NBA pre-flop
- Thread starter DZ
- Start date
11/1
CLE +6 3x
CLE +180 2.5x
There's a chance I play about half of this back with in-running or at halftime, but I like this spot for the Cavs tonight a lot. CLE was an excellent play on Tuesday. I missed posting it because I was traveling, but with the coaching change, their first win of the season in a revenge spot against a poor opponent was predictable. I chose to lay the ML then against the Hawks, but obviously they covered the spread and wish I had played that as well.
As far as tonight goes, this is a very poor schedule spot for the Nuggets. I think the boost the Cavs got from firing Lue carries over into their second game without him.
Portland is a play-on tonight as well as the Pelicans are also in a poor scheduling spot. I won't play it at the current number as it has moved up to 4.5. In the NBA, 3 and 4 can be key numbers in, especially if it is close late, so I will wait for an early in-game situation or, hopefully halftime, where I can get the Blazers at pick'em or better and play it for 3x.
CLE +6 3x
CLE +180 2.5x
There's a chance I play about half of this back with in-running or at halftime, but I like this spot for the Cavs tonight a lot. CLE was an excellent play on Tuesday. I missed posting it because I was traveling, but with the coaching change, their first win of the season in a revenge spot against a poor opponent was predictable. I chose to lay the ML then against the Hawks, but obviously they covered the spread and wish I had played that as well.
As far as tonight goes, this is a very poor schedule spot for the Nuggets. I think the boost the Cavs got from firing Lue carries over into their second game without him.
Portland is a play-on tonight as well as the Pelicans are also in a poor scheduling spot. I won't play it at the current number as it has moved up to 4.5. In the NBA, 3 and 4 can be key numbers in, especially if it is close late, so I will wait for an early in-game situation or, hopefully halftime, where I can get the Blazers at pick'em or better and play it for 3x.
- Mar 19, 2006
- 38,187
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1/9: MIL @ HOU
1/9: MIL @ HOU
First off, I believe the Bucks are getting too much respect tonight in Houston. These teams have identical records in their last 16 games and the Bucks have played an additional game since the start of the new year compared to the Rockets schedule in 2019. Assuming the Rockets win the 1st Qtr, my tentative plan is to hedge back on the 1H and Full Game sides, if the Rockets take a lead of 10 or more. The higher total on the game allows for increased volatility (bigger swings in terms of scoring) which makes it more likely that the middle opportunity will arise. Bucks have been a play against in the 1st Qtr all season, but they are actually very good at covering first halves, making them a good bet on the 1st half and full game live line after the first quarter if you have both those options available to you.
HOU +1/2 1Q (-120) 2.5x
HOU +1 1H (-115) 3x
HOU +2 (-110) 3x
1/9: MIL @ HOU
First off, I believe the Bucks are getting too much respect tonight in Houston. These teams have identical records in their last 16 games and the Bucks have played an additional game since the start of the new year compared to the Rockets schedule in 2019. Assuming the Rockets win the 1st Qtr, my tentative plan is to hedge back on the 1H and Full Game sides, if the Rockets take a lead of 10 or more. The higher total on the game allows for increased volatility (bigger swings in terms of scoring) which makes it more likely that the middle opportunity will arise. Bucks have been a play against in the 1st Qtr all season, but they are actually very good at covering first halves, making them a good bet on the 1st half and full game live line after the first quarter if you have both those options available to you.
HOU +1/2 1Q (-120) 2.5x
HOU +1 1H (-115) 3x
HOU +2 (-110) 3x
