Ok ok boys. We get a lot of bitching in the threads on losers (mostly by me lmao), but we pick up a few more Xs yesterday. I didn’t love that card, but going pretty heavy on this beautiful looking Saturday card. I hope i have a day, bc I’m going to go a bit nuts tomorrow if so…. LFG!!!
High level quick thoughts…
Cocks +3 8x SC is my favorite “underrated” team this year. I love this team. Are they up to the spot is the only question. SC lines are pretty awesome on both sides. I think the DL has a significant advantage over Clemson OL. But will excitement cause them to overpursue and let Clemson counter and run on them. I think this game could get crazy. I want to love SC, but just not feeling super confident - getting market respect with 2.5s showing AT Clemson. This is a program turner tho and could outside shot get cocks in - and i don’t think anyone wants to play them. Like every team would beg for Indiana over these guys. I believe in these guys - hope they are up to this tough spot.
UTSA +7 10x i don’t know man. Utsa playing great ball. I think meep meep can score easier in this matchup. Army was finally exposed, but still getting too much respect. Meep meep can defend the run. They have explosiveness on offense. This game is now Sort of a dead spot for Army. This line is like a full field goal too high. Army still has beaten NOBODY. UTSA is super live to win outright. Gimme the 7 all day.
Louisville -4 8x i like this team. They gagged their dead spot bs Tree, but their schedule been brutal. Some decent recent wins over Clemson, Pitt, and BC. Gave Miami, SMU, And Notre Dame all they could handle. Been a tough season, but i believe Cards beeen underrated. I don’t think Kentucky can keep up. Ville can score with anybody and don’t think Kentucky is dynamic enough to ugly this up enough.
Wake +4 6x Ok here we go again. This Duke team is the prototype for luckbox variance. Not a great team. The problem is they aren’t being priced as such, so it’s not the best fade. I do think this thing comes down to the wire. Wake hasn’t shown much, but i don’t mind some of the matchups I’m seeing. Wake is battle tested at the least, and this Duke team has to be exposed. If not now, then at bowl time. Wake still playing for a bowl.
West Va +3 6x they have advantages on offense. Just a coin flip where a + 3 seems like a take. I don’t have much here. Just think it’s a coin
Flip shootout. And west Va still has hope for the season and some
Scenarios with a win.
Meeeeeeeechigan +20 8x we are trusting Will Howard to cover 3 TDs with no big mistakes?! Ryan Day wants it big, but this number is a lot to ask. Michigan has the Bryce Underwood energy. They beat up Indiana, killed a whatever NW team, but are showing life. This is just way too many in a rivalry game. Sure tOSU wants the blowout. But they don’t need it - and i don’t think Michigan can be bullied. A game wouldn’t survive me. I don’t trust the buckeyes line, explosiveness or qb to cover such a big number against elite athletes and a legit program that would love nothing more than to ruin buckeyes season. Super Bowl. Easy take here. Beat me by 21 - then ok.
ULM +10 8x this is another one i think is more than a FG too high. I think it will be a war. “Rivalry game”. ULM was underrated for a while. They struggled late, but think they will be all in here. ULL is now in with that Tex St win. ULM wants a bowl here. ULL no doubt has some nice wins, just one of those numbers games that’s too rich. And i really think ULM is very live to win outright. I’m shocked this number hasn’t dropped.
Northwestern +7.5 5x My Illini. What a solid season. Brett finding his style here. I think they have had some really fortunate luck and are a bit of a fraud this season. Got very lucky vs Kansas and Rutgers. Prolly should have lost to Purdue. Cats should have beaten Duke. They thrashed Maryland. They have been bad, but are capable and think they go best efforts here. Illini rout wouldn’t surprise me, but neither would an outright.
Over a TD is just a buy for me here.
KU -1. 6x My guys. Daniels is still rollllling. As you know, I’ve been riding Kansas hard. Such a could have been season. Had some vicious losses / this team can score on anyone and could legit be 9-1
Or whatever. This one should be a shootout. Baylor is the one team in the Big 12 where I’m not all in on Kansas against. They are playing well and inspired. At home as a dog is a spot I’m not too eager to fade. Ultimately i think Kansas coaching and Daniels make the plays to win, but not
A smash spot like the past few weeks
Temple +11.5 5x i don’t have much here. n Texas has more talent and obviously the better team. I don’t trust Green motivation vs temple who just hasn’t given up. Solid possibility this one gets interesting to me. Temple could quit and lose my 30 and y’all make fun of me, but i see Temple as live here.
UMass +10.5 5x same as above. Fun nice season from UConn, but good luck laying 11 on the road. Even cs umass haha. Simply just a Super Bowl spot vs not that much more talented of a team and this number. Fine.
More tomorrow, but early loving
Bama
Cuse
Domers
Smu
Zona
Fsu
LSU
Aggies
Huskies
KSTATE