NBA FRI 02052010-Early Thoughts and Value Hunting
- Thread starter Joe_Vienna
- Start date
- Mar 18, 2009
- 1,150
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Early leans
Early leans
Games I like at first glance
Bulls +8 and over 196.5
Hou-Memp over 204
Hornets -2
Min-Dal over 206
Det-Ind over 200
Nuggets +8
Bucks +2
Be back in a bit after some research. :burnout
Early leans
Games I like at first glance
Bulls +8 and over 196.5
Hou-Memp over 204
Hornets -2
Min-Dal over 206
Det-Ind over 200
Nuggets +8
Bucks +2
Be back in a bit after some research. :burnout
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Updated leans
Updated leans
Gonna try to narrow down some of these plays. here is what I'm looking at now.
Det-Ind over 200
Bucks +2
Bulls +8 and over 196.5 (over possible POD)
Sixers-Hornets under 194.5
TWolves +10 and over 206 (over possible POD)
Nuggets +8 and under 199.5
Nugs prove they can win w/o Carmello, can LA without Kobe?? :shrug:
Awful quiet in here, anyone with any thoughts??
Updated leans
Gonna try to narrow down some of these plays. here is what I'm looking at now.
Det-Ind over 200
Bucks +2
Bulls +8 and over 196.5 (over possible POD)
Sixers-Hornets under 194.5
TWolves +10 and over 206 (over possible POD)
Nuggets +8 and under 199.5
Nugs prove they can win w/o Carmello, can LA without Kobe?? :shrug:
Awful quiet in here, anyone with any thoughts??
I cannot see the nets staying with the celts...even with pierce out....way to much firepower....i bought it down to -11 so hopefuly i don't get another point stuck up my ass.
i'm not a big fan of chalk but i thinlk this should cover.
GL
i'm not a big fan of chalk but i thinlk this should cover.
GL
I agree
I agree
BOL to ya, but after the Hawks performance vs the Clips the other night, it's tough for me to lay big numbers. Think you have a winner though.
I agree
BOL to ya, but after the Hawks performance vs the Clips the other night, it's tough for me to lay big numbers. Think you have a winner though.
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Locked in
Locked in
Posted record as of 1/20
29-14 W/L
POD's 9-4
1st play for tonightadlock:
Mavs-Wolves OVER 206 POD
Over is 6-0 in Timberwolves last 6 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Over is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 12-1 in Timberwolves last 13 road games.
Over is 6-1 in Mavericks last 7 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Over is 6-1 in Mavericks last 7 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Over is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400
Maybe one or two more to come. :box2:
Locked in
Posted record as of 1/20
29-14 W/L
POD's 9-4
1st play for tonight
adlock: Mavs-Wolves OVER 206 POD
Over is 6-0 in Timberwolves last 6 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Over is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 12-1 in Timberwolves last 13 road games.
Over is 6-1 in Mavericks last 7 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Over is 6-1 in Mavericks last 7 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Over is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400
Maybe one or two more to come. :box2:
Im even thinking of laying the BIG number with the Hawks again:scared
GS,
LOVE the HOU +5 play
added plays
added plays
Added plays :director:
Bucks +2
2 teams going in opposite directions. The Bucks were the hottest ATS team before the last game at Orlando, and the Knicks have been one of the worse.
Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Bucks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
Knicks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Knicks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 10 points
Bulls -Hawks OVER 196.5
Over is 5-0 in Bulls last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Over is 6-0 in Hawks last 6 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
Over is 21-6 in Hawks last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Over is 9-3 in Hawks last 12 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Best of luck tonight fellas, hope we kill the books. :firing:
added plays
Posted record as of 1/20
29-14 W/L
POD's 9-4
1st play for tonight
Mavs-Wolves OVER 206 POD
Over is 6-0 in Timberwolves last 6 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Over is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 12-1 in Timberwolves last 13 road games.
