Gonna try a little something to see if it pans out. I'm going to use some pendulum theory and game theory to hopefully increase odds on winning, increase odds on payout as well as creating value to a line that would not have had value pre game. All based on the premise that the NHL is an offensive league and that rules, attitudes, and actions/judgements will help facilitate this. The line makers are well aware of perception and uses it against us and that the books will on certain games/situations curate perception for planned exploitation in the future. Sometimes the lines move faster or slower than normal. Sometimes a supposed low scoring game is already over the pregame full game total by 2 to 3 goals yet the live total is another 2.5 and the under isn't juiced nearly heavy enough. Playing a live 1st period over 1.5 3-7 minutes into game can get you a +150-170ish payout vs playing 10-40% vig pre game. Playing a .5 goal over with 5 minutes to ga
There are countless examples. A lot from even today.
Sports betting can be so much more than the results of information/data input and that in the flow of game, conventional wisdom as well as stats, record, and trends and value of larger -vig or doubling up on the same bet becomes relative in game vs pre game
This is style will not be for everyone, and I will be playing way too many games and plays and I don't expect anyone to follow me or any plays but hopefully something can be learned/seen/discovered and someone can profit from that.
I will be playing almost exclusively live lines and almost exclusively overs. Primarily period totals, but anything is in play.
I generally do a quick simple look into each game so I am aware of recent trends, records in general and current opponent etc. Also a loose judgement/view of certain teams that are "extra offensive" recently and historically as well as some that might be flying under the radar re winning and scoring. For the purpose of record keeping I will do 1 and 2 unit plays at 50 per unit plays at a minus number always bet to winthe unit size
Anyway, an incredibly long and disjointed look into my thought process, and I didn't even come close to covering all of my ideas or even all of 1 idea.
There are countless examples. A lot from even today.
Sports betting can be so much more than the results of information/data input and that in the flow of game, conventional wisdom as well as stats, record, and trends and value of larger -vig or doubling up on the same bet becomes relative in game vs pre game
This is style will not be for everyone, and I will be playing way too many games and plays and I don't expect anyone to follow me or any plays but hopefully something can be learned/seen/discovered and someone can profit from that.
I will be playing almost exclusively live lines and almost exclusively overs. Primarily period totals, but anything is in play.
I generally do a quick simple look into each game so I am aware of recent trends, records in general and current opponent etc. Also a loose judgement/view of certain teams that are "extra offensive" recently and historically as well as some that might be flying under the radar re winning and scoring. For the purpose of record keeping I will do 1 and 2 unit plays at 50 per unit plays at a minus number always bet to winthe unit size
Anyway, an incredibly long and disjointed look into my thought process, and I didn't even come close to covering all of my ideas or even all of 1 idea.
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