.5 era, he has a bit of revenge today against Boston, but he is on the road again and Boston is still a bit peeved about only taking 1 of 3 from the Yankees at home, Dice-K hasn't faced the Angels this year but of course has pitched 5 straight quality starts and is 6-1 with a 3.02 era at home. If anything a lean on the under here, likely just staying away because I don't necessarily trust Weaver on the road, but of course, then again, he is on a bounce-back here and typically does well in that role - heck, last time he had a rough start of a 8.53 era at home against the Mets back on 6/16, he came back on 6/22 on the road at Philly for a 1.29 era start and a win.
research:
Leap of faith here on the bounce-back with Weaver, but he has showed his worth on the bounce-back and I expect to pitch better than 3 inns than last time out as he faces Boston with massive revenge from shelling him last time in Fenway earlier this year.
Texas/Seattle Under 9.5 (comp pick)
Research:
Hernandez faces Feldman here, Hernandez has pitched 6 of 7 quality starts, he had a 3 era at home against Boston and picked up a nd but his team still lost, he is 0-2 in 3 starts against the Rangers this year who have ended up winning all 3 of those games, Feldman is 1-0 with a 4.01 at home he pitched brilliantly against the white sox on the road, against Seatlte he did pitch a 1.29 era start but his team ended up losing 3-4 at home to Silva, if anything a lean on the under here given Seattle's weak offense and Fernandez looking to finally beat Texas this year so of course he still has his incentive to pitch well here, just surprising a bit that over 72% are betting against Seattle here in favor of Texas at home, but Texas has been money of late and especially at home, they do come off a loss to Oakland, a little surprised at the 9.5 line as well.
write-up:
It's never too good playing with fire with Texas at home in an under, but it makes sense here, Fernandez tries to avoid having his lose for the 4th time here against Texas, the majority of the public favors Texas here at 70%+ favor which likely means seattle should be competitive and hell could even win this game, but more importantly, Seattle's offense has been lax as usualy this season and Feldman has his revenge too, I'll take my chances here as the under is 13-3-2 when Seattle hits the road to face a winning team, the under is 12-3-1 for Hernandez overall and the under is 5-1 when Feldman starts with a total that is set such as this - heck (the under is also 7-1 in Feldman's last 8 starts as well).