Over is 6-1 in Mavericks last 7 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Over is 6-1 in Mavericks last 7 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Over is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400
Maybe one or two more to come. :box2:
Added plays :director:
Bucks +2
2 teams going in opposite directions. The Bucks were the hottest ATS team before the last game at Orlando, and the Knicks have been one of the worse.
Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Bucks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
Knicks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Knicks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 10 points
Bulls -Hawks OVER 196.5
Over is 5-0 in Bulls last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Over is 6-0 in Hawks last 6 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
Over is 21-6 in Hawks last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Over is 9-3 in Hawks last 12 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Best of luck tonight fellas, hope we kill the books. :firing:
I'm not seeing it
I'm not seeing it
Thinking that Hawks line is pretty sharp, BOL if you play it.
I really liked Memphis but didn't want to go against PV and Grind.
I just don't see it, Rockets have been terrible of late, and the Griz are on of the best ATS home teams, but as always BOL, hope they're right :toast:
I'm not seeing it
Thinking that Hawks line is pretty sharp, BOL if you play it.
I really liked Memphis but didn't want to go against PV and Grind.
I just don't see it, Rockets have been terrible of late, and the Griz are on of the best ATS home teams, but as always BOL, hope they're right :toast:
I think 5 is a pretty good line, considering these 2 teams have identical records, and the West is perceived as a better conference, the Rockets smoked the Griz by 25 in thier last meeeting, and the fact that the public seems to put a lot of importance on the last game played, in which Houston killed a depleted Warriors squad, and the Griz were blown out by the Cavs the night after a huge win Vs LA. I wouldn't overthink that line. Good luck to ya if ya play it, but I really like Memphis.
I think 5 is a pretty good line, considering these 2 teams have identical records, and the West is perceived as a better conference, the Rockets smoked the Griz by 25 in thier last meeeting, and the fact that the public seems to put a lot of importance on the last game played, in which Houston killed a depleted Warriors squad, and the Griz were blown out by the Cavs the night after a huge win Vs LA. I wouldn't overthink that line. Good luck to ya if ya play it, but I really like Memphis.
Identical records yes but lets really look at there records.
First 20 games HOU went 11-9 last 28 games 15-13 so about 500 all season
First 20 games MEM went 8-12 last 28 games 18-10
2 teams going in completely opposite directions and the blowout to the Cavs IMO could be seen coming a mile away similar to the Bobcats game vs Lakers everyone knew the Lakers we never gonna cover -9.
And yes the Rockets smoked the Grizzlies last time out but that was a totally different Memphis team.
Shit I think I just talked myself right out of a play on Houston!!
Thanks Billy!
JB
JB
Hope I didn't talk you out of a winner, it's just my take on the game and think there is some better value on the board.
Ools and Mr Vienna, love the cards, BOL to us tonight and everyone else. I'm out for a bit. :toast:
JB
Hope I didn't talk you out of a winner, it's just my take on the game and think there is some better value on the board.
Ools and Mr Vienna, love the cards, BOL to us tonight and everyone else. I'm out for a bit. :toast:
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IMHO
IMHO
Lots of great discussion but it seems everyone has left.
I see how you guys are going and I will tail you Totals.
NOH Under and Mav's Over.
I do like Hawks and the Rockets but those have been worked.
My Plays
The Suns -3, The Kings go a lucky cover last time out, I was lucky cus I had them, but they have not covered at home much for a month, in fact that was the first.
The Lakers -8, this will not be the same tired team that played the Bob's the other night.
BOLTA
IMHO
Lots of great discussion but it seems everyone has left.
I see how you guys are going and I will tail you Totals.
NOH Under and Mav's Over.
I do like Hawks and the Rockets but those have been worked.
My Plays
The Suns -3, The Kings go a lucky cover last time out, I was lucky cus I had them, but they have not covered at home much for a month, in fact that was the first.
The Lakers -8, this will not be the same tired team that played the Bob's the other night.
BOLTA
